gbp/usd

GBP/USD Price Assesment
Agar hum GBPUSD currency pair ki Monday aur Friday ki trading ko dekhein, toh Monday ko yeh pair high ya resistance area 1.3160 - 1.3150 par bana raha tha aur support ya low trading level 1.3110 - 1.3120 par tha. Monday ko daily trading range 50 pips - 40 pips ki thi, jabke Friday ko yeh range 80 pips se 70 pips tak thi, jo ke Monday ke muqable mein zyada thi.

Agar hum 7-period moving average indicator ko close exponential method ke sath apply karen, aur 14-period moving average indicator ko bhi same method se H1 timeframe par dekhein, toh price dono moving averages ke neeche chal rahi hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD pair positive track par hai ya uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai. Agar hum H1 timeframe ka trading chart dekhein, toh price middle band aur upper band ke darmiyan move kar rahi hai Bollinger Band indicator ke sath, jo ke green hai. Yeh bhi yeh zahir karta hai ke GBPUSD pair uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai.



In dono indicators ke ilawa, agar hum parabolic SAR indicator ko dekhein jiska step setting 0.02 aur maximum step setting 0.2 hai, toh dots price ke neeche hain ya candlestick pattern ke neeche jo bana hua hai. Yeh yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD pair buyer pressure ke neeche hai ya uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai. Relative strength index indicator jiska period 14 hai, woh bhi level 50 se 70 ke darmiyan move kar raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke Friday ki trading mein GBPUSD buyer pressure ke neeche hai ya uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai. Is analysis ke madad se, main trade jo hum le sakte hain woh yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair par buy order place kiya jaye.

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar

GBP/USD pair March 2022 se apne highest level par pohcha, jo ke 1.3200 se upar tha.
Pound Sterling stands tall jabke US Dollar weak ho gaya hai. GBP/USD ne aik aur zabardast hafta dekha, jab ke UK se koi high-impact economic events nahi aaye. Major ke ird gird positive tone ka sab se bada sabab US Dollar ki apne major rivals ke against lagatar kamzori thi.
Traders ne apni bearish outlooks on the Greenback ko qaim rakha, jab dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations Jackson Hole Symposium week mein barh gayi. USD buyers ko Fed ke July meeting ke Minutes aur Chairman Jerome Powell ki speech ke intezar mein back foot par rehna pada.
Risk-averse market environment ke bawajood, US Dollar ko Powell ke appearance se pehle nervousness ke doran safe-haven demand nahi mil saka. Greenback ko aik naya jhatka Wednesday ke din outright dovish Fed Minutes ke release hone ke baad laga.
Zyada tar policymakers ka khayal tha ke "agar data expected line mein aata raha, to agle meeting mein policy ko ease karna theek hoga," Minutes ne kaha. Aagay, Minutes ne kaha ke doosray policymakers ne July meeting mein hi borrowing costs ko kam karne ka irada rakha tha.
Nonfarm Payrolls Benchmark Revision ne September ke liye Fed rate cut ko mazid strengthen kiya. US Labor Department ne kaha ke NFP ke period from April 2023 to March 2024 tak ko 818,000 se kam kar diya gaya. Yeh revision takreeban 0.5% ka total downward change represent karta hai.
Week US S&P Global preliminary Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) aur Jobless Claims data ne Thursday ke din dovish policy pivot ke liye bets ko mazid barhaya, jese ke September ke start par policy pivot ki umeed barh gayi thi.
Markets ne 27% probability ko price in kiya ke Fed ke September 17-18 meeting mein 50 basis points (bps) cut ho sakta hai aur 73% chance ke 25 bps reduction hoga, CME Group ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.
Jab traders apne US Dollar longs ko wapas lene lage, GBP/USD ne aik naya 13-mahina high of 1.3130 hit kiya, jo ke strong UK S&P Global preliminary business PMIs ke wajah se bhi tha. UK Manufacturing PMI ne July mein 52.1 se barh kar August mein 52.5 tak improvement dikhayi. Markets ne 52.1 print expect kiya tha. Isi dauran, preliminary UK Services Business Activity Index August mein 53.3 par pohcha, jo ke July ka 52.5 aur expected figure 52.8 tha.
Fed-BoE monetary policy divergence abhi bhi kaam mein tha aur Pound Sterling ke liye tailwind ke tor par kaam kar raha tha, jabke US Dollar thin ice par tha, Powell ke alfaz ke intezar mein.
Powell ne kaha ke waqt aagaya hai ke monetary policy ko adjust kiya jaye aur kaha ke wo labor market conditions mein mazid cooling ko welcome nahi karte. "Hum jo kuch kar sakte hain wo karenge taake ek mazboot labor market ka support ho jese ke hum price stability ke towards progress karte hain," unhon ne mazid kaha. USD ne immediate reaction mein renewed selling pressure ko face kiya, jo GBP/USD ko March 2022 se pehli dafa 1.3200 ke upar chadne ka moka diya.

Monday ko, GBP/USD currency pair ne apni sat din ki winning streak ko khatam kiya, jo ke ek mohtaat market ke mizaj ko zahir karta hai. Yeh pullback uske baad aaya jab yeh pair 1.3000 mark ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha lekin apna bullish momentum barqarar nahi rakh saka. GBP/USD ki is retreat ki wajah chand factors hain, jin mein extended UK bank holiday weekend ke dauraan patlay trading volumes aur iss haftay ke baad aham economic data releases se pehle sarmaayakaron ki hichkichaahat shamil hai. Sarmaayakaar bechain hain kyunke woh aham data points ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein US Retail Sales aur UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures shamil hain, jinka market ki direction par asar parne ki umeed hai. Market ki tawajjoh Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay par bhi hai, jahan bohat se log September mein rate cut ke imkaanat ke bare mein soch rahe hain. Iss soch-bichaar ne trading mein ek mohtaat approach ko janam diya hai, kyunke sarmaayakaar in aanay walay events ke mumkin asarat ko tol rahe hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell aur San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly ki taraf se wazeh ainday ki rehnumayi ke kami ne bhi mohtaat jazbaat ko mazid taqviat di. Dono officials ne yeh wazeh kiya ke ainday rate ke faislay meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, jis ne market ko ek wazeh direction ke baghair chorr diya hai.

Taqneeki tor par, GBP/USD ki haaliya price action uske ooper ki taraf rujhan mein ek waqfa ko zahir karti hai, jahan yeh pair 1.3000 ke aham level ko breach karne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ne mukhtasir tor par ek naya 12-mahina high hasil kiya tha lekin phir wapas pull back kiya, jo is mark ke aas paas ek mumkin resistance level ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is wajah se, ab tajir is baat ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain ke kya koi naya bullish momentum ka sign milta hai ya aane wale dino mein mazeed downside movement hoti hai.

GBP/USD ka Monday ko pullback mohtaat market sentiment ka natija tha, jo ke patlay trading volumes aur aham economic data releases se pehle ki ghair yakeeni ki wajah se tha. Extended UK bank holiday weekend aur aanay wale Fed aur Bank of England ke faislay ke imkaanat bhi market ko ek intizaar ki soorat mein rakhne ke imkaan hain, jahan tajir har naye data point ka ghaur se tajzia karte hain pehle ke woh koi bara qadam uthayen

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Khair, yahan ham ek naye karobari din aur Bartanwi pound ki taraf se niche ki raftar hasil karne ki tazah koshishon ke sath hain. Mai ab bhi tawaqqo karta hun keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.3019 ki support satah par girawat karega, jahan long positions kholna danishmandi hoga. Aam taur par, mujhe lagta hai keh September ke aakhir tak, jab Americi berzogari aur inflation ke aidad o shumar market ki qimatein, sath hi Federal Reserve ki taraf se 50-basis-point sud ki sherah me katauti hogi, to pound/dollar ka joda ghaleban 1.3200 se ooper karobar karega. Is dauran, imkan hai keh Bartanwi currency 1.3124 ki maujudah satah se wapas ucchalne se pahle gir kar 1.3019 tak pahunch jayegi.

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Jaisa ke tawaqqo ki gayi thi, pound/dollar ka joda kal 1.31452 ki muzahmati satah se ooper jane me nakam raha. Is tarah, 1.30890 ki support price par pahle se tai shudah hadaf ek tarjih bani hui hai. Iske bad, Bartanwi pound ke support satah se ucchalne aur oopri descending trend line aur maujudah muzahmati satah ko todne ka imkan hai. Yah nayi muqami bulandiyon ki rah hamwar karega. Is dauran, sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh pound/dollar ki jodi kamzori ko badha degi.

Spot price early-session pressure ka samna kar raha hai EU trading hours ke dauran, 0.17% girawat ke sath, jo ke recent interest rate cut ke baad 5.25% par aa gayi hai. Yeh faisla ek narrow 5-4 vote se hua, jisne pair ko sharply decline kar diya aur yeh 1.3103 ke low tak gir gaya. Lekin, pair thoda recover kar gaya hai aur ab latest update ke mutabiq 1.3121 par trade kar raha hai.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Jab traders significant central bank events ka intezar kar rahe hain, to recent selling bias US Dollar (USD) post-FOMC ne GBP/USD pair ko kuch support diya hai. Federal Reserve ne inflation mein behtari aur labor market ke cool hone ko acknowledge kiya. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne hint diya ke agar inflation stable rahti hai to early rate cut bhi ho sakti hai, jisne US Treasury bond yields ko lower kiya aur USD par additional pressure dala.

Benchmark 10-year US government bond ki yield February ke baad se sabse niche point par aa gayi hai, jo USD ke decline ko aur badha rahi hai. Iske alawa, positive global equity market tone, jo risk-on sentiment ko reflect kar raha hai, ne safe-haven USD ko teen hafton ke low ke kareeb rakha hai. Yeh environment GBP/USD pair ko kuch support de raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ne resilience dikhayi hai, intraday low 1.3103 se jaldi recover karte hue early session mein key resistance level 1.3150 ke upar aa gaya hai. Agar pair neeche aata hai, to agle supports 1.3100 par hain, uske baad 1.3081 aur psychological level 1.3000 aayega. Agar further declines hoti hain to pair 50-day moving average (DMA) ke 1.2921 ke paas aa sakta hai.

Daily chart par, pair Rising Channel pattern ke lower boundary ke kareeb aa raha hai. Jab yeh critical support level 1.3050 ke niche gir gaya aur 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2821 ke niche slip kar gaya, to pair ne significant difficulties ka samna kiya. Yeh breach bearish short-term trend ko indicate karta hai, jo 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke 40.00 ke kareeb hone se aur bhi support hota hai, jo continued downward momentum ke potential ko suggest karta hai.

**British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) Analysis in Roman Urdu**

Jumeraat ke din British Pound (GBP) ne thori si rahat hasil ki aur New York trading session mein key level 1.2600 ke thoda upar support mil gaya. Yeh development us waqt hui jab US Dollar (USD) mein thori si pullback nazar ayi, halan ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ne nai 8-week high ko touch kiya tha jo 1.0610 ke qareeb tha. Lekin, investors mein ehtiyaat ab bhi barqarar hai kyun ke Jummah ke din crucial US inflation data release hone wala hai. Federal Reserve Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) ko inflation ke tor par apni pasandeeda gauge ke tor par dekhta hai. Yeh data Jummah ko release hone ki umeed hai, aur ye shayad dikhaye ke May mein price increases April ke muqablay mein slow ho gayi hain. Agar inflation ka reading cool aata hai, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur GBP ko faida mil sakta hai. Lekin, US se aanewali positive economic signals ki wajah se GBP ka upside ab bhi limited lagta hai.

Taza data ke mutabiq, unemployment claims ke numbers expectations se kam aaye hain aur durable goods orders mein bhi unexpected uptick hui hai. Yeh numbers US economy ki underlying strength ko zahir karte hain, jis se investor sentiment USD par ab bhi bullish hai.

Agar GBP/USD apni ground kho deta hai aur immediate support level 1.2655 ke neeche gir jata hai, to shayad ye ek martaba phir one-month low 1.2620 ko retest kare. Agar mazeed decline hoti hai, to significant support level 1.2598 bhi play mein aa sakta hai, jo ke iss saal ke pehle half mein kaafi mazboot tha. Dusri taraf, agar GBP rally karta hai to shayad resistance zone 1.2771 ko challenge kare, jo ke 2024 ke pehle do mahine mein establish hua tha. Agar yeh area decisively break hota hai, to shayad 1.2816-1.2859 range ka test ho sakta hai. Yeh zone three-month high ke liye represent karta hai aur December 2023 ke peak ke saath coincide karta hai. Agar yeh range break hoti hai, to shayad GBP/USD wapas 2024 ke high 1.2892 ki taraf laut jaye.

Overall, GBP/USD ne apne recent decline ko 50-day moving average ke qareeb roka, lekin sustained reversal ke liye outlook ab bhi uncertain hai. GBP ko apne recent downtrend se clear break dikhana hoga taake positive trajectory establish ho sake. Aane wale Jummah ko release hone wala US inflation data is situation mein aik key turning point ban sakta hai. Agar inflation ka r

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar

GBP/USD Price Movement

GBP/USD ke H1 time frame ke mutabiq, price har baar XamaSystem indicator se bounce karti hai aur maximum update karti hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh jaldi break hone wala hai. Agar price indicator ko upar se neeche break karti hai aur uske neeche consolidate karti hai, to hum hourly period MA120 ke average moving average ka test dekh sakte hain, jo ke 1.3151 par hai. Yahan main closely dekhunga ke price kaise behave karti hai. Agar rebound dekhen, to thoda GBP/USD khareedna mumkin hoga jiska goal 1.3265 tak growth ka hoga. Mujhe lagta hai ke 1.3300 tak growth ka potential hai. Uske baad, mujhe reversal formation ki ummeed hai aur ek super sale ka plan hai 1.2800 aur usse neeche. Dusri taraf, agar MACD ko dekha jaye, to yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke price aage bhi gir sakti hai. Agar price girti hai aur red trendline ko break karti hai, to aur zyada bearishness ke liye raasta khulega. Bas yahi aaj ka update hai. Umeed hai yeh aapke liye useful hoga, aur apne tajurbaat comments section mein share karna na bhoolen.



Neeche diya gaya chart GBP/USD exchange rate ko dikhata hai. Quote mein growth ke miracles dikhai de rahe hain, jo ke Bank of England ki policy aur UK ke budget ke haal ke madde nazar ajeeb lagta hai. Aaj ki Asian session ke doran US dollar ki halki strengthening ne GBP/USD quotes ko 1.3264 ke current local maximum se rollback kiya, jabke reversal ke bare mein abhi kuch kehna mushkil hai. Pair ka upward slope abhi bhi hai, lekin bears ke paas achi chance hai ke quotes ko blue moving average tak rollback kar sakein. Jab tak quotes is moving average ke upar hain, downward correction ke prospects extremely doubtful hain. Lekin yeh mathematics hai, jahan issue ka price lagbhag 350 points hai, lekin kya hum Friday tak is target tak pohnch sakenge, yeh abhi sawal hai. Yeh meri opinion hai. Aur yeh neeche diye gaye picture mein hai. Tuesday ko GBP/USD pair ne naye multi-year high ko attempt kiya tha uske baad 1.3266 ke 29-month top par gir gaya jab pound sterling ne greenback ke widespread selloff se faida uthaya. US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) inflation readings Friday ko expected hain, investors ne September ke liye Federal Reserve (Fed) se rate decrease ki ummeed laga rakhi hai, jiski wajah se markets ke paas aaj ke liye substantive data kam hai. UK ke economic calendar mein noteworthy events ki kami hai, aur Wednesday ko Atlantic paar kaafi low-key din hone ki ummeed hai. US market day ke shuru mein, Fedspeak traders Christopher Waller ke speech ko dekhenge, jabke central bank observers Bank of England (BoE) ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke speech ko dekhenge jo London markets ke band hone ke baad scheduled hai.

Spot price early-session pressure ka samna kar raha hai EU trading hours ke dauran, 0.17% girawat ke sath, jo ke recent interest rate cut ke baad 5.25% par aa gayi hai. Yeh faisla ek narrow 5-4 vote se hua, jisne pair ko sharply decline kar diya aur yeh 1.3103 ke low tak gir gaya. Lekin, pair thoda recover kar gaya hai aur ab latest update ke mutabiq 1.3121 par trade kar raha hai.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Jab traders significant central bank events ka intezar kar rahe hain, to recent selling bias US Dollar (USD) post-FOMC ne GBP/USD pair ko kuch support diya hai. Federal Reserve ne inflation mein behtari aur labor market ke cool hone ko acknowledge kiya. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne hint diya ke agar inflation stable rahti hai to early rate cut bhi ho sakti hai, jisne US Treasury bond yields ko lower kiya aur USD par additional pressure dala.

Benchmark 10-year US government bond ki yield February ke baad se sabse niche point par aa gayi hai, jo USD ke decline ko aur badha rahi hai. Iske alawa, positive global equity market tone, jo risk-on sentiment ko reflect kar raha hai, ne safe-haven USD ko teen hafton ke low ke kareeb rakha hai. Yeh environment GBP/USD pair ko kuch support de raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ne resilience dikhayi hai, intraday low 1.3103 se jaldi recover karte hue early session mein key resistance level 1.3150 ke upar aa gaya hai. Agar pair neeche aata hai, to agle supports 1.3100 par hain, uske baad 1.3081 aur psychological level 1.3000 aayega. Agar further declines hoti hain to pair 50-day moving average (DMA) ke 1.2921 ke paas aa sakta hai.

Daily chart par, pair Rising Channel pattern ke lower boundary ke kareeb aa raha hai. Jab yeh critical support level 1.3050 ke niche gir gaya aur 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2821 ke niche slip kar gaya, to pair ne significant difficulties ka samna kiya. Yeh breach bearish short-term trend ko indicate karta hai, jo 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke 40.00 ke kareeb hone se aur bhi support hota hai, jo continued downward momentum ke potential ko suggest karta hai

ستمبر 3 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے 1.3120 کی سپورٹ لیول سے 19 پیپس کا اصلاحی اضافہ دیکھا۔ ڈیلی مارلن آسیلیٹر نے ایک کمزور رد عمل ظاہر کیا لیکن اب اس کی نیچے کی حرکت کو تقویت ملتی ہے۔ آج، قیمت 1.3095-1.3120 کی ہدف کی حد میں ٹوٹ سکتی ہے اور اس کے اندر مضبوط ہو سکتی ہے۔ اس رینج سے بریک آؤٹ 1.2994 کا ہدف کھول دے گا (27 جولائی 2023 کی چوٹی)۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.3095-1.3120 رینج سے اوپر مستحکم ہو رہی ہے، 30 اگست کو بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن سے نیچے مضبوط ہو رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر بڑھ رہا ہے، اس لیے استحکام ابھی ختم نہیں ہوا ہے۔



مینوفیکچرنگ پی ایم آئیاور تعمیراتی اخراجات کا ڈیٹا آج شام جاری کیا جائے گا۔ اشاریہ جات کے لیے پیشین گوئیاں پرامید ہیں، اس لیے ہم ڈالر کے مقابلے میں کرنسیوں میں اضافے کی توقع نہیں کرتے ہیں۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Aaj GBP/USD pair mein kuch buying opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh is liye bhi important hai kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein aanay wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein.
Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.

Aaj ke liye, mein sell-side position ko prefer kar raha hoon, jahan mera short target 1.2600 hai. Sath hi aaj ka market environment ek compelling buying opportunity bhi paish kar raha hai, jo ke buyer sentiment ke sustain hone aur potential upward movement ki wajah se hai. Market direction aur sentiment ke sath strategic alignment, proactive trade planning, aur timely execution ke sath, traders ke success ke prospects enhance ho jate hain. Disciplined approach par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena, traders ko market ke complexities ko confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai, aur profitable outcomes achieve karne mein bhi.

Aaj ke din ke liye, sab traders ko successful

GBP/USD currency pair ne apni rally ko Friday ke din dusre consecutive din ke liye extend kiya, aur Asian session ke doran 1.2870 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement zyada tar improved risk sentiment ki wajah se tha, jo ke stronger-than-expected US retail sales data se fuel hua. Is ne US recession ke hawale se fears ko kam kiya aur risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke pound sterling, ko support diya. Iske ilawa, British pound ko positive domestic economic data se bhi support mila, jo ke Thursday ko release hui thi. UK's GDP second quarter mein 0.6% expand hui, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq thi. Furthermore, annualized GDP growth rate 0.9% tak pohanch gayi, jo ke estimates aur previous quarter ke figure se zyada thi. Market participants eagerly UK retail sales data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko release hone wali hai. July ke liye 0.5% monthly increase ki expectation hai, jabke pehle month mein 1.2% decline dekha gaya tha. Annual retail sales growth ka estimation hai ke 1.4% tak rise karegi, pehle ke 0.2% contraction se recover karte hue. Wahin doosri taraf, US Dollar weak ho gaya hai kyun ke traders increasingly September mein Federal Reserve ki taraf se 25 basis point interest rate cut ko price kar rahe hain. Lekin, ek aggressive 50 basis point reduction ka bhi possibility hai, jise CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 26% probability mili hai. Iske bawajood, Dollar ko Thursday ko release hone wale robust US economic data se support mila, jisme stronger-than-expected retail sales aur initial jobless claims ka decline shamil hai.

Technically, GBP/USD pair ne August 8 ko 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar break hone ke baad upward trend kiya hai. Immediate resistance December 2023 high 1.2826 par located hai. Agar prices rise karti hain, to June high 1.2859 next obstacle ban sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, to March high 1.2892 tak move hone ka rasta khul sakta hai. Downside par, initial support 1.2710 level par dekha ja sakta hai, jo pehle resistance act karta tha lekin ab support provide kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level breakdown hota hai, to August low 1.2663 ko challenge kar sakta hai, jo ke 200-day SMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Aage ki losses pair ko June aur March ke lows tak push kar sakti hain, jo ke 1.2620 aur 1.2598 ke darmiyan situated hain.