gbp/usd

Good Morning!
Agar aap puray market ke halaat dekhein, tou aisa lagta hai ke is haftay ke trading period mein GBPUSD ka price abhi bhi barh raha hai. Candlesticks abhi bhi Asian session market mein smoothly chal rahi hain. Market khuli thi is subha 1.3005 price par, phir price thoda sa neeche gir gaya. Price ke uptrend mein move hone ka moka kaafi khula hua hai halaan ke ye consolidation period mein hai. Bara trend halaat abhi bhi bullish lagta hai lekin lagta hai ke buyers ko abhi bhi mushkil ho rahi hai price ko weekly high se upar le jaane mein.

Agar upar jana hai tou price ko 1.3062 ka point test karna ho ga jo ke current candlestick ke area ke upar hai. Lekin ye bhi mumkin hai ke candlestick ka movement weekly lowest level tak gir sakta hai. Agla market ka safar mere apne analysis ke mutabiq weekend period ke pehle, price ka rujhaan Uptrend side ki taraf hai, jo ke pehle bullish trend ke continuation ka momentum ho sakta hai. Buyer ne price ko 1.3043 zone tak le aaya, kyunki ye kaafi bara izafa tha.

Wednesday raat ko, buyer ne trading full force ke sath shuru ki aur wo price ko weekly opening zone ke upar le jane mein kaamyab raha. Price 1.2623 zone se upar ko chala gaya hai aur Moving Average zo ne ke upar steadily chal raha hai jo ke trend ke reference ke taur par ho sakta hai ke bullish trend ko continue kare. Agar price increase 1.3053 price zone ko paar kar sakti hai, tou GbpUsd pair ko upar higher position mein janay ka aur bara moka mil sakta hai. Mein kal haftay ke akhri din tak Buy position ko choose karta hoon.

Trading recommendation: BUY

British pound ne US dollar ke muqable mein apni quwat dikhate hue saal ka naya high hasil kiya aur 1.3000 ke upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh izafa duniya bhar ke soodi ya jaziyati qadmon ke beech aa raha hai. September 2023 mein US Federal Reserve ke sood kam karne ke faisle ne dollar ko kamzor kar diya, jis se pound currency traders ke liye ziada dilchasp ban gaya. Lekin uske baad se Fed ke bayanaat ne kam dovish tasveer pesh ki hai, jaise ke Christopher Waller aur Thomas Barkin ne US labor market ki mazbooti ko highlight kiya. In hawkish bayanaat ne rate cut ke baad ki pehli umeedon par saya dal diya.
Doosri taraf, British traders apni nazar European Central Bank (ECB) ke aane wale policy decision par rakhe hue hain, jo ke Thursday ko hoga. Market mein umeed hai ke ECB sood ko barabar rakhega, lekin ECB President Christine Lagarde ke hawkish isharaat pound ke mazeed izafay ka sabab ban sakte hain. September ke FOMC meeting ko dekhte hue, market ne poori tarah se rate cut ko price in kar liya tha, kuch ne ziada aggressive cut ki umeed bhi ki thi. Jabke Fed ne deliver kiya, unke ehtiyaati comments ne umeedon par paani pher diya.

Pound ka recent izafa December 2023 se shuru hone wale bara trend ka hissa hai. Yeh positive momentum barqarar reh sakta hai agar pound apni mojooda level se upar rahe. Bulls ka agla target? 2023 ka peak jo ke qareeb 1.3150 hai. Lekin agar pound apni mojooda position ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahta hai, to ek tezi se correction dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo pound ko wapas July ke shuru mein 1.2600 level ke neeche le ja sakta hai. Technical indicators bhi mixed tasveer de rahe hain. Daily candlestick ne key technical levels ko break kiya, jo bullish control ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, khareedari ke qaabil quwat ke baghair pound ek pullback ke liye vulnerable hai. Iske ilawa, 50-day moving average, jo ke abhi 1.2746 par hai, decline ki surat mein support level ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Kul mila kar, pound ka mustaqbil kai factors par mabni hai: ECB ka faisla, aanewala UK ka economic data (khaaskar employment aur retail sales figures), aur currency traders ki pound mein dastiyabi.

# GBP/USD Price Action Analysis
GBP/USD currency pair ne Wednesday ki New York trading session mein unexpected strength dikhayi. Lekin, yeh bullish momentum 1.3100 ke key level ke paas resistance encounter kiya against the US Dollar Index (DXY). Current trading session ke hisaab se, GBP/USD 1.3030 region ke aas paas hai, aur dobara 1.3100 level ko test karne ka aim hai.

#### Key Resistance Level: 1.3100

1.3100 level GBP/USD ke liye ek significant resistance point ke taur par saamne aaya hai. Yeh psychological barrier recent trading ranges ke upper end ke saath coincide karta hai aur pair ke liye further gains ke liye ek critical hurdle ko represent karta hai. Is level ko convincingly breach na kar pana yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants cautious hain, aur is region ke aas paas selling pressure intensify hota hai.

#### Current Trading Position: 1.3030

Iss waqt, GBP/USD 1.3030 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek support level hai jo currency pair ke liye temporary floor provide karta hai. Yeh level ek crucial pivot point ka kaam karta hai, kyun ke iske upar maintain karna ek aur attempt ko stage set kar sakta hai to challenge the 1.3100 resistance. Iske ulat, 1.3030 ke neeche break karna further downside potential aur market sentiment mein shift indicate kar sakta hai.

#### Technical Analysis and Potential Scenarios

1. **Bullish Scenario**:
- Agar GBP/USD momentum gather kar sakta hai aur 1.3100 ke upar break kar sakta hai, to yeh recent bullish trend ke continuation ko signal karega. Traders ko sustained price action dekhna chahiye is level ke upar to confirm the breakout.
- Is scenario mein, agla target 1.3150-1.3200 ke aas paas hoga, jahan previous highs aur additional resistance levels hain. Yeh move strong buying interest aur positive catalysts require karega, jaise ke favorable economic data ya weaker DXY.

2. **Bearish Scenario**:
- Agar GBP/USD 1.3100 ke upar break karne mein fail ho jaye aur 1.3030 ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh ek potential bearish reversal ko suggest karega. Yeh lower support levels ke retest ko lead kar sakta hai around 1.3000 ya even 1.2950.
- Is case mein, traders short positions consider kar sakte hain, anticipating further declines. Economic indicators aur news events jo GBP ya USD ko impact kar sakte hain, unko monitor karna crucial hoga is scenario mein.

3. **Consolidation Scenario**:
- Agar GBP/USD 1.3030 aur 1.3100 ke beech range-bound rahta hai, to traders ko cautious approach adopt karni padegi. Yeh consolidation phase market mein indecision ko indicate kar sakti hai, jahan na bulls aur na hi bears clear control mein hain.
- Is period ke dauran, range se breakouts ya breakdowns ke alerts set karna prudent strategy ho sakta hai. Trading volume aur market sentiment indicators ko closely dekhna further insights provide kar sakta hai potential future movements ke liye.

#### Fundamental Factors

Kuch fundamental factors GBP/USD ki price action ko influence kar sakte hain aane wale sessions mein:
- **Economic Data**: UK aur US se aane wale economic releases, jaise ke GDP growth, employment reports, aur inflation figures, currency pair ke direction ko significantly impact kar sakte hain.
- **Central Bank Policies**: Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) se interest rates aur monetary policy ke regarding statements aur decisions traders ko closely watch karni chahiye.
- **Geopolitical Developments**: Koi bhi major geopolitical events ya

GBPUSD TA'ARUF JULY 16, 2024

Agar hum market ki halat ko dekhein toh guzishta haftay se shuru hokar woh neechay jaane ki koshish ki hai, lekin bechne walon se koi ta'awun nahi mila, is liye keemat sirf 1.2960 area tak neeche ja sakti hai. Mere khayal mein, GbpUsd jodi ke liye bull run ka moqa girami hai nichay ke taraf jaane ki nisbat. Main ne graaf se dekha hai ke market ki keemat guzishta haftay se bullish zone mein hai. Is haftay ke girami koshishain zyada nahi hain lekin kal raat ke mutabiq phir upar ja sakti hain, jo aaj ke market safar ke liye ek signal ho sakta hai, Uptrend ke liye ab bhi ek moqa hai.

Is maheenay mein dekha gaya hai ke khareedne wale ki qabza kaamyaab ho sakta hai keemat ko 1.2924 price zone se paar karne mein, is liye candlestick ke safar ke mutabiq, yeh ishara deta hai ke market ko mazeed upar jaane ka moqa hai. Lagta hai ke market trend abhi bhi ek halki si nichey ki correction mein hai. Lekin humein kuch tasdeeq chahiye jo market ke rukh ke faislon ko support de, kyun ke bari time frame ke trend toh Uptrend hai. Jo main ne dekha hai guzishta haftay ki keemat mein izafa abhi bhi qayam hai. Yeh Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 ke signal trend ke mutabiq hai jo ke 80 zone ko chhu raha hai, ishara dete hue ke market mein khareedne wale ka qabza hai.

Jo main ne dekha hai, upar wale graaf se yeh batata hai ke keemat abhi bhi 1.2964 area ke aas paas hai, mahine ke sab se kam ke maqam se izafa ho gaya hai. Agar sirf khareedne wale keemat ko period 100 ke simple moving average zone ke ooper qaim rakh saken. Lagta hai ke aaj ke liye GbpUsd jodi mein abhi bhi izafa ka moqa hai, main yeh peshgoi karta hoon ke woh 1.3008 zone tak pohanch sakti hai. Moujood market ki halat ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke izafa ka moqa abhi bhi hai, shayad keemat simple moving average zone of period 100 ke ooper upar ja sake.

Technical Reference: Bechne wale tab tak jab tak keemat 1.29770 ke ooper na ho.
Rok 1: 1.29770
Rok 2: 1.29885
Support 1: 1.29360
Support 2: 1.29250

GBPUSD ko yeh imkaan hai ke European trading session mein iss dopahar (16/7/24) mein girne ka, yeh is liye ke jodi ki ek ghanta ka chart ke price action ke mutabiq, keemat ne bullish structure ko tor diya hai, yeh halat movement trend ke tabdeel hone ka ishara hai (up se down ki taraf). Is ke saath hi, MACD bhi bearish imkaan dikhata hai kyun ke histogram negative area mein hai, jo ke GBPUSD ke liye ek bearish ishara hai.

Ek ghante ka chart ke tahat anay wale movement ke mutabiq, 15 M chart par bhi GBPUSD girne ka imkaan dikhata hai kyun ke abhi current strong support area bechne walon ke control mein hai, agar scenario ke mutabiq hua toh GBPUSD ko 1.29250 ke support level ki taraf dabaav aane ka imkaan hai

Friday ko GBP/USD pair ka price impulsively upside push hua, jo ek full bullish candle banane mein result hua jo easily previous day's high ke upar close hui. Overall, mujhe anticipate hota hai ke is instrument ka price agle week bhi upside push hota rahega, potential retest ke saath nearest resistance levels ka. Is case mein, main 1.28604 par located resistance level ya 1.28938 par resistance level par focus karne ka plan bana raha hoon. In resistance levels ke near, do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kar ke apni northern movement continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main yeh dekhne ka intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level par, main ek trading setup banne ki umeed karunga taake trade ke further direction ka pata chal sake. Ek aur possibility yeh hai ke ek aur distant northern target jo meri analysis mein 1.31424 par located hai, tak pohanchna, lekin yeh situation aur price ke reaction par depend karega designated further northern targets ke liye.
Alternative scenario ke liye jab price 1.28604 ya 1.28938 par resistance level ko test karta hai, yeh plan involve karta hai ek reversal candle banne aur southern movement resume hone ka. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.27399 tak wapas aaye. Is support level ke near, main bullish signals dekhte rahunga, expecting ek upward price movement ke resumption ko. Aur bhi southern targets ke possibilities hain, lekin main unhe is waqt consider nahi kar raha hoon kyunki mujhe unki quick realization ke prospects nahi nazar aate.
Mukhtasir mein, agle week main locally anticipate kar raha hoon ke price nearest resistance levels ko retest karne ke liye move karega, aur phir main market situation ke mutabiq hota hai

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, pound/dollar ke jode ne qadar hasil ki aur manfi hone se pahle ascending channel ki oopri hadd ka test kiya. Aaj, Bartanwi currency ya to to nuqsanat ko badha sakti hai ya faide ko dobara shuru kar sakti hai. Pahle scenario ke mutabiq, imkan hai keh qimat maujudah satahon se apni girawat jari rakhegi aur triangular channel ki nichli hadd aur 1.27306 ki support satah ki taraf badhegi. Tezi ki surat me, pound sterling ke channel ki ooper hadd ka dobara test karne aur 1.30613 ki muzahmati satah tak chadhne ki ummid hai, aur uske bad woh niche ki taraf jayega aur pahle se tai shudah hadaf tak pahunch jayega.

din ke end tak ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jis mein thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi tak apne plans nahi badal raha is instrument ke liye aur main kareeb se nazar rakha hua hoon sabse qareebi resistance level par, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level ko pohochayegi, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla priority scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidate karne aur mazeed growth ka hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karlegi, to main mazeed northward movement expect karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke mazeed door ke northward targets achieve ho, lekin main is waqt unhe consider nahi kar raha kyunki unke jaldi realize hone ka perspective nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price resistance level 1.28000 ko test karegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southward movement resume hogi. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. General taur par, agar mukhtasir mein kahoon, to abhi ke liye

main assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation impulsive northward price breakout ke saath end hogi aur buyers qareebi resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge, aur phir main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga. GBP/USD Asian session ke dauran thoda high hua. British euro ke baad peeche hai. Yeh zyadatar dollar ke recovery ke waja se against ek basket of major currencies tha. Sterling domestic political issues ke waja se pressure mein hai. Investors UK general election ke start ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Saari tawajjo Eurozone aur US data par hai. Fed coordinator Powell ka speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Pair ke liye, pehli half of the day mein kuch upward correction ki umeed hai, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke downtrend barkarar hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main us point ke neeche sell karunga targets 1.2585 aur 1.2535 ke sath. Agar pair rise hota hai, 1.2685 mark ko break karta hai aur merge hota hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak ka rasta khul jayega. In markers ke basis par, main phir se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.

Halankay GBP/USD ke qeemat kal izafay ki taraf barhi thi, lekin yeh rawaiya bikul farokht ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Kal ke doraan yeh jor ki jod nahi thi. Asian session ke doraan qeemat gir gayi. Is natijay mein, jodi ek baar phir chaar ghantay ke chart par mojood haliyat ke nichlay hadood mein laut aayi, jis ke baad thori ehtemad bhi bani rehti hai. Is marhaley par, khas tour par aaj ke intezaar mein, jab US ke maeeshat mand istemaal kharch ke qeemti indexes ka ailaan hone ka imkaan hai, main trading range ke nichlay hadood ka girna aur izafa rukh ko jari rakhne ki mumkinat ko tawajjo se dekh raha hoon.
Mujhe umeed hai ke support level 1.2578 ke girne par aur surk median bounce scenario par girne par tawajjo de jaye gi. Aur level 1.2644 ke ooper lot aane ko bhi aik singal samjha jaye ga ke izafa jari rakhne ke liye 1.2726 ke resistance level tak pohonchna hai. Main tawajjo dena chahunga cash consumer spending prices ke bunyadi index par, jo

anaysts ke mutabiq pichle mahine se kam ho kar 2.6% tak pohonch sakta hai. Agar yeh rakam tawajjo se kam nikalti hai, to US dollar mein numayan kamzori ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, UK GDP bhi jald hi announce kiya jayega aur is mein bhi toofani rawaiya mumkin hai. Har haal mein, main abhi bhi ek taraf hoon aur in qeematon par farokht karne ka soch raha hoon. Lekin main 1.26 level ke neechay girne ki mumkinat ko bhi rad nahi karta. Lekin agar koi jhoota breakout ho to khareedne ki ijazat di ja sakti hai.khareedne ki ijazat di ja sakti hai.
GBPUSD currency pair ke market trend conditions expect ki ja sakti hain ke bearish direction mein move karna continue karengi aur price most likely neeche move karte hue 1.2595 level range ko test karegi. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ki position ko refer karte hue, jo dobara level 50 ke neeche drop hui hai, ye indication hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai.
Next week's trading session ke liye maine decide kiya hai ke main sirf ek acha area dekhne par concentrate karunga SELL trading entry banane ke liye, kyunki price movements jo ke is week sideways rahe hain, consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche stay kar rahe hain, jo ke is baat ka indication hai ke bearish trend ki taraf movement ka continuation ka zyada moka hai. Agar market conditions ko last three weeks mein dekha jaye, to main predict karta hoon ke bearish trend agle mahine bhi continu

GBP/USD currency pair abhi thori si range mein aram se move kar rahi hai kyunki forex market abhi bhi ek upward rally ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin range kafi kam hai. Market ka trend jo nazar aa raha hai wo abhi bhi predominantly bullish hai. Kal raat ke tezi se trading session ne prices ko phir se upar le gaya hai. Agley trading session mein prices mazeed barhne ki koshish karain gi aur unka target ek ooncha price level ho sakta hai. Agar hum market structure ki taraf dekhein jo predominantly bullish direction mein hai, to lambay arsay mein prices ke barhne ka jari rahna mumkin hai aur buyer's troops ka sab se qareebi target 1.2910 level ho sakta hai. Chart par jo downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain, wo ek waqt mein relevant thay jab tak ke pound impulsively northward move na kar gaya. Blue bar moving averages ke relative H4 signal ke basis par decline ki potential dikhata hai, lekin aaj ke din yeh signal kaam nahi kar raha hai. Aaj humne is signal ke risk level ko paar kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye hain jisse samajhne mein madad milti hai ke humein kis level se sell karna chahiye. Phir, growth impulse ke baad humein reverse signal (ya'ni buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur wo jald hi apne targets tak pohanch gaya bina kisi pullback ke. Jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, ye rise bina kisi significant pullback ke hua, isliye lower timeframe par bhi enter karna kafi mushkil sabit hua.

Mukhtasar mein, GBP/USD trading session mein 1.2730 aur 1.2850 ke darmiyan movement ki wazahat hai, jo economic aur geopolitical factors ke market ke reaction ko reflect karte hain. Investors ke reaction critical economic data releases aur geopolitical events par dikhate hain ke in elements ka volatility aur overall direction of the currency pair par kya asar hota hai.

**GBPUSD Tanqeed 18 July 2024**

Agar h1 time frame se jaye toh, agar sab se ooncha h1 resistance ko guzar diya jaye, toh mujhe zaroorat hai ke mein ihtiyat se kaam loon kyun ke ye gbpusd ko mazeed ooncha kar sakta hai. Lekin, aaj mein haqeeqatan dekhta hoon ke upar uthne ke bajaye, neechay jaane ka zyada moqa hai. Pehli wajah ye hai ke mumkinat ke dauran candle ne abhi tak 1.3040 ke supply area ko guzar na paya hai. Jab tak ye area guzarna na paye, gbpusd ko mustaqil taqat mein rehne mein mushkil hogi. Dusra sabab ye hai ke bara time frame mein, ek evening star shakl mein tasdeeqi mumkinat ki shakal mein aaya hai. Aam taur par jab ek pattern aata hai, market rukh badal deta hai, jo pehle oopar uth raha tha aur ab neeche jaane ki taraf badal raha hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaaye toh, candle ka maqam abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke ooper hai. Jab tak candle Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke ooper rahega, gbpusd ki harkat oopar ki taraf rahegi. Abhi, candle ka maqam khud neele Kijun Sen line ko chhua hai, jo kehta hai ke agar gbpusd kuch pips gir jaye, toh naye intersection ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, stochastic indicator se, uska maqam oversold area mein hai. Iska saboot hai ke line ne level 20 ko guzarna shuru kiya hai. Iska matlab hai ke kal jo giravat hui thi, wo overbought thi. Mujhe ihtiyat se kaam karna hai kyun ke gbpusd phir se oopar uth sakta hai kyun ke abhi tak candle ne 1.2991 ke RBS area ko guzar na paya hai. Mein umeed karta hoon ke ye area jald tor diya jaye taake gbpusd jaldi neeche ja sake.

Toh aaj ki tanqeed ka ikhtitam ye hai ke gbpusd jori abhi tak 1.3044 ke supply area ko guzar na paayi hai. Jab tak ye area guzarna na paye, gbpusd future mein neeche jaayegi. Iske ilawa, bara time frame mein ek evening star pattern bhi mojood hai. Isi liye mein doston ko mashwarah deta hoon ke agar is jori mein trade karte hain, toh pehle sell positions par tawajjo den. Aap target ko 1.2901 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 1.3049 ke qareebi resistance par rakh sakte hain.

**Technical Reference: 1.29455 ke ooper rehne par kharid sakte hain**
Resistance 1: 1.30270
Resistance 2: 1.30400
Support 1: 1.29625
Support 2: 1.29455

GBPUSD ko Europan trading session mein aaj sham (18/7/24) mein barhne ki mumkinat hai. Is barhne ki mumkinat ko Moving Average (MA) indicator se support mil raha hai jo ke barhne ki taraf rahega, jiska matlab hai ke average harkat abhi tak barhti rahegi aur Stochastic jo ke oversold area se dobara chala aaya hai, iska matlab hai ke qeemat oopar ja sakti hai.

**GBP/USD Teen Din Ki Rally Ke Baad Thanda Pada, Naye Hafte Ki Shuruat Ihtiyaat Se:**

GBP/USD currency pair ne teen din ki rally ke baad kuch aram le liya, aur naye hafte ki shuruat ehtiyaat se ki hai. British Pound ne haal hi mein taqat dikhayi, mawaafiq maasik low se ubar kar 1.2731 ke aas-paas resistance ka saamna kiya. Ye pullback ek mazboot US dollar, barhte hue US Treasury yields, aur traders ke key economic data ke intezar ki wajah se hai. Ab yeh pair 1.2590 ke support level ke qareeb hai.

**Fed Ki Baatein Market Sentiment Ko Shakal Deti Hain:**

Federal Reserve ke afsaron ke bayan market sentiment ko kafi had tak shape de rahe hain. Investors unki statements par nazar rakhe hue hain taake future rate cuts ke kisi bhi nishan ko samjha ja sake. Haal hi mein, kuch officials ne suggest kiya hai ke rates lambi muddat ke liye high rah sakti hain, jabke kuch ne inflation ke kam hone par possible reductions ki taraf ishara kiya hai. Ye mixed messaging uncertainty create kar rahi hai, jo stocks aur bonds ko bhi asar , kyunki investors Fed ke agle steps ko predict karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Rate cuts ki ummeed investors mein optimism ko barha rahi hai, jo aasan borrowing conditions ki tamanna kar rahe hain.

**Aane Wale US Retail Sales Aur UK CPI Inflation Data:**

Is hafte, US aur UK dono se aham economic data release hoga. US mein, retail sales figures consumer spending ko dikhayengi jo economic challenges ke bawajood chali aayi hai. Zyada retail sales consumer confidence aur potential economic growth ki nishani ho sakti hai. UK mein, Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data price trends aur Bank of England ke potential actions ko samajhne ke liye crucial hai. High inflation ke bawajood Bank ko interest rates barhane ka faisla lena pad sakta hai taake prices control mein rahein. Ye reports market volatility ko janam dene ki ummeed hai jab traders naye information ke madde nazar apne strategies ko adjust karenge.

**GBP/USD Ka Nazaria: Buyers Aur Sellers Key Levels Ki Talaash Mein:**

Har time frame mein, British Pound US Dollar ke muqable mein mazboot nazar aa raha hai. Haal hi mein, isne upar ki taraf break kiya, pehle ke resistance ko GBP/USD pair ke liye support mein tabdeel kar diya. 1.2994 ka level ab resistance ki tarah kaam kar raha hai. Buyers ko is range ke upar breakout ka intezar karna chahiye, jabke sellers naye support level ke neeche girawat dekh rahe hain market mein entry ke liye

GBP/USD currency pair filhal D1 chart par ek mazboot bearish wave shuru karne ke asaar dikha raha hai, jo price ko weekly support level 1.30215 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh level pehle sideways trade karta raha hai, jo ek possible price consolidation zone ko zahir karta hai. Pichle do hafton se, yeh pair ek zabardast bearish trend show kar raha hai, jo hamesha bearish channels ke andar raha hai. Is dauraan, price consistently channels ke mid-lines aur weekly pivot level 1.2995 ke neeche hi raha hai. Bearish sentiment ko mazeed mazbooti mili jab bhi price pivot level se upar jaane ki koshish karta hai, usay resistance milti hai aur niche bounce hota hai. Is wajah se, price action pivot level ke upper end aur mid-channel lines ke lower end ke darmiyan mehdood raha hai.
Naye hafte ke aaghaz par, GBP/USD ne in bearish channels ke andar trading jari rakhi, jo ke prevalent downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Ibtidai movement mein, price weekly pivot level 1.2995 ke qareeb aaya, lekin ek dafa phir, koi upward momentum sustain nahi ho saka aur price dobara niche bounce ho gaya. Yeh bounce trading ko narrow range mein rakhne mein kamyab raha, jahan pivot level ek zabardast resistance aur mid-channel lines temporary support provide kar rahe hain. Pivot level ko breach na kar pane ki constant nakami market mein strong bearish bias ko suggest karti hai. Filhal, price wapas mid-channel lines ki taraf badh raha hai, jo ke iss support zone ke liye ek critical test set kar raha hai.

Agar GBP/USD price mid-channel lines ko break kar leti hai, to yeh mazeed decline ka raasta bana sakti hai jo ke agle significant support level 1.2980 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh ongoing bearish wave ke liye ek potential floor represent karta hai. Is support ke neeche break aur zyada selling pressure ko intensify kar sakta hai aur ek zabardast downward movement ko janam de sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in key levels ke ird-gird price action ko ghor se monitor karenge, kyun ke yeh GBP/USD ke aanewale dinon ke potential direction ke bare mein qeemati insights faraham karte hain. Pivot level, mid-channel lines, aur support levels ke darmiyan interplay agle kuch dinon mein is currency pair ke near-term trend ko dictate karega.

Good afternoon. Currently, there is little of interest happening on the GBP/USD chart. Market participants are eagerly awaiting the release of inflation data from the UK, which is expected to have a significant impact on the currency pair. Following this, attention will shift to key economic news from the United States, particularly regarding the dollar. This sequence of events is likely to trigger notable movements in the GBP/USD price. For now, however, the British pound is trading within a narrow sideways price range of 1.29640-1.2990. There is a strong likelihood that this range will be broken today, initiating more dynamic price action.
The current trend for the GBP/USD pair remains upward, suggesting that there could be further growth for the pound. This upward momentum has been driven by a combination of factors, including market sentiment and economic indicators favoring the pound. However, predicting precise movements in the forex market is always challenging due to the multitude of influencing variables. The upcoming UK inflation data is particularly critical, as it will provide insights into the health of the British economy and could influence the Bank of England’s monetary policy decisions. Should the inflation data come in higher than expected, it might bolster the pound further, reinforcing the upward trend. Conversely, lower-than-expected inflation figures could dampen the bullish sentiment and lead to a reversal.

In the context of the broader market, the forthcoming U.S. dollar news will also play a crucial role. Key indicators such as employment data, consumer confidence, and other economic reports can significantly impact the dollar's strength. If the dollar shows signs of strengthening, it could cap the potential gains of the GBP/USD pair or even reverse its current upward trajectory. On the other hand, any signs of economic weakness in the U.S. could weaken the dollar, providing further support for the pound.

Traders are therefore advised to keep a close watch on these economic releases. The interplay between UK inflation data and U.S. dollar news will likely dictate the near-term direction of the GBP/USD pair. Until these data points are released, the currency pair is expected to continue trading within its current range, albeit with the potential for breakout movements. It is essential for traders to remain vigilant and responsive to these developments, as they could present both opportunities and risks. As always, sound risk management and staying informed about economic indicators will be crucial for navigating the upcoming market movements in the GBP/USD currency pair.

Agar h1 time frame se jaye toh, agar sab se ooncha h1 resistance ko guzar diya jaye, toh mujhe zaroorat hai ke mein ihtiyat se kaam loon kyun ke ye gbpusd ko mazeed ooncha kar sakta hai. Lekin, aaj mein haqeeqatan dekhta hoon ke upar uthne ke bajaye, neechay jaane ka zyada moqa hai. Pehli wajah ye hai ke mumkinat ke dauran candle ne abhi tak 1.3040 ke supply area ko guzar na paya hai. Jab tak ye area guzarna na paye, gbpusd ko mustaqil taqat mein rehne mein mushkil hogi. Dusra sabab ye hai ke bara time frame mein, ek evening star shakl mein tasdeeqi mumkinat ki shakal mein aaya hai. Aam taur par jab ek pattern aata hai, market rukh badal deta hai, jo pehle oopar uth raha tha aur ab neeche jaane ki taraf badal raha hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaaye toh, candle ka maqam abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke ooper hai. Jab tak candle Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke ooper rahega, gbpusd ki harkat oopar ki taraf rahegi. Abhi, candle ka maqam khud neele Kijun Sen line ko chhua hai, jo kehta hai ke agar gbpusd kuch pips gir jaye, toh naye intersection ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, stochastic indicator se, uska maqam oversold area mein hai. Iska saboot hai ke line ne level 20 ko guzarna shuru kiya hai. Iska matlab hai ke kal jo giravat hui thi, wo overbought thi. Mujhe ihtiyat se kaam karna hai kyun ke gbpusd phir se oopar uth sakta hai kyun ke abhi tak candle ne 1.2991 ke RBS area ko guzar na paya hai. Mein umeed karta hoon ke ye area jald tor diya jaye taake gbpusd jaldi neeche ja sake.
Toh aaj ki tanqeed ka ikhtitam ye hai ke gbpusd jori abhi tak 1.3044 ke supply area ko guzar na paayi hai. Jab tak ye area guzarna na paye, gbpusd future mein neeche jaayegi. Iske ilawa, bara time frame mein ek evening star pattern bhi mojood hai. Isi liye mein doston ko mashwarah deta hoon ke agar is jori mein trade karte hain, toh pehle sell positions par tawajjo den. Aap target ko 1.2901 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 1.3049 ke qareebi resistance par rakh sakte hain.

**Technical Reference: 1.29455 ke ooper rehne par kharid sakte hain**
Resistance 1: 1.30270
Resistance 2: 1.30400
Support 1: 1.29625
Support 2: 1.29455

GBPUSD ko Europan trading session mein aaj sham (18/7/24) mein barhne ki mumkinat hai. Is barhne ki mumkinat ko Moving Average (MA) indicator se support mil raha hai jo ke barhne ki taraf rahega, jiska matlab hai ke average harkat abhi tak barhti rahegi aur Stochastic jo ke oversold area se dobara chala aaya hai, iska matlab hai

BP/USD pair ke Asian session mein Friday ko ek khas range mein trade karne ki umeed hai, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) meeting ke baad peechlay din ki girawat ko jari rakhegi. Yeh harkat pair ko iske mahana lows ke qareeb le aayi hai. Filhal, spot price mid-1.2600s ke thoda upar hai aur lagta hai ke yeh multi-month high jo ke pichle hafte 1.2860 ke qareeb tha, se correction jari rakhega. Technical tor par, woh traders jo mazeed girawat par bet lagana chahte hain, unhe naye trades karne se pehle support level jo ke 1.2640-1.2635 ke qareeb hai, ke neeche break ka intezar karna chahiye. Daily chart ke indicators abhi negative momentum dikhana shuru kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD 1.2600 level tak gir sakta hai. Agar yeh downward trend jari rehta hai, to yeh 1.2560-1.2555 ko tor sakta hai, aur psychological level 1.2500 aur May ke low point ke qareeb, yani 1.2445 ki taraf ja sakta hai. GBP/USD pair mein kamzor upward correction dikh rahi hai, jo yeh darshaati hai ke agar sellers control mein rehte hain to mazeed girawat ke imkanaat hain. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 1.2642, jo ke ek potential support ban sakta hai, aur 1.2891, jo ke target ban sakta hai agar pound phir se mazboot hota hai. Doosri taraf, agar recovery ki koshish hoti hai to pehla resistance 1.2685 ke qareeb hoga, phir 1.2700 level par, aur 1.2715-1.2720 supply zone par. Agar pair weekly high 1.2740 ke qareeb ko cross kar leta hai, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ko 1.2800 mark ki taraf push karega. Jari rakhi gayi taqat monthly high 1.2860 ke qareeb ka retest aur mumkin hai ke is saal ke peak 1.2900, jo ke March mein aya tha, tak le ja sakti hai. RSI ka 50 ke neeche hona bearish outlook darshaata hai. Trading mein bhalaai ho