جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Pound Sterling 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein sideway trade kar raha hai, jabke investors July ke US core PCE inflation data par focus kar rahe hain. Fed ki Mary Daly ne agar US labor market kharab hoti hai tou aggressive policy easing ke darwazay khulay rakhe hain. British shop price inflation August mein kaafi slow ho gayi.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne Tuesday ki London session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 1.3200 ke qareeb apne gains ko qaboo mein rakha hai. GBP/USD pair pichlay haftay ke tezi se hone wale izafay ke baad thoda aram kar raha hai, jabke investors Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cut ke September mein hone ke baray mein naye isharaat ka intezar kar rahe hain.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke September mein 50-basis-points (bps) interest-rate cut ki probability 28.5% hai, jabke baaqi ka zyada rujhan chhoti cut 25 bps par hai. Yeh tool waazeh taur par dikhata hai ke Fed ka policy normalization par wapsi market mein fully price in ho chuki hai, jis se US Dollar pichlay aik haftay se pressure mein hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke value ko chhe major currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.00 ke immediate resistance se neeche subdued performance dikhata hai.

Monday ko San Francisco Fed Bank President Mary Daly ne September mein interest rates cut karne ki zaroorat par zor diya. Daly ne 25 bps interest rate cut ki support ki lekin sath hi agar labor market kharab hota hai tou aik badi cut ke liye bhi darwazay khulay rakhe, Bloomberg par interview ke doran kaha.

Investors ka yakeen barh gaya hai ke Fed September se interest rates kam karna shuru kar dega jabke Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein kaha ke ab waqt hai ke policy ko adjust kiya jaye. Jerome Powell ne easing labor market conditions par bhi fikr ka izhar kiya aur isay support karne ka irada kiya.

Is haftay investors United States (US) ke core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data ke baray mein bohat ghoor se dekh rahe hain jo Friday ko publish hoga. Annual core PCE 2.7% tak barhne ka andaza hai pehle ke 2.6% release se, jabke mahwari figures mein stable growth 0.2% tak dekhne ko milegi. Is se pehle, US economic calendar Tuesday ko S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for June aur The Conference Board’s gauge of Consumer Confidence for August release karega.

Pound Sterling apni major peers ke muqable mein, Asia-Pacific currencies ke ilawa, Tuesday ko mazbooti dikhata hai. British currency apni upbeat market sentiment aur United Kingdom (UK) mein behtar hoti hui economic outlook se faida utha raha hai. Economic prospects behtar hue jab flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI ne dikhaya ke manufacturing aur service sectors dono mein August mein tez taraqi hui.

Bank of England (BoE) ke September mein interest-rate cut ke khilaf kam hoti hui betting ne bhi Pound Sterling ke attractiveness mein izafa kiya hai. Is scenario ka possibility kam hai kyun ke BoE ke officials expect kar rahe hain ke inflation dobara barh sakti hai, halan ke pipeline mein price pressures abate ho rahe hain.

British shop prices August mein October 2021 ke baad pehli baar kam hui, British Retail Consortium (BRC) ke data ne Tuesday ko report kiya. Non-food goods ke prices 1.5% tak ghat gaye summer clothes ki slow sales ki wajah se, jo teen saalon mein sab se bara fall hai. Food prices ne bhi dheere pace par barhna shuru kiya, 2.0% tak, jo ke November 2021 ke baad se sab se chhoti rise hai, July ke 2.3% se neeche.

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqable mein naya do-an-a-half saal ka high 1.3200 par banaya. GBP/USD pair strong ho gaya jab weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ka breakout deliver kiya. Agar bullish momentum dobara start hota hai tou Cable ke February 4, 2022 ke high 1.3640 tak barh sakne ka chance hai.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.2766 ke qareeb hai, strong upside trend ka ishara deti hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke strong upside momentum ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, yeh 70.00 par overbought levels tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke corrective pullback ke chances barhata hai. Neeche ki taraf, psychological level 1.3000 Pound Sterling bulls ke liye crucial support hoga.

GBPUSD currency pair ka daily timeframe par price movement kuchh waisa hi hai jaise ke US Dollar ke saath kuchh aur pairs ka hota hai. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein upar ki taraf ek achi rally dekhi gayi thi jo kafi wide range ke saath thi. Yeh pichle hafte ke bearish trend ke liye resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, jahan ek chhoti candlestick bani thi. Pichle hafte ek bullish candlestick dekhi gayi thi jo opening price se niche close hui thi. Yeh correction ki condition is hafte ke liye price ke upar jane ki potential ko dikhati hai. Aaj subah market 1.2939 ki price level par open hui thi aur ab price thodi si increase dekh rahi hai aur 1.2955 ke level par hai.
Is analysis ko complete karne ke liye, maine kuch support indicators ke signals ko dekha. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line pehle level 50 ke neeche chal rahi thi, lekin ab thodi si upar chali gayi hai. MACD indicator (12,26,9) par histogram bar ka position bhi abhi zero level ke upar hai aur iska size kafi lamba hai, saath hi yellow signal line bhi pichle hafte ke downward correction ke baad wahi direction follow kar rahi hai. Is waqt ki candlestick position abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 lines ke upar hai. Indicators ke technical readings se lagta hai ke sabhi bullish market signals de rahe hain. Agla step ke liye, main H4 timeframe par price movements ko observe karunga. Lagta hai ke aakhri kuch hafto ke trading mein GBPUSD currency pair buyers ke control mein hai. Yeh condition price movement ke through dikhai deti hai jo zyada tar upar ki taraf hi chal rahi hai aur same din ke opening price se higher level par close ho rahi hai, jo bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Maine indicators se kuch technical clues liye hain. Relative Strength Index (14) ki Lime Line pehle level 30 par thi, aur ab level 70 se upar chali gayi hai. MACD indicator (12,26,9) se histogram bar bhi zero level ke upar lamba ho raha hai. Candlestick position abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 lines ke upar hai. H4 timeframe ke technical readings se bullish signal dominate kar raha hai

Humari guftagu ka mauzoo GBP/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ki mojudah study hai. H1 level par 1.3169-49 ka resistance abhi tak sadma bana hua hai, magar yeh resistance sirf ek din ke liye rukaawat bana reh sakti hai. Agar pressure barqarar rehta hai, toh kal yeh breakthrough ho sakta hai, jo price ko neeche le aayega. Agar subah ke intraday levels ko dekha jaye jo system ne highlight kiye the, toh ye baat samajh aati hai ke upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai, jab tak corrective move barqarar hai. Lekin yeh correction kafi kamzor sabit hui hai. Intraday levels jo qabil-e-deed hai, woh 1.3106 aur 1.3228 hain, jo ke red aur green mein mark kiye gaye hain. In levels tak abhi tak price nahi pohoch payi hai, aur yeh surat-e-haal kal tak barqarar reh sakti hai agar narrowing na ho. Aam tor par, ek narrowing pattern se market zyada erratic ho sakti hai, magar kisi bhi range expansion ka imkaan kam hai. Ab tak, koi mazboot ishara nahi milta ke koi decisive bearish move aanay wala hai.


GBP/USD ke D1 chart par, aaj ki market activity UK mein holiday ke wajah se stagnant rahi. Pechle trading week mein bearish success ke liye zyada moka nahi mila; choti choti intraday corrections mein bhi kafi mushkil hui. Pair ne tezi se ooper chadna shuru kiya, lekin aisa lag raha tha ke yeh decline hone wala hai. Thursday ki candle jo ke ek inverted hammer ke jese thi, ne decline ka ishara diya. Lekin market poore din flat rahi, shayad yeh ek group of sellers ko accumulate kar rahi thi jo itni oonchi levels se downward correction ki umeed lagaaye baithe the. Lekin yeh umeed zyada der tak nahi rahi, jab Friday ko United States se significant news aayi. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka khitaab aur US mein naye gharon ke sales ka elaan ne price ko tezi se ooper push kar diya, jis se bohot se stop losses trigger hue aur kai accounts par asar pada. Yeh movement pound ke liye nahi thi, balki US dollar ke market mein kafi kamzor hone ki wajah se thi.

GBP/USD: Price Action

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ki price behaviour ka jaiza le rahe hain. GBP/USD market mein, bears asar dikhane ki koshish kar rahe hain lekin unki taqat kami hai. Dusri taraf, bulls consistently price ko 32nd figure mein push kar rahe hain, upar ki taraf le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain aur naye highs ko touch karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Sawal ye hai ke kya bulls ab bears mein tabdeel ho gaye hain, traders ko highs par chorh kar aur shayad trend ko bearish side mein reverse karte hue. Pound bhi asar mein hai, aur girawat mumkin hai. Agar US dollar ke liye achhi khabrein aati hain, toh ye bears ko mazid majbooti de sakta hai. Lekin, aaj ka foran maqsad 1.3179 ke niche close karna hai. Aaj, main indicator ka use karke current price movement ka tajweez dena chahta hoon jo moving average analysis par mabni hai. Channel bullish hai, jo suggest karta hai ke buyers sellers par overpower kar rahe hain. Halankeh kuch bearish pullback movements hain, lekin bulls abhi bhi mazboot hain aur bears ko apni leadership chhorne ke liye tayyar nahi hain.

Line ki direction indicate karti hai ke ab sirf long positions lena advisable hai. CPI indicators dono extended buy area mein hain. Main apni open position ko tab close karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price Fibonacci level of 61.7% tak pahunche, jo 1.32794 price mark ke barabar hai. Hourly time frame ko analyze karne ke baad, maine daily chart ka bhi tajweez liya. Kal, 1.2299 level se rebound karne ke baad, pound/dollar pair ne rise shuru kiya aur ek strong upward price channel bana diya, aur British pound ab 1.3201 par trade kar raha hai. Technical standpoint se, itne extended series of green daily candles ke baad, is din green close hone ki achi ummeed hai, aur main market ka close 1.3229 par hone ka tajweez de raha hoon. Us point par, main apne buy trades se profits record karne ka plan bana raha hoon aur sell positions open karne ka soch sakta hoon. Lekin, main tab tak koi premature decisions nahi lunga.

GBPUSD ki movement kafi badi thi, kyun ke ye 100 pips tak move kar gaya. Us waqt candle 1.2765 se 1.2865 tak chal gayi thi, jiski wajah se Wednesday ki market opening pichle mahine se kafi uchi thi.
Agar h1 timeframe se analyze karein, to candle abhi bhi supply area mein 1.2864 ke price par stuck hai. Jab tak ye supply area pass nahi hota, GBPUSD ki movement down hone ka possibility hai. Lekin agar supply area break ho jata hai, to movement continue upward bhi ho sakti hai. Ek doji candle pattern bhi resistance area mein nazar aayi hai, jo aam tor par GBPUSD ki movement ko down bana sakti hai. Agar supply area penetrate hota hai to GBPUSD ka target resistance ke upar, jo 1.2989 ke aas-paas hai, ho sakta hai. Aur agar GBPUSD movement down hoti hai, to support area 1.2684 ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

Ichimoku indicator se analyze karne par, since candle Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, GBPUSD ki movement upwards jaane ki trend dikha rahi hai. Ye position indicate karti hai ke trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Indicator ye bhi batata hai ke Wednesday ko GBPUSD ke rise hone ke chances kafi hain, kyun ke candle Kumo ke upar bhi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke upward pressure strong hai.

Lekin stochastic indicator ye show kar raha hai ke GBPUSD overbought hai. Shayad near future mein GBPUSD ki movement gir sakti hai, lekin ye zaroori nahi hai, kabhi kabhi aise position mein price upar bhi ja sakti hai. Point ye hai ke stochastic agar level 20 ko penetrate karta hai, to mujhe cautious rehna hoga kyun ke movement kabhi bhi reverse ho sakti hai. Mere liye aaj GBPUSD ki rise par focus hai.

To conclusion ye hai ke aaj GBPUSD upar jayega agar supply area 1.2868 ko break kar deta hai, aur agar nahi hota to GBPUSD ki movement down ho sakti hai. Ichimoku indicator ke according candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hone ki wajah se, upward movement ke chances abhi bhi bade hain. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke buy position tab open karein jab supply break ho jaye. Take profit target ko nearest support 1.2790 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko resistance 1.2880 par place kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko apna sabse uncha level barson mein hasil kiya, jo ke dollar ki girawat ke chalte surge ko continue karta hai. September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki umeed ne optimism ko barhaya, khas tor par Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ke baad. Pound ki upward trend ko support milta raha hai kyunki United States se kisi significant economic data ka release nahi hua hai, jab tak Friday ka personal consumption expenditure inflation report nahi aata. Is se investors ko rate cut ke potential par focus karne ka moka mila, jis ne GBP/USD ko 29 mahine ke highest level tak pohancha diya hai. Wednesday ko UK ya US ke liye koi major economic events nahi hain, lekin market participants Federal Reserve Governor Kristen Wald aur Bank of England Deputy Governor Catherine Mann ke speeches par nazar rakhenge. Yeh speeches monetary policy expectations ke hawale se mazeed insights de sakti hain aur pound ki trajectory ko bhi impact kar sakti hain.

GBP/USD ne mazboot upward momentum dikhaya hai, jahan 16 mein se 14 sessions mein yeh higher close hui hai. Lekin kuch signs hain jo yeh zahir karte hain ke pair overbought ho sakti hai, jahan relative strength index aur stochastic oscillator potential correction ko indicate kar rahe hain. Agar yeh pair 1.3180 support level ke neeche break kar jati hai to yeh short-term decline ko zahir kar sakta hai, jab ke agar yeh 1.3229 resistance ko breach karne mein nakam hoti hai to yeh upward trend mein rukawat ko zahir kar sakta hai. Agar yeh pair psychological barrier 1.3000 ke neeche gir jati hai to yeh mazeed significant correction ka samna kar sakti hai, 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages ki taraf. Resistance levels mein April trendline jo ke rise ho rahi hai, wo 1.3240 ke qareeb hai. Bulls ka aim 1.3400 mark ko hit karna hoga, jo ke March 2022 mein dekha gaya tha, agar wo 1.3300 ka round level cross kar lete hain. GBP/USD mein recent sharp increase ke madde nazar take-profits le sakte hain. Near term mein, investors ko parwah nahi hogi agar yeh pair apni upward trend ko maintain rakhti hai, jab tak yeh 1.2700-1.2730 ke neeche decline nahi karti.

Monday ko, GBP/USD pair mein sirf 0.58% ka halki si izafa dekha gaya. Pound Sterling ke struggle ka sabab ziada tar market expectations hain ke agle hafte Bank of England (BoE) se rate cut ka imkaan hai. Yeh halka advance pichle hafte ke aadha percent girawat ko offset karne mein nakam raha, jo ke doosre musalsal hafte ke downward momentum ko zahir karta hai, jahan se currency pair pichle hafte ke multi-month peak 1.3267 se retreat kar rahi hai.

GBP/USD ki Fundamentals:

Sterling ne ziada tar badi currencies ke muqablay mein underperform kiya hai, siwai Australian Dollar (AUD) aur New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ke. Yeh kamzori GBP par mount hoti pressure ko zahir karti hai, kyunke market analysts umeed kar rahe hain ke BoE August mein apni policy ko normalize karega. Saath hi, expectations hain ke US Federal Reserve apni July meeting ke doran current rates ko maintain rakhega lekin September mein apni monetary policy ko ease karna shuru karega, Federal Funds Rate ko 5.00%-5.25% range tak laane ka imkaan hai.

Inflationary pressures ke indications ke bawajood, market ne in concerns ko ziada tar nazar andaz kar diya hai aur risk-on sentiment ko apna liya hai. Yeh tabdeeli rate cut ki umeedon se driven hai. CME FedWatch Tool yeh zahir karta hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke 31 July ko rates ko steady rakhne ka imkaan 100% hai. Magar, markets mein kam az kam 25-basis-point rate cut ki pricing ki gayi hai jo ke 18 September ko FOMC karegi, aur 12% chance hai ke kuch ziada optimistic logon ke liye 50-bps ka ziada rate cut ho sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price ke around 1.3250 ke specific price range mein rehne ki umeed hai jab tak yeh resistance level ko break nahi karti. Agar yeh pair is barrier ko cross karti hai, to yeh potentially 1.3300 tak pohanch sakti hai, aur mazeed upside potential hai agar yeh year-to-date high 1.3267 ko cross kar jati hai. Ahem izafa ke baad yeh pair ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.3260 tak pohanch sakti hai, aur recent peak 1.3267 ko bhi approach kar sakti hai.

Is waqt, yeh pair 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2694 se kaafi upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish stance ko barqarar rakhta hai. Lekin, agar prolonged pullback hota hai to yeh significant rising trendline ki taraf gir sakta hai jo ke last October ke lows near 1.2040 se originate hoti hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) wapas 40.00-60.00 range mein aa gaya hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, magar overall bullish bias abhi bhi mojood hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki price movement par discussion karte hain. Market dynamics mein significant shift aayi hai, jahan pound-dollar pair upward trend mein hai. Yeh mainly US dollar ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai against major global currencies, jisme British pound bhi shamil hai. Mukable mein, Britain ka labor market strong hai, aur wages bhi achi speed se barh rahi hain.

Jumay ko GBP/USD pair 1.3219 par close hui, aur jab tak pound 1.3134-1.3139 range ke upar hai, bulls control mein rahenge. Agla target 1.3299 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart thora unreliable ho sakta hai, lekin four-hour chart ziada certainty provide karta hai. Agar yeh formation play out hoti hai, toh kareeban 149 points ka gain ho sakta hai. Halaat dekh kar, main iss waqt selling consider nahi karunga.



Last week, GBP/USD bulls ne bears ko decisively outpace kiya. Jumay ko Powell ke remarks ne market ko further stir kiya, lekin main uspar ziada focus nahi karna chahta, kyunki yeh pehle hi ziada attention le chuka hai. Aise lagta hai jaise old-timers ko order maintain karne ki koshish karte dekhna, chahe jo karna pade. Job hai, aur wo ja sakte hain, lekin main sochta hoon kya Powell stepping down par consider kar rahe hain? Unka focus lagta hai dono Democrats aur Trump ko appease karne par hai.

Main hopeful hoon ke markets weekend par reconsider karenge aur Monday se bearish retrace karenge, ideally 1.2999 ki taraf. Lekin pre-market mein ziada movement nahi thi (haalankeh pehle maine dekha ke euro-dollar price 1.1107 par thi, jo last week's close se kareeban 99 points niche thi, jo ziada matter nahi karta, kyunki prices tab se Friday ke close ke kareeb stable ho gayi hain). Main expand hoti formation ko highlight karna chahta hoon jise main abhi tak thoroughly analyze nahi kar saka. Pattern mein 59 points hain, lekin 89 points already uske beyond move kar chuke hain.

GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein interesting dynamics dikhayi hain, khaaskar hourly chart par. 50-day moving average (MA50) ke downward pressure ko break karne ke baad, ab yeh pair 100-day moving average (MA100) se potential resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Yeh resistance kisi bhi short-term mein significant upward movement ko rok sakta hai, khaaskar jab ke stochastic indicator abhi bhi upward momentum dikhara hai.

Haalan ke current uptrend nazar arahi hai, lekin recent rally ka steep incline yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh momentum shayad sustainable na ho. Market filhal ek uncertainty ki state mein hai aur apni next move ko carefully weigh kar raha hai. Is situation ne ek complex trading environment create kar diya hai jahan yeh pair shayad thodi si southern correction undergo kare, us ke baad shayad apni upward trajectory resume kare. Key resistance level jo dekhne wali hai wo 1.2645 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke pair ke liye ek critical turning point ho sakta hai.

### GBP/USD ke liye Potential Scenarios

**1. Reversal aur Downward Movement:**

Pehli scenario yeh consider karna hai ke agar 1.2580 resistance level par ek reversal hoti hai. Agar is point par reversal candle form hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift indicate kar sakta hai, jo shayad downward trend ki resumption ki taraf le jaye. Is scenario mein pair shayad lower support levels ko test kare, khaaskar agar current rally apna momentum sustain karne mein naakam hoti hai.

**2. Upward Movement ka Continuation:**

Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD pair resistance level 1.2780 ko break karne mein kaamyaab ho jata hai, toh yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko confirm karega. Aisi move market ke pair ko further upward push karne ke liye ready hone ka signal de sakti hai. Is scenario mein, traders ko sustained buying pressure ko dekhna chahiye jo ke pair ko naye highs ki taraf drive kar sakta hai.

### Key Levels Jo Monitor Karni Chahiye

Kal ke price action par nazar daalain, toh pair ne apne kuch gains wapas de diye, jo suggest karta hai ke 1.2689 ke aas-paas resistance abhi bhi ek significant hurdle hai. Agar yeh level dobara test hota hai, toh yeh potential pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin, 1.2600 ke aas-paas local Bollinger Band ke qareeb support bhi significant hai. Agar yeh pair is support level ke upar hold karne mein naakam hota hai aur is ke neeche break karta hai, toh market mein further downside potential nazar aa sakti hai, jahan targets lower rail 1.2705 ke aas-paas ho sakte hain

**GBP/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu**

Jummah ke din GBP/USD ka price poore din mein pichle din ki range ko break nahi kar saka, jis ke natije mein aik indecision candle bani jo thori si bullish bias ke sath thi. Aane wale hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke southern movement ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is surat mein, jaisa ke pehle bhi mein ne mention kiya, main apna focus mirror support level par rakhne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.25694 par waqia hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios samne aa sakte hain.

Pehla scenario ye hai ke aik reversal candle bane aur price phir se upward movement shuru kare. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein intizar karoon ga ke price resistance level 1.27025 ya phir resistance level 1.27399 tak laut aye. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar close hoti hai, to mazeed northward movement ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo ke resistance level 1.2864 ya resistance level 1.28938 tak ho sakti hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ke formation ka intizar karoon ga taake mazeed trading direction ka tayun ho sake.

Lekin agar price ko further north push kiya jata hai to mazeed northern targets tak le jane ka chance hai, lekin filhal mein is option ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke iski quick realization ke liye prospects nazar nahi aa rahe. Ek alternative scenario ye ho sakta hai ke support level 1.25694 ke retesting par price is level ke neeche close ho aur mazeed southern movement shuru ho. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein price ke support level 1.24601 ya support level 1.24456 tak jane ki umeed karoon ga. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karoon ga aur umeed karoon ga ke upward price movement ka silsila phir se shuru ho jaye.

Mujhe lagta hai ke next week mein price locally nearest support level ko test karegi, aur phir mein bullish signals ki talash mein rahoon ga taake price ke upward movement ki umeed ki ja sake. June ke mahine mein market ki situation ab bhi bearish side par chal rahi hai. Pichle hafte ke trading mein bhi market trend downward tha. Is hafte ke liye, price jo ke position 1.2636 se shuru hui, thoda upar move kar sakti hai 1.2701 ke area tak. Phir pichle hafte ke end par thodi bearishness hui jis se price close hui 1.2641 par. Is mahine ka downtrend ab tak significant nahi lagta, lekin last three weeks ki bearishness next week ke bearish trend ke liye aik mauqa ban sakti hai.

Candlesticks ab tak stable nazar aa rahi hain jo ke simple moving average zone of period 100 ke neeche move kar rahi hain. Meri prediction ye hai ke next week candlestick ab bhi niche move kar sakti hai taake bearish trend jari rakha ja sake, jis se price current position se lower position tak ja sakti hai. Mujhe shak hai ke agle hafte price downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, jo ke pichle do hafton ki drastic bearishness ka asar hai, aur ye shayad 1.2600 ke area ko test karne ki koshish kare. Agar ye koshish kamiyab hoti hai, to GBP/USD pair ke liye agle bearish target tak girne ka chance hai, lekin agar bearishness continue nahi hoti to mujhe lagta hai ke price bullish side ki taraf uth sakti hai, shayad 1.2686 ke position ko test karna chahti ho.

**British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) Analysis in Roman Urdu**

Jumeraat ke din British Pound (GBP) ne thori si rahat hasil ki aur New York trading session mein key level 1.2600 ke thoda upar support mil gaya. Yeh development us waqt hui jab US Dollar (USD) mein thori si pullback nazar ayi, halan ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ne nai 8-week high ko touch kiya tha jo 1.0610 ke qareeb tha. Lekin, investors mein ehtiyaat ab bhi barqarar hai kyun ke Jummah ke din crucial US inflation data release hone wala hai. Federal Reserve Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) ko inflation ke tor par apni pasandeeda gauge ke tor par dekhta hai. Yeh data Jummah ko release hone ki umeed hai, aur ye shayad dikhaye ke May mein price increases April ke muqablay mein slow ho gayi hain. Agar inflation ka reading cool aata hai, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur GBP ko faida mil sakta hai. Lekin, US se aanewali positive economic signals ki wajah se GBP ka upside ab bhi limited lagta hai.

Taza data ke mutabiq, unemployment claims ke numbers expectations se kam aaye hain aur durable goods orders mein bhi unexpected uptick hui hai. Yeh numbers US economy ki underlying strength ko zahir karte hain, jis se investor sentiment USD par ab bhi bullish hai.

Agar GBP/USD apni ground kho deta hai aur immediate support level 1.2655 ke neeche gir jata hai, to shayad ye ek martaba phir one-month low 1.2620 ko retest kare. Agar mazeed decline hoti hai, to significant support level 1.2598 bhi play mein aa sakta hai, jo ke iss saal ke pehle half mein kaafi mazboot tha. Dusri taraf, agar GBP rally karta hai to shayad resistance zone 1.2771 ko challenge kare, jo ke 2024 ke pehle do mahine mein establish hua tha. Agar yeh area decisively break hota hai, to shayad 1.2816-1.2859 range ka test ho sakta hai. Yeh zone three-month high ke liye represent karta hai aur December 2023 ke peak ke saath coincide karta hai. Agar yeh range break hoti hai, to shayad GBP/USD wapas 2024 ke high 1.2892 ki taraf laut jaye.

Overall, GBP/USD ne apne recent decline ko 50-day moving average ke qareeb roka, lekin sustained reversal ke liye outlook ab bhi uncertain hai. GBP ko apne recent downtrend se clear break dikhana hoga taake positive trajectory establish ho sake. Aane wale Jummah ko release hone wala US inflation data is situation mein aik key turning point ban sakta hai. Agar inflation ka reading expectations se thanda ata hai, to yeh GBP ko zaroori tailwind provide kar sakta hai taake woh momentum gain kar sake.

**GBP/USD Price Patterns ka Roman Urdu Analysis**

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ka analysis filhal open hai aur iska discussion ho raha hai. Mere khayal mein GBP/USD pair mein kisi bhi sustained upward movement ke chances kam hain. Halaanke koi significant technical barriers nahi hain, lekin kuch fundamental obstacles hain jo price ko upar jane se roke hue hain. Abhi quotes current trading range ke midpoint ke thoda neeche consolidate kar rahe hain. Agar yellow slide break hoti hai aur growth resistance level 1.2719 se thodi upar nikal jati hai, to yeh continued growth ka signal de sakti hai. Lekin yeh scenario zyadatar ek alternative hai. Main yeh dekh raha hoon ke downward movement continue ho sakta hai taake support level 1.2589 ko medium-term mein achieve kiya ja sake.

Agar bears 1.2589 ke neeche drop karte hain, jo ke agle trading month mein ho sakta hai, to decline continue karne ke chances hain aur support level 1.2459 tak pohanchne ki possibility hai. Yeh level iss summer ka primary target consider kiya ja raha hai.

4-hour chart par dekha jaye to price ne ek local trend form kiya hai jiska bearish focus hai. Technical analysis ko dekhte hue, growth potential nazar aata hai, lekin yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke market kis taraf move karega. AO (Awesome Oscillator) convergence hone ke chances hain, aur agar zero value ke beyond koi positive zone milta hai, to medium-term orders ke liye buying possible ho sakti hai. Humein bearish channel ki upper zone ke breakout ka intezar karna hoga, lekin movement kuch suspicious aur weak lag rahi hai, aur price baar baar neeche pull ho raha hai.

Agar support level 1.2611 ke range ke neeche dip hoti hai, to main loss orders ko add karta rahunga taake price action ko puri tarah samajh saku. Market ke open hone ka intezar karna hoga, aur humein 20-31 points ke potential gain ka wait karna chahiye. Movement ka type market liquidity par depend karega. Yeh zaroor hai ke ek upward impulse nazar aaye, lekin mere liye yeh ek correction scenario hi rahega. Hum price movement ko monitor karte rahenge, khaas tor par 1.2691 ke range se pehle.

Yeh analysis humein yeh samajhne mein madad karega ke GBP/USD pair agle kuch dino mein kis taraf move karne wala hai, aur kaise hum apne trading decisions ko in patterns aur levels ke basis par adjust kar sakte hain.

**GBPUSD 30.06.2024 ka Roman Urdu Analysis**

British Pound dunya ke sab se zyada analyze kiye jane wale instruments mein se ek hai. Yeh meri nazar mein Euro se ziada technical hai, is liye yeh meri pasandida currencies mein se ek hai.

Aam tor par, is waqt Pound ke liye ek downward idea pe kaam ho raha hai jo ke H4 timeframe par sell signal par mabni hai. Yeh signal 1.27218 ke level par aaya tha, aur iska potential blue bar se dikhaya gaya hai jo ke 1.25855 ke target tak jata hai. Lekin, personal tor par, main iss pair mein ek gehri pullback ka intezar kar raha tha taake main H4 timeframe par is idea ke mutabiq trade kar sakoon. Lekin jaise ke hum dekh rahe hain, koi pullback nahi hua, aur Pound ne sirf signal level se entry ka mauqa diya jahan risk-to-reward ratio 1:1 tha. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke Pound mein izafa ho, aur yeh izafa ab tak ke decline ka adha ya us se ziada ho. Lekin H4 sell signal ke khilaf jaana munasib nahi hai, khaaskar jab overall structure bhi bearish hai.

Haan, kuch indicators hain jo upward movement ka ishara de rahe hain. Misal ke tor par, decline ka raftaar slow hogaya hai aur horizontal position mein shift hogaya hai, jahan ek local triangle form ho raha hai. Is ke ilawa, MACD bhi aakhri do waves mein series of divergences dikhata hai, jo ke ek strong factor hai ke sale ke khilaf na jaaye. Is liye, yahan par sale karna risky hai, khaaskar jab local stop loss set na kiya jaye. Aur purchase karna bhi risky hai kyun ke growth ke haq mein arguments zyada hain lekin facts kam hain.

Agar hum hourly timeframe par dekhein, to growth ke liye ek signal hai lekin iska potential chhota hai. Yeh signal sirf 1.26827 ke targets tak point karta hai, jo ke ziada se ziada narrowing channel ke upper boundary ka false breakout lagta hai, na ke koi asal rise. Is ke ilawa, timeframe priority ke lehaz se dekha jaye to humare paas H4 par senior sell signal hai aur hourly timeframe par junior buy signal hai. Agar hum senior signal ke khilaf trade karte hain, to behtar hai ke H4 aur M15 timeframes ke combination ka istimal karain aur H1 timeframe par trading se bachain. Yeh is liye ke M15 timeframe abhi bhi senior idea ke andar move kar sakta hai jab ke senior idea (higher timeframe) M15 ke liye ziada lenient hota hai.

Yeh analysis humein yeh batata hai ke current market situation ko dekhte hue, kis taraah se trading decisions ko adjust karna chahiye.

**GBP/USD Analysis - 30 June 2024 ka Roman Urdu Main Jaiza**

GBPUSD TF H4 Analysis - Pichlay Jumay ko hone wali GBPUSD pair ki trading mein koi significant upward correction nazar nahi aayi. Agar kal, yani Monday ko trading mein price mein izafa hota hai aur SMA 50 se dynamic resistance break karta hai, to agay ke liye further increases ka potential kaafi khul jaye ga aur price resistance level 1.2701 tak pohanch sakti hai. Bollinger bands indicator period 24 mein jo conditions dekhi ja rahi hain, unke mutabiq Bollinger bands abhi bhi kaafi wide hain, jo is baat ka ishara dete hain ke trading volatility abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai.

Trend direction jo Simple Moving Average period 50 aur Simple Moving Average period 120 indicators se dikhayi de rahi hai, abhi bhi Bearish trend path mein valid hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price position in dono SMAs ke neeche hi khel rahi hai. Doosri taraf, RSI indicator period 5 mein jo conditions dekhi ja rahi hain, wo abhi bhi kaafi valid hain aur bullish signal show kar rahi hain.

**Trading Plan** - USD Index ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue jo abhi bhi downward correction ke potential mein hain, aur GBPUSD pair ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue jo meri raaye mein abhi bhi upward correction ka potential rakhti hain, kal ki trading ke liye mera plan yeh hai ke main apni Buy GBPUSD order position ko hold karoon. Pichlay target se abhi tak koi tabdeeli nahi hui hai, yani resistance level 1.2701 ya phir psychological level 1.2700 ko profit target banaya hai. Lekin agar kal, yani Monday ko GBPUSD trading mein price decline hoti hai, to main apna doosra plan amal mein laoon ga, yani psychological level area 1.2600 par Averaging Buy GBPUSD ko carry out karoon ga.

Is analysis se humein trading plan banane mein madad milti hai, khaaskar jab market mein volatility high ho aur trend direction kaafi clear ho. Trading mein in indicators ka dhyan rakhtay hue agay ke liye planning ki ja sakti hai taake risk management aur profit opportunities donon ka achi tarah se faida uthaya ja sake.

Good evening.

Technical analysis ke base par "Sniper" trading system ne kuch dilchasp levels dikhaye hain jo trade mein enter karne ke liye achay options ho sakte hain. Lekin, ye zaroori nahi ke har dafa key levels par enter karna hi behtareen hal ho. Trade mein entry ke liye reversal patterns aur imbalance ka hona zaroori hai, jo kisi bhi turning point ka ishara dete hain.

Ab hum GBP/USD pair ke chart ka jaiza lete hain aur dekhte hain ke kaunse levels aham hain aur kaunse kam ahamiyat rakhte hain. 1.2857 ka maximum level humein ek sell trade mein enter karne ka point dikhata hai jab ke ye level kareeb ho. Wahan doosri taraf, 1.2389 ka level buy karne ke liye hai. Entry aur trade insurance ki mechanics ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai. Tajurba mujhe yeh sikha chuka hai ke key levels par enter karna mufeed hota hai, lekin iss waqt koi bhi trade ke liye mozu nahi hai kyun ke price range ke beech mein hai aur correction levels par hai. 70% chances hain ke price gir kar 1.2380 ke level tak jaye, jahan main buying opportunities aur reversal point (RP) dekhonga.

Agar aap dekhen, to kuch choti ranges bhi hain jahan price levels ko strength ke liye test kar sakta hai. Ranges buyers ke interest ko dikhati hain. 1.2620 ke level par enter karna mumkin tha aur stop order 1.2605 ke level par set kar sakte the. Yeh trade buy ke liye kaafi rahat bakhsh hota, halan ke yeh mauqa chook gaya. Lekin abhi bhi sab khatam nahi hua. Main recommend karonga ke girawat par buy kiya jaye taake profit 1.2736 ke level par close kar sakein.

Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke current levels par stop order ke saath enter kiya jaye. Yeh entry thodi uncomfortable hogi, aur agar price girti hai to potential loss zyada hoga jo hamari idea ko tor sakta hai. Price ke 1.2736 ke level tak recover hone ka idea kuch din pehle aya tha, aur main abhi bhi is par qayam hoon. Agar price girti hai to main lower levels par entry karonga.

Iss analysis ke zariye, trading decisions ko asaan banaya ja sakta hai, khaaskar jab market mein volatility high ho aur trend direction kaafi clear ho. Trading mein in levels aur patterns ka dhyan rakhtay hue agay ke liye planning ki ja sakti hai taake risk management aur profit opportunities donon ka achi tarah se faida uthaya ja sake.