جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Jab British Pound ko dekha jaye, lagta hai ke mojooda uptrend sustainable nahi hai. Isliye, aik mumkin downtrend shuru ho sakta hai ya chaloo rahe sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Pound Euro ko bhi neeche le ja sakta hai, kyunki maine aik long position li thi based on signal. Ek similar buy signal Pound ke liye bhi triggered hua tha, jo usne pichle Jumme ko fulfill kiya.
Mujhe dekha raha hai ke Pound fractal support 1.30857 ki taraf tez raftar se barh raha hai, aur iske neeche girne ki sambhavana hai. Yeh aik reversal pattern banane ka imkaan hai, jise 1-2-3 kaha jata hai. Pound Euro ke muqablay mein zyada bearish lagta hai, halanki is scenario mein, Euro apne buy signal target ko nahi pohnch sakta. Pound ne apne H4 timeframe par buy signal ko successfully complete kiya hai, jaisa ke grey column se potential dikhaya gaya hai. Filhal moving averages par based aik sell signal generate karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, lekin jab tak current H4 candle close nahi hoti, isay consider karna waqt se pehle hai. Lekin hum roughly sellers ke target ko pehle se andaza laga sakte hain.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke Pound ke liye H4 timeframe par pehle se aik initial sell signal tha, jis par main ab Fibonacci retracement draw kar raha hoon. Signal level 1.31346 se calculate kiya gaya hai. Pound ne apne pehle ke major low ko update kar liya hai, ek 1-2-3 pattern aur descending channel ko neeche ki taraf banate hue, jo grey color se mark kiya gaya hai. 100% level downtrend ke target ko dikhata hai, jo ke 1.30036 par hai. Dono signals ek hi target level ko indicate karte hain. Maine dono signals ke potentials ko orange column (primary) aur red column (secondary) se mark kiya hai. Is scenario mein, sell positions ke liye stop-loss level ko 0.0% ke thoda neeche set kiya ja sakta hai, yani ke 1.32324 ke level ke neeche, 1.32656 ke bajaye. Current levels se potential downside lagbhag 80 pips hai. Agar favorable pullback hota hai, to sell positions mein 1:1 risk-reward ratio ka aim rakha ja sakta hai, ya M15 timeframe par higher timeframe analysis ki support se sell positions consider ki ja sakti hain.

GBP/USD pair ne aik musbat rujhan dikhaya hai, jo ke agli haftay Federal Reserve ke zyada agressive rate cut ki umeedon ke barhney ki wajah se hai. Pair ke faiday ko kamzor US dollar aur bullish momentum indicators ka support mila hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level se upar raha hai, jo ke aik musbat outlook ka izhar karta hai. Agar GBP/USD pair faisla kun tor par 1.3150 ke upar break kar le, to 1.3200 ka psychological level haasil ho sakta hai. Mazeed faiday September 6 ke high 1.3239 ka imtihan le sakte hain aur shaayad YTD high 1.3266 tak bhi pohanch sakte hain. Neechay ki taraf, agar daily low 1.3114 se neeche break hota hai to 1.3100 ka level expose ho sakta hai, jiske baad support 1.3031 pe ho sakti hai. Pair ka recent retreat jo ke 1.3265 ke two-and-a-half-year high se hai, 1.3045-1.3085 ke restricted support zone mein mahsoor raha hai.
, jo ke agli haftay Federal Reserve ke zyada agressive rate cut ki umeedon ke barhney ki wajah se hai. Pair ke faiday ko kamzor US dollar aur bullish momentum indicators ka support mila hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level se upar raha hai, jo ke aik musbat outlook ka izhar karta hai. Agar GBP/USD pair faisla kun tor par 1.3150 ke upar break kar le, to 1.3200 ka psychological level haasil ho sakta hai. Mazeed faiday September 6 ke high 1.3239 ka imtihan le sakte hain aur shaayad YTD high 1.3266 tak bhi pohanch sakte hain. Neechay ki taraf, agar daily low 1.3114 se neeche break hota hai to 1.3100 ka level expose ho sakta hai, jiske baad support 1.3031 pe ho sakti hai. Pair ka recent retreat jo ke 1.3265 ke two-and-a-half-year high se hai, 1.3045-1.3085 ke restricted support zone mein mahsoor raha hai.



Technical indicators bohat chhoti muddat ke liye aik mixed outlook suggest karte hain. Jab ke RSI aur Stochastic neutral ya oversold territory mein hain, lekin overall medium-term uptrend abhi bhi intact hai. Agar 50-day simple moving average (SMA) 1.2940 se neeche toot jaaye to yeh aik gehri correction ka ishara ho sakta hai, jahan pe 38.2% aur 50.0% Fibonacci retracement
Technical indicators bohat chhoti muddat ke liye aik mixed outlook suggest karte hain. Jab ke RSI aur Stochastic neutral ya oversold territory mein hain, lekin overall medium-term uptrend abhi bhi intact hai. Agar 50-day simple moving average (SMA) 1.2940 se neeche toot jaaye to yeh aik gehri correction ka ishara ho sakta hai, jahan pe 38.2% aur 50.0% Fibonacci retracement levels pe support aasakti hai. Magar, jab tak GBP/USD pair medium-term uptrend line se upar hai, overall outlook musbat rehta hai. 1.3265 ke high aur March 2022 ke high 1.3310 tak mazeed faiday ka imkan hai. Natija ye hai ke GBP/USD pair filhal aik bullish trend mein hai, jo ke positive market sentiment aur Fed rate cut ki umeedon se supported hai. Halankeh kuch downside risks hain, overall outlook tab tak musbat rehta hai jab tak pair medium-term uptrend line se upar hai. Traders ko in factors aur evolving economic landscape ko ghoor se dekhna chahiye, taki mazeed faiday ya cor

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare. - Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye

GBP-USD Pair Review
Haal mein GBP-USD ki price position ab bhi girawat ka shikar hai aur 423% ke aakhri projection ki taraf ja rahi hai Fibonacci retracement mein. Magar iska yeh matlab nahi ke price iss projection level par aane ke baad mazeed nahi gir sakti. Agar haali halat dekhein toh yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke price movement consolidate karti rahegi uss area mein, jo EMA200 H4 ka dynamic resistance bhi hai. Kyon ke price aakhri 16 ghanton (ya 4 candlesticks) se bilkul EMA200 ke neeche hai, is liye buyers ke liye iss bearish trend ko badalna aasaan nahi hoga. Is surat mein sell trading option ek behtareen choice ho sakti hai.

Agar bearish pressure barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh price ko 1.2950 ke fresh demand area tak le ja sakta hai. Agar hum teen bearish candles ko dekhein jo is girawat ki wajah hain, toh abhi bhi price ke paas 1.2950 tak girne ka pura chance hai, bina kisi significant resistance ke, jab tak US unemployment claims data aaj raat ko expected 227,000 claims se bohat zyada nahi hota. Yeh unemployment ke izafay ko dikhayega, aur agar PPI data estimate se bohat neeche hota hai, toh producer purchasing index mein kamzori ka pata chalega, jisse GBP-USD ek tezi se correction kar sakti hai.

Is liye, apni bearish opportunity ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, seller ko zaroor price ko neeche le kar jaana hoga aur 1.30000 ke support ko torhna hoga jo kal ke daily trading arena ka lower support tha. Magar lagta hai ke aaj US dollar yaani USD ke kamzor hone ka moqa hai. Agar USD kamzor hota hai, toh GBP-USD ko apni bullish raah par wapas laane ka ek moqa milega, aur price EMA200 TF H1 orange line ko test karegi jo ke 1.31000 ke price level par hai.

Trading Setup:
Instant Sell GBP-USD with TP1 1.2980 - TP2 1.2930 aur SL 1.3065image widget

GBP/USD

Wednesday ko GBP/USD pair ka zawaal jaari raha, halan ke ye halki si kami thi, magar phir bhi ek kami thi. Aur jo log yaad nahi kar sakte, un ke liye, 2024 mein British currency ka zawaal bohat kam dekha gaya hai, khaaskar jab U.S. ke macroeconomic data dollar ko support nahi karte. Humain yaad nahi ke aakhri dafa kab dollar kamzor data pe bara tha. Lekin hum baar baar ye cheez wazeh kar chukay hain ke is saal 2024 mein (agar zyada waqt tak nahi toh) market ziada tar Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke aanay walay easing ko factor kar rahi hai, aur doosray tamam factors ko nazar andaz kar rahi hai. Kisi na kisi waqt, woh lamha ana tha jab market ne aanay walay rate cuts ko poori tarah price in kar liya hota. Uske baad, dollar ke girnay ki koi wajah nahi reh jati. Hum ye nahi keh rahe ke wo lamha ab aa gaya hai, magar iska imkaan zarur hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh dollar ab aik lambi muddat ke liye mazid mazbooti hasil kar sakta hai. Wednesday ko British reports ka GBP/USD pair ke movement pe koi khaas asar nahi tha, bilkul waisa hi jaise Tuesday ko tha. 5-minute time frame pe kuch achi signals generate hui hain Wednesday ko. European trading session ke aghaz pe price 1.3102-1.3107 area se bounce kar ke neeche 1.3043 level tak giri, us level ko break kiya aur 1.2993 level ko mushkil se miss kiya. Is tarah se, naye traders ke paas subah short positions open karne ka mauqa tha. Unho ne U.S. session ke dauran kabhi bhi apni positions close kar sakti thi, jo ke profit dayti.

Thursday ko kaise trade karein:
Hourly time frame pe, GBP/USD ke paas global downtrend ko dobara shuru karne ya kam az kam aik significant correction ka achi chance hai. British pound ab bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market ziada tar dollar sell karna pasand kar raha hai instead ke usay buy karein. Ab tak, pound sirf halki bearish correction dikhata hai. Poora downtrend kehna abhi jaldi hogi. Aane wali Fed meeting next week ko hai, uske baad dollar ke medium-term direction ke hawale se achi conclusions nikal sakti hain.

Thursday ko agar pair 1.3043 level ke neeche rehti hai toh ye apni decline sustain kar sakti hai.

Key levels jo 5M time frame pe dekhne hain wo hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Thursday ko UK mein koi significant event schedule nahi hai, magar hum ne clear dekha ke British data ka Tuesday aur Wednesday ko pair ke movement pe koi khaas asar nahi tha. U.S. mein Producer Price Index aur unemployment claims release hongay, lekin yeh secondary indicators hain.

Budh ke din, spot price ne ek aham recovery dekhi, rozana aur hafta ke neeche level se bounce karte hue 1.3105 ke mark ko paar kar liya. Yeh upar ki taraf ka harakat behtar market jazbaat ki wajah se hui, jo Bank of England ke ek official ke bayan ke baad dekhne ko mili. BoE ne yeh tasalli di ke market instability ke bawajood wo interest rates nahi barhaye ga, jisne risk appetite ko barhaya, aur GBP/USD exchange rate ko temporary boost diya. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair abhi bhi 1.3043 par trade kar raha tha jab pehle yeh 1.2998 ke low par pahunch gaya tha. Halaat aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair mein corrective slides limited ho sakti hain, aur har dip ko kharidne ka ek moka samjha ja sakta hai. Improved risk appetite aur Fed ke anticipated interest rate cuts shayad aane wale dinon mein pair ke movements ko mutasir karte rahenge. Traders ko aanewale economic data aur central bank statements par close nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke rukh ka taayun karenge.

### GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi ke UK economic data ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai. Data ne unexpected unemployment rate mein kami ka izhaar kiya, jo doosre kamzor indicators ko overshade kar gaya. Khaaskar, unemployment-related benefits claim karne walon ki tadaad July mein 135,000 barh gayi. Iske ilawa, wage growth mein aham kami hui, jo 5.7% year-over-year rate se ghat kar teen mahine tak June tak 4.5% tak chali gayi. Jab ke yeh numbers ek mixed picture present karte hain, overall unemployment ki kami ne GBP ke liye ek positive factor banaya hai.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke liye market expectations ki wajah se pressure ka samna hai. Yeh jazbaat Tuesday ko aayi softer-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report ne aur mazid barhaya. Yeh aur market mein overall positive risk tone ne USD bulls ko defensive mode mein rakha hai. Is wajah se, GBP/USD pair ko in halaat se support mila hai, aur agar value mein koi dip aaye, toh investors isay buying opportunity ke tor par dekh sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair ne aik musbat rujhan dikhaya hai, jo ke agli haftay Federal Reserve ke zyada agressive rate cut ki umeedon ke barhney ki wajah se hai. Pair ke faiday ko kamzor US dollar aur bullish momentum indicators ka support mila hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level se upar raha hai, jo ke aik musbat outlook ka izhar karta hai. Agar GBP/USD pair faisla kun tor par 1.3150 ke upar break kar le, to 1.3200 ka psychological level haasil ho sakta hai. Mazeed faiday September 6 ke high 1.3239 ka imtihan le sakte hain aur shaayad YTD high 1.3266 tak bhi pohanch sakte hain. Neechay ki taraf, agar daily low 1.3114 se neeche break hota hai to 1.3100 ka level expose ho sakta hai, jiske baad support 1.3031 pe ho sakti hai. Pair ka recent retreat jo ke 1.3265 ke two-and-a-half-year high se hai, 1.3045-1.3085 ke restricted support zone mein mahsoor raha hai.
, jo ke agli haftay Federal Reserve ke zyada agressive rate cut ki umeedon ke barhney ki wajah se hai. Pair ke faiday ko kamzor US dollar aur bullish momentum indicators ka support mila hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level se upar raha hai, jo ke aik musbat outlook ka izhar karta hai. Agar GBP/USD pair faisla kun tor par 1.3150 ke upar break kar le, to 1.3200 ka psychological level haasil ho sakta hai. Mazeed faiday September 6 ke high 1.3239 ka imtihan le sakte hain aur shaayad YTD high 1.3266 tak bhi pohanch sakte hain. Neechay ki taraf, agar daily low 1.3114 se neeche break hota hai to 1.3100 ka level expose ho sakta hai, jiske baad support 1.3031 pe ho sakti hai. Pair ka recent retreat jo ke 1.3265 ke two-and-a-half-year high se hai, 1.3045-1.3085 ke restricted support zone mein mahsoor raha hai.

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se. Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.
Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD Analysis

Yahan hamari umeedein alag hain. Main GBP/USD currency pair mein kisi tez growth ki umeed nahi kar raha hoon. Main sirf decline ki expect kar raha hoon. Mere paas 1.3190 aur 1.3220 se open sales hain, aur abhi yeh transactions thodi si profit mein hain. Main daily chart par focus kar raha hoon. Yeh dikhata hai ke price channel ke upper border se bahar nikal gaya tha, jo us waqt 1.3170 par tha. Ab main asset ke decline ki umeed kar raha hoon, kam az kam daily period ki average moving line tak, jo ab 1.2899 par hai. Agar price moving average se rebound karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh hum 1.3262 par maximum ka update dekh sakte hain. Lekin mere liye yeh kam mumkin hai. Mera khayal hai ke price moving average ko top se bottom tak break karega aur profitable purchases ke zone 1.2832-1.2764 tak chala jayega. Magar meri trading idea ke liye zaroori hai ke price channel ke lower border se bahar nikal jaye. Uske baad main ek northern correction aur continued decline ki umeed karta hoon.

Pound GBP/USD ki baat karein, toh pair 1.3070 ke opening level ke kareeb trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche hai. Main indicators southern direction ko dikhate hain aur price trend line MA72 ke neeche hai, jahan volume unloading aam tor par hoti hai. Agar price 1.3093 ke level se upar jata hai, toh pair ke growth ki umeed kar sakte hain, levels 1.3107 tak, aur shayad 1.3130 tak bhi. Agar price 1.3070 ke neeche jata hai, toh mera khayal hai ke pair 1.3056 tak neeche ja sakta hai, aur shayad 1.3019 tak bhi.

Pound monthly Pivot level 1.3019 (pehla 1.2837) ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin weekly Pivot level 1.3151 (pehla 1.3167) aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche hai, jo humein pair ke liye ek strong southern correctional mood ke baare mein batata hai. Agar weekly Pivot level 1.3151 ke upar jata hai, toh pair north ki taraf jayega, lekin daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche jayega toh pair monthly Pivot ki taraf chala jayega. North ka pehla resistance level 1.3107 par hai, jabke south mein 1.3056 ke neeche jaana zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai.

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust

#8843 Collapse
GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare. - Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye

Wednesday ko GBP/USD pair ka zawaal jaari raha, halan ke ye halki si kami thi, magar phir bhi ek kami thi. Aur jo log yaad nahi kar sakte, un ke liye, 2024 mein British currency ka zawaal bohat kam dekha gaya hai, khaaskar jab U.S. ke macroeconomic data dollar ko support nahi karte. Humain yaad nahi ke aakhri dafa kab dollar kamzor data pe bara tha. Lekin hum baar baar ye cheez wazeh kar chukay hain ke is saal 2024 mein (agar zyada waqt tak nahi toh) market ziada tar Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke aanay walay easing ko factor kar rahi hai, aur doosray tamam factors ko nazar andaz kar rahi hai. Kisi na kisi waqt, woh lamha ana tha jab market ne aanay walay rate cuts ko poori tarah price in kar liya hota. Uske baad, dollar ke girnay ki koi wajah nahi reh jati. Hum ye nahi keh rahe ke wo lamha ab aa gaya hai, magar iska imkaan zarur hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh dollar ab aik lambi muddat ke liye mazid mazbooti hasil kar sakta hai. Wednesday ko British reports ka GBP/USD pair ke movement pe koi khaas asar nahi tha, bilkul waisa hi jaise Tuesday ko tha. 5-minute time frame pe kuch achi signals generate hui hain Wednesday ko. European trading session ke aghaz pe price 1.3102-1.3107 area se bounce kar ke neeche 1.3043 level tak giri, us level ko break kiya aur 1.2993 level ko mushkil se miss kiya. Is tarah se, naye traders ke paas subah short positions open karne ka mauqa tha. Unho ne U.S. session ke dauran kabhi bhi apni positions close kar sakti thi, jo ke profit dayti.
Thursday ko kaise trade karein:
Hourly time frame pe, GBP/USD ke paas global downtrend ko dobara shuru karne ya kam az kam aik significant correction ka achi chance hai. British pound ab bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market ziada tar dollar sell karna pasand kar raha hai instead ke usay buy karein. Ab tak, pound sirf halki bearish correction dikhata hai. Poora downtrend kehna abhi jaldi hogi. Aane wali Fed meeting next week ko hai, uske baad dollar ke medium-term direction ke hawale se achi conclusions nikal sakti hain.

Thursday ko agar pair 1.3043 level ke neeche rehti hai toh ye apni decline sustain kar sakti hai.

Key levels jo 5M time frame pe dekhne hain wo hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Thursday ko UK mein koi significant event schedule nahi hai, magar hum ne clear dekha ke British data ka Tuesday aur Wednesday ko pair ke movement pe koi khaas asar nahi tha. U.S. mein Producer Price Index aur unemployment claims release hongay, lekin yeh secondary indicators hain.

GBP-USD ki price position ab bhi girawat ka shikar hai aur 423% ke aakhri projection ki taraf ja rahi hai Fibonacci retracement mein. Magar iska yeh matlab nahi ke price iss projection level par aane ke baad mazeed nahi gir sakti. Agar haali halat dekhein toh yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke price movement consolidate karti rahegi uss area mein, jo EMA200 H4 ka dynamic resistance bhi hai. Kyon ke price aakhri 16 ghanton (ya 4 candlesticks) se bilkul EMA200 ke neeche hai, is liye buyers ke liye iss bearish trend ko badalna aasaan nahi hoga. Is surat mein sell trading option ek behtareen choice ho sakti hai.
Service sector ke price pressures ka asar wages ke izafa se hota hai, jo ke June ke ikhtitam tak pichlay teen mahino mein apni do saal ki sab se kam satah par aa gayi hain. Aakhri Employment report yeh zahir karti hai ke Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses 5.4% ki raftar se barhti rahi, jo pichlay quarter ke 5.7% se kam hai. Wages ke izafa mein yeh raftar kehte hue, BoE policymakers ke liye kuch tasalli ho sakti hai, jo short term mein wage pressures ko manage karne par fikrmand rahe hain.
Agar bearish pressure barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh price ko 1.2950 ke fresh demand area tak le ja sakta hai. Agar hum teen bearish candles ko dekhein jo is girawat ki wajah hain, toh abhi bhi price ke paas 1.2950 tak girne ka pura chance hai, bina kisi significant resistance ke, jab tak US unemployment claims data aaj raat ko expected 227,000 claims se bohat zyada nahi hota. Yeh unemployment ke izafay ko dikhayega, aur agar PPI data estimate se bohat neeche hota hai, toh producer purchasing index mein kamzori ka pata chalega, jisse GBP-USD ek tezi se correction kar sakti hai.
Kal GBP mein tezi se girawat ke baad jo psychological 1.3000 mark ke qareeb thi, humari analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke naye momentum ke bawajood downside risk barqarar hai. 1.3000 ka level, jo ke June ke lowest level ke saath align karta hai, ne mazboot support diya hai. Hum bearish outlook barqarar rakhte hain jab tak GBP/USD 1.3109 ke strong resistance level ko break nahi karta. Jab tak price 1.3120 ke neeche rehti hai, mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai, lekin 1.3145 ke neeche girna imkaan se bahar lagta hai.
Is liye, apni bearish opportunity ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, seller ko zaroor price ko neeche le kar jaana hoga aur 1.30000 ke support ko torhna hoga jo kal ke daily trading arena ka lower support tha. Magar lagta hai ke aaj US dollar yaani USD ke kamzor hone ka moqa hai. Agar USD kamzor hota hai, toh GBP-USD ko apni bullish raah par wapas laane ka ek moqa milega, aur price EMA200 TF H1 orange line ko test karegi jo ke 1.31000 ke price level par hai.

GBP/USD Price Study

Technical indicators ke ilawa, support aur resistance ke key levels ka dehan rakhna bhi zaroori hai. Aapko 1.3230 ka region observe karna chahiye jo ke sab se qareebi resistance level hai. Agar price is level ko achi volume ke sath breach kar le, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke price 1.3500 tak ya us se bhi ooper ja sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar market mein correction ya selling pressure aata hai, toh qareebi support level 1.2990 ke aas paas hai, jo ek significant area ho sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement bhi istimaal kar sakte hain is research ko support karne ke liye. 61.8% retracement level, swing low se swing high tak, 1.2200 ke region mein located hai, jo ke ek aham support level bhi hai. Agar price neeche jaata hai, toh yeh ek achi jagah ho sakti hai buyers ke liye. Bullish rise ke liye pehla target 1.2300 region mein ho sakta hai, jo ke 23.6% retracement level ke aas paas hai. Price ka breakout peechle Daily high ke ooper aur price ka Daily aur H4 timeframes par 20 SMA se uper position hona, technical analysis mein bullish bias ko show karta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke Stochastic, CCI, aur OsMA bhi is bullish bias ko support karte hain. Lekin, price ke aagey barhne se pehle koi chhoti correction ya consolidation zaroor ho sakti hai. Is liye traders ko support aur resistance ke levels ko dekhte rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi unexpected price movements se bachne ke liye risk management ko sahi tareeqe se implement karna chahiye. Akhir mein, technical aspects aur price ka 20 SMA se ooper hona ek mazboot buy opportunity ko show karta hai jo GBP/USD pair ko is haftay ke start mein mil raha hai. Traders ko resistance level par kisi bhi correction ke imkaanaat se hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur trading session ke start mein candlestick pattern ko closely dekhna chahiye. Agar aap achi analysis aur discipline ka riyaasat karte hain, toh profit ke imkaanaat kaafi hain. Umeed hai ke yeh research aap sab dostoon ke liye trading mein achi decisions lene mein madadgar sabit hogi, aur hum sab consistent profits hasil kar sakte hain is haftay. Aap sab ko Monday mubarak ho aur trading mein kaamyabi naseeb ho!

GBPUSD currency pair ke kisi tez growth ki tawakku nahi karta. Main sirf girawat ki umeed rakhta hoon. Maine 1.3190 aur 1.3220 se sales open ki hui hain. Abhi yeh trades chhoti si profit mein hain. Main daily chart par focus kar raha hoon. Is chart se yeh pata chal raha hai ke price channel ke upper border se bahar nikli, jo us waqt 1.3170 par tha. Ab main asset ki girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon, kam az kam daily period ki average moving line tak, jo ab 1.2899 par hai. Agar price moving average se rebound karne mein kaamiyab hoti hai, toh hum 1.3262 par maximum ka update dekh sakte hain. Lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh mushkil hai. Mera khayal hai ke price moving average ko upar se neeche tak tor dega aur phir profitable purchase zone 1.2832-1.2764 tak jaega. Magar meri trading idea tabhi kaam karegi jab price channel ke lower border se bahar nikle. Uske baad main northern correction aur girawat ke silsile ko jari dekh raha hoon.
Pound GBP/USD ke hawale se, yeh pair 1.3070 ke opening level ke qareeb aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Main indicators southern direction dikhate hain aur price trend line MA72 ke neeche hai, jahan volume unloading aam tor par hoti hai. Agar price 1.3093 ke level ke upar hoti hai, toh hum pair ki growth ki umeed kar sakte hain jo ke 1.3107 aur shayad 1.3130 tak ja sakti hai. Agar price 1.3070 ke neeche chali jati hai, toh main pair ke 1.3056 aur shayad 1.3019 tak jaane ki umeed karta hoon.
Pound ab monthly Pivot level 1.3019 (pehle 1.2837) ke upar, weekly Pivot level 1.3151 (pehle 1.3167) ke neeche, aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo humein pair ke strong southern correctional mood ke bare mein batata hai. Weekly Pivot level 1.3151 ke upar pair north ki taraf jaega, jab ke daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche pair monthly Pivot ki taraf chala jaega. Pehla resistance level north mein 1.3107 par hai, aur south mein 1.3056 ke neeche jana ziada ahem hai.
GBP/USD ko 31 figure ke niche push karte hue aur quotes ne 1.3141 level ko break kiya. Downward movement chart par continue hui, jahan sellers ne Friday ke downtrend ka faida uthaya. H4 time frame ka tajziya bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai, aur pullback ke chances ko limited batata hai, kyunki downward trend shayad tab tak chale ga jab tak yeh 1.2796 tak nahi pohanchta. Agar pair 1.2793 ke niche stabilize hota hai, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price zigzag pattern mein niche jaati rahegi. Primary chart ke neeche do indicators, jo ke price fluctuations ko track karte hain, buy positions mein kami dikhate hain, lekin RSI thoda upar tick kar raha hai, jo ke H4 chart par last candle ke temporary upward pull ke wajah se hai. Main pehle se upper resistance levels ke through kaam kar chuka hoon, aur kyunki koi naye levels nahi bane, main zyada pronounced price drop ki ummeed rakhta hoon.