gbp/usd

GBP/USD ne kal pichle daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad reversal kiya aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jis mein thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi tak apne plans nahi badal raha is instrument ke liye aur main kareeb se nazar rakha hua hoon sabse qareebi resistance level par, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level ko pohochayegi, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla priority scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidate karne aur mazeed growth ka hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karlegi, to main mazeed northward movement expect karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke mazeed door ke northward targets achieve ho, lekin main is waqt unhe consider nahi kar raha kyunki unke jaldi realize hone ka perspective nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price resistance level 1.28000 ko test karegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southward movement resume hogi. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. General taur par, agar mukhtasir mein kahoon, to abhi ke liye main assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation impulsive northward price breakout ke saath end hogi aur buyers qareebi resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge, aur phir main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga. GBP/USD Asian session ke dauran thoda high hua. British euro ke baad peeche hai. Yeh zyadatar dollar ke recovery ke waja se against ek basket of major currencies tha. Sterling domestic political issues ke waja se pressure mein hai. Investors UK general election ke start ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Saari tawajjo Eurozone aur US data par hai. Fed coordinator Powell ka speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Pair ke liye, pehli half of the day mein kuch upward correction ki umeed hai, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke downtrend barkarar hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main us point ke neeche sell karunga targets 1.2585 aur 1.2535 ke sath. Agar pair rise hota hai, 1.2685 mark ko break karta hai aur merge hota hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak ka rasta

Dollar) Ka Exchange Rate Filhal 1.7372 Hai, Aur Rujhan Nihayat Hi Mandha Hai

Yeh zahir karta hai ke GBP, CAD ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo mukhtalif maqasiadi, siyasi aur bazar ke khaas asbab ki wajah se ho sakta hai. In asbab ko samajhna mustaqbil mein GBP/CAD pair ke harakat ka andaza lagane ke liye nihayat zaroori hai.





GBP/CAD mein mandha rujhan mukhtalif maqasiadi asharaat se mutasir ho sakta hai. Maslan, UK ke maqasiadi data, jaise ke GDP growth rates, mehangai, rozgaar ke adad-o-shumaar, aur markazi bank ki policy, ahem kirdar ada karti hain. Bank of England ki monetary policy, khas tor par sood ki faislay aur quantitative easing iqdamat, GBP ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Aik dovish rujhan, jo ke sood ko kam rakhnay ya asset purchases barhane par mabni hota hai, aksar GBP ko kamzor kar deta hai.

Doosri taraf, Canadian economy ki performance bhi nihayat ahem hai. Ahem asharaat mein Bank of Canada ke sood ke faislay, GDP growth, mehangai ki rate, aur rozgaar ke statistics shamil hain. Iske ilawa, commodity prices, khas tor par tail, CAD par bara asar dalti hain, kyunki Canada aik bara tail export karne wala mulk hai. Oil prices mein kami aksar CAD ko kamzor karti hai, jabke barhte hue prices isay mazboot bana sakte hain.



Siyasi waqiaat aur nawaihda bhi exchange rate ke rujhan ko mutasir karte hain. UK mein, Brexit se mutaliq taraqqiyat, hukoomati policies, aur siyasi stability ahem factors hain. Kisi bhi uncertainty ya instability se GBP ke girne ka khatra hota hai. Canada mein, siyasi faislay, trade policies, aur bade trading partners jaise ke US ke sath talluqat CAD ko mutasir kar sakte hain.



Bazar ka jazba aur sarmaiya karon ka rawaya short-term movements mein nihayat ahem hota hai. Maslan, global uncertainty ya risk aversion ke waqt, sarmaiya karon USD jese safe-haven currencies ki taraf jate hain, jo GBP aur CAD ko kamzor karti hain. Iske baraks, risk appetite ke dauran, higher-yielding currencies ziada investment ko attract karti hain.

### Bari Harakat Ka Andaza Lagana

Maujooda mandha rujhan ke madde nazar, woh mukhtalif catalysts ko dekhna zaroori hai jo GBP/CAD exchange rate mein ahem harakat la sakte hain.



UK aur Canada se aanewale maqasiadi data ke ijraat ahem catalysts ka kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Maslan, agar UK mazboot GDP growth ya rozgaar mein nihayat kami report karta hai, to yeh GBP ko barhawa de sakta hai. Isi tarah, positive maqasiadi data Canada se CAD ko mazboot kar sakta hai.



Bank of England ya Bank of Canada se aanewale announcements ya iqdamat bhi nihayat ahem harakat ko trigger kar sakte hain. Maslan, agar Bank of England monetary policy ko sakht karne ya sood barhane ka ishara deta hai, to yeh GBP mein tezi la sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar Bank of Canada ziada hawkish stance apnata hai, to CAD mazboot ho sakta hai.

Geopolitical taraqqiyat, jaise ke trade policies mein tabdeeli, international conflicts, ya bade siyasi waqiaat se currency markets mein ziada volatility aa sakti hai. Kisi bhi nawaihda geopolitical waqiaat se GBP/CAD pair mein nihayat ahem harakat ho sakti ha

Technical perspective se, price charts aur indicators ka jaiza lene se mustaqbil ki harakat ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Support aur resistance ke ahem levels, moving averages, aur trend lines technical analysts ke liye zaroori tools hain. Agar GBP/CAD aik ahem support level ko break karta hai, to yeh mazeed downside potential ko zahir kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar yeh support level se wapas bounce karta hai aur resistance ko break karta hai, to yeh mandha rujhan ke reversal ka ishara de sakta hai.



Jabke maujooda rujhan GBP/CAD mein mandha hai, mukhtalif asbab aanewale dino mein ahem harakat ko janam de sakte hain. Maqasiadi data ka ijra, markazi bank ke iqdamat, aur geopolitical waqiaat volatility ke potential catalysts hain. Traders aur investors ko in asbab par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye aur fundamental aur technical analysis dono ka istamal karte hue informed faislay lene chahiye. Currency markets apne andar unpredictability rakhti hain, aur ghair-mutawaqqa waqiaat ke liye tayar rehna successful trading aur investment strategies ke liye nihayat zaroori hai.

Kal, GBP/USD ne bhi ek mazboot upar ki taraf harkat dikhayi, jo ke kamzor US macro data ki wajah se hui. Humne aapko agah kiya tha ke ISM aur ADP reports par tawajju dena zaroori hai. Dono reports, agarche puri tarah se maayusi nahi thi, magar umeed se kamzor sabit hui. Isliye, din ke doosre hisse mein dollar ki girawat mukammal tor par qabil-e-peshgoi thi. Badkismati se, bazar ab bhi be sabri se kisi bhi US economy ki kamzori ki khabar par prateekria de raha hai, halaanke yeh UK se ziada mazboot hai. Bazar ko ab koi fikar nahi ke Federal Reserve apni rate kam karne ka plan nahi rakhta. Pound Sterling ko kam az kam 1.23 level se neeche girna chahiye tha, magar iske bajaye yeh pichle cheh mahine se ek flat range mein atka hua hai, jo ke daily timeframe par wazeh dekha ja sakta hai. Pair ki sideways harkat hourly chart par bhi wazeh hai. Aaj, hum sirf kal ke growth ke baad ek correction ki umeed kar sakte hain, aur pair kamzor volatility dikhayega.

5-minute timeframe par ek bohat acha buy signal tab bana jab price ne 1.2684-1.2693 area ko break kiya. Uske baad, price 1.2748 level tak barh gayi, usay bhi break kiya, aur phir thoda neeche aa gayi. Isliye, naye traders apni long positions ko ya to 1.2748 level ke upar band kar sakte the ya jab price ne is level ke neeche settle kiya aur ek sell signal banaya. Har surat mein, profit kam az kam 40 pips tha. Yaad rahe, acha trend ke sath trading signals ko execute karna aur achi profits hasil karna mumkin hai. Agar market flat ho, to kisi bhi tarah ka signal profit nahi dega.

### Thursday Ke Trading Tips:

Hourly chart par, GBP/USD promising signs dikhata hai ke ek downtrend form ho sakta hai, magar iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair ek upward trend nahi bana sakta. Pair ne recent hafton mein bohat saari sideways actions dikhayi hain, aur neeche jaate waqt pehli significant support area 1.2605-1.2633 ko paar nahi kar saka. Isliye British currency phir se barh rahi hai, aur overall, yeh erratic movements dikhata rehta hai.

Thursday ko, pound sterling kal ke growth ke baad retreat kar sakta hai. Magar, US markets Independence Day ke moqe par band hain, isliye pair se strong movements ki umeed nahi hai.

Key levels 5M chart par hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, aur 1.2980. Aaj, UK second estimate of Construction PMI data publish karega. Yeh aik secondary indicator hai jo sirf minor market reaction provoke kar sakta hai.

Is hafte ke aghaz mein pair ka downward trend continue karne ki umeed thi, lekin ab tak, hafta sideways end hone ki umeed hai. Price, jo pichle do hafton ke dauran price movement ko represent karti hai, iss hafte red aur blue channels ke dauran bane hue price triangle mein move karti rahi. Har dafa jab price neeche girne ki koshish karti, toh lower blue channel line support provide karti thi, aur weekly pivot level resistance ban jaata tha. Ab jo position red channel level ke upar aur triangle ke bahar hai, price agle kuch ghanton mein aur weekly close se pehle upward movement ke liye taiyyar hai. Yeh ek promising trading opportunity hai ke current level par pair ko khareeda jaye, profit potential ke sath, aur stop loss lowest trading price ke neeche set kiya jaye.

August mein, interest rates ke kam hone ki umeed hai kyunki Britain mein latest inflation reading expectations se zyada thi. Since pichle do hafton ke dauran price ascending price channels mein move karti rahi, price returns continued to rise aur naye price peaks achieve kiye. Is hafte ka aghaz ek upward trend mein bohot ahem tha, kyunki kaafi resistances ko break karke price unke upar stabilize hui. Jaisi hi price red channel ki upper line tak pohanchi, wapas neeche bounce karke levels 1.2920 aur 1.2810 ke beech sideways trade karna shuru kiya support dhoondne ki koshish mein. Abhi filhal, price 1.2960 level ke upar break kar rahi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke agar yeh succeed hui, to pair ke liye ek naye upward wave ka imkaan hai.
Trading Levels:

1.Current Level Khareedne ka acha mauka hai agar price current level par hai, aur stop loss lowest trading price ke neeche set kiya jaaye.
2.Weekly Pivot Level (Resistance): Yeh area resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, agar price wapas neeche aati hai toh yahan se phir se khareedne par focus kiya jaa sakta hai.
3.Upper Line of Red Channel Agar price 1.2960 ke upar break karti hai, toh yeh naye upward wave ka imkaan dikhata hai.
Analysis Summary:Support Levels: Lower blue channel line aur 1.2810
Resistance Levels Weekly pivot level aur 1.2920
Current Trend Bullish, with the possibility of further upward movement if 1.2960 is successfully broken.

Is analysis ke sath, traders ko informed decisions lene mein madad mil sakti hai aur price movements ke opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain.

BP/USD pair ke Asian session mein Friday ko ek khas range mein trade karne ki umeed hai, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) meeting ke baad peechlay din ki girawat ko jari rakhegi. Yeh harkat pair ko iske mahana lows ke qareeb le aayi hai. Filhal, spot price mid-1.2600s ke thoda upar hai aur lagta hai ke yeh multi-month high jo ke pichle hafte 1.2860 ke qareeb tha, se correction jari rakhega. Technical tor par, woh traders jo mazeed girawat par bet lagana chahte hain, unhe naye trades karne se pehle support level jo ke 1.2640-1.2635 ke qareeb hai, ke neeche break ka intezar karna chahiye. Daily chart ke indicators abhi negative momentum dikhana shuru kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD 1.2600 level tak gir sakta hai. Agar yeh downward trend jari rehta hai, to yeh 1.2560-1.2555 ko tor sakta hai, aur psychological level 1.2500 aur May ke low point ke qareeb, yani 1.2445 ki taraf ja sakta hai. GBP/USD pair mein kamzor upward correction dikh rahi hai, jo yeh darshaati hai ke agar sellers control mein rehte hain to mazeed girawat ke imkanaat hain. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 1.2642, jo ke ek potential support ban sakta hai, aur 1.2891, jo ke target ban sakta hai agar pound phir se mazboot hota hai. Doosri taraf, agar recovery ki koshish hoti hai to pehla resistance 1.2685 ke qareeb hoga, phir 1.2700 level par, aur 1.2715-1.2720 supply zone par. Agar pair weekly high 1.2740 ke qareeb ko cross kar leta hai, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ko 1.2800 mark ki taraf push karega. Jari rakhi gayi taqat monthly high 1.2860 ke qareeb ka retest aur mumkin hai ke is saal ke peak 1.2900, jo ke March mein aya tha, tak le ja sakti hai. RSI ka 50 ke neeche hona bearish outlook darshaata hai. Trading mein bhalaai ho

GBP/USD ne is resistance ko touch karne ke baad bhi apni upward movement jari rakhi. Jab GBP/USD resistance level ko cross kar gaya, is se ye indication milti hai ke market mein strong bullish sentiment hai. Ye bhi signify karta hai ke buyers ka pressure sellers ke pressure se zyada tha, jo ke price ko upar le jane mein madadgar sabit hua. Technical analysis ke perspective se, is tarah ke breakout ko significant mana jata hai, kyunki ye potential trend continuation ka signal hota hai. Is scenario mein kuch key factors involve ho sakte hain. Pehle to economic indicators aur fundamental news events ka influence ho sakta hai. Example ke tor par, agar UK ki economy se related positive data release hota hai, to GBP ki demand barh sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ki value ko uper le jata hai. Similarly, agar US dollar weak hota hai kisi negative economic news ya policy changes ke karan, to bhi GBP/USD barh sakta hai. Maine MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator chart par lagaya hai, jo abhi bhi sell signal dikhata hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein kuch hesitation hai GBP/USD price movements ke hawale se. MACD sell signal suggest karta hai ke traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur reversal ke possibility ko consider karna chahiye despite current bullish movement. 1.2686 level market mein ek significant point of interest ban gaya hai, aur is level ke aas paas price action likely next direction ko dictate karega GBP/USD pair ke liye. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur SMA crossover aur MACD signals mein koi changes dekhni chahiye further confirmation ke liye. Market ka hesitation is important level par suggest karta hai ke bullish aur bearish scenarios dono possible hain near term mein, jo is area ko critical banata hai kisi bhi potential trading opportunities ke liye. Agar aap isi pair ka older chart dekhein, to aap decline ki priority ki confirmation dekh sakte hain. Neeche, cost opposition zone ko try kar raha hai jo ke 1.2687 level ke qareeb hai. Jab price upar thi, to aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh is area ko hit kar raha tha; ab, yeh ek mirror level hai. Is dafa, target pehle indicate ki gayi Fibonacci grid se chhoti hogi. Yahan aap 1.2566 closing costs par ek normal technical level construct kar sakte hain, jo ke matrix par 1618 level se upar hai. Agar koi sales hoti hain aur price wahan jati hai, to lagbhag isse pehle exit karna worth hai. Tapering triangle ke darmiyan, descent ka ek

GBP-USD Pair Review


Aisa lagta hai ke major pairs mein kafi volatile price movement dekhne ko mili hai jo ke UK CPI news ke release hone se driven thi, kyun ke uski value still 2.0% year-on-year grow kar rahi hai. Main khud disappoint hoon kyun ke mujhe lagta tha ke CPI data slow down hoke 1.9% par aayega aur mera jo SELL position tha GBP/USD pair mein kal se, woh floating loss bear kar raha hai aaj raat tak.

To aaj ke liye meri GBP/USD pair par kya analysis hai? Mere khayal se, fundamental aspect se dekha jaye to lagta hai ke GBP/USD kal, Thursday, ko phir se upar move karne ka potential rakhta hai. Kyun ke kal Claimant Count Change data release hone wala hai, yani data jo un logon ki tadad ko dikhata hai jo berozgar hone ki wajah se government se assistance maang rahe hain. Analysts ka estimate hai ke yeh data pehle se kam hoga. Iska matlab hai ke berozgar logon ki tadad pehle se kam ho gayi hai aur economy phir se grow kar sakti hai. Phir US bhi apna Unemployment Claims data release karega jo estimate ke mutabiq pehle se zyada hoga. Yeh ek slow US economy ko indicate karta hai.

Yahan se assume kiya ja sakta hai ke GBP exchange rate strong hoga aur USD weak hoga, jis se GBP/USD pair ke bullish move karne ka potential phir se upar hai.



Timing ke liye, mere khayal se ab humein technical analysis ki taraf move karna chahiye. Jab yeh article likha gaya tha, price ne naya higher high form kiya hai level 1.3044 par aur thodi si bearish correction ki hai. Ek trader jo price action strategy ko follow karta hai, ideally mujhe BUY position aim karni chahiye. Lekin, kyun ke price ne abhi tak significant bearish correction nahi ki, mujhe lagta hai ke BUY position open karne ka idea kuch waqt ke liye postpone karna chahiye, kam se kam tab tak jab tak price thodi gehri bearish correction nahi karti. Umeed yeh hai ke price Bollinger band time frame H1 ke middle line ko touch kare.

جولائی 22 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو پاؤنڈ سٹرلنگ 30 پپس تک گر گیا۔ آج صبح، قیمت میں ایک معمولی اصلاح شروع ہوئی۔ جمعہ کے کم (1.2900) سے نیچے کی کمی 1.2847 پر ہدف کی حمایت کی طرف بڑھنے کو مضبوط کرے گی۔



اس وقت تک، مارلن آسیلیٹر ممکنہ طور پر صفر کی لکیر تک پہنچ جائے گا، جو قیمت کی مستقبل کی سمت کا تعین کرنے میں 1.2847 کو کلیدی سطح بنائے گا—یا تو 1.2989 سے اوپر کی واپسی یا 1.2633 تک کی پیش رفت۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن سے نیچے مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، جس کے ساتھ مارلن آسیلیٹر نمایاں طور پر پہلے نیچے کی طرف بڑھ گیا تھا اور یہ قدرے زیادہ درست کرنے میں بھی کامیاب رہا۔ اب، 11-12 جولائی کی حد (گرے مستطیل) میں ایک مختصر استحکام ممکن ہے، جس کے بعد 1.2847 کے قریب ترین ہدف کی طرف کمی دوبارہ شروع ہو جائے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD pair abhi upward zigzag movement k liye tayar hai, jo ke 1.0936 aur 1.09190 ke broken level ko test kar sakti hai. Is test ke baad, agle hafte ek aur downward zigzag dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Traders ko in movements ko samajhna zaroori hai taake shifts ko capitalize kar sakein.Upward zigzag movement ka matlab hai ke GBP/USD pair pehle se broken support/resistance zone 1.0936-1.09190 tak wapas jaayegi. Ye movement market me aam hai kyunki prices aksar broken levels ko retest karti hain pehle ke apni primary trend resume karein.
Jab ye zone test ho jayega, GBP/USD pair wapas reverse ho kar ek aur downward zigzag bana sakti hai. Ye movement indicate karegi ke overall bearish trend continue ho sakta hai. Traders ko key technical indicators aur price action signals ko dekhna chahiye is area ke ird gird taake bearish momentum ko confirm kar sakein.Intraday trading ke liye 1.3011 level critical hai. Agar price is level ko update karti hai, toh downward movement cancel ho sakti hai. Agar price 1.3011 ko break nahi karti, toh bearish sentiment intact rahega.
1.2938 level ko update karna downward movement ko confirm karta hai. Ye level pehle se update ho chuka hai jo suggest karta hai ke downward movement play me hai. 1.2938 ke neeche break confirmation deta hai ke bearish trend continue rahega.Traders ko moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels, aur momentum indicators jaise ke RSI aur MACD ka istimaal karna chahiye in movements ko navigate karne ke liye. Saath hi saath economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events ko bhi dekhna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair ko impact kar sakte hain.Summary ye hai ke GBP/USD pair ek upward zigzag banane wali hai jo 1.0936-1.09190 broken level ko test karegi aur phir agle hafte downward zigzag ban sakti hai. Intraday traders ko 1.3011 level ko dekhna chahiye downward movement ke cancellation ke liye aur 1.2938 level ko dekhna chahiye downward trend ke confirmation ke liye

Forecast Technical Analysis Ki Bunyad Par

Sab ko salam! Aaj pound ne US dollar ke muqablay mein June ke pichle high 1.2859 ko update kar diya, aur mujhe poora yakeen hai ke bohot se bears isay sell positions open karne ka acha signal samajh rahe hain. Kul mila kar, ismein kuch logic hai, kyunke pound pichle ek saal se is zone ko paar nahi kar saka aur key level 1.30 tak nahi pohanch saka. Isliye main yeh maan leta hoon ke is dafa bhi price 1.30 tak nahi pohanch payega, magar is ke liye confirming signals zaroori hain. Agar price 1.2860 ke neeche consolidate karta hai aur wahan trade karta hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke mujhe selling ke signals milen.

Halanke, trend abhi bhi upward hai, isliye yeh foran nahi ho sakta, magar currency pair ke paas har chance hai ke yeh 1.2860 level ke upar settle ho jaye, aur phir yeh level aagey ke growth ke liye acha support ban sakta hai. Magar abhi ke liye, buying mein jaldbazi karna behtar nahi hoga aur intezar karna chahiye ke pound apna aakhri faisla kar le. GBP/USD pair abhi upward zigzag movement k liye tayar hai, jo ke 1.0936 aur 1.09190 ke broken level ko test kar sakti hai. Is test ke baad, agle hafte ek aur downward zigzag dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Traders ko in movements ko samajhna zaroori hai taake shifts ko capitalize kar sakein.Upward zigzag movement ka matlab hai ke GBP/USD pair pehle se broken support/resistance zone 1.0936-1.09190 tak wapas jaayegi. Ye movement market me aam hai kyunki prices aksar broken levels ko retest karti hain pehle ke apni primary trend resume karein.

Hello colleagues. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair haal hi mein north ki taraf move kar raha hai, aur aaj bhi mein dekh raha hoon ke yeh northward movement kar raha hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh pair agle kuch waqt mein kaise move karta hai, kya upward trend jaari rehta hai ya koi doosra scenario mumkin hai. Aaiye technical analysis dekhte hain ke yeh kya recommend karta hai.

Moving averages - strongly bullish, technical indicators - strongly bullish, conclusion - strongly bullish. Lagta hai ke humein mazeed upward movement expect karni chahiye, magar isko confirm karna zaroori hai. Chaliye dekhte hain koi important news releases hain ke nahi pair ke hawale se. UK se important news release hui hai, jo ke kaafi neutral impact rakhti hai. GBP ke net speculative positions bhi iss waqt neutral rehne ki umeed hai. US se important news release hui hai jo ke negative impact rakhti hai, aur mazeed important news releases expected hain jo ke rather neutral forecast rakhti hain. Jari rakhi gayi taqat monthly high 1.2860 ke qareeb ka retest aur mumkin hai ke is saal ke peak 1.2900, jo ke March mein aya tha, tak le ja sakti hai. RSI ka 50 ke neeche hona bearish outlook darshaata hai. Trading mein bhalaai

Aaj, mera priority northward direction ko consider karna hai. Buying opportunities possible hain resistance level 1.2815 tak. Sales support level 1.2785 tak pohanch sakti hain. Isliye, mein expect karta hoon ke yeh pair north ki taraf move karega. Yeh roughly trading plan hai baqi trading time ke liye. Trading mein sab ko good luck.

Pound barhata hi ja raha hai. Ek taraf yeh sellers ke liye bohot favorable conditions provide kar raha hai, lekin doosri taraf, iski impulsive growth yeh suggest karti hai ke sellers shayad ghalat hain iss situation mein. Halankeh hum yeh deny nahi kar sakte ke sales ab bhi ho sakti hain. Hum sirf market ki opportunities par react kar sakte hain. Filhal, H4 timeframe par sell signal ke hawale se, pound bohot favorable setup offer kar raha hai.

Yeh hai scenario jo humare paas hai iss situation ke liye. Sell signal ka potential mere liye unchanged hai, chart par blue bar ke tor par target 1.25855 tak display ho raha hai. Is signal ke andar jo bhi ho raha hai, wo ek correction consider kiya jata hai. H4 par buy signal already play out ho chuka hai, aur aaj daily timeframe par ek aur buy signal hoga jab current daily candle close hogi, jo ke bohot jald hoga.

Selling idea ke hawale se, jaise ke hum Fibonacci retracement levels se dekh sakte hain, hum already 1:6 risk-reward ratio tak pohanch chuke hain. Yeh matlab hai ke current levels se 1.25855 ke target tak sell karna aur stop-loss 1.28588 par rakhna potentially risk se 6 guna zyada profit de sakta hai. Lekin, kuch yahan off lag raha hai. Hum impulsively move kar rahe hain, koi upside correction nahi hai, aur mera main plan euro ke liye growth hai. Ab mein imagine nahi kar sakta ke decline, jo itne arsey se favorable selling levels ke liye awaited hai, kaise unfold hoga.

Daily timeframe par, train sirf north ki taraf ja rahi hai. Aur sales bas fade ho jati hain is train ko dekh kar. Yeh ek locomotive hai jo 120 wagons ko pull kar raha hai aur 80 km/h ki speed se chal raha hai. Daily timeframe (second chart) ki structure ke basis par, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ka rising ka jazba hai aur shayad wo blue line jo mene local resistance mark ki thi usse bhi break kar sakta hai (technical). Pound without pullback barh raha hai. Ab sell karna risky hai. Agar hum sell karte hain, to hum bas usi situation mein phans jayeinge jahan sab sell karte hain aur pullback ka intezar karte hain jo kabhi nahi aata. Recommendation - sell karne se parheiz karein.Pound barhata hi ja raha hai. Ek taraf yeh sellers ke liye bohot favorable conditions provide kar raha hai, lekin doosri taraf, iski impulsive growth yeh suggest karti hai ke sellers shayad ghalat hain iss situation mein. Halankeh hum yeh deny nahi kar sakte ke sales ab bhi ho sakti hain. Hum sirf market ki opportunities par react kar sakte hain. Filhal, H4 timeframe par sell signal ke hawale se, pound bohot favorable setup offer kar raha hai.

Yeh hai scenario jo humare paas hai iss situation ke liye. Sell signal ka potential mere liye unchanged hai, chart par blue bar ke tor par target 1.25855 tak display ho raha hai. Is signal ke andar jo bhi ho raha hai, wo ek correction consider kiya jata hai. H4 par buy signal already play out ho chuka hai, aur aaj daily timeframe par ek aur buy signal hoga jab current daily candle close hogi, jo ke bohot jald hoga.

Selling idea ke hawale se, jaise ke hum Fibonacci retracement levels se dekh sakte hain, hum already 1:6 risk-reward ratio tak pohanch chuke hain. Yeh matlab hai ke current levels se 1.25855 ke target tak sell karna aur stop-loss 1.28588 par rakhna potentially risk se 6 guna zyada profit de sakta hai. Lekin, kuch yahan off lag raha hai. Hum impulsively move kar rahe hain, koi upside correction nahi hai, aur mera main plan euro ke liye growth hai. Ab mein imagine nahi kar sakta ke decline, jo itne arsey se favorable selling levels ke liye awaited hai, kaise unfold hoga.

Daily timeframe par, train sirf north ki taraf ja rahi hai. Aur sales bas fade ho jati hain is train ko dekh kar. Yeh ek locomotive hai jo 120 wagons ko pull kar raha hai aur 80 km/h ki speed se chal raha hai. Daily timeframe (second chart) ki structure ke basis par, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ka rising ka jazba hai aur shayad wo blue line jo mene local resistance mark ki thi usse bhi break kar sakta hai (technical). Pound without pullback barh raha hai. Ab sell karna risky hai. Agar hum sell karte hain, to hum bas usi situation mein phans jayeinge jahan sab sell karte hain aur pullback ka intezar karte hain jo kabhi nahi aata. Recommendation - sell karne se parheiz karein.

Hello, aur aap ko bhi salam! Daily chart par ek surprisingly khubsurat weekly candle dikhai de rahi hai. GBP/USD bina kisi dikhawe ke barh raha tha, halankeh aksar lagta tha ke girawat shuru hone wali hai. Humare paas ek reversal point hai trend construct karne ke liye, jo ek control point hoga upward trend ke breakdown ko samajhne ke liye (agar rise ki duration mein kuch change nahi hota). Asal mein, yeh bohot acha hoga agar price Monday se hi is level se decline shuru kar de, ya thoda upar se. Taake price March ke high 1.2865 tak bhi na jaye. Yeh bohot acha hoga decline ke reversal ko samajhne ke liye. Kyunki phir upper extremes neeche jane lagengi aur yeh decline ke shuru hone ka acha sign hai. Lekin lagta hai yeh nahi hoga. Kyunki channel oscillators confidently upar dekh rahe hain, jo yeh matlab hai ke rise continue hoga. Aur daily chart ke mutabiq, current trend se koi reversal ka ishara nahi hai. Shayad yeh ummed ke wohi rebound iss baar bhi hoga jahan se last time sharp rebound hua tha. Lekin hum ummed par trade nahi karte, probability par karte hain... Aur yeh ek thoda mukhtalif angle se hai.

Mera khayal hai, aapki tarah, ke filhal hum upar hi ja rahe hain.

**GBP/USD H-4**


Thoda jaldi hai sell karna, woh khinche ja rahe hain aur upar he khinche ja rahe hain, decline ka abhi tak koi signal nahi hai, bas aur aur stretch kar rahe hain. H4 par, bulls zigzag beam ko upar kheenchte ja rahe hain aur pair ko neeche roll back hone nahi dena chahte. Itni lambi aur tense movement khatam hogi lekin woh rollback ko agle hafte tak bhi delay kar sakte hain. Aise one-sided growth ke sath, ascending channel draw bhi nahi kar sakte - kuch attach karne ko nahi hai, koi zigzags nahi hain. Lagta hai yeh sab agle hafte tak delay ho raha hai.

2024 ke liye ek zabardast election saal hone ke tamam chances hain, jahan duniya ki aadhi se zyada abaadi votes dene ja rahi hai. Is kahani ka agla hissa aaj hai, jab UK General Election ke nataij ka elaan hoga.

Nataij aam tor par umeedon ke mutabiq the aur pehle nataij ke elan ke waqt market mein koi significant volatility nahi hui. Lekin 14 saal ke Conservative hukumat ke baad, Labour ke power mein aane se unki priorities kuch badal jayengi.

Yeh pound ke liye acha khabar ho sakta hai aur FTSE250 ki outstanding performance FTSE100 ke muqable mein behtar ho sakti hai kyun ke yeh zyada local market par focused hai. Austerity Conservative ka dominant theme tha, khaaskar financial crisis ke pehle saalon mein. Labour zyada income distribution ko kam karne par focus karega, ghareebon ke liye incentives aur ameeron ke liye zyada taxes ke zariye.

Aise surat-e-haal mein pro-inflation risks paida hote hain, aur Bank of England ko inflation ko pehle se zyada high rakhne par majboor hona padega.

Yeh pound ke liye bullish hai, jo 2007 ke peak se September 2022 ke bottom tak dollar ke muqable mein apni aadhi se zyada value kho chuka hai. GBP/USD ne apne resistance ko test kiya hai is lambi downward trend ke against kuch mahine pehle. UK ke domestic politics mein tabdeeliyan is currency pair ke bulls ke liye ek catalyst ban sakti hain.

Technically, GBP/USD bullish bias tab confirm hoga jab price 1.2850 ke upar consolidate karega – yeh iss saal ka aur pichle saal ka high region hai. Pound ko post-Brexit apni zyada losses wapas pane ka chance milega, jese ke EUR/GBP support 0.833 (1.20 at GBP/EUR) pe push karke exchange rate ko 0.71 (1.40) region tak le ja sakta hai.

Jabke strong pound FTSE100 mein major global companies ke valuations ko challenge kar sakta hai, pro-inflation sentiment aur higher spending se expected gains FTSE250 ki position ko behtar karte hain jo local companies se dominated hai.

Mukhtalif market prospects Labour ke aane se housing recovery par place kiye gaye hain. Rapidly rising house prices aur rebounding sales aksar consumer spending patterns ke saath closely linked hain, jo wider economy ko accelerate karne mein madadgar hote hain.

din ke end tak ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jis mein thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi tak apne plans nahi badal raha is instrument ke liye aur main kareeb se nazar rakha hua hoon sabse qareebi resistance level par, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level ko pohochayegi, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla priority scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidate karne aur mazeed growth ka hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karlegi, to main mazeed northward movement expect karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke mazeed door ke northward targets achieve ho, lekin main is waqt unhe consider nahi kar raha kyunki unke jaldi realize hone ka perspective nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price resistance level 1.28000 ko test karegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southward movement resume hogi. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. General taur par, agar mukhtasir mein kahoon, to abhi ke liye