gbp/usd

Humara current focus GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ko evaluate karna hai. Is waqt, GBP/USD currency pair impulsively trade kar raha hai. Ek price correction ki umeed hai, aur intermediate range of 1.265 pe ek acchi buying opportunity mil sakti hai at more attractive prices. Agar yeh scenario develop hota hai, toh profit-taking ka target next maximum of 1.273 hoga, aur ek protective order ek critical level pe set kiya jayega. Iske ilawa, ek entry point for a long position likely hoga jab currency 1.273 ka maximum surpass karke stabilize hogi, signaling the market on the PPD. Is scenario mein, profit target next maximum of 1.279 hoga. Lekin agar pair critical range of 1.262 ke niche girti hai, toh yeh downward trend ki taraf shift in priorities ko indicate karega Chart pe dekhte hue, GBP/USD ka movement vigorous hai, lekin patterns aur figures ko analyze karna zaroori hai rather than making overly optimistic statements. GBP/USD chart pe D1 aur D1 pe “Diamond” pattern form ho raha hai. Agar yeh pattern hold karta hai, toh pound upcoming resistance levels of 1.2715 tak pohanch sakta hai, followed by the EMA150, aur phir potentially 1.2645 tak near the EMA50. Wahan se, ek reversal to the downside possible hai. Lekin yeh speculative hai, aur patterns aur calculations dono is scenario ko confirm aur disprove kar sakti hain. Abhi ke liye, yeh mera outlook hai
Recent headways ke bawajood, pair upper 1.26 range ke around firm resistance face kar raha hai. Pair ne last week ke bullish close ke baad 1.2818 levels ko sustain karne mein struggle kiya. Yeh suggest karta hai ke Pound ko stable base establish karne ke liye abhi aur kaam karna hoga, ya toh upper 1.2800 range mein hold karke ya high 1.2500 range mein foothold dhoond ke pehle stabilize aur improve kar sakta

GBP/USD rally Monday ko aik rukawat mein phansi, jahan wo zehni tor par ahem 1.3000 level se peechay hat gaya tha. Yeh tham jaye ka waqt aya jab forex markets dollar bechnay mein thodi saans lainay lage aur halqi tor par haliyat ko dobara dekhne lage. Is reevaluation ka aik bara hissa September mein Federal Reserve ki interest rate mein khatraat ke baare mein hai. Fed ke bayanat ne hafte ki shuruaat mein market ki tawajah apne taraf mabooti, lekin Chairman Jerome Powell aur San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne future rate cuts ke liye kisi muqarrar waqt ka zikr na kiya. Is Fed ki saaf hukumat ki kami se kuch market participants apne expectations ko dobara tehqiq karne par majboor hain.

Pehle se interest rate markets September ke rate cut ki taraf mukhfi thein, jahan CME Group ke FedWatch tool ne 18 September ke FOMC meeting mein 25 basis points ki kami ki 100% chance zahir ki thi. Magar Fed ke haal ki tajwezat ne is yaqeen ko sawal mein daal diya hai. Jabkay, US economic data par tawajah jari hai. Pichli hafte ke releases ne ek thamne wale US maeeshat ka tasawwur paish kiya, aur analysts june retail sales ke bhi is trend ko barqarar rehne ki tawakul rakhte hain.

UK bhi is hafte ek masroof data release calendar ke saath hai. Wednesday ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data publish hoga, jahan ummeed hai ke June mein 0.3% se July mein 0.1% tak mazeed girahish ho gi. Thursday ko UK employment aur wage data laaye jayenge, jise Friday ko retail sales figures ke saath pura kia jayega. Sterling ka momentum Monday ko tham gaya, jab ek teen din ka jeetne wala silsila khatam hua aur ek bearish candlestick pattern bana. Yeh aik taqatwar daur ke baad aya tha jisme GBP/USD pair ne 12 trading days mein sirf do din ke ilawa har din upar band hone ka record qaim kia tha. Pair ne June ke akhri mein 1.2600 ke qareeb se charrha tha, jahan key support levels ko torne se bach gaya. Is ne bullish buying ko barhaya aur pair ko 1.29949 tak pohanchaya phir halqi sa girawat aayi.

Aam tor par, GBP/USD apne raaste ke muqam par hai. Is pair ka rukh aane waale economic data releases, khaas kar US ke, aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy stance ke bayanat par munhasir hoga.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Americi dollar ki qadar badhegi, jis se pound/dollar ke jode me kami aayegi. Agar qimat support satah se niche toot jati hai to, yah is bat ki nishandahi karega keh mandi ka dawab tez ho gaya hai aur jode ne apni niche ki movement ko dobara shuru kar di hai. 4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, Marlin Oscillator ki signal line tezi se mandi ke ilaqe ki hadd par trendline ke qarib pahunch rahi hai. Marlin indicator qimat ko 1.2892 ki satah ke ird-gird Kruzenshtern line par qabu pane me madad ke liye game me shamil hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Rujhan niche ki taraf nazar aati hai. Aisa lagta hai keh pound/dollar ki jodi me girawat par short positions kholne aur paisa kamane par gaur karne ka waqt aa gaya hai.

جولائی 16 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

دن کے چارٹ پر، قیمت اور مارلن آسیلیٹر نے ایک کمزور، لیکن کافی موثر ڈائیورژن بنایا، جو کہ دیگر سازگار حالات میں، درمیانی مدت میں نیچے کی طرف رجحان پیدا کر سکتا ہے۔



سب سے پہلے، ہم قیمت کے 1.2847 پر ہدف کی حمایت تک پہنچنے کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔ اگر پاؤنڈ 1.2989 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہونے کے قابل ہے، تو یہ 1.3124/41 کے ہدف کی حد تک بڑھتا رہے گا۔ یہ ایک متبادل منظر نامہ ہوگا۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسکیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن تیزی سے نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے کی سرحد کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے۔ مارلن 1.2892 کے قریب ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر قابو پانے میں قیمت کو تیزی سے مدد کرنے کے لئے شامل ہونے کی کوشش کر رہا ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/ USD Price Action Recap
GBP/USD currency pair ki live tafteesh par hamara guftagu jari hai. GBP/USD pair apni bullish momentum jari rakhta hai aur 1.2999 ke mark tak pohanch chuka hai, jis se ye nearly ek saal ke highest levels par trade kar raha hai. Behtar risk-on jazbat ne US dollar ko demand hasil karne se roka hai, jis se pair ko support mil raha hai. 4 ghanton ke price chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60 ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek overbought haliyat ko zahir karta hai. Ascending regression channel ka upper boundary jo ke April ke akhir se mojud hai, 1.2969 par aik ahem resistance ke tor par samajh lia ja raha hai, phir 1.2999 aur 1.3039 par pohanchta hai. Muta'arif tor par, pehla support 1.2899 par hai, us ke baad 1.2849-1.2859 aur 1.2819. Aik neeche ki taraf tabdeeli ka intezar hota hai, is liye mein isay bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon.

Agar agle haftay mein koi wapisi na ho, to GBP/USD currency pair mojooda levels se 179-219 points tak izafa kar sakta hai phir girne ki koshish karega. Lekin is waqt tak koi kamzori ya sterling mein giravat ke koi nishan nahi hain, jo ke is upward trend ki jari rakhne ki taraf ishara dete hain, jis se mumkin hai ke 1.3159 tak resistance level tak pohanch sake. Jabke is waqt ke daamon par kharidna munasib nahi hai kyun ke izafa bohat zyada ho chuka hai, lekin trend ke mutabiq trading karna zyada safe aur munafa mand rehta hai. Pair July 2023 ke urooj ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jahan se bearish trend-based wapisi kabhi bhi shuru ho sakti hai. Phir bhi upward trend ki ittiba aur mojooda prices se bechna mashwara hai. Agle haftay mazeed lutf andooz hosakta hai. Trend ki jari rakhne ki mumkinat hain aur yeh aik corrective week bhi hosakta hai.

GBPUSD ANALYSIS JULY 16, 2024
The H4 time frame

GBP/USD Market Analysis:

Pichle hafte ke karobar mein GbpUsd market ne buland taraf tezi se chala ya mahina bhar ka trend jo Uptrend tha us se jari raha. June mein aik neechay islaah hua jo keemat ko 1.2604 maqam par giraya, lekin is mahine yeh jaari nahi raha kyunki market ne phir se buland taraf laut aaya hai. Aaj subah tak keemat Uptrend zone mein chalne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lagta hai ke mazeed izafa ho raha hai, haalanki kal raat market apne bullish trend se abhi bhi islaah kar raha tha, is izafa ki koshish ek moqa aur umeed hai GbpUsd pair ke liye ke isko buland maqam ki taraf le jaaye.

Kal raat se lagta hai ke qeemat ne aik islaah yatra ki hai jo ke candlestick ko 1.2961 maqam tak le gayi hai, aur aaj tak khareedar market ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe hain jo ke candlestick ko consolidation mein chalne par majboor karta hai, aaj subah se qeemat abhi bhi thoda ooper jaane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Meri raay mein, kal ki qeemat giravat sirf aik lamha islaah thi, candlestick abhi bhi ooper jaane ka irada karta hai jaise ke pichle kuch hafton se market trend mein tha. GbpUsd pair ke market sharaait abhi tak mustahkam nazar aate hain, khareedar ke izafa ke maqsad se qeemat ko ooper uthane ki koshish kal ki giravat se aaj jaari hai.

Agar hum pichle kuch hafton se safar ki taraf se trend lete hain, toh yeh dikhata hai ke trend buland taraf ki ja rahi hai. 4 ghante ke time frame se bhi market pichle do mahinon se ooper jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Is liye mujhe yeh pesh-e-nazar hai ke aane waale waqt mein trend ka maqsad phir se ooper jaane ka mauqa ho sakta hai aur saalana buland tareen qeemat ke area ko bhi shakal de sakta hai. Is liye kyunki ab market ke halat mein aaram hai, main thoda sabar ka sujhaav deta hoon ke Buy Option ke mauqe ka intezar karen, jab tak kehtay hue ke aaj dopahar ya shaam mein buland shiddat ka mausam na aaye.

Transaction Options:

- 1.2985 area mein khareedai karen, Take Profit: 1.3035, Stop Loss: 1.2952

GBP/ USD Price Movement
Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ki zindagi mein Qeemat ka tajziya ke baray mein hai. GBP/USD jora chaar ghanton ke chart par mazboot bullish jazbaat dikhata hai, jazbati tor par saalana local uchhaayi tak badhta hua hai, jo 1.31249 hai. Yeh maqsad is mahine ke andar ya shayad is haftay ke andar mumkin hai. Halanki yeh harkat meri sell orders ke liye nakaarati hai, lekin yeh meray bari market outlook ke mutabiq hai. Dono technical indicators ek khareedne ka signal dete hain, jo is bullish manzar ko mazbooti deta hai.

Lekin, 1.29899 par 90-dinon ke local uchhaayi qeemat resistance ke taur par kaam kar sakti hai, jo ke jora ko 1.27776 ke saath sattar-dinon ke local kamzori tak lautne par majboor kar sakta hai. Dono manazir mumkin hain, jo aane wale trading haftay ko ansuni bana dete hain. Ek wazeh tasawwur ke liye, rozana chart tajziya zaroori hai. Wave structure upar ki taraf rawaiya dikhata hai, jahan MACD indicator apne signal line ke upar badh raha hai, jo ke upper buy zone mein hai.

Jora ne peechle do hafton mein ek jet engine ke dam par tezi se barhna shuru kiya hai. MACD ke kai divergences ko torne ke bawajood, barhne ki cycle ka mukammal honay se ek pullback ka imkan barh gaya hai. Teen wave structure zahir hai, jahan doosra wave chhota hai aur pehla aur teesra waves ke lambay mein qareeban barabar hain. CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche jana tayyar hai, jo ke bearish divergence ko dikhata hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke qeemat 1.2931 horizontal support level tak giray gi, phir ek upar ki taraf rebound hoga. Lekin mein is umeed mein hoon ke yeh level tor jayega, barhne ki cycle ki thakan ke bina mazeed upar ki movement mumkin nahi hai. Agar 1.2931 level tor jaye, to agar isay neeche se pohanchte waqt resistance ke tor par nazdeek kiya jaye, to yeh ek bechnay ka point ho sakta hai. Yeh isko 1.2854 ke main support level ki taraf girne ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Mazeed girawat mumkin nahi hai kyun ke pehle wali neeche ki taraf ki trend upar ki taraf transition ho chuki hai.

Pichlay haftay ke trading mein, GBPUSD currency pair ne ek support area level banaya 1.2770 ke qeemat par aur ek support area level banaya 1.2780 ke qeemat par. Isi dauran, pichlay haftay ke trading mein, GBPUSD currency pair ne ek resistance area level banaya 1.2990 ke qeemat par aur ek resistance area level banaya 1.3000 ke qeemat par. Agar in trading levels mein se kisi ek ko candlestick pattern ke through H4 timeframe ke trading chart par break kiya ja sakay, to is haftay ke trading mein izafa ya kami ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Filhal, is haftay ke trading ke aghaz mein, GBPUSD currency pair sirf resistance area level 1.2990 ke qeemat par aur resistance area level 1.3000 ke qeemat par test kar paayi, magar successfully break nahi kar paayi.

Follow the trend indicator se signal

Market ke halaat GBPUSD currency pair ke trading chart H1 timeframe mein jese hain, yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke GBPUSD currency pair H4 timeframe ke trading chart mein abhi bhi middle bands aur upper bands ke darmiyan trade ho rahi hai Bollinger Bands indicator period 23 application to close method to exponential ke hisaab se, halaan ke Tuesday ko trading mein kami ka samna hua tha, magar yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke GBPUSD currency pair H4 timeframe ke trading chart mein abhi bhi moving average indicator period 7 application to close method to exponential aur moving average indicator period 14 application to close method to exponential ke upar trade ho rahi hai, is liye aaj ke trading mein bullish opportunity kaafi zyada hai. GBPUSD currency pair par buy option hamari priority ho sakti hai is trade mein, kyun ke GBPUSD currency pair trading chart H1 timeframe aur trading chart H4 timeframe dono mein uptrend aur bullish trend mein hai.

Countered the trend indicator se signal

MACD indicator ke period setting 12.26.9 application to close par mukhtalif halaat hain jo bearish reversal trend divergence pattern banata hai, jahan histogram bar jo ban rahi hai, ab low market volume aur volatility hai. Magar, relative strength index indicator period 15 application to close exponential method ke trading chart H4 timeframe mein ab bhi move kar rahi hai aur level 50 ke upar trade ho rahi hai ribbon ke condition ke sath jo level 70 ki taraf ja rahi hai jo overbought zone hai ya woh zone jahan hum sell order lagate hain GBPUSD currency pair par.

GBP/USD apne gains ko tezi se barhata hai aur July 2023 ke baad apne sabse unche level par 1.2900 ke upar trade kar raha hai. US Dollar ko softer-than-expected inflation readings ke baad heavy selling pressure ka samna hai, jo pair ki rally ko fuel kar raha hai. Core CPI, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, expect kiya ja raha hai ke monthly basis par 0.2% barhega. GBP/USD ne American session mein traction hasil kiya aur Wednesday ko apna highest daily close March ke baad register kiya. Yeh pair European session mein Thursday ko 1.2850 ke upar positive territory mein trade kar raha hai.
US mein inflation, jo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke change se measure kiya jata hai, forecast kiya ja raha hai ke June mein 3.1% ho jayega jo May ke 3.3% se kam hai. Dusri taraf, agar core CPI monthly 0.3% ya usse zyada barhta hai, toh investors ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke actions par shak ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke gains accelerate hone ki wajah se yeh pair apne sabse unche level par pahuncha hai jo July 2023 ke baad dekha gaya hai. Yeh upward movement largely US Dollar ke heavy selling pressure ki wajah se hai jo softer-than-expected inflation readings ke baad dekha gaya. June ke liye core CPI, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, expect kiya gaya hai ke yeh monthly basis par 0.2% barhega, jo inflation ki stability ko indicate karta hai.

Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne American session mein significant traction hasil kiya aur apna highest daily close March ke baad register kiya. Thursday ko, European session mein yeh pair positive territory mein 1.2850 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai.

US inflation ko measure karne ke liye Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka change dekha jata hai. June ke liye forecast hai ke yeh 3.1% ho jayega, jo ke May ke 3.3% se kam hai. Agar yeh forecast accurate hota hai, toh yeh US Dollar ke liye bearish hoga aur GBP/USD ko support karega. Lekin, agar core CPI monthly basis par 0.3% ya usse zyada barhta hai, toh investors ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke baare mein doubts ho sakte hain aur yeh GBP/USD ke upward movement ko affect kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka current trading pattern positive territory ko indicate karta hai. Yeh pair European session mein 1.2850 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo market ki bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai. US Dollar par selling pressure ka asar is pair ki upward movement par directly pad raha hai, jo ke softer-than-expected inflation readings ka result hai.

Overall, GBP/USD ke gains ko US inflation readings ka asar hai. Softer-than-expected CPI data ne US Dollar ko pressure mein dala hai, jo GBP/USD ko support kar raha hai. Investors ko core CPI ke monthly increase par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye kyunki yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ke future actions ko influence kar sakta hai. Agar core CPI expectations ke mutabiq barhta hai, toh yeh GBP/USD ke current bullish trend ko challenge kar sakta hai

Britsh pound ne US dollar ke muqable mein budh ko char hafton ka buland tareen darja hasil kar liya. Yeh izafa Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ki Congress ke samnay gawahi ke baad aya, jise sarmaaya kaaron ne yeh samjha ke aney wale waqt mein sood ki شرah kam ho sakti hai. Powell ke monetary policy pe rukh ne bazaar ke umeedon ko mazid mazboot kiya ke September se pehle sood ki شرah kam ki ja sakti hai. Jab ke UK mein huay kamzor maashiyat ke data ne jumeraat ko sirf choti business data he di, sabki nigahen ab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par hain. Sarmaaya kaar jo sood ki شرah kam hone ki umeed rakhtay hain, wo is umeed pe hain ke June mein core inflation 3.4% se kam hoga jo ke saal ke liye mutawaqqa tha. Yeh itminan Powell ke bayan se aya jo kuch logon ne sulah جو samjha. Magar, jumma ko jari hone wala mazid US currency data in umeedon ko khatam kar sakta hai. June ka core consumer price index (PPI) umeed hai ke 2.5% tak barh jaye ga jo ke pehle 2.3% tha. Yeh barhawa wider market ki sood ki شرah kam karne ki khwahish ko rok sakta hai.
Technical tor par, budh ko pound ka izafa kai maqamat par muqabla kar raha tha. Agar izafa barqarar na reh saka to qeemat 200-day EMA (moving average) ke kareeb 1.2600 tak wapas aa sakti hai. Bulls (wo sarmaaya kaar jo qeemat barhney ka yaqeen rakhtay hain) par bojh hai ke wo mazboot support level qaim karain ta ke isay roka ja sake. Dosri taraf, agar izafay ka rujhan jari raha to qeemat 1.2816-1.2859 se barh sakti hai, jo 2024 ke buland darja 1.2892 ka raasta khol sakta hai. Is resistance area ko tor kar dollar pound ke muqable mein aur July 2023 ke
resistance 1.2994 tak ja sakta hai

<sub>Good day. Kal sellers phir se Pound ke sath kuch bhi karne mein nakam rahe, unhe minimal sensible correction bhi karne nahi diya gaya. Aur aaj, buyers ne 1.30 level ko tod diya aur generally actively upar move kiya, foothold banane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aur ab continued growth ka najdeek target 1.31417 mark hai. Sellers ke paas sirf yeh option hai ke wo kisi reversal structure ke form hone ka wait karein, taake kam se kam correction mein push kar sakein. Sabse qareeb strong level kaafi door hai, 1.29375 par, aur is tak more than 100 points ka farq hai. Yeh clear nahi ke Dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye kya chahiye, agar Fed bhi rate ko lower karna shuru kar de, to hum aur bhi upar ja sakte hain.
GBPUSD H4:

1 - 4-hour chart par Pound actively upper band se bahar gaya, magar lower band itni actively bahar nahi turn hui jitni upper one. Aur price growth ka behtar signal pane ke liye, dono bands ka bahar open hona wait karna worth hai. Agar hum fractals ke hisab se situation evaluate karein, to price ne July 15 ke fractal level par target reach kiya aur is se bhi upar rise karne mein kamiyab raha, July 27, 2023 ke fractal tak pahunch gaya. Ab continued growth ka target July 18, 2023 ka fractal hai. Nearest fractal down kaafi door hai, aur price fall direction mein rely karne ke liye, naya aur qareeb fractal form hone ka wait karna worth hai.

2 - AO indicator ne positive zone mein increase form karna shuru kar diya hai, agar hum zyada active acceleration dekhein, to humein price growth ka stronger signal milega. Filhal, situation divergent hai, jo upward impulse ke possible attenuation ko indicate karta hai.</sub>

GBP/USD ki keemat ka jaiza lena

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ki real-time keemat ka tajziya karte hain. GBP/USD ka primary trend upward hai, lekin M15 chart par, sellers ne 1.2992 ke high se downward move shuru kiya aur 1.2949 ke bearish start line tak pohanch gaye. Aaj, is level ko phir se tor diya gaya, aur agar sellers iske neeche consolidate kar lete hain, to wo downward momentum ko 1.2934 aur 1.2906 ke first impulse zones tak barhane mein kamyab ho sakte hain, jahan se potential growth attempts ho sakti hain. GBP/USD ke liye qareebi significant resistance 1.2964 hai, jo sellers ke liye zyada critical nahi hai. Bulls sirf tab upward movement ka intezar kar sakte hain jab GBP/USD descending fan ke last corner aur resistance 1.2983 par stabilize hota hai. Sellers ke liye sabse zyada favourable conditions ke madde nazar, British pound ke liye 29th figure se jaldi exit mushkil hai. Lekin hafta abhi shuru hua hai, aur market dynamics tabdeel ho sakte hain.

Is subah, price ne upar move karne ki koshish ki, jo ascending channel ke upper border ki taraf doosri approach ka ishara deta hai. Lekin price ne reverse kiya aur downward jaari raha. Price neeche jaari rahega, shayad ascending channel ke lower border 1.2919 tak pohanch jaye. Is lower level tak pohanchne par, pair shayad apni decline roke, reverse kare, aur upper limit of the ascending channel 1.3060 ko target kare. Pehle, maine British pound ke four-hour chart ka tajziya kiya tha, aur ab mein M30 chart ka analysis karna chahta hoon. Ascending price channel ko half an hour mein tor diya gaya, jo local maximum 1.2989 se rebound ke baad hua. Iske baad, British pound corrective decline mein chala gaya, aur is analysis ke likhte waqt pound/dollar pair 1.2952 par trade kar raha tha. Ek support line se rebound hua hai, jo technically corrective growth ka ishara deta hai.

GBP/USD pichle haftay mein 1.29% izafa kiya, jo ke ishara hai ke pound mazeed izafa kar sakta hai agar momentum jari rahe, ab ke siyasi risk premium khatam ho chuka hai," jaisa ke XTB ki analyst Kathleen Brooks ne kaha hai. Britain mein. Agla ahem level $1.30 psychological resistance hai. Dilchaspi ki baat hai ke British pound ke keemat barh rahi hai, Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki umeedon ke sath, aur OIS market ke mutabiq abhi 66% imkaan hai ke rate cut ho.
Technical analysis ke mutabiq currency pair GBP/USD apne main moving averages ke upar trading kar raha hai, aur relative strength index (RSI) musbat hai aur upar ki taraf isharaat karta hai. RSI abhi tak overbought shara'it mein nahi hai. Lekin daily chart mein ek warning sign hai, jo ke 1.28 ke upar ek resistance area hai: 2024 ke chart ko dekhne se nazar aata hai ke exchange rate ne 1.28 ke upar kisi bhi mustaqil doran ke liye kuch nahi pakra hai.
Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, 1.2860 ke major resistance ko toh shayad khatra nahi hai. Yaad rahe ke 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur 1.2770 ke tor par breach iska matlab hoga ke pound mazeed aage nahi barh sakta. Is resistance ke mojudgi ke bais, GBP/USD 1.28 ke aas paas ek tang range mein trading kar sakta hai, jab tak ke Thursday ko America se mahangai ki ahmiyat mand riport na aaye.
Iqtisadi calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq, mukhtasar Amreeki consumer price index ki umeed hai ke saalana bunyadi izafa 3.1% tak gir jaye ga, jo ke May mein 3.3% se neechay hai, aur yeh pehle half mein taizi se barhti hui mahangai ko dobara kum hone ka saboot dega. Yeh natija isharah karta hai ke Federal Reserve September mein Amreeki interest rates ko kam karne ke liye taiyar ho sakta hai, jo dollar par asar daal sakta hai.
GBP/USD currency pair ne khaasi tezi dekhi, jo is saal ke May ke end se sabse zyada highs tak pohncha. British pound mazboot ho raha hai, euro ke baad, kyun ke US dollar mein khaasi kamzori dekhi gayi hai. Ye izafa UK ke parliamentary election ke natayej aur Britain ke liye mutlaqatan positive economic statistics ke saath correlate karta hai. Naye prime minister ke aane ke baad agle haftay ke aaghaz mein ek moderate downward correction ka imkaan hai, magar overall uptrend jari rahega. Pair bullish control mein hai. Currency pair ke liye anticipated pivot point 1.2766 par hai. Agar qeemat is level ke upar rehti hai

**Support aur Resistance**

Pichle haftay ke trading mein, GBPUSD currency pair ne 1.2770 se 1.2780 tak support area level banaya. Isi tarah, pichle haftay ke trading mein, GBPUSD currency pair ne 1.2990 se 1.3000 tak resistance area level banaya. Agar candlestick pattern jo H4 timeframe ki trading chart par bani hai, in trading levels mein se kisi ek ko break kar sakta hai, to is haftay ke trading mein izafa ya kami ho sakti hai. Is haftay ke trading ki shuruaat mein, GBPUSD currency pair ne sirf 1.2990 se 1.3000 tak resistance area level ko test kiya hai magar isay mukammal tor par paar nahi kar saka.

**Trend Indicator se Ishara**

GBPUSD currency pair ke market conditions H1 timeframe ki trading chart mein, aur H4 timeframe ki trading chart mein bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke yeh Bollinger Bands indicator period 23, close method exponential ke middle bands aur upper bands ke darmiyan trade kiya ja raha hai. Halanki, isne Tuesday ko trading mein kami ki tajweez bhi di, lekin abhi H4 timeframe ki trading chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke GBPUSD currency pair moving average indicator period 7, close method exponential aur moving average indicator period 14, close method exponential ke upar trade ho raha hai, jis se aaj ke trading mein bullish mauqaat bohat open hain. GBPUSD currency pair par khareedne ki option is trade mein hamari priority ho sakti hai, kyun ke H1 timeframe aur H4 timeframe ki trading chart par yeh uptrend aur bullish trend mein hai.

**Counter Trend Indicator se Ishara**

MACD indicator ke conditions ke khilaaf jo bearish reversal trend divergence pattern bana raha hai, jahan histogram bar jo ab market volume aur volatility mein kami hai. Lekin relative strength index indicator period 15, close method exponential H4 timeframe ki trading chart par abhi bhi level 50 ke upar trade ho raha hai aur ribbon upwards direction mein level 70 ki taraf ja raha hai jo ke overbought zone hai, yaani ke is zone mein ham sell order GBPUSD currency pair par daal sakte hain.

Ye tashkeel aur analysis ke mutabiq, GBPUSD currency pair ke liye is haftay ke trading mein mukhtalif indicators aur levels ke mutabiq strategy banai ja sakti hai.

**Counter Trend Trading Option**

GBPUSD pair ke liye buy limit option apply kiya ja sakta hai support area level ke upar 1.2930 - 1.2940 ke qeemat par. Is trade mein target take profit ya profit lenay ka maqsad 100 pips hai aur target stop loss ya nuqsan mehdood karne ka maqsad 50 pips hai. Aaj ke trading mein ham profit ratio ya nuqsan ratio istemal kar rahe hain jo ke total trading transactions ki 1:2% value hai.

GBPUSD pair ke liye sell limit option apply kiya ja sakta hai resistance area level ke nichay 1.2990 - 1.3000 ke qeemat par. Is trade mein target take profit ya profit lenay ka maqsad 100 pips hai aur target stop loss ya nuqsan mehdood karne ka maqsad 50 pips hai. Aaj ke trading mein ham profit ratio ya nuqsan ratio istemal kar rahe hain jo ke total trading transactions ki 1:2% value hai.

Is tajziya ke mutabiq, GBPUSD pair ke liye counter trend trading ke options tashkeel kiye gaye hain jo ke aaj ke trading mein istemal kiye ja sakte hain.

GBP/USD ne ek sust neechayi tezi mein jari rahi aur umeed hai keh yeh trend line ke oopar rahega. Is waqt, pound girne ki koi wajah nahi hai, balkay thora sa nichayi taraf tashadud ho sakta hai, lekin market mazboot bullish hai. Market ab bhi British currency ko khareedne ke liye wajah dhoond rahi hai, halaankay koi khaas wajah nahi hai. Haan, pound ne do din se naye urooj ki taraf rukh nahi liya hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi keh woh khatam ho gaya hai.

Is hafte Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell ki ek aur hawkish taqreer ne dollar ko kisi bhi madad nahi ki. Amreeki retail sales report tawanaeyat se taqatwar nikli, lekin dollar ko khaas farq nahi pada. Volatility kamzor hai aur market pound ko bechna nahi chahta, woh bhi yeh keh bina ke Bank of England shayad August se hi interest daro mein kami shuru karde.

Ek bechne ki alamat 5-minute timeframe par paida hui, aur naye traders ko kafi kamyabi mili. U.S. session ke shuru mein, price 1.2988 ke level ke qareeb aayi aur us waqt U.S. retail sales report publish hui, jo thori madad dollar ko di. Nateeja yeh hua ke signal ke baad pair 23 pips neeche gaya, aur din ke end tak thora sa upar move kiya. Yeh trade khula reh sakta hai, kyunke ab ek din ke andar signal paida karke kam se kam pehle target ko pura karna mushkil hai.

Wednesday ke liye trading tips:
Hourly chart par GBP/USD neechayi ki trend banane ke umda signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh yeh pair upar ki taraf bhi trend banane mein qabil hai. Pair phir se ooncha ja raha hai, aur overall, yeh logic ke khilaaf lihaaz kar raha hai. Halankay, koi bhi inkar nahi kar sakta ke halqi economic reports ne pound ko support kiya hai.

Wednesday ko, pound sterling dhire dhire 1.2913 ke level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Is mein kuch din lag sakte hain 45 pips guzarne mein. Lekin tezi se girawat ka tawaqo nahi hai, jab tak ke pound trend line ko nahi todti. Aur agar todti bhi hai, to yeh bilkul ho bhi nahi sakta. Is halaat mein kam az kam panch martaba ho chuka hai.

5M chart par key levels 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980 hain. Wednesday ko UK June ke liye ahem inflation report publish karega, jo pound par dabaav daal sakta hai kyunke inflation mazeed neeche gir sakti hai. Lekin market ne sab pichli inflation girawaton ka pound bech kar taqatwar kiya nahi hai.