gbp/usd

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda apni pur aitemad tezi ka daud jari rakhe hue hai. Buniyadi nuqtah nazar se kuch bhi tabdil nahin hua hai, lehaza Bartanwi pound me badhat jari rahne ka imkan hai. Qimat 1.2860 ki satah par pahunch gayi hai, lekin abhi tak is nishan se ooper mustahkam nahin hui hai. Bahar hal, mazid tezi ki gunjaish hai. 1.2895 ke ilaqe ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Iske alawa, Bartaniyah se GDP samet aham aidad o shumar jald hi jari kiye jayenge. Halankeh, aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me Americi inflation ke aidad o shumar ka ghalbah hai, jo din ko intehai ghair mustahkam bana sakta hai. Lehaza, agar qimat 1.2790 ke ilaqe me wapas aati hai to, mai long positions kholunga.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, main samajhta hoon ke GBPUSD currency pair ki keemat abhi tak 1.26400 tak gir sakti hai. Is ka wajah H1 time frame par GBPUSD ki movement mein ek bearish engulfing candle ka ban jana hai, jo ke SELL ke liye taqatwar signal hai 1.26400 ke price par. Mazeed, meri observation ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index 14 indicator dikhata hai ke GBPUSD ki keemat 1.26870 par overbought ho chuki hai, iska matlab hai ke khareedne ka mauka saturation tak pohanch gaya hai, is liye ho sakta hai ke GBPUSD ki movement aaj raat ko 10-50 pips tak girne ki taraf jaye.

SELL signal ko mazeed support mil raha hai SNR aur Fibonacci methods se, jab GBPUSD ki keemat 1.26870 tak pohanchi to yeh ek support area se resistance mein badal gayi hai, iska matlab hai ke GBPUSD ki movement aaj raat ko 1.26400 ki taraf girne ka zyada chance hai. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya hai ke future mein GBPUSD ko 1.26400 par SELL karna hai.

Lekin yad rahe ke yeh izafa temporary hai aur keemat mazeed bearish trend mein laut sakti hai. MACD indicator ke histogram bars ka position consistently zero level ke neeche hai, iska matlab hai ke market abhi bhi bearish trend mein hai. Aane wale dino mein market mein aur bhi bearish potential hai. Pichle mahine ke events se cues lete hue, nazar aata hai ke GBPUSD currency pair abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hai. Is liye behtar hai ke hum bearish trend par focus karen, haalaanki market abhi Asian session mein hai, lekin agle price ke liye recommendation yahi hai ke bearish trend jaari rahega aur 1.2600 ki keemat ko test karega.

GBP/USD ANALYSIS

GBPUSD ka currency pair abhi dheere dheere chal raha hai aur choti range mein move kar raha hai kyunke forex market abhi bhi ek upward rally ki taraf ja raha hai. Market trend jo nazar aa raha hai wo zyadatar bullish trend mein hai. Kal raat ke trading session mein significant increase ke baad prices phir se upar chal gaye hain. Agle trading session mein bhi prices kaafi chances hain ke aur increase karen aur higher price level ko target karen. Agar market structure ko dekha jaye jo zyadatar bullish direction mein hai, to long term mein prices ke barhne ke chances hain aur sab se pehla target 1.2910 level ho sakta hai jise buyer ki troops break out karne ki koshish karein.



Candlestick position agar dekhein to wo Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar comfortably play kar rahi hai, jo ke market trend ko buyers ki taraf control mein honay ka ek reference hai. Lime Line position Relative Strength Index indicator par abhi bhi level 70 ke aas paas hai, jo market trend ke bullish phase mein hone ka indication hai. Is hafte ki bullish price composition ke saath, market trend ke phir se upar jaane ke chances hain. Main khud bhi BUY trading ka potential dekh raha hoon. Jab price 1.2875 ke range mein barh jaaye, to mere khayal mein yeh ek accha moment hai transaction karne ka, abhi ke liye price 1.2861 level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke bullish trend ki taraf continue hone ka potential rakhta hai. Ya phir aap thodi price correction ka wait bhi kar sakte hain American session ke shuru hone se pehle.

GBPUSD pair ka technical analysis

4-hour chart

Abhi price 1.2880 ke weekly resistance area mein trade kar raha hai, jise agle kuch ghanton mein todhne ki koshish karega aur uske upar settle hone ki koshish karega. Is haftay ke dauran, price ne chart par dikhaye gaye price triangle ke andar trade karna shuru kiya, jo price channels ka nateeja hai.

Haftay ke shuruat mein price barhne ke baad, upper blue channel line se resistance face kiya, jo decline ka sabab bana aur triangle toot gaya. Magar price ko blue channel ki middle line aur weekly pivot level ke paas support mila, aur price upar ki taraf chala gaya, jahan abhi trade kar raha hai, weekly resistance todhne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Aaj ka trading mashwara hai ke jab price 1.2880 ke resistance level ke upar ek ghante tak stabilize ho, to buy karen. Aur jab price last three candles ke lowest price ke neeche gir jaaye, to sell karen.

Economic side par, pound sterling ke price ko US dollar ke against Britain ke parliamentary elections ke positive result se support mila, jo economy ke liye ek nayi political era ki nishani hai. Traders yeh bhi expect karte hain ke Labor apne election promises ko pura karega domestic economy ko support karne ke liye, halan ke is ka matlab yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke Bank of England par interest rates cut karne ka pressure badh jaaye.



Agar yeh hota hai, to GBP/USD rate apne highs se wapas pull back kar sakta hai amid expectations of a BoE cut in August, khaaskar jab US central bank easing par itna ziddi raha hai. Overall, US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ka Senate aur Congress ke samnay is haftay ka speech unki policy timeline ke bare mein naye insights de sakta hai, halan ke US CPI ke release ke baad yeh decide hoga ke September mein US mein cut hone ke chances hain ya nahi.

GBPUSD pair ka technical analysis

4-hour chart

Abhi price 1.2880 ke weekly resistance area mein trade kar raha hai, jise agle kuch ghanton mein todhne ki koshish karega aur uske upar settle hone ki koshish karega. Is haftay ke dauran, price ne chart par dikhaye gaye price triangle ke andar trade karna shuru kiya, jo price channels ka nateeja hai.

Haftay ke shuruat mein price barhne ke baad, upper blue channel line se resistance face kiya, jo decline ka sabab bana aur triangle toot gaya. Magar price ko blue channel ki middle line aur weekly pivot level ke paas support mila, aur price upar ki taraf chala gaya, jahan abhi trade kar raha hai, weekly resistance todhne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Aaj ka trading mashwara hai ke jab price 1.2880 ke resistance level ke upar ek ghante tak stabilize ho, to buy karen. Aur jab price last three candles ke lowest price ke neeche gir jaaye, to sell karen.

Economic side par, pound sterling ke price ko US dollar ke against Britain ke parliamentary elections ke positive result se support mila, jo economy ke liye ek nayi political era ki nishani hai. Traders yeh bhi expect karte hain ke Labor apne election promises ko pura karega domestic economy ko support karne ke liye, halan ke is ka matlab yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke Bank of England par interest rates cut karne ka pressure badh jaaye.



Agar yeh hota hai, to GBP/USD rate apne highs se wapas pull back kar sakta hai amid expectations of a BoE cut in August, khaaskar jab US central bank easing par itna ziddi raha hai. Overall, US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ka Senate aur Congress ke samnay is haftay ka speech unki policy timeline ke bare mein naye insights de sakta hai, halan ke US CPI ke release ke baad yeh decide hoga ke September mein US mein cut hone ke chances hain ya nahi.

GBP/USD:

Pichlay do mahino mein, GBP/USD currency pair ne dynamic aur intriguing price trend dikhaya hai, jo significant fluctuations aur key support aur resistance levels se mark hua hai. Jaise hi hafta khatam hone ko hai, aisa lagta hai ke price bearish price channels ko daily chart par todhne ki bold koshish kar raha hai, jo ke prevailing downtrend ko disrupt karne ki strategic move hai.

Mahine ke shuruat mein, GBP/USD price ne notable rise experience kiya, jo strong support ki wajah se tha. Yeh initial upward movement sentiment mein potential shift ka suggestion tha. Magar, jab price 1.2763-1.2738 range mein pohanchi, to usne significant resistance face kiya. Yeh resistance zone formidable sabit hua aur price in levels se bounce back karke neeche aa gaya, jo downward trend ka indication tha.

Jaise jaise price girta raha, yeh ek crucial monthly support level 1.27370 aur 1.27973 ke darmiyan pohanchi. Yeh support zone ne price ko further decline se roka aur potential reversal ke liye ek base diya. Is support zone mein price movement ne sideways trend dikhaya, jo consolidation aur traders ke darmiyan uncertainty ka indication tha regarding next directional move.

Recent hafton mein, price ne multiple attempts kiye bearish price channels ko daily chart par todhne ke liye. Is haftay mein khas taur par, ek concerted effort dekhne ko mila ke in channels ko upward breach kiya jaye. Price ki koshish ke pivot level H1 chart par aur channel line se resistance mili. In resistance levels ke confluence ne price ke upward momentum ko sustain karne ke liye challenging environment banaya.



Is period ke dauran ek notable technical pattern pin candle ki formation thi, jo potential breakout ke liye ek perfect setup lag raha tha. Pin candle typically ek reversal ya significant level of support ya resistance ka indication hoti hai. Is case mein, pin candle ki formation ne suggest kiya ke price ke paas momentum hai channels ko todhne ke liye. Magar, despite is promising setup, price ultimately retreat kar gaya aur breakout sustain karne mein fail raha.

GBP/USD:

Pichlay do mahino mein, GBP/USD currency pair ne dynamic aur intriguing price trend dikhaya hai, jo significant fluctuations aur key support aur resistance levels se mark hua hai. Jaise hi hafta khatam hone ko hai, aisa lagta hai ke price bearish price channels ko daily chart par todhne ki bold koshish kar raha hai, jo ke prevailing downtrend ko disrupt karne ki strategic move hai.

Mahine ke shuruat mein, GBP/USD price ne notable rise experience kiya, jo strong support ki wajah se tha. Yeh initial upward movement sentiment mein potential shift ka suggestion tha. Magar, jab price 1.2763-1.2738 range mein pohanchi, to usne significant resistance face kiya. Yeh resistance zone formidable sabit hua aur price in levels se bounce back karke neeche aa gaya, jo downward trend ka indication tha.

Jaise jaise price girta raha, yeh ek crucial monthly support level 1.27370 aur 1.27973 ke darmiyan pohanchi. Yeh support zone ne price ko further decline se roka aur potential reversal ke liye ek base diya. Is support zone mein price movement ne sideways trend dikhaya, jo consolidation aur traders ke darmiyan uncertainty ka indication tha regarding next directional move.

Recent hafton mein, price ne multiple attempts kiye bearish price channels ko daily chart par todhne ke liye. Is haftay mein khas taur par, ek concerted effort dekhne ko mila ke in channels ko upward breach kiya jaye. Price ki koshish ke pivot level H1 chart par aur channel line se resistance mili. In resistance levels ke confluence ne price ke upward momentum ko sustain karne ke liye challenging environment banaya.



Is period ke dauran ek notable technical pattern pin candle ki formation thi, jo potential breakout ke liye ek perfect setup lag raha tha. Pin candle typically ek reversal ya significant level of support ya resistance ka indication hoti hai. Is case mein, pin candle ki formation ne suggest kiya ke price ke paas momentum hai channels ko todhne ke liye. Magar, despite is promising setup, price ultimately retreat kar gaya aur breakout sustain karne mein fail raha.

Sab ko shaam bakhair aur subah bakhair!

GBP/USD market ne meri recommendation follow ki hai aur kal 1.2790 zone tak pohanch gaya. Aaj UK GDP data release market ko impact kar sakta hai aur support ya resistance zones ko surpass karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, US 3-year Bond Auction aur Unemployment rate bhi market dynamics ko influence kar sakte hain. Furthermore, US Core CPI rate buyers ko 1.2865 zone ko cross karne mein support provide kar sakta hai sooner or later.

Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, main recommend karta hoon ke GBP/USD par ek buy order place kiya jaye with a short-term target of 1.2847. Is volatile market mein, experience aur risk management tools ka istemal karna zaroori hai taake informed decisions liye ja sakein. UK GDP data ka analysis UK ki financial health ko strengthen kar sakta hai, jo directly GBP/USD pair ko affect karta hai. Isi tarah, US 3-year Bond Auction aur Unemployment rate ke results investor sentiment aur US financial outlook ke signals provide karte hain. US Core CPI rate bhi ek significant factor hai jo currency valuation ko directly impact karta hai.

In fundamental factors ko combine karke aur disciplined risk management implement karke, traders unique decisions le sakte hain. Technical analysis ka istemal, jaise ke support aur resistance levels ka study karna aur price action ko monitor karna, traders ko market movements predict karne aur behtar analysis conduct karne mein madad deta hai. Halan ke GBP/USD market pehle ki recommendations follow kar raha hai, aaj ke financial events significant changes la sakte hain. Strategic buy orders set karna with appropriate stop-loss levels aur key financial indicators from the UK and US se updated rehna traders ke liye beneficial ho sakta hai.



In variables par nazar rakhne se market trends ko samajhne mein madad milti hai aur short-term target of 1.2847 achieve karne ke chances badhte hain, with the potential for buyers to surpass the 1.2865 zone later.

Successful financial trading ke liye sab ko mubarak ho!

GbpUsd Market Pair on the Daily

Market timeframe par GbpUsd pair jo Wednesday ko hua, wo sellers se maintain nahi ho saka jo buyer support area ke neeche penetrate nahi kar sake jo ke price 1.2780-1.2783 par tha. Yeh buyers ki solidity ki wajah se hua jo area ko secure karte rahe aur price phir se buyers ke control mein aa gaya, jinhon ne strong buying pressure daala taake price aur bhi zyada soar kar sake.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ka istemal karte hue, price Upper Bollinger bands area ko break karne ki koshish karta hua nazar aata hai jo ke price 1.2840-1.2843 par hai. Yeh bullish candle jo pehle ke trade mein bani thi, uske zariye dheere dheere penetrate ho raha hai taake buyers aaj ke din bhi GbpUsd market pair mein dominate karte rahein. Bullish buyer ka target yeh hai ke price ko Upper Bollinger bands area ke upar maintain kiya jaye taake ek higher bullish opportunity open ho sake, agla target seller ke supply resistance area jo ke price 1.2890-1.2893 par hai.

Thursday ke trading mein buyers ko wapas aate hue dekha ja raha hai, jo apne bullish opportunities ko maintain karne ke liye prices ko target kar rahe hain taake wo apne qareebi target ko, jo ke seller ke resistance area par price 1.2870-1.2873 hai, test kar sakein aur higher bullish path open ho sake. Agla target seller ke supply resistance area ko price 1.2895-1.2900 par target karna hai. Agar yeh fail ho jata hai, to seller ke liye ek bearish correction ka mauka hai jiska target buyer support area par price 1.2805-1.2800 hai.




Conclusion:

Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar seller qareebi buyer support area ko price 1.2805-1.2800 par torhne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, TP target area price 1.2760-1.2755 par.

Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer qareebi seller resistance area ko price 1.2870-1.2873 par torhne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, TP target area price 1.2895-1.2900 par.

GBP/USD H-4 Time Frame Chart

GBPUSD currency pair mein, hum ek five-wave bullish pattern dekh sakte hain, jismein fifth wave ab apne conclusion par pohanch rahi hai. Weekly high ne pehle mahine ke peak ko surpass kar liya hai, jo strong upward momentum ka indication hai. Magar, MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence form ho rahi hai, jo market direction mein potential shift ka suggestion deti hai. Resistance level 1.2858 par ek significant obstacle present karta hai, aur traders ko sirf is area se short positions mein enter karne par ghour karna chahiye.

Technical factors ka combination, jaise ke five-wave structure ka completion aur bearish divergence, yeh indicate karta hai ke decline hone ke chances hain, aur goal yeh hai ke current uptrend ke minimum se bhi aage jaaye aur support level 1.2754 ko target kare. CCI indicator bhi is bearish view ko support karta hai, kyunki yeh overbought zone se neeche move karne ke liye positioned hai.

Importantly, market closely watch karegi UK ke key economic releases, jismein Gross Domestic Product, Industrial Production, Manufacturing Production, aur Trade Balance shamil hain, jo subah 9:00 Moscow time par release hongi. Yeh news events GBPSD trading dynamics ko significantly impact kar sakti hain. Aane wale economic data releases markets par significant impact dalne ki umeed hain. Jabke target miss hone ka hamesha possibility hoti hai, stock prices news ke mutabiq achanak plunge ya surge experience kar sakti hain.



Dusri set of crucial reports Moscow time ke mutabiq 3:15-3:30 PM par release hone wali hain, jismein total number of Americans receiving unemployment benefits, core consumer price index, consumer price index, aur unemployment claims in the United States shamil hain. Needless to say, trading session kuch bhi ho sakti hai magar uneventful nahi hogi.

GBP/USD Pair

Thursday ko GBP/USD pair cautious anticipation se mark hui thi ahead of significant events: UK election results aur US non-farm payrolls report jo Friday ko scheduled thi. US markets holiday ke liye band thi, isliye trading activity subdued rahi, magar data releases ke baad volatility mein izafa hone ki umeed hai.

Investors closely US non-farm payrolls report ko dekh rahe hain, jo anticipate kiya ja raha hai ke job creation mein slowdown reveal karega, jo Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations ko reinforce kar sakta hai. Agar report weaker-than-expected hui, to market optimism stimulate ho sakta hai kyunki lower borrowing costs investors ke liye beneficial hote hain. Forecasts indicate kar rahe hain ke June ke payrolls numbers 272,000 se gir kar 190,000 tak aa sakte hain, aur unemployment expected hai ke 4.0% par steady rahega. Average hourly earnings bhi slight decrease show karne ke project kiye gaye hain, annual growth dip kar ke 3.9% hone ka expectation hai compared to 4.1% previously.

Is dauran, GBP/USD pair ne resilience dikhayi hai, aur modest recovery stage ki hai after support milne ke baad above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 1.2610. Yeh recent failure ke baad hua ke resistance zone near 1.2800 breach nahi ho saka. Decisive directional movement ki kami ke bawajood, pair ne 1.2300 level ke upar maintain kiya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke current trading range mein ek floor hai.

Technical indicators GBP/USD ke liye cautious picture paint karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni downtrend line aur crucial 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke neeche hai, jo weakening momentum signal karta hai. Agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, to potential downside targets mein 1.2465 area shamil hai, jo recent trading range ke lower boundary at 1.2300 ke thoda upar hai. Is level ke neeche break karne se upper boundary around 1.2820 ka retest open ho sakta hai.

GBPUSD H4:

1. 4-hour chart par pound trading ke end mein upper band ke paas pohanch gaya. Agar next week upper band ka active touch dekha jaye aur uske baad dono bands outward open hoon, to yeh price growth ka stronger signal dega. Fractals se situation evaluate karte hue, price July 3 ke fractal level par target tak pohanch gaya, aur usse bhi upar chala gaya - June 13 ke fractal tak, agar yeh uspe consolidate kar le, to next target June 12 ka fractal at 1.28599 ho ga. Qareebi fractal down abhi current price value se kaafi door hai, aur price growth direction mein rely karne ke liye, ek naye, closer fractal ka wait karna zaroori hai.



2. AO indicator positive area mein active increase form kar raha hai, abhi tak clear nahi hai ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh is baat ke haq mein hai ke price growth further continue kar sakta hai. Price fall ka signal receive karne ke liye, zero mark ke taraf active attenuation ka wait karna zaroori hai.

Hello,
GBP/USD ne dosre session ke liye advance kiya, aur Thursday ko Asian hours mein 1.2860 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ka analysis dikhata hai ke pair ek ascending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias indicate karta hai. Relative strength index (RSI) 60 par pohanch gaya hai, jo late Tuesday ko 50 par tha, yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish bias ab bhi maujood hai, bhaale hi speed kami hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) ko support ke taur par istemal karta hai, to 1.2850-1.2860 (static level, June 12 high) agla resistance ho sakta hai pehle 1.2900 (psychological level, static level) ko target karne se pehle. Agar 1.2800 support fail hota hai, to extended slide 1.2750 (static level) aur 1.2710 (20-day simple moving average) tak dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

GBP/USD Tuesday ko US trading hours mein thoda neeche aaya aur din negative territory mein band kiya. Pair Wednesday ko European session mein 1.2800 ke aas-paas stable raha jab investors ne next fundamental driver ka wait karte hue bade positions lene se parheiz kiya.



Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko apni congressional testimony ke pehle din Senate Banking Committee ke saamne semi-annual monetary policy report pesh ki aur sawalon ke jawab diye. Powell ne dobara yeh reiterate kiya ke policy rate ko lower karna munasib nahi hoga. Unhone kaha ke unhe inflation rate ke steadily 2% ki taraf move hone par zyada confidence hai. Job market developments ko assess karte hue, Powell ne kaha, "latest labor market data ne clear signal diya ke labor market significantly cool ho gaya hai." Un remarks ke baad, September mein Fed ke policy rates ko unchanged chodne ke odds lagbhag 25% par hain, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Powell din ke baad mein House Financial Services Committee ke saamne testify karenge. Lekin, investors Thursday ke June Consumer Price Index data ka intezar karenge pehle ke GBP/USD ke next direction ka faisla karein.

GBP/USD Price Movement

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko dissect kar rahe hain. GBP/USD chart par potential profit ke liye precise entry ko pinpoint karte hain. Support level 1.2780 se buying karna strategic ho sakta hai, aur aim yeh hai ke previous high near 1.2830 ko surpass karein. Agar reversal signal appear hota hai, to losses ko 1.2750 ke aas-paas limit karenge. Cautiously 1.2780 ke mirrored level se selling consider karein, bina zyad risk ke gains ke liye. Pound mein selling opportunities inclined lagti hain, despite uncertainties about its profitability. Jab tak level 1.2820 decisively cross nahi hota, meri preference selling hi rahegi. Is waqt jab mein yeh likh raha hoon, price is level ko retest kar raha hai. Confirmation ke baad, tight stops ke saath short positions lena gains yield kar sakta hai jo potential losses se paanch guna zyada ho sakta hai, jo confident trading allow karta hai.

Initial selling targets 1.2730 aur phir neeche 1.2665 hain. Aaj, hum significant movement ki decisive determination anticipate karte hain. Agar current levels likely hain, to buyers price ko 1.3000 ki taraf propel kar sakte hain. Bulls pair ko upwards push kar rahe hain, pehle resistance level ko breach karne ka aim hai.



GBP/USD pair ek bullish trend show kar raha hai, price Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai, jo upward momentum indicate karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke long positions consider karein. Last session mein, buyers ne reversal level ke upar consolidate kiya, aur pair 1.2803 par trade kar raha tha. Intraday growth benchmarks mein classic Pivot reversal levels shamil hain. Continued upward momentum anticipate karte hue, agar first resistance at 1.2870 break hota hai to ek new wave towards 1.2940 trigger ho sakta hai. Conversely, agar bearish sentiment wapas aata hai to chart segment par support 1.2670 par mil sakta hai.

British Pound vs US Dollar (GBP/USD) Ki Taizi

Budh ke din British pound ne US dollar ke khilaf tezi se bharhav kiya aur chaar hafton mein apne uchayi ke record tak pohanch gaya. Yeh izafa Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke Congress ke saamne bayanat ke baad aaya, jise investors ne mustaqbil mein interest rate cuts ki alaamat samjha. Powell ke ihtiyati hawale se mawad mein taraqqi ke bazaar ki umeedein September tak interest rate reduction ke liye barh gayi. Jabke Thursday ko UK ke economic data light hain, jahan sirf darmiyani industrial production figures jaari honge, sab nigahein US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report par hongi. Investors, jo rate cut ki umeed mein hain, umeed karte hain ke June core inflation rate 3.4% saalana izafa se kam hoga. Yeh umeed Powell ke bayanat se milti hai, jise kuch log dovish samajhte hain. Lekin, Friday ko jaari hone wale mazeed US inflation data se in umeedon par paani phir sakta hai. June ke core Producer Price Index (PPI) ka izafa 2.5% saalana basis par expected hai, jo 2.3% se upar hoga. Yeh mumkin izafa broader market ki interest rate reduction ke liye ummedon par rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai.



Technically, Budh ke din pound ki bullish umeedain zyada price zones mein resistance se takra gayi. Agar yeh izafa sustain nahi ho sakta, to price 200-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) ke aas-paas 1.2600 tak wapas gir sakti hai. Burden bulls par hai (jo investors hain jo umid rakhte hain ke price barhegi) ke unhe mazboot support levels sthapit karne honge taake koi giravat na aaye. Ulta agar upar ki raftar jaari rahe, to price 1.2816-1.2859 range ko paar kar sakta hai, jo ke 2024 ke high tak pahunchne ka raasta bana sakta hai 1.2892 tak. Is resistance area ko paar karna pound-dollar pair ko July 2023 ke resistance level tak le ja sakta hai jo 1.2994 hai.

GBP/USD
Subah bakhair. Dekhiye, meri shakhsiyat mein toh main reformon ki istemal-e-zabardasti se qabil-e-tasleem nahin hoon. Yeh sirf managers ki ghair-maharat ko darshata hai, jo shuruaati taur par halat ko ek kone mein le gaye, jab ke systematic taraqqi ke bajaye unhe sakht aur pasand na aney wale iqdamat leni padi. Mere khayal se Trump migrants ke khilaf thay aur Mexico ke border par deewar banane ka irada rakhte thay? Mujhe maloom nahin Biden kaise election jeet gaye, unke tajziya aur tayyari ki puri izzat ke sath, unka rukh ab mulk ke leader ke tor par kuch pheeka sa lag raha hai. Shayad America mein ab President ka kirdar bas naam ka hi hota ja raha hai, aur poora mukhalif log aur idaray hakumat karte hain. Is sorat-e-haal mein kisi bhi shakhs ko sarbrah karar diya ja sakta hai. China ka qoumi qarza GDP ke nisbat ab bhi USA se kam hai, rasmi data ke mutabiq China mein yeh qareeban 77% hai, jabke USA mein yeh 120% hai, asal mein yeh kaisa hai, mujhe nahin pata. Main samajhta hoon ke agar China Taiwan par hamla nahin karne ka faisla kare, to unki halat amuman normal rahegi, lekin agar unhe jang ko fauran tausee karne ka faisla karna pade toh woh sirf khud ko muqablay ke liye muqarrar karne ke liye khud ko bazaar ke liye ek mayyar tassleem karne ki wajah sirf khud ko muqablay ke liye karne ke liye ek bazaar ko pazeer karne ke liye.



The Pound ki keemat abhi tak bilkul girne wali nahin hai, unhone 1.28599 ke darje ko tor diya hai, aur zahir hai ke woh 1.28932 ke mark ki taraf nishana banayenge. Sirf yeh ek aisa mozu hai ke is ke purnakalik ke mukammal hone ke baad ham asal mein kriyanvit karne ke liye neeche mud jayenge. Jodi GBPUSD H4: 1 - 4 ghanton ke chart par Pound phir se ooper ki taraf chalne laga hai, jabke dono bands ne ek doosre ke sath khuli ki hai, jo hamein keemat ki mazeed izafay ke liye ek ishara deta hai. Aur is surat-e-haal mein, sirf dekhne ka hai ke yeh signal kya taraqqi kar sakta hai ya nahin. Agar hum fractals ki surat-e-haal par baat karein, to keemat ne kal nazdeek ke fractal ko ooper ki taraf tor diya aur July 8 ke fractal ke target tak pohanch gaya. Is ne yeh bhi kamyaab ho gaya ke woh aur bhi ooper chadh gaya aur June 12 ke fractal tak pohanch gaya, aur agar woh is ke peeche mazboot ho sakta hai, to keemat ki mazeed izafay ke liye aglay target March 8 ke fractal ke liye 1.28932 ke darje par hoga. Nazdeek ke fractal abhi taqreban mojood hai, aur keemat ke neeche mudne ke taraf kuch munsalik hone ke liye ek naya, qareebi fractal ke banne ka intezaar hona chahiye. 2 - AO indicator ne musbat area mein ek naye izafay ka aghaz karna shuru kiya hai, abhi tak yeh yeh samajh mein nahin aaya ke yeh izafay kab khatam hoga, jo keemat ke mazeed izafay ke liye ek ishara deta hai. Lekin yeh bhi ghor kiya jana chahiye ke halat ab bhi mukhalif hain, aur yeh ishara deta hai ke taraqqi jald hi kamzor hone ka aghaz ho sakta hai