USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Aaj ke trading activity mein USDJPY pair ke price movement mein bohot zyada volatility hone ke chances hain. Asian session mein Bank of Japan (JPY) apni interest rate policy announce karega aur subah ke waqt Fed apni interest rate policy announce karega. Agar current price ko dekhein, toh yeh lagta hai ke yeh support (S1) 151.27 tak gir sakta hai jo ke SMA 200 ke saath dynamic support mein hai. Yeh is liye ke har baar jab price upar correct karne ki koshish karta hai, yeh pivot point (PP) 154.44 ko cross nahi kar pata. Lekin, do Moving Average lines ke beech price movement uncertainty dikhaata hai halaan ke trend direction abhi bhi bullish confirm hota hai.

Agar aap price pattern structure observe karein, toh lagta hai ke koi change nahi hua kyun ke low prices 151.87 par structure break nahi hua jo ke ek invalidation level hai. Jab tak price support (S1) 151.27 ya SMA 200 ke neeche move nahi karta jo ke support (S2) 148.77 ki taraf ja raha hai, price pattern structure lower low - lower high condition mein rahega. Iske ilawa, doji candlestick pattern se reversal signal abhi bhi valid confirm hota hai, isliye price ke pivot point (PP) 154.44 ko cross karke resistance (R1) 156.94 ki taraf move karne ka mauqa hai jo ke EMA 50 ke saath confluent hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke side par, downtrend momentum abhi bhi bohot strong hai jo ke USDJPY pair ke price decline rally ko support karta hai. Histogram volume level 0 ya negative ke neeche abhi bhi widen ho raha hai aur red hai. Sirf Stochastic indicator zyada supportive ho sakta hai upward price correction phase mein. Kyun ke parameters level 20 - 10 par selling saturation point tak kai martaba pohonch chuke hain. Lekin, USDJPY pair ke current price movement ko central bank ki monetary policy influence karegi, jo zyada hawkish hoga woh ek currency outlook ko strengthen karega doosri currency ko suppress karne ke liye.

Setup entry position:

Trading options ko zyada ehtiyaat se dekhna better hai lekin agar main trend direction jo ke abhi bhi bullish hai ko dekha jaye kyun ke do Moving Average lines death cross signal nahi dikhaati, toh BUY moment ka wait karein. Entry position placement support (S1) 151.27 ke 30 pips neeche rakhain jo ke SMA 200 ke saath confluent hai. Confirmation agar Stochastic indicator parameter oversold zone level 20 - 10 ko re-cross karta hai aur AO indicator histogram ne downtrend momentum ke saath clear confirmation diya hai. Take profit ka target pivot point (PP) 154.44 ya higher resistance (R1) 156.94 ko rakh sakte hain jo ke EMA 50 ke saath confluent hai, jabke stop loss support (S2) 148.77 par rakhain.

EUR/USD achi position mein hai aur Wednesday ke Asian session mein 1.0825 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh pair abhi bhi 100-period EMA se neechay hai aur RSI indicator bearish stance mein hai.

Pehla upside target 1.0845 hai; jab ke key support level 1.0795-1.0805 zone mein dekha ja raha hai.

EUR/USD pair 1.0825 ke aas paas mazboot trade kar raha hai, do din ki girawat ko tod kar Wednesday ke Asian session mein. Magar, ECB ki September mein rate cuts ke hawalay se uncertainty ke bawajood, yeh pair ki upside limited ho sakti hai, khas tor par Germany ke disappointing economic growth data ke baad. Wednesday ko, Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rate decision bhi zair-e-ghaur hoga.

Germany ki economy second quarter mein contraction mein chali gayi, 0.1% QoQ contraction ke sath, jo ke Q1 mein 0.2% expand hui thi. Yeh figure expected 0.1% increase se kam tha. Iske ilawa, annual GDP rate bhi Q2 mein 0.1% gir gayi, Q1 ke 0.2% contraction aur 0% forecast ke muqablay mein. Yeh German GDP data Euro (EUR) par selling pressure dal raha hai.

Magar, Eurozone ki economy ne June ke end tak ke teen mahine mein 0.3% expand kiya, jo ke market consensus 0.2% increase se zyada tha. Broader euro area aur Germany ke Retail Sales ka preliminary inflation data bhi Wednesday ko release hoga. Yeh readings ECB ki September rate cut ke hawalay se kuch hints de sakti hain.

Technically, EUR/USD ka bearish outlook abhi bhi maujood hai kyun ke yeh major pair 4-hour chart par 100-period EMA se neeche hai. Downward momentum ko Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi support kar raha hai, jo midline se neeche 43.90 ke qareeb hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke least resistance ka rasta downside hai.

Agar pair 100-period EMA, jo 1.0845 hai, ke upar chala jata hai to next hurdle 1.0870 hai, jo Bollinger Band ke upper boundary aur 29 July ke high ke confluence ko represent karta hai. Agar is level ke upar buying hoti hai to next filter 1.0900 psychological mark hoga.

Dusri taraf, crucial support level 1.0795-1.0805 region mein dekha ja raha hai, jo Bollinger Band ke lower limit, ek round figure aur 30 July ke low ko represent karta hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai to next drop 1.0776, 1 July ke high tak hoga. Next contention level 1.0709 hai, jo 2 July ka low hai.

UsdJpy market pair daily timeframe par jo trading Thursday ko hui thi, usmein shuru mein sellers ka control tha jo price ko bearish direction mein neeche le gaye the morning session mein. Magar, yeh price 152.18-152.20 ke buyer support area ke neeche nahi jaa saki jo ke buyers ne mazbooti se maintain rakha. Phir buyers ne dobara control le liya aur strong buying pressure laga kar price ko bullish direction mein upar push kar diya. Bollinger bands indicator ko use karte hue daily timeframe par dekha jaye to price seller ke control mein tha jo price ko Lower Bollinger bands area mein le gaye the. Magar, kal ki trading mein buyers ke successful takeover se price dobara upar aayi Lower Bollinger area se strong bullish candle ke saath. Is se yeh lagta hai ke aaj ki trading mein UsdJpy market pair ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai jo ke price ko current Lower Bollinger bands area se door le jaayenge aur next target Middle Bollinger bands area hoga. Friday ko Asian market session mein trading ab bhi buyers dominate kar rahe hain jo apni bullish momentum ko maintain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur price ko upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Unka nearest target seller ke resistance area 154.70-154.72 ko test karna hai jo agar successfully penetrate ho gaya to price aur bhi strong aur upar ja sakti hai next target seller ke supply resistance area 155.68-155.70 ki taraf. Nateejay: Sell entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab seller successfully nearest buyer support area 153.32-153.30 ko penetrate kar le aur TP target area 152.32-152.30 ho. Buy entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab buyer successfully nearest seller resistance area 154.70-154.72 ko penetrate kar le aur TP target area 155.68-155.70 ho.

USD/JPY pair ne pichle Jumme ko positive trade kiya tha, aur 161.40-161.73 ke important level ko test kiya, lekin is level se niche hi raha. Stochastic indicator overbought areas mein hai, jabke SMA 50 ab bhi pair par negative pressure daal raha hai. Hum yeh samajhte hain ke aanewale sessions mein rebound aur bearish trend ki waapsi ke chances hain. Apne agle target 161.60 ko hasil karne ke liye, price ko 162.00 level ko todna hoga. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke price 161.48 aur 161.68 ke niche rahe taake expected decline ho sake.
Pichle Jumme ke positive trade ne traders ko yeh umeed di ke USD/JPY pair apna resistance level torne ki koshish karega. Magar, stochastic indicator ka overbought areas mein hona yeh dikhata hai ke buying pressure kafi barh gaya hai aur ab selling pressure barh sakta hai. SMA 50 ka negative pressure bhi pair ko niche push karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Hum yeh mante hain ke ab bhi rebound ke chances hain. Agar price resistance level ko todne mein nakam hoti hai aur girti hai, toh yeh clear signal hoga ke bearish trend waapas aa raha hai. Trend ko confirm karne aur apne agle target 161.60 ko hasil karne ke liye, price ko 162.00 level ko todna hoga. Magar, agar price 161.48 aur 161.68 ke niche nahi rahti, toh expected decline mushkil ho sakta hai. In levels ke niche rehna bearish trend ko support karne ke liye zaroori hai. Traders ko in critical levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni trading strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye

Technical analysis se bhi yeh zahir hota hai ke current market conditions aur indicators kafi volatile hain. Stochastic indicator ka overbought territory mein hona aur SMA 50 ka negative pressure dono yeh dikhate hain ke selling pressure barh sakta hai. Is liye, agar price 162.00 level ko todti hai, toh yeh strong signal hoga ke bearish trend waapas aa raha hai. Agar price girti hai aur 161.48 aur 161.68 ke niche rehti hai, toh expected decline jari reh sakta hai, aur hamare agle target 161.60 ko hasil karne ke chances barh sakte hain. Yeh levels bohat critical hain, aur traders ko apni positions accordingly manage karni chahiye

USD/JPY ka exchange rate 161.91 par pohanch gaya hai, jo 1986 ke baad se apna sabse strong level hai. Yeh rapid increase market participants mein concerns raise kar raha hai, jo Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke currency market mein intervention ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aisi intervention yen ko strengthen kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair ke bullish trend ko rokh sakti hai. Pressure ko aur barhane wala factor yeh hai ke Japanese government bonds ki yields 13 saal ke high par pohanch gayi hain, jo 10-year maturities ke liye 1.11% hain. Yeh increase in yields yeh reflect karta hai ke BOJ ki monetary policy mein shift ki expectations hain. Yen ki weakness ke darmiyan, traders rising import costs aur inflationary pressures face kar rahe hain. Iss issue ko address karne ke liye, Japanese Finance Ministry reportedly consider kar rahi hai ek nayi type ki variable-rate bond launch karne ka, according to Reuters. Yeh strategy investors ko rising bond yields ke risks se protect karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai, especially potential interest rate hikes ke pehle.
Yeh strategy closely monitoring price action aur market conditions ke changes pe promptly respond karne par rely karti hai. Successful execution ka key hai 161.48 ko strong resistance aur 161.11 ko strong support identify karna. Timing crucial hai; positioning aur exiting in levels par profits enhance aur losses minimize karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Traders ko broader market context aur fundamental factors jo USD/JPY movements ko impact kar sakte hain, aware rehna chahiye. Economic data releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical events pair ke price action ko influence kar sakte hain.

Given yeh factors, strategy adjustments essential hain. Aaj ka plan yeh hai ke USD/JPY ko sell karna jab yeh 161.48 level ko test kare, initial target 161.11 set karna hai. Iss target ko reach karne par, traders ko short positions close karni chahiye aur long positions open karni chahiye to capitalize on a potential 20-25 pip upward movement. Yeh approach careful monitoring of key levels, swift execution, aur broader market influences ke awareness par based hai. Iss

USD/JPY currency pair ne moderate decline experience kiya hai. Ek point par, pair significant drop hua tha lekin phir quickly current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aaya. Yeh recovery indicate karti hai ke market abhi tak new trend establish karne ke liye tayar nahi hai Ek possible reason recent movements ka yeh ho sakta hai ke investors US market opening se pehle profits lock kar rahe hain. Profit-taking aam hai traders ke beech jo European session ke dauran banaye gaye gains ko secure karna chahte hain pehle ke US markets open ho, jo volatility face kar sakte hain. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar





various factors se influence hota hai jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. For instance, US economic indicators mein changes, jaise ke employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke decisions, heavily impact kar sakte hain pair ko. Isi tarah, Japan ke economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi crucial role play karte
Thursday (6/28/24) ko, USD/JPY ne record high reach kiya, indicating a rapid increase, jo ke potential opportunity for profit-taking suggest kar sakta hai. Ab bhi chance hai ke decline ho US session ke lead up mein. Furthermore, ek breakout above the moving averages aur bullish channel indicate karte hain bearish pressure in the analysis
Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15-minute chart par described, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price se above hai, suggesting ke bullish trend for USD/JPY pair continue kar sakta hai, potentially higher zone mein move karte hue. Trend pattern for this week uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke saath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, chance hai ke yeh increase next week tak continue kar sakta hai, aur prices expected hain uptrend maintain karne ke. Morning candlestick closed above the 100-period simple moving average, suggesting ke market trend rise ho sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain
Currently, USD/JPY trend line ke above trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki strength show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support

sellers ka control tha jo price ko bearish direction mein neeche le gaye the morning session mein. Magar, yeh price 152.18-152.20 ke buyer support area ke neeche nahi jaa saki jo ke buyers ne mazbooti se maintain rakha. Phir buyers ne dobara control le liya aur strong buying pressure laga kar price ko bullish direction mein upar push kar diya. Bollinger bands indicator ko use karte hue daily timeframe par dekha jaye to price seller ke control mein tha jo price ko Lower Bollinger bands area mein le gaye the. Magar, kal ki trading mein buyers ke successful




takeover se price dobara upar aayi Lower Bollinger area se strong bullish candle ke saath. Is se yeh lagta hai ke aaj ki trading mein UsdJpy market pair ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai jo ke price ko current Lower Bollinger bands area se door le jaayenge aur next target Middle Bollinger bands area hoga. Friday ko Asian market session mein trading ab bhi buyers dominate kar rahe hain jo apni bullish momentum ko maintain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur price ko upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Unka nearest target seller ke resistance area 154.70-154.72 ko test karna hai jo agar successfully penetrate ho gaya to price aur bhi strong aur upar ja sakti hai next target seller ke supply resistance area 155.68-155.70 ki taraf. Nateejay: Sell entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab seller successfully nearest buyer support area 153.32-153.30 ko penetrate kar le aur TP target area 152.32-152.30 ho. Buy entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab buyer successfully nearest seller resistance area 154.70-154.72 ko penetrate kar le aur TP target area 155.68-

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, dollar/yen ke jode ne 154.92 ki muzahmati satah ko todne ki koshish ki, lekin nakam raha. Bulls ke pas itni taqat nahin thi aur bears hawi ho gaye. Natije ke taur par, joda 153.38 ki support satah par fisal gaya. Aaj, dollar/yen ka joda 152.16 ki satah par pahunch gaya aur yahan tak keh ise paar bhi kar gaya, lekin is nishan se niche fix hone me nakam raha. Japan se aaj ki khabron ke jari hone ke bad, market ne qimat me mile jule utar-chadhaw ka tajurbah kiya, jisme jodi ne 153.38 ki muzahmati satah ko tod diya. Japanese yen aur Americi dollar donon ke hawale se abhi aham khabrein aana baqi hain, lehaza aaj market me utar-chadhaw kafi zyada hone ka imkan hai. Lehaza, koi bhi ghair zaruri khatrah mol na lena behtar hai. Yaumiyah chart se pata chalta hai keh yah rujhan jari hai. Sirf waqt ki batayega keh yah kitni gahrai tak jayega. Is dauran, ham sirf suratehal par nazar rakh sakte hain.

جولائی 31 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

آج، بینک آف جاپان اپنے مانیٹری پالیسی پلان کا اعلان کرے گا۔ مارکیٹ کے شرکاء کے لیے یہ ایک مشکل دن ہے، کیونکہ مرکزی بینک مختلف سخت اقدامات کو نافذ کر سکتا ہے۔ سب سے زیادہ مؤثر منصوبہ بیلنس شیٹ میں کمی کے ساتھ مل کر شرح میں اضافہ ہوگا، خاص طور پر بیلنس شیٹ پر خریدے گئے بانڈز کے حجم کو کم کرنا۔ اگرچہ اس کا کوئی امکان نہیں ہے، متبادلات میں ڈویش یا ہاکیش بیان بازی کے ساتھ شرح میں اضافہ، مختلف اضافی اشاروں کے ساتھ بیلنس شیٹ میں کمی، یا یہاں تک کہ صرف ایک عیارانہ زبانی مداخلت شامل ہے۔ ہم اس خیال کی طرف جھکاؤ رکھتے ہیں کہ بینک اف جاپان ممکنہ طور پر شرح میں تبدیلی کیے بغیر سرکاری بانڈ کی خریداری میں کمی کا اعلان کرے گا، جیسا کہ مرکزی بینک پہلے ہی اشارہ کر چکا ہے۔ تاہم، یہ یقینی بنانے کے لیے کافی ہونا چاہیے کہ ین کمزور نہ ہو اور مرکزی بینک کی مداخلت کی کوششوں کی نفی کرے۔



١٥١.٩٥ پر، 25 جولائی کی کم ترین سطح پر، ہفتہ وار ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن سے تعاون حاصل ہے۔



اس لائن کے نیچے وقفہ پہلے 150.83-151.23 کی رینج کی طرف اور پھر 148.82 تک - 30 اکتوبر 2023 کی کم ترین سطح کی طرف جوڑے کے زوال کو تیز کر دے گا۔ اس سطح سے اصلاح ممکن ہے، کیونکہ مارلن آسکیلیٹر اوور سیلڈ زون میں ہوگا۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اور 153.60 کے ہدف کی سطح سے نیچے آ گئی ہے۔ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی زون میں ہے۔ ہمیں مزید پیش رفت کا انتظار ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Hamara mukalma USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis hai. Lagta hai ke rate active movement phase mein daakhil hone wala hai, aur hum agle kuch dinon mein isse dekhenge, kyunki USD/JPY ka yahi tareeqa hai.

Bank of Japan ne apna interest rate 0.10% se badhakar 0.25% kar diya hai. Ye unki monetary policy ko tight karne ka ek sanjeeda qadam hai, jo Japanese yen ko strong karega. Humne dekha ke market ne pehli reaction mein price ko 152.00 level ke neeche gira diya hai.

Agar bulls market ko support karte hain, to price 154.50 tak pohonch sakti hai. Agar buyers mein itni taqat nahi hoti ke rise ko continue kar sakein, to market 151.89 tak correct ho sakta hai. Aur agar reversal jaldi hota hai, to yeh 153.82 se shuru ho sakta hai.

Correction ke baad, yen dheere dheere strong hona shuru karega, kyunki ab US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke interest rates mein farq kam ho gaya hai. Yeh farq September mein aur bhi kam ho sakta hai agar US Federal Reserve apna interest rate kam karta hai. Yeh situation Japanese yen ko aur bhi mazboot karegi.

Support Level:151.89
Resistance Level: 154.50
Potential Reversal Level: 153.82

Yeh level dekhne layak hain kyunki market in points pe significant movements dikha sakta hai.Currency pair USD/JPY ne H4 chart par bearish impulse structure bana liya hai, jo peechla low 151.95 update kar raha hai. Abhi tak yeh clear nahi hai ke kya mentioned impulse ka final 5th wave apni development complete kar chuka hai. MACD indicator histogram ke sath bullish divergence aur RSI indicator ke mutabiq oversold condition bhi nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh conditions ek corrective wave ke development ke liye set hain jo bearish impulse ko relate karti hai.

Magar, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke agar pair ne weekly support level 151.95 ko break kar diya to isse further decline ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair ne descending channel ke upper boundary ko breakout kiya to yeh USD/JPY ke liye ek corrective wave development ko indicate karega.

USD/JPY Trading Overview aur Tips

Jab USD/JPY ka daam 154.72 par test hua, tab MACD indicator ne zero mark se neeche ki taraf jana shuru kiya, jo dollar bechne ka entry point confirm karta hai. Iske natije mein USD/JPY ne 40 pips ki girawat dekhi. 154.38 se ulatne par kharidari karne ka mauka, jo ke scenario No. 2 ke mutabiq tha, ne kiya karib 25 pips ka faida diya. Aaj, Japanese yen ne dobara tezi se tarakki ki, dollar ke muqable mein 250 pips se zyada ka izafa kiya. Ye tab hua jab Bank of Japan ne byredo ko barhane ka faisla kiya. Halankeh ye faisla pehle se hi tasavvur tha, lekin dollar ne girawat dekhi, jis ka faida kharidaron ne uthaya kyunki aakhri faisla Federal Reserve ka hoga aur unke rate ke faisle ki tafseel hum aaj raat dekhne wale hain. Magar, behtar hai ke trend ke sath sath trade karna jaari rakha jaye aur USD/JPY bechne ke liye munasib entry points talash kiye jayein. Intraday strategy ke liye main scenario No. 1 aur 2 par zyada tawajuh dene ka iraada rakhta hoon.

Buy Signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab daam 153.16 par pahunche, jo ke chart par haree line se darshaya gaya hai, aur meri koshish ye hoga ke ye 153.72 ke level tak barhe, jo ke chart par moti haree line se darshaya gaya hai. 153.72 par, mujhe long positions ka exit karna hoga aur ulat kar short positions kholni hongi, jis se mujhe umeed hai ke 30-35 pips ka in taraf se girawat dekhne ko milega. Aaj is pair ke liye dollar kharidne ke liye daam kaafi aakarshak hain. Kharidari karne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur abhi is se chadhne ki shuruat kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan bhi bana raha hoon agar daam 152.62 par do consecutive tests kare aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye is pair ke neeche ki potential ko limit karega aur market ko upar ki taraf palatne mein madad karega. Umeed ki ja rahi hai ke ye opposite levels, 153.16 aur 153.72 tak badega.

Sell Signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan sirf tab rakhta hoon jab daam 152.62 ke level par test kare, jo ke chart par red line se darshaya gaya hai, jo is pair ki tezi se girawat ko janam dega. Bechne walon ke liye key target 152.05 rahega, jahan mujhe short positions ka exit karke foran long positions kholni hongi, jis se mujhe umeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka in taraf se girawat mil sakta hai. USD/JPY par dabav kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar daam intraday high ke ird-gedh jamah hone mein nakam raha. Bechne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur girne ki taraf ja raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan bhi rakhta hoon agar daam 153.16 par do consecutive price tests kare jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye is pair ke upar ki potential ko limit karega aur market ko neeche ki taraf palatne mein madad karega. Umeed ki ja rahi hai ke ye opposite levels, 152.62 aur 152.05 tak gir jayega.

Stochastic curve bhi bearish direction dikhata hai, jo bearish trend ko suggest karta hai. Open price aur SMA5 resistance level ke darmiyan ka gap dekhte hue, pehle price is dynamic resistance level ki taraf correct ho sakti hai aur phir apni decline continue kar sakti hai. Yeh scenario sell positions ke liye potential entry points dikhata hai, jahan demand ke anticipated decline ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai.
H4 chart ke evening analysis mein, ek triangle pattern identify kiya gaya tha. Iss pattern ke andar ek break hua, jo temporary price increase le aya aur direction ka ek hint diya. Northern path ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko H4 chart ke upward reversal levels ko break karna hoga, khaaskar 161.55 level ko overcome karna hoga. Yeh level H4 zigzag low se ek trend line aur remaining triangle support se support karta hai.

Agar D1 price zone ka break south direction mein hota hai, toh yeh meri sell decision ko aur strengthen karega. Main agle hafte is par zyada details provide karunga. Mere analysis aur morning horoscope ke mutabiq, mujhe apni deal 160.75 par set karni chahiye, kyunki potential gain meri position se paanch guna zyada hoga. Agar market meri desired goals ki taraf nahi jata, toh main exit karunga aur agle din dubara evaluate karunga. Agla din hamesha uncertain hota hai, aur news events is uncertainty mein crucial role play karte hain. Yeh behtar hai ke hum ehtiyat bartein bajaye ke loss ke sath risk lein

Fed ke Williams ke dovish comments aur Japan ke weak current account data ke baad, USD ne strength dikhai, jis ki wajah se USD/JPY 36 pips higher close hua 161.30 par

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action analysis humari is discussion ka focus point hoga. USD/JPY pair apni pehle ki trend ko resume kar raha hai, jisme iska target 162 yen per US dollar hai. Magar isko 155.509 ke upar solidify hona zaroori hai taake ye 23.5 Fibonacci level par wapas aa sake aur ascending channel mein re-enter kar sake. Abhi buyer ki complete comeback declare karna premature hoga kyunki indicators abhi bhi selling signals show kar rahe hain, halan ke reversal aur corrective movement se exit ke initial signs nazar aa rahe hain. Maine expected kiya tha ke correction zyada deep hogi. USD/JPY ko Fibonacci levels ke through analyze karte hue, main previous day ki daily candle use karta hoon taake intraday market movement ko profit ke liye determine kar sakoon. 100% level 154.351 par hai, aur bottom 0% 153.016 par hai. Ye straightforward approach involve karti hai placing aur forgetting Fibonacci grid. Abhi price 154.745 par hai, jo ke 100% par 154.351 aur 150% par 155.018 ke beech mein hai, jo customer demand ko indicate karti hai.
Main grid trading method ko use karte hue 100% level 154.351, 123.6% 154.666, aur 138.2% 154.861 par pullback ke waqt buy karunga. Main target level 176.4% 155.371 par orders ko close karne ka plan banata hoon, magar agar koi impulse is level ko break karta hai, to main breakdown candle ko close par close kar dunga. USD/JPY trading instrument ki analytical review mein, current market value 154.63 hai. Subah ke waqt, price ko 153.62 par support mila. MACD indicator ab positive zone mein hai. Agar price 154.80 se rise hota hai, to yeh likely hai ke 157.00 tak reach karega. Ye analysis technical indicators aur trading strategies ko incorporate karti hai taake USD/JPY movement ko project kar sake, jo ke traders ke liye ek valuable resource hai

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
Japanese yen ki strength pichle trading week mein bohot tez hui aur new highs tak pahunch gayi. Price ne 156.54 par support find karke upar hold karne ki koshish ki, magar selling pressure ne isay sharply giraya, jo ke 151.80 ko almost touch kar gaya. Iss tarah, expected downside scenario poora realize hua aur target area ko achieve kar liya. Is waqt price chart super-trend red zone mein hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke sellers control mein hain.



Technical analysis ke lihaaz se, aaj hum bearish hain. Hum yeh expect karte hain ke pair ko simple moving average se negative crossover signal milega, aur trading 153.70 ke strong resistance ke neeche stable rahegi. Iss liye, decline ka silsila jari rehne ka imkaan hai aur target 151.25 hai, jo ke expected official level hai. Price action ko in levels ke kareeb monitor karna zaroori hai, kyon ke yeh short term mein important hai. Dusri taraf, agar 153.70 par strong trade ho gaya, toh decline ruk sakta hai aur pair jaldi recover kar ke 155.00 tak pohanch sakta hai.

Is waqt prices recent weekly lows se thoda neeche hain. Large support areas test hui hain aur successfully hold kar chuki hain, jo ke bounce down ka sabab bani, aur downward vector ko relevant banaya. Meanwhile, current corrective bounce ka imkaan hai ke 156.54 ke resistance tak chalay, jo ke ek key resistance zone hai. Iss level ka retest aur subsequent bounce, new downwave ka rasta khol sakti hai jo area 151.80 aur 150.76 ko target karegi.

Agar resistance break ho gaya aur price 158.43 ke reversal level ko torh gaya, toh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milega.

USD/JPY ka technical analysis:

Japanese yen ki taqat pichle trading week mein tez ho gayi aur naye highs tak pohnch gayi. Price ne 156.54 par support milne ke baad is level ke upar rehne ki koshish ki, lekin selling pressure ne ise tezi se girne par majboor kar diya, ek waqt par 151.80 ke qareeb lagbhag pohnch gaya. Is tarah, expected downside scenario puri tarah se realize ho gaya hai, jaise ki target area. Is darmiyan, price chart super-trend red zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers control mein hain.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, aaj hum bearish hain, pair se simple moving average se negative crossover signal milne ki umeed hai, aur 153.70 ke strong resistance ke neeche trading stability par bhi reliance hai. Isliye, girawat ka silsila jaari rehne ke imkaan hai, jiska target 151.25 hai, jo expected official level hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke short term mein in levels ke qareeb price action ko monitor kiya jaye. Dusri taraf, agar 153.70 ke upar koi solid trade hoti hai to girawat ko completely rok sakti hai, aur pair tezi se 155.00 tak recover kar sakta hai. Neeche chart dekhein:

Filhal, prices thodi neeche hain recent weekly lows se. Badi support areas ko test kiya gaya aur successfully hold kiya gaya, jis se ek bounce down hua, jo downward vector ko relevant bana raha hai. Is dauran, current attempt at a corrective bounce ke continue hone ka imkaan hai jab tak resistance par 156.54 par wapas nahi aati, jahan ek key resistance zone hai. Agar is level ka doosra retest aur subsequent bounce hota hai, to yeh naye downwave ke liye raasta khol sakta hai jo 151.80 aur 150.76 ke beech ke area ko target karega.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price reversal level 158.43 ko todti hai, to current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milega.