USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Price Move Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. USD/JPY pair mein kisi significant downturn ka imkaan kam hai. Lekin agar aisa hota hai, to yeh downtrend ka aghaz kar sakta hai, jo 161.24 ke peak se door hote hue move karega. Technically, USD/JPY pair 14-period moving average aur bands ke upper boundary ke upar trade kar raha hai. 2 EMA Color Alerts trend indicator bhi further growth ko support kar raha hai. Agar Bank of Japan foreign exchange demand mein interfere karta hai yen ki value ko raise karne ke liye, to USD/JPY currency pair significant drop experience kar sakta hai, possibly 157.69 ke support level tak pohonch sakta hai. Yeh level mid-June mein dekhi gayi consolidation range ke saath coincide karta hai, lekin aur zyada drop hona unlikely hai.

USD/JPY pair broader time frames mein unstoppable growth dikhata hai, aur kisi trend reversal ka koi sign nahi hai. Price sirf minor pullbacks dikhata hai, jaise ke recent one on the H4 chart, jo optimal prices par long positions ke opportunities provide kar raha hai. Bulls ki strength significantly bears se zyada hai, jo 160.192 level ko test karne mein do attempts ke bawajood fail ho gaye. Pehle bhi kaha gaya tha, mujhe halt ya reversal ke koi signs nahi nazar aa rahe. Current market conditions ke mutabiq, agar USD/JPY currency pair decline karta hai, to shorter time frames mein buy patterns implement karne ke opportunities dekhna prudent hoga. Ek khaas chart jo in patterns ko monitor karne ke liye suitable hai, wo M1 chart hai. Additionally, H4 chart par bullish direction mein upward trend dikhai de raha hai, jo solid buying opportunity indicate karta hai.

To summarize mein, USD/JPY currency pair mein major downturn ka chance kam hai, lekin agar Bank of Japan interfere karta hai, to significant drop ho sakta hai. Broader time frames mein growth strong hai, aur minor pullbacks long positions ke liye opportunities de rahe hain. Shorter time frames mein buy patterns dekhte rahein, aur H4 chart par upward trend ke saath solid buying opportunities ko monitor karte rahein.

USD/JPY Pair Analysis:
Aaj, USD/JPY pair ne wazeh faa'iliyat dikhai, buland maqamat par karobar hua aur band 168.39-168.69 ke aas paas hua. Abhi, pair ne thora sa giravat mehsoos ki hai, aur ab 168.93-168.40 ke darmiyan idhar udhar ghoom raha hai. D1 (daily) chart ka tajziya karte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ki taqwiyat par majood hai.

Mausam Ke Haalat:
USD/JPY pair ne aik jazbat ka izhar kiya hai, jo keh maqami market ke ehsasaat aur ma'ashiyati haalat ko numayan karta hai. Maujooda mausam ke haalaat mein kuch ahem factors shamil hain:

Maeeshati Dabao: Mutasir hone wale taaza maeeshati data United States aur Japan se, USD/JPY pair par asar andaz hotay hain. US Dollar ki taqwiyat ko mazboot kiya gaya hai mazboot rozgar ke data aur barha hua retail sales ke taaza maeeshati indicators se. Mutasir teri per, Japani Yen ko slow economic growth aur Bank of Japan ke interest rate changes ke hawale se dabao ka samna karna parta hai.

Central Bank Policies: Federal Reserve ki maeeshati policy, khaas kar interest rates ke hawale se, aik ahem factor hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke taaza bayanat economy ke performance aur central bank ke inflation ke hawale se tafteesh ki gayi hain. Waqtan-fa-waqtan, Bank of Japan ki maeeshati policy, jo keh relatively dovish hai, pair ke harkat ko bhi mutasir karti hai.

Siyaasi Aur Riasati Maamlaat: Siyaasi aur riasati masail aur uncertainties, jaise ke trade tensions aur international diplomatic developments, market ki faa'iliyat mein izafa karte hain. Ye factors aksar investors ko Japani Yen jaise safe-haven assets ki talaash mein laate hain, jo ke USD ke muqablay mein is ki qeemat par asar andaz hota hai.

Technicay Tajziya:
Technicay nazar se, D1 chart dikhata hai ke USD/JPY 168.470 critical support level ko imtehan kar raha hai. Yeh level D1 moving average line ke saath milta hai, jo ke traders ke liye aik ahem point of interest hai. Moving average aik dynamic support level ka kaam karta hai, jo keh mukhtalif muddat ke dauran average qeemat ko dikhata hai, jaise ke is case mein daily chart ke liye hai.

Support Aur Resistance Levels: 168.470 level ahem hai kyunki is support ke neechay girne se mazeed downside potential ho sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY is level ko qaim nahi rakhta, toh woh agle support levels ki taraf ja sakta hai, jaise ke 168.00 ya is se kam. Dusri taraf, agar support qaim rahe, toh hum ek rebound dekh sakte hain, jahan pair 168.70-169.00 ke qareeb ke pehle maqamat ko imtehan karne ki koshish karega.

Moving Averages: D1 moving average line trend indicator ke tor par kaam karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke ooper rahe, toh yeh bullish trend ka jari rahne ka ishara deta hai. Magar agar moving average ke neeche trade jari rahe, toh yeh ek possible trend reversal ya consolidation phase ki alamat ho sakti hai.

Ikhtitam:
USD/JPY pair ke haalat-e-haal ke karobar mein maeeshati indicators, central bank policies aur siyaasi aur riasati factors ke mushkil muzammat ka aks dikha raha hai. Abhi USD/JPY D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka imtehan aik ahem nukta hai. Traders ko is level ke aas paas pair ki harkat ko nazdeek se nigrani mein leni chahiye, kyun ke yeh future qeemat ki harkaton ke liye ahem malumat faraham kar sakta hai. Tehqiqati aur bunyadi analysis dono ko shaamil karke ehtiyati aur maloomati tareeqe se market dynamics ke saath samajhdari se amal karna, aane wale dinon mein USD/JPY pair ke markazi masail ko hal karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

USD/JPY ko Fibonacci numbers ke zariye dekhte hain. Kal ke trade mein, jo Fibonacci network maine lagaya (jo maine daily high se tie kiya) woh Fibonacci levels 100-161.278 ke barabar tha. Neeche ka Fibonacci level 0-160.264 hai, jo daily low ke sath contact mein hai. Is Fibonacci grid ke arrangement ke basis par, levels aur areas predict kiye ja sakte hain, jo mujhe technical analysis karne mein madad karte hain. Abhi ka current price 160.856 hai, jo 100-161.278 aur 50-160.771 fib ke range mein hai. Isliye, buyers ki power zyada lagti hai. Main soch raha hoon 50-160.771, 61.8-160.891, 76.4-161.039 levels se buy karoon. Main 123.6-161.517 ya 138.2-161.665 levels par position open karoonga. Shayad main kuch orders close karke baaki ko break even par move kar doon. Yeh tab clear hoga jab bears bullish range se nikal jaayenge, jiske neeche bears 50-160.771 aur 100-161.278 areas par doosri taraf pullback par sell karenge. Main janta hoon sales target -23.6-160.025 ya -38.2-159.877 h

USD/JPY currency pair apna upward trend maintain kar raha hai. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke four-hour time frame par price Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke upar trade kar raha hai aur clouds ke upar hai, Chikou-span line price chart ke upar hai, aur ek active 'golden' cross hai. Bollinger Bands upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain, RSI 50 ke upar rise kar raha hai aur Trend Filter Oscillator green show kar raha hai, jo bullish market sentiment dikhata hai. Procurement top priority hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke nearest potential upside target resistance 161.71 par hai. Agar bulls is barrier ko break kar sakte hain, toh hum quotes ko 163.28 level ki taraf badhte hue dekh sakte hain. Buying tab samajh aata hai jab pair key Kijun-sen line ke upar trade karta hai

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USD/JPY jodi ne apn satah 168.49 se aham bahali dekhi, jo ooper barh kar 168.74 ka marhala paar kar gayi. Magar, is ooper ki harkat ko 50-Simple Moving Average (SMA) per muqaddar muzahmat ka samna karna para, jo ke lagbhag 168.80 ke ird gird position mein hai. Agar yeh jodi is muqaddar muzahmat ko todti hai, to yeh mazeed ooper ke marahil ko dekh sakti hai. Mazeed barhtay huay dabao ko dekhte huay, pehla hifazati satah 169.00 per hai.

Agar yeh hifazati satah bhi tor diya jata hai, to agla maqam 169.50 par dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke pehlay se dekhay gaye darja bandi satahon ke ird gird hai. Dusri taraf, agar is jodi ko 50-SMA ke ird gird muzahmat ka samna hota hai, to yeh phir se apne neechey ke satah 168.50 par wapas aa sakti hai.

Agar yeh neechey ke satah bhi tor diya jata hai, to phir yeh phir se apne neechey ke zyada aham satahon ko dekhegi jo ke 168.00 aur us se neechey 167.50 ke ird gird ho sakte hain. Halaat mein koi bhi tabdeeli in key satahon per roshni dalegi. USD/JPY ke hawale se mazeed analysis aur hifazati satah ke hawale se zyada maloomat mil sakti hai.

Aham taur par, USD/JPY ki jodi ko mazeed ooper le jane ke liye zyada mazboot buniyadi asool chahiye honge, jo ke mazeed ooper ke marahil ko torne ke liye zaroori honge. Market mein herakat aur taiz rawani ko dekhte huay, yeh aham hai ke mazeed daur mein kaisi harkat hoti hai, is par tezi se nazar rakhi jaye.

Main USD/JPY trading ke jayeze aur tips ke baray mein bayan kar raha hoon.

157.70 ke price test ke doran MACD indicator zero mark se girne laga tha, jisne dollar ko bechnay ke liye acha entry point tasdeeq kiya tha. Is natijay mein nuqsan darj hua, kyunki USD/JPY active tor par girna shuru nahi hua. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke khutoot par zyada bharosa karna ghalat sabit hua, kyunki unhone kam kuch izhar kiya. Is wajah se sell signal ko poori tarah realize nahi kiya gaya, jo ke sahi tareeqe se open kiya gaya tha aur downward trend ke jariye jari raha. Is natijay mein sab log dollar khareedne bhag gaye aur pair Asian session ke doran mazboot hua. Japanese services activity index par kamzor data ne bhi yen par dabao dala.

Shakhsan, mujhe ummeed hai ke pair ki qeemat barhegi, lekin main market mein dakhil honay ki koshish karon ga jitni kam aur umda qeemat par. Intraday strategy ke liye, main No. 1 aur No. 2 ke mansoobay par zyada tawakkul karoon ga.

Khareedne ke signals:

Mansooba No. 1. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko khareedna chahta hoon jab price 158.88 ke aas paas entry point tak pohanchay jo chart par sabz line se nishan dikhata hai. Is ke baad, main 159.39 tak barhne ka maqsad rakhta hoon jo chart par mote sabz line se nishan dikhata hai. 159.39 ke aas paas, main lambi positions se nikaloon ga aur ulte rukh par short positions kholoon ga, ummeed karte hue ke is level se 30-35 pips ke ulte rukh mein movement ho. Aaj pair ki bullish correction jaari rakhne ke liye aap is par bharosa kar sakte hain. Khareedne se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banain ke MACD indicator zero mark se oopar hai aur is se girne ki shuruwat ho rahi hai.

Mansooba No. 2. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko khareedna chahta hoon agar 158.47 ke do mazboot tests hone par jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Is se pair ke niche girne ki mumkinat ko mehdood kiya ja sake ga aur market ka ulta rukh aane ka sabab ho. Aap 158.88 aur 159.39 ke opposite levels tak barhne ka intezar kar sakte hain.

Bechnay ke signals:

Mansooba No. 1. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko bechna chahta hoon sirf 158.47 ke level par jab MACD indicator chart par laal line se nishan dikhata hai, jo ke price ki tezi se girne ka raasta khole ga. Sellers ke liye muqarrar maqsad 158.02 hoga, jahan se main short positions se nikaloon ga aur foran ulte rukh par long positions kholoon ga, ummeed karte hue ke is level se 20-25 pips ke ulte rukh mein movement ho. Jab bhi bechne se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banain ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur is se barhne ki shuruwat ho rahi hai.

Mansooba No. 2. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko bechna chahta hoon agar 158.88 ke do mazboot tests hone par jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Is se pair ke upar ki mumkinat ko mehdood kiya ja sake ga aur market ka ulta rukh aane ka sabab ho. Aap 157.47 aur 158.02 ke opposite levels tak girne ka intezar kar sakte hain.

Yeh tajziya USD/JPY ke trading ke mawaqif ko samajhne mein madadgar hai.

USD/JPY pair ke trading aur tips ki jaaiza

157.70 ke price test me MACD indicator zero mark se gira tha, jo ke dollar bechnay ka acha entry point saabit hua. Iske natije mein nuqsaan darj hua, kyun ke USD/JPY active tor par girna nahi shuru hua tha. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke bayan par zyada bharosa rakhna ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke unhone kam khabar di. Is wajah se sell signal ko realize karne ki mumkinat nahi hui, jo ke sahi tareeqe se khola gaya tha aur downward trend ke jariye jari raha tha. Is natije mein sab log dollar khareedne chale gaye aur pair Asian session ke dauran mazboot hua. Japanese services activity index ki kamzori bhi yen par dabao dal rahi thi. Shakhsan, mujhe umeed hai ke pair ke upar jaega, lekin mein market mein itna neeche dakhil hone ki koshish karunga aur woh prices jinhe istemal hone ke liye zyada behtar hain.

Intraday strategy ke mutabiq, mein No. 1 aur No. 2 ke implemation par zyada bharosa karunga.

Buy signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko kareedna chahta hoon jab price green line ke chart par 158.88 ke aas paas dakhil ho, jiske liye nishan 159.39 hai jo chart par moti green line ke through plot hua hai. 159.39 ke aas paas, mein long positions ko band karunga aur ulat positions ko kholunga, ummeed hai ke woh level se 30-35 pips ki taraf jaayega. Aaj pair ki bullish correction jaari rakhne ke liye pair ke upar jaane ka intezaar kar sakte hain. Kharidne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur sirf us par se uthna shuru ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko kareedna bhi chahta hoon agar 158.47 ke do mukarrar tests hone par jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Is se pair ke neeche ke potential ko had se zyada hone se roka ja sakta hai aur market ko upturn ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Umeed hai ke growth 158.88 aur 159.39 levels tak ho.

Sell signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko sirf 158.47 ke level ko test karne ke baad bechne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke chart par red line ke through plot hua hai, jo ke price mein tezi se kami ka sabab banega. Sellers ke liye muqarrar mudda 158.02 hoga, jahan mein short positions ko band karunga aur seedha long positions kholunga, ummeed hai ke woh level se 20-25 pips ki taraf jaayega. Kisi bhi waqt USD/JPY par dabao laut sakta hai, khaas tor par agar price intraday high ke aas paas sthir nahi ho paata. Bechne se pehle yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur sirf us par se girna shuru ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko bechna bhi chahta hoon agar 158.88 ke do mukarrar tests hone par jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Is se pair ke upar ke potential ko had se zyada hone se roka ja sakta hai aur market ko downturn ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Umeed hai ke decline 157.47 aur 158.02 levels tak ho.

Yeh strategies aur signals sirf aap ke trading decisions mein madadgar hain. Market conditions aur indicators ki tajziya aur apni risk management ki strategies ko dhyaan mein rakhein jab bhi aap trading karein.

USD/JPY Price Studies
Hamara abhi tawajjo USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke action par hai. Markazi regulator, Bank of Japan, ne kal USD/JPY joray ko buland tar karne se roka. H4 chart par dekha gaya ke qeemat ko oonchi EMA tak pohanchane ki koshishen bayasar thin. Trading din ke ikhtitam tak, qeemat ne pehle din ke minimum se neeche chala gaya, jo khareedaron ko ishara hai ke aggressive intervention se upar ki taraf jari rahegi. Aane wale trading din ke aaghaz ke saath, regulator ke future actions ki seriyat zahir ho jayegi. Lekin, inka tawaqquf ab bhi USD/JPY joray ki qeemat ko kam karne ki taraf hai, mumkin hai ke isay zyada se zyada 151.862 tak le jaya jaye, rozana chart par EMA 120 ke qareeb. Mojudah qeemat ne EMA 55 ko test kiya hai. Yeh USD/JPY joray ke liye nazariya hai.

USD/JPY joray ke liye bari tasawwur mein dekha jaye to, sirf thori dair guzri hai ke khareedaron ne pehli bar profit record kiya tha. Jora naye urooj par thoda sa update hua, 160.267 ke nishan se uchhala hua, jahan naye urooj sirf 160 points pehle ke urooj se ooper tha.

Khareedar ne munafa record kiya, jo shayad yen ki halqi taseer se wabasta hai. Pullbacks ki maujoodgi saabit aur be-inteha izafa ki taraf ishara karti hai. Japani hukumat ko yen ki sakht taseer se faida nahi hota, jis se unhone bazar mein zubani wusool kiya aur khareedaron ko munafa band karne ki taraf mutawajja kiya. Agar izafa hota, to munafa bandi kam hoti. Pullbacks ki kami ke ba-wajood, khareedar munafa bandi ko mutawajja kar rahe hain. Jora nichle janib jaane ka imkan hai, jahan 154.671 par support mil sakta hai. Chaar ghanton ke chart par ek uptrend channel bana hai, jo ishara karta hai ke jora is trend ko apni buniyad tak jari rakhega, jo 156.820 par support hai, aur shayad 155.029 tak aur neeche bhi gir sakta hai. Mumkin hai ke 157.926 support ke qareeb bari khareedari volume thi. Khareedar apni hudood ko set karne ke bawajood, jora phir bhi radd ho gaya.

USD/JPY pair ne apne rozana ke kam se kam 168.49 ke nazdeek se aik qabil-e zikar tanazzuli ke baad, 168.74 ke muqam par aagay barhna shuru kiya. Lekin yeh upar ki taraf rukawat 50-Simple Moving Average (SMA) se mili, jo ke 162.43 ke qareeb mojood hai. Is ke liye ke pair mazeed oopar ki taraf raftar hasil kare, khareedne wale ko is 50-SMA ko mukammal kar ke aur phir 168.00 ke nazdeek trend line ke nichle hadood ko imtehan dena hoga. Is ke ilawa, 168.80 ke muqam ke aas paas bari rukawat ka samna kiya jata hai, jo ke kisi bhi bullish jari rakhne ke liye aik ahem darja rakhta hai.
Halat-e baazi mein USD/JPY ke liye saaf taur par mehdood o zamani ood bazi aur rukawat ke imtehan ke dour ko aam tor par bayan kiya gaya hai. Pair ke rozana daro mein se ubharne ki salahiyat aik waqaiyat farokht ko zahir karta hai, lekin 50-SMA ki mojoodgi jaise rukawat darj karna is ubharne ko rukawaton ka samna kar raha hai.

Pair ka 168.49 se 168.74 tak ka safar aik ahem din par tanazzuli ko darshaata hai. Yeh is baat ko zahir karta hai ke nichle muqamat par khareedari ki dilchaspi hai, jo ke sahara deti hai aur agar ahem rukawat ke muqamat ko paar kiya jaye to mazeed izafa ke liye manzar tayar kiya ja sakta hai. 50-SMA jo 162.43 par hai, aik sakht mani rakhta hai. 50-SMA jaise moving averages aam tor par traders dwara trendon aur mukhalif nuqtaat ke pehchaan ke liye istemal hotay hain. Is level ko pehli koshish mein paar na karne ki wajah se is rukawat ki ahmiyat ko numayan kiya gaya hai, aur agar isay kamyabi se paar kiya jaye to yeh bullish jazbaat ka mazboot saboot hoga.

50-SMA ke sath sath, trend line ke nichle hadood jo 168.00 ke nazdeek hain, khareedari ke liye aglay mushkil ka samna karte hain. Trend lines takneeki tahlil mein ahem hote hain kyun ke woh chalte phirte trendon ke andar sahara aur rukawat ke muqamat darshate hain. Is trend line ko imtehan dena aur isay paar karna aage ki upar ki harkat ke liye aik ahem ishara hoga. Is ke ilawa, 168.80 ke aas paas rukawat ko mazeed ahem samjha jata hai. Yeh muqam aik ahem nuqta hai bullish jari rakhne ke liye, aur is ka kamyab paar aik mustaqil izafa ke liye le jaye ga USD/JPY pair ko.



Yeh 50-SMA aur trend line ke sath taluqat pair ke potanshiyal harkat mein ehmiyat ke baray mein ahem maloomat faraham karte hain. Tasneef ko urdu mein tashkeel dena mere liye aik naya tajruba tha!

**USD/JPY Price Analysis: Selling Pressure Continues**

USD/JPY exchange rate is is hafte ke aghaaz mein 158.00 ke aas-paas tha, aur pichle hafte ke strong selling pressure ke bawajood stable raha. Price ne 161.90 ke resistance level ke baad girawat dekhi, jo yen ka 38 saalon ka lowest price tha, aur girawat 157.37 ke support level tak pohnchi. USD/JPY exchange rate ko is waqt ke price par banaye rakhne ka imkaan hai, aur downward trend ab bhi US inflation data ke release ka intezar kar raha hai.

Yen is waqt 158 yen per dollar ke hisaab se kamzor trade kar raha tha, ek reliable trading company platform ke mutabiq. Traders alert hain kyunki yen ne pichle hafte 2% tak ka faida hasil kiya hai, jo shayad Japanese authorities ke intervention ka nishan hai. Yen pichle hafte US inflation data ke expectations se kam hone aur Bank of Japan ke data ke baad 157.36 yen per dollar tak chala gaya, jo yeh dikhata hai ke government ne Thursday ko 3.57 trillion yen tak kharch kiya hai yen ko boost karne ke liye. Analysts ne chetawani di hai ke Monday ke holiday ke doran Japanese authorities yen ko kamzor liquidity ka faida uthaate hue dobara se khareed sakte hain, jaise ke late April mein hua tha.

Monetary policy ke hawale se, investors Bank of Japan ki meeting ke intezar mein hain jo July ke end mein hone wali hai, jahan central bank ke bond-buying program ko kam karne aur shayad ek aur rate hike ka elan hone ka imkaan hai. External tor par, yen ko stronger dollar se pressure face karna pad raha hai, jo safe-haven asset ke tor par fayda utha raha hai, former US President Donald Trump ke assassination ke baad.

Daily chart ke developments se, USD/JPY pair bearish trajectory par hai aur agar 158.00 ke support level ka breakout hota hai to bears ka control aur majboot ho jayega. Agar yeh hota hai, to downtrend confirm ho jayega aur pair 155.70 aur 153.00 ke support levels tak ja sakta hai. Iske liye Japanese intervention aur US dollar ki continued weakness ki zaroorat hogi, khas kar ke agar is hafte US retail sales expectations se kam aati hai. Dusri taraf, isi doran psychological resistance level 160.00 bulls ke liye sabse aham resistance rahega agar wo trend par control dobara haasil karna chahte hain.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Selling Pressure Continues
USD/JPY tafteesh ka aghaz is trading week mein 158.00 ke aas paas stable hua, aur mazboot farokht dabav ke bawajood mazboot raha jis ke baad se guzishta haftay se. Keemat 161.90 ke resistance level ke baad gir gayi, jo yen ki sab se kam keemat thi 38 saalon mein, aur giravat 157.37 ke support level tak phail gayi. USD/JPY tafteesh ka daam ab mojooda keemat tak pohanchne ka intezar hai, aur nichli raftar US mein inflation data ke jariye abhi tak mukhalif hai.

Yen dollar ke liye mazboot 158 par trade ho raha tha, aik qabil-e-bharosa trading company platform ke mutabiq, jahan traders yen ke intezar mein hain baazigar, jab yen ne pechlay haftay aik qisam ke japani idaray ki tanfidh par 2% barh jate se mila. Yen ne pechlay haftay 157.36 yen per dollar tak barhne ki koshish ki thi jab US inflation data samajh se bahar aaya aur Bank of Japan ke data ne dikhaya ke hakoomat ne jumeraat ko yen barhane ke liye takreeban 3.57 trillion yen kharch kiya tha. Analysts ne tanbih ki ke somwar ki chutti japani authorities ke dobara yen khareedne ko trigger kar sakti hai, jaisa ke late April mein hua tha, jab liquidity kam thi.


Munafa policy ke nazariye se, investors Bank of Japan ki july ke end mein hony wali meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan central bank apni bond-buying program mein kami announce karne ki umeed hai aur mumkin hai ke ek aur rate hike bhi ho. Bahir se, yen mazboot dollar ke dabav mein hai, jo ke safe-haven asaas ke taur par faida utha raha hai, pehlay US President Donald Trump ke qatl ke baad.

Rozana chart ke tajziye se ye lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair bearish raftar par hai aur 158.00 support level ke tootne se is trend par bears ka control mazboot hoga, aur agar ye ho jaye to is dor mein downtrend ki tasdeek hogi aur pair ko 155.70 aur 153.00 ke support levels tak le jayega. Is ke liye foreign exchange market mein Japani hasti ka amal zaroori hoga, sath hi is haftay kam se kam US retail sales ke aane ke baad bhi dollar ki kamzori jari rahegi. Dusri taraf, isi dor mein bulls ke liye manshoorati resistance level 160.00 sab se ahem resistance rahega takay trend par dobara control hasil kar sake.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
Japanese yen ne pichle haftay apna bottom form kiya tha aur ab significant taur par mazid strong ho gaya hai. Price ne previous high area 161.95 ko touch kiya, lekin is level ko nahi chhu paya aur reversal karte hue sharply gir gaya, signal zone ko break karte hue aur level 158.43 se neeche gir gaya. Iss tarah expected sustainable development scenario materialize nahi ho saka. Is dauran, price chart super-trending red zone mai move kar gaya, jo ke selling pressure indicate kar raha hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, hum aaj bullish hain, relying on short-term support above 160.95 level for the pair, aur simple moving average ke pullback ko support ke taur par dekhte hain jo price ko neeche se support de raha hai, saath hi rising technical indicator bhi. Hum ek bullish trend reversal dekh sakte hain with 161.85 as the first target, jise break karna gains ko extend karega aur pair ko 162.20 aur 162.70 ki taraf le jaye ga. Yaad rahe ke agar price 160.95 se neeche jata hai to pair par negative pressure aayega jo 160.40 aur 160.10 ko retest karega before next trend forms. Chart ko dekhein:



Prices is waqt weekly lows ke qareeb sharply gir rahi hain. Key support area pressure ko bardasht nahi kar saka aur break ho gaya, aur ab price lower consolidate ho raha hai, indicating a shift in the preferred vector towards the downside. Price is waqt 158.43 level ka reversal retest kar raha hai, jo ke ab major resistance zone ke adjacent hai. Retest aur subsequent rebound from this level ek new downward wave ka raasta kholayega jo 154.75 aur 153.35 areas ko target karega.

Agar resistance overcome ho jata hai aur price reversal level 160.26 ko break karta hai, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal milega.

Japanese Yen ne haal hi mein US Dollar ke muqable mein achi mazbooti dikhayi hai, jabke aam tor par Treasury yields ke izafay ne Dollar ko support kiya hai. Ye ghair maanqool harkat ziyata tar market ke intezar ko dekhti hai ke Japanese hukoomat Yen ke tej girawat ko rokne ke liye mudakhlat kar sakti hai. Ye surat-e-haal aur bhi pecheeda hai kyunke US se mukhtalif maashiyat indicators mil rahe hain. Jab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka kamzor data Dollar ki taqat ko kamzor karne mein madadgar sabit hua, baad mein aane wale reports, jaise ke Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI), se US maashiyat ke rawayye ke mutaliq Mazeed maloomat milne ki umeed hai. Yeh yaad rehna chahiye ke Japan ne pehle hi July 11th ko Yen ko mazbooti dene ke liye karooron kharch kiye hain. Hukoomati afsarane mazeed iqdamat uthane ke liye bhi taiyyar hain agar zaroorat pesh aaye. Lekin, final faisla monetary policy ka Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke paas hai, jo ke intezar hai ke apni aanewali July meeting mein inflationary pressures ko address karne ke liye interest rates barhaye. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, USD/JPY pair ne apne bullish momentum mein kamzori dikhayi hai, aur ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary se neeche gir gaya hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke kareeb hai, jo ke upward momentum ke kamzor hone ka ishara de raha hai. Immediate support pair ke liye 109.00 level par hai, jo ke psychologically significant hai. Agar yeh mark breach hota hai toh ziyata pronounced downward trend shuru ho sakti hai. Iske baraks, resistance 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb 109.82 par aur lower channel boundary 109.95 par hai. Agar pair channel ke andar trading wapas karta hai toh bullish sentiment ko dobara zinda kar sakta hai, aur pair ko channel ke upper limit ke kareeb 113.20 tak le ja sakta hai. Kul mila ke, USD/JPY exchange rate mukhtalif factors ke complex interplay se mutasir hai jinmein interest rate differentials, hukoomati mudakhlat ke imkanaat, aur economic data releases shamil hain. Traders ko in developments ko qareebi taur par monitor karna chahiye potential market volatility ke liye

Weekly USD/JPY chart par price ne pehle 161.951 par ek important resistance level ko test kiya. Magar, ek strong bearish push ne price ko neeche dhakel diya aur ek full bearish candlestick banaya jo support level 157.671 ke kareeb close hua, is level ko upar se test karne ke baad. Agle hafte mein, main is support area ko qareebi tor par monitor karunga, kyun ke do potential scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla possibility ye hai ke ek reversal pattern banay, jo uptrend ke resumption ka signal de sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, main intezar karunga ke price dobara 161.951 resistance ko visit kare. Agar price is level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to main expect karunga ke northward movement aage barh sakti hai, potentially agla resistance 164.500 ko reach karti hai. Is level par main ek trading setup dekhoonga taake market ke future direction ko determine kar sakein. Aane wale dino mein, humari focus ek door ke northern target p





ar shift ho jati hai, jo ke hamari analysis ne 168,000 mark par pinpoint kiya hai. Magar, hume situation ko closely monitor karna hoga, kyun ke price movement aur news updates hamari strategy par significant asar daal sakti hain. Dusra scenario ye ho sakta hai ke price current support level 157.671 ke neeche settle ho jaye, jo ke ek further southward trend ko lead kar sakta hai. Agar ye scenario unfold hota hai, to hum closely dekhenge ke price support levels 154.524 ya 153.601 tak pahunchti hai ya nahi, is point par hum bullish signals scan karenge, anticipating an upward reversal. Halankeh door ke southern targets ek deeper bearish correction ke saath possibility hain, hum is option ko currently explore nahi kar rahe hain, kyun ke immediate prospects hume nazar nahi aa rahe hain. Summary mein, agle hafte ke liye hume current vantage point se koi particularly compelling opportunities nazar nahi aa rahi hain. Main northern market direction par nazar rakh raha hoon, closest levels of support se optimistic indicators ki talash mein. In key areas ko analyze karke, main potential opportunities for growth aur positive market movements ko near future mein identify karne ki koshish karunga

mutabiq hai. Isi wajah se, main iss waqt market mein dakhal andazi nahi kar raha hoon. Main sirf ek signal ka intezar kar raha hoon agar price iss ascending channel se neechay girta hai. Aise surat mein, bull ko 152.01 ke support level se bullish correction karni chahiye. Sale mein dakhil hone ke liye, main is correction ka dekhna pasand karunga, halaan ke yeh ho bhi sakta hai aur nahi bhi. Agar yeh nahi hoti, to main trading se parheiz karunga aur market ko observe karunga. European session ke dauran USD/JPY currency pair ne moderate decline dekha. Yeh pair tezi se gira lekin phir se current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aa gaya. Investors mumkin hai ke US market opening se pehle kuch profits lock kar rahe hain. 4-hour chart par achi accumulation nazar aa rahi hai. Aur yeh accumulation north ja rahi hai. Abhi tak MACD par koi strong brake nahi aaya aur movement mein ab bhi potential hai. Hum shayad pichle maximum se thoda ooper bhi ja sakte hain aur wapas nahi aa sakte. Iss waqt yeh currency pair forecast karna kaafi mushkil hai kyun ke movement abhi tak planned direction mein nahi ja rahi hai, aur priority ko iss current vector ko dena chahiye. Mera khayal hai ke main resistance level 160.9 hoga, isliye 159.61 mark ko paar karna zaroori hai, 160.29 tak pohonchna, aur tabhi hum upward movement ka end dekhenge. Iss vector mein, aapko jaldi act karna chahiye, kyun ke weekly cycle ke end tak bohat kam waqt bacha hai, aur current trend ko complete karna zaroori hai. Mera khayal hai ke price level jo increase ke liye dakhil hone ka hai woh 158.97 hoga, aur yeh ek optimal moment hoga long position open karne ka. Yeh intense hai agar price action weekly pivot point se bounce kar sakti hai aur apne highest component tak pohonch sakti hai. Iske ilawa, aap purchase bhi kar sakte hain agar price rebound hoti hai bullish price action component ke top tak at the weekly support level of 161.30 jab price lower blue channel line se lower blue channel line tak pohonchti hai. Sale initiate ki ja sakti hai current level par, stop loss level ko is hafte ke highest trading price ke upar adjust kiya ja sakta.

USD/JPY pair mein, kal price ne south ko correction ki, jis ke natijay mein ek bearish candle bani, jo developing accumulation ke andar close hui. Aaj Asian session ke doran, sellers ne confidently price ko south ki taraf push kiya aur peechle din ke range ke neeche break kar diya. Iss case mein, main anticipate karta hoon ke nearest support level se potential bounce ho, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq, 160.209 par located hai. Is support level ke kareeb, do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle banay aur price ka upward movement resume ho. Agar yeh plan play out karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level par return kare, jo ke 161.951 par located hai. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close ho jaye, to main further northward movement anticipate karunga, jo 164.500 ke resistance level tak ho sakti hai. Iss resistance level ke kareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo next trading direction determine karne mein madad karega. Yaqeenan, yeh mumkin hai ke price ko aur bhi upar push kiya jaye towards resistance level at 168.000. Lekin yeh situation par depend karega aur price movement ke doran news flow ke influence par depend karega aur price ka reaction designated higher northern targets par kaisa hota hai. Ek alternative scenario price movement ka, jab support level at 160.209 retest ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke price is level ke neeche close ho aur further corrective southward movements continue kare. Agar yeh plan unfold karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level at 157.671 ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke kareeb, main bullish signals search karunga, anticipating a resumption of the upward price movement. General tor par, aaj ke din mujhe is instrument mein kuch khaas interesting nazar nahi aa raha. Overall, main northern trend ke continuation ki taraf inclined hoon, is liye main nearest support levels se bullish signals ki talash mein hoon.