Toh, mein ne apni sari shorts band kar di hain aur mujhe kuch zyada se 100 pips milay hain. Yeh zaroor kam nahi hain, lekin agar mein ne 152.0 ilaqa se bechna shuru kiya tha, to is se kaafi musbat nateeja nikla hai. Main un logon ka bhi hamdardi karta hoon jo sirf 152.0 se bech rahe hain aur abhi tak girne ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh log abhi bhi ummeed lagaye baithe hain ke market unke haq mein aayegi. Abhi ke liye, main mukhtalif hedge funds aur managers ki overall feeling ko dekh raha hoon. Mujhe lagta hai ke woh sab yen ko bech rahe hain aur ab bhi apne positions ko hold kar rahe hain.
Shorts band karne ke liye kharji karwaiyon ka koi khaas asar nahi hua. Mujhe lagta hai ke abhi do manazir hain: ya to Bank of Japan ko mojooda levels se yen ko mazeed mazboot karna chahiye, jo ke ab tak unhone nahi kiya hai, ya phir hum phir se oopar chalay jayenge. Pichle levels ko dekhte hue jahan se humein neecha daba diya gaya tha, 160.0 ilaqa, main 158.0 level ko zyada muta'asir samajhta hoon. Main ne wahan kuch orders rakhe hain phir se aur ab mein Japanese se is qeemat ke silsilay ko jari rakhne ka intezar kar raha hoon.
Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan faiz ka farq bohot taqatwar hai, jo ke bina interventions ke pair ke girne ko nahi badal sakta. Yeh farq in do mulkon ki currencies par bara asar dal raha hai. Federal Reserve ke interest rates zyada hone ki wajah se USD ko support mil raha hai, jabke Bank of Japan ke low interest rates yen ko mazboot karne mein rukawat daal rahe hain. Isi liye hum Japanese ke agle qadmon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar Bank of Japan koi strong intervention nahi karta, to yeh currency pair phir se oopar ja sakta hai.
Mein ne hedge funds aur managers ki overall positioning ko dekha hai aur yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bohot se log ab bhi yen ko bech rahe hain. Yeh log umeed kar rahe hain ke Bank of Japan kuch na kuch karega taake yen ko mazboot kiya ja sake. Lekin agar aisa nahi hota, to phir se bullish trend wapas aa sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, meri strategy yeh hai ke mein 158.0 level pe kuch positions hold karun aur dekhun ke market kahan jati hai.
Pichli baar jahan se humein neecha daba diya gaya tha, 160.0 ke aas paas, mujhe lagta hai ke woh ek ahem resistance point hai. Agar market phir se wahan pohchti hai, to bohot se traders apni shorts ko phir se initiate kar sakte hain. Lekin agar Bank of Japan ne kuch nahi kiya, to market phir se oopar ja sakti hai. Isliye, abhi ke liye, mera focus Japanese authorities ke agle qadmon par hai.
In sab baaton ka nateeja yeh hai ke forex market mein successful trading ke liye sirf technical indicators ka ghor nahi, balki macroeconomic factors aur central bank policies ka bhi mutala zaroori hai. Yeh sab cheezen mil kar hi currency pairs ke movements ko define karti hain. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke abhi bhi bohot kuch market mein hone wala hai aur mujhe apni positions ko accordingly adjust karte rehna padega.
Shorts band karne ke liye kharji karwaiyon ka koi khaas asar nahi hua. Mujhe lagta hai ke abhi do manazir hain: ya to Bank of Japan ko mojooda levels se yen ko mazeed mazboot karna chahiye, jo ke ab tak unhone nahi kiya hai, ya phir hum phir se oopar chalay jayenge. Pichle levels ko dekhte hue jahan se humein neecha daba diya gaya tha, 160.0 ilaqa, main 158.0 level ko zyada muta'asir samajhta hoon. Main ne wahan kuch orders rakhe hain phir se aur ab mein Japanese se is qeemat ke silsilay ko jari rakhne ka intezar kar raha hoon.
Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan faiz ka farq bohot taqatwar hai, jo ke bina interventions ke pair ke girne ko nahi badal sakta. Yeh farq in do mulkon ki currencies par bara asar dal raha hai. Federal Reserve ke interest rates zyada hone ki wajah se USD ko support mil raha hai, jabke Bank of Japan ke low interest rates yen ko mazboot karne mein rukawat daal rahe hain. Isi liye hum Japanese ke agle qadmon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar Bank of Japan koi strong intervention nahi karta, to yeh currency pair phir se oopar ja sakta hai.
Mein ne hedge funds aur managers ki overall positioning ko dekha hai aur yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bohot se log ab bhi yen ko bech rahe hain. Yeh log umeed kar rahe hain ke Bank of Japan kuch na kuch karega taake yen ko mazboot kiya ja sake. Lekin agar aisa nahi hota, to phir se bullish trend wapas aa sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, meri strategy yeh hai ke mein 158.0 level pe kuch positions hold karun aur dekhun ke market kahan jati hai.
Pichli baar jahan se humein neecha daba diya gaya tha, 160.0 ke aas paas, mujhe lagta hai ke woh ek ahem resistance point hai. Agar market phir se wahan pohchti hai, to bohot se traders apni shorts ko phir se initiate kar sakte hain. Lekin agar Bank of Japan ne kuch nahi kiya, to market phir se oopar ja sakti hai. Isliye, abhi ke liye, mera focus Japanese authorities ke agle qadmon par hai.
In sab baaton ka nateeja yeh hai ke forex market mein successful trading ke liye sirf technical indicators ka ghor nahi, balki macroeconomic factors aur central bank policies ka bhi mutala zaroori hai. Yeh sab cheezen mil kar hi currency pairs ke movements ko define karti hain. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke abhi bhi bohot kuch market mein hone wala hai aur mujhe apni positions ko accordingly adjust karte rehna padega.
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