usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Pair par aik notable selling pressure nazar aaya hai, aur yeh 145.00 ke psychological level ke neeche gira hai, jab ke Asian trading session mein Wednesday ko price further neeche chali gayi. Is waqt pair kareeb 144.20 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 0.87% ka decline show karta hai. Yeh downward movement Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish stance aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke unexpected rate hike ki wajah se hai. Din ke agle hisse mein traders US Manufacturing PMI data aur weekly Initial Jobless Claims ka intezar karenge, taake market ka agla rukh samjha ja sake.

Japan ka Yen Depreciation: Hukoomat ke Concerns aur Market ke Asrat

Bloomberg ke aik interview mein, Japan ke naye Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs, Atsushi Mimura ne Yen ke girawat ke asrat par baat ki. Mimura ne kaha ke kamzor Yen ke kuch faide hain, lekin iske nuqsanat bhi samne aa rahe hain. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar zarurat pari to intervention ki ja sakti hai taake speculation ko control kiya ja sake jo Yen ki value ko girane ka sabab ban rahi hai.

Iske ilawa, Japan ke top advisory council ne hukoomat aur BoJ ko yeh recommend kiya ke wo kamzor Yen ke asrat ko policy banate waqt madde nazar rakhein. Council ne highlight kiya ke girti hui Yen aur barhte hue prices ka asar domestic consumption par ho raha hai, jo nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Bank of America ke analysis ke mutabiq, US ki strong economic growth ki waja se Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kisi bhi policy change mein deri kar sakti hai. Bank ka maanna hai ke Fed December mein rate cuts shuru kar sakta hai, agar economic performance yeh hi rehta hai.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis

Is pair ke liye agla important support level jo dekhna hoga, wo 144.00 ka hai, jo aaj US trading session ke doran highlight kiya gaya tha. Agar pair is level se rebound karta hai aur 145.00 ka level break karta hai, to pehla resistance 146.00 par hoga. Agar yeh resistance cross ho gaya, to 200-day Moving Average (DMA) jo 151.19 par hai, wo agla important level hoga, uske baad 152.00 ka mark hoga.

Lekin agar bearish trend continue karna hai, to sellers ko pair ko 144.00 ke neeche push karna hoga. Agar yeh breach ho gaya, to agla target 141.94 ka hoga, aur uske baad 141.00 ka level follow karega. Agar pair upward movement karta hai, to yeh throwback support level jo ab resistance ban gaya hai, usay 154.50 par test kar sakta hai.





4oPair par aik notable selling pressure nazar aaya hai, aur yeh 145.00 ke psychological level ke neeche gira hai, jab ke Asian trading session mein Wednesday ko price further neeche chali gayi. Is waqt pair kareeb 144.20 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 0.87% ka decline show karta hai. Yeh downward movement Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish stance aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke unexpected rate hike ki wajah se hai. Din ke agle hisse mein traders US Manufacturing PMI data aur weekly Initial Jobless Claims ka intezar karenge, taake market ka agla rukh samjha ja sake.
Japan ka Yen Depreciation: Hukoomat ke Concerns aur Market ke Asrat

Bloomberg ke aik interview mein, Japan ke naye Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs, Atsushi Mimura ne Yen ke girawat ke asrat par baat ki. Mimura ne kaha ke kamzor Yen ke kuch faide hain, lekin iske nuqsanat bhi samne aa rahe hain. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar zarurat pari to intervention ki ja sakti hai taake speculation ko control kiya ja sake jo Yen ki value ko girane ka sabab ban rahi hai.

Iske ilawa, Japan ke top advisory council ne hukoomat aur BoJ ko yeh recommend kiya ke wo kamzor Yen ke asrat ko policy banate waqt madde nazar rakhein. Council ne highlight kiya ke girti hui Yen aur barhte hue prices ka asar domestic consumption par ho raha hai, jo nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Bank of America ke analysis ke mutabiq, US ki strong economic growth ki waja se Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kisi bhi policy change mein deri kar sakti hai. Bank ka maanna hai ke Fed December mein rate cuts shuru kar sakta hai, agar economic performance yeh hi rehta hai.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis

Is pair ke liye agla important support level jo dekhna hoga, wo 144.00 ka hai, jo aaj US trading session ke doran highlight kiya gaya tha. Agar pair is level se rebound karta hai aur 145.00 ka level break karta hai, to pehla resistance 146.00 par hoga. Agar yeh resistance cross ho gaya, to 200-day Moving Average (DMA) jo 151.19 par hai, wo agla important level hoga, uske baad 152.00 ka mark hoga.

Lekin agar bearish trend continue karna hai, to sellers ko pair ko 144.00 ke neeche push karna hoga. Agar yeh breach ho gaya, to agla target 141.94 ka hoga, aur uske baad 141.00 ka level follow karega. Agar pair upward movement karta hai, to yeh throwback support level jo ab resistance ban gaya hai, usay 154.50 par test kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ki jaari jaiza se mutabiq hai. 141.74 support zone tak ke tezi se neeche aane ne un logon ke liye khatar ko ujaagar kiya jo sahi risk management ko nazar andaz karte hue jaldi se munafa kamane ki koshish kar rahe thay, jo ke bohat baray nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakti thi. Japan ki economy ke hawale se ahem reports ke jari hone ke baad, jahan markazi bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen mein qabil-e-deed taqat dekhi, jis ne iske mukablay mein doosri currencies mein ahem girawat paida ki. Technical nazar se dekha jaye to is high-volatility instrument ki paish goi mushkil hai, lekin iski volatility aur iske mumkin asraat ko dekhna zaroori hai. Daily hourly chart par 148.01 level ke qareeb ek sideways trend ban gaya hai, aur price chhati martaba is mark ko torhne mein nakam rahi hai. Ek bara player mojud hai, aur isko dhyaan mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke current resistance zone se breakout ek ahem price move ko janam de sakta haiIs liye, main tajweez karta hoon ke is currenc pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders lagayein taake mumkin nuqsan se bach sakein, kyun ke surat-e-haal jaldi se kharab ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, us din hourly chart par girawat hui, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko torh gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Magar, ye signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke price is level ke neeche Friday ko gir gaya. Ghalat breakout us waqt hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche gir gaya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal paida hua, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price is target tak pohanch gaya. Phir, Tuesday ko price ne is level par wapsi ki, ek aur upward movement karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level tak wapas aa gaya. Breakout tasdeeq shuda tha, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai



USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.
Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain

USDJPY ke liye aaj ka tajwez yeh hai ke aaj ke din ek naya move niche ki taraf honay ke ache chances hain. Aaj ki situation complex hai, lekin mujhe zyada chances niche ke scenario ka lagta hai, jahan tak level 142.11 tak ka raasta saaf nazar aata hai. Lekin, hamesha taiyaar rehna chahiye ke price shayad pehle chhoti si upar ki taraf pullback kar sakti hai aur phir sahi direction mein move kar sakti hai. Aaj kuch aise events hain jo is pair par asar daal sakte hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke humein kin news ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye:

USD ke liye, aaj kuch average level ki news hain, lekin main sirf sabse important news ko highlight karunga:
- **ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (Aug)**: Yeh report employment ki growth ko measure karti hai aur iski report se market mein volatility aa sakti hai.
- **Initial Jobless Claims**: Yeh data unemployment ki shiddat ko batata hai aur isse market ki direction par asar pad sakta hai.
- **Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (Aug)**: Yeh PMI report services sector ke health ko measure karti hai aur isse economic conditions ke baare mein andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.
- **ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (Aug)**: Yeh index non-manufacturing sector ke performance ko measure karta hai aur market expectations ko influence kar sakta hai.
- **Crude Oil Inventories**: Crude oil ki inventory levels bhi market ke sentiment ko impact kar sakti hain, khas kar jab oil market mein changes aayein.

Japan ke liye, kuch medium-level events hain jo calendar par hain:
- **Total Employee Cash Earnings (July)**: Yeh report wage growth ko measure karti hai aur consumer spending par asar daal sakti hai.
- **Foreign Bond Investment**: Yeh report foreign investments ko track karti hai aur capital flows ko samajhne mein madad karti hai.
- **Japan's 30-year Government Bonds Auction (JGB)**: Long-term government bonds ki auction bhi market ko impact kar sakti hai, khas kar agar demand ya supply mein koi significant change aaye.

Jo news 3 stars aur 2 stars ke sath mark ki gayi hain, wo zaroor market ko volatility provide kar sakti hain. Isliye, kisi bhi situation ke liye tayaar rehna zaroori hai

USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ko real-time mein examine kiya. Japan ke Central Bank ne total interest rate ke baare mein ek surprising decision kiya, jo almost kisi ne expect nahi kiya tha, market mein significant reaction ka cause ban gaya. Iske result mein, Japanese yen surge kiya. Yeh decision yen ko revitalize kiya, ek sleeping giant ko awaken karne ke tarah. USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi.
Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho

USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai
USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai. Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai. Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.
USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ki sochta hoon jab 143.74 ka test ho, jo ke red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ke liye key target 142.87 hoga, jahan mai short positions exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se milega. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha h

Fundamental Phase of USD/JPY
Pehle September ko, USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.

### Technical Phase of USD/JPY

Is waqt, USD/JPY oversold rebound adjustment mein hai. Jab U.S. dollar ke interest rates ke rate cut cycle ke shuru hone ki umeed hai, to dollar ka upward trend lena unrealistic lagta hai. Short-term mein, USD/JPY ka 149-150 area ek important resistance banata hai. Agar is resistance ko break nahi kar paaya, to trend downward direction mein continue karne ki umeed hai.
Fundamental Phase of USD/JPY

Pehle September ko, USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.

### Technical Phase of USD/JPY

Is waqt, USD/JPY oversold rebound adjustment mein hai. Jab U.S. dollar ke interest rates ke rate cut cycle ke shuru hone ki umeed hai, to dollar ka upward trend lena unrealistic lagta hai. Short-term mein, USD/JPY ka 149-150 area ek important resistance banata hai. Agar is resistance ko break nahi kar paaya, to trend downward direction mein continue karne ki umeed

USD/JPY Pair Ka Tajziya aur Haalati Surat-e-Haal
Wednesday ke din, USD/JPY pair mein intraday girawat dekhne ko mili jab DXY ne Treasury data ke behtri ki wajah se apni position mazboot ki. Iske bawajood, JPY ne Asian hours ke dauran aik aham char mahinay ka high 148.50 ko touch kar liya. Is price uptick ka aik sabab Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki recent hawkish policy announcements bhi thi, jo market ke liye unexpected thi.

BoJ Ke Hawkish Iqdamat aur Fed Speculation Ka Asar

BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne policy mein in tabdeeliyon ka wazeh tor par zikar kiya. Ueda ne kaha ke 2% ka inflation target musalsal aur barabar tor par hasil karne ke liye monetary easing ke darajat mein tabdeeli zaruri thi. Ueda ne yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke Bank mazeed interest rate hikes karne ke liye pur azm hai. Yen ki mazid taqat ka sabab Mitsubishi UFJ Bank ka announcement bhi tha ke woh apne short-term prime lending rate ko 1.475% se barhakar 1.625% kar raha hai, jo ke 2 September se laagu hoga. Ye BoJ ke policy shift ke mutabiq ek qadam tha.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko dabao ka samna hai jabke market participants Federal Reserve (Fed) ki aanay wali interest rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko expected hai. Halaanke Fed se umeed hai ke woh July ke liye rates ko waise hi rakhega, magar September mein rate cut ka speculation barh raha hai. Yeh umeed USD par dabao daal rahi hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein girawat mazeed barh rahi hai.

USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya: Ahm Levels aur Trend Analysis

USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha.

Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY Pair Ka Tajziya aur Haalati Surat-e-Haal
Wednesday ke din, USD/JPY pair mein intraday girawat dekhne ko mili jab DXY ne Treasury data ke behtri ki wajah se apni position mazboot ki. Iske bawajood, JPY ne Asian hours ke dauran aik aham char mahinay ka high 148.50 ko touch kar liya. Is price uptick ka aik sabab Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki recent hawkish policy announcements bhi thi, jo market ke liye unexpected thi.

BoJ Ke Hawkish Iqdamat aur Fed Speculation Ka Asar

BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne policy mein in tabdeeliyon ka wazeh tor par zikar kiya. Ueda ne kaha ke 2% ka inflation target musalsal aur barabar tor par hasil karne ke liye monetary easing ke darajat mein tabdeeli zaruri thi. Ueda ne yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke Bank mazeed interest rate hikes karne ke liye pur azm hai. Yen ki mazid taqat ka sabab Mitsubishi UFJ Bank ka announcement bhi tha ke woh apne short-term prime lending rate ko 1.475% se barhakar 1.625% kar raha hai, jo ke 2 September se laagu hoga. Ye BoJ ke policy shift ke mutabiq ek qadam tha.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko dabao ka samna hai jabke market participants Federal Reserve (Fed) ki aanay wali interest rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko expected hai. Halaanke Fed se umeed hai ke woh July ke liye rates ko waise hi rakhega, magar September mein rate cut ka speculation barh raha hai. Yeh umeed USD par dabao daal rahi hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein girawat mazeed barh rahi hai.

USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya: Ahm Levels aur Trend Analysis

USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha.

Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair H1 chart par southern correction dikhara hai aur 143.393 par trade ho raha hai. InstaForex indicator, jo iss forum par hai, pehle hisse mein buyers ko thoda gain dikhata hai jo ke 52.07% hai. Dusre hisse mein, indicator southward trend ko zahir kar raha hai. Aaj ke din ke liye yeh sab kahan jayega? Japan se koi important aur interesting khabrein expected nahi hain. Aur USA se: nonfarm sector mein employed logon ki tadad mein tabdeeli, unemployment benefits ke liye initial applications ki tadad, service business activity index, nonmanufacturing purchasing managers' index aur crude oil inventories ki reports aayengi. Kafi zyada news hai, is liye hum technical aur fundamental analysis karte hain. Toh aaj kya aur kaise? Mera andaza hai ke pair pehle north ki taraf 144.65 tak correct karega, aur phir south ki taraf reverse karte hue 142.10 tak jayega. Sabko achi trading mubarak ho! H-4 Chart Technical Outlook USD/JPY Hello Roma! Dekho baat yeh hai ke maine data nikala hai, lekin yahan abhi bhi humein US labor market ke baare mein negative data mil raha hai, aur mein ab tak kaafi skeptical hoon. Kya yeh theek hai ek mahine ke positive reports ke baad? Unemployment benefits ke liye applications ka data aaya hai, lekin hum isko agle mahine ke review mein dekhain ge, halan ke yeh abhi humein madad nahi karega. Market ne data ke mutabiq react kiya aur data se downward movement dikhayi. Ab dekhte hain ke Asia kaise trade karega, aur agar 144.30 ke upar return aata hai aur figure ke andar pullback hota hai, toh yeh formation se ek false breakout ko zahir karega. Lekin ab tak hum border ke neeche consolidation dekh rahe hain, aur isne decline ka rasta support level 141.80 tak khola hai, aur waqehi humein expect karna chahiye ke yeh decline 140.30 tak ja sakta hai. Toh abhi tak buying zyada acha nahi lag raha, lekin hum Asia ke open hone ka intezaar kar rahe hain, kyun ke US ko dollar pasand nahi aaya

USD/JPY Ka Tajziya aur Haalati Surat-e-Haal
Spot price USD ke muqablay mein kafi girawat ka shikar hai, jo ke bank ki recent policy shifts ki wajah se hai. Filhaal yeh currency pair lagbhag 144.80 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke rozaana lagbhag 2% ki girawat ko dikhata hai. Yeh girawat Japanese aur American monetary policies ke darmiyan barhti hui tafreeq aur uske currency exchange rates par asar ko wazeh karti hai.

Japanese Yen ki USD ke muqablay mein kamzori ka sabab mukhtalif monetary policies aur economic indicators hain. BoJ ki hawkish policy moves aur Fed ka ehtiyaat se qadam uthana, dono hi USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Jaise jaise market in factors par react karti hai, traders aur investors ko potential shifts par nazar rakhni chahiye.

USD/JPY Ki Buniyadi Waja'at:

July mein, US private sector employment mein 122,000 ka izafa hua, jabke annual wages 4.8% barhi, yeh Automatic Data Processing ke mutabiq hai. Yeh figure umeed se kam tha, kyunke 150,000 jobs ki expectation thi, aur June ke revised 155,000 se bhi kam tha, jo ke slow growth trend ko zahir karta hai. Dosri taraf, Japan ka unemployment rate June mein gir kar 2.5% par aa gaya, jo market ki 2.6% ki expectation se behtar tha, aur peechlay chaar mahino mein sabse kam tha. Yeh January se Japan ka sabse kam unemployment rate hai.

Monetary policy ki baat karain toh, Federal Reserve (Fed) ne July meeting mein interest rates ko 5.25% se 5.50% ke darmiyan barqarar rakha. Fed ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne wazeh kiya ke rate cuts ka inhisaar US ke economic data par hoga. Unhone yeh bhi ishara diya ke agar economic indicators Fed ki umeedon ke mutabiq rahe, toh September meeting mein pehla rate cut ho sakta hai. Yeh ehtiyaati rujhan economic uncertainties ko samajhne aur monetary stability barqarar rakhne ke liye Fed ke approach ko dikhata hai.

Char Ghantay Ka Technical Tajziya:

USD/JPY pair ko 147.27 par ek descending wedge pattern ki lower boundary ke qareeb kafi resistance ka samna hai. Agar pair is wedge tak wapis aata hai, toh yeh maujooda bearish trend ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur ek bullish reversal ka imkaan paida kar sakta hai. Phir pair wedge ki upper boundary ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 145.56 ke saath align karta hai aur "throwback support turned resistance" level 144.50 ke qareeb hai.

Mazeed, yeh pair apni 100-day moving average (DMA) se neeche hai aur Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) se 500 pips neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek mazboot downtrend ko zahir karta hai. Magar kuch signs hain ke currency pair oversold position mein hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20 mark se neeche gir gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke USD/JPY ka downtrend overextended ho sakta hai. Aksar is condition ke baad mean reversion hota hai, jo ke potential bounce-back ka ishara de raha hai.

USD/JPY Ka Tajziya aur Haalati Surat-e-Haal
Spot price USD ke muqablay mein kafi girawat ka shikar hai, jo ke bank ki recent policy shifts ki wajah se hai. Filhaal yeh currency pair lagbhag 144.80 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke rozaana lagbhag 2% ki girawat ko dikhata hai. Yeh girawat Japanese aur American monetary policies ke darmiyan barhti hui tafreeq aur uske currency exchange rates par asar ko wazeh karti hai.

Japanese Yen ki USD ke muqablay mein kamzori ka sabab mukhtalif monetary policies aur economic indicators hain. BoJ ki hawkish policy moves aur Fed ka ehtiyaat se qadam uthana, dono hi USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Jaise jaise market in factors par react karti hai, traders aur investors ko potential shifts par nazar rakhni chahiye.

USD/JPY Ki Buniyadi Waja'at:

July mein, US private sector employment mein 122,000 ka izafa hua, jabke annual wages 4.8% barhi, yeh Automatic Data Processing ke mutabiq hai. Yeh figure umeed se kam tha, kyunke 150,000 jobs ki expectation thi, aur June ke revised 155,000 se bhi kam tha, jo ke slow growth trend ko zahir karta hai. Dosri taraf, Japan ka unemployment rate June mein gir kar 2.5% par aa gaya, jo market ki 2.6% ki expectation se behtar tha, aur peechlay chaar mahino mein sabse kam tha. Yeh January se Japan ka sabse kam unemployment rate hai.

Monetary policy ki baat karain toh, Federal Reserve (Fed) ne July meeting mein interest rates ko 5.25% se 5.50% ke darmiyan barqarar rakha. Fed ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne wazeh kiya ke rate cuts ka inhisaar US ke economic data par hoga. Unhone yeh bhi ishara diya ke agar economic indicators Fed ki umeedon ke mutabiq rahe, toh September meeting mein pehla rate cut ho sakta hai. Yeh ehtiyaati rujhan economic uncertainties ko samajhne aur monetary stability barqarar rakhne ke liye Fed ke approach ko dikhata hai.

Char Ghantay Ka Technical Tajziya:

USD/JPY pair ko 147.27 par ek descending wedge pattern ki lower boundary ke qareeb kafi resistance ka samna hai. Agar pair is wedge tak wapis aata hai, toh yeh maujooda bearish trend ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur ek bullish reversal ka imkaan paida kar sakta hai. Phir pair wedge ki upper boundary ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 145.56 ke saath align karta hai aur "throwback support turned resistance" level 144.50 ke qareeb hai.

Mazeed, yeh pair apni 100-day moving average (DMA) se neeche hai aur Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) se 500 pips neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek mazboot downtrend ko zahir karta hai. Magar kuch signs hain ke currency pair oversold position mein hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20 mark se neeche gir gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke USD/JPY ka downtrend overextended ho sakta hai. Aksar is condition ke baad mean reversion hota hai, jo ke potential bounce-back ka ishara de raha hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Aam tor par ek musalsal bullish surge aik dilchasp aur pechida pattern pesh karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, breakdown zone ke andar aik technical rejection expect kiya ja raha tha jab trend line breach hui thi. Yeh event bilkul waise hi hua jaisa anticipate kiya gaya tha, aur standard logic ke mutabiq tha. Iske baad, bearish momentum ka expect tha ke woh 141.787 ke qareebi local minimum ki strength ko challenge karega aur phir 139 figure ka breakdown hoga. Lekin, yeh scenario waise unfold nahi hua. Iske bajaye, aik buyer achanak se samnay aaya, jo bearish momentum ka muqabla karte hue aik bullish correction phase start kar gaya. Yeh movement koi catastrophic situation nahi dikhata, lekin ho sakta hai sellers mazeed capital dhoond rahe hon. Filhal, main expect karta hoon ke bearish trend jaari rahega.
Technically, USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge. Price reading indicators ki buniyad par, meri trading approach yeh darshati hai ke is waqt is currency pair ko khareedna ek behtareen waqt hai. System ke musalsal signals yeh darshate hain ke bulls ne control hasil kar liya hai, isliye khareedna abhi priority hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo traditional Japanese candlesticks se behtar tareeqay se price quotes ko smooth aur average karti hain, reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulsive movements ko pehchaanay mein madad karti hain. 100 Moving Average channel indicator, jo Moving Average chart par current support aur resistance levels ko outline karta hai, asset ke movement boundaries ko kisi bhi waqt clear view provide karta hai. Momentum oscillator overbought aur oversold zones ko highlight karta hai, jo pair ke liye hai. In tools ka combination technical analysis process ko behtar banaata hai aur galat market entries ke chances ko kam karta hai. Specified pair ka chart ranging candlesticks ko blue mein show kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish sentiment ne bearish outlook ko overtake kar liya hai, jo ek acha mauka hai long position lene ke liye. Price quotes pehle channel ke lower boundary se neeche gir gayi thi, lekin sabse neeche point tak pohanchne ke baad, yeh channel ke central line ki taraf rebound hui. RSI (20 indicator) bhi is buy signal ko support karta hai, kyunki iska upward-directed curve overbought level se kaafi neeche hai, jo long position ko align karta hai. In observations ko dekhte hue, successful buys ki probability high hai, jo long trade kholne ke liye justify karti hai. Main channel ke upper boundary ke aas-paas, price quote 141.643 ke nazdeek profits lene ki umeed rakhta hoon. Jab order profitable zone mein chale jaye, to position ko breakeven par shift karna behtar hoga, kyunki market dynamics aksar false movements ke saath expectations ko disrupt kar deti hain.

Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai