USD/PY Fundamental Analysis
Guzaarish ke do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations experience ki hain. 5 August ko, yen ne 7 mahine ki high par strengthen kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya, approximately 5.53 trillion yen spend kiya currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partially 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 0.8% se below gir gaya Federal Reserve ki expectations ke baad ki aggressive interest rate cuts karne ke liye weak US jobs data ke baad.
Usi din, Bank of Japan ne unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% par raise kiya aur economic conditions supportive rehne par rates ko continue raise karne ki willingness show ki. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke baad aaya, jaise private consumption mein decline aur economy mein contraction.
US ne disappointing economic data ka saamna kiya, jaise weak manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, US stock futures mein decline aur USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.
Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain.
Forecast & Trading Strategy:
Aaj, main US dollar index ko good value par dekh raha hoon. Isliye, USD/JPY ne 146.00 ki high ko break kiya. Is level ko break karne ke baad, humne quote ko broken resistance par dekh kar rebound kiya. Yeh means US dollar Japanese yen ke against stronger ho raha hai. Daily chart mein do bottoms current price level ke near hain, jo currency price ke resistance act karte hain.
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Guzaarish ke do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations experience ki hain. 5 August ko, yen ne 7 mahine ki high par strengthen kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya, approximately 5.53 trillion yen spend kiya currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partially 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 0.8% se below gir gaya Federal Reserve ki expectations ke baad ki aggressive interest rate cuts karne ke liye weak US jobs data ke baad.
Usi din, Bank of Japan ne unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% par raise kiya aur economic conditions supportive rehne par rates ko continue raise karne ki willingness show ki. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke baad aaya, jaise private consumption mein decline aur economy mein contraction.
US ne disappointing economic data ka saamna kiya, jaise weak manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, US stock futures mein decline aur USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.
Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain.
Forecast & Trading Strategy:
Aaj, main US dollar index ko good value par dekh raha hoon. Isliye, USD/JPY ne 146.00 ki high ko break kiya. Is level ko break karne ke baad, humne quote ko broken resistance par dekh kar rebound kiya. Yeh means US dollar Japanese yen ke against stronger ho raha hai. Daily chart mein do bottoms current price level ke near hain, jo currency price ke resistance act karte hain.
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