جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

### GBP/USD Currency Pair Price Action Breakdown

GBP/USD apne aakhri waqt mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hota ja raha hai, jo ek aham rukh hai dekhne ke liye. GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain.

MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.

Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak.

GBP/USD pair ne American session ke dusre hise mein lagataar growth dekhi hai, jo trader ki analysis ko galat sabit karti hai. Unhoon ne 1.3401 level se rebound aur baad mein corrective decline ki tawaqqo ki thi, lekin asal mein unhoon ne sell trade mein entry ki aur phir bhi upward momentum dekha. Price steady rise par hai, jo upward-trending channel bana raha hai. Yeh recent movement ka exact sabab clear nahi hai, lekin lagta hai ke ek major player choti dips par asset ko khareed raha hai, jo price ko upar le ja raha hai. Yeh growth jo 6:31 PM Moscow time se shuru hui, shayad northward channel ke upper limit tak, jo 1.3431 ke aas-paas hai, chalu rahegi

/USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai.
GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai.
Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

Forum ke doston, jo khush hain ke kal trading holiday hai, mein aap sab ka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon jo mere analysis ko visit karte hain. Lagta hai ke bonus ab tak nahi aaya, ho sakta hai ke kisi ne rules ka violation kiya ho aur is wajah se bonus pay nahi ho raha. Is surat mein, sabko asar pohnchta hai jab koi rules violate karta hai. Friday ki trading ke doran GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai. Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.

Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai. Kai analysts yeh predict kar rahe hain ke Fed rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se reduce karega. Agar aisa hota hai, tou US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.

Click image for larger versions

Chart D1 par currency pair GBPUSD ka analysis karein, to jaise pehle se hi andaza lagaya gaya tha, kal ke trading session mein price neeche gayi. Wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, lekin MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. MACD par bearish divergence bhi dikh rahi hai, jo ek strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator ne bhi overbought zone se neeche ka rukh kar liya hai aur bearish divergence show kar raha hai. In signals par market ne react kiya, jisme price neeche gir gayi. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pichli bullish candle ko engulf kar diya, aur ek bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana diya, jo sell signals ko confirm karta hai.

Mojooda situation ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke ane wale dinon mein price par downward pressure barkarar rahega. Yeh pressure ascending trendline ki taraf rahega, jo ke higher daily waves ke lows se draw ki gayi hai, aur 1.3257 ke level tak pohnchne ki umeed hai. Agar yeh trendline aur level hold nahi karte, to price aur neeche ja sakti hai, shayad 1.3008 ke support level tak bhi, jo ke recently touch kiya gaya tha jab price upar surge kar gayi thi. Yeh level September ka monthly low bhi mark karta hai.

Filhal buying ko consider nahi kiya ja raha hai, balki strategy yeh hai ke chhoti timeframes par din ke andar sirf downside par kaam kiya jaye, jab corresponding formations dikhayi den. Aaj ke liye ahem economic news package 15:30 Moscow time par scheduled hai. Ismein shaamil hai: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total tadad, Core Durable Goods Orders, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, Durable Goods Orders, aur US ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP), US GDP Deflator, aur US Initial Jobless Claims.







16:00 se 20:00 ke darmiyan US Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ka speech bhi shamil hai. Yeh news aur developments market par asar dal sakti hain, isliye traders ko inka dhyan rakhna hoga, khaaskar jab price critical levels ke qareeb ho.

### Technical Analysis aur Price Movement
Technical indicators yeh darust karte hain ke aage ke liye price mein izafa mumkin hai. Is context mein, price action yeh darust karta hai ke buyers, yaani "longs," 1.3395 ke level ke aas paas active rehne ki umeed rakhte hain. Yeh level traders ke liye ek aham mark ban gaya hai jo ke aage price badhne ki tamanna rakhte hain. Lekin, market dynamics yeh bhi darust karti hain ke temporary rollback ya pullback ki sambhavna hai, pehle ke trend ko dobara shuru karne se pehle.

### Upward Engulfing Pattern ko Samajhna

Upward engulfing pattern tab banta hai jab ek chhoti bearish candlestick ke baad ek badi bullish candlestick aati hai, jo purani din ki price action ko poori tarah se "engulf" karti hai. Yeh pattern aksar reversal signal ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke downward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur buyers market par control hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern traders ke beech badhti hui optimism ko darust karta hai ke pound ke paas dollar ke muqablay mein majboot hone ka acha mauqa hai.

### 1.3395 ka Level

1.3395 ka level bohot aham hai kyunki yeh woh point hai jahan par mazid buying interest ki umeed hai. GBP/USD mein long positions rakhne wale traders is level ko kholne ya apne positions mein izafa karne ke liye attractive samajhte hain, kyunki engulfing pattern yeh darust karta hai ke yahan se price upar ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin, broader market conditions aur kisi potential resistance levels ko dekhna bhi zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko ruk sakta hai.

### Pullback ki Sambhavna

Bulllish signal ke bawajood, yeh darust hai ke price ke upar jaane se pehle ek pullback ho sakta hai. Short sellers, yaani "shorts," 1.3310 level ke aas paas profits lene ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo un logon ke liye dilchasp point ban sakta hai jo currency pair mein temporary decline ki umeed rakhte hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation period faraham karega, jo mazid taqat hasil karne ke liye zaroori hai.

1.3340 ya 1.3370 par rollback bhi mumkin hai, jahan short sellers price ke short term mein upward momentum ko banaye rakhne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Yeh levels support aur resistance ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan price volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai jab traders apne mukhtalif positions ke zariye market ko influence karne ki koshish karte hain.

### Key Factors Jo Dekhne Hain

Kayi fundamental factors GBP/USD ke future direction par asar daal sakte hain. UK aur US se aane wale economic data yeh tay karega ke kya pound dollar ke muqablay mein apni taqat banaye rakh sakta hai. Masalan, agar UK ka GDP growth, employment figures ya inflation data strong aaye, toh pound ko mazeed support mil sakta hai. Iske muqablay, agar UK mein economic kamzori ke nishaan milte hain, toh traders long positions rakhne mein zyada cautious ho sakte hain.

US dollar ke developments bhi is pair par asar daalenge. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations aur global economic stability se faida mil raha hai. Agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka ishara deta hai, toh dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye upward movement ko mushkil bana dega.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi is pair ki performance par asar dalenge. Ghair mutawaqqa siyasi developments, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations ke maamle mein, volatility introduce kar sakte hain, jo price action mein tezi se tabdeeli la sakta hai. ### Junooni Forex Trader

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/USD pair ke liye current market conditions Friday se consistent rahi hain, jahan exchange rate 1.3260 par steady hai. Ye level market ka balance point hai, jahan na buyers aur na sellers ko clear advantage hai, jis wajah se trading environment kaafi stable hai. H1 (one-hour) chart par, ek key support level 1.3180 par identified hai, jabke H4 (four-hour) chart par support 1.3060 par hai. Ye support levels ye darshate hain ke agar price girti hai, toh market in areas par buying interest dekh sakta hai, jo further downward movement ko roke ga.
Is waqt, GBP/USD pair mein aage barhne ki potential hai. Agar market apni current trajectory ko maintain rakhta hai, toh ye 1.3380 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Ye level short-term resistance ka kirdar ada karta hai, aur isse todne par bullish signal milega, jo further price appreciation ka ishara dega. Aise mein, pair shayad 1.3420 tak bhi pahunche, jo ek aur key resistance point hai aur bullish outlook rakhne wale traders ke liye longer-term objective ban sakta hai.

Lekin, market 1.3260 balance level par ek ahem test ka samna kar raha hai. Agar Monday ko GBP/USD is balance point ko decisively nahi todta, toh pair shayad ulat kar wapas isi level par aa sakta hai. Aisa retracement upward trend ke khatam hone ka ishara nahi dega, lekin ye consolidation ka aik dor darshata hai, jisse pair phir se upward momentum ki taraf barh sakta hai, targets 1.3380 aur shayad 1.3420 ki taraf. Aise movements forex trading mein aam hote hain, jahan price significant levels ko dobara test karta hai pehle se kisi decisive move

USD currency pair ne Monday ke din significant price action dekha, jisme market mai ek wazeh upward trend tha. Trading session ke aghaz par, price dheere dheere barhti rahi aur 1.3183 ke key trading level ko break karne mai kamiyab rahi. Yeh breakout 1.3183 ke upar bohot ahem tha, kyun ke isne market sentiment mai ek tabdeeli ko zahir kiya aur traders ke liye ek buy signal generate kiya. Aam tor par is breakout ke baad umeed yeh hoti hai ke price barhti rahegi aur agle major resistance level 1.3261 ko target karegi. Pura Monday ke doran, GBP/USD pair ne apni position 1.3183 ke level ke upar barqarar rakhi, jo ke market mai bullish sentiment ko reinforce kar raha tha. Jab price consistently aik significant support ya resistance level ke upar rahti hai, to yeh current trend ki strength ko zahir karti hai. Is case mai, price ka 1.3183 ke upar rehna yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market mai control mai hain aur pair ko aglay target ki taraf, yani 1.3261 resistance, push kar rahe hain.

Jese ke anticipated tha, upward momentum Tuesday tak qaim raha, lekin GBP/USD pair ne session ke aghaz mai ek narrow range mai move kiya. Yeh range-bound movement aksar is wajah se hoti hai kyun ke market apni agle significant move se pehle consolidate karti hai. Consolidation ke baad, price phir se momentum gain karke pehle se identified resistance level, 1.3261, tak barhne lagi. Yeh movement Monday ke initial buy signal ko confirm karti hai, kyun ke price successfully anticipated resistance level tak pohanch gayi thi.

Lekin, jese hi GBP/USD pair 1.3261 resistance level ke qareeb pohancha, price action mai shift dekha gaya. Resistance levels aksar psychological barriers ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan sellers aksar market mai shamil hote hain, jo ke market mai reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is case mai, price ne 1.3261 ke resistance ke qareeb reverse karna shuru kiya, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers dominate kar rahe hain aur market ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Significant resistance levels par reversal aksar trend ke tabdeel hone ka ishara dete hain, aur traders in levels ko closely monitor karte hain taake bullish momentum ke kamzor hone ke asraat ko dekh sakein.

GBPUSD ka weekly timeframe pe acha signal dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur ab analysis karne ka waqt hai. GBPUSD ki qeemat resistance se ooper chali gayi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne market mein dominance hasil kar li hai. Current lowest price 1.30007 hai jo pehle ke lowest price 1.26636 se zyada hai, aur aisi movement yeh batati hai ke GBPUSD uptrend mein hai. Yani ab buying opportunities talash karne ka waqt hai. Filhal GBPUSD ki qeemat upper Bollinger bands ke aas-paas chal rahi hai, is liye ab yeh middle Bollinger bands ki taraf move kar sakti hai. GBPUSD ki price ke significant aur consistent strength se yeh overbought ho chuka hai, jaisa ke stochastic oscillator level 80 ko touch kar chuka hai, is liye ab yeh level 20 ki taraf jaane ka waqt hai. Bollinger Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator ke indicators ko dekhte hue, GBPUSD ki price mein correction ke liye girawat hone ki umeed hai. Analysis ke results ke mutabiq, GBPUSD ki price trend ke mutabiq phir se upar ja sakti hai. Lekin, agar aap ko is baat ka yaqeen hai ke price aur strong hogi, toh bhi foran buy ka transaction na karein. Sabar karein aur dekhte rahein ke GBPUSD ki price base demand tak gire, taake aap sahi price pe entry le sakein. Purchase tab kiya ja sakta hai jab bullish pinbar ya engulfing candle ka confirmation mile, jiska candle body base demand ke ooper ho, aur price loss limit 1.30006 ho jo base demand ke neeche ho, jab ke take profit ka target price 1.34851 ho jo base supply ke neeche ho. Agar GBPUSD ki qeemat base demand se neeche girti hai, toh purchase signal expire ho gaya hai, kyunki trend reversal ho chuka hai. Agar GBPUSD ki qeemat base demand ko touch karne se pehle hi upar chalne lagti hai, toh zabardasti purchase ka transaction na karein, kyunki technical requirements abhi puri nahi hui hain. Transaction pending order sell limit pe 1.34851 base supply ke neeche kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki GBPUSD ab overbought hai, jiska price loss limit 1.36422 ho jo base supply ke ooper ho, aur take profit ka target price 1.31563 ho jo base demand ke ooper ho.

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

Upward engulfing pattern tab banta hai jab ek choti bearish candlestick ke baad ek bari bullish candlestick banti hai jo pichle din ke price action ko mukammal tor par "engulf" kar leti hai. Is pattern ko aam tor par reversal signal samjha jata hai, jo yeh batata hai ke downward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur buyers market par qaboo hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern yeh reflect karta hai ke traders mein optimism barh raha hai ke pound dollar ke muqable mein qareebi waqt mein mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai.

1.3395 ka level bohot zyada ahem hai kyun ke yeh woh point hai jahan buying interest barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. GBP/USD mein long positions lene wale traders ke liye yeh level attractive ho sakta hai ke apni positions open ya aur zyada badhayein, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh zahir karta hai ke price yahan se barh sakti hai. Lekin broader market conditions aur kisi bhi resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain.
Pullback ka Imkaan


Is bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke price mein ek pullback ho sakta hai jab tak ke upward move mazeed barh na jaye. Short positions ya "shorts" kaafi imkaan hai ke 1.3310 ke aas paas profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un traders ka level hai jo pair mein temporary decline ka soch rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka waqt de sakta hai, jisse price ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai taake phir se higher levels ki taraf move karein.

Rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak bhi ho sakta hai, jahan short sellers is opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ke price apne upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paa rahi. Yeh levels support aur resistance areas ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan price action zyada volatile ho sakta hai jab mukhtalif traders apni positions adjust karte hain.
Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahem Factors


Bohot se fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. UK aur US se anay wali economic data bohot ahem role ada karegi ke pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed taqat hasil karta hai ya nahi. Maslan, agar UK ki GDP growth ya inflation data mazid strong aati hai, toh pound ko aur support milne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar UK economy mein koi weakness hoti hai, toh traders long positions lene mein ehtiyaat karenge.

Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi pair par asar dal sakte hain. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations ka faida ho raha hai, aur agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka signal deta hai, toh dollar mazeed taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jisse GBP/USD ko upward move sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi pair ki performance ko influence karenge. Maslan, agar koi unexpected political development hoti hai, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations se related, toh market mein volatility aa sakti hai jo price action mein rapid shifts ka sabab ban sakti hai.
Nateeja


GBP/USD pair mein upward engulfing pattern ka formation yeh suggest karta hai ke abhi bhi upward move ka imkaan hai, aur 1.3395 ka level ek ahem interest point hai long traders ke liye. Magar, ek pullback ka imkaan abhi bhi barqarar hai aur 1.3310 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, aur rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak ho sakta hai jab tak ke pair apni upward trajectory ko phir se na pakray. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur technical aur fundamental factors ko dekhte hue apne trading decisions lena chahiye, aur risk management strategies ko apply karna zaroori hai taake unexpected market shifts se apni positions ko protect kiya ja sake.
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Aaj maine GBP/USD market pair ka jaiza liya kyun ke ye agle haftay ke liye aik trading option ho sakta hai. 4-hour ke chart pe jo observations hain, wo Monday ko guzra hua haftay ka market ka halat dikhati hain. Market ne 1.3311 ke price zone se apna safar shuru kiya aur 1.3433 tak uthne ki koshish ki. Halankeh bohot zyada nahi, lekin rising trend Thursday tak qaim raha, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke upar jane ka silsila rukne wala nahi. Guzishta haftay ke market halat ko dekha jaye, tou optimism ka rujhan barqarar hai. Market mein bullish rally ka safar last week ke trading session mein zyadah range ke sath dekhne ko mila; jis ka natija ye hai ke is haftay tak price thori barh gayi thi lekin Saturday raat ko correct ho gayi. Jaisa ke maine pehle kaha, buyer ke control ka ishara hai. Journal ko update karte waqt, price momentarily 1.3370 pe ruk gayi thi. Yeh lagta hai ke buyer, jo ab bhi strong position mein hai, ne price ko guzra hua mahine ke lowest zone se bullish territory mein dhak diya hai pichle do haftay se. Mera khayal hai ke USD/JPY pair apni bullish market trajectory agle haftay qaim rakhega. Agar aap trend pattern ko guzishta chand hafton ka dekhein, tou market uptrend mein hai lekin kam range ke sath. Rally ka growth dheere se ho raha hai aur narrow range mein hai, is liye aglay haftay bhi is mein barhawa dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jab price upar ki taraf chalne ki koshish karegi. Aaj subah jo candlestick close hui, usne market trend ke climb ke liye umeed dikhayi hai, halankeh ye abhi downward correction mein hai aur period 100 simple moving average zone ke upar hai. Agar buyer 1.3402 ke price zone ko tor deta hai tou aglay haftay ke trading session mein bullish trend market pe dominate kar sakta hai.

Technical indicators yeh darust karte hain ke aage ke liye price mein izafa mumkin hai. Is context mein, price action yeh darust karta hai ke buyers, yaani "longs," 1.3395 ke level ke aas paas active rehne ki umeed rakhte hain. Yeh level traders ke liye ek aham mark ban gaya hai jo ke aage price badhne ki tamanna rakhte hain. Lekin, market dynamics yeh bhi darust karti hain ke temporary rollback ya pullback ki sambhavna hai, pehle ke trend ko dobara shuru karne se pehle.

### Upward Engulfing Pattern ko Samajhna

Upward engulfing pattern tab banta hai jab ek chhoti bearish candlestick ke baad ek badi bullish candlestick aati hai, jo purani din ki price action ko poori tarah se "engulf" karti hai. Yeh pattern aksar reversal signal ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke downward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur buyers market par control hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern traders ke beech badhti hui optimism ko darust karta hai ke pound ke paas dollar ke muqablay mein majboot hone ka acha mauqa hai.

### 1.3395 ka Level

1.3395 ka level bohot aham hai kyunki yeh woh point hai jahan par mazid buying interest ki umeed hai. GBP/USD mein long positions rakhne wale traders is level ko kholne ya apne positions mein izafa karne ke liye attractive samajhte hain, kyunki engulfing pattern yeh darust karta hai ke yahan se price upar ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin, broader market conditions aur kisi potential resistance levels ko dekhna bhi zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko ruk sakta hai.

### Pullback ki Sambhavna

Bulllish signal ke bawajood, yeh darust hai ke price ke upar jaane se pehle ek pullback ho sakta hai. Short sellers, yaani "shorts," 1.3310 level ke aas paas profits lene ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo un logon ke liye dilchasp point ban sakta hai jo currency pair mein temporary decline ki umeed rakhte hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation period faraham karega, jo mazid taqat hasil karne ke liye zaroori hai.

1.3340 ya 1.3370 par rollback bhi mumkin hai, jahan short sellers price ke short term mein upward momentum ko banaye rakhne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Yeh levels support aur resistance ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan price volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai jab traders apne mukhtalif positions ke zariye market ko influence karne ki koshish karte hain.

### Key Factors Jo Dekhne Hain

Kayi fundamental factors GBP/USD ke future direction par asar daal sakte hain. UK aur US se aane wale economic data yeh tay karega ke kya pound dollar ke muqablay mein apni taqat banaye rakh sakta hai. Masalan, agar UK ka GDP growth, employment figures ya inflation data strong aaye, toh pound ko mazeed support mil sakta hai. Iske muqablay, agar UK mein economic kamzori ke nishaan milte hain, toh traders long positions rakhne mein zyada cautious ho sakte hain.

US dollar ke developments bhi is pair par asar daalenge. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations aur global economic stability se faida mil raha hai. Agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka ishara deta hai, toh dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye upward movement ko mushkil bana dega.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi is pair ki performance par asar dalenge. Ghair mutawaqqa siyasi developments, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations ke maamle mein, volatility introduce kar sakte hain, jo price action mein tezi se tabdeeli la sakta hai.Click image for larger version

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Technical indicators yeh darust karte hain ke aage ke liye price mein izafa mumkin hai. Is context mein, price action yeh darust karta hai ke buyers, yaani "longs," 1.3395 ke level ke aas paas active rehne ki umeed rakhte hain. Yeh level traders ke liye ek aham mark ban gaya hai jo ke aage price badhne ki tamanna rakhte hain. Lekin, market dynamics yeh bhi darust karti hain ke temporary rollback ya pullback ki sambhavna hai, pehle ke trend ko dobara shuru karne se pehle.

### Upward Engulfing Pattern ko Samajhna

Upward engulfing pattern tab banta hai jab ek chhoti bearish candlestick ke baad ek badi bullish candlestick aati hai, jo purani din ki price action ko poori tarah se "engulf" karti hai. Yeh pattern aksar reversal signal ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke downward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur buyers market par control hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern traders ke beech badhti hui optimism ko darust karta hai ke pound ke paas dollar ke muqablay mein majboot hone ka acha mauqa hai.

### 1.3395 ka Level

1.3395 ka level bohot aham hai kyunki yeh woh point hai jahan par mazid buying interest ki umeed hai. GBP/USD mein long positions rakhne wale traders is level ko kholne ya apne positions mein izafa karne ke liye attractive samajhte hain, kyunki engulfing pattern yeh darust karta hai ke yahan se price upar ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin, broader market conditions aur kisi potential resistance levels ko dekhna bhi zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko ruk sakta hai.

### Pullback ki Sambhavna

Bulllish signal ke bawajood, yeh darust hai ke price ke upar jaane se pehle ek pullback ho sakta hai. Short sellers, yaani "shorts," 1.3310 level ke aas paas profits lene ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo un logon ke liye dilchasp point ban sakta hai jo currency pair mein temporary decline ki umeed rakhte hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation period faraham karega, jo mazid taqat hasil karne ke liye zaroori hai.

1.3340 ya 1.3370 par rollback bhi mumkin hai, jahan short sellers price ke short term mein upward momentum ko banaye rakhne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Yeh levels support aur resistance ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan price volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai jab traders apne mukhtalif positions ke zariye market ko influence karne ki koshish karte hain.

### Key Factors Jo Dekhne Hain

Kayi fundamental factors GBP/USD ke future direction par asar daal sakte hain. UK aur US se aane wale economic data yeh tay karega ke kya pound dollar ke muqablay mein apni taqat banaye rakh sakta hai. Masalan, agar UK ka GDP growth, employment figures ya inflation data strong aaye, toh pound ko mazeed support mil sakta hai. Iske muqablay, agar UK mein economic kamzori ke nishaan milte hain, toh traders long positions rakhne mein zyada cautious ho sakte hain.

US dollar ke developments bhi is pair par asar daalenge. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations aur global economic stability se faida mil raha hai. Agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka ishara deta hai, toh dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye upward movement ko mushkil bana dega.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi is pair ki performance par asar dalenge. Ghair mutawaqqa siyasi developments, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations ke maamle mein, volatility introduce kar sakte hain, jo price action mein tezi se tabdeeli la sakta hai.Click image for larger version

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

GBP/USD market bearish correction movement mein dikhai de rahi hai, lekin buyers ab bhi apni taqat dikhate hue market ko control kar rahe hain aur prices ko upar push kar rahe hain. Meri samajh ke mutabiq, kuch areas mein ab bhi bullish trading ka environment hai, jahan buyers prices ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le ja sakte hain. Halaanke week ke aghaz mein candlestick ka position current level se ooper tha, lekin ab bhi lagta hai ke trend ka silsila upar jaari rehne ka imkaan hai, jab hum last few days ke field circumstances ko dekhte hain. Mahine ke aghaz se buyers lagataar price ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur aaj tak price 1.3329 ko choo chuki hai. Subah ki adjustment ke baad thoda decline nazar aaya hai, lekin mera khayal hai ke bullish conditions ka barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai agle trend ke liye. 1.3376 zone ab tak break nahi hua, aur buyers isko test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, taake yeh bullish direction ke liye ek additional barrier ban sake. Bade trend ke market conditions ab bhi bullish hain, aur agar yeh target zone cross ho gaya, toh buyers ke paas market ko dobara control karne ka acha moka hoga. Is liye, GbpUsd pair par Buy option ko ek behtareen option mana ja sakta hai agar aaj raat koi increase ka signal milta hai. Kal ka bearish correction jo ke market ke gain ka ishara tha, wo ab tak sustain nahi kar paya hai, aur stochastic indicator line 20 range mein hai. Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aapke liye guide ka kaam kare jab koi position open ki jaye. Filhaal, bina kisi crossover confirmation ke GBPUSD par sell karna thoda risky lagta hai. Main wait kar raha hoon ke ema8 ema21 ko pierce kare aur crossover bane, tab main dobara sell karunga. Medium-term mein, sell ka ideal target monthly pivot area par 1.300 tak wapas pohanchne ka hoga. Lekin yeh itna asaan nahi lagta jab tak USDX khud direct strengthen nahi karta.

/USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai.
GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai.
Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions