جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD pair ne naye trading week ki shuruaat bearish note par ki, trading karte hue 1.2960-1.2955 ke range mein, jo ke 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se thoda neeche hai. Yeh positioning is baat ka ishara deti hai ke hal hi mein dekha gaya downtrend jari reh sakta hai, jisne pair ko mid-August ke baad se sabse neeche levels par le aaya hai, lagbhag 1.2900 ke aas paas. US dollar ke ird-gird maujood bullish sentiment GBP/USD ki kamzori ka ek aham sabab hai. Market participants ko umeed hai ke Federal Reserve November mein 25-basis-point interest rate cut karega, jo ke US economy ki barhti taqat ke chalte hai, jaisa ke recent economic data se zahir hota hai.

US durable goods orders ka report aur University of Michigan ka consumer confidence index dono hi umeed se zyada ache aaye, jo ke US economy ki mazbooti ko darshata hai aur aage ke rate cuts ki umeed ko mazid barhata hai. Is positive outlook ne US Treasury yields ko bhi upar le jaya, jis se dollar ki appeal barh gayi. Dusri taraf, pound sterling ne Bank of England ke zyada rate cuts ki umeed ke chalte kamzori ka shikaar hua. UK ke consumer prices ka 2% target se neeche girna in umeedon ko mazid barhata hai.




Technical nazariye se, GBP/USD pair ka 1.3000 psychological level ko kai dafa todne mein nakami hoti hai, jo bearish bias ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Aakhri low 1.2943 aur technical indicators jo continued selling pressure ka ishara dete hain, is downward trend ko support karte hain. Lekin, 2022 ke low se draw ki gayi long-term support trend line, jo ke filhal 1.2950 ke aas paas hai, upar ki taraf kuch protection deti hai. Agar 1.2950 ka level tod diya gaya, toh yeh girawat ko 200-day SMA par 1.2800 ki taraf tez kar sakta hai, khaaskar agar April-September ke uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level 1.2863 tod diya jaye. Aage ki losses 61.8% Fibonacci level par 1.2730 ke aas paas ruk sakti hain aur shayad August ke low 1.2663 tak extend ho sakti hain. Agar yeh downward trend jari raha, toh pair October 2023 ke low ke aas paas 1.2555 ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai.

Iske baraks, agar 1.3000 ka level phir se hasil kiya jata hai, toh yeh bullish reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan agle targets 20-day aur 50-day moving averages 1.3120 ke aas paas aur 23.6% Fibonacci level 1.3160 honge. In levels se upar nikalne se upward momentum August ke high 1.3265 ki taraf tez ho sakta hai.

Technical Analysis GBP/USD

H-4 Chart

Pound ki US Dollar ke muqable mein kya taqat dikhai degi, yeh abhi tak wazeh nahi hai. Jab ke US elections ka nateeja is par asar daal sakta hai aur GBP/USD ki price mein volatility la sakta hai, yeh sirf ek shor hai jo jald khatam ho jayega. Is hafte UK mein koi khaas khabar nahi hai, jab ke US mein badi khabrein Tuesday se shuru hoti hain. Main Wednesday se dekhna shuru karunga, jab US labor market ka data release hoga. Germany ke inflation figures bhi kaam kar sakte hain, lekin phir bhi pound ki keemat barh sakti hai.

Achi baat yeh hai ke agar correction mil jaye toh aur kharidne ka mauqa milega. Lekin, pehle Monday kaise guzarta hai, yeh dekhna hoga. Yahan par kuch options hain. Trading ke shuruat par 1.2958 se bounce hone ki sambhavnayein hain, jo ke inverse GIP ka right shoulder banayega, jiska neck level EMA50 par 1.30 hai. Upar ki taraf chalne se EMA200 tak raasta khulega, jo 1.3080 par hai, wahan se reversal ho sakta hai aur further declines aa sakti hain. Lekin agar 1.2858 ke neeche consolidation hota hai, toh wedge extension ke tor par ek target hoga, jahan humein 28 tarikh par entry ki umeed rakhni chahiye.




Aise halat mein, aise khabron ke peeche main Wednesday se correction ke liye kisi taraqqi ka soch bhi nahi sakta. Main ghalat bhi ho sakta hoon. Fundamentals ki baat karein toh, US mein Tuesday ko interest dikhai de raha hai aur Friday ko bhi barhta rahega, jab US ka non-farm data release hoga. Main is figure se positive results ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo pair ki further declines ka matlab hai. Aur yeh mat bhooliye ke US elections abhi bhi bazar par asar daal sakti hain.

Chart ke mutabiq, British Pound aur US Dollar ka 1-day timeframe dikhaya gaya hai, jo humein is currency pair ki recent trend aur movement ke bare mein insight de raha hai. July se le kar September ke beech, GBP/USD pair mein ek strong bullish trend tha, jismein price consistent tareeke se barh rahi thi. Yeh trend lagbhag 1.2300 ke aas-paas se start hua aur mid-October tak price 1.3400 ke upar tak pohanch gayi thi. Is dauraan bohot si green candles dekhi gayi jo ye signal deti hain ke buyers ka control market mein strong tha.
Lekin October ke middle mein is bullish trend mein reversal aaya. Chart mein humein dikhta hai ke October ke baad se price neeche gir rahi hai aur lower highs aur lower lows form kar rahi hai, jo ke ek clear bearish trend ka indication hai. Abhi tak kisi bhi support level par price rukti hui nazar nahi aayi, aur recent trend ke mutabiq, sellers ka pressure buyers par zyada hai.
Yahan par trading ke liye kuch strategies ko samajhna zaroori hai. Agar koi buyer is trend ko observe kar raha hai, toh unke liye ye dekhna zaroori hoga ke price kis support level par stability dikhati hai. Ek strong support level us waqt confirm ho sakta hai jab price lagatar decline ke baad kisi particular point par ruk jaye aur wahan se bounce back kare. Iss waqt, immediate support level 1.2900 ke kareeb lag raha hai, lekin agar ye break ho gaya toh price aur neeche ja sakti hai.
Dousri taraf, sellers ke liye ye ek favorable opportunity hai jab tak market mein downtrend clear hai. Sell positions ko tab tak maintain kiya ja sakta hai jab tak price lower lows aur lower highs form karti rahe. Lekin, agar kisi bhi waqt ek strong bullish candle form hoti hai ya price ek solid support par bounce back karti hai, toh sellers ke liye yeh signal ho sakta hai ke trend mein phir se reversal aa sakta hai.
Is chart se humein ye seekhne ko milta hai ke market trend aur price action ko closely observe karna kitna zaroori hai. Aur har trend ke saath, risk management aur patience rakhna trading mein successful hone ke liye important hai

GBP/USD Technical Overview:**
**H4 Time Frame Technical Analysis:**

H4 chart par, GBP/USD ke kharidaaron ne haal hi mein 1.3069 par ek mukhya upar ki taraf ka impulse tayar kiya hai. Magar, overall market ka context abhi tak nafrat bhara hai. Agar daam support zone 1.3020–1.3000 ke neeche gir jata hai, to upar ki taraf ke movement par shikayat ho sakti hai. Yeh support area bullish jazbat ko sambhalne ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai, aur agar yeh tut gaya to bearish pressure ke barhne ki sambhavana hai.

Mukhya resistance level 1.3069 par hai. Agar daam is level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh primary upward impulse ko activate karega, jo further gains ke liye rasta kholega. Is potential upward movement ke target levels 1.3129 aur 1.3166 par hain, jo pehli impulse zone ko darshate hain.

Haal ki trading dynamics ko dekhte hue, meri strategy yeh hai ke main 1.3020–1.3000 zone ke andar kharidne par ghoor karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke Friday ki bullish candle mein mazboot volume ki kami thi, jo ke Monday ke trading session ke shuruat mein southward pullback ki sambhavana ko barhata hai. In levels aur market ke reactions ko monitor karna agle qadam tay karne ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai.

GBP/USD trading instrument ne pichle hafte mein kamiyabi ka silsila jaari rakha, jab ke yeh apne tay kiye gaye channel mein raha, jab ke EUR/USD pair ke muqabil. Khaskar, daam ne 1.29894 ke critical level ko tod diya, jo ke haal ke trend movement ka extreme hai aur ek ahm support point hai. Pichle weekly candle ka rawaya, jo ek bullish pinbar ke taur par band hui, bullish potential ka ikattha hona darshata hai. Yeh pattern yeh darshata hai ke market ke hissedaron ko reversal ya kam se kam correction ke liye tayar ho sakte hain. Jab tak yeh support lambay arse tak mazboot rehne ki sambhavana hai, pinbar ka hona yeh ishara deta hai ke daam bekar nahi rahega aur ya to bullish movement ya trading activity mein izafa ho sakta hai jab traders is potential shift ka jawab dene lagte hain. Agle price action ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake yeh confirm ho sake ke bullish momentum asal mein ban sakta hai ya nahi.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Pound/Dollar ne hafte ko ek bullish candlestick ke sath khatam kiya, jahan is jor ne uptrend channel ko break kiya. Lekin, is baat ka kehna mushkil hai ke is mein mazbooti aayi hai. Mujhe ye bhi puri tarah se nahi pata ke kya channel abhi bhi valid hai. Filhal short position kholne ka koi sabab nahi hai, isliye main aaj bhi intezaar kar raha hoon, kyun ke mujhe koi north dikhayi nahi de raha aur south ki taraf dekhne ka bhi koi wajah nahi hai.

Hourly chart par indicators abhi bhi north ki taraf ja rahe hain, halan ke Bollinger Bands pehle hi is maujooda upward impulse ke khatam hone aur correction shuru hone ka ishara de rahe hain. Ek basic indicator bhi local perspective mein reversal dikhata hai, jo bearish divergence hai. Iske ilawa, Bollinger Bands ke outer line ke upar close hone ke baad ek local rise dekha gaya hai, is liye ye behtar hoga ke profits ko south ki taraf form karne par le liya jaye.




Four-hour chart par bhi indicators puri tarah north ki taraf ja rahe hain, lekin haal hi mein acceleration dekhi gayi hai, aur aise movements aksar reversal se pehle hoti hain. Ek basic indicator bhi short term mein reversal signal dikhata hai. Is liye mujhe lagta hai ke agle hafte ke shuruat par hum short position kholne par ghoor kar sakte hain.

General tor par Pound Sterling currency pair mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui hai, jahan mazboot upward movement jari hai aur kal bhi kafi acha faida dekha gaya. Ye na sirf 1.3145 area ka target achieve kiya, balki level 32 ke upar bhi close hua. Zaroor dollar par asar pada, jo kal kaafi kamzor hua. Ye natural hai, kyun ke Powell ne policy changes ki zaroorat ka zikar kiya. Halankeh dollar kaafi arse se kamzor hai aur ye sab kuch markets mein dikhayi dena chahiye, is liye humein kam se kam acha correction dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Filhal mere paas koi specific target nahi hai aur main is price level se transactions karne ka soch nahi raha. Lekin ye mumkin hai ke hum 1.3350$ tak pahunchein, halankeh main abhi bhi bechne ka signal talash raha hoon.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Price ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf momentum khona shuru kiya, jab Friday ki subah North America mein trading ke doran ye 1.2907 tak gira. Lekin exchange rate ne 1.2959 tak halka sa rebound dikhaya, jo ke 0.38% ki izafa hai, jabke US Dollar recovery ke asar dikhane laga. Ye tabdeeli un jari leheron ko dikhati hai, jahan dono currencies apne domestic economic policies aur global market trends ka jawab de rahi hain.

Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki contrasting monetary policies GBP/USD exchange rate par gehra asar daal rahi hain. Jabke Fed ne interest rates ko aggressively kam kiya hai, BoE ne rate reductions mein ehtiyaat se kaam lena shuru kiya hai, jo ke economic growth aur inflation control ke balance ko samajhne ki koshish ko dikhata hai. Traders US aur UK se aanay wali economic data par nazar rakhenge, kyun ke ye releases dono currencies ki performance par gehra asar daal sakti hain.

Bank of England ka Inflation aur Interest Rates par Maqam:

Bank of England (BoE) ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne haal hi mein inflation aur interest rates ke hawale se market expectations ko stir kiya. Bailey ne optimism dikhaya ke inflation BoE ke 2% target par waapas aayegi. Halankeh unhoon ne kisi specific neutral rate ka zikar nahi kiya, lekin unhoon ne market ko ye aswasiya di ke interest rates wapas un low levels par nahi aayengi jo pandemic ke doran dekhi gayi thi. Is ke bawajood, UK ke service sector mein inflation abhi bhi high hai, jo ke policymakers ke liye ek lambi muskil bana hua hai, khas tor par Service Consumer Price Index mein.

US Dollar Index ka Halka Sa Recovery Dikhana:

Dusri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo USD ki value ko chhe badi currencies ke khilaf measure karta hai, recovery ke asar dikhane laga hai, 104.30 se upar aate hue. Pichlay hafte, US Federal Reserve ne 50 basis-point rate cut ke sath policy-easing cycle ka aghaz kiya, jisse interest rates 4.75%-5.00% ke range mein aa gaye. Ye step recovering labor market ko support karne ke liye tha jabke inflation ko Fed ke 2% target ke nazdeek rakhne ki koshish ki gayi. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) mein sirf Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ne gradual rate-cut approach ki taraf ishara kiya, jismein pehle 25 basis-point reduction ka haqdar samjha gaya.



GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Is pair ka haal ka pullback 1.2960 ke aas paas ke ascending channel ke top ki taraf traders ki dilchaspi ko barhata hai, jisse mazeed buying ke mauqay khulte hain. Agar price 1.2963 ke upar reh jati hai, to ye 1.3029 aur 1.3037 par resistance levels ko challenge karne ki sambhavna hai. Agar momentum aisa hi jari raha, to 1.3100 aur shayad 1.3200 tak ke targets bhi dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jo Pound ki mazbooti ka ishara karte hain.

Lekin, price ko neeche pressure ka saamna hai; agar ye 1.2910 ko breach karti hai, to ye pichlay hafte ke low 1.2907 ko dobarah test karne ka sabab ban sakti hai. Agar decline jari rahi, to pair ko mazeed nuqsan ka samna karna par sakta hai, jahan 1.2900 level ek critical support zone ban sakta hai. Ye level GBP bulls ke liye ek ahm defense line ban sakti hai, khaaskar agar US Dollar ki mazbooti jari rahe, jo currency pair par neeche pressure daal sakti hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Hello sabko! Kya haal chaal hain? Umeed hai ke aap sab khair maqdam hain aur trading platform ka maza le rahe hain! Main aapka swagat karta hoon apne latest post discussion mein! GBP/USD pair ka istemal mukhtalif time frames jaise ke daily, H-4, aur H-1 samjhane ke liye kiya gaya. Daily analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair abhi 1.2955 par trade kar raha hai. Yahan negative momentum aur bearish movement nazar aa rahi hai. Zigzag pattern ke zariye neeche ki taraf movement ka bhi imkaan hai. Downward trend 150SMA, 50SMA, aur 30SMA simple moving averages ke neeche hai.

Agar price barhti hai, to ye moving averages ke sath sath upar jayegi. Price ke barhne par, resistance levels 1.2945 par alag alag cross honge. Lekin agar price girti hai, to primary support level 1.2910 tut sakta hai, aur uske baad secondary support level 1.2905 aayega. Momentum oscillator ke mutabiq, price 102.30 ke aas paas gir rahi hai. RSI indicator bhi 103.10 ke aas paas oversold territory se upar hai.




Euro-Pound Exchange Rate

Filhal, euro-pound exchange rate 1.2940 ke aas paas hai. Price bullish trend mein hai aur H4 chart par positive momentum dikhayi de raha hai. Is tasveer mein Bollinger band ka zikr hai. Bollinger band ki midline ke saath upward movement ho rahi hai. Yahan high level ki volatility dekhi ja rahi hai kyunki Bollinger band ke standard deviations expand ho gaye hain. Bullish trend 1.2980 tak pahunchega aur 1.3050 ke resistance target ko follow karega. Bearish trend primary aur secondary support areas 1.2940 aur 1.2915 ko breach kar sakta hai.

H1 Chart Analysis

GBP/USD H1 chart par 1.2965 par trade ho raha hai. Filhal, price bullish hai aur positive momentum dikhayi de raha hai. Ichimoku trend sell signals de raha hai kyunki Ichimoku cloud neeche hai aur lagging strand line neeche ki taraf hai. Jab ye 1.3055 par resistance level ko cross karega, to market agle resistance level 1.3070 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside movement hoti hai, to market primary aur secondary support levels 1.2905 aur 1.2910 tak pahunche sakta hai.

GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis

GBP/USD daily chart par October ke shuru se ek numayan downtrend nazar aa raha hai, jahan price abhi 1.2962 par hai, jo ke lower highs aur lower lows ki ek silsila ke baad hai. 1.3400 ke ird gird ka laal rang ka area ek major resistance zone ko dikhata hai, jahan pehle ki koshishen rally karne ki substantial selling pressure ka samna kar chuki hain, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke ye area kisi bhi upward moves ke liye ek rukawat ban sakta hai. Jab 1.3100 ke aas paas ka key support level tut gaya, to bearish momentum barh gaya, jis ne GBP/USD ko neeche ki taraf dhakel diya jab sellers market sentiment par haavi hain.

Agla aham support level 1.2850 ke aas paas hai, jo ke short-term floor ka kaam kar sakta hai. Is level ki historical ahmiyat hai, kyunki ye pehle liquidity pool ke tor par kaam karta raha hai, jahan buying interest ubhar ke aayi thi. Agar is level ke neeche susta break hota hai, to GBP/USD ko 1.2600-1.2700 ke area ki taraf mazeed neeche ke potential ka saamna karna par sakta hai, jahan mazeed liquidity aur potential support zones maujood hain. Neeche ka hara rang ka area ek mumkin demand zone ko dikhata hai, jo pehle ke reaction levels ke sath align karta hai, aur agar pair is level tak pahunche to ye buyers ko attract kar sakta hai.




Structural Perspective

Structural perspective se, 1.3200 ke upar dekhi gayi fair value gap (FVG) ek aise area ko highlight karti hai jahan price inefficiency hui, jis ne unfilled orders chhodi. Agar GBP/USD short-term pullback ka samna karta hai, to ye area price action ke liye ek magnet ban sakta hai. Lekin, maujooda bearish bias yeh sugget karta hai ke is FVG mein kisi bhi rally ka samna selling interest se ho sakta hai, jab market neeche ki taraf faida lene mein masroof hai.

Summary

Summary ke tor par, GBP/USD abhi bhi bearish trend mein hai jahan resistance 1.3400 par hai aur foran support 1.2850 par. Agar ye support tut jata hai, to ye 1.2600-1.2700 zone ki taraf mazeed girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jabke kisi bhi bullish retracement ka samna 1.3200 ke aas paas resistance se ho sakta hai. Traders ko liquidity zones aur is downtrend ke dominated environment mein short-lived rallies ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

British Pound Market Analysis

Maujooda market dynamics ke mutabiq, British pound ke liye bearish jazbat saaf nazar aa rahe hain, khaaskar 1.3430 par resistance line ke ird-gird ke recent price action ke baad. Is level se notable rebound ke baad, pound ne musalsal kami ka samna kiya, jo ke ek descending price channel ki formation ko darshata hai. Yeh pattern sirf bechne ke pressure ko nahi dikhata, balki potential trading strategies ke liye ek framework bhi tayar karta hai.

Pound ab 1.2961 par trade kar raha hai, jahan short positions kholne ka acha mauqa hai. Technical analysis yeh darshata hai ke sellers ne control haasil kar liya hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke pound ne neeche ke levels ko test kiya. Jo traders short opportunities dhoond rahe hain, unhein is price point par enter karna chahiye, target 1.2600 ke aas paas rakhtay hue, jo channel ki lower boundary par converge hota hai. Yeh level ek ahm psychological aur technical target hai, jo historical support levels ke saath align karta hai, aur bearish stance rakhne walon ke liye ek clear exit strategy faraham karta hai.



Weekly aur daily timeframes ko dekhne par bearish outlook ko aur bhi mazid taqat milti hai. Descending channel yeh darshata hai ke kisi bhi rally ko resistance ka samna karna padega, jo ke downtrend ke liye case ko aur mazid mazboot karta hai. Uche levels par resistance ka milna aur aage ki declines ki sambhavna, is waqt ko sellers ke liye behtar banata hai.

Mazid, fundamental factors bhi is downward trajectory ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies sab currency ke value par asar daal sakte hain. Traders ko kisi bhi aise khabron par nazar rakhni chahiye jo selling pressure ko barha sakti hain ya volatility create kar sakti hain. Pound is waqt descending channel ke andar hai aur 1.2600 par ek clear target hai, jo traders ko mauqa deta hai ke wo prevailing trend ka faida utha sakte hain. Market ko dhyan se monitor karna aur risk management strategies ko amal mein lana zaroori hoga jab pound is bearish phase se guzar raha hai. Har waqt macroeconomic developments se waqif rehna bhi zaroori hoga takay kisi bhi potential shifts in market sentiment ke liye tayar raha ja sake.

Taqniqi Tajziya: GBP/USD

Good Morning! Umeed hai ke yahan kaam karne wale sab dost khush hain. Aaj main GBP/USD ke price movement ka taqniqi aur buniyadi nazariye se tajziya karna chahta hoon. Is waqt GBP/USD 1.2960 par trade kar raha hai. Filhal, GBP/USD US dollar ke pressure mein hai. Agar US dollar mazboot hota hai, to GBP/USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur niche gir sakta hai. Agar US dollar kamzor rahe, to GBP/USD mein zyada taqat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Abhi jo girawat ho rahi hai, wo hamein ye batati hai ke mustaqbil bearish direction mein hai, kyunki kuch trading dinon se selling trend chal raha hai. Yeh lagta hai ke yeh trend jari rahega. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 38.0690 par hai, jo current market cap ke liye strong supply aur ongoing selling pressure ko darshata hai. Is chart mein moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator GBP/USD ke liye mazeed sell signal de raha hai. 20 aur 50 EMA indicators ke mutabiq, correction ka signal hai aur price 20 aur 50 EMA line ke neeche hai. Pichle kuch dinon mein, maine mazeed study ki aur is nateeje par pohoncha.




GBP/USD ke liye pehla aur doosra resistance levels 1.2972 aur 1.2997 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.2972 ke baad 1.2997 level ko todta hai, to yeh 1.3321 ya 1.3767 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd aur 4th resistance levels hain, aur hum mazeed bullish movement dekh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, GBP/USD ke liye pehla aur doosra support levels 1.2955 aur 1.2932 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.2955 ke baad 1.2932 level ko todta hai, to yeh 1.2906 ya 1.2733 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke 3rd aur 4th support levels hain, aur hum mazeed bearish movement dekh sakte hain.

Taqniqi tools ka istemal karte hue, hum aaj successful trading kar sakte hain. Lekin hum trading shuru karne se pehle is par achi entry lene ki koshish karenge.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Maujooda waqt GBP/USD currency pair 1.2959 ke level ke ird-gird hai aur is ne haal mein noticeable bearish trend dikhaya hai. Is musalsal girawat ke bawajood, bohot se traders aur analysts ka kehna hai ke aane wale waqt mein significant price movements ho sakti hain. Is nazariye ke piche kuch key factors hain, jismein economic indicators, central bank policies, aur broader market sentiment shamil hain.

GBP/USD ko is waqt prabhavit karne wale aham factors mein UK aur United States ke darmiyan economic outlooks aur interest rate policies ka farq hai. Federal Reserve ne khaaskar US mein musalsal inflation pressure ke beech hawkish stance apnaya hai. Is approach ne US dollar ko support diya hai, kyunki investors ko umeed hai ke zyada rates lambi muddat tak barqarar rahenge. Is waqt, Bank of England bhi rates barha raha hai, lekin isay mukhtalif economic challenges ka samna hai. UK mein inflation to uncha hai, lekin economic slowdown ke concerns ne BoE ko zyada cautious bana diya hai. Agar Bank of England rate hikes ko rokne ya dheere karne ka signal dega, to yeh pound par mazeed neeche ki taraf pressure daal sakta hai, dollar ke muqablay mein isay kamzor banata hai.

Siyasi factors, khaaskar Brexit se mutaliq masail, bhi GBP/USD par asar daal rahe hain. Trade agreements aur Brexit ke economic impact par ongoing debates ke saath, pound mein investor confidence fluctuates kar sakta hai, jisse yeh volatility ka shikar ho sakta hai. Kisi bhi aham trade ya regulatory updates se currency pair mein tezi se movements dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jab markets naye risks ya opportunities ko samajhte hain.

Global risk sentiment bhi aham hai, kyunki yeh aksar investors ke "safe haven" assets, jaise ke US dollar, ke liye preferences ko tay karta hai. Agar global financial markets mein volatility barh jaye—shayed geopolitical tensions ya economic slowdown ki wajah se—investors security ke liye dollar ki taraf rukh kar sakte hain, jisse GBP/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai.




In bearish indicators ke bawajood, market potential breakouts ya sudden shifts ke liye tayar hai. Technical factors, jaise ke support aur resistance levels, bhi quick movements trigger kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar pair key levels ko todta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar 1.2900 ke neeche sustained break hota hai to selling pressure barh sakta hai, jabke 1.3000 ke upar recovery se buying interest barh sakta hai, jab traders reversals ya corrections ki talash karte hain. Is ke ilawa, US ya UK ke economic data mein unforeseen developments bhi GBP/USD mein volatility barhane ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Nateejay mein, jabke GBP/USD filhal bearish trend dikhata hai, lekin kisi significant move ka potential ab bhi maujood hai. Traders ko economic data releases, central bank announcements, aur political updates par nazar rakhni chahiye. In factors ka milan agle dinon mein baray aur decisive moves ke liye maidan tayar kar sakta hai, jo is pair mein trading karne walon ke liye opportunities aur risks dono paida karega.

Chart mein GBP/USD ka hourly timeframe dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke abhi tak downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehlay kuch dino mein price ne consistent taur par neeche ki taraf move kiya hai, aur ek descending trend line bhi bani hui hai jo har bullish attempt ko resist kar rahi hai. Is trend line ka hona yeh suggest karta hai ke jab tak price iske neeche hai, market mein bearish sentiment prevail kar raha hai. Is chart mein Bollinger Bands ka bhi istemal ho raha hai, jo ke price ki volatility ko monitor karne mein madad dete hain. Abhi Bollinger Bands thode squeeze ho rahe hain, jo ke ek consolidation phase ko indicate karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mein abhi kisi bhi taraf strong momentum nahin hai, lekin kisi waqt breakout ho sakta hai. Bollinger Bands ka squeeze hona aksar ek badi move ka indication hota hai, aur ye move kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti hai — bullish ya bearish. Neeche MACD indicator bhi dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke momentum aur trend direction ko samajhne mein madadgar hai. Abhi MACD mein negative divergence nazar aa rahi hai, jismein red histogram bars aur signal line neeche ki taraf hain. Yeh bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai aur yeh batata hai ke abhi tak buyers ke paas itni strength nahi hai ke woh market ko upar le ja saken.
Agar price trend line ko break kar ke upar close hoti hai, toh ye ek bullish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai aur price upper Bollinger Band ki taraf ja sakti hai. Is case mein pehla target upper Bollinger Band ho sakta hai aur uske baad agay ke resistance levels tak bhi ja sakta hai. Magar agar price isi trend line ke neeche rehti hai aur neeche ki taraf pressure continue rehta hai, toh price ke lower support levels test hone ke chances hain.
Summary:
Trend: Downward aur abhi tak strong bearish sentiment hai.
Resistance: Trend line aur upper Bollinger Band.
Indicators: Bollinger Bands ka squeeze aur MACD ka bearish signal.

Traders ke liye yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke aglay kuch hours mein breakout ke chances hain, aur kisi bhi taraf ka breakout market ka direction change kar sakta hai. Isliye risk management aur trend follow karna bohot zaroori hai.

Market Analysis

Dollar ke muqable mein qeemat ka izafa jaari hai, jiss ne Jumme ko kaafi barhawa paaya, jabke UK mein ma'ashi calendar halka tha. Dorse, US ki ma'ashi soorat-e-haal kamzor hone ki wajah se GBP/USD ka izafa dekha gaya. US Conference Board ka Consumer Confidence report, jismein mazdoor bazaar ki fikron ka zikr hai, ne dollar ko kamzor kar diya aur foreign currencies ko madad di. GBP/USD ab 1.2959 par trade ho raha hai, jo 0.30% se zyada barh gaya hai. Yeh ma'ashi haalat aur Prime Minister Keir Starmer ke ehtiyaat bhare nazariyen ki wajah se hai, jismein unhon ne "dardnaak" ma'ashi reforms ka zikr kiya. UK ka inflation doosri economies ke muqable mein zyada mustahkam hai, jo recovery ko mushkil bana raha hai.

September ke Flash UK S&P Global/CIPS PMI data ne thodi kami dekhi hai lekin 50.0 se upar raha, jo taraqqi ka izhar karta hai. Lekin private sector PMI 53.8 se kam hokar 52.9 par aa gaya hai, jo manufacturing aur services mein unexpected slowdown ko darshata hai, aur UK ki ma'ashi resilience aane wale mahino mein test ho sakti hai.




D1 Chart Analysis:

Technical pehlu se, price ka aakhri amal volatility dikhata hai, jab price ne Jumme ki Asian session mein 1.2910 ke aas-paas ghatne ka dekha, jo do hafton ki neeche ki taraf rukh tha. Is ke bawajood, buniyadi soorat-e-haal upside movement ka potential darshati hai, jise bullish jazbat aur substantial resistance levels ki kami support karti hai. Magar daily chart par overbought halat kharidne walon ke liye mushkilat pesh kar sakti hai, isliye GBP/USD 1.2900 ke upar rahne par ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Short-sellers ko bhi technical rukawat na hone par aggressive entry mein hichkichahat ho sakti hai, lekin short position lena risky ho sakta hai kyunki bullish momentum abhi bhi mazboot hai. Cable ka rukh aage bhi izafay ke liye tayyar nazar aata hai, lekin in levels par price sensitivity se bazar mein tezi se tabdeeliyan aasakti hain, isliye traders ko fundamental aur technical signals par nazar rakhni chahiye jab tak hafta aage barhta hai.

Market Analysis

Support tootne ke baad, bulls ko buyers se madad mili, aur RSI indicator ne unke liye zyada activity dikhana shuru kiya.

Jab figures barhne lagi, to unhone 1.2970 ke highs tak pahuncha. Yeh level pehli baar nahi toda gaya; hum is par wapas aaye aur quotes ko maximum par rakha. Agar trend channel mein reversal hota hai, to buyers apne indicator ko upar ki taraf mod sakte hain, isliye false down penetration dikhana bekaar hai. Girti hui market mein, sellers ko euro bechte rehne ka hak hai jab tak confirmation nahi milta.

Indicators aur divergence ki wajah se bulls ke liye kamzor signal hai, lekin buyers ne koi mazboot reversal movements nahi dikhai. Overweight sirf dheere dheere nazar aa raha hai. Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke hum tootenge nahi, chahe hum pierced level tak pahunchein.

Kabhi kabhi, aise support tests buyers ko kharidari karne par majboor kar dete hain. Kharidari karte waqt ehtiyaat baratain. Ek mahine pehle, maine doosre analysts ki advice par kharidari shuru ki thi.





Ab, hum aur neeche ja sakte hain. Filhal, pound pehle se zyada mazboot hai, lekin agar hum wapas gaye, to main grid ko 1.2990 par band kar dunga. Yeh numbers ghat rahe hain. Kal inhone thoda izafa kiya aur ise zigzag H-4 par fix kiya, pehle ke high H-4 1.3040 ko sambhalte hue.

Is dauran, MACD aur stochastic ne apne upar ki taraf ghooma pura kiya hai, isliye main ye salahiyat dunga ke H-4 period mein humein upar par nahi, balki neeche ki movement par focus karna chahiye, shayad pehle ke low ko update karte hue, kyunki 1.2970-1.3050 ke debts par wapas aane ka koi cancellation nahi hai.

Agar H-1 theek se chalta hai, to shayad yahan price ko dobara upar le jaane ki koshish ho. Lekin mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh kaise hoga; kal unhone 1.2955 ka debt liya. Main aap sab ka bohat shukriya ada karna chahta hoon.

Market Analysis

Jumme ke North American trading session mein, price ne USD ke muqable mein 1.3069 ke critical resistance level se tezi se girawat dekhi. Yeh girawat US Dollar ke chhote se upar hone ke baad hui, jo haal hi mein saal ki lowest level par pahuncha tha. Halankeh thoda izafa hua, lekin USD ka broader outlook ab bhi ghair yaqini hai kyunki markets Federal Reserve (Fed) ke agle interest rate cuts ke baare mein andaza laga rahe hain. Analysts ka kehna hai ke ek bara rate cut ab bhi is saal Fed ke do bachey policy meetings mein ho sakta hai.

Recent European trading sessions mein, GBP/USD ne USD ke muqable mein 1.3100 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kiya. Magar, GBP/USD ka qareeb waqt ka trend bullish hai, jo upward-sloping short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) se support hasil kar raha hai. September ke shuruat mein corrective movement ke baad, GBP/USD ne momentum hasil kiya, jo December 2023 ke high 1.2827 se trendline par barh gaya. August 21 ko significant breakout ne is upward trend ko mazbooti di, jo GBP ke liye strong bullish sentiment ko darshata hai.

Fed ki Aggressive Easing Plans aur USD par Asar

Federal Reserve ka interest rates par approach kaafi proactive raha hai, jahan market analysts ne Bank of England (BoE) ke muqable mein zyada aggressive easing policy ka andaza lagaya hai. Yeh tafreeq USD par pressure dalti hai, ise saal ki lowest levels ke kareeb rakhti hai. November tak 50-basis-point cut ke liye 75% se zyada probability priced in hai, jo market ko Fed ke dovish stance par yaqeen dilata hai, aur is se USD ki kamzori barh gayi hai. Yeh trend GBP/USD ko bhi support de raha hai, jahan traders BoE ke relatively stable policies ki taraf jhukti hain.

Bank of England ka Gradual Rate Cut Approach

BoE ka interest rates par approach mukablay mein zyada ehtiyaat bhara raha hai. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke jab rates neeche ki taraf jane ki sambhavna hai, lekin yeh tabdeeliyan gradual hongi, aur is baat ki kam sambhavna hai ke hum aise ultra-low levels par wapas jayein jo humne kuch saalon mein dekhe. Yeh ehtiyaati approach GBP mein investor confidence ko mazboot karti hai, Fed ke aggressive rate-cutting expectations ke beech. Fed aur BoE ke darmiyan yeh contrasting outlooks GBP/USD ko tailwind provide karti hain, jo UK ke rate reductions ke dheere hone ki umeed par faida utha rahi hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis

Yeh pair 1.3000 ke psychological level par significant resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, jo iski trajectory ke liye ek key benchmark hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.2900 level ek crucial support zone ban gaya hai, jahan break hone par further decline trigger ho sakti hai, jo pair ko 1.2850 ke region ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh levels GBP/USD ke movement ko guide karne mein zaroori hain, aur traders ko in par nazar rakhne ki salahiyat di jati hai kyunki yeh pair ki direction ko strongly influence kar sakti hain.



Technical indicators GBP ke bullish stance ko support dete hain, jahan 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 ke upar hai. Yeh elevated RSI GBP/USD ke current upward trend ko strong momentum darshata hai. Jab tak RSI is range mein hai, GBP/USD ka outlook positive nazar aata hai, jo pair mein continued strength ki umeed ko barhata hai, agar yeh critical levels ke upar support banaye rakhta hai.