جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD H-4 Heiken Ashi candles ke readings ke sath TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ko dekhte hue, yeh note kiya ja sakta hai ke current market situation bullish hai. Structure me Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo ke market ke current balance of strength ko show karta hai, chart par noise ko smooth karta hai aur technical analysis ko asaan banata hai, is se trading decisions lene me accuracy bhi barh jaati hai. TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow lines) support aur resistance lines ko two-bar smooth moving average ke basis par banata hai aur market ke movement ke baad instrument ke current range of movement ko indicate karta hai. RSI Basement Indicator as an auxiliary oscillator use hone me mufeed hota hai.
me humne kal jitna zinda-dil din nahi dekha, lekin phir bhi kuch hua. Ek flat movement thi, jisme koi khaas direction nahi thi. Lekin hume thoda north jaane ka moka mila jo Bulls ke liye yahan kisi khaas umeed ka maamla nahi hai. Ab long trades ko hold karna ek risky move hai, khas taur par agar hum weekend ko bhi madde nazar rakhein, toh trades ko band karna hamesha behtar hota hai jab tak ke trades medium term ke na hon. Yahan bhi wahi recommendation hai, aur technique yeh
Aaj GBPUSD me humne kal jitna zinda-dil din nahi dekha, lekin phir bhi kuch hua. Ek flat movement thi, jisme koi khaas direction nahi thi. Lekin hume thoda north jaane ka moka mila jo Bulls ke liye yahan kisi khaas umeed ka maamla nahi hai. Ab long trades ko hold karna ek risky move hai, khas taur par agar hum weekend ko bhi madde nazar rakhein, toh trades ko band karna hamesha behtar hota hai jab tak ke trades medium term ke na hon. Yahan bhi wahi recommendation hai, aur technique yeh indicate karti hai ke foran downside ka rebound hoga.

Humne yeh already shuru kar diya hai. Haqeeqat mein, humne thoda upper band se bounce kiya aur takreeban trend line tak pohonch gaye. North yahan ruk gaya hai aur ab yeh zigzag hote hue south ki taraf chalega. Khaas grand ambitions ke baghair, lekin 1.30 ke thoda upar pohonchna meri soch mein mumkin hai, aur agle hafte ka kaam real lagta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai.
Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

Budh ke din, spot price ne ek aham recovery dekhi, rozana aur hafta ke neeche level se bounce karte hue 1.3105 ke mark ko paar kar liya. Yeh upar ki taraf ka harakat behtar market jazbaat ki wajah se hui, jo Bank of England ke ek official ke bayan ke baad dekhne ko mili. BoE ne yeh tasalli di ke market instability ke bawajood wo interest rates nahi barhaye ga, jisne risk appetite ko barhaya, aur GBP/USD exchange rate ko temporary boost diya. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair abhi bhi 1.3043 par trade kar raha tha jab pehle yeh 1.2998 ke low par pahunch gaya tha. Halaat aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair mein corrective slides limited ho sakti hain, aur har dip ko kharidne ka ek moka samjha ja sakta hai. Improved risk appetite aur Fed ke anticipated interest rate cuts shayad aane wale dinon mein pair ke movements ko mutasir karte rahenge. Traders ko aanewale economic data aur central bank statements par close nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke rukh ka taayun karenge.

### GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi ke UK economic data ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai. Data ne unexpected unemployment rate mein kami ka izhaar kiya, jo doosre kamzor indicators ko overshade kar gaya. Khaaskar, unemployment-related benefits claim karne walon ki tadaad July mein 135,000 barh gayi. Iske ilawa, wage growth mein aham kami hui, jo 5.7% year-over-year rate se ghat kar teen mahine tak June tak 4.5% tak chali gayi. Jab ke yeh numbers ek mixed picture present karte hain, overall unemployment ki kami ne GBP ke liye ek positive factor banaya hai.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke liye market expectations ki wajah se pressure ka samna hai. Yeh jazbaat Tuesday ko aayi softer-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report ne aur mazid barhaya. Yeh aur market mein overall positive risk tone ne USD bulls ko defensive mode mein rakha hai. Is wajah se, GBP/USD pair ko in halaat se support mila hai, aur agar value mein koi dip aaye, toh investors isay buying opportunity ke tor par dekh sakte hain.

ستمبر 17 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے پیر کے روز خاطر خواہ فائدہ اٹھایا، نئی توقعات سے متاثر کہ بینک آف انگلینڈ سود کی شرح میں کوئی تبدیلی نہیں کرے گا۔ مارکیٹ کے شرکاء ستمبر میں مکانات کی قیمتوں میں 0.8% y/y سے 1.2% y/y تک اضافے سے متاثر ہوکر شرح میں کمی کے صرف 25% امکان پر غور کر رہے ہیں۔ پاؤنڈ تقریباً 1.3220 کے ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ گیا، جس کے بعد مارلن آسیلیٹر قدرے نیچے کی طرف مڑ گیا۔



آج، مارکیٹ کو صنعتی پیداوار اور امریکہ میں خوردہ فروخت پر متوقع اچھے اعداد و شمار کو برداشت کرنا پڑے گا۔ پاؤنڈ ممکنہ طور پر نیچے کی طرف اصلاح سے گزرے گا۔ اگر پاؤنڈ بیرونی دباؤ کو برداشت کر سکتا ہے، تو یہ 1.3245 کے قریب پرائس چینل کی بالائی حد تک پہنچ سکتا ہے۔



چار- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن سے اوپر جا رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں بڑھ رہا ہے لیکن بغل میں حرکت کرنے کی تیاری کر رہا ہے۔ فیڈرل ریزرو میٹنگ تک قیمت ممکنہ طور پر 1.3220 مزاحمتی سطح کے نیچے رہے گی۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.3083 ke level par focus kiya aur uske base par trading decisions lene ki planning ki. Ab 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyze karte hain ke kya hua. Us level par girawat aur ek false breakout ke baad pound ke liye buying opportunity mili, jisse sirf 15 points ka upward move dekha gaya. Technical outlook ko din ke dusre half ke liye revise kiya gaya. GBP/USD par long positions kholne ke liye: UK ke GDP growth ke slow hone ka data, khas kar July ke mahine mein positive dynamics ki kami, pound par pressure daal raha hai, isliye 1.3083 ke aas-paas buyers zyada active nahi the. Din ke dusre half mein, U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August expected hai, jo volatility trigger kar sakta hai. Inflation ke sharply decline hone se pound ko momentum mil sakta hai, jisse dollar gir sakta hai. Agar inflation economists ke forecasts ke saath match karta hai, ya badhta hai, toh GBP/USD par pressure barhne ke chances hain. Negative market reaction ki surat mein, main sirf long positions ko tab open karunga jab 1.3073 ke new interim support ke aas-paas girawat aur false breakout ho. Isse correction aur 1.3108 tak recovery ka chance milega. Agar U.S. inflation ke ghatne ke bawajood breakout aur consolidation upar hoti hai, toh intraday uptrend ke chances barh jayenge. Yeh sellers ke stop orders ko hata dega aur 1.3140 tak long positions ke liye accha entry point provide karega. Final target 1.3168 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. GBP/USD ki girawat aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3073 par buyers ki kami ki surat mein, pair par pressure barhega. Yeh 1.3049 ke next support ki taraf decline aur retest ko bhi lead karega, jo buyers ke plans ko khatam karega. Sirf is level par false breakout long positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega. Main 1.3012 ke low se rebound par GBP/USD ko 30-35 point ke intraday correction ke target ke saath kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon.

GBP/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:

Sellers ne market control karne ki koshish ki hai lekin abhi tak poora control nahi mila. American statistics aur 1.3108 ke nearest resistance ka defense isme madad kar sakta hai. Is level par ek false breakout, jaisa ke pehle mentioned scenario mein, naye short positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega, trend ko continue karte hue support 1.3073 tak target karega, jahan moving averages abhi bullish momentum ko support kar rahe hain. Agar is range ka breakout aur retest neeche se upar hota hai, toh buyers ke positions hit honge, stop orders hata diye jayenge aur 1.3049 tak raasta khulega, jahan major players se zyada active action ki ummeed hai. Final target 1.3012 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. Agar GBP/USD ki upar ki taraf movement hoti hai aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3108 par significant activity nahi hoti, toh buyers pair ko sideways channel mein consolidate karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Bears ko phir resistance area 1.3140 ki taraf pull back karna padega. Main wahan sirf false breakout par bechunga. Agar wahan se downward movement nahi hoti, toh main 1.3168 ke aas-paas rebound par short positions dhoondunga, 30-35 points ki downward correction ki ummeed ke saath.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain.

GBP/USD currency pair ne apne intraday gains ko reverse kar diya, aur Friday ki Asian session mein lagbhag 1.3311 ke aaspaas settle hua. British Pound, jo ke "Cable" ke naam se bhi jaana jata hai, ek cautious market atmosphere ke doran pressure ka shikar raha. Ye sentiment S&P 500 mein bhi reflect hota hai, jo ke losses ke sath open hui, jo investor ki kamzor risk appetite ko zahir karta hai. Ye downturn us drop ke baad aya jo is haftay ke shuru mein misprint hone wale US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) figures ke wajah se trigger hua tha.

**Federal Reserve Insights:**

Recent remarks mein Mary Daly, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, ne US inflation trends ke hawale se zyada optimism zahir kiya. Daly ne highlight kiya ke inflation dheere dheere Federal Reserve ke 2% target ki taraf move kar raha hai, aur unhoon ne yeh bhi kaha ke Fed ke mandates ke risks ab balance ho rahe hain. Is stance ne market mein yeh speculation badhaya ke Fed agle meetings mein rate cuts ko consider kar sakti hai.

Is wajah se US Dollar (USD) ne phir se selling pressure face kiya, kyun ke expectations barh gayi ke aur bhi bade interest rate cuts aa sakte hain, jis ne US Treasury bond yields ko neeche gira diya. Is dauran, GBP/USD pair ko kuch support mila, lekin softer risk tone ne USD ke gains ko limited rakha, jo ke ek mixed impact paida kar raha hai.

**Aane Wala Economic Data:**

Traders agle hafte ke kuch key economic reports ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein UK labor market figures aur US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation updates shamil hain. Mazeed data jaise ke UK aur US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, aur US Retail Sales bhi closely watch kiye jayenge. Current expectations ke mutabiq rate traders ka kehna hai ke Fed 18 September ko 50-basis-point ka rate cut karega, aur 2024 ke end tak mazeed cuts expect kiye ja rahe hain. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq 83% probability hai ke Fed ka benchmark rate December tak 425-450 basis points tak pohanch jayega.

**H4 Chart GBP/USD Technical Analysis:**

Pair ne pichle chaar dinon mein 1.3001 se 1.3267 ke range mein move kiya hai, aur key daily moving averages (DMAs) ne support aur resistance levels ke tor par kaam kiya hai. Friday ko Pound Sterling ne gains kiye lekin resistance ka samna 1.3158 par hua, jo ke 50-day DMA 1.3110 ke thoda sa neeche tha. Agar yeh resistance clear ho jata hai, to pair mazeed gains ki taraf move kar sakta hai.



Agar recent high 1.3267 se upar move hoti hai, to GBP/USD pair 1.3200 level aur round-number resistance 1.3250 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Current momentum indicators ek mixed picture dikhate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bearish hai lekin slight upward trend show kar raha hai, jo future movement ke potential ko zahir karta hai.

GBP-USD Pair Forecast
GBP/USD pair ki price mein izafa ab tak US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se supported hai. Agar hum dollar index ko dekhein, jo ke ab tak significant tor par gir chuka hai aur 101.00 ke level se neeche hai, to yeh kaafi khuli guzarish hai ke GBP/USD pair ki price barh sakti hai. Aur, price ab tak 1.3200 ke psychological level ke upar hai aur 1.3265 ke high prices ko test kar sakti hai. Agar koi downward correction phase hoti hai, to price EMA 50 ya iske neeche, qareebi RBS area 1.3153 ke aas-paas ja sakti hai.

Jis cheez par tawajjo deni zaroori hai, woh hai Fed ki monetary policy jo FOMC meeting mein discuss hogi. Rumors hain ke US interest rates mein 25 bps ka cut ho sakta hai, lekin yeh mumkin hai ke US Dollar ka outlook mazid taqatwar ho jaye. Stochastic indicator koi selling saturation point nahi dikha raha, kyunke parameter ab tak oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein enter karne mein nakam raha hai. Asal mein, parameter level 50 aur 20 ke darmiyan cross kar chuka hai. Aur ab lagta hai ke yeh overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ki taraf wapis ja raha hai, jo price increase rally ke jari rehne ka potential darsha raha hai.

Haalan ke trend ka rukh bullish hai, price ke barhne ke chances ziada hain, bajaye iske ke yeh correction phase mein neeche jaye. Iss liye, BUY entry ka placement us waqt kiya ja sakta hai jab price downward correction phase complete kar le, jo ke RBS area 1.3153 tak ja sakti hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein enter hona aur phir cross karna ka intezaar kiya jaye. SMA 200 ko stop loss ke liye aur take profit ke liye high price 1.3265 par rakha ja sakta hai.

GBP-USD Pair Forecast
GBP/USD pair ki price mein izafa ab tak US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se supported hai. Agar hum dollar index ko dekhein, jo ke ab tak significant tor par gir chuka hai aur 101.00 ke level se neeche hai, to yeh kaafi khuli guzarish hai ke GBP/USD pair ki price barh sakti hai. Aur, price ab tak 1.3200 ke psychological level ke upar hai aur 1.3265 ke high prices ko test kar sakti hai. Agar koi downward correction phase hoti hai, to price EMA 50 ya iske neeche, qareebi RBS area 1.3153 ke aas-paas ja sakti hai.

Jis cheez par tawajjo deni zaroori hai, woh hai Fed ki monetary policy jo FOMC meeting mein discuss hogi. Rumors hain ke US interest rates mein 25 bps ka cut ho sakta hai, lekin yeh mumkin hai ke US Dollar ka outlook mazid taqatwar ho jaye. Stochastic indicator koi selling saturation point nahi dikha raha, kyunke parameter ab tak oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein enter karne mein nakam raha hai. Asal mein, parameter level 50 aur 20 ke darmiyan cross kar chuka hai. Aur ab lagta hai ke yeh overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ki taraf wapis ja raha hai, jo price increase rally ke jari rehne ka potential darsha raha hai.

Haalan ke trend ka rukh bullish hai, price ke barhne ke chances ziada hain, bajaye iske ke yeh correction phase mein neeche jaye. Iss liye, BUY entry ka placement us waqt kiya ja sakta hai jab price downward correction phase complete kar le, jo ke RBS area 1.3153 tak ja sakti hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein enter hona aur phir cross karna ka intezaar kiya jaye. SMA 200 ko stop loss ke liye aur take profit ke liye high price 1.3265 par rakha ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD H4 MARKET ANALYSIS
GBP/USD H4 Market Analysis
Trend Overview
GBP/USD H4 timeframe par dekhain to overall trend neechay ki taraf hai. Price lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Filhaal price 1.2400 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek strong support zone hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to market mazeed neeche jaa sakta hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels
Key support levels 1.2350 aur 1.2400 hain. Agar price yeh levels hold nahi karti, to GBP/USD neeche ki taraf move kar sakta hai aur agla target 1.2300 ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2400 se bounce karay aur upar ki taraf move karay, to pehla resistance 1.2450 par hai, aur uske baad 1.2500 ka level mazid resistance provide karega.

Moving Averages ka Analysis
H4 chart par, 50-period aur 200-period moving averages dekhain to price unke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke short-term aur long-term bearish sentiment ko dikhata hai. 50-period moving average 1.2450 ke aas-paas hai jo ek dynamic resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai. Jab tak price in averages ke neeche hai, bearish bias mazid strong rahega.

RSI Indicator
Relative Strength Index (RSI) H4 timeframe par abhi 40 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market oversold zone mein abhi nahi hai, lekin agar RSI 30 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh signal hoga ke market oversold hai aur wahan se kuch recovery aasakti hai.

Conclusion
GBP/USD H4 timeframe par abhi bearish trend hai, jab tak price 1.2450 ke upar close nahi karti. Short-term mein support levels par nazar rakhni hogi, khaaskar 1.2400 aur 1.2350 par. Agar price yeh levels break karti hai, to further downside expected hai. Agar bulls comeback karain aur price 1.2450 ke upar break ho, to humein short-term bullish reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Trading Strategy
Agar aap sell ki taraf dekh rahe hain, to best entry point 1.2450 ka resistance zone ho sakta hai. Target 1.2350 aur 1.2300 par rakhain. Buy positions ke liye pehle wait karein ke price 1.2450 ke upar close ho, aur phir target 1.2500 aur 1.2550 tak rakhain.

Technical indicators ke ilawa, support aur resistance ke key levels ka dehan rakhna bhi zaroori hai. Aapko 1.3230 ka region observe karna chahiye jo ke sab se qareebi resistance level hai. Agar price is level ko achi volume ke sath breach kar le, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke price 1.3500 tak ya us se bhi ooper ja sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar market mein correction ya selling pressure aata hai, toh qareebi support level 1.2990 ke aas paas hai, jo ek significant area ho sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement bhi istimaal kar sakte hain is research ko support karne ke liye. 61.8% retracement level, swing low se swing high tak, 1.2200 ke region mein located hai, jo ke ek aham support level bhi hai. Agar price neeche jaata hai, toh yeh ek achi jagah ho sakti hai buyers ke liye. Bullish rise ke liye pehla target 1.2300 region mein ho sakta hai, jo ke 23.6% retracement level ke aas paas hai. Price ka breakout peechle Daily high ke ooper aur price ka Daily aur H4 timeframes par 20 SMA se uper position hona, technical analysis mein bullish bias ko show karta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke Stochastic, CCI, aur OsMA bhi is bullish bias ko support karte hain. Lekin, price ke aagey barhne se pehle koi chhoti correction ya consolidation zaroor ho sakti hai. Is liye traders ko support aur resistance ke levels ko dekhte rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi unexpected price movements se bachne ke liye risk management ko sahi tareeqe se implement karna chahiye. Akhir mein, technical aspects aur price ka 20 SMA se ooper hona ek mazboot buy opportunity ko show karta hai jo GBP/USD pair ko is haftay ke start mein mil raha hai. Traders ko resistance level par kisi bhi correction ke imkaanaat se hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur trading session ke start mein candlestick pattern ko closely dekhna chahiye. Agar aap achi analysis aur discipline ka riyaasat karte hain, toh profit ke imkaanaat kaafi hain. Umeed hai ke yeh research aap sab dostoon ke liye trading mein achi decisions lene mein madadgar sabit hogi, aur hum sab consistent profits hasil kar sakte hain is haftay. Aap sab ko Monday mubarak ho aur trading mein kaamyabi naseeb ho!

Sterling/Dollar (GBP/USD) ke exchange rate ne Tuesday ke Asian session mein ek narrow trading range maintain ki, kyunke investors ne Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke aham monetary policy announcements ka intezaar kiya. Fed ke taraf se aggressive interest rate cut ki umeed barh gayi hai, jahan 60% se zyada investors 50-basis point ki reduction ki tawajjo rakh rahe hain. Yeh cheez US dollar par asar daal rahi hai, jo apni recent lows se recover karne mein koshish kar raha hai.
Iske baraks, British pound ko support mila hai BoE ke taraf se slow interest rate hikes ki umeedon se. Magar investors ab bhi BoE se mazeed rate cuts ki tawajjo rakh rahe hain, khaaskar jab ke recent data ne UK economy mein slowdown aur GDP ka July mein flat rehna dikhaya hai. Is wajah se pound/dollar pair ke liye bullish sentiment mein thoda kami aayi hai. Aage dekhte hue, UK se Tuesday ko koi bara economic data release nahi ho raha, aur pair ki movement zyada tar US dollar par depend karegi. North American session mein, traders US retail sales data par focus kareinge, jo dollar ki demand par asar dal sakta hai aur pound/dollar pair ko momentum de sakta hai.

Market conditions ke bawajood jahan upside movement ka chance hai, aggressive traders ke liye ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Pound/dollar pair 23.6% Fibonacci correction level ke qareeb hai, jo upward trend mein ek possible pause ki nishandahi kar raha hai. Sath hi, relative strength index (RSI) aur stochastic oscillator neutral levels par hain, jo kisi clear direction ka ishara nahi de rahe. Agar pair mazeed weaken karta hai, to 50-day simple moving average 1.2940 par immediate support de sakti hai, jiske baad 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2900 par support mil sakta hai. Agar decline aur gehra hota hai, to 50.0% Fibonacci level 1.2780 par support mil sakta hai, jo market mein downward trend ki umeedon ko barha sakta hai.

Sterling/Dollar (GBP/USD) ke exchange rate ne Tuesday ke Asian session mein ek narrow trading range maintain ki, kyunke investors ne Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke aham monetary policy announcements ka intezaar kiya. Fed ke taraf se aggressive interest rate cut ki umeed barh gayi hai, jahan 60% se zyada investors 50-basis point ki reduction ki tawajjo rakh rahe hain. Yeh cheez US dollar par asar daal rahi hai, jo apni recent lows se recover karne mein koshish kar raha hai.
Iske baraks, British pound ko support mila hai BoE ke taraf se slow interest rate hikes ki umeedon se. Magar investors ab bhi BoE se mazeed rate cuts ki tawajjo rakh rahe hain, khaaskar jab ke recent data ne UK economy mein slowdown aur GDP ka July mein flat rehna dikhaya hai. Is wajah se pound/dollar pair ke liye bullish sentiment mein thoda kami aayi hai. Aage dekhte hue, UK se Tuesday ko koi bara economic data release nahi ho raha, aur pair ki movement zyada tar US dollar par depend karegi. North American session mein, traders US retail sales data par focus kareinge, jo dollar ki demand par asar dal sakta hai aur pound/dollar pair ko momentum de sakta hai.

Market conditions ke bawajood jahan upside movement ka chance hai, aggressive traders ke liye ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Pound/dollar pair 23.6% Fibonacci correction level ke qareeb hai, jo upward trend mein ek possible pause ki nishandahi kar raha hai. Sath hi, relative strength index (RSI) aur stochastic oscillator neutral levels par hain, jo kisi clear direction ka ishara nahi de rahe. Agar pair mazeed weaken karta hai, to 50-day simple moving average 1.2940 par immediate support de sakti hai, jiske baad 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2900 par support mil sakta hai. Agar decline aur gehra hota hai, to 50.0% Fibonacci level 1.2780 par support mil sakta hai, jo market mein downward trend ki umeedon ko barha sakta hai.

Kal ke Asian session ke aaghaz mein, GBPUSD abhi tak girawat jaari nahi kar saka, lekin yeh currency pair pehle thoda barha jab ke pehle support 1.3171 par tor chuka tha. GBPUSD mein izafa dekhne ko mila aur yeh 1.3321 tak pahunch gaya. Kuch dair baad, AUDUSD phir se gir gaya jis ke natijay mein agla support 1.3171 par bhi neeche se tor diya gaya. AUDUSD ke phir se girne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle abhi tak shoulder area 1.3221 par penetrate nahi kar saka tha. Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh yeh mumkin hai ke is Jumma ko GBPUSD mazeed gehra girawat ka samna kare. Is ki wajah yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern ban chuka hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karke, yeh batata hai ke yeh pattern valid hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ke resistance ko penetrate na hone diya jaye, kyun ke yeh GBPUSD ko foran neeche jane se rok sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, GBPUSD ke girne ki mazboot wajah yeh bhi hai ke yeh currency pair ab tak 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Khushkismati se, jab kal yeh bara tha, toh GBPUSD apne qareebi resistance ko paar nahi kar saka.
Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh jab se GBPUSD ki movement mein girawat aayi hai, candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hi rahi hai, jis ka matlab yeh hai ke trend abhi bhi waqi bearish hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi batata hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ka mauqa abhi bhi kafi zyada hai jab tak ke koi naya intersection nahi hota.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator yeh dikha raha hai ke GBPUSD ki halat ab oversold ho chuki hai. Is baat ka saboot yeh hai ke line level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Is position mein jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, mujhe abhi bhi ehtiyat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke GBPUSD ki girti hui movement dobara barh bhi sakti hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke pass abhi bhi girne ka mauqa hai kyun ke H1 timeframe mein ek head and shoulder pattern neeche tor chuka hai. Is ke ilawa, candle ab tak supply area 1.3224 par penetrate nahi kar saka. Is liye, mein aap sab ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain, yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf sell positions kholne par tawajju dein. Take profit target aap 1.3038 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 1.3237

Iss waqt GBP/USD trend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market par selling pressure bohat zyada hai. Trend line ke neeche break hone se yeh ek aham resistance level ban gaya hai, jisse bulls ke liye short term mein control wapas lena mushkil ho gaya hai. Yeh confirm karta hai ke sellers ka market par zyada daaboo hai, jo market sentiment ko ab drive kar rahe hain.
Sellers ke liye control banaye rakhne aur downward movement ko barhane ke liye, support zone 1.3150 ka break hona zaroori hai. Yeh level buyers ke liye ek aham barrier hai, aur agar price is se neeche break karta hai, to GBP/USD mein aur zyada downside potential ki umeed hai. Is break ke baad sellers ko aur neeche nayi targets ki taraf push karne ka mauka milega, kyun ke technical barriers kam ho jaayenge.

Aise scenario mein, kuch aham support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye jo pair ke liye potential targets ban sakte hain. Ek important level daily bull zone hai jo 1.3190 ke qareeb hai, jahan history mein buyers ne price ko reverse kiya tha. Yeh level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh pehle strong demand ka point raha hai jab pound is tak pohoncha tha. Lekin, current bearish momentum ke saath, yeh zone ab neeche se retest ho sakti hai, jo support ke bajaye resistance ka kaam kar sakti hai.

Agar pair 1.3150 ka level hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to agla leg neeche 1.3190 zone par support mil sakta hai, lekin bearish sentiment phir bhi rahega. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke agar in levels par koi significant buying pressure aata hai, to decline slow ho sakta hai ya short-term rebound ho sakta hai, lekin trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak bulls trend line ko reclaim karke price ko resistance levels ke upar push nahi karte.

Nateejatan, current technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD sellers ke control mein hai, aur trend line resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai kisi bhi bullish attempt ke liye. Agar 1.3150 support zone ke neeche break hota hai, to mazeed downside movement confirm hogi, jisme target 1.3190 ka daily bull zone ho sakta hai. Tab tak, sellers ka upper hand hai, aur bulls ko downward momentum ko reverse karne mein kaafi challenges ka samna hai.