USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Ka Momentum Ki Tashkeel

USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ka tehqeeq ka mawad hai, khaas tor par, iski neechay ki raftar ki tafseelat. Naye saal mein, Japan Bank ke Ueda ne ishara kiya ke woh mumkin hai ke woh manfi darjaat ko chhod den, jo ke is regulator ke monetary policy mein ek tehqeeqi tabdeeli ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Analysts ki tehqeeq hai ke yeh tabdeeli saal ke pehle nisf mein hone wali hai aur yeh yen ke trend ko bearish wave mein palat sakta hai. Pichle do mahino mein, USD/JPY pair mein istiwaari giravat nazar aayi hai, jo bearish candles ki barhti hui jismain ke zariye zahir ho rahi hai, jis se neechay ki raftar mein izafa ho raha hai. Haalaanki, halat ki majboori ki wajah se jo ke ab tak khatam hone ki mumkinat nahi hai, 140.00 USD/JPY level ko test karne ki umeed aglay hafte mein hai, jo ke bearish jazbat ke mutabiq hai. Yen ki qeemat mein kamiyon ke bawajood, main dollar-yen pair mein ooper ki raftar ka intezar kar raha hoon. Haalaanki haal hi mein dollar ki giravat hui hai, lekin mujhe lagta nahi hai ke yen ko mazbooti milti hai kyunki Japan Bank ne currency ki taqwiyat ke liye koi action nahi liya hai.



Dushmanana interest rate policy ka khatma sirf saal ke doosre nisf mein mumkin hai, jo ke yen ki mazeed izafa ko taal sakta hai. 142.443 ke support se pair ki bounce, mazeed kharidar ki shirkat ki wazahat karti hai. Jabke baazid bearish candles ne badi tadad mein kharidar ki maujoodgi ko zahir kiya hai, currency pair mojooda darajay se palat sakta hai aur pehle ke highs tak pahunch sakta hai. EMA 13-150 ke saath moving average ne neechay ki raftar ko tasdeeq ki hai, jo ke market mein dakhil hone par bechna ko pasand karta hai. Jis waqt 140.93 par trading ho rahi hai, USD/JPY pair ko moving averages ke qareeb mein kam bulish dabav ka samna hai, jo ke aksar keemat ko taal deta hai. Mustaqil oopri tarz ki trend line ne chaar tasdeeq ki hain, jo ke yeh maidaan hai jahan bailon aur bearon ka takkar hota hai. Is line se neechay ki raftar 140.25 aur 139.13 ki qareebat ko nishana bana sakti hai, jahan ke bariyat darmiyan tafseelat 139.15 aur 140.07 hain. Agar moving averages mojooda darjay se paar ho jaayen, to yeh bearish trend ki kamzori ka nishana bana sakti hai, jis se ooper ke darjay 142.25 aur 142.57 ki taraf raftar badal sakti hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S

USD/JPY

Asalam-o-Alaikum dosto. Umeed hai aap sab khairiyat se honge. Main USD/JPY market ka tajziya karne ki koshish karunga, aur umeed hai ke jo main apni analysis mein share kar raha hoon, woh humari trading ki quality ko behtar karne mein madadgar sabit hoga. Waqt ke mutabiq USD/JPY ki keemat 143.62 hai. Is chart ke mutabiq, relative strength index 67.5211 hai, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke market abhi tak overbought nahi hai aur mazeed ooper ja sakta hai. USD/JPY ke is time frame ke mutabiq hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY ke buyers apni taqat dikharahe hain aur keemat ko ooper ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Iske alawa, MACD indicator bhi musbat nazar aa raha hai, jo ke ek acha mauqa hai buyers ke liye ke woh keemat ko mazeed ooper le jaen. Moving averages bhi bullish signal dikhate hain. USD/JPY sirf 20-day exponential moving average ke ooper trade ho raha hai. Ooper ki taraf, USD/JPY ka fori resistance 143.91 ke qareeb hai. Agla major resistance 144.89 ke aas paas hai jo ke doosra level resistance hai.


Is ke baad, market price mazaid ooper ja sakti hai 145.91 resistance area tak jo ke teesra level resistance hai. Dosri taraf, neechay ki taraf, USD/JPY ka fori support 142.98 ke qareeb hai. Agla major support 141.67 ke aas paas hai jo ke doosra level support hai. Iske baad, market price mazeed neechay ja sakti hai 140.35 support area tak jo ke teesra level support hai. Agar aapke account mein achi capital hai, toh main suggest karta hoon ke aap USD/JPY ko hali keemat se leke 145.91 tak ke resistance par kharidain, lekin agar aapke account mein kam amount hai aur aapke paas patience hai toh lower price se USD/JPY ko khareedain.



Chart mein istemal kiye gaye indicators:



MACD indicator: RSI indicator period 14: 50-day exponential moving average rang Orange: 20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

USDJPY Analysis 04 Jan 2024

Technical Analysis:

Upside Potential:


142.00 ke round figure ke upar jaane se USD/JPY pair ke liye aur tezi ke chances signal kar sakta hai. Lekin daily chart par bearish oscillators ki wajah se, bullish traders ko hoshiyari se kaam lena chahiye. Aane waale tezi ko 142.40 region ke paas fresh selling interest ka samna karna padega, jahan 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ka crucial breakpoint hai, jo abhi 143.00 mark ke nazdeek hai.

Downside Movement:

141.55 zone immediate support ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Is level ke neeche jaane se USD/JPY pair ko 141.00 round figure ki taraf laa sakta hai. Aur bechani ko expose hone se multi-month low, jo ke pichle haftay mein approximately 140.25 region tak gaya tha, aur significant psychological level 140.00 ke nazdeek aa sakta hai. 140.00 ke neeche decisive break bearish traders ke liye fresh trigger ka kaam kar sakta hai, jo ke descent ko 139.35 region ki taraf tezi se ja sakta hai, 139.00 mark tak, phir 138.75 area, aur aakhir mein July 28 ko recorded 138.00 mark tak.


Fundamental Landscape:

Japanese Yen US Dollar ke khilaf second consecutive day defensive position mein hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko 142.00 mark ke aas paas rehne de raha hai, jab Wednesday ko European session unfold ho raha hai. New Year's Day par Japan mein 7.6 magnitude ka powerful earthquake domestic currency ko undermine karne wala key factor hai. Is ke bawajood, 2024 mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policy divergence reversal ki expectations, geopolitical risks, aur China ki economic challenges, safe-haven JPY ke losses ko limit karne mein madad kar rahe hain.

USD / JPY H Chart:



Aj ki forecast ke mutabik trading instrument ke currency pair mein growth ki umeed hai. H1kay time frame ke liye overall trend upward hai. Ek ghante mein hum dekh rahe hain ki currency pair price resistance level 143.998 ke qareeb hai. Aaj main is resistance level ki breakdown aur currency pair ki further growth ki umeed rakhta hun, agle resistance level 144.502 tak. Jab ye resistance level pohanchega, toh currency pair ka rollback ka intezar karoonga. Agar currency pair is 144.502 resistance level ko break karke aur uske upar foothold bana leta hai, toh main currency pair ki further growth ki umeed rakhoonga agle resistance level tak. 143.03-142.73.

USD / JPY H4 Chart:



Or agar hum yahan ye fact add kar dein ki pair ne kal 143.10 se neeche wapas nahi kiya, toh ye matlab hai ki woh humein aur zyada north mein le jaana chahte hain, lekin mere liye 145.0 bahut zyada hai. Lekin foundation ke point of view se thoda high hai, lekin technique ke hisab se clear hai ki couple achhe se north mein jaana chahti hai. 143.10, isko sirf break karne ke saath saath retest bhi kiya hai, hairpin ke saath, aur ab practically ek second hairpin bhi draw kar diya hai. Aam taur par woh north ki taraf udne se pehle aisa karte hain, aur kyunki woh extra ko itni achhe se throw off karte hain, toh woh 145.60 ke liye kaafi kar sakte hain. 144.50 par dhyan do, zaroor wahin thokar kha sakte hain, lekin jab tak hum 143.10 se neeche nahi jaate hain, north mein force rahegi. Bas ek cheez hai, kyunki foundation aise movement ko sach mein confirm nahi karta, toh hum 140.80 ki taraf hi jaayenge.

USD/JPY CHART ANALYSIS:


4-HOUR CHART:


AJ USD/JPY ko one hour ka time frame par ak long uptrend ban raha ha or jo USD/JPY ha ya is ko is time par price ha ya 181.16 par move kar rahi ha or is time par koi signal ni mil raha Traders, is ma USD/JPY ki one hour ke candle ka support ya resistance level ka near ma jana karay ga jo is USD/JPY ki one hour wala time frame ma jo resistance level ha ya higher ke janab 181.57 par ha or jo support level ha 180.58 par ha jo is USD/JPY ki one hour wala time frame ma jo resistance level ha ya higher

or agar is USD/JPY ke price high ke janib focus karti joi jati ha or high ma jo resistance level ha 181.58 ka 8s ko hit karti ha to traders is ma sell ke janab ki trade ko enter karay ga ot lower ma hi is USD/JPY ke price lower ke janab support level ke traf jati ha to os one

Dear Colleagues Yaya USD/JPY ko four hours ka Time frame par analysis kiya jay to is USD/JPY ka four hours ka time frame par jo support level ha ya lower ke traf 180.08 par ha or agar is USD/JPY ki price is ka four hours wala time frame ma lower ke traf support level 180.08 ke janab jati ha Is context mein, keemat apni bearish harkat jaari rakhe gi pehli support ki taraf. Pehli support level, jo ke 140.67 par hai, ko pullback support ke tor kiya gaya hai. Iske aur neechay, dusri support level 138.76 par hai jo swing low support ke tor par mark kiya gaya hai, iski ahmiyat ko mazeed barha deta hai ke yeh ek key support level hai.

Darmiyanay resistance level 143.30 ko pullback resistance ke tor par liya gaya hai, whereas pehla resistance level 144.53 ko swing high resistance ke tor par liya gaya hai. Upar, dusra resistance level 145.32 ko retracement resistance ke tor par mark kiya gaya hai, jo ke 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath milta hai, yeh potential rukawat ki taraf ishara karta hai.
USD-JPY mein koi numaya harkat nahi rahi bichron kuch dino se. Dekhi gayi bullish harkat ki hai, while iske peechay numaya taqat nahi lagti. MA 200, MA 100, aur MA 50 ki madad se main ek jaa'iza hasil kar sakta hoon. Moving averages indicate a bearish trend for the USD-JPY. If you follow the negative trend, you will find plenty of entry points.

Ek cheez ki tarah kaam karta hai aur neechay positioned hai, woh hai MA 50, jo ek dynamic resistance level ki tarah kaam karta hai. Yes, USD-JPY ke liye MA 50 ko kisi bhi correction ke dauran paar karna. Isliye, usko selling entry chance ke tor par istemal karna dilchaspi ka kaam ho sakta hai, agar MA 50 ke against koi rejection moment ho ya phir MA 50 ke neechay koi numaya bearish harkat ho. Bearish goal 141.90 par horizontal support level hoga sab se qareebi. If there is a taqatwar bearish harkat, then perhaps 140.96 tak ka support level will be reached.

Agar koi numaya bullish harkat ho aur MA 50 ke upar break ho, toh yeh ek aur bullish harkat ko trigger kar sakta hai. Yani, ek lambi bullish correction ho sakti hai, jo MA 100 ke neeche ek lower dynamic resistance level tak le ja sakti hai.To is ma traders ko USD/JPY ki price ka downward jana ka signal mila ga or traders is USD/JPY ma sell ke trade ko Entery say Stop Los say Len gy.



6-HOUR CHART:





Is hawalay se hum aik amal plan banayenge jise hum paas se mantay hain? H4 time frame sab se pehli cheez kiya trend line khinchai. Humare paas aik neechay ki taraf trend hai, aur hum us direction mein tabdeeli ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain. Mujhe aapki tawajjo is baat par dilana chahta hoon ke mutabiq 144.25 ke level ke upar price dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo aik uttar ki tarz mein izafa karne ka mauqa deta hai.

Yahan hum tareekh dekhein ge, main price ke palatne ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Main is waqt ke levels se nahi samajhta, aur shayad aik palat ke baad bechna mumkin ho. Price 143.70 tak wapas aaye ga mujhe umeed hai. Aik ahem zone ko spotlight kiya hai in daily time frame par maine 141.69 ke level. Iske neechay sirf candle ki dumian hain, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke "false breakout" pattern ki shakal mein aik binaqaab hone ka mauqa hai ke shakal mein aik binaqaab hone ka mauqa hai. If you have a soch durust, jaldi hi aik taqreeri tabdeeli hone wali hai, is liye mujhe bechnay ki koi wajah nahi lagti.
Price action analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair par nazar daalenge, humari guftagu mein. The pair peechle teen dino se yahan tak trading kar raha hai, with support around 141.90 and resistance at 142.70. Bulls upper border ko test kar rahe hain, pair sidha chal raha hai. Trends and mukhtalif tabdeeliyon ke baad nikalne ki koshish ki taraf dilchaspi hai. Moving averages and technical indicators are used in technical analysis, although kharidar ka faida is not.

According to the daily chart, mujhe aik mazeed bearish trend movement ki umeed hai, lekin bear abhi 141.91 ke qareeb hai. Seedha tajziya mushkil hai, then 200-250 points ka correction ho sakta hai. Yeh manzar un logon ke liye faida mand hai, jo bazaar mein shamil nahi hue hain, kyun ke woh 250 points hasil kar sakte hain pehle overall downward trend shuru hone se pehle. Yeh zaroori hai ke correction ke baad 144.73 ke resistance level ke upar mubarakat se bacha jaye, kyun ke yeh bull ke upward movement ka jari rehne ka ishara hai.

Guzishta trading haftay ki khilaaf saamna kiya, phir se tahaffuz ki alamat dikha raha hai. Aakhir mein, ek'hammer pattern' ke baad, darust kar raha hai ke market consolidation phase mein dakhil ho raha hai. Uptrend line ki ahmiyat jari hai, jo mazeed qadam uthanay ka aham element hai, jo mazeed qadam uthanay ka aham element hai, jo mazeed qadam uthanay ka aham element hai.

If mojudah haftay ka candlestick upper side par toot karta hai, 145 yen tak le ja sakta hai, jo mojuday uptrend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Mojooda masla Fed ki interest rate decreases aur iska asar dollar par kya hoga? Asraat par bhi ghor kiya ja raha hai, yeh Japanese yen ki qeemat girne ko layega. Market in Asraat ke darmiyan ek naram mawazan mein tajawuz kar raha hai.

The dollar's rally is approaching 140 yen. If ahem hadn't giraavat, mazeed tabdeeliyan la sakti hain, and sakht neechay ja sakti hain. Halanke aisa manzoor nahi, ke sath hi dunya bhar ke major currencies ke khilaf bhi kamzor ho sakta hai.
Traders aasri tawun ko tajziya karte hain, ehtiyaat zaruri hai. Ziyada giravat ka maqsood, mushkil hai, nigrani zaroori hai. zaroorat ke waqt bharay rawaiye ka dastoor la sakti hai, jis ka safaat dunya bhar ke currencies ke sath tabdeeli lay sakti hai. Foreign currency market ke jatil tareeqay mein zaroorat ki zaroorat ko dikha raha hai. Dunyawi ma'ashrati variables ke darmiyan mushkil harkat mein zaroorat ki zaroorat ko dikha raha hai.
Taraf ishara karta hai jo ke aik qareebi farokht ki taraf karta hai. Aaj Japan se khaas khabar nahi hai, aur mutadil tajziya ke saath aik maali report jaari karne ki ummeed hai. The support level is 141.90, and the trend is bearish. Mutasir tor par 142.70 khareedne, bullish boundary ki taraf bhi mumkin hai, aur aik breakout 143.20 ke resistance level khareedne ko barha sakta hai. Aik nakaara trading strategy hai yeh din ke liye.

USD/JPY ANALYSIS AT ONE HOUR TIME FRAME :




AOA Ummidi karts hon Ap Sab khariat Say Hon gy AJ USD/JPY ko one hour ka time frame par analysis karay to is USD/JPY ka one hour ka time frame par ak long uptrends ban raha ha or jo USD/JPY ha ya is ko is time par price ha ya 181.16 par move kar rahi ha or is time par koi signal ni mil raha traders is ma USD/JPY ki one hour ke candle ka support ya resistance level ka near ma jana ka wait karay ga jo is USD/JPY ka one hour wala time frame ma jo resistance level ha ya higher ke janab 181.57 par ha or jo support level ha 180.58 par ha or agar is USD/JPY ku price high ke jaanbmoge karti joi jati ha or high ma jo resistance level ha 181.58 ka 8s ko hit karti ha ot lower ma hi is USD/JPY ki one hour ke candle hoyi ha to traders is ma sell ke janab ki trade ko enter karay ga or agar is USD/JPY ke price lower ke janab support level ke traf jati ha to os one hour ke candle is USD/JPY ke support level 180.58 ka level ko jit karti ha to trades is gbp/jpy ma buy ke trade ko enter karay ga jab is USD/JPY ki one hout ke candel support level 180.58 ko hit kar ka high level hy.




ANALYSIS USD/JPY AT FOUR HOURS TIME FRAME :




USD/JPY ko four hours ka time frame par analysis kiya jay to is USD/JPY ka four hours ka time frame par jo support level ha ya lower ke traf 180.08 par ha or jo is USD/JPY ka four hours ka time frame par resistance level ha ya 182.08 par ha or agar is USD/JPY ki price is ka four hours wala time frame ma lower ke traf support level 180.08 ke janab jati ha or jo four hours ke candel ha is gbp/jpy ki ya is support level 180.08 ka level ko hit kar ka high ma close hoti ha to traders is ma buyer's ke janab ki trade ko enter karay ga or is trade ka jo profit target ho ga is ko higher ke traf 100 points par place karay ga or agar is usd/JPY ki price lower jana ka bajai higher ke traf jati ha or USD/JPY ki jo four hours ke candel ha ya high ma jo resistance level ha 182.08 ka is resistance level ko hit kar ka is USD/JPY ki four hours ke candel lower ma hi close ho jati ha to is ma traders ko USD/JPY ki price ka downward jana ka trend hy Aor Entry Len gy.

Taaza tahlil ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair H4 chart par maujood hai aur is waqt 144.789 par neutral trend dikha raha hai. Is forum par dastiyab Instaforex indicator ka istemal karte hue, pehla hissa 51.72% se zyada bechne wale ka dominancy dikhata hai. Dusre hisse mein, indicator ek bullish trend ko darust karti hai. Sawal ye hai ke ye currency pair aaj puray din kis raste par chalega? Japan se koi ahem khabarat ki tawakul nahi hai, jabke tawajju USA se mumkin asarat par mojood hai. Investors tawajju se intezar kar rahe hain ke aise updates aayen jo USD/JPY pair ke trading manzar par asar daal sakti hain.

H1 chart ka tahlil karte hue, USD/JPY 144.789 par hai, jo ke ek stagnated market scenario ko darust karta hai. Instaforex indicator, is platform par mojood ek mustaqil tool, ek tanaza nazariya pesh karti hai. Pehla hissa bechne walon ki fractional hifazatiyat ko 51.72% ke hisaab se dikhata hai. Ye ek nazuk barabari ko market sentiment mein darust karta hai. Lekin, indicator ka dusra hissa ek bullish ragbat dikhata hai, jo momentum mein ek mumkin tabdil ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Is bunyadi rukawat ko decisive tor par paar karna zaroori hai taake bullish trend ki qaimiyyat par itminan ho. Mojudgi jo 143.65 ke aspaas hai, is se market ki shirakat ki nazukiyat ko izhar karta hai, jise darmiyaney muddaton ke kharidariyon mein ihtiyaat se pesh karna chahiye. Yeh zaroori hai ke ab mojooda market manzar mein ehtiyaat se kaam kiya jaye, khas tor par darmiyaney muddaton ke kharidariyon ka tasawwur karte waqt. Jabke USD/JPY pair bullish raste par chalne ki koshish karta hai, 145.02 ke Zone ke par eik waziha breakthrough ki mojudgi, mojooda market dynamics ka aqeede se tehqiqat talab karti hai. Karobarbanon ko hoshyar rehna chahiye, bulls ki qawiyyat ki tasdeek ke liye ek kamiyabi se guzarna aur phir tareekhi ahmiyat ka Zone test karna intezar karna hoga

USD/JPY Technical analysis:

1-hour time frame:


usd/jpy pair price ko analyzed kartay hain to price ab bhi 144.30 pivot point k ooper movements kar rahi hai, chart pay agar ham custom indicator stochastic ki reading ko daikhtay hain to stochastic indicator 80 levels say currently declined ho raha hai, jis say price ki buy ka confirm signal show hota hai. agar current position up ki movements ko continue rakhte hai to chart pay price ka agla target ooper 145.40 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 145.80 resistance levels ko test kar sakte hai.


agar current price h1 chart pay reversed hote hai, aur sath central point line 144.30 k sell main confirmations k sath breakout karte hai to chart pay price k upward movements k chances ban sakte hain, jiska target ooper 143.75 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 143.30 support levels ko test kar sakte hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price central point line k bull main running kar rahi hai, is liye price k zyada tar chances yahi hain k price ka agla target ooper resistance levels ban sakte hain.


4-hour chart:


h4 chart pay usd/jpy pair price ko analyzed kartay hain to price ab bhi 144.30 pivot point k ooper movements kar rahi hai, chart pay agar ham custom indicator stochastic ki reading ko daikhtay hain to stochastic indicator 80 levels say currently declined ho raha hai, jis say price ki buy ka confirm signal show hota hai. agar current position up ki movements ko continue rakhte hai to chart pay price ka agla target ooper 145.40 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 145.80 resistance levels ko test kar sakte hai.


agar current price h4 chart pay reversed hote hai, aur sath central point line 144.30 k sell main confirmations k sath breakout karte hai to chart pay price k upward movements k chances ban sakte hain, jiska target ooper 143.75 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 143.30 support levels ko test kar sakte hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price central point line k bull main running kar rahi hai, is liye price k zyada tar chances yahi hain k price ka agla target ooper resistance levels ban sakte hain.

usdjpy trendingview


H4 Time Frame:


Hum yahan USD/JPY currency pair ke maazi kaarobar ki tahlil par guftagu karenge. USD/JPY jodi ka maqsad 141.90 ke local urooj ke upar taqat hasil karna hai, jo ke shuru mein munsil tijarat ki muntazir hawale se aik din se zyada ka waqt le sakta hai. Ibtida mein mutawaqif tijarat ke liye aik din ya do din ki zarurat hogi. Hum agar zoom karen to H4 trend ab bhi neeche ki taraf hai, jo ke ishara karta hai ke mazeed girawat ke mojoodgi mein bekaar trend ka ijaad mumkin hai. If inmein maazi trading ke doran palat nahi hoti, then mumkin hai ke poori correction ho. Levels 142.0 and 142.60 have aik mukammal barhne ka izhaar ho sakta hai, but abhi ye jodi dabaav ka saamna kar rahi hai.

Main bilkul yeh umid rakhta hoon ke jorri mazeed barhne ja rahi hai, lambay aur darmiyanay dour mein. Pehle, jorri 143.040 ke darajon se oopar jayegi, ya'ni ke jab woh support ke neeche set rectangle ke neeche stops rakhegi. Lekin jaise hi yeh hua, jorri ne pehle ke kharidari limits ko update kiya, jo ke neeche gayi, buyer ne phir se volume badhana shuru kiya. If you assume that phir se woh oopar jayegi, then humne yeh volumetric girawat dekhi, jo ke kuch 600 points thi. Mere khayal mein, yeh ishara tha ke jorri buyer ke stops ko nikal rahi thi, ya buyer bas apne munafa ko lock kar raha tha, Bank of Japan ki policy par vichar kar raha tha. Socha ke phir se izafah hoga, phir se peechle lows ko update kiya gaya aur phir se yeh volumetric girawat thi. Phir se, 300 points ke aas-pass ke liye. Mere khayal mein, yeh ishara tha ke girawat ke baad, izafah ke doran, buyers market mein dakhil hue; phir se unko mita diya gaya

Main izafah 132.88 ke rukawat tak jari rahega samajhta hoon. Main mazeed izafah ki umeed rakhta hoon aur past highs ki tazgi. Tahlil ka zariya ek trend line hoga, jo chunay gaye time frame par mabni hai. To that end, a time frame is required. Is time frame par, latest movement ki taraf ki trend aur aakhir mein izafah ke sath barhne wali zyadah rukawati se kirdar mein laya gaya hai. Trend neeche ki taraf hai, keemat trend se door ho gayi hai, aur sthal ke minimum ko torne ki taraf ja rahi hai. H4 par, akhri movement ki taraf ki trend mein hai aur yeh trend line se upar se simit hai.

USD/JPY bechne ki tajwez deta hoon main apni 30-minute chart ki tahlil par buniyad rakh kar. Lower Bollinger band ki hadood ke mutabiq hai, munafa mansoobat 141.150 hai. Mojooda keemat 141.597 moving average ke neeche hai, shadeed bechne ki dabao tajwez karte hain. If barqarar barhne ke baaes 141.150 ko paar kiya jata hai, then main bechnay ki position karna aur 141.597 midpoint ki taraf islaah ke liye aik khareedne ki position ko muntazir rakhon ga.

If 141.597 ko paar kar jata hai, then main lambi positions mein tabdeel ho jaonga, and 142.044 ke upper Bollinger band mark ki taraf aik khareedari tajwez karonga. Mumtaz ke ird gird ghumne par aik ruler ka istemaal karte hue candles ke baghair tahlil karna, khaas kar 148.0 aur qareeban 151.50 ke aas-paas, maazi mein hawale se waziha movement ko numaya karta hai. Guzra waqt ahmiyat ka hamil hai, haftawarwi barhne ka trend ko mazbooti deta hai.




H4 Time Frame:


Keemat ek ascending channel ke andar hai, guzishta ghantay ka chart dekhtay huay. When a channel ke ooper ki seema tak pohanchi nahi, isliye main umeed karta hoon ke jodi ooper ki taraf jaari rahegi, aur top target hoga ascending channel ke ooper ki seema, jo ke 144.53 ke darja tak hai. Is darje ka izafa ruk sakta hai aur keemat palat kar neeche ja sakti hai. Or jo ke abhi se neeche giregi, jo ke 143.24 ke darje par hai. Aage, keemat is darje se neeche gir sakti hai aur jodi girne ka silsila jaari reh sakti hai.
Dosto adaab! Main sab ko ek shaandar ki dua deta hoon! Aane waale dino mein jaane ke liye predictions ko bhi par kar raha hai jodi ka izafa jaari hai. 151.91 ke high se giravat hui hai, jodi mein volatility mein izafa hua hai. Mein ne GBPUSD ki volatility ko compare kiya hai aur dekha hai ke JPY pair zyada volatile hai, 1.77 guna zyada volatile hai. Isliye yeh giravat ki ek tehqeeqi rukh hai, aur abhi kisi palat ke baare mein baat karna jaldi hai. Iska mujarrab darja abhi 144.95 hai, jo izafa hai. If keemat is darje ko paar kar ke us ooper jaati hai, then hum palat ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, whereas ek tez neeche jaane ka izafa mumkin hai...

Mubarak ko sab ko!
Aaiye ek baar W1 muddat ke chart par nazar daalein, kyunki yahan aane waale dinon ke kaam ki disha saaf hai. Main sujhav deta hoon ke pehle aap is senior muddat ke chart lagayein; wahan kuch dekhne layak hai. Price badhne lagi, voh growth ke favor mein ek important argument kaam kar raha hai - price ne ascending support line tak pohanchi hai, jo 2022 ke shuruwat se nearly neeche se shuru hui hai. Yes, the line is muddat and the inclination is kaafi majboot. Abhi ke prices se growth ke favor mein ek aur argument hai ki CCI indicator ne kaafi der se lower overheating zone mein tha, lekin sabse zaroori baat yeh hai, lekin sabse zaroori baat yeh hai,

If we have a bullish convergence, we have a growth signal. Yeh ek zyada senior muddat par hai aur ek achi ascending line par base karta hai. Price 2022 ke maximum se bahar nahi gayi thi, jabki logic yeh tha ki voh us se bahar jaaye aur tab giray. If it is clear that us level ke bahar jaane ke bina hi gir gayi, iska matlab hai ke phir se us tak jaane ka karan hai aur iske liye technical justifications hain.

Late mei kuch important khabrein hain: 16-15 Moscow time par - non-agricultural sector of the United States mein employed logon ki sankhya mein change. 16-30 par - Initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States ki sankhya. 17-45 par - Business activity index (PMI) for the services sector in the United States. 19:00 par - Crude oil reserves in the United States. Behtar hai ke market se bahar ho aur positions exit karein. Isska matlab hai ke aane waale dinon mein lower periods par kaam karne ki tactic sirf upar jaana hai, aapko khatam hone ka nazar rakhna hoga aur uss waqt kharidna hoga. Main abhi ke liye sabhi bechne ke signals ko ignore hoon.

USD/JPY ki keemat nay kamiyabi se naye range 145.00 ko paar kar liya hai. Yeh ab kharidar ke liye acha perform kar raha hai. Kal, currency market ne US ADP Nonfarm aur Berozgari dar ke data ke ikhtetam par USD/JPY jodi mein numaya izafa dekha. Jodi ne ek urooj ki raftar dikhayi aur ahem darja 144.65 tak pahunch gayi. Market ka jawab investor ke jazbat par ye mabni tha. USD/JPY ki jodi ka rukh arthatan market ka reaction macroeconomic manzarnamay par mabni tha, jo key data releases ke sath mutabiq rahna kitni ahmiyat rakhta hai. Aaj ke trading session mein jab hum safar karte hain, to economic calendar aise pivotal news events se bharpoor hai jo seedha asar dalte hain US dollar par. Dilkash releases mein shamil hain US Average Hourly Earnings, Ivey PMI, Non-Farm Employment figures, aur ISM rate. Is data ke izafay ke sath, tajawuzi taqat se market ke zor say hamla ka samna karna zaroori hai.





Ye indicators US ki maeeshat ki sehat ka andaza karne ke liye ahem benchmarks hain aur USD/JPY jodi ke harkaton par numaya asar dal sakte hain. Ye waqiaat ke milti julti muqablay ka sabab banta hai jo maamoolan market ke volatility ke sath hai. Is mozu mein, ye tawakul hai ke USD/JPY market ko mojooda bullish jazbat se asar hoga. Traders aur investors ko chaukanna rehna chahiye, economic calendar se dastavez hasil karke aur fundamental developments ke sath hamayati tajaweez istemal karte hue market ke zor say asar dalne ke liye. Is tarah, unko ye mauqa milta hai ke USD/JPY jodi ke fluctuations ke saath aane wale opportunities ka fayda uthayein, jab ke currency market ki mojooda volatility ke sath judi khatraat ko kam karte hain. Isi tarah, kharidar naye rukh 145.45 ke qareeb paar karne ke liye ummedwar nazar aate hain

Abhi USDJPY pair waqai mein shandar tawazun dikhata hai aur isay is trading instrument ko paanch so points up aur down karne mein koi mushkil nahi hai, is liye shayad woh bas volume ke lehaz se naye trading positions banarhe hain aur kuch nahi. Agar yeh sach hai toh jo bhi volume ke lehaz se aise market manipulations se trading positions mein shamil hota hai, us ke khilaaf market baad mein jayegi, aur jaise ke bohot log jaante hain, market hamesha zyadatar logon ke khilaaf jati hai aur yeh waqt ki aam haqeeqat hai. Mere is chart par, maine yeh dikhaya hai ke woh hamare liye is pair par aglay kuch steps kaise tay kar sakte hain, aur aise hi price distribution ka assumed scene, iske liye ab tak, aakhir mein kaafi haqeeqati sabit ho sakta hai



Is selected time frame (H4 time-frame) ke is instrument ke chart mein humein wazeh tor par dikh raha hai ke pehle darjah ki regression line (soni dotted line), jo haqeeqi trend ki taraf is waqt ki halaat ko dikhata hai, dakshin ki taraf mud gayi hai, jo ke mainly neeche ki taraf ka movement dikhata hai. Nonlinear regression channel, jaise ke is chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, neeche murjh gaya hai aur ooper se neeche nahi sirf soni uptrend line LP ko guzra, balki linear channel (neela dotted line) ki support line ko bhi. Ab nonlinear regression channel dakshin ki taraf mud gaya hai aur sellers ki taqat ko tasdeeq karta hai

USD vs. JPY Weekly Overview

US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ke Darmiyan:
Mukammal hafte ke dauran US dollar ne Japanese yen ke khilaf mustahkam performance dikhai, mukhtalif 145 yen level ko paar kar diya. Tareekhi tor par, yeh level aik sath support aur resistance zone ki hesiyat ada karta raha hai. Isi liye, Jumma ko resistance se mulaqat hona mamooli nahi hai. Agar yeh candlestick ka upper limit paar kiya jaye, to US dollar ko mazeed bulandiyon par le ja sakta hai, jahan 150 yen level aik mumkin target ban sakta hai. Mutasir tor par, 140 yen level neeche gir jana, yaani candlestick ki lower boundary ko tor dena, ek neeche ki rah ka ishara ho sakta hai, jisay long term mein 130 yen level tak mazeed giravat ka samna karna parey.

Mazi aur Mustaqbil:
Is currency pair ki future direction mein US dollar ki overall performance aur khaas tor par 10 saal ki yield ki harkat ka bohat bara kirdar hai.

Volatility ki Umeed:
Barqarar tarzi se bharay jaane ki umeed hai, jo is market ke liye mamooli hai. Aakhir mein, sab se ahem cheez yield differential hai, jo abhi bhi US dollar ki taraf hai. Lekin, traders Federal Reserve ki mazeed riyayati policy ko apnaane ki mumkin raay ko amal mein laa rahe hain, jo ke interest rate differential ko kam kar sakta hai.

Mukhtalif Faislon ka Nazariya:
Yeh market zarooriyat aur jismani cheezon se mukhtalif hai. US dollar aur Japanese yen ki muqablay mein sirf maali indicators hi nazar nahi aate, balkay jazbaat, saiyasi maqasid, aur alami maashi trends bhi asar andaaz hote hain. Traders aur investors ek manzar se guzar rahe hain jahan mukhtalif variables par amal karne ka tawajjo dena is mushkil se bharpoor mali halat mein maloomat se bharpur faislon par karobar mein hissa lena hai.

USD aur JPY Ka Taluqat: Mukhtalif Asbaab

Maali Data aur Asar:
Sab se haal ki jaanch ke mutabiq, USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen) cash pair maali markers, alami waqiyat, aur qomi bank policies ki khas juz juz mein tajawuz karta hai. GDP ki taraqqi, mahangai ke darr, aur rozgar ke figures jaise maali data market ke nazriye ko shakhsiyat dete hain. Japan aur America ke darmiyan maali performance ki farkiyat investor perceptions par asar andaz hoti hai, jo ke exchange rate par asar andaz hoti hai.

Alami Waqiyat aur Unka Asar:
International events is pair ki unpredictable nature mein izafa karte hain. Saayasi yaqeeni, America aur Japan ke darmiyan trade tensions, aur dosre factors market sentiment ko mutasir karte hain. Japan ki product oriented economy ki bina par global trade relations ke tabdeeliyan yen par bhaari asar andaaz ho sakti hain.

Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki Policies:
Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki policies khaas tor par nazar rakhi jaati hain. Interest rate differentials aur maali policy ke tabdeeliyan USD/JPY pair par gehra asar dal sakti hain. Dono qoumi bankon ke mukhtalif tareeqay exchange rate mein numaya tabdeeliyan paida kar sakte hain.

JPY: Aman ka Currency:
Japanese yen aksar ek safe-haven currency ke tor par paish kiya jata hai, is liye market sentiment is pair ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Investors mushkilat ke waqt JPY mein panah talab karte hain, jo USD ke khilaf mazbooti ke bais ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, risk-on sentiment JPY ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

Short-term Traders ki Raay:
Mamooli muddat ke traders technical analysis ki taraf mutawajjah ho sakte hain, jis mein trendlines, support aur resistance levels, aur dosre technical indicators market ke movements mein madad karte hain.

Alami Maashi Iyadaat aur Asraat:
Dunya bhar ki maali behtar hone ki jari harkat aur alami trade relations ki koi bhi tabdeeliyan USD/JPY pair par asar andaz karti hain. Traders aur investors ko chust rahe kar rakhna chahiye, dono choti aur lambi muddat ke maali indicators aur trends ko madd-e-nazar rakhte hue is currency pair ke dynamic mahaul mein safar karte hue.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S U S D / J P Y

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Sab Doston Ko Aik Acha Din Mubarak Ho!

Umeed hai aap sab theek hongay. Aaj main apni discussion USD/JPY ki keemat ke baray mein jari rakhon ga. Toh chalo shuru karte hain tajzia. Neeche di gayi chart dekhte hue hum asal aur anay wale trading dinon ke liye USD/JPY ki keemat ki muntazir hai. Abhi mojooda doran USD/JPY girawat mein hai aur yeh jodi girna jaari rakhegi. Is chart ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ki raay abhi manfi hai. Dusri taraf, hum dekh sakte hain ke dono indicators, RSI aur MACD, ne bhi neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.3442 par hai jo keemat ke girnay ka ishara karta hai. Waqtan-fa-waqtan moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bhi manfi nazar aa raha hai kyunke signal ya slow line zero line ya midline ke neeche hai. Traders is pair par breakout ki umeedon mein hain. Moving average indicator ne is time frame ke istemal se ek downtrend ko tasdeeq kiya hai. Abhi USD/JPY market mein mazboot bearish raaftar hai aur kharidari sahi trading choice nahi hai.




USD/JPY Ki Support aur Resistance Zones:


USD/JPY ki asli resistance zone 144.94 par hai jabke dosri resistance zone 145.99 par hai. $148.98 ke teesri resistance area ka bhi khaas kirdar ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, asli support zone 143.86 par hai jabke dosri support zone 142.24 par hai. $140.36 ke teesre support area ka bhi nichay ki taraf USD/JPY market ko dhamka sakta hai. Humain confirmation candle ka intezar karna chahiye. Uske baad hum yahan behtareen entry le sakte hain. Is liye main yahan se low point se kharidari ki entry ki soorat mein tajweez dena chahunga.


Chart Mein Istemal Kiye Gaye Indicators:

MACD indicator: RSI indicator period 14: 50-day exponential moving average rang Orange: 20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

USD-JPY Pair Ka Jaiza,

haftay ke aaghaz mein tijarti session ke baad se, usdjpy currency pair ki naqal o harkat taizi ki simt mein bohat aaraam da nazar aati rahi hai aur yeh haalat January ke aaghaz mein shuru honay walay rujhan ka tasalsul hai. is haftay market ke band honay tak, qeematein neechay ki taraf tasheeh ke qabil dikhayi deti hain. yeh sach tha ke sellers ki janib se market band honay ke khilaaf muzahmat thi, jis ki wajah se oopar ka rujhan aik lamhay ke liye durust ho kar 143.83 ki satah tak pahonch gaya, lekin yeh saabit hwa ke buyers ki taraf se diya jane wala preasure se market band honay tak barqarar raha.


agar aap hafta waar taizi ki tehreek ke dhanchay ko dekhen jo market mein kaafi taiz hai, to mujhe shuba hai ke taizi ki simt mein tasalsul barqarar rahay ga, khaas tor par jab qeematein aur bhi neechay girty hain. bilashuba, yeh qeematon ko kam karne ke liye jari rakhnay ke liye selling team ke aetmaad mein izafah kere ga. mein ne relative strenth index indicator par Laim line ke zariye market ke halaat par tawajah dainay ke baad, jahan qeemat 70 ki satah se oopar pahonch gayi thi, yeh strong bearish ki taraf lotney walay rujhan ki tasweer thi. MACD isharay par histogram bar ki position musalsal sifar ki satah se oopar jati hai jis mein aik lambi shakal zahir karti hai ke market taizi ke rujhan mein agay barh rahi hai.


hum ekhtataam hafta ya jummay ke din ki taraf market ke halaat par tawajah dety tu, jahan sellers qeematon mein nisbatan ziyada satah ke utaar charhao ke sath qeemat ko neechay dhakelnay ki koshish kar rahay hain jab ke candles par jo harkat pehlay bani thi is ke muqablay mein, is baat ka imkaan hai ke qeemat kam ho jaye gi. dobarah taizi ke rastay par jane ke qabil ho. mera andaza hai ke market ka rujhan is waqt tak oopar ki taraf barhta rahay ga jab tak qeemat 144.45 ki satah se oopar khailnay mein aaraam da hai aur meri raye mein aglay haftay ke tijarti session mein buy trading transection ka intikhab bohat acha tha. taham kam tijarti khatraat ka istemaal karen taakay aap ka tijarti account margin calls ke khatray se daur rahay.