USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. For instance, US economic indicators jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions ka asar pair pe padta hai. Isi tarah, Japan ki economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi crucial role play karte hain. Thursday ko, USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein... Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke movement ke continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega.
USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran.
Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market

USD/JPY currency pair H1 timeframe par abhi strong bullish signs show kar raha hai. Ek indication is bullish trend ka yeh hai ke price resistance level 159.901 par stuck hai. Pehle, price ne support level 159.296 tak correct kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke qareeb hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure indicate karti hai jo price ko support area tak le gayi. Support level 159.296 ko touch karne ke baad, price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur continued increases hui. Yeh indicate karta hai ke support 159.296 successfully price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha, aur yeh turning point bana buyers ke liye market mein dubara enter karne ka. Support touch karne ke baad price ka increase market sentiment ko buying power se dominated dikhata hai. Abhi, price dubara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price tag ko upar 158.80 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin fall abhi bhi priority hai aur behtareen yeh hai ke sell kiya jaye.
Zigzag indicator, jo significant price movements aur trends ko identify karne mein madad karta hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke

mein jo European session mein banaye gaye faiday ko secure karne ke liye karne ki ichha rakhte hain pehle US markets ke opening ke saath jo volatility ka saamna kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain. USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain. Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke Buyers ki mazbooti dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 todna hoga, jisse trading channel khul jaye ga, aur Bulls' movement ke continuation ka imkan ho sakta hai. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.47 hoga, jahan se history mein Sellers ne price ko barhaya tha. Reverse movement ka bhi imkan hai Short side ki taraf, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 todna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce hoti rahi hai. Bears ki mazbooti ka tasdeeq hoga jab price broken level - 160.31 ke niche fix ho jaye ga, jo ke price ki kamzori dikhaye ga. USD/JPY ka downtrend ab bhi maujood hai. Price ne support level 155.48 par paya, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke niche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke niche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index value 50 ke niche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment signal karta hai. Mazid decline ka imkan barqarar hai. Agar price level 155.48 ko todti aur successful consolidation karti hai, to nayi sales ko consider karna munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, next potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Alternative scenario ke liye tayyar rahna hoga jab price cloud

USD/JPY pair abhi 153.97 level ke upar achi position mein hai aur break karne ke liye struggle kar raha hai. Ye foothold 153.97 ke upar ek solid upward trend ko indicate karta hai aur mazid upward movement ki potential ko suggest karta hai. USD/JPY ke probable direction ko dekhte hue, 157.51 level is week ke liye ek viable target ke taur par saamne aata hai jo ke aane wale dinon mein achievable lagta hai. Pichle paanch dinon se, pair ne sideways movement experience ki hai, support zone aur psychological level 153.02 se bounce kar raha hai, jo ke ek solid foundation ke taur par jana jata hai. Psychological levels trading par asar andaz hote hain kyun ke significant trading volume accumulations ki wajah se volatility kam ho jati hai, jaise ke chart dikhata hai. Ye instrument ascending bullish channel ki lower boundary se exit kar gaya hai aur ab descending bearish trend ke continuation ka stage set kar raha hai.
USDJPY pair swiftly drop hua aur approximately 400 points neeche chala gaya bearish sentiment ke darmiyan. Is decline ke dauran, price action ko ek ascending trendline se support mila jo market waves ke base ke sath trace ho rahi thi. Repeatedly, price ne is trendline ko test kiya aur bounce off karke further downward movements kiya.
In challenges ke bawajood, overall wave structure ek potential upward trajectory suggest karti thi. Is view ko support karte hue, MACD indicator ne buying opportunity signal kiya jab yeh upper buy zone mein raha, halan ke apni signal line ke thoda neeche tha. Aage dekhte hue, USDJPY pair ke liye do plausible scenarios hain. Ek possibility yeh hai ke upward movement horizontal resistance level ke around 160.30 tak continue kare. Is scenario ko bullish convergence jo CCI indicator par observed hui, support karte hain, jo potential for growth ko indicate karti thi jab yeh lower overheating zone mein thi.
Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair ascending support line ko break kar de, jo potential downtrend ko signal karega. Is scenario ke liye market sentiment ya economic indicators mein kisi bhi shift ko monitor karna zaroori hoga jo US dollar ko Japanese yen ke against further weaken kar sake.

Stochastic curve bhi bearish direction mein move kar raha hai, jo is trend ke bearish hone ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Open price aur SMA5 ke resistance level ke darmiyan jo gap hai, wo yeh dikhata hai ke price is dynamic resistance level tak correct ho sakti hai pehle ke apni girawat ko jari rakhe. Yeh scenario sell positions ke entry points ke liye potential pesh karta hai, jo demand mein girawat ke likely decline par focus karte hue capitalize kiya ja sakta hai. H4 chart ke evening analysis ne ek triangle pattern ko zahir kiya hai. Is pattern mein ek break aaya, jis se temporary price increase hua, jo aik ummeed ki kiran aur direction ka ishara diya. North direction ki tasdeeq ke liye, price ko H4 ke upward reversal levels ko break karna hoga, khas tor par 161.55 level ko overcome karna hoga. Yeh level H4 zigzag ke low se trend line aur baqi triangle support se supported hai.

D1 price zone ka break south ki taraf meri selling decision ko mazid mazboot kar dega. Mein agle hafte mazeed tafseelat pesh karunga. Mere analysis aur morning horoscope ke mutabiq, mujhe apni deal ko 160.75 par rokna hai, kyunke potential win meri position se paanch guna zyada ho sakta hai. Agar market meri desired goals ki taraf move nahi karta, to mein exit karunga aur kal dobara se evaluate karunga. Aane wala din hamesha uncertain hota hai, aur news events is uncertainty mein ahm role ada karte hain. Nukhsan ka risk lene se behtar hai ke ehtiyat barat te hue decisions liye jayen. USD, Fed ke Williams ke dovish comments aur Japan se weak current account data ke baad mazboot hua, jis se USD/JPY 161.30 par 36 pips ka faida hota dekh kar close hua.

Pehli surat mein, reversal candle banane ka imkaan hai aur global bullish trend ke framework mein price ka upar ki taraf wapas chalna shamil hai. Agar yeh plan anjam pa gaya, to mein expect karta hoon ke price resistance level 161.951 par wapas aayegi. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close hogi, to mein mazeed upar ki taraf movement ko anticipate karunga, jo 164.500 ke resistance level tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke kareeb, mein ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko decide karne mein madad dega. Zaroori nahi ke target sirf yahin tak ho, balki, meri analysis ke mutabiq, agla northern goal 168.000 par bhi ho sakta hai. Magar, yeh situation ko monitor karna zaroori hoga aur sab kuch news flow aur price ki reaction par depend karega jo designated distant northern targets ko mukabil hogi. Doosri surat mein jab price support level 160.209 ke kareeb aaye gi to plan yeh hoga ke price is level ke neeche consolidate kare aur south ki taraf movement ko jari rakhe. Agar yeh plan anjam pa gaya, to mein expect karta hoon ke price support level 157.671 tak jaayegi. Is support level ke kareeb, mein bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, expecting ke price wapas upar ki taraf move karegi. Ek aur possibility yeh bhi hai ke mazeed southern goals ko target kiya jaaye, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 154.524 aur 153.601 par hain. Agar designated plan implement bhi ho jaye, tab bhi mein in support levels ke kareeb bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement wapas se resume ho

Hum abhi aik challenging phase ka samna kar rahe hain. Jab ke long-term outlook ki specifics abhi clear nahi hain, yeh zaruri hai ke hum vigilant rahain aur aane wale dino mein developments ko closely monitor karein. Current market conditions kaafi unfavorable hain, jo ke possible trend changes ke bare mein concerns raise kar rahe hain. Magar, yeh trends ko confirm karna crucial hai pehle ke hum koi significant decision lein. History yeh dikhati hai ke premature action lena, especially with large positions, substantial losses ko lead kar sakta hai. Market sentiment notably cautious hai, jo ke Yen ke potential recovery ko suggest karta hai. Dusri taraf, dollar ka long-term outlook accelerate hota nazar aa raha hai.

Market mein prevailing fear general lack of investor confidence ko reflect kar raha hai, jo ke higher volatility aur more cautious trading ko lead karta hai. Yeh sentiment broader economic uncertainties aur geopolitical tensions se influenced hai jo global markets ko affect kar rahe hain. Yen ki recovery stability ke waqt safer assets ki taraf shift ko indicate karti hai, kyun ke yeh traditionally safe-haven currency mani jati hai. Yeh renewed interest current market apprehension ko underline karta hai.
Conversely, dollar ka long-term outlook acceleration dikhata hai, factors jaise ke interest rate policies, economic growth projections, aur trade dynamics ki wajah se. U.S. Federal Reserve ke decisions, especially interest rates ke hawale se, jo inflation ko combat karne ke liye hain, dollar ke future ko shape karne mein critical hain. Jab ke higher rates dollar ko strengthen kar sakte hain, yeh economic growth ko slow karne ka risk bhi carry karte hain, jo potentially global economy ko impact kar sakta hai.

In light of these factors, investors ke liye cautious approach advisable hai. Preliminary trend indicators par large market positions lena risky ho sakta hai. Solid data aur confirmed trends par rely karna informed decisions lene ke liye zaruri hai. Comprehensive market analysis aur factors driving sentiment ko samajhna aaj ke financial landscape ko effectively navigate karne ke liye key hai.Market sentiment aur currency performance ke ilawa, dusre economic indicators jaise ke employment rates, inflation, aur geopolitical events bhi monitor karne chahiye. Informed aur adaptable rahna investors ko aaj ke financial environment ke complexities ko manage karne mein madad karega.despite current uncertainty aur adverse market conditions, prudent strategy zaruri hai. Developments ko closely monitor karna, trends ko confirm karna pehle ke action lein, aur broader economic context ko samajhna investors ko risks ko better mitigate karne mein help karega. Yen ki recovery aur dollar ka accelerating outlook careful aur informed investment approach ki zaroorat ko highlight karta hai is dynamic global market mein.

Trading Strategy with USD/JPY Prices

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ko analyze kar rahe hain. Japanese yen ne mazid taqat hasil ki hai, jab ke US dollar kamzor ho raha hai. H4 chart par ek double-decreasing zigzag pattern nazar aa raha hai, jo daily time frame par oversold condition (RSI = 14) ko signal kar raha hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke ek potential bullish correction ho sakta hai. Lekin, USD/JPY pair ki strong downward trend ko dekhte hue, koi bhi correction ziada nahi chalega aur descending channel ke andar hi rahega. Yeh zigzag pattern daily time frame par ek reversal structure mein badal sakta hai, aur shayad ek initial diagonal bhi bana sakta hai. Fundamentally, yen ke liye situation wahi hai, jahan significant decline jari hai aur aur ziada girne ki potential hai jab market ka floor abhi bhi low hai.



Lekin, ek pullback hone wala lagta hai. Yeh situation do main factors se driven hai: recent rate hike ke baad yen ka appreciation aur US labor market data ke disappointing results ke baad dollar ki decline, jahan unemployment phir se barh gayi hai. Given ke current prices kya hain, main kisi bhi direction mein transactions consider nahi kar raha. Lekin agar koi pullback 151.81 ke aas-paas hota hai, toh main selling consider kar sakta hoon.

Ek correction 149.76 tak pehle hi ho chuki hai, aur decline ke jari rehne ki umeed hai. Is correction ke baad aage barhne ki chances hain, lekin downtrend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Continued decline ka hona ek upward correction ke baad likely hai. Market ne chote traders ko buying positions mein attract kiya hai, jo ke shayad further decreases se pehle hota hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke 147.36 ka test hoga, jiske baad decline ko continue hona chahiye. Agar 147.51 par ek false breakout hota hai, toh hum price ko 147.01 range ke kareeb aate dekh sakte hain jab decline dobara shuru hota hai.

USD/JPY ke bullish trend ko rukne ki bhi umeed hai. Iske ilawa, Japanese government bond yields ne 13 saal ka high 1.11% ko touch kiya hai, jo BOJ ki monetary policy change ki umeedon ko reflect karta hai. Yen ki kamzori ke bawajood, traders ko imports aur inflationary pressures ke barhtay huay costs ka samna hai. Is maslay ko address karne ke liye, Japanese Finance Ministry naye variable-rate bonds launch karne par ghour kar rahi hai, jaise ke Reuters ne report kiya. Ye naye bonds rising bond yields se investors ko protect karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain, khaaskar BOJ ke potential interest rate hikes se pehle. Ye strategy closely monitoring price action aur market conditions ke changes par promptly respond karne par depend karti hai. Key execution strong resistance 161.48 aur strong support 161.11 ko recognize karne par hai. Timing bhi crucial hai; in levels par positions establish aur exit karna profits enhance aur losses minimize kar sakta hai. Traders ko broader market context aur wo fundamental factors bhi dekhne chahiye jo USD/JPY movements ko impact kar sakte hain. Economic data releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical events sab USD/JPY ke price action ko affect kar sakte hain. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte huay, strategies ko adjust karna zaroori hai
Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan sirf tab rakhta hoon jab daam 152.62 ke level par test kare, jo ke chart par red line se darshaya gaya hai, jo is pair ki tezi se girawat ko janam dega. Bechne walon ke liye key target 152.05 rahega, jahan mujhe short positions ka exit karke foran long positions kholni hongi, jis se mujhe umeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka in taraf se girawat mil sakta hai. USD/JPY par dabav kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar daam intraday high ke ird-gedh jamah hone mein nakam raha. Bechne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur girne ki taraf ja raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan bhi rakhta hoon agar daam 153.16 par do consecutive price tests kare jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye is pair ke upar ki potential ko limit karega aur market ko neeche ki taraf palatne mein madad karega. Umeed ki ja rahi hai ke ye opposite levels, 152.62 aur 152.05 tak gir jayega.

Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqablay mein dusre din ke liye girawat ka silsila jari rakha. Market ke shiraakshak ehtiyaat barat rahe hain jab woh Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy meeting ke liye tayar hain, jo ke Wednesday ko hone wali hai. Andazay lagaye ja rahe hain ke central bank ek modest interest rate hike kar sakta hai, jo ke 10 basis points se 0.1% tak ho sakta hai, aur shayad bond purchasing program mein bhi kami ka elan kiya jaye. Jabke Japanese government ne BoJ ke sath nazdik tawanai ki tasdeeq ki hai, lekin isne bhi ye wazeh kiya hai ke monetary policy ke tajwez sirf central bank ke paas hain. Dusri taraf, US dollar, halankeh Federal Reserve ke Wednesday ko rate hold karne ke intezar mein kuch mushkilat ka saamna kar raha hai, lekin iski ummed hai ke baad mein saal ke dauran zyada aggressive rate cut ki ummed hai. US mein kam hoti hui inflation aur labor market conditions ne is baat ki imkaan ko barha diya hai ke 2024 ke akhir tak zyada bara interest rate reduction dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
Technical tor par, USD/JPY pair filhal ek descending channel mein consolidation kar raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ka ishara de raha hai. Magar, pair ki recent price action aur relative strength index (RSI) jo oversold conditions ko darshata hai, short-term mein rebound ka ishara kar raha hai. Turant support 153.00 ke aas-paas lower boundary of descending channel par hai, jabke mazeed support levels 151.86 aur psychologically significant 151.00 par hain. Upside par resistance 154.50 level par hai, uske baad 9-day EMA 155.13 par hai aur descending channel ke upper boundary 156.20 ke aas-paas hai. Jaisay hi hafta aage barhega, focus zaroor BoJ ke policy decision aur kisi bhi accompanying statement par hoga. Market ke expectations se koi bhi deviance USD/JPY pair mein significant volatility ko trigger kar sakti hai.

Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Y

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, D1 chart dikhata hai ke USD/JPY critical support level 168.470 ko test kar raha hai. Yeh level D1 moving average line ke sath coincide karta hai, jo traders ke liye significant point of interest hai. Moving average dynamic support level ke taur pe serve karta hai, jo specific period ke average price ko indicate karta hai, jo is case mein daily chart hai.
168.470 level crucial hai kyunke is support ke break hone se further downside potential ka signal mil sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo potentially around 168.00 ya us se neeche ho sakte hain. Wahi pe, agar support hold karta hai, to rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, aur pair previous highs around 168.70-169.00 ko test kar sakta hai. D1 moving average line trend indicator ke taur pe act karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Haan, sustained trading below moving average trend reversal ya consolidation phase ko indicate kar sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity complex interplay of economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karti hai. 168.470 support level ka current test on D1 moving average line pair ke liye critical juncture hai. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye ke pair is level ke ird-gird kaise behave karta hai, kyunke yeh future price movements ke hawale se significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, technical aur fundamental analysis ko incorporate karte hue, essential hoga USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye in the coming days.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Recent Market Activity

Friday ko USD/JPY currency pair ne ek significant bearish movement dekha, jis se short deal ko take-profit level par close kiya gaya jab trend line test hui. Ajeeb baat yeh thi ke bears ne trend line par hesitation nahi dikhayi; balki, unhone trend line ko decisively break kiya, jo strong bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Yeh price action ne trend line ke neeche further consolidation ke possibility ko raise kiya hai. Is breakout ke baad price ka behavior monitor karna zaroori hai taake aane wale market movements ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

Key Technical Indicators

1. Trend Line Break:

Trend line ke neeche decisive break ek strong bearish signal hai. Trend lines aam taur par support ka kaam karti hain aur jab yeh break hoti hain, to yeh trend reversal ya continuation ke signals de sakti hain.



Yeh bhi dekha gaya ke price is level par slow nahi hui, jo bearish momentum ki strength ko aur bhi barhata hai.

2. Support and Resistance Levels:

Trend line break hone ke baad, agle immediate support levels 154.50 aur 154.00 ke aas-paas hain. Yeh levels pehle bhi support ka kaam kar chuke hain aur yeh further declines ko rok sakte hain. Upside par, previous trend line jo ab resistance ban gayi hai, aur 155.50 level key areas hain jo retracements ke liye monitor karne chahiye.

3. Moving Averages:

USD/JPY pair ab 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Moving averages ne bearish crossover dikhaya hai, jo death cross kehlata hai aur yeh typically continued downward momentum ko signal karta hai.

4. RSI and MACD Indicators:

Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai lekin abhi oversold nahi hai, isse yeh pata chalta hai ke further declines ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish territory mein hai, MACD line signal line ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko support karta hai.

Fundamental Factors

1. Economic Data:

US aur Japan ke upcoming economic data important honge. US indicators jaise GDP growth, employment data, aur Federal Reserve ki interest rate decisions key drivers hain. Japan ke GDP figures, employment statistics, aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke policy updates bhi significant impact daalenge.

2. Central Bank Policies:

Federal Reserve aur BoJ ki monetary policy decisions pivotal hain. Interest rates ya policy shifts me koi changes market sentiment ko impact kar sakte hain. Traders ko in central banks ke statements aur policy reports ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

3. Political Developments:

Political events, jaise US fiscal policies aur geopolitical tensions, market mein volatility introduce kar sakte hain. Significant political developments se abrupt market reactions ho sakti hain jo USD/JPY pair ki direction ko impact kar sakti hain.

Trading Strategy

1. Shorting Opportunities:

Current bearish sentiment ke madde nazar, traders retracements par resistance levels, jaise broken trend line ya 155.50 level par short karne par consider kar sakte hain. Yeh strategy ongoing bearish trend ko leverage karti hai.

2. Monitoring Support Levels:

Agar price support levels 154.50 ya 154.00 ke aas-paas aati hai, traders potential reversal patterns ya strong buying interest ko watch karen jo bounce ko indicate kar sakti hai. Yeh levels historical significance ke liye critical hain.

3. Risk Management:

Effective risk management zaroori hai. Recent resistance levels ke upar stop-loss orders set karna potential losses ko limit karne me madad karega. Position sizing individual risk tolerance aur prevailing market conditions ke basis par honi chahiye.

Conclusion:

USD/JPY pair ke recent trend line break aur continued bearish momentum strong bearish sentiment ko highlight karte hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko combine karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, key levels aur broader economic trends ko leverage karte hue, aur risks ko appropriately manage karte hue.

UsdJpy market pair daily timeframe par jo trading Thursday ko hui thi, usmein shuru mein sellers ka control tha jo price ko bearish direction mein neeche le gaye the morning session mein. Magar, yeh price 152.18-152.20 ke buyer support area ke neeche nahi jaa saki jo ke buyers ne mazbooti se maintain rakha. Phir buyers ne dobara control le liya aur strong buying pressure laga kar price ko bullish direction mein upar push kar diya. Bollinger bands indicator ko use karte hue daily timeframe par dekha jaye to price seller ke control mein tha jo price ko Lower Bollinger bands area mein le gaye the. Magar, kal ki trading mein buyers ke successful



takeover se price dobara upar aayi Lower Bollinger area se strong bullish candle ke saath. Is se yeh lagta hai ke aaj ki trading mein UsdJpy market pair ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai jo ke price ko current Lower Bollinger bands area se door le jaayenge aur next target Middle Bollinger bands area hoga. Friday ko Asian market session mein trading ab bhi buyers dominate kar rahe hain jo apni bullish momentum ko maintain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur price ko upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Unka nearest target seller ke resistance area 154.70-154.72 ko test karna hai jo agar successfully penetrate ho gaya to price aur bhi strong aur upar ja sakti hai next target seller ke supply resistance area 155.68-155.70 ki taraf. Nateejay: Sell entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab seller successfully nearest buyer support area 153.32-153.30 ko penetrate kar le aur TP target area 152.32-152.30 ho. Buy entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab buyer successfully nearest seller resistance area 154.70-154.72 ko penetrate kar le aur TP target area 155.68-155.70 ho.

. Instaforex indicators forum pe pehle segment mein buyers ka thoda advantage dikhate hain, range 53.04%. Dusre hisse mein indicator southward trend dikhata hai. Aaj yeh pair humein kya surprises dega? Japan ki important aur interesting news mein, main highlight karta hoon: Bank of Japan ka decision on interest rates aur consumer confidence index. United States: Non-farm employment changes, crude oil reserves, FOMC statement, Fed interest rate decision aur FOMC press conference. Is liye, hum fundamental aur technical analysis ke saath kaam kar rahe hain. Mukhftasir, aaj iss duo se kya khushi mil sakti hai? Main assume karta hoon ke pair north ko adjust karega 153.10 level tak aur phir south ko 150.40 level tak. Sab ko good lucD-1



Hum channel ke andar support levels tak almost pohanch chuke hain aur ab USD/JPY mein north ki taraf rebound priority hogi. Zyada kehne ko kuch nahi. Unhone achha perform kiya magar meri expectations se kam. Buyers situation ko correct nahi kar sake aur agar bears ka offensive na hota, to hum 153.43 tak gir sakte the. Magar hum abhi tak 152.75 tak bhi nahi pohnche, aur yeh level abhi tak fait accompli nahi hai. Main sochta hoon ke breakout hoga. Buyers ne USD/JPY ka control Southerners ke pressure mein chhod diya hai, magar iska matlab yeh nahi ke unke paas situation ka control hai. Main expect karta hoon ke sell-side ka koi prospect nahi hai, jab ke buy-side trend chart pe bahut acha lag raha hai. Kisi strong news ki absence mein, yeh USD/JPY ke gains ko extend kar sakta hai. Mazedar baat yeh hai ke main kisi bhi situation se chipak gaya hoon aur bull ko winner dekh raha hoon

releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. For instance, US economic indicators jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions ka asar pair pe padta hai. Isi tarah, Japan ki economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi crucial role play karte hain. Thursday ko, USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein... Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke movement ke continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short




side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega. USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran.
Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market