usd/jpy

USD/JPY (Market Analysis)

Rozana Time Frame Par USD/JPY Ki Jaiza:

Rozana time frame chart par USDJPY ki jaaizayi mein nazar aati hai ke yeh ek nazar andaz bearish trend mein hai, kyunke price roz marra 26 aur 50 EMA lines ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Bara bearish momentum hone ke bawajood, USDJPY ne do mazboot trend lines ko tod diya hai. Pichle Thursday ko USDJPY ne 140.74 ke support level ko chhua, jahan par RSI indicator oversold line tak pohanch gaya tha. Jumma ko koi tezi nahi dikhai di gayi, lekin aaj ke tez tareen price aur bullish candle ki shakal mein aane se lagta hai ke bullish correction shuru ho raha hai. Bechne wale aglay taqatwar support levels, jo ke diye gaye diagram mein dikhaye gaye hain, ke liye faida mand honge.




Haftawaar Time Frame Chart Par:


Haftawaar time frame chart par, tees haftay pehle, USDJPY ne apna trend badal diya tha jab yeh 26 aur 50 EMA lines ko bearish direction mein cross kiya. Pichle hafto mein USDJPY ne top resistance level ko chua hai, jo ke ek mustaqil kami ki taraf le gaya hai. Pichle haftay ki bearish candle, jo downward trend ki alamat hai, uske baad week ki pehli trading day mein prices mein izaafa hua, jisse ke moving average lines tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin overall umeed hai ke price qareebi mustaqbil mein apna bearish trend jaari rakhega. Haftawaar chart par key support levels 137.97, 132.82, aur 127.88 pe pehchane gaye hain.

H1 Timeframe Par:

USDJPY currency pair H1 timeframe par clear hai ke bechnay walay (sellers) khareedar (buyers) se zyada taqatwar hain. Directional movement aur ishare se yeh sabit hota hai. 120th moving average bhi neechay ki taraf hai, kyunki price us se ooper hai. Ek aur neechlay structure ko break kiya gaya hai, jahan low aur high neechay ja rahe hain. Is tarah, rozana, main 141.60 ke position se trading ki gari ka intezar karta hoon. Pehla maqsood 141.20 ke price position tak hai, jabke doosra maqsood 140.80 consider kiya ja sakta hai. Stop loss 141.90 ke position par hai. Aap sirf tab khareed sakte hain jab brace 142.20 ke price position se guzar ke stabilize ho jaye. Khareedne ke liye faida 142.60 ke position par hai, aur stop loss 141.90 ke position par hai.

M15 Timeframe Par:

Brace ki penetration aur connection M15 time frame ke zariye se tajaweez ke sath darust ki jati hai, jo ke H1 se thora pehle trade mein dakhil hone ko dikhata hai. USDJPY brace ko consolidate karne ke liye, fifteen-nanosecond ki mombatti ke opening aur ending ke peeche kaafi hota hai. Behtar hoga ke 141.82 se 142.86 ke range mein khareedna ho. Nuqsan se bachne ke liye hamesha acha hota hai. Aur stock exchange mein nuqsan roz marra ki tarah hota hai. Isliye, humein boojhon ke peechhe nahi tairna chahiye aur apne stops ko 142.91 par rakhna chahiye. 141.57 ke mark par, machine ko rok do! Main pehle hi apne stop ki paanch guna profit kama leta hoon. Achha, securities request mein hawa chal rahi hai. Aur woh mere saamne mere sab plans ko ura deti hai. Shaid, mere plans ko haqeeqat mein asar kuch nahi hota hai. Mujhe raat bhar khuli trade chhod kar chalna pasand nahi hai. Main zyada qareeb hona pasand karunga. Hamari be-tukki duniya aur baar baar badalte hue mizaj mein, request mein dakhil hone se behtar hai. Portman behtar hota.

USD-JPY Pair Ka Jaiza

2024 Ke Pehle Trading Din Par:

2024 ke pehle trading din par, jab Asia session shuru hua, hum dekh sakte hain ke USDJPY ek mazeed significant upward move ki koshish kar raha hai, kya yeh sahi hai? Aaj subah, market itna aasan tha ke USDJPY kam az kam h1 par phir se EMA50 region tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar yeh crucial area tod diya jaye, toh USDJPY ko mazeed upar jane ki taqat mil sakti hai; zarur, yeh mumkin hai. Sab se qareebi maqsad pehle woh resistance zone 142 ke aas paas todne ka hai; agar kisi ne dobara yeh crucial level tod diya, toh USDJPY ko mazeed upar jane ki mumkinat hai.

Trend Ki Soorat-E-Haal:


Jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, jo trend conditions ban rahe hain woh abhi tak kaafi manfi hain, aur price decrease ne sirf pichle hafte hi naye low area ka aghaaz kiya. Be natural, is naye low region ke wajah se price kaam az kam neeche ka rasta talash karne ki mumkinat hai. Lekin, ho sakta hai ke is subah ke Asian trading session mein price pehle upar jaye phir closest resistance level tak correct kare. Agar yeh resistance level tod na jaye, toh price girne ki bari mumkinat hai.

Khareedne Walon Ki Hifazat:

Khareedne walon ko bohot ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye, kyunke lagta hai ke USD jald hi upar nahi jayega. Is se aage mein USDJPY ko khareedari mein taqat dena mushkil ho jayega. Agar bhi mujhe samajh mein aata hai, lekin woh abhi bhi maujood lag raha hai, toh main mazeed sell chance dhoond raha hoon, ummid hai ke girawat mein wapis aao aur 1,100 region se neeche level tak pohanchun. Mera darmiyani hadaf 1.08 area ke aas paas hai. Is region tak pohanchne mein kuch mushkilat hain.

USD/JPY D1: Tafseeli Jaiza

Aadaab Sab Forum Members Ko aur Munafa Bakhshish Trading!


Main yahan USD/JPY instrument ki trading hawala se apna nazariya share karna chahta hoon. Technical analysis shuru karte hue, main chart par Heikin Ashi indicator par nazar dal raha hoon, jo pair ki movement ki dynamics ko alternative Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye dikhata hai. In candles ki bari khasiyat hai ke woh market ki shor o ghul ko kam kar deti hain. Heikin Ashi ke pass ek khaas method hota hai price bars banane ka, jo price chart ko dikhane mein deri kam karta hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) channel indicator chart par support aur resistance lines banata hai jo do dafa smooth kiye gaye moving averages par mabni hoti hain aur yeh dikhata hai ke instrument abhi kin boundaries mein move kar raha hai. Aakhri filtering oscillator, jo Heikin Ashi ke saath mil kar positive trading results dene mein madad karta hai, woh RSI indicator hai standard settings ke saath.


Chart Ki Tehqiq:


Chart ki tehqiq karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke Heikin Ashi candles ka rang surkh ho gaya hai, yeh ishara karta hai ke sellers abhi zyada taqatwar hain buyers se aur price ko neeche khench rahe hain. Price ne channel ka upper boundary (neela dashed line) cross kar liya hai aur maximum point se takra kar woh apni middle line (peeli dashed line) ki taraf ja raha hai. Is maaloomat se, mujhe yeh natija nikalne ka hai ke abhi pair ko bechna faide ka hai. Is ke ilawa, RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko confirm karta hai, kyunke uski curve neeche ki taraf mudi hui hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai. Upar di gayi baaton ko jama karke, hum bechna faisla karte hain aur key entry points talash karte hain. Hum take profit ko market quotes neeche ke boundary of the channel (surkh dashed line) tak pohanchne par set karte hain jo 141.047 price level par hai.

Aapko 142.60 range ka jhoota breakout dekhne ko bechne ka signal hoga. Sirf tabhi kharidne ka signal hoga jab yeh 143.35 se upar jaaye. Shayad humein ek chhota upward impulse mil sakta hai, lekin uske baad giravat jaari rahegi. Jab hum 143.40 range ko paar karke uske upar consolidate karenge, tab yeh kharidne ka signal hoga. Ek chhota upward impulse abhi bhi allowed hai, aur uske baad giravat toh phir bhi jaari rahegi. Shayad ek aur chhota upward impulse ho sakta hai, lekin uske baad bhi giravat jaari rahegi. Jab humein 144.90 range ka jhoota breakout milega, toh uske baad giravat jaari rahegi. Abhi ke levels se thoda upar badhne ke baad, giravat jaari rahegi. Jab hum 142.00 range ka breakdown aur uske neeche consolidate hoga, toh yeh bechne ka ek shandar karan hoga. Shayad humein ek chhota upward impulse mil sakta hai, lekin uske baad giravat jaari rahegi. Nazdeek bhavishya mein darasal darasal dar hoga aur hum 142.00 range ko todne ka mauka mil sakega, aur yeh ek aur bechne ka shandar vikalp hoga. Haqeeqatan mein, majbooti jari rahegi. Shayad hum 145.00 ke upar consolidate kar sakein, aur yeh kharidne ka karan hoga, lekin abhi yeh background mein hai, kyun ki market mein abhi bhi majboot giravat trend hai



Cheray ki tehqiqati aala ka chart tajwez shuda asbaab ki tafseel se dekhte hain, hum dekhte hain ke Heikin Ashi candles ka rang surkh ho gaya hai, iska matlab hai ke bechne walay abhi kharidne walon se zyada taqatwar hain aur qeemat ko neeche dhakel rahe hain. Qeemat ne channel ke upper boundary (neela khat-dar khat) ko paar kiya hai aur uske zor se takraane ke baad, woh apne darmiyan ki line (peela khat-dar khat) ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is malumat se, main yehi maan leta hoon ke is waqt pair bechna faidaymand hai. Iske alawa, RSI oscillator bechne ka signal tasdeek karta hai, kyun ki iski curve neeche ki taraf mudi hui hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai. Upar di gayi tafseelat ka mujhe nichod hai ke humein bechna faisle karna chahiye aur mukhlis dakhil-e-nuqta talashi talash karna chahiye. Hum take profit ko market quotes ke lower boundary of the channel (surkh khat-dar khat) tak pahunchte dekhna chahte hain jiska qeemat 141.047 hai

Is trading tool ki keemat 141.66 ke jama kshetra mein hai, aur agar yahaan se keemat neeche jaati hai aur iss halat mein USD/JPY level 140.92 ke neeche jaane ko taiyar nahin hai, to is maamle mein zaroori hai ke dekha jaaye ke woh 140.92 ke mark ki kshetra mein kya draw karte hain. USD/JPY jodi ki keemat Asian session mein turant mid-Bollinger band aur SMA 50-day se oopar chali gayi. Lagta hai ke Japanese yen ki currency mein kamzori hai ya phir munafa lenay ka amal hai, taa ke keemat top Bollinger band tak oopar push ho sake. Jab unchai ke daam saaf ho jaate hain, to iska matlab hai ke keemat ke pattern formation mein ek wave ban gaya hai kyun ke giravat ek lower low pattern nahin bana rahi hai. Haan lekin, stochastic indicator parameter kaafi overbought zone tak pahunch gaya lagta hai, aur ek cross hone ka khatra hai. Yeh bhi darust hai ke badhota hua hai aur agar woh apni upar ki raftar ko barqarar rakhna chahta hai to neeche ki correction ki zaroorat hai. Agar keemat top Bollinger band tak pahunch kar upar ki raftar barqarar rakh sakti hai, to iska matlab hai ke keemat ko 141.91 ke oopar bhi guzarna mauka mil sakta hai




Khareedne ka signal tab dikha jab keemat ne mid-Bollinger band aur SMA 100-day ko safaltapoorvak paar kiya, isliye keemat ki upar ki raftar ke liye mauka kaafi khula hai. Agar aap dubara khareedna chahte hain, to keemat ka intezaar karein ke mid-Bollinger band ke aas-paas sudhar ho, jo ke SMA 50-day se kam hai. Ye bhi ho sakta hai ke najdik ke talaab kshetra, 140.85–140.98, ke aas-paas ho, jiske saath 141.91 ke target unchai ka hai. Bechne ki position tab li ja sakti hai jab keemat ka movement ek naye lower low banane ke liye wapas ho. Jab tak 140.27 ke neeche koi kamzor nahin hai, keemat ke movement ka rujhan upar ki taraf hota hai. Agar hum 140.92 ke level tak jaate hain, aur yahan se keemat, is maamle mein, upar jaati hai aur baad mein 141.66 ke jama kshetra ke upar pakad banati hai jaisa meri tasveer mein hai, to is scenario ke mutabiq, 141.66 ke level se hi hamare paas mauka hai ke hum space mein pahaunch sakte hain jahan rupayon ke jama hone wale volume ke kshetra ke saath milta hai, jo lagbhag 146.21 ke aas-paas hai

(USD/JPY Weekly Analysis:)

Asalaam-o-Alaikum usd / jpy currency pair is haftay bearish ke halaat dikhnana jari rakhay hue hai, jo 141. 46 par sab se kam support ki taraf kami ki mumkina tosee ka ishara deta hai. aik mamooli ulat palat patteren ke bawajood, is iqdaam mein khaas tor par kam time frame par numaya taizi ka fuqdaan hai.

qareebi muddat mein usd / jpy qeematon mein wapsi ki tawaqqa karte hue, kharidaron ki janib se mumkina kamzoree ke baad support ( RBS ) ke imkaan ki peshkash karte hue, tawajah taweel mudti muzahmat ki taraf mabzol hoti hai. misbet muzahmati dhalwan dekhnay ke qabil hai, aik test ke liye tayyar hai jo qeemat ki karwai mein aik ahem nuqta ka ishara day sakta hai. agarchay qeemat fi al haal pichlle haftay ki kam tareen satah se neechay hai, phir bhi D-1 time frame par range 136. 00 - 133. 60 ki taraf mandi ki harkat ka imkaan mojood hai.

is haftay ke iqdaam ne 144. 81 par aala ki jaanch karne ke mutawaqqa ahem iqdaam ke sath aik ahem qaleel mudti assar dala hai. is satah par qeematon ko barqarar rakhnay mein kharidaron ki kamyabi taizi ke tahaffuz ke taasub ko mazboot bana sakti hai. qaleel mudti support levels, jo is haftay ki qeematon ki naqal o harkat mein nazar aati hain, taweel mudti izafay ke tasalsul ko mutasir kar sakti hain.







Conclusion:

ahthyat bohat ahem hai, khaas tor par agar Buyers qeemat ko 142. 90–144. 81 ki satah ki taraf dhakelnay mein nakaam rehtay hain, kyunkay yeh aglay iqdaam mein 141. 46 ilaqay ki taraf wasee retracement ko mutharrak kar sakta hai. mojooda sifarish yeh hai ke sabr karen aur H-4 time frame par break out ka intzaar karen, wazeh tasdeeq aur mazeed wazeh direction faraham karen.

nateejay ke tor par, hum mazeed intra day aur qaleel mudti kami ki tawaqqa karte hain, jis ki madad EMA 50 se ho gi, jo qeemat par neechay ki taraf dabao daalti hai. taham, yeh wazeh rahay ke 142. 35 se oopar ka waqfa mojooda manfi dabao ko khatam kere ga aur qeematon mein bahaali ki koshisho ki hosla afzai kere ga. aaj ki mutawaqqa tijarti had 140. 50 support level aur 142. 00 muzahmati satah ke darmiyan hai. ziyada tar imkaan yeh hai ke 141. 15 ke session ki kam tareen satah par gravt jari rahay gi. aik aur manzar nama 200 H-1 ma se oopar istehkaam hai, phir 144. 95 tak barhta hai, jo 19 decemeber ko sab se ziyada hai.

usdjpy


H4 Time Frame:

Is hawalay se hum aik amal plan banayenge jise hum paas se mantay hain? H4 time frame sab se pehli cheez kiya trend line khinchai. Humare paas aik neechay ki taraf trend hai, aur hum us direction mein tabdeeli ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain. Mujhe aapki tawajjo is baat par dilana chahta hoon ke mutabiq 144.25 ke level ke upar price dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo aik uttar ki tarz mein izafa karne ka mauqa deta hai.

Yahan hum tareekh dekhein ge, main price ke palatne ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Main is waqt ke levels se nahi samajhta, aur shayad aik palat ke baad bechna mumkin ho. Price 143.70 tak wapas aaye ga mujhe umeed hai. Aik ahem zone ko highlight kiya hai in daily time frame par maine 141.69 ke level. Iske neechay sirf candle ki dumian hain, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke "false breakout" pattern ki shakal mein aik binaqaab hone ka mauqa hai ke shakal mein aik binaqaab hone ka mauqa hai. If you have a soch durust, jaldi hi aik taqreeri tabdeeli hone wali hai, is liye mujhe bechnay ki koi wajah nahi lagti.

Price action analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair par nazar daalenge, humari guftagu mein. The pair peechle teen dino se yahan tak trading kar raha hai, with support at 141.90 and resistance at 142.70. Bulls upper border ko test kar rahe hain, pair sidha chal raha hai. Trends and mukhtalif tabdeeliyon ke baad nikalne ki koshish ki taraf dilchaspi hai. Moving averages and technical indicators are used in technical analysis, but kharidar ka faida is not.

Taraf ishara karta hai jo ke aik qareebi farokht ki taraf karta hai. Aaj Japan se khaas khabar nahi hai, aur mutadil tajziya ke saath aik maali report jaari karne ki ummeed hai. The support level is 141.90, and the trend is bearish. Mutasir tor par 142.70 khareedne, bullish boundary ki taraf bhi mumkin hai, aur aik breakout 143.20 ke resistance level khareedne ko barha sakta hai. Aik nakaara trading plan hai yeh din ke liye.



H1 Time Frame:



USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ki harkat ka tajziya, khaas tor par, iski neeche ki taraf jaane wali rawani. Bank of Japan ke Ueda ne ishara kiya ke woh manfi daron ko chhod sakte hain, jo ke ussay dastiyab hone wale regulator ki maali siyasi mein ek mumkin tabdeeli ka zahir kar raha hain. Tajarba karne wale is baat ka keh rahe hain ke hisse mein hone wala hai aur yen ki rawani ko ek mandi ki lehar mein tabdeel kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair ne mustaqil tor par girna shuru kar diya hai, jise badhte hue bearish candle bodies dikhate hain, jisey ke iski neeche ki taraf jaane wali rawani ko mazeed barhne ka ishara hai. Haan ke haalat ki rok tham mumkin hai, jo ke bearish jazbat ke mutabiq hai 140.00 USD/JPY darja par imtehan lena haftay mein mumkin hai. Yen ki qeemat mein kami ke bawajood mein aik buland rukh ka intezar hai, mujhe dollar-yen pair mein aik buland rukh ka intezar hai. Dollar ki haali girawat ke bawajood nahi dekhta, kyun ke Bank of Japan ne currency mazbooti ki taraf koi qadam nahi uthaya hai.

Sutoon darasar saal ke dusre hisse mein hi mumkin hai, jo ke yen ki mazeed izafat ko der kar sakta hai. Numaya khareedari shamil hone ka ishara hai, 142.443 support se pair ka bounce. If bearish candles appear on the zyada, currency pair maujoodi darjoo ko istemaal karte hue abhi ke levels se palat sakta hai aur pehle ke bulandiyon tak wapas ja sakta hai. EMA Moving average wala neeche ki taraf ka trend tasdeeq karta hai, jo ke market mein dakhil hone par bechne ki taraf raaye ko ishara karta hai. Mojooda mein 140.93 par trade hone wale USD/JPY pair ke qareeb mehdood bullish dabao ka samna hai,

mudakhlat karte hain ke aksar keemat ko. Mustaqil buland trend line dekhi hain, jisey ke yeh dono bulls aur bears ke liye ek janggali maidan ban gaya hai. This line's harkat ne muqami darajoo ko nishana banaya hai 140.25 aur 139.13 par, jisey ke 139.15 aur 140.07 par mazeed darmiyan muddaton ke darajay hain. If moving averages and mojooda levels cross, then bearish rawani mein kamzori ka ishara kar sakta hai, jo ke 142.25 aur 142.57 ke bulandiyon ki taraf bullish jazbat ka rasta kholega.

USD/JPY ki taraf ek raasta khol sakta hai, jo 140.10 ke lower unfinished borders ki taraf ek raasta khol sakta hai. 143.80 ke aas paas consolidation ke baad market entry ka tawakkul kiya ja sakta hai traders. Iske alawa, resistance levels 141.90 aur 144.30 ko paar karne ki sambhavna hai. If trend line ke upar consolidation phase ke baad wapas aaye, then long positions ke liye mauke pradaan kar sakta hai, moving average indicator ki guidance se.

In mukhya levels aur indicators ki careful consideration chunauti se bhare faisle ke liye mahatvapurn ho jaati hai, if traders bazaar ke dynamics ko mulyankan karte hain. Vartaman market conditions ko karte hue, USD/JPY ki movement jo 143.40 tak giri hai, woh trading landscape mein ek shift ki possibility dikhata hai. Traders are closely monitoring the situation because ek raasta khul sakta hai jo 140.70 ke lower unfinished borders ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Market entry ke liye critical point 144.50 ke baad a sakta hai, jo strategic decisions ke liye ek saubhagya ka mauka prastut kar sakta hai.

Is instrument ke resistance levels ko paar karne ki sambhavna hai 142.83 aur 144.00 ki sambhavna hai Is upward movement ki sambhavna toh guarantee nahi hai, khaaskar agar trend line ke upar consistent consolidation ho. As the consolidation phase of long positions approaches, traders' moving average indicator provides additional insights.

In this context, USD/JPY traders' bazaar ke tabdeeliyon mein chust rehna chahiye. Ek tezabiyat bhara approach zaruri hai ke khaas levels ko paar karne ki sambhavna batati hai. Long positions, khaaskar moving average indicator se maqbool ho sakti hain, jahan consolidation trend line ke upar instrument ki wapas aane ki potential ko support karta hai. USD/JPY ke hilne ki possibility 145.00 par recent minimum ke liye raaste, consolidation phases aur resistance levels ko maayne daar bana sakta hai. Yeh nuances handle karna bazaar ke dynamics, trend lines aur key indicators ki comprehensive samajh ki maangti hai, traders is ever-changing financial landscape mein sahi faisle kar sake.

Hum yahan USD/JPY currency pair ke maazi kaarobar ki mojooda tijarat ki tahlil par guftagu karenge. USD/JPY jodi ke liye dollar ka maqsad 141.90 ke local urooj ke upar taqat hasil karna hai, jo ke shuru mein munsil tijarat ki muntazir hawale se aik din se zyada ka waqt le sakta hai. Ibtida mein mutawaqif tijarat aur volumes ko jama karne ke liye aik din ya do din ki zarurat hogi. Hum agar zoom karen to H4 trend ab bhi neeche ki taraf hai, jiska niche support 140.80 par hai, jo ke ishara karta hai ke mazeed girawat ke mojoodgi mein bekaar trend ka ijaad mumkin hai. Lekin, char dinon tak treasuries mein barqarar barhne ka ishara hai ke agar inmein maazi trading ke doran palat nahi hoti to mumkin hai ke poori correction ho. Levels 142.0 aur 142.60 ko paar karne se aik mukammal barhne ka izhaar ho sakta hai, lekin abhi ye jodi dabaav ka saamna kar rahi hai


Main apni 30-minute chart ki tahlil par buniyad rakh kar USD/JPY bechne ki tajwez deta hoon. Munafa mansoobat 141.150 hai, jo ke lower Bollinger band ki hadood ke mutabiq hai. Shadeed bechne ki dabao tajwez karte hain, jo mojooda keemat 141.597 moving average ke neeche hai. Agar barqarar barhne ke baaes 141.150 ko paar kiya jata hai, to main bechnay ki position ko band karna aur 141.597 midpoint ki taraf islaah ke liye aik khareedne ki position ko muntazir rakhon ga. Dusra, agar 141.597 ko paar kar jata hai, to main lambi positions mein tabdeel ho jaonga aur 142.044 ke upper Bollinger band mark ki taraf aik khareedari tajwez karonga. Mumtaz aur barah-e-raast dauran mumtaz aur key points ke ird gird ghumne par aik ruler ka istemaal karte hue candles ke baghair tahlil karna, khaas kar 148.0 aur qareeban 151.50 ke aas-paas, maazi mein hawale se waziha movement ko numaya karta hai. Khaas areas mein guzra waqt ahmiyat ka hamil hai, haftawarwi barhne ka trend ko mazbooti deta hai

As-salamu alaykum aur subha bakhair sab traders, lambay aur darmiyanay dour mein, main bilkul yeh umid rakhta hoon ke jorri mazeed barhne ja rahi hai. Pehle, maine umid ki thi ke jorri 143.040 ke darajon se oopar jayegi, ya'ni ke jab woh support ke neeche set rectangle ke neeche stops rakhegi. Lekin jaise hi yeh hua, jorri ne pehle ke kharidari limits ko update kiya, jo ke jab jorri ne set range ke neeche gayi, buyer ne phir se volume badhana shuru kiya. Fir maine assume kiya ke phir se woh oopar jayegi, lekin jaise hi hua, humne yeh volumetric girawat dekhi, jo ke kuch 600 points thi. Mere khayal mein, yeh ishara tha ke jorri buyer ke stops ko nikal rahi thi, ya buyer bas apne munafa ko lock kar raha tha, Bank of Japan negative interest rates ko khatma karne ki policy par vichar kar raha tha. Fir maine socha ke phir se izafah hoga, lekin phir se peechle lows ko update kiya gaya aur phir se yeh volumetric girawat thi. Phir se, kuch 300 points ke aas-pass. Mere khayal mein, yeh ishara tha ke girawat ke baad, izafah ke doran, buyers market mein dakhil hue; unmein ek decent tadad thi; phir se unko mita diya gaya








Main samajhta hoon ke izafah 132.88 ke rukawat tak jari rahega. Main past highs ki tazgi aur mazeed izafah ki umeed rakhta hoon. Tahlil ka zariya ek trend line hoga jo chunay gaye time frame par latest significant movements par mabni hai. To, yeh time frame ek hafta hai. Is time frame par, latest movement ko ek majboot neeche ki taraf ki trend aur aakhir mein izafah ke sath barhne wali zyadah rukawati se kirdar mein laya gaya hai. Daily time frame par, trend neeche ki taraf hai, keemat trend se door ho gayi hai aur sthal ke minimum ko torne ki taraf ja rahi hai. H4 par, akhri movement bhi ek neeche ki taraf ki trend mein hai aur yeh trend line se upar se simit hai.

usdjpy currency pair. kal raat ki market trading mein qeematon mein kaafi mazbooti dekhi gayi jis ki kal rozana ki had 185 pips tak pahonch gayi. qeematon ki yeh mazbooti bhi aik naye, aala ounchay areas ki tashkeel karti hai, yeh is baat ki tasdeeq karta hai ke buyers market par qabza karne ki koshish kar rahay hain jab ke sellers pehlay se qeematon ko neechay dhakelnay mein nakaam rahay, pichlle bearish trend ke baad, 141. 47 ke qareeb tareen support level tak pounchanay ke hadaf ke sath rahe hain.

taham, agar is support level se tajawaz kya ja sakta hai, to imkaan hai ke qeemat aik mazboot support level tak gir jaye gi. dilchasp baat yeh hai ke guzashta raat, mazboot honay wali qeemat 142. 22 ke qareeb tareen muzahmati satah ko uboor karne mein kamyaab rahi, jo ke aik mazboot ishara hai ke buyers fi al haal market ko waqai control kar rahay hain.

H-4 time frame.

H-4 fame time ke agay, hum dekh satke hain ke qeematon mein pichli kami 141. 47 par support level tak nahi pahonch saki thi, aur buyers ne fori tor par is lamhay ka faida utha kar qeemat ko barha diya. fi al haal, qeemat Bollinger band ke area se oopar hai, aur moving average (MA ) 50 aur MA 100 bhi oopar ki taraf ishara karne wali qeemat se neechay hain. yeh market mein buyers ke ghalba ko zahir karta hai, aur ghalib imkaan hai ke qeemat 144. 82 ke qareeb tareen muzahmati satah ki taraf barhay gi jo kaafi mazboot muzahmati satah hai.







Trading plan.


jaisa ke upar bayan ki gayi takneeki tajzia ki wazahat mein, hum dekh satke hain ke mojooda rujhan ki haalat kaafi barri buyers ki tehreek haasil karne lagi hai. lehaza aaj ke trading mansoobay ke liye mein sell ke option par buy ke ikhtiyar ko tarjeeh deta hon. taham, dobarah daakhil honay ke liye, hamein behtareen entry zone haasil karne ke liye qeemat ke sab se pehlay qareeb tareen support level tak neechay jane ka intzaar karna chahiye taakay hum aik qabil pemaiesh khatrah haasil kar saken. aur candle stick ke namonon ka ubharna jaisay pin bar candle stick ya taizi se engulfing candles qeemat ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq ko mazboot kere gi aur nuqsanaat ke khatray ko kam kere gi.

agla, entry zone ke liye, mein usay qareeb tareen support level par rakhon ga, pehli support level par hai jo 143.40 ki qeemat par hai aur agar is ilaqay ko tora ja sakta hai to mein dosray support level ka intzaar karoon ga, yani 143.05 ki qeemat par. taqreeban 45 pips ke sl faaslay ke sath, aur 1:1 ke kam az kam munafe ke hadaf ke liye ya market ke halaat ke mutabiq adjust kya ja sakta hai agar yeh direction mein hai to tp area ko qareeb tareen muzahmati satah par rakha ja sakta hai. aam tor par, mein is waqt usdjpy mein qeematon ki naqal o harkat ka imkaan dekh raha hon ke mazboot hona jari rakha ja sakta hai aur aaj ke liye option buy ke option ko qareeb tareen muzahmati satah par hadaf ke sath tarjeeh di ja sakti hai.

Aaj main isko haftay se ghantay tak mukammal tajziyah ke zariye dekhoonga - ye saaf kardega ke hum kahan ja rahe hain aur kahan ja sakte hain, agar volume achanak se dikhai de. Tajziyah ka auzar tajziyah ka auzar hoga jo maqsood waqt ke intihai harkaton par mabni hoga. To, waqt ka frame ek hafta hai. Is waqt frame par, akhri harkat ko ek mazboot neeche ki taraf ki taraf janib barhne wala trend ke taur par paish kiya gaya hai, jo ke aakhir mein barhne wale volatility ke saath hai. Rozana ke waqt frame par, trend neeche ja raha hai, keemat ne trend se alag ho gayi hai aur woh maqami kam se kam ko todne ke liye neeche ja rahi hai. H4 par, akhri harkat bhi neeche ki taraf janib barhne wale trend ke taur par mabni hai, jo ke ise upar se had se had mein rakhta hai




Keemat ne trend line ko neeche se chhoo liya hai aur is par haath laga rahi hai. H1 par, trend line ko pehle hi tod diya gaya hai aur keemat upar se ek pakad banane ki koshish kar rahi hai; Jumma ke band hone par ye upar se trend line ko chhoo gayi aur ise test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar market khulne par trend line ke neeche koi ulta tod nahi hota, to H1 par trend line ka tod aur ooper ke trend mein tabdil hone ka izhar mumkin hoga. Is sarasar tajziyeh se kya nikala ja sakta hai - trend neeche ja raha hai, is liye kharidari mein ihtiyaat ke saath kaam karna chahiye, H1 par gehray pullback ke baad bechne ka zyada sochne wala aur kam jokhim wala tareeqa hoga, jo ke mutallaqan shuru ho raha hai. Pichle haftay mein, mere liye, dollar versus Japanese yen currency pair ne kaam kiya. Minatari ko taza karne ke baad, keemat ne moatil line tak durust tehqiqat ki shuruat mein tehqiqat shuru ki, aur is ke baad woh trend line se takra gayi aur pichle do hafton ki kam se kam qeemat 141.70 par gir gayi. Isi sath, keemat ne trading week ko is level par khatam kiya; aaj market abhi band hai, lekin kal humein kuch behtari ka imkan hai, haan lekin dafa tanisul ki roshni mein, kam az kam kuch hisson mein, America ke. Lekin is ke bawajood ke keemat is level par hai, trend phir bhi neeche ja raha hai, is liye main ek chhota sa tehqiqat ko ooper ke line tak chhota sa tanisul deney ki ijaazat deta hoon, jo ke maloom hota hai, abhi shuruat mein hai

Haftawar Timeframe Ka Manzar:

Aaiye ek baar W1 muddat ke chart par nazar daalein, kyunki yahan aane waale dinon aur shayad hafte ke kaam ki disha saaf hai. Main sujhav deta hoon ke pehle aap is senior muddat ke chart par apna dhyaan lagayein; wahan kuch dekhne layak hai. Jaise pehle hi ummeed thi, price badhne lagi, voh growth ke favor mein ek important argument kaam kar raha hai - price ne ascending support line tak pohanchi hai, jo 2022 ke shuruwat se almost neeche se shuru hui hai. Yeh line apni zyada muddat aur kam inclination ke karan kaafi majboot hai. Abhi ke prices se growth ke favor mein ek aur argument hai ki CCI indicator ne kaafi der se lower overheating zone mein tha, lekin sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ki us par bullish convergence hai, jo ek growth ka signal hai. Mere khayal mein yeh signal kaafi accha hai, kyunki yeh ek zyada senior muddat par hai aur ek achi ascending line par base karta hai. Pehle November mein, price 2022 ke maximum se bahar nahi gayi thi, jabki logic yeh tha ki voh us se bahar jaaye aur tab giray. Lekin yeh clear hai ke voh us level ke bahar jaane ke bina hi gir gayi, iska matlab hai ke phir se us tak jaane ka karan hai aur iske liye technical justifications hain. Shaam ke late mei kuch important khabrein hain: 16-15 Moscow time par - United States ke non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ki sankhya mein change. 16-30 par - United States mein initial applications for unemployment benefits ki sankhya. 17-45 par - United States ke services sector mein business activity index (PMI). 19-00 par - United States mein crude oil reserves. Kisi bhi halat mein, jab tak yeh khabrein aati hain, behtar hai ke market se bahar ho aur positions exit karein. Isska matlab hai ke aane waale dinon mein lower periods par kaam karne ki tactic sirf upar jaana hai, aapko downward pullbacks ke khatam hone ka nazar rakhna hoga aur uss waqt kharidna hoga. Main abhi ke liye sabhi bechne ke signals ko ignore kar raha hoon.

USD/JPY H-1

Guzishta ghantay ka chart dekhtay huay, keemat ek ascending channel ke andar hai. Jodi kal oopar ki taraf ja rahi thi, lekin keemat ne channel ke ooper ki seema tak pohanchi nahi, isliye main umeed karta hoon ke jodi ooper ki taraf jaari rahegi, aur top target hoga ascending channel ke ooper ki seema, jo ke 144.53 ke darja tak hai. Is darje tak pohanchne ke baad, jodi ka izafa ruk sakta hai aur keemat palat kar neeche ja sakti hai. Aur jo ke abhi se neeche ja rahi hai, woh jodi channel ke neeche giregi, jo ke 143.24 ke darje par hai. Aur aage, main yeh bhi nahi nazar andaaz kar raha hoon ke keemat is darje se neeche gir sakti hai aur jodi girne ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai.



USD/JPY D-1

Adaab dosto! Main sab ko ek shaandar aur kaamyaab din ki dua deta hoon! Jodi ka izafa jaari hai aur aane waale dino mein jaane ke liye predictions ko bhi par kar raha hai. Jodi mein volatility mein izafa hua hai, jab se 151.91 ke high se giravat hui hai. Mein ne GBP\USD aur USD\JPY currency pairs ki volatility ko compare kiya hai aur dekha hai ke JPY pair zyada volatile hai, 1.77 guna zyada volatile hai. Isliye yeh current izafa sirf giravat ki ek tehqeeqi rukh hai, aur abhi kisi palat ke baare mein baat karna jaldi hai. Yeh jo izafa hai, iska mujarrab darja abhi 144.95 hai. Agar keemat is darje ko paar kar ke us ooper jaati hai, toh hum palat ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, lekin abhi ek tez neeche jaane ka izafa mumkin hai... Sab ko mubarak ho!