جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD currency pair ka H1 (1-hour) timeframe par technical analysis kuch aham baatain samne laata hai jo di gayi data par mabni hai. Moqa' par price action ye dikhata hai ke ye pair aik range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan recent prices 1.2413 se 1.2425 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hain. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke market aik consolidation ki marahil se guzar rahi hai, jahan na to market bohot bullish hai aur na hi bearish, lekin ye apne liye direction dhoond rahi hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke ek momentum oscillator hai, is waqt 43.30 par hai. Ye value ye darust karti hai ke market neutral territory mein hai, kyunki RSI na to overbought zone (70 se upar) mein hai aur na oversold zone (30 se neeche) mein. Ek neutral RSI aam tor par ye darust karta hai ke kisi bhi direction mein mazboot momentum ki kami hai, jo ke dekhi gayi price consolidation ke sath mel khata hai.

Chart ka jaiza lene par, hum kuch aham support aur resistance levels ki nishandahi kar sakte hain. Recent low jo ke 1.2413 ke aas-paas hai, ye aik short-term support level ke tor par kaam karta hai, jab ke high jo ke 1.2425 ke aas-paas hai, ye resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Agar price 1.2425 ke upar break hoti hai to ye aik potential upward movement ka ishara de sakta hai, jo ke agle resistance level 1.2520 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar 1.2413 ke neeche break hota hai to ye agle support level 1.2320 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Chart mein late December se late January tak ke price points dikh rahe hain, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke GBP/USD pair is dauran dheere dheere decline kar raha hai. Ye downward trend ye darust karta hai ke pair bechne ka pressure mehsoos kar raha hai, lekin is dauran kuch consolidation ke periods bhi hain. RSI ka neutral reading is decline ke doran ye aur bhi darust karta hai ke is waqt market mein kharidari ki mazboot dilchaspi nahi hai.

Volume analysis, jo ke wazeh taur par nahi di gayi, usay price movements se andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Price spikes ki kami ye darust karti hai ke trading volume relatively stable raha hai, bina kisi major buyers ya sellers ke influx ke. Ye volume stability bhi dekhi gayi consolidation phase ke sath mel khata hai.

Khilasa yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair H1 timeframe mein is waqt consolidation phase mein hai, jahan RSI ke zariye neutral momentum darust hota hai. Traders ko 1.2425 ke upar ya 1.2413 ke neeche breakout par nazar rakhni chahiye taake agla potential move tay kiya ja sake. Recent downward trend ko dekhte hue, agar support ke neeche break hota hai to ye mazeed declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jab ke agar resistance ke upar break hota hai to ye reversal ya upward movement ke continuation ka ishara de sakta hai. Hamesha yaad rahe, trading decisions karte waqt mazeed indicators aur market context ko mad-e-nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

جنوری 31 2025 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

یورپی مرکزی بینک کے حالیہ اجلاس کے بعد برطانوی پاؤنڈ اپنی بتدریج کمی میں یورو سے آگے نہیں نکلا ہے۔ اس نے بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے نیچے اپنے استحکام کی تصدیق کی ہے۔ پاؤنڈ کو 1.2186 کی طرف زیادہ فیصلہ کن طور پر منتقل کرنے کے لیے، اسے 1.2367 کی سپورٹ لیول کو توڑنے کی ضرورت ہے۔



چار گھنٹے کے ٹائم فریم میں، قیمت بیلنس لائن سے نیچے اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے۔ اس سطح سے نیچے استحکام اور 1.2367 کے نیچے وقفہ 1.2186 پر ہدف کی حمایت کی طرف کمی کی راہ ہموار کرے گا۔

مزید برآں، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن زیرو لائن کے نیچے مضبوط ہو رہی ہے، جو اس بات کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے کہ یہ نیچے کی طرف برقرار ہے۔ ہم اس مندی کی تحریک کی مزید ترقی کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔

ذاتی آمدنی اور اخراجات سے متعلق آج کے امریکی اعداد و شمار میں ٹھوس نمو کی پیش گوئی کی گئی ہے، جس سے پاؤنڈ کے لیے مندی کے رجحان کو تقویت ملنے کا امکان ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

British Pound Ka Halat
Tuesday ko UK labor market data release hone ke baad British pound major currencies ke mukable kamzor ho gaya. Office for National Statistics ne report kiya ke November tak ke teen mahine ke doran workforce growth bohot slow rahi, sirf 35,000 naye log shaamil hue, jabke pichle period mein yeh tadaad 173,000 thi. Yeh sluggish growth dikhata hai ke employers par sarkar ke National Insurance contributions barhane ka negative asar pada hai.
Lekin, wage growth kaafi mazboot rahi. Average earnings (bonuses ke baghair) 5.6% tak barh gayi, jo ke 5.5% ke forecast aur pichle mahine ki 5.2% growth se zyada hai. Bonuses ko shamil karne ke baad bhi, average earnings 5.6% tak barh gayi, jo expectations ke mutabiq aur October ki 5.2% increase se kaafi behtar hai. Bank of England wage growth ko inflation ke liye ek ahem indicator maanta hai, khas kar service sector mein. Yeh strong wage growth data Bank of England ke February 6th ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rate cut ki umeedon ko mushkil bana sakta hai.

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Technical Analysis
Tekhneeki taur par, pound aik downward trend mein hai aur 8 hafton se girawat dekh raha hai, jo 7% se zyada ki decline hai. Friday ko yeh 1.2486 tak gir gaya, jo aik 6-mah ka lowest level hai aur long-term uptrend line ke barabar hai. Agar yeh line tod di jaye, toh bearish trend ka signal milega.
Support levels:
🔹 1.2445 – Yeh May 9th ka low hai jo filhal strong support bana raha hai.
Resistance levels:
🔹 1.2715 – Agar pound rebound karta hai toh pehla resistance yeh ho sakta hai.
🔹 1.2770 – 20-day SMA jo ek aur barrier ho sakta hai.
🔹 1.2820 – 200-day SMA, jo sabse bara aur strong resistance ho sakta hai.
Kamzor workforce growth se economic concerns barh rahe hain, lekin strong wage growth Bank of England ke faislon ko mushkil bana raha hai. Is wajah se pound ke near-term trend mein uncertainty barh sakti hai.
📉 Agar support todta hai, toh naya bearish move ho sakta hai.
📈 Agar rebound hota hai, toh 1.2715 tak rally ka chance hai.
Traders ko technical aur fundamental factors dono ko mad e nazar rakhna chahiye! 🚀

GBP/USD Daily Time Chart Analysis – Roman Urdu

Markazi Surat-e-Haal


GBP/USD currency pair kuch dinon se bohot ziyada volatile hai. Peer ne Monday ko 1.2521 ka teen-haftay ka high touch karne ke baad girawat dekhi. Yeh girawat 20-period aur 200-period simple moving averages ke neeche girne ki wajah se hui, jo bearish signal ka ishara karti hai. Magar, is ka yeh matlab nahi ke bullish sentiment bilkul khatam ho gaya hai.

Aham Support aur Resistance Levels

• 50-period SMA Support: Filhaal, 50-period simple moving average 1.2400 level ke qareeb ek mazboot support provide kar raha hai. Yeh moving average downward pressure ko rokne ki koshish kar raha hai.
• Strong Support Area: 1.2360 par ek mazboot support area mojood hai, jo broken downtrend channel ke upper band ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support level barqarar rehta hai, toh price wapas recover kar sakti hai. Lekin agar price is level se neeche girti hai, toh 1.2280-1.2300 aur hatta ke 1.2235 tak girne ke chances barh sakte hain.

Technical Indicators Aur Trend Analysis

• RSI (Relative Strength Index): Yeh filhaal oversold zone mein hai, jo yeh batata hai ke recent decline bohot zyada ho chuka hai aur wapas thodi der ke liye recovery ho sakti hai.
• Bearish Pressure: Kuch indicators ab bhi bullish signs de rahe hain, lekin overall market sentiment abhi tak weak lag raha hai.

Bullish Scenario

Agar GBP/USD ka price 1.2455 se upar close karta hai, toh bullish control wapas aasakta hai. Yeh price momentum reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jo 1.2500-1.2520 resistance area tak le ja sakta hai. Agar price is level se bhi upar nikalti hai, toh agla target 1.2580-1.2600 hoga. Lekin yeh sab bullish momentum par depend karega.

Bearish Scenario

Agar price 1.2360 se neeche girti hai, toh girawat aur tez ho sakti hai, aur 1.2300 tak ya us se bhi neeche 1.2235 tak pohonch sakti hai. Iska matlab hoga ke bearish trend aur strong ho raha hai.

Result:


GBP/USD abhi aik crucial phase mein hai jahan price action ka next move bohot important hoga. Oversold conditions ek chhoti recovery ka ishara kar sakti hain, lekin traders ko support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Consolidation ke is daur mein, agar price kisi bhi direction mein breakout karta hai, toh currency pair ka agla major move start ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ka H1 (1-hour) timeframe par technical analysis kuch aham baatain samne laata hai jo di gayi data par mabni hai. Moqa' par price action ye dikhata hai ke ye pair aik range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan recent prices 1.2413 se 1.2425 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hain. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke market aik consolidation ki marahil se guzar rahi hai, jahan na to market bohot bullish hai aur na hi bearish, lekin ye apne liye direction dhoond rahi hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke ek momentum oscillator hai, is waqt 43.30 par hai. Ye value ye darust karti hai ke market neutral territory mein hai, kyunki RSI na to overbought zone (70 se upar) mein hai aur na oversold zone (30 se neeche) mein. Ek neutral RSI aam tor par ye darust karta hai ke kisi bhi direction mein mazboot momentum ki kami hai, jo ke dekhi gayi price consolidation ke sath mel khata hai.

Chart ka jaiza lene par, hum kuch aham support aur resistance levels ki nishandahi kar sakte hain. Recent low jo ke 1.2413 ke aas-paas hai, ye aik short-term support level ke tor par kaam karta hai, jab ke high jo ke 1.2425 ke aas-paas hai, ye resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Agar price 1.2425 ke upar break hoti hai to ye aik potential upward movement ka ishara de sakta hai, jo ke agle resistance level 1.2520 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar 1.2413 ke neeche break hota hai to ye agle support level 1.2320 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Chart mein late December se late January tak ke price points dikh rahe hain, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke GBP/USD pair is dauran dheere dheere decline kar raha hai. Ye downward trend ye darust karta hai ke pair bechne ka pressure mehsoos kar raha hai, lekin is dauran kuch consolidation ke periods bhi hain. RSI ka neutral reading is decline ke doran ye aur bhi darust karta hai ke is waqt market mein kharidari ki mazboot dilchaspi nahi hai.

Volume analysis, jo ke wazeh taur par nahi di gayi, usay price movements se andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Price spikes ki kami ye darust karti hai ke trading volume relatively stable raha hai, bina kisi major buyers ya sellers ke influx ke. Ye volume stability bhi dekhi gayi consolidation phase ke sath mel khata hai.

Khilasa yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair H1 timeframe mein is waqt consolidation phase mein hai, jahan RSI ke zariye neutral momentum darust hota hai. Traders ko 1.2425 ke upar ya 1.2413 ke neeche breakout par nazar rakhni chahiye taake agla potential move tay kiya ja sake. Recent downward trend ko dekhte hue, agar support ke neeche break hota hai to ye mazeed declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jab ke agar resistance ke upar break hota hai to ye reversal ya upward movement ke continuation ka ishara de sakta hai. Hamesha yaad rahe, trading decisions karte waqt mazeed indicators aur market context ko mad-e-nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

tak kamai karain. GBP/USD ka market abhi strong bullish momentum dikhara hai, aur prices upward direction mein move kar rahi hain, jo structural trends se support ho rahi hain. Ek five-wave cycle complete karne ke baad market ne nayi high banayi hai, jo agle sessions mein mazeed upward movement ka potential show karta hai.

Abhi jo resistance level hai woh 1.25900 par hai, jo recent high ke sath align karta hai. Niche ki taraf support level 1.21000 ke aas-paas hai. Price 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin abhi bhi 200-day SMA ke neeche hai. Ye position ek mixed trend ko show karti hai, jahan market 200-day SMA ke upar break kar sakta hai taake stronger bullish trend confirm ho sake.

RSI lagbhag 70 ke aas-paas hai, jo market ke overbought conditions mein jaane ka signal de raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke price support level tak retrace kar sakta hai, phir apni upward movement resume karega. Volume indicator support zone ke kareeb high activity dikhata hai, jo yeh reinforce karta hai ke buyers niche levels par actively participate kar rahe hain aur price ko upar push kar sakte hain.

1. Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) abhi bhi inflation ko control karne ke liye hawkish monetary policy par committed hai, jabke Federal Reserve apne rate hike cycle ke end ke kareeb hai. Ye divergence British pound ko support karta hai aur GBP/USD ko upar leke jata hai.

2. UK Economic Data: Recent UK economic data, jese ke retail sales mein behtari aur inflation rates mein kami, ne pound ke liye market confidence ko barhaya hai. Lekin GDP growth ki slow speed aur high energy costs lambe arse ke liye ek concern ho sakti hain.

3. US Dollar Weakness: U.S. dollar ko mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve ke kam aggressive hone ki speculation ke wajah se pressure ka samna hai. Lower Treasury yields ne bhi dollar ko kamzor banaya hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye mazeed upar jane ka raasta banata hai.

4. Brexit-Related Factors: Post-Brexit trade challenges ke bawajood, UK-EU trade relations mein stability ne pound par downward pressure ko kam kiya hai. Koi significant trade agreement developments GBP/USD ko aur influence kar sakti hain.

5. Global Risk Sentiment: Global risk sentiment mein behtari pound ko support karti hai, jo risk-on environments mein acha perform karta hai. Lekin geopolitical uncertainties aur worldwide slowdown ka khauf abhi bhi key risks hain.

Technical Analysis: GBP/USD abhi ek strong bullish trend mein hai, jo resistance level 1.25900 tak test kar sakta hai. Ek retracement 1.21000 ke support level tak ho sakta hai, jo buyers ko wapas market mein enter karne ka mauqa dega. Agar price 200-day SMA ke upar breakout confirm karega, toh aur bhi strong bullish momentum ka signal milega.

Fundamental Analysis: Is pair ki direction ka daromadar BoE aur Fed ke monetary policy updates, aur broader economic aur geopolitical developments par hoga. Traders ko key data releases aur central bank statements ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake potential price action ko samajh sakein. High volume ke sath jo support levels par dekhi gayi hai, aur bullish market structure ke sath, GBP/USD short aur medium term mein profit ke liye achi opportunities provide karta hai.

tak kamai karain. GBP/USD ka market abhi strong bullish momentum dikhara hai, aur prices upward direction mein move kar rahi hain, jo structural trends se support ho rahi hain. Ek five-wave cycle complete karne ke baad market ne nayi high banayi hai, jo agle sessions mein mazeed upward movement ka potential show karta hai.

Abhi jo resistance level hai woh 1.25900 par hai, jo recent high ke sath align karta hai. Niche ki taraf support level 1.21000 ke aas-paas hai. Price 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin abhi bhi 200-day SMA ke neeche hai. Ye position ek mixed trend ko show karti hai, jahan market 200-day SMA ke upar break kar sakta hai taake stronger bullish trend confirm ho sake.

RSI lagbhag 70 ke aas-paas hai, jo market ke overbought conditions mein jaane ka signal de raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke price support level tak retrace kar sakta hai, phir apni upward movement resume karega. Volume indicator support zone ke kareeb high activity dikhata hai, jo yeh reinforce karta hai ke buyers niche levels par actively participate kar rahe hain aur price ko upar push kar sakte hain.

1. Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) abhi bhi inflation ko control karne ke liye hawkish monetary policy par committed hai, jabke Federal Reserve apne rate hike cycle ke end ke kareeb hai. Ye divergence British pound ko support karta hai aur GBP/USD ko upar leke jata hai.

2. UK Economic Data: Recent UK economic data, jese ke retail sales mein behtari aur inflation rates mein kami, ne pound ke liye market confidence ko barhaya hai. Lekin GDP growth ki slow speed aur high energy costs lambe arse ke liye ek concern ho sakti hain.

3. US Dollar Weakness: U.S. dollar ko mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve ke kam aggressive hone ki speculation ke wajah se pressure ka samna hai. Lower Treasury yields ne bhi dollar ko kamzor banaya hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye mazeed upar jane ka raasta banata hai.

4. Brexit-Related Factors: Post-Brexit trade challenges ke bawajood, UK-EU trade relations mein stability ne pound par downward pressure ko kam kiya hai. Koi significant trade agreement developments GBP/USD ko aur influence kar sakti hain.

5. Global Risk Sentiment: Global risk sentiment mein behtari pound ko support karti hai, jo risk-on environments mein acha perform karta hai. Lekin geopolitical uncertainties aur worldwide slowdown ka khauf abhi bhi key risks hain.

Technical Analysis: GBP/USD abhi ek strong bullish trend mein hai, jo resistance level 1.25900 tak test kar sakta hai. Ek retracement 1.21000 ke support level tak ho sakta hai, jo buyers ko wapas market mein enter karne ka mauqa dega. Agar price 200-day SMA ke upar breakout confirm karega, toh aur bhi strong bullish momentum ka signal milega.

Fundamental Analysis: Is pair ki direction ka daromadar BoE aur Fed ke monetary policy updates, aur broader economic aur geopolitical developments par hoga. Traders ko key data releases aur central bank statements ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake potential price action ko samajh sakein. High volume ke sath jo support levels par dekhi gayi hai, aur bullish market structure ke sath, GBP/USD short aur medium term mein profit ke liye achi opportunities provide karta hai.

GBP/USD Technical & Fundamental Analysis – Bearish Momentum or Reversal Ahead?

📌 Fundamental Outlook

🔻 Weaker UK Labor Market Data – Job growth slowed significantly (only 35K new entrants vs. 173K prior), reflecting business struggles with National Insurance hikes.
🔺 Strong Wage Growth – Average earnings (excl. bonuses) at 5.6% exceeded forecasts (5.5%) and the previous reading (5.2%).
📉 Bank of England (BoE) Rate Cut Uncertainty – Higher wages fuel inflation, complicating BoE’s decision for a rate cut on February 6th.
📉 GBP/USD Technical Analysis

✅ 8-Week Losing Streak – The pound is down over 7%, hitting a six-month low at 1.2486.
✅ Critical Support at 1.2445 – If this level breaks, the pair could see further downside.
✅ Possible Rebound to 1.2715 – If the long-term uptrend line holds, GBP/USD could test 1.2715 resistance.
✅ Key Moving Averages:

• 20-day SMA (1.2770) – First major resistance.
• 200-day SMA (1.2820) – Stronger bearish confirmation if price stays below this level.

📊 Trading Strategy & Outlook

🔹 Bearish Scenario: If GBP/USD breaks below 1.2445, further downside toward 1.2400 or lower is likely.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A rebound from 1.2486 could target 1.2715, with a breakout aiming for 1.2770 (20-day SMA).
🚀 Conclusion:

📉 Short-term bearish – Pound remains under pressure after weak labor data.
📈 Reversal possible – If 1.2445 holds, buyers may attempt a recovery toward 1.2715.
🎯 Monitor BoE signals & US dollar strength for the next decisive move!

Technical Analysis: GBP/USD – Struggling Below 1.2400 Amid USD Strength & Market Uncertainty


The GBP/USD pair has retreated to around 1.2400 after closing in negative territory on Thursday, struggling to regain momentum. The pair’s technical outlook indicates that sellers remain in control, and further downside pressure could be expected in the near term.

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Pound Sterling Performance This Week


The British pound (GBP) has weakened against most major currencies, with the sharpest decline against the Japanese yen (JPY). Despite a mixed performance of the US dollar (USD) in recent trading sessions, GBP/USD has failed to capitalize on any USD weakness.
Key Market Developments Affecting GBP/USD

1. U.S. Dollar Performance & Mixed Macroeconomic Data


The USD struggled to gather momentum on Thursday following the release of mixed economic data from the United States (US). However, despite a somewhat weaker USD, GBP/USD failed to rise and remained under pressure during the late US trading hours.

• The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annual rate of 2.3% in Q4, slowing down from 3.1% in Q3 and below the market expectation of 2.6%.
• The slowdown in economic growth suggests that higher interest rates and global uncertainties may be weighing on the US economy.
• Meanwhile, the initial jobless claims in the US declined to 207,000 for the week ending January 25, down from 223,000 in the previous week. This indicates that the US labor market remains strong, supporting the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts.

2. Trump’s Tariff Policy & Impact on GBP/USD


Late Thursday, US President Donald Trump reiterated that the US will impose a flat 25% import tax on all goods entering the country from Canada or Mexico due to concerns over the fentanyl crisis.

• If these tariffs are implemented, they could significantly impact North American trade flows, leading to further market uncertainty.
• The announcement created risk-off sentiment, which strengthened the US dollar, as investors moved toward safe-haven assets.
• The British pound remains particularly vulnerable in such conditions, as the UK economy is already facing headwinds from Brexit-related uncertainties, sluggish growth, and monetary policy concerns.

3. Key Data Release – U.S. PCE Price Index


Later today, the BEA will release data on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for December. This is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation and will play a crucial role in determining the future direction of US interest rates.

• The core PCE price index is expected to rise 0.2% month-over-month.
• A reading of 0.3% or higher could strengthen the US dollar, pushing GBP/USD lower ahead of the weekend.

Traders should closely watch the PCE inflation data, as it could provide clues about the Fed’s next policy move and set the tone for GBP/USD’s direction in the coming days.

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Technical Analysis: GBP/USD Key Levels & Market Sentiment

1. GBP/USD Price Action & Support Levels

• GBP/USD has been struggling to stay above 1.2400, indicating that selling pressure remains dominant.
• The support level at 1.2380 is crucial. A break below this level could lead to a further decline toward 1.2340 and then 1.2300.
• If the pair manages to hold above 1.2400, it may attempt a recovery toward 1.2450 and 1.2480, but upside potential remains limited unless strong bullish momentum emerges.

2. Technical Indicators & Bearish Momentum

• Moving Averages (MAs):
  • The 50-day MA is trending downward, confirming the bearish momentum.
  • GBP/USD is trading below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the downtrend.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI):
  • The RSI is near 40, indicating bearish conditions, but there is still room for further downside before entering oversold territory.
• Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
  • GBP/USD is testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2400. A break below this level could open the door for a decline toward the 61.8% retracement at 1.2340.

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Market Sentiment & Trading Strategy

1. Bearish Outlook for GBP/USD

• The combination of a strong USD, Trump’s tariff concerns, and weaker UK economic sentiment is likely to keep GBP/USD under pressure.
• If the US PCE inflation data comes in higher than expected, it could boost the USD further, leading to additional downside for GBP/USD.

2. Trading Strategy for GBP/USD


Short Position (Bearish Setup):

• Entry: Below 1.2400
• Target: 1.2350 – 1.2300
• Stop-loss: Above 1.2450

Long Position (If Support Holds & USD Weakens):

• Entry: Above 1.2430
• Target: 1.2480 – 1.2500
• Stop-loss: Below 1.2380

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Conclusion: GBP/USD Faces Further Downside Risk


The GBP/USD pair remains under selling pressure, with the US dollar gaining strength due to strong labor market data, Trump’s trade policies, and investors seeking safe-haven assets.

Unless the US PCE inflation data comes in lower than expected, leading to USD weakness, GBP/USD is likely to remain bearish.

Traders should monitor key support levels at 1.2380 and 1.2340, as a break below these could accelerate further downside. Conversely, a move above 1.2450 may provide a short-term relief rally, but upside potential remains limited in the near term.

Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: 1.2380, 1.2340, 1.2300
• Resistance: 1.2450, 1.2480, 1.2500

Market participants should remain cautious and react to key economic data releases to determine their next trading moves.

USD/JPY Analysis


USD/JPY ka hourly chart dikhata hai ke price ne ek upward correction dikhayi hai ek significant downtrend ke baad. Bollinger Bands yeh batate hain ke volatility zyada rahi hai, aur price lower band se bounce hone ke baad recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Magar stochastic oscillator abhi overbought zone mein hai, jo ek reversal ya bullish momentum ke slowdown ka indication de sakta hai. Agar price 155.50 ke upar break kare, toh further bullish continuation ho sakta hai, lekin agar yahan rejection milta hai toh price dobara neeche gir sakta hai.
EUR/JPY Analysis


EUR/JPY ka hourly chart downward bias dikhata hai, aur price key resistance levels ko todne mein mushkil mehsoos kar raha hai. Stochastic oscillator mid-range mein hai, jo market direction mein indecisiveness ka pata deta hai. Price action Bollinger Bands ke andar consolidation dikhata hai, jisme lower highs aur lower lows ka pattern nazar aata hai. Agar price 161.00 ke upar break nahi kar sakta, toh aur zyada decline hoke 159.50 tak pohonch sakta hai. Lekin agar strong bullish breakout hota hai, toh sentiment change hoke price 162.50 ki taraf badh sakti hai.
GBP/USD Analysis


GBP/USD ne pichle lows se strong recovery dikhayi hai, aur abhi takreeban 1.2300 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Bollinger Bands yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke volatility tight ho rahi hai, jo ek breakout ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic indicator oversold region mein hai, jo ek upward move ka indication deta hai. Magar 1.2350 ek crucial resistance level hai, jise todna bulls ke liye zaroori hoga. Agar price is level ke upar sustain karti hai, toh agla target 1.2450 ho sakta hai. Magar agar price 1.2280 ke neeche girti hai, toh ek aur bearish leg dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo 1.2200 tak ja sakti hai.
Litecoin Analysis


Litecoin ke price action mein significant volatility hai, aur recent peaks aur troughs ek unstable trend ka indication dete hain. Stochastic oscillator oversold region ke qareeb hai, jo ek upward correction ka signal de sakta hai. Magar price abhi tak key resistance levels ke neeche hai, jo batata hai ke bulls control lene mein mushkil mehsoos kar rahe hain. Agar Litecoin 115.00 ke upar break kare, toh agla target 122.00 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar rejection hoti hai, toh price further decline kar ke 104.00 ka support test kar sakti hai.
Summary


Instruments ka trend mixed hai, kuch assets recovery dikhate hain jabke kuch consolidation phase mein hain. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke key resistance aur support levels ko closely monitor karein aur technical indicators ke signals ka intezar karein pehle trade enter karne se pehle. Risk management bohot zaroori hai, kyunki sudden volatility se unexpected price movements ho sakti hain.
Buyers ke Liye Faiday:

• Agar pound support levels se rebound kare, toh buyers ke liye acha trading opportunity ho sakta hai.
• Bullish breakout ka intezar karna ek strong entry strategy ho sakta hai.

Sellers ke Liye Faiday:

• Agar pound weak hota hai Bank of England ke rate cut expectations ki wajah se, toh sellers short positions se faida utha sakte hain.
• Strong resistance levels par rejection hone par short karna ek profitable opportunity ho sakti hai.

Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo sirf technical analysis par bharosa na karein, balki fundamental analysis ko bhi consider karein trading decisions banane se pehle.

GBP/USD Ka Jaiza

Market Ka Halat:
GBP/USD abhi ek tang range mein phansa hua hai, jahan traders kisi naye catalyst ka intezar kar rahe hain jo agla direction tay kare. Amreeki ma'eeshat ki mazbooti aur Federal Reserve ki ehtiyaat pasand policy Dollar ko taqatwar bana rahi hai, jis wajah se British Pound ko barhawa milna mushkil ho raha hai.

Bunyaadi Tajziya:
Britain mein ma'eeshat ke rukne ka khatra barqarar hai, halan ke hukoomat ne growth ke liye infrastructure spending ka plan banaya hai. Magar, is plan ko maqrooz hone ke dar se shak ki nigah se dekha ja raha hai. Mehngai (inflation) bhi ek bara masla hai, magar Bank of England ki taraf se koi wazeh ishaara nahi hai ke wo rate cuts karein ge ya nahi. Ye be-yaqeeni Pound par dabao bana rahi hai.

Tekniki Tajziya:
GBP/USD abhi ek chhoti range mein move kar raha hai. Aham levels jin par nazar rakhni chahiye:
Support Level: 1.2400
Resistance Level: 1.2450
50-Day Moving Average: 1.2475 jo ek mazboot rukawat (ceiling) ka kaam kar raha hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 48 par hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke market mein koi tez trend nahi hai. Traders U.S. jobs data aur Bank of England ke rate policy hints ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar Amreeka ka jobs report mazboot aata hai, to Dollar aur mazid taqatwar ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

Nateeja :
GBP/USD ek ahem mod par hai. RSI neutral hai aur koi wazeh direction nahi dikh rahi. 1.2400 ka support aur 1.2450 ka resistance ahem honge. Agar price in levels ko todti hai, to ek bara move ho sakta hai, magar jab tak aisa nahi hota, market ehtiyaat se kaam le rahi hai aur sab ki nazar agle hafte ke U.S. jobs data aur Bank of England ki developments par hai.

فروری 3 2025 کے لیے برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

صدر ٹرمپ کی طرف سے میکسیکو اور چین کی اشیا پر 25% محصولات متعارف کروانے سے شروع ہونے والے مارکیٹ کریش کے بعد، ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 فیوچرز 1.7% تک گر گئے۔ نتیجے کے طور پر، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے دن کا آغاز صرف 100 پیپس سے زیادہ کے فرق کے ساتھ کیا۔ تاہم، تین گھنٹوں کے اندر، مارکیٹیں محتاط طریقے سے بحال ہونے لگیں، جس کا مقصد پیدا ہونے والے خلا کو ختم کرنا تھا۔



ہمیں یقین ہے کہ پاؤنڈ اس فرق کو ختم کرنے میں کامیاب ہو جائے گا، جس میں ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی طرف سے یومیہ ٹائم فریم میں تصحیح محدود ہے۔ فرق بند ہونے کے بعد، ہم 1.2186 پر کلیدی سپورٹ لیول کو نشانہ بناتے ہوئے، قیمت میں بعد میں کمی کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔ خاص طور پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر ابھی منفی علاقے میں داخل ہوا ہے، یہ تجویز کرتا ہے کہ خلا کی بندش نسبتاً تیزی سے ہو سکتی ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت میں کمی مارلن آسیلیٹر کے نیوٹرل زیرو لائن سے الٹنے کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔ آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن فیصلہ کن طور پر مضبوطی کے مرحلے سے نیچے کی طرف ٹوٹ گئی ہے اور بصری طور پر اوور سیلڈ ایریا تک پہنچ گئی ہے۔ یہاں تک کہ خلا کے بغیر، آسیلیٹر کے لیے نیچے کی طرف رجحان کو برقرار رکھنا مشکل ہوتا۔ تاہم، خلا کی موجودگی اوپر کی طرف اصلاح کے امکان کو بڑھا دیتی ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ تصحیح جلد ہی ختم ہو جائے گی، جس کے بعد پاؤنڈ کی کمی دوبارہ شروع ہو جائے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ke jode ke liye mera nuqtah nazar is tarah hai:
Filhal, hamare pas 1.2315 - 1.2280 ke ird-gird hadaf ki satah ke sath ek wazeh mandi ka signal hai. In satahon par qimat ke radde amal ki buniyad par, ham pullback par qalil muddati kharidari ke mauqe par gaur kar sakte hain.
Mumkena support satah 1.2380 par haftawar pivot ho sakta hai. Yah bat qabile gaur hai keh magin zones ke mutabiq, long positions kholna tarjihi tejarati faisla bana hua hai. Jab qimat 1.2369 ki satah se niche fix ho jayegi to, mansi ke jazbat me tabdili waqe hogi.
Darmiyani muddat ka nuqtah nazar mandi ka bana hua hai, jisme kayi imkanat hain. 1.2315 - 1.2280 ke hadaf ki satah ka test karne ke bad, mai bad me tezi se islah ki tawaqqo karta hun. Qalil se darmiyani muddat me, mai is bat ko mustarad nahin karta hun keh qimat 1.2100 ke ird-gird pichli nichli satah ka dobara test karke farokht karne walon ko raghib kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY Analysis

USD/JPY ka hourly chart dikhata hai ke price ne ek upward correction dikhayi hai ek significant downtrend ke baad. Bollinger Bands yeh batate hain ke volatility zyada rahi hai, aur price lower band se bounce hone ke baad recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Magar stochastic oscillator abhi overbought zone mein hai, jo ek reversal ya bullish momentum ke slowdown ka indication de sakta hai. Agar price 155.50 ke upar break kare, toh further bullish continuation ho sakta hai, lekin agar yahan rejection milta hai toh price dobara neeche gir sakta hai.
EUR/JPY Analysis


EUR/JPY ka hourly chart downward bias dikhata hai, aur price key resistance levels ko todne mein mushkil mehsoos kar raha hai. Stochastic oscillator mid-range mein hai, jo market direction mein indecisiveness ka pata deta hai. Price action Bollinger Bands ke andar consolidation dikhata hai, jisme lower highs aur lower lows ka pattern nazar aata hai. Agar price 161.00 ke upar break nahi kar sakta, toh aur zyada decline hoke 159.50 tak pohonch sakta hai. Lekin agar strong bullish breakout hota hai, toh sentiment change hoke price 162.50 ki taraf badh sakti hai.
GBP/USD Analysis


GBP/USD ne pichle lows se strong recovery dikhayi hai, aur abhi takreeban 1.2300 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Bollinger Bands yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke volatility tight ho rahi hai, jo ek breakout ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic indicator oversold region mein hai, jo ek upward move ka indication deta hai. Magar 1.2350 ek crucial resistance level hai, jise todna bulls ke liye zaroori hoga. Agar price is level ke upar sustain karti hai, toh agla target 1.2450 ho sakta hai. Magar agar price 1.2280 ke neeche girti hai, toh ek aur bearish leg dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo 1.2200 tak ja sakti hai.
Litecoin Analysis


Litecoin ke price action mein significant volatility hai, aur recent peaks aur troughs ek unstable trend ka indication dete hain. Stochastic oscillator oversold region ke qareeb hai, jo ek upward correction ka signal de sakta hai. Magar price abhi tak key resistance levels ke neeche hai, jo batata hai ke bulls control lene mein mushkil mehsoos kar rahe hain. Agar Litecoin 115.00 ke upar break kare, toh agla target 122.00 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar rejection hoti hai, toh price further decline kar ke 104.00 ka support test kar sakti hai.
Summary


Instruments ka trend mixed hai, kuch assets recovery dikhate hain jabke kuch consolidation phase mein hain. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke key resistance aur support levels ko closely monitor karein aur technical indicators ke signals ka intezar karein pehle trade enter karne se pehle. Risk management bohot zaroori hai, kyunki sudden volatility se unexpected price movements ho sakti hain.
Buyers ke Liye Faiday:
Agar pound support levels se rebound kare, toh buyers ke liye acha trading opportunity ho sakta hai.
Bullish breakout ka intezar karna ek strong entry strategy ho sakta hai.
Sellers ke Liye Faiday:
Agar pound weak hota hai Bank of England ke rate cut expectations ki wajah se, toh sellers short positions se faida utha sakte hain.
Strong resistance levels par rejection hone par short karna ek profitable opportunity ho sakti hai.

Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo sirf technical analysis par bharosa na karein, balki fundamental analysis ko bhi consider karein trading decisions banane se pehle.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aisa lagta hai keh pound/dollar ka joda ibtedai ghanti ke bad se recover ho raha hai. Qabile zikar bat yah hai keh, Bartanwi pound ek mazbut gap ke sath khula, kiyunkeh Americi dollar me numaya izafa hua. Filhal, yah jodi 1.2160 ke nishan ki taraf badh rahi hai, jo ek mumkena support satah hai, halankeh iski tasdiq ki zarurat hai. Lehaza abhi ke liye, mai sirf market par nazar dekh raha hun. Iske bawajud, dollar control me hai. Majmui taur par, mai in satahon par trade shuru karne par gaur nahin kar raha hun, lekin mujhe yaqin hai keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.2160 se niche gir sakta hai. Is satah par false breakout ki surat me, mai long positions par gaur karunga.