USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Analysis 23 May 2024

Agar hum USD/JPY market ke mojudah trend conditions ki baat karein, toh yeh wazeh hai ke daily chart reference mein bullish trend ka rujhan dominant hai. Yeh izafa asal mein supply area 156.50 par atka hua hai aur Tuesday ke trading session mein ek bearish candle close hui thi. Magar aisa lagta hai ke ab bhi kuch kharidar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain taake resistance area 156.77 par ek naya high banaya ja sake. Agar is price level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh agle bullish attempt ke target ko resistance level 158.00 tak pohanchne ki tawaqo rakhi ja sakti hai. Jabke sellers ke efforts ke imkaanat hain ke bearish correction phase shuru karne ke liye, yeh tabhi mumkin hai jab decline yesterday ke lowest price area 155.80 ko paar kar jaye.

Technical Reference:
Sell jab tak yeh 156.650 ke neeche hai.
Resistance 1: 156.650
Resistance 2: 156.950
Support 1: 155.900
-Support 2: 155.650

USD/JPY technical analysis ke levels mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui. Kal ke analysis mein jo decline target 155.900 diya gaya tha, woh mukammal hua, magar uske baad USD/JPY rebound kar gaya. Yeh matlab hai ke yeh level trading mein Wednesday (22/5/2024) ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai.

1-hour chart par USD/JPY ka potential hai ke Double Top pattern banaye, jo aam tor par bearish signal ke tor par use hota hai. Pehla peak 156.770 ke range mein dekha gaya jo ke 15 May ko pohcha, jabke doosra peak ka potential 156.540 ke range mein hai jo aaj subah pohcha.

Yeh pattern long-term decline ka mouqa de sakta hai, agar neckline jo ke 153.60 ke range mein hai, usko dekha jaye. Hourly chart par stochastic indicator overbought territory mein dakhil ho raha hai, jo short-term decline ke chances ko barha raha hai.



15-minute chart par stochastic bhi yeh hi dikhata hai, jo short-term decline ke chances ko barha raha hai. Strong resistance 156.650 ke range mein hai, jab tak yeh iske neeche hai, USD/JPY ka potential hai ke wapas girkar 155.900 ko test kare.

USD/JPY Market Forecast

Kal, USD/JPY ki qeemat 156.43 ke qareeb pohanchi, jo sellers ki mazboot koshishon ko zahir karti hai ke woh market par qaboo pa rahe hain. Yeh surat-e-haal dikhata hai ke sellers ne kamyabi se apni value barhayi hai aur recent trading sessions mein control hasil kiya hai. Magar, aaj ka trading mahaul US dollar se mutaliq kuch ahem khabron ki wajah se mutasir hone wala hai, jo market ke rukh ka taayun karega. In mein se kuch ahem economic indicators hain US Flash Services aur Manufacturing PMI rates, aur Unemployment rate. Yeh data points un traders ke liye zaroori hain jo aaj ke market mein munafa hasil karna chahte hain.

Recent dominance ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke market sentiment mein tabdeeli aayegi jo buyers ke haq mein hogi USD/JPY pair mein. Jab economic reports release hongi, yeh buyers ko zaroori momentum faraham karengi ke woh control dobara hasil kar saken. Iska matlab yeh hai ke USD/JPY market sirf stabilize nahi hogi balki rally bhi karegi, aur agle chand ghanton mein 157.45 zone ko cross kar sakti hai. Yeh expected upward movement dikhata hai ke traders ko market environment ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye jo long positions ke haq mein ho sakta hai.

Economic data par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Jab PMI rates aur Unemployment figures release hongi, yeh US economy ki sehat ke baare mein critical insights faraham karengi, jo investor sentiment aur market trends ko mutasir karengi. Agar yeh indicators economic strength ki taraf ishara karein, toh yeh USD ko mazid support faraham kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY par bullish outlook ko mazid taqat dega.



Mukhtasir taur par, jabke ab tak sellers ka control tha, aaj ke market scenarios, jo key US economic data se shape hone wale hain, buyers ke liye moassar sharaait paida kar sakte hain, aur 157.45 resistance zone ko breach karne ke imkaan ko set kar sakte hain. Dekhte hain agle chand ghanton mein kya hota hai.

USD/JPY ki Technical Analysis

Pichle hafte 156.54 ka level hit karne ke baad Japanese yen ne gain karne ki koshish ki, magar phir yeh 153.35 tak gir gaya. Is point se, qeemat 156.54 ki taraf wapas recover kar rahi hai aur yahan support milne ka imkaan hai jo pehle ke nuqsaan ko poora tor par offset kar sakta hai. Abhi tak target area nahi pohancha, aur main scene jaari hai. Is dauran, price chart wapas green supertrend zone mein aa gayi hai, jo buying activity ko zahir karta hai.

Food aur energy prices ka index 0.5% barh gaya hai jo pehle ke 0.2% se zyada hai aur 0.3% ke gain ke expectations se bhi zyada hai. Markets future interest rates ke direction ke signals aur data ke liye bechain hain jo dollar rally ko katalyze kar sakta hai. Pichle April, consumer price index, jo food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, 0.3 percent barh gaya, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha, jabke pichle mahine 0.4 percent barha tha. Index ki annual value 3.6 percent barh gayi jo 3.8 percent se kam hai, magar market expectations ke mutabiq hai.

Prices abhi significant changes ke baghair trade ho rahi hain aur har hafte neutral rehti hain. Critical areas check ho chuke hain aur unki integrity maintain rahi hai, is liye upward direction abhi bhi priority hai. Market ko abhi current price zone mein rehna zaroori hai, jo 154.75 par capped hai, jahan se yeh dobara correct kar sakta hai jabke key support area intact hai. Is level ka dobara testing aur uske baad rebound agle growth wave ko form karne ka moka faraham karegi, jiska target area 158.43 aur 160.26 hai.



Agar support break hota hai aur qeemat pivot level 153.35 se neeche girti hai, toh yeh current position ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

USD/JPY Analysis 23 May 2024

Asian trading session ke doran Wednesday ko USD/JPY pair ne apni teen din ki uptrend ko break kiya. Abhi yeh pair lagbhag 156.48 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo din ke liye 0.10% ka modest increase zahir karta hai. Traders barqiabari se dekh rahe hain ke iski trajectory ko kya cheezein shape kar rahi hain.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Japan ke top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda ne seedha seedha kisi intervention ko confirm nahi kiya magar yeh zaroor bataya ke Ministry of Finance month-end tak relevant data disclose karegi. Dusri taraf, Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance abhi bhi aik bara asar rakhta hai. Barhati hui inflation concerns ke bawajood, Fed ne mazeed rate hikes ka imkaan rad kar diya, jo US Dollar par ongoing pressure ko contribute kar raha hai aur consequently USD/JPY pair ko bhi affect kar raha hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni commitment signal ki hai ke woh acchi financial conditions ko lambay arsay tak maintain rakhna chahta hai. Yeh stance Japanese Yen (JPY) par bullish bets ko rok sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ki trajectory ko influence kar sakta hai. In central bank dynamics ke saath, traders aik aise landscape mein navigate kar rahe hain jo monetary policy decisions aur economic indicators se shaped hai.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko kuch key resistance aur support levels ka samna hai. Pehla resistance 156.80 ke mark par hai, aur mazeed hurdles Tenkan-Sen (157.51) aur Senkou Span A (158.77) par hain. Dusri taraf, bearish sentiment tab ho sakta hai jab sellers 50-day moving average (DMA) ko breach kar lein jo ke 156.17 par hai, jo ke neeche ke lows, jese ke 150.88, ko test karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.



Is pair ka pehla significant level 152.00 par hai, followed by aik confluence of the 50-DMA aur October 2022 ka high 151.90 par. In levels ko breach karna downward movement ko trigger kar sakta hai towards April ka low 150.82. Traders in technical indicators ko fundamental factors ke sath analyze karte huay, USD/JPY pair ko aik active speculation aur strategic positioning ke area mein dekh rahe hain forex market mein.

USD/JPY Price Outlook

USD/JPY currency pair ne recently 156.195 level ko pierce kiya aur aage barhna shuru kar diya, jo ke initially anticipate ki gai situation se zyada complex hai. Iss breakthrough ke baad, agla critical level dekhne wala 156.775 hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke pair is level ko breach na kare, kyunki aisa karne se upward move towards 157.963 ho sakta hai. Ideally, 156.775 level se ek correction shuru hona chahiye taake ek healthier consolidation phase ho sake, uske baad koi aage ki upward movement ho. Agar yeh correction nahi hota aur pair continue karta hai rise karna, to yeh 160 level tak silently ascend kar sakta hai. Aisa scenario Bank of Japan ko verbaly intervene karne pe majboor kar sakta hai taake yen ki excessive strengthening roki ja sake.

Recent movements in the USD/JPY pair yeh suggest karte hain ke market dynamics shift ho rahe hain aur simple narrative of a straightforward decline ab valid nahi hai. 156.195 level ka piercing ek significant technical development hai, jo yeh imply karta hai ke buyers ne control regain kar liya hai, at least short term mein. Yeh setup karta hai next resistance level 156.775 ko as a critical point for traders to monitor. Agar is level pe correction fail hoti hai to iska matlab ho sakta hai ke pair ek stronger rally ke liye poised hai towards the 157.963 level. Aisa move Bank of Japan ke liye concerning hoga, jo historically currency market mein sharp fluctuations ke against vigilant rahe hain.

Bank of Japan's Potential Reaction

Bank of Japan ki potential reaction in movements ko consider karna bhi essential hai. Unki history ko dekhte hue, verbal interventions use karte hain taake excessive volatility curb ho aur yen ki unwanted appreciation ya depreciation prevent ho sake. Yeh reasonable hai expect karna ke agar pair 160 level approach karta hai to woh respond karenge. Verbal interventions unki arsenal ka ek tool hai market expectations ko manage karne aur currency movements ko influence karne ka without direct market operations. Aisi interventions ka maksad hota hai market ko signal dena ke central bank situation ko closely monitor kar raha hai aur zarurat padne pe act karne ke liye prepared hai.



Preferred Scenario

Current scenario mein yeh preferable hai ke USD/JPY pair 156.775 level pe correction undergo kare. Yeh ek more sustainable upward trajectory allow karega, aur sharp aur unchecked rise ka risk reduce karega. Ek correction phase market ko gains consolidate karne aur future movements ke liye stronger base build karne mein enable karega. Yeh process balanced market maintain karne aur excessive volatility prevent karne ke liye essential hai.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

USDJPY ki price movement lagti hai ke resistance 156.59 ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, taake upper rally ko continue kar sake aur higher resistance 157.96 tak pahunch sake. Projected price movements bullish trend conditions mein increase hone ka rujhan rakhte hain. Magar, agar price resistance test karte hue false break experience karti hai, to yeh down correct ho sakti hai. Stochastic indicator parameters overbought zone mein enter ho chuke hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price rally apne saturation point pe pahunch chuki hai. Filhaal, yeh parameter level 90 se upar hai aur sirf crossing ka intezar hai taake saturation point ka confirmation ho sake.

Price ka down correct hone ka mauka shayad sirf 50 EMA aur 200 SMA tak hi ho. Jab tak Japanese Yen ki currency outlook strengthen nahi hoti, downward correction ka support 153.67 tak pohanchna mumkin nahi hai. Aaj Asian ya New York sessions mein koi important economic data releases nahi hain, to shayad price movements 156.59 resistance ke aas paas zyada consolidate karein. Sirf kuch cheezon se hoshiyar rehna chahiye, jaise ke FOMC members aur US finance minister J. Yellen ke statements regarding US economic developments.

Technical Reference:

Buy as long as it is above 155.225
Resistance 1: 156.960
Resistance 2: 157.295
Support 1: 155.225
Support 2: 154.915

USDJPY bullish trend ko continue karta hai aaj raat tak ki US trading session mein. Buyer dominance ab tak defeated nahi hui hai kyunki Moving Average still running price ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke price ab bhi rise karne ka rujhan rakhta hai. MACD histogram jo ke positive area mein firmly maujood hai, yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke increase ka mauka abhi bhi open hai.



One hour chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15 minute chart pe bhi USDJPY buy signal show kar raha hai kyunki price bullish trend line ke upar hai, aur Zigzag indicator upward pattern form kar raha hai increasing peaks aur valleys ke sath. Scenario ke mutabiq, USDJPY ka mauka hai ke woh rise kare aur resistance level 156.960 ko test kare.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

USD/JPY ki price ne 156.52 level ka test us waqt kiya jab MACD indicator ne sharply zero mark se upar move kiya, jo ke dollar ke further rise potential ko affect karta hai, bilkul subah wali situation ki tarah. Isi wajah se, maine buying se parheiz kiya. Dusra sell scenario bhi wait nahi kiya, isliye US session ke dauran entry points se reh gaya. Japan se data ki ghir maujoodgi mein, traders ab aaj ke US data pe focus karenge, jo ke market ko significantly shake kar sakta hai. Is waqt tak, Bank of Japan ka intervene karna unlikely hai, aur bade players jo market ki balance of power ko change kar sakte hain, wo bhi crucial report ka intezar karenge. Sideways channel ke range mein trading hamara main focus hai. Hum US data ka afternoon forecast mein discuss karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada reliance scenario No. 2 pe karunga.

Buy Signals
Scenario No. 1: Mein USD/JPY ko aaj buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price 156.43 ke entry point pe pohanchegi, jo chart pe green line se plot hui hai, growth target 156.94 ke liye jo thicker green line se plot hui hai. 156.94 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karke opposite direction mein short open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction se. USD/JPY ki growth ka aaj ke din ke liye sideways channel ke andar rujhan hai. Buy karne se pehle ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna start kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Mein USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 156.16 ka do bar consecutive test ho jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward reversal dega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 156.43 aur 156.94 tak.

Sell Signals
Scenario No. 1: Mein USD/JPY ko aaj sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 156.16 level ka test ho jo red line se chart pe plot hua hai, jo ke price mein rapid decline lead karega. Key target sellers ke liye 155.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karke immediately opposite direction mein long open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se. USD/JPY pe pressure wapas aa sakta hai agar price aaj ke high ke kareeb settle hone mein fail ho. Sell karne se pehle ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur us se decline start kar raha hai.



Scenario No. 2: Mein USD/JPY ko aaj bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 156.43 price ka do bar consecutive test ho jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko downward reversal dega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 156.16 aur 155.76 tak.

4-Ghantay Ke Trading Chart Mein USD/JPY Pair Ka Tafseeli Jaiza

USD/JPY pair ka H1 trading chart aane wali ghanton mein ek mogheerah giravat ka ishaara deta hai. Is tajziya ki taasir ke mausool, USD/JPY market ki mojooda overbought haalat ko dekhte hue, ghair muntazam nahi hai. Is chhote arse ke bearish signal ke bawajood, main is currency pair par ek bullish nazar rakh raha hoon jab tak ke qeemat 155.25 ka ahem satha par musalat rahe. Ye satha aham hai pair ka agla kadam tay karnay ke liye, aur jab tak qeemat is ke oopar rahegi, main kharidari ke moqay talash karunga.

Ahem Support Aur Resistance Sathay

Agar qeemat 155.25 satha ke neeche gir jati hai, to ye aglay ahem support 155.00 ko izhar kar sakti hai. Ye round number aksar zehni rukawat aur traders ke liye aham satha hota hai. 155.00 ke neeche girna mazeed bearish lihaaz se mutallaq hoga, aglay support sathay 154.60 aur 154.10 ka nishana banega. Ye sathay nazar rakhne ke liye aham hain kyunke ye kharidari ke moqay faraham kar saktay hain agar kisi rebound ya upward correction ka faida uthana ho.

Market Sentiment Aur Trading Strategy

Maujooda dor mein khatray oopar ki taraf mael hain, jo ke kharidari ke moqay talash karne ka behtareen tareeqa hai. Jab tak ke qeemat 155.25 satha ke oopar rahe, overall bullish nazar ka sathay barqarar rahega. Traders ko satha par kisi bhi tezi se giravat ke moqay ka faida uthane ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, aur inhe potential kharidari ke moqay ke tor par dekha jana chahiye.

Market ki dynamics ko qareeb se nigaah mein rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Agar qeemat 155.25 satha ke neeche gir jati hai, to ek ihtiyaat angaiz approach ikhtiyar kiya jana chahiye. Asal baat ye hogi ke 155.00 satha ke aas paas aur agle support sathay 154.60 aur 154.10 pe palat karne ya mojooda levels par ko shuru hone wale signals ka intezar kiya jaye ga. Ye areas long positions mein dakhil hone ke liye moqay faraham kar sakte hain agar bullish signals zahir hote hain.



Ikhtitami Guzarish

Ikhtitami tor par, jabke USD/JPY pair ka H1 trading chart mogheerah shiruati giravat ka ishaara deta hai overbought conditions ki wajah se, to baazood tawajo bullish nazar 155.25 satha ke oopar rahegi. Ye satha bullish bias ko barqarar rakhne ke liye aham hai, aur traders ko is support ke aas paas kharidari ke moqay talash karna chahiye. Agar qeemat 155.25 satha ke neeche gir jati hai, to agle support levels jo nazar rakhe jayein hain 155.00, 154.60, aur 154.10. Hoshmandi aur market ke tabdil hone ka jawab dene ka hosla rakhna qadam sahi ulatne mein madadgar sabit hoga.

currency pair ned hāl hī mei ek potenshul downtrend ke shurū'ātī āsrāt dikhāye hai. Yeh harkat currency pair ke chart kī technical analysis mei wāzeh nazar ātī hai, jahān kai patterns aur signals bearish outlook kī taraf ishāra kartē haiñ. Filḥal, USD/JPY kā price ek aham support level, jo 156.195 hai, ko breach karne kī koshish kar rahā hai. Is critical threshold ke neeche girnā ek aham development hogī, jo mazeed declines ke liye rāstā saaf kar saktī hai. Haaliya trading sessions meiñ, market participants ne dekha ke pair apnī upward momentum ko qā'im rakhne meiñ mushkilāt kā shikār hai, jo weakening bullish strength ko zāhir kartā hai. Price action meiñ consolidation ke āsrāt dekhne ko milte haiñ, jo aksar ek potential reversal se pahle hotī hai. Technical analysts ghore se pair ke behavior ko is critical support level ke aas-pās dekh rahe haiñ, kyunke 156.195 ke neeche ek decisive break downtrend ke shuru hone ko confirm kar sakta hai.Market sentiment aur geopolitical developments bhī USD/JPY pair ke movement ko asar dāl sakte haiñ. Investors ghore se global events ko dekh rahe haiñ, jaise ke trade tensions, economic sanctions, aur political uncertainties, jo currency markets par significant impacts dāl sakti haiñ. In areas meiñ koi bhī negative developments USD/JPY pair par downward pressure ko badha sakti haiñ. Iske ilāwa, traders aur investors central banks, special Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan, ke actions par tawajjo de rahe haiñ. Interest rates meiñ tabdeelī, monetary policy adjustments, aur in institutions kī taraf se forward guidance currency values ke critical drivers haiñ. Federal Reserve kā stance interest rates par utsalilar US dollar kī dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ek chadhte hue channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai. Filhal, mai short positions kholne par gaur nahin kar raha hun. Short positions sirf us surat me relevant hongi jab qimat 155.811 ki support satah se niche gir jayegi. Is surat me, dollar/yen ka joda channel ko chor dega aur niche ki taraf jayega. Is dauran, ooper ka rujhan barqarar hai, jiska matlab hai keh short positions kholna tarjih hai. Qimat 156.79 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badh rahi hai. Is nishan par, channel ki oopri hadd se pullback par short positions kholna ek danishmandana faisla hoga. Mutabadil ke taur par, agar qimat muzahmati satah se ooper toot jati hai to, dollar/yen ka joda faida badhayega strength par gehera asar dalta hai. Fed kī taraf se kisī bhī tarah kī dovishapproach ki

jodi ek shaant din tha, thori si izafa ke saath, sir ke oopar halki si phailti. Aaj bhi sar ko thoda sa neeche dabaya gaya, abhi tak bearish logon ke liye umeedon ka koi zyada sabab nahi hai. Unho ne bhi keemat ko samjha aur sab se oopar hi rahay. Girne ki koshishen foran rok di gayi hain. Lehar ki tarteeb apne order ko oopar ki taraf bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein badh raha hai aur apne signal line ke upar hai. Magar CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche aata ja raha hai, sirf haal hi mein upper zone se neeche se cross kiya hai, yeh girawat yahan se barhne ki imkaan ko barha deti hai. Magar shayad woh ab bhi thoda sa maximum ko update kar sakte hain. Girne ki koshish hui jismein keemat ne pehle ahem support level 153.40 tak lagbhag pohanchi aur jaise hi kaante se kaat gayi, keemat is ilaqe se phir se upar tezi se chali gayi. Main ab bhi ek taalukati girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon jo 151.90 ke ilaqe ke qareeb ho, yeh sirf ek level nahi hai, balki yehan ka aham watershed level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ke liye maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat ne ek mahine tak ise neeche dabaya tha, is se bahar jaane ki himmat nahi hui
Magar ab woh chali gayi aur ab wapas nahi jaana chahti. Magar main ab bhi yeh samajhta hoon ke woh ise ek magnet ki tarah is level tak khenchenge, breakdown ke baad ek ulta test karna zaroori hai, chahe hum naye unchaaiyon tak bhi jaayein jo terminal ke puri tareekh mein kabhi dekhi nahi gayi hoon. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hota, aap kharid nahi sakte; aap bazaar ke top ko pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahan ek qatati inteha hai, taar phail gaya hai aur ek shiddat bhari girawat ho sakti hai. Meri raye mein, yahan par H4 ya kam az kam H1 par ek aaina darjaat ki shakal mein intezar karna chahiye, taake support resistance mein badal jaye aur ek taalukati rollback ko 151.90 ke ilaqe ki taraf nishaan bandh sake. H4 par, jab mojooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gaya hai, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, to aap ko bilkul bhi kharidna nahi chahiye. Aaj ki iqtisadi taqweem

Keemat ka imtehan 155.82 par hua jab MACD indicator sirf zero mark se neeche jaane laga tha, jo dollar ko bechnay ka dakhilah tasdeeq karta hai. Is natije mein, USD/JPY jodi kuch kareeb 15 pips gir gayi, aur yahi tha. Dopehar mein, keemat ka imtehan 155.96 par jab MACD indicator sirf zero mark se upar jaane laga tha, aik kharidari ka signal bana, jo jodi ko 30 pips se zyada ooncha bhej diya. Aaj ki data Japanese corporations ke Producer Price Index par pair ki dynamics par koi khaas asar nahi daali, is liye dollar ko ab bhi umeed hai ke wo oonchay tak pohanch sakta hai. Magar sab kuch aaj ke US data ke baad tabdeel ho sakta hai, is liye traders ko mazeed kharidariyon ko current unchiyon par karte waqt ehtiyaat baratne ka mashwara diya jata hai. Ye wazeh nahi hai ke Federal Reserve chief sab se haliye US mazdoor market ke data ka kaise react karega aur wo maqwiyat aur interest rates ke baare mein kya kahenge. Magar hum dopehar ke tajziya mein is par mazeed tafseelat mein guftagu karenge. Intraday strategy ke tor par, main sceenarios No. 1 aur No. 2 par zyada bharosa karunga.

Kharidari ke signals:
Sceario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko kharidna chahta hoon jab keemat chart par hare rang ki line dwara 156.52 par dakhil ho, umeed hai ke keemat 157.13 tak bharak jaaye gi jo mazeed tike hare rang ki line par banayi gayi hai. 157.13 ke ilaqe mein, main lambay positions se bahar nikal jaunga aur ulte raaste mein chhote positions kholunga, umeed hai ke keemat is darje se 30-35 pips ki taraf giray gi. Aaj USD/JPY ke is umeed par hai ke upward trend jaari rahega. Kharidari se pehle, ye dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark se oopar hai aur sirf ise se upar jaane laga hai.
Scenario No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko kharidna chahta hoon agar MACD indicator oversold area mein hota hai aur do musalsal imtehan 156.28 ke darje par hote hain. Ye jodi ke nichle potential ko mehdood karega aur bazaar ko ulte raaste mein murna hoga. Hum 156.52 aur 157.13 ke opposite levels tak girna umeed karte hain.



Bechnay ke signals:
Sceario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko sirf 156.28 darje ka imtehan karne ke baad bechna chahta hoon jo chart par laal line dwara banaya gaya hai, jo keemat mein tezi se girawat ka sabab banega. Farokht karne walon ke liye asal maqsad 155.89 hai, jahan main chhote positions se bahar nikalunga aur foran ulte raaste mein lambi positions kholunga, umeed hai ke is darje se 20-25 pips ki taraf chalay gi. Agar keemat aaj ke unchiyon ke qareeb tameer nahi hoti to USD/JPY par dabav wapas aa sakta hai. Bechnay se pehle, ye dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur sirf ise se neeche jaane laga hai.
Scenario No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechna chahta hoon agar MACD indicator overbought area mein hota hai aur do musalsal imtehan 156.52 ke darje par hote hain. Ye jodi ke upar ki potential ko mehdood karega aur bazaar ko neeche murna hoga. Hum 156.28 aur 155.89 ke opposite levels tak girne ki umeed karte hain.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Ki Gehri Tanqeed aur Munafa Ke Imkanat Ki Tafseeli Tahlil:
Is haftay ki USD/JPY currency pair ki tahlil mein ek tasalsul darja kardah harkatien zahir hoti hain, jo aghaz mein ek urooj se shuru hoti hai aur phir 156.26 ke horizontal rukawat par aik ahem imtehan hota hai. Darmiyan mein, Budh ko kami ke sath munsif karobari keemat index ke figures ke bais girawat darj ki gayi, jo USD ke liye bearish soorat-e-haal ki alamat hai. Magar, is tarmeem faseel mein, 156.26 rukawat ko torne ki buland imkaniat hain, lekin yeh shayad kuch zyada ho sake kyunke manfi tor par guzarta hua nazar aata hai. Khaas taur par, munafa hasil karne ki adaaten nazar aati hain jab bazar ke shirakatdaron ne apne muqami positions ko tarteeb di hai, jise haal ki tareekhi unchiyon se girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Magar phir bhi, bazar ki dynamics pehle ke chand charoun par farigh ho sakta hai, jo traders ko mutasir jazbat ke darmiyan tezi se istehsal hone wale moamlaat ke samne hoshiyar rehne ki zaroorat hai. Mazeed, ahem currency pairs ka wasee tahlili jaiza euro aur pound ke liye ek bearish nazar rakhne ka soorat-e-haal dikhata hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish sentiment ke mukhafiq hai.


Yen ka H4 chart tafseel se dekha jaye to, 151.85 ke markaz ke ird gird ek dilchasp munafa ka mauqa nazar ata hai. Mojooda surat-e-hal isharaat par deta hai ke mojooda darja se aik mumkin girawat ka imkan hai, jo urooj darja ke daur ko ikhtitam de sakta hai, aham tarmeem faseel ka aghaz karte hue. Ye tarmeem hawa mein izafa hone ke baad aati hai, jisme ke 156.75 darja tak pohanchne ke baad aik mutawaqqi girawat ke imkanat hain. 156.75 darja ke ird gird mustamer faalat ka intezar barqarar rakhna ek muddat tak tajwez ki girawat ki taraf isharaat deti hai. Bazaar sar-e-waqt unchiyon ko nazar andaz kar raha hai, potential farokht ke mouqaat ke liye kashidgi ke liye ahem ahmiyat hai. 156.75 darja se ibratnama farokht ke liye sasta tehqiqi muqablay ka intezar karna agle mukhtalif imkanat ke barhne ke liye wo naqsha jo aage barhne ke imkanat ka acha isharah hai. Umumiat mein, 153.60 ke markaz ke neeche girna farokht ke mansubat par ghor karne ke liye aik ahem isharaat ka ziker kar sakta hai, jo currency exchange ke raftar mein neeche ki simat ka aghaz kar sakta hai.



Mukammal tajziya ke tor par, USD/JPY currency pair ki complicated duniya traders ke liye aik taraqqi pasand manzar hai, jo mutawaqqi harkatien, munafa hasil karne ki adaaten aur tajziyati dakhilah ke points ko shamil karta hai. In harkatlon mein idhar udhar chalne ke liye tajziyati hawa ka tajziya karne ke liye tayyar rehne ka shaoor aur bazar ki dynamics ko samajhne ki zaroorat hoti hai, jo ke tafseeli tor par technical indicators aur bazar ki awami trends ki nazar se hai, traders ko mojooda imkanat ko ikhtiyar karne aur potential khatron ko kam karne ke liye behtareen moqaat hasil karne mein madadgar ban sakta hai.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair ne haal mein kafi tawajjo ka markaz banaya hai, aur iska wajah kuch khaas hai. Do musalsal bullish haftay ki candles aik mukhtasar aamad ke liye umeed afroz manzar faraham karte hain. Magar, bunyadi dynamics ko samajhna ahem hai. Pichle do hafton mein USD/JPY pair ne mustaqbil mein faiel honay ki taraf ishara karte hue musbat hadood mein band kiya hai, haftawar chart par bullish candles banate hue. Ye ye hai keh upar ki taraf soch ka ek mumkin taghir ka ishara hai. Agar kuch wapas chalay gaye to, ye in candles ki muaini daire mein rahega. Is waqt poori tabdili, jo ke faida ko bilkul khatam kar de, kam mumkin nazar aati hai.



Mera tajziya ye dikhata hai ke USD/JPY ka mumkin uthna maloom hota hai ke amriki dollar ki mojooda mazbooti se taalluq rakhta hai. Ye Federal Reserve (Fed) ka chand dinon tak ka dollar ko mustaqbil ke liye taiz karna ke arzoo ke saath milti hai. Aik mazboot dollar aam tor par aik mazboot USD/JPY pair ko numaya karta hai. Agar bullish taiziyat ane wale dino aur hafton mein jari rehti hai, to hum USD/JPY pair mein mustaqil uthan ka intezar kar sakte hain. Dekhne ke liye aham resistance level 157.89 hai. Is level ke ooper nikalne se kuch dino tak ke liye aik numaya uthan ka ishara ho sakta hai. 156.75 tak pohanchne ke baad anay wala girawat ka imkan hai. 156.75 ke aas paas istiqamat girawat ka aham ishara hai. Jab hum tamam waqt ke unchiyon ke nazdeek pohanchte hain, to potential farokht ke mouqaat ko dhoondhna ahem hota hai. Agar hum 156.75 ke darja se wapas miltay hain, to ye mazeed mazbooti ke liye ishara ho sakta hai. Magar agar keemat 153.60 ke neeche gir jaati hai, to farokht ka tajziya karna zaroori ho sakta hai, kyun ke ye currency exchange ki raftar mein girawat ka aghaz kar sakta hai.

Kal USD/JPY pair mein, keemat pehle daily range ke andar chhui lekin 156.786 ke resistance level tak nahi pohanchi, meri tajziati analysis ke mutabiq. Is natije mein, keemat palat gayi, aur ek mumkin uljhan ko darust karti hui ek candle ban gayi jo din ke ikhtitam tak halki bearish rukh dikhata hai. Zahir hai ke kharidari ka josh kamzor hota ja raha hai, lekin filhal, koi dilchasp taraqqi nahi nazar aa rahi. Main maan leta hoon ke jari hai jama karna, jo shayad agle chadhai ke liye raasta dikha sakta hai. Is liye, main 156.786 ke resistance level par nazar rakhunga. Jaisa ke pehle zikar kiya gaya, is resistance level ke qareeb do suratein samne aa sakti hain. Pehli bat, agar keemat is ke oopar jam hoti hai, toh hum ko agle trend ke silsile mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Aise surat mein, main keemat ko 160.209 ke resistance level tak barhne ki umeed rakhta hoon. Is level ko paar karte hue, mazeed umeed hai, shayad 160.500 tak pohanch sake. Is resistance ke qareeb, main agle rukh ka tasdeeqi setup ka intezar karunga. Jab keemat apni izaafi utharti rahegi, main qareebi support levels par bullish signals talash karunga, ummid karte hue ke baraayi trend ke andar oonchi chadhai hogi. Doosri taraf, agar 156.786 ke resistance ko dobara test karte waqt ek reversal candle bana, toh main 153.601 ke support level tak ek neeche ki keemat ki taraf muntazir hoon. Is support ke qareeb, main agle rukh ka tasdeeqi setup ka intezar karunga, oonchi chadhai ki ummid rakhte hue. Meri tajziati analysis ke mutabiq, 151.756 aur 150.809 ke support levels ko nishana banane ki mumkinat bhi hain. Magar agar yeh surat haqiqat ban jaye, toh main in levels ke qareeb bhi bullish signals ka chaukanna nazar rakhunga, oonchi keemat ki taraf ki umeed rakhte hue

Mukhtasir mein, filhal main keemat par mazeed shakhsiyat ka dabao nazar aata hai, qareebi resistance level ki taraf, agle amal bazaar ke shara'it par munhasir hai

Japani yen ne 156.54 tak pohanchne ke baad pichle haftay mein zameen par qadam rakha, phir 153.35 tak gir gaya. Yahan se, keemat 156.54 ke rukh mein phir se barhne lagti hai, shayad kuch support se milay gi jo peechli nuqsanat ko mukammal tor par khatam karay. Nishana ilaqa ab tak puhancha nahi gaya, aur asal manzar jari hai. Is doran, keemat ka chart green supertrend zone mein wapas laut raha hai, jo khareedari ki gatish ko darust kar raha hai

Khurak aur energy ke prices ka index pehle se 0.2% se 0.5% tak barh gaya, 0.3% ke izafi umeedon ko peechay chorh kar. Markets signals ki talash mein hain jo mustaqbil ki rukh ka andaza laga sakay aur data jo dollar ki tezi ko janib dakhil kar sakay. April mein, consumer price index, jo khurak aur energy ke prices ko shamil nahi karta, 0.3 feesad barh gaya, umeedon ke mutabiq, peechlay maheenay ke 0.4 feesad ke mukable. Index ka saalana shumar 3.6 feesad se 3.8 feesad tak barh gaya, market ki umeedon ke mutabiq

Prices ab bhi tafawat ke baghair tajaweez ke sath trade kar rahe hain aur har haftay neutral rahe hain. Ahem ilaqay check kiye gaye hain, aur unka intizam barqarar hai, is liye buland rukh aham hai. Market ab bhi mojooda keemat ilaqa mein rehna zaroori hai, jo 154.75 tak had band hai, jahan dobara tasfiya ho sakti hai key support area barqarar rahay. Is level ka mukarrar imtehan aur uske baad ki tezi, aglay wave ka husool karne ka mauqa faraham karega nishana ilaqa 158.43 aur 160.26 ke sath.

Agar support tor jata hai aur keemat 153.35 ke pivot level ke neeche gir jati hai, to mojooda position ko rad karne ka signal milay ga. Chart neeche dekhen: