جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

دسمبر 19 2024 کے لیے برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

فیڈرل ریزرو کی طرف سے کل کی شرح میں 0.25 فیصد کٹوتی اور ایف. او. ایم. سی. ممبران کی جانب سے ہوکیش ریٹ آؤٹ لک کے بعد، برطانوی پاؤنڈ 135 پِپس تک گر گیا۔ قیمت 1.2616 سپورٹ لیول کے ذریعے ٹوٹ گئی، 1.2510 پر اگلی سپورٹ کی طرف راہ ہموار ہوئی۔ روزانہ چارٹ پر مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں مضبوطی سے آباد ہے، جو نیچے کی طرف بڑھنے کے رجحان کی تصدیق کرتا ہے۔



آج، بینک آف انگلینڈ کی جانب سے موجودہ شرح کو 4.75% پر برقرار رکھنے کی توقع ہے، لیکن مارکیٹیں فروری میں شروع ہونے والی شرح میں کمی کے دوبارہ شروع ہونے کی توقع رکھتی ہیں، جو ممکنہ طور پر اسے 3.25% تک کم کر سکتی ہیں۔ یہ نقطہ نظر اب بھی فیڈ کی حکمت عملی سے زیادہ نرم ہوگا۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت قدرے اوپر کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے، جو زیادہ فروخت شدہ علاقے سے مارلن آسیلیٹر کے الٹ جانے کے ساتھ سیدھ میں ہے۔ 1.2616 مزاحمتی سطح مزید ترقی کی راہ میں رکاوٹ کے طور پر کام کرتی ہے۔ تصحیح مکمل ہونے کے بعد، قیمت 1.2510 پر ہدف کی حمایت کی طرف اپنی نقل و حرکت دوبارہ شروع کرنے کی امید ہے۔ اس سطح سے نیچے کا وقفہ 1.2447 کا راستہ کھول دے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

H4 timeframe ka chart GB/USD pair ke price movement ka analysis dikhata hai, jahan recent candlestick activity aur indicators ka zikar hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price ne 1.27689 ke resistance level ko touch kiya, magar wahan se decline karte hue ab 1.27421 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh decline ek possible bearish correction ka signal de raha hai. Bears Power (13) indicator negative hai (-0.001138), jo sellers ke zyada powerful hone ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Yeh confirm karta hai ke filhal market mein bearish pressure dominate kar raha hai. Saath hi, Awesome Oscillator (AO) ki reading positive hai (0.005014), magar momentum ab halki weakness dikhata hai. Green bars ka size chhota ho raha hai, jo slow bullish momentum ya reversal ka signal de sakta hai.
Price action se lagta hai ke 1.27689 ka resistance abhi tak mazboot hai, aur agar price is level ko todta hai to agla target 1.28000 ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar price ne 1.27000 ke psychological support level ko tod diya, to ek aur bearish wave dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo price ko 1.26500 tak le ja sakti hai.
Is waqt, market sideways consolidation ke phase mein lag raha hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono ki strength barabar nazar aa rahi hai. Agar bulls ne price ko resistance level ke upar push kiya, to bullish continuation ka chance barh sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar bears ne price ko niche gira diya, to short-term selling opportunities ban sakti hain.
Traders ke liye suggestion yeh hai ke kisi bhi position ke liye clear breakout ka intizaar karein. Agar price 1.27689 ke upar close karta hai, to buy karna behtar hoga. Lekin, agar price 1.27000 ke niche jata hai, to selling opportunities explore ki ja sakti hain. Indicators ke mixed signals ko dekhte hue zaruri hai ke tight stop loss aur risk management ka khayal rakha jaye.
Yeh market analysis technical basis par tayar ki gayi hai aur live market movement ke mutabiq trade karte waqt updated analysis ka zaroor review karein

GBP/USD pair abhi 1.2486 par trade kar raha hai aur choti timeframes par bearish trend nazar aa raha hai.USD index recent bullish trend ke sath band hua, jiski wajah se GBP/USD neeche gaya. Chart analysis ke mutabiq GBP/USD ka general trend abhi bhi bearish hai, aur sellers ka control zyada hai, lekin pichle haftay ke muqable mein unki strength thodi kam hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) bearish signal de raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke sellers ka momentum abhi bhi majood hai. Saath hi, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi bearish signal show kar raha hai, jo downward bias ko aur support karta hai. Pair abhi 50 EMA ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Resistance levels mein sabse pehla resistance 1.2770 par hai, uske baad 1.3422 aur phir 1.4240 par strong resistance hai. Support levels mein pehla support 1.2074 par hai, uske baad 1.1422 aur phir strong support 1.0373 par hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.2500 ke upar sustain karta hai, toh yeh 1.2600 ka aim kar sakta hai aur shayad 1.2664 aur 1.2728 tak consolidate kare. Lekin agar yeh 1.2500 ke neeche jata hai, toh price 1.2430 tak gir sakta hai, aur phir shayad April ke lows 1.2300 ke qareeb pohonch jaye, aur mazeed neeche 1.2170-1.2200 ke range mein girne ka imkaan hai. Pound kuch resilience dikhata hai aur 1.2510 ke support area ke upar sustain kar raha hai, lekin traders Bank of England ke interest rate decision ke liye cautious hain. Is dauran, 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross ka signal deeper bearish moves ka imkaan dikhata hai jab tak koi reversal na ho. Is sab ke bawajood, GBP/USD abhi bhi neeche girne ke liye vulnerable hai jab tak buyers ka control wapas nahi aata. Key levels aur central bank decisions ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake agle moves ko samjha ja sake.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Pound/dollar ki jodi pichle do dino me numaya taur par gir gayi hai aur imkan hai keh aaj is ke nuqsanat me tausie hogi. Market me zyada utar-chadhaw ki wajah se 1.2486 ke muqami nichli satah ke false breajout ke bare me qayas kafi munasib hai.
Yaqinan, koi bhi Bartanwi pound ko 1.2445 ke qarib kharidne ki koshish kar sakta hai, lekin intehai ehtiyat ke sath, kiyunkeh aaj ke liye markazi simt abhi bhi niche ki taraf hai.
Yaumiyah chart par, pound/dollar ki jodi pahle hi muqami November ki nichli satah se niche gir chuki hai, lekin ise support satah ka mukammla breakout nahin samjha ja sakta hai. Lehaza, European session ke khulne ka intezar karna behtar hai.



1-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, qimat 100% Fibonacci level ki satah ko paar kar gayi hai, jo 1.2496 ke nishan ke sath mawafiq hai. Lehaza, jab tak agle 138.2% Fibonacci level (1.2432) ka test nahin kiya jata hai, tab tak mazbut oversold suratehal ke bawajud long positions kholne ke bare me shaki hun.
Ab mujhe ummid hai keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.2496 ya yahan tak keh 1.2561 ki muzahmati satah par wapas aa jayega, jahan se mai yaqini taur par short jaunga. Agar 1.2665 se maujudah mandi ki lahar ko mukammal samjha jaye to, 1.2561 par wapsi na sirf oversold suratehal ko rahat degi balkeh ek islah ka kam karegi, jis se mazid kami ki rah hamwar hogi.

"GBP/USD ka H4 timeframe dekhte huye, market mein kaafi strong downward trend nazar aa raha hai. Price iss waqt 1.2481 ke level par trade kar rahi hai, jo ek strong support zone lagta hai. Recent candles ka price action yeh suggest karta hai ke selling pressure kaafi zyada hai, jo shayad upcoming economic data ya dollar ke strength ka result ho sakta hai.
Agar hum technical indicators ki baat karein, toh MACD negative territory mein hai, jiska current value -0.00494 hai. Yeh clearly bearish momentum ko show kar raha hai. Dusri taraf, CCI ki value -126.03 hai, jo oversold zone mein hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price ab extreme levels par pohanch chuki hai aur wahan se reversal ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Lekin, oversold condition ka matlab yeh nahi hota ke market turant reverse karegi; kabhi kabhi price zyada time tak neeche reh sakti hai.
Chart ko dekhte huye, agar support level tod diya gaya, toh next major support zone 1.2400 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Yeh level buyers ke liye kaafi important hoga kyunke yahan se price ko upward push mil sakta hai. Lekin agar buyers strong nahi rahe, toh price aur neeche ja sakti hai.
Resistance ki baat karein, toh sabse pehla resistance 1.2550 ka level lagta hai. Agar price wahan tak pohanchti hai aur sustain karti hai, toh yeh confirmation hoga ke market bullish zone mein wapas aa rahi hai. Lekin jab tak price 1.2550 ke upar nahi jati, tab tak selling pressure dominate kar sakta hai.
Is waqt market participants ko chaahiye ke fundamentals aur upcoming news events par bhi nazar rakhein, kyunke woh price ko kaafi move kar sakte hain. Short-term traders ke liye yeh ek cautious zone hai. Agar aap scalping karte hain, toh support aur resistance levels ke aas paas trade karna behtareen strategy hogi.

دسمبر 20 2024 کے لیے برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل کی برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر موومنٹ کی رینج بدھ کو 172 پیپس سے تجاوز کر گئی، لیکن آخر کار، اس سے پاؤنڈ کو کوئی فائدہ نہیں ہوا۔ دن 72- پیپس نقصان کے ساتھ بند ہوا، 1.2510 پر ہدف کی حمایت کو توڑ کر۔ توازن لائن نے اوپر کی حرکت کو محدود کر دیا۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر مندی والے علاقے میں ترقی کر رہا ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ جوڑی 1.2447 کی سطح کو توڑ کر 1.2367 کو ہدف بنائے گی۔ چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر قیمت بھی بیلنس لائن سے رک گئی۔ مزید برآں، مارلن آسیلیٹر نیوٹرل زیرو لائن سے نیچے کی طرف مڑ گیا۔

اس وقت، قیمت 1.2510 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہو گئی ہے۔ آسیلیٹر کی گہری کمی کے باوجود، اوور سیلڈ زون کو ابھی تک پوری طرح سے استعمال نہیں کیا جاسکا ہے۔ اگر سگنل لائن ٹرینڈ باؤنڈری سے الٹ جاتی ہے تو آسیلیٹر مزید منفی علاقے میں ڈوب سکتا ہے۔ یہ دستیاب رفتار ہدف قیمت کی سطح 1.2367 تک پہنچنے کے لیے کافی ہونی چاہیے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

British Pound Stabilizes as Retail Sales Edge Up

British pound ne Friday ko stability dikhayi, jabke pichle do dinon mein 1.6% gir chuki thi. European session mein, GBP/USD 1.2510 par trade kar raha hai, jo din ke shuruat mein 0.10% neeche tha.

Key Points:

• UK retail sales November mein 0.2% barhi, jo forecast se kam thi, jabke mehngai aur high interest rates households par asar daal rahe hain.
• Retail sales ka growth zyada tar non-food stores (+2.5%) aur food stores (+0.5%) ki wajah se hua, jabke clothing sales November mein 2.6% gir gayi.
• GBP/USD retail sales data ke baad volatility face kar raha hai, jo mixed economic signals ke beech market uncertainty ko dikhata hai.

Retail Sales Point to Weak Christmas Spending
UK retail sales November mein sirf 0.2% m/m barhi, jo October ke 0.7% decline se ek rebound tha, magar market estimate 0.5% miss kar gaya. Weak clothing sales aur wet weather retail sales growth ko hamper kar rahe hain. Clothing sales apne January 2022 ke lowest volume par hain.

Annually, retail sales 0.5% barhi, jo October ke downward revised 2% gain ke muqable mein aur market ke 0.8% estimate se neeche thi.

Weak retail sales ka report yeh dikhata hai ke consumers key Christmas shopping period ke dauran cautious hain, jo economic activity ko kamzor kar raha hai. ‘Tax and Spend’ Autumn budget ne consumer confidence improve nahi ki, kyun ke log abhi bhi high prices aur elevated interest rates ki wajah se squeeze ho rahe hain.

UK Inflation aur Economic Challenges
November mein UK inflation 2.6% y/y tak barh gaya, jo October ke 2.3% ke muqable mein ek eight-month high tha. Iski wajah se concerns barh rahe hain ke economy nayi saal mein stagflation phase mein daakhil ho sakti hai, jisme low growth aur high inflation hoti hai.

Economy pichle do mahine se contract kar rahi hai aur Bank of England (BoE) yeh project kar raha hai ke inflation barhta rahega aur 2025 tak 3% ke kareeb pohanch sakta hai.

BoE ne Thursday ko apna cash rate 4.75% par barqarar rakha, jo expect kiya gaya tha. BoE monetary policy summary ne kaha ke policy tab tak restrictive rahegi jab tak inflation ka upside risk kam nahi hota. Central bank ne “gradual” approach ka signal diya hai easing policy ke liye, jo February ke agle meeting mein ek rate cut ka chance banata hai, magar yeh inflation ke neeche aane par depend karega.

Retail Sales Breakdown (November 2024)
Office for National Statistics ke mutabiq:

• Non-food store sales November mein 2.5% barhi.
• Food store sales mein 0.5% ka izafa hua.
• Household goods store sales 1.1% barhi.
• Textile clothing aur footwear store sales 2.6% neeche gayi, jo significant girawat hai.
• Department store sales mein 0.9% decline hua.
• Automotive fuel sales bhi 0.7% neeche giri.

Retail sales volumes August 2024 se November 2024 tak ke three-month period mein 0.3% barhi.

BoE ne Q4 2024 ke liye growth forecast ko revise karke 0.3% se zero kar diya. Sticky inflation ke saath, yeh stagflation ke risk ko highlight karta hai.

Labor Market aur Inflation ka Pressure
BoE ke Decision Maker Panel Survey ke mutabiq, Q4 2024 mein businesses plan kar rahe hain ke woh jobs ko cut karein aur prices ko barhayein UK budget ke response mein. Yeh grim labor market aur inflation outlook ko dikhata hai, jo near-term private consumption ko affect kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka Reaction UK Retail Sales Report ke Baad
UK retail sales data release hone se pehle, GBP/USD ne $1.25075 ka high touch kiya, phir low $1.24746 tak gaya.
Data release ke baad, GBP/USD briefly $1.24990 ke low tak giri aur phir $1.25088 ke high tak pohanchi.



December 20, Friday ko, GBP/USD 0.04% barh ke $1.25061 par thi. Muted response yeh dikhata hai ke traders broader economic concerns, jaise ke inflation aur labor market risks, par focused hain.

British pound mixed economic signals aur weak retail sales data ke beech mein ek delicate position par hai. High inflation aur stagflation ke risks economy ko ek challenging environment mein daal rahe hain, jabke BoE ka gradual policy approach uncertainty ko barhata hai.

Agar inflation control hoti hai aur consumer confidence improve hoti hai, toh GBP/USD mein stability aa sakti hai. Lekin, current market dynamics aur grim labor market ke saath, British pound par pressure barkarar reh sakta hai.

Zaroor, niche diye gaye chart ke mutabiq ek 350 words ki roman Urdu post likhta hoon:

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GBP/USD Chart Analysis
Aaj hum GBP/USD ke price action ka analysis karte hain jo chart mein dekhai gayi hai. Yeh chart dikhata hai ki pichlay kuch mahino mein market mein kafi volatility rahi hai. Price ne apne highs aur lows ke darmiyan kafi dafa bounce kiya hai, jo ek dynamic trend ko represent karta hai.
Chart ke mutabiq, 1.28070 aur 1.29133 ke aas paas ek strong resistance zone hai, jahan price ne kai dafa upward movement ke baad rukawat ka samna kiya. Yeh zone traders ke liye ek significant level ban sakta hai agar price wapis upar jane ki koshish kare. Dusri taraf, 1.25676 aur 1.24967 ke darmiyan ek strong support zone hai, jahan price ne neeche girne ke bawajood stability dikhai.
Chart par Bollinger Bands aur Moving Averages bhi use hui hain jo market ke trend aur momentum ko samajhne mein madadgar hain. Bollinger Bands dikhate hain ke price zyada tar apne range ke andar hi trade kar raha hai, lekin breakout hone ke chances bhi hain agar volatility barh jaye. Moving averages ki positioning dikhati hai ke abhi downward trend zyada dominant hai, lekin price kabhi bhi pullback kar sakta hai.
Agar technical indicators ki baat karein, toh price filhal apne key moving averages ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko confirm karta hai. Magar agar price 1.27140 ke level ko todh kar upar chala jaye, toh bullish reversal ke chances ho sakte hain. Isliye, traders ko chahiye ke woh dono support aur resistance zones par nazar rakhein aur apne trades ko risk management ke sath execute karein.
Conclusion:
GBP/USD filhal ek bearish trend mein hai, magar support levels par buying interest develop ho sakta hai. Resistance levels critical hain aur breakout ya rejection ke liye closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Yeh chart un traders ke liye helpful hai jo swing trading ya short-term trades lena chahte hain.

GBP/USD ke H4 chart par ek wazeh bearish dominance nazar aa rahi hai jisme consistently lower highs aur lower lows shamil hain.Price 200-period moving average ke neeche trade kar rahi hai jo downward trend ko mazid confirm karta hai. Support level jo lagbhag 1.2560 ke kareeb hai, historically ek ahem price area raha hai, magar is ka todna bearish momentum ki tazeerat ko barhawa deta hai.Jab price is level ko dobara reclaim karne mein nakam raha, to yeh sellers ke control ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo 44.92 par hai, ye signal deta hai ke pair abhi oversold nahi hai magar bearish bias abhi bhi intact hai kyun ke yeh neutral 50 mark ke neeche hai. Money Flow Index (MFI) bhi 34.34 par hai, jo declining buying pressure ko dikhata hai, aur yeh saabit karta hai ke traders abhi bhi long positions lene mein hesitant hain.Yeh tamaam indicators bearish structure ko mazid confirm karte hain. Aane wale waqt ke liye technical outlook mazeed downside movement ke imkaan ko dikhata hai. 1.2560 support level ke neeche ka break price ko 1.2500 ke psychological level tak retest karne ka raasta deta hai jo historical price sensitivity zones ke saath align karta hai.Agar bearish momentum barqaraar raha to agli target 1.2450 ke aas paas ho sakti hai. Declining volume aur upward movements ko sustain na karne ki nakami bearish control ko mazid confirm karti hai.Traders ko chahiye ke woh 1.2560 ke broken support par kisi bhi retest ko closely monitor karein, kyun ke is level par rejection short entries ke liye opportunities de sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko reclaim kar ke upar sustain kare to yeh ek reversal ya consolidation phase ko signal kar sakta hai. Jab tak price 200-period moving average aur key resistance levels jaise 1.2660 ke neeche hai overall bearish sentiment dominate karta rahega.Iss market trend ka analysis yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke ek corrective move ka imkaan hai is se pehle ke trend continue kare.Lekin buyers ki dominance abhi puri tarah solidify nahi hui, isliye ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai.Moving Averages ka cross hona price increases ka signal de sakta hai, jo medium-term trends par focus karne walon ke liye ahem hai. Agar price neeche gira to yeh ek acha entry point ho sakta hai.Parabolic SAR ka neeche se upar cross hona continued price increases ka imkaan mazbooti se confirm karta hai jo buyers ke confidence ko support deta hai.Risk ko mitigate karne ke liye aakhri price point ko stop-loss ke taur par use karna zaroori hai.

Yeh GBP/USD ka 4-hour (H4) timeframe chart hai jo price movement aur technical indicators dikhata hai. Chart mein green candles price ke movement ko show karti hain, aur yellow lines moving averages hain, jo price ke trend ka andaza lagane ke liye use hoti hain. Neeche stochastic indicator dikhaya gaya hai jo momentum aur overbought/oversold zones ko highlight karta hai. Is chart ke mutabiq, price filhal 1.25800 ke aas-paas hai. Yellow moving averages ne cross kiya hai, jo ek trend reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Jab price moving averages ke neeche hoti hai, toh yeh bearish trend hota hai, lekin jab price upar aati hai, toh yeh bullish signal ban jata hai. Yahan par price neeche girne ke baad rebound kar rahi hai, jo ek recovery ka izhar hai. Stochastic indicator oversold zone ke paas tha, jiska matlab tha ke market mein zyada selling pressure tha. Ab yeh indicator upward direction mein move kar raha hai, jo momentum ke improve hone ka signal de raha hai. Jab stochastic 20 se neeche hota hai, toh yeh oversold zone hota hai, aur 80 ke upar hota hai toh yeh overbought zone hota hai. Filhal stochastic indicator 61 par hai, jo bullish momentum ka izhar kar raha hai.

Chart par recent candles bullish hain, jo price ke upward move ki taraf ishara kar rahi hain. Price ne neeche se support liya aur ab resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar price 1.2600 ke level ke upar break kare, toh yeh aur zyada bullish move ka signal hoga. Aakhir mein, yeh chart short-term mein bullish momentum show kar raha hai, lekin agle resistance levels ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Traders ko stochastic aur moving averages ke signal ka ghoor se analysis karna chahiye aur apne risk management strategies ko follow karna chahiye. Yeh analysis short-term trading ke liye madadgaar ho sakta hai, lekin har trade se pehle additional analysis karna zaroori hai.

Aaj subah main GBP/USD market ka analysis kar raha hoon aur trading mein seekhi hui strategies ko apply karna mujhe pasand hai. GBP/USD is waqt 1.2565 par trade kar raha hai, aur price movement mein kaafi weakness dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke sellers abhi bhi market par dominate kar rahe hain aur price ko neeche le jaane ki koshish karenge. RSI indicator ka value 44.90 hai, jo signal karta hai ke price bearish momentum ke sath moving average lines ke neeche cross kar sakta hai. MACD ka midline ke neeche hona aur moving averages ka bearish signal dena bhi yeh confirm karte hain ke market ka rujhan neeche ki taraf hai. Chart par dekha jaye toh price 50 aur 20-day exponential moving averages ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo ek clear bearish trend ko show karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf breakout karta hai, toh immediate resistance levels 1.2798, 1.2974, aur 1.3112 par hain, jabke neeche girne ki surat mein support levels 1.2476, 1.2166, aur 1.1719 par hain. Geopolitical events jaise ke trade policies mein tabdeeli aur tariffs ke threats bhi market sentiment ko mutasir karte hain, lekin inka broader market reaction ab tak kaafi limited raha hai. Phir bhi, yeh volatility ko highlight karta hai, aur traders ko alert rehna zaroori hai, khas tor par agar koi nayi geopolitical development samne aaye. Friday ko GBP/USD pair ne recovery dikhayi aur 1.2600 ke qareeb rebound kiya, jo ek din mein kareeb ek percent ka gain tha, lekin abhi price 20-day EMA ke paas 1.2664 par resistance face kar raha hai. Yeh moving average resistance ka kaam karega aur yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke price is level ko todta hai ya wahan se wapas neeche girta hai. GBP/USD ka recent trajectory yeh signal karta hai ke halan ke uptrend ki koshish ho rahi hai, lekin abhi bhi market bearish pressure ke neeche hai, aur technical indicators near-term correction ke liye point karte hain. Traders ko US economic data aur Fed commentary ke sath UK economic developments ko bhi closely monitor karna hoga, taake market ke agle possible move ko samjha ja sake.

GBP/USD Overall Update

GBP/USD market abhi downward trend mein hai. Yeh recently 1.24755 tak gir gaya tha aur ab thoda recover karke 1.2507 par trade kar raha hai analysis ke waqt.

Key Levels aur Scenarios:

Reverse Probability: Agar GBP/USD market continue karta hai upar ki taraf, to yeh recent resistance 1.2570 ko test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ko break kiya, to momentum mein change ho sakta hai aur investors ke liye additional opportunities mil sakti hain.
Adverse Risks: Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD abhi ke levels ko hold nahi kar pata aur selling pressure ka samna karta hai, to support 1.24500 ka retest ho sakta hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai, to aur zyada losses ho sakte hain aur downtrend gehra ho sakta hai.

Indicators Supporting the Analysis:

• RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI indicator traders ko current trend ki strength ko samajhne mein madad karta hai, yeh overbought ya oversold conditions ke baare mein information deta hai.
• 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA): 100 SMA medium-term price movements ko monitor karta hai. Abhi GBP/USD apni moving average se neeche hai, jo bearish market trend ko indicate karta hai.

Trading Strategy:

• Bullish Scenarios: Agar GBP/USD 1.2570 ke upar break karta hai, to investors buying consider kar sakte hain, target 1.2600 ya usse upar ka ho sakta hai. Risk manage karte waqt stop loss ko resistance levels ke upar set karna zaroori hai taake losses se bacha ja sake.
• Bearish Scenarios: Agar GBP/USD 1.24500 ke neeche move karta hai, to yeh aur downside ko indicate karega. Aise mein short positions khol sakte hain, targets 1.2400 ya usse neeche. Stop loss ko 1.2500 ke upar set karna chahiye.

Conclusion:
GBP/USD abhi sensitive territory mein hai; resistance aur support levels next move decide karenge. Current market dynamics ko samajhna aur risk management ko sahi tarike se implement karna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis
GBP/USD ka daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke price filhal 1.25851 ke aas paas hai. Recent price action se lagta hai ke market consolidate kar rahi hai, aur koi clear trend nahi hai. Pehle ki girawat ke baad, price ne support level ke paas stability dikhai hai.
Volumes indicator ka data dikhata hai ke recent trading activity moderate hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke abhi market mein koi bara breakout ya breakdown hone ke chances kam hain, jab tak significant volume increase na ho. Volume spike kabhi kabhi trend reversal ya continuation ka signal hota hai, jo abhi tak is chart mein nahi dikh raha.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka indicator negative territory mein hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, MACD ka signal line ke kareeb rehna yeh suggest karta hai ke momentum weak hai, aur price sideways ya range-bound reh sakti hai.
Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) indicator bhi abhi zyada significant signal nahi de raha. Red aur green bars ka mix yeh dikhata hai ke market mein uncertainty hai. Jab tak AC indicator consistent green ya red nahi hota, tab tak koi clear direction expect nahi ki ja sakti.
Price action ke hisaab se, agar GBP/USD 1.25600 ke support level ke neeche girta hai, toh nayi bearish move shuru ho sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar price 1.26000 ke resistance level ko todta hai, toh bullish momentum ka chance ho sakta hai.
Conclusion yeh hai ke GBP/USD abhi neutral zone mein hai, aur traders ko confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Volume aur MACD pe nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke yeh dono indicators future trend ka signal de sakte hain. Market filhal short-term trades ke liye zyada suitable lagta hai.

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Forex traders aaj GBP/USD pair ko ghore se dekh rahe hain, jo abhi ek nazuk mor par hai, jahan live rates Buy: 1.2577 aur Sell: 1.2574 ke kareeb hain. Ye rates sirf adad nahi hain, balki global maashi haalat aur market sentiment ka aks hain.Holiday season ke chalte kam volume aur liquidity ke doran, ye pair ek dilchasp kahani pesh kar raha hai jo fundamental aur technical factors se mutasir hai. Fundamental Analysis:
British Pound is waqt dabao mein hai kyunke UK wage growth sustain nahi kar pa raha, jo ke economic slowdown ka ishara de raha hai. Kam hoti hui wages ki barhati ahmiyat ne pound ki upward potential ko kamzor kar diya hai. Dusri taraf, US Dollar abhi tak Federal Reserve ki economic optimism ki wajah se stable hai, lekin potential policy changes ki afwahen is stability ko hila sakti hain. Market activity ke holiday-thinned nature ne volatility ko aur barhawa diya hai, jo price movements ko exaggerate kar raha hai.
GBP/USD pair abhi 1.2575 ke kareeb range mein hai, jahan significant support 1.2560 aur resistance 1.2590–1.2600 ke darmiyan hai. Price action abhi tak faislay ka intezar kar raha hai, lekin breakout ka rukh abhi tak clear nahi hai. RSI jaise indicators neutral territory mein hain, jo kisi ek taraf ke liye clear signal nahi dete. Moving averages bhi mixed sentiment dikhate hain, jo bulls aur bears ke darmiyan takraar ko saaf zahir karta hai.Market sentiment is waqt divided hai. Bulls 1.2800 tak recovery dekhte hain, jabke bears pair ki inability to sustain gains par focus karte hain, aur 1.2400 ki taraf girawat ki afwahen hain. Bollinger Bands signal karte hain ke price rollback kar raha hai aur bands inward turn ho rahe hain. Koi bhi decisive movement tabhi ho sakti hai jab price active upper ya lower bands ko touch kare aur bands outward open hoon. Fractal perspective ke mutabiq, upward fractal ka breakout price ko 1.2787 tak le ja sakta hai, jabke downward breakout ke liye nayi fractal formation zaroori hogi.indicator negative zone mein hai aur abhi tak bearish momentum continue kar raha hai.Bullish shift ke liye volume ka zero mark ki taraf ana zaroori hai.
Is waqt patience zaroori hai, jab tak koi decisive signal mile jo next major move ko guide kare.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda filhal 1.3584 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Yuamiyah chart se pata chalta hai keh jodi takniki channel ke nichle hisse me aage badh rahi hai. Aaj ka sab se zyada imkani scenario tezi ki islah ke hisse ke taur par ooper ki harkat ki tajwiz karta hai. RSi hikmat amli ke mutabiq, joda oversold hai, jo kharidaron ke haq me hai.



1-ghante ke chart par, pound/dollar ka joda do moving average ke darmiyan khula. MA hikmat amli ke mutabiq, market me dakhil hone ki sifarish nahin ki jati hai.