جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading haftay, euro pehle thoda pull back hua jab 1.0763 resistance ko retest karne mai nakam raha, lekin phir strength regain karke uptrend mai wapas aaya aur 1.0837 tak peak kiya. Resultantly, price ne key barrier ko todte hue signal area ke boundaries ko touch kiya, aur breakout se sirf ek qadam door thi. Yani, decline ka intezar tha lekin wo nahi hua. Ab price chart super-trend green zone mai hai, jo increased purchasing activity ko dikhata hai.

Technically, aaj ke intraday action mai pair ne major resistance 1.0760 ke neeche break kiya, jo 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level se represent hota hai, aur clear negative signals dikha raha hai. Closer inspection par, simple moving average price ko neeche se support kar raha hai aur uptrend ke liye positive impetus provide kar raha hai. Uptrend ke liye, hume 1.0760 resistance ka strong break dekhna hoga, jiska break rally ke chances ko 1.0800/1.0795 aur 1.0840 tak le jayega. Official downside path ko complete karne ke liye, hume 1.0690 support ka clear break dekhna hoga, jiska target 1.0675 aur 1.0630 hoga.



Pair is waqt apne weekly highs ke upar trade kar raha hai. Key resistance area pressure mai hai aur rapidly strength lose kar raha hai, jo downside se upside shift ka zaroorat ko indicate karta hai. Isko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 1.0763 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo currently main support area ke qareeb hai. Agar ye area retest hota hai, tou upcoming bounce doosri upside move ko trigger karne ka moka dega, jiska target area 1.0926 aur 1.1033 ke beech ho sakta hai.

Agar support break hoti hai aur price 1.0694 pivot level se neeche girti hai, tou current scenario reverse ho jayega.

GBP/USD ki hourly chart par, yeh nazar aata hai ke pair downtrend banane ke umda signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh ye nahi kehne ka matlab hai ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Yeh pair mukhtalif hafto se side movement dikha raha hai aur pehli significant support area 1.2605-1.2633 ko paar karne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka hai. Isi tarah, British currency phir se buland ho rahi hai aur overall, yeh behtareen aur aksar gair mantiki harkatein dikha rahi hai.
Aaj, is haftay ki trading ki aakhri din par, hum GBPUSD currency pair ki H4 chart par ghor karenge. Budhwar ki trading mein, is currency pair ki keemat ne taqatwar upward movement dikhaya aur technical tasawwur bhi tashkeel mein tha. Din bhar mein jaari khabrein sirf pound ki izafay ko mazeed barhane mein madadgar sabit hui, jabke US ke sabhi indicators apni taqreban tamam tajaweez se kamzor sabit huay, jis se keemat mein izafa ho gaya, jo din bhar ke dauran dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke muqablay mein hi nahi, balki mazeed tajarbaton ke nichore khalisay mein kamzor ho gaya. Laher nizam ne apni tarteeb ko uparward tashkeel dene shuru kiya, MACD indicator ooper khareed zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Jald az jald aaj ek tezi se girawat ke baad, unhone is rollback ko barah-e-karam pahonchaya, jab tak keh 1.2732 ke qareebi support level tak. Aur dheere-dheere keemat ne is rollback ko poori tarah se khaya aur aaj tak.

Agar pehli lahrein Fibonacci grid par target lagaye jayein, toh yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ne izafa ke doran minimum target ko poori tarah se work out kiya - yaani 161.8 ke darje tak pohanch gayi. Mumkin hai ke yeh izafa 200 ke darje tak is grid par tashkeel paye, lekin yeh bilkul mumkin nahi hai keh hum is silsile se guzar sakte hain. CCI indicator daily period par upper zone se murnay ki isharaat deta hai, jo ke correction ka tashkeel kehte hain. 1.2700 ke darje tak girna aam lag raha hai, phir hum buying ke bare mein soch sakte hain ya nahi. Aaj ke 15-30 Moscow time par mukhtalif ahmiyat ke bais waqt ke liye iskay baray mein saari chand khabrein jaari ho rahi hain: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US, The unemployment rate in the US. 18-00 - The US Federal Reserve System's report on monetary policy.

GBP/USD Analysis:

Friday ko GBP/USD pair ka price impulsively upside push hua, jo ek full bullish candle banane mein result hua jo easily previous day's high ke upar close hui. Overall, mujhe anticipate hota hai ke is instrument ka price agle week bhi upside push hota rahega, potential retest ke saath nearest resistance levels ka. Is case mein, main 1.28604 par located resistance level ya 1.28938 par resistance level par focus karne ka plan bana raha hoon. In resistance levels ke near, do scenarios ho sakte hain.
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kar ke apni northern movement continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main yeh dekhne ka intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level par, main ek trading setup banne ki umeed karunga taake trade ke further direction ka pata chal sake. Ek aur possibility yeh hai ke ek aur distant northern target jo meri analysis mein 1.31424 par located hai, tak pohanchna, lekin yeh situation aur price ke reaction par depend karega designated further northern targets ke liye.
Alternative scenario ke liye jab price 1.28604 ya 1.28938 par resistance level ko test karta hai, yeh plan involve karta hai ek reversal candle banne aur southern movement resume hone ka. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.27399 tak wapas aaye. Is support level ke near, main bullish signals dekhte rahunga, expecting ek upward price movement ke resumption ko. Aur bhi southern targets ke possibilities hain, lekin main unhe is waqt consider nahi kar raha hoon kyunki mujhe unki quick realization ke prospects nahi nazar aate.
Mukhtasir mein, agle week main locally anticipate kar raha hoon ke price nearest resistance levels ko retest karne ke liye move karega, aur phir main market situation ke mutabiq action loonga.

GBPUSD currency pair ki H4 chart par ghor karenge. Budhwar ki trading mein, is currency pair ki keemat ne taqatwar upward movement dikhaya aur technical tasawwur bhi tashkeel mein tha. Din bhar mein jaari khabrein sirf pound ki izafay ko mazeed barhane mein madadgar sabit hui, jabke US ke sabhi indicators apni taqreban tamam tajaweez se kamzor sabit huay, jis se keemat mein izafa ho gaya, jo din bhar ke dauran dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke muqablay mein hi nahi, balki mazeed tajarbaton ke nichore khalisay mein kamzor ho gaya. Laher nizam ne apni tarteeb ko uparward tashkeel dene shuru kiya, MACD indicator ooper khareed zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Jald az jald aaj ek tezi se girawat ke baad, unhone is rollback ko barah-e-karam pahonchaya, jab tak keh 1.2732 ke qareebi support level tak. Aur dheere-dheere keemat ne is rollback ko poori tarah se khaya aur aaj tak.
Agar pehli lahrein Fibonacci grid par target lagaye jayein, toh yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ne izafa ke doran minimum target ko poori tarah se work out kiya - yaani 161.8 ke darje tak pohanch gayi. Mumkin hai ke yeh izafa 200 ke darje tak is grid par tashkeel paye, lekin yeh bilkul mumkin nahi hai keh hum is silsile se guzar sakte hain. CCI indicator daily period par upper zone se murnay ki isharaat deta hai, jo ke correction ka tashkeel kehte hain. 1.2700 ke darje tak girna aam lag raha hai, phir hum buying ke bare mein soch sakte hain ya nahi. Aaj ke 15-30 Moscow time par mukhtalif ahmiyat ke bais waqt ke liye iskay baray mein saari chand khabrein jaari ho rahi hain: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US, The unemployment rate in the US. 18-00 - The US Federal Reserve System's report on monetary policy.
Kal, GBP/USD ne apnay upward movement ko aram se jari rakha. Volatility kam thi kyun keh United States mein official holiday thi. UK ne June ke liye apnay Construction PMI ke dusre estimate ko jaari kiya, jo ke secondary ahmiyat rakhta hai. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko khareedne ke liye wajah payi. Ek note ke taur par, yeh tezi uss support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui, jahan bears ne bulls se mukhalif nahi ho saki. Mangalwar ko, tezi ke liye koi bunyadi ya maqrooh nafsiyati wajah nahi thi. Balki, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apnay taqreer mein hawkish tone barqarar rakha, jo dollar ko madadgar tha. JOLTs report bhi umeedon se zyada sabit hua, jo keh US currency ko madadgar tha. Lekin dollar jab hota hai tab nahi upar, jab nahi hota hai tab gir jata hai. 9 mahinon se hum forex market mein yehi pattern dekh rahe hain.

[PHP]British pound ab US dollar ke khilaaf unchaai par hai aur mazeed taraqqi karne ke liye usay Thursday ko anay wali US mehengai ki report kamzor honi chahiye. Forex currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... British pound aur US dollar ka exchange rate (GBP/USD) pichlay haftay 1.35% barh gaya Federal Reserve ke September me interest rate cut ki umeedon ke nateeja me. US economic data, jisme Friday ka jobs report bhi shamil hai, kamzor ma'eeshat ko zahir karte hain jo ke shayad jaldi se lower interest rates se madad chahe. Sterling dollar ka price resistance level 1.2840 ki taraf barh gaya hai jab yeh analysis likha ja raha tha. Apni taraf se, Britain ke general elections ka wazeh nateeja bhi tha, jo ke Britain me siasi yatmaat ki muddat ko zahir karta hai. Currency pair ki performance aur asraat ke factors par comment karte hue, “GBP/USD pichlay haftay 1.29% barh gaya, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke pound aik bari rebound ke qareeb ho sakta hai jab ke political risk premium khatam ho gaya hai,” kaha Kathleen Brooks, analyst at XTB ne. Britain me. Agla key level $1.30 psychological resistance hai. “Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke British pound ka price barh raha hai, Bank of England ke aglay maheenay me rate cut ke expectations ke sath, aur is waqt OIS market ke mutabiq 66% chance hai rate cut ka.”Apni taraf se, Derek Halfpenny, MUFG Bank Ltd me foreign exchange research ke head, kehte hain: “Hum ne sterling ke forecasts ko improve kiya hai kisi had tak siasi istakhamat aur kisi had tak economic growth me mazid recovery ke asraat ke wajah se jo hum pehle nahi dekh rahe the.”

Currency pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq: GBP/USD apni main moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, aur relative strength index positive aur upwards point kar raha hai. RSI abhi tak overbought conditions tak nahi pooncha hai. Magar daily chart me aik warning sign hai, jo ke 1.28 ke upar resistance area hai: 2024 ke chart ko dekhte hue zahir hota hai ke exchange rate ne 1.28 ke upar kisi bhi arsay tak kuch bhi nahi rakha.Niche diye gaye daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, 1.2860 ka major resistance unlikely hai ke threat ho. Note karein ke aik aur resistance level 1.2840 par hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar 1.2770 breach hota hai to iska matlab hoga ke pound mazeed advance nahi karega. Is resistance ke hone ke wajah se GBP/USD 1.28 level ke dono sides pe narrow range me trade kar sakta hai, Thursday ke important US mehengai reading se pehle.Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... headline US consumer price index umeed hai ke annually 3.1% tak decline hoga, jo ke May me 3.3% tha, jo ke January me dekha gaya tha. Aisa nateeja zahir karega ke mehengai ka slowdown process dobara se shuru ho gaya hai, pehle half me price acceleration se disrupt hone ke baad. Yeh Federal Reserve ke September me US interest rates cut ke odds ko barha dega, jo ke dollar ko impact kar sakta hai.
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GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.2721 ki satah tak giregi aur fir 1.2787 ki satah par wapas aa jayegi, jahan Bartanwi currency is waqt trade kar rahi hai. Is surat me, bulls aage badhenge. Is dauran, qimat 1.2805 ki muzahmati satah se niche fix go gayi hai aur ab 1.2721 ki satah tak girne ke liye taiyar hai. Aaiye dekhte hain keh farokht karne wale is mauqe ka faida uthate hain ya nahin. Sath hi, pound sterling aaj 1.2721 ki satah se niche toone ka imkan nahin hai, lehaza mai wahan se ucchal ki ummid karta hun.

جولائی 10 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ 20 پِپس کھو گیا۔ انٹرا ڈے بیلنس لائن کی حمایت پر قیمت گرنا بند ہوگئی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن بیئرش علاقے کی حد کے قریب پہنچ گئی۔ قیمت کے 1.2755 کے سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے گرنے کے ساتھ زیرو لائن کے ذریعے آسیلیٹر کی بیک وقت منتقلی ممکن ہے۔



اس صورت حال میں قیمت تیزی سے گر سکتی ہے۔ نئے قلیل مدتی رجحان کا پہلا ہدف 1.2633 ہے - 3 مئی کی چوٹی، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ موافق۔ ٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر 1.2743 کے ہدف کی سطح کی طرف تیزی سے آگے بڑھنے کی کوشش میں، پہلے ہی منفی علاقے میں ہے۔



تاہم، چونکہ اس سطح کو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے تقویت ملتی ہے، اس لیے ہم کسی اہم بیرونی عنصر کے ظہور کے ساتھ حملے کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔ کل، یوکے جی ڈی پی، تعمیرات، صنعتی پیداوار، اور یوکے تجارتی توازن پر ڈیٹا کا ایک بلاک جاری کرے گا۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

lagbhag sabhi ahem reports disappointing sabit hui, is liye dollar ka girna bilkul logical tha. Magar, market ne pichle 6-9 mahino se dollar ko bechna jari rakha, chahe koi waja na bhi ho. Market ke liye factors jaise Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell ka stance, Fed ki lambi hawkish monetary policy, ya Bank of England ke agle meeting mein apni monetary policy ko asaan karne ka khatra, ab pehle jitne significant nahi rahe. Isliye, dollar girta hai agar koi waja ho, aur bina wajah bhi gir sakta hai. Jumme ke din release hone wali ahem US economic reports ne market ko disappoint kiya. NonFarm Payrolls pehle se zyada 16,000 se barh gaya, magar saath hi pichle mahine ka figure 272,000 se revise karke 218,0000 kiya gaya. Is tarah, aakhri do mahine ke liye NonFarm Payrolls ka total number umeed se bura tha. Berozgari ki dar bhi barh kar 4.1% ho gayi, jo market ne anticipate nahi kiya tha.

5-minute timeframe par, beginners un long positions mein bane reh sakte the jo unhone Thursday ko khole the, jab pound ne 1.2748 level ko breach kiya. US data release hone se pehle, price 1.2791-1.2798 area tak pahunch gayi thi, jahan traders profit le sakte the. Unko 30 pips ka fayda ho sakta tha. Iske ilawa, 1.2791-1.2798 area ko paar karne ke signal ko execute karna bhi munasib tha, kyunki US reports ki nature ne dollar par pressure dala. Magar, is trade ko profit ke liye ek ya do din tak khula rakhna zaroori tha.

Trading tips Monday ke liye:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD ne downtrend banane ke promising signs dikhaye hain, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Pair phir se barh raha hai, aur overall, erratic aur illogical movements ko dikhata rahta hai. Filhal, pound sterling apne latest local high par wapas aa gaya hai aur fundamental background ko ignore kar raha hai.

Monday ko, pound sterling ek break le sakta hai ek kaafi positive week ke baad. Hum ek naye round ki bearish correction ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo tab pehchani ja sakti hai jab price 1.2798 level se neeche settle ho jaye.





important events schedule nahi hain. Jumme ko do key reports ke release hone ke bawajood, GBP/USD volatility sirf 60 pips ke kareeb thi. Isliye, Monday ko hum bohot kamzor movements ki umeed kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD ki movement kal ke din mein girawat ka shikar hui. Sabse zyada ki range 1.2824 thi aur sabse kam 1.2777 thi. Abhi price daily pivot point (1.2795) se niche hai. 1-hour time frame ka istemal karte hue, dekhne ko milta hai ke stochastic indicator badhne ka rujhan dikhata hai. Price abhi bhi MA 50 se niche aur MA 200 se upar hai. Price position ko dekhte hue jo ke daily pivot point (1.2795) se niche hai aur stochastic indicator abhi bhi upar ja raha hai, toh intizar karein ke jab ye pivot point ke qareeb aaye tab sell option accha hoga. Stop loss 1.2817 ya resistance 1 (1.2814) ke upar rakhein aur take profit 1.2737 ya support 2 (1.2748) ke niche rakhein.


Technical reference ke mutabiq: sell jab tak price 1.28335 se niche ho
Resistance 1: 1.28335
Resistance 2: 1.28220
Support 1: 1.27750
Support 2: 1.27650

GBPUSD mein US trading session raat ko (9/7/24) ke doran girne ki sambhavana hai, yeh price action se bearish signal milne ki wajah se hai jo one-hour chart par dikhaya gaya hai. Price ne bullish channel ko breakout kar diya hai, jo ke trend ke movement mein tabdeeli ka signal hai (up se down). Iske ilawa, MACD bhi bearish signal dikhata hai kyunki histogram negative area mein hai, jo GBPUSD ke liye bearish signal hai.

One-hour chart ki analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart par bhi GBPUSD mein girawat ki sambhavana hai kyunki Moving Average indicator bhi bearish opportunity dikhata hai kyunki ye niche ja raha hai. Yeh GBPUSD ko support level 1.27650 ki taraf le jaane ki sambhavana rakhta hai.

GBP/USD jor ko 1.2693-1.2737 ke ahem resistance level ko torney mein mushkilat ka samna hai. Ye resistance level kafi mazboot sabit hua hai, kyun ke bulls ne ise bohat dafa test kiya hai magar kamiyab nahi huay. Price action ne aik tang consolidation channel bana diya hai, jo indecision aur strong directional movement ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Bar bar koshishon ke bawajood, bulls recently is resistance ko tor nahi paye aur 1.2628 tak gir gaye. Market sentiment ko US dollar ki kamzori ne mutasir kiya hai. Greenback ki qeemat mein kami GBP/USD jor ki recent movements ka aik bara factor hai. Ek ahem wajah weak consumer price index (CPI) figures hain, jo US economic outlook aur future monetary policy decisions par asrat daal rahe hain.

Weak CPI data yeh zahir karta hai ke inflation pehle se expect kiye gaye maqam par nahi hai, jo Federal Reserve se zyada dovish stance ki umeed dilata hai. Isse US dollar par downward pressure pada hai, kyun ke investors apni interest rate hikes ki expectations adjust kar rahe hain. Natija-toran, GBP/USD jor bhi asar andaz ho raha hai aur broader market dynamics ko reflect kar raha hai.

Short term mein, GBP/USD jor ka outlook abhi bhi ghair yakeeni hai. Recent resistance level ko torney mein nakami aur 1.2628 tak girne se yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ka momentum khatam ho raha hai. Lekin, US dollar ki ongoing weakness kuch support de sakti hai, jo recent downward trend ko reverse kar sakti hai.

Agar greenback depreciate hota raha, to GBP/USD jor ko naye buyers mil sakte hain. Traders aur investors isse aik moka samajh sakte hain ke pair ko oper le jayein aur local high 1.2700 aur uske baad tak target karein. 1.2700 ka psychological level aik important area hoga dekhne ke liye, kyun ke is level ke upper break further upside potential ko signal kar sakta hai. Magar, अक्षा बारतना zaroori hai, kyun ke market mukhtalif factors se mutasir ho sakta hai, jin mein economic data releases, geopolitical developments aur central bank policies shaamil hain. Koi bhi unexpected news ya events jaldi se market dynamics ko badal sakte hain aur GBP/USD jor ke current trajectory ko alter kar sakte hain. Natije mein, GBP/USD jor abhi aik consolidation phase mein hai aur ahem resistance level ko torney mein koshish kar raha hai. Weak CPI figures ki wajah se kamzor hota US dollar recent price movements mein ahem kirdar ada kar raha hai. Jab ke short-term outlook abhi bhi ghair yakeeni hai, greenback ki continued depreciation pair ki upward movement ko support kar sakti hai aur local high 1.2700+ ko target kar sakti hai. Traders ko both technical aur fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakh kar trading decisions leni chahiye.

GBP/USD ne is resistance ko touch karne ke baad bhi apni upward movement jari rakhi. Jab GBP/USD resistance level ko cross kar gaya, is se ye indication milti hai ke market mein strong bullish sentiment hai. Ye bhi signify karta hai ke buyers ka pressure sellers ke pressure se zyada tha, jo ke price ko upar le jane mein madadgar sabit hua. Technical analysis ke perspective se, is tarah ke breakout ko significant mana jata hai, kyunki ye potential trend continuation ka signal hota hai. Is scenario mein kuch key factors involve ho sakte hain. Pehle to economic indicators aur fundamental news events ka influence ho sakta hai. Example ke tor par, agar UK ki economy se related positive data release hota hai, to GBP ki demand barh sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ki value ko uper le jata hai. Similarly, agar US dollar weak hota hai kisi negative economic news ya policy changes ke karan, to bhi GBP/USD barh sakta hai. Maine MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator chart par lagaya hai, jo abhi bhi sell signal dikhata hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein kuch hesitation hai GBP/USD price movements ke hawale se. MACD sell signal suggest karta hai ke traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur reversal ke possibility ko consider karna chahiye despite current bullish movement. 1.2686 level market mein ek significant point of interest ban gaya hai, aur is level ke aas paas price action likely next direction ko dictate karega GBP/USD pair ke liye. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur SMA crossover aur MACD signals mein koi changes dekhni chahiye further confirmation ke liye. Market ka hesitation is important level par suggest karta hai ke bullish aur bearish scenarios dono possible hain near term mein, jo is area ko critical banata hai kisi bhi potential trading opportunities ke liye.
Agar aap isi pair ka older chart dekhein, to aap decline ki priority ki confirmation dekh sakte hain. Neeche, cost opposition zone ko try kar raha hai jo ke 1.2687 level ke qareeb hai. Jab price upar thi, to aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh is area ko hit kar raha tha; ab, yeh ek mirror level hai. Is dafa, target pehle indicate ki gayi Fibonacci grid se chhoti hogi. Yahan aap 1.2566 closing costs par ek normal technical level construct kar sakte hain, jo ke matrix par 1618 level se upar hai. Agar koi sales hoti hain aur price wahan jati hai, to lagbhag isse pehle exit karna worth hai. Tapering triangle ke darmiyan, descent ka ek

Aaj ka GBP/USD Technical Snapshot
British Pound (GBP) ka US Dollar (USD) ke against outlook southern direction mein developments par focus hai, yani pound ki kamzori. Yeh long-term trend central bank policies ke anticipated difference ki wajah se hai jo UK aur US mein hai. Bank of England (BOE) apna refinancing rate kam karne ka plan bana raha hai, jo asal mein borrowing cost ko businesses aur individuals ke liye kam karta hai. Yeh move UK economy ko stimulate karne ke liye hai. Magar, Federal Reserve System (Fed) US mein apna rate barqarar rakh raha hai, taake inflation se lar sake
Kal ki Jerome Powell, Chair of the Fed, ki speech kaafi significant thi. Unho ne premature rate cuts ke khilaf apni stance dohrayi, aur zarurat par zor diya ke inflation ke slow hone ke clear evidence se pehle aisa na kiya jaye. Yeh hawkish stance USD ko GBP ke muqablay mazboot banata hai, jo apni rate policy ke sath accommodative hai. Jab crucial US inflation data Thursday ko release hoga, do potential scenarios GBP/USD currency pair ke liye saamne aate hain. Is scenario mein, GBP/USD price apne current support level 1.2761 ke neeche gir sakti hai. Yeh tab hoga agar US inflation data expectations se lower aaye, magar Fed ke target se upar rahe.
Aisa result Fed ko rate hike consider karne ka sign samjha ja sakta hai, jo interest rate gap ko US aur UK ke darmiyan aur barhata hai. Agar yeh breakout smoothly hota hai, toh price phir 1.2700 ke agle support level ki taraf apni southward journey continue kar sakti hai. Yeh scenario four-hour chart ke technical indicators aur upar mentioned fundamental factors se align karta hai. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke GBP/USD price 1.2761 support level ke upar rahe. Yeh tab hoga agar US inflation data significant slowdown dikhaye, jo market ko yeh samajhne par majboor kare ke Fed rate cut jald aasakta hai.
Is case mein, hum price mein ek aur upward wave dekh sakte hain, jo current local high 1.2858 ko break karne ka target bana sakti hai. Magar, yeh bullish momentum zaroori nahi ke barqarar rahe. Aakhir mein, agar Fed apni stance par firm rahe aur inflation utni cool down na ho jitni anticipate ki gayi hai, toh "bears" (jo price decline expect karte hain) control le sakte hain aur price ko wapas 1.2700 support level ki taraf push kar sakte hain, jo current trading range ka lower boundary four-hour chart par hai. Overall, GBP/USD currency pair ek crossroads par hai, US inflation data ke release aur Fed ke subsequent reaction ka intezaar hai. Pound ki direction in key factors par depend karti hai, jisme ya toh continued weakening ya ek reprieve pehle ke downward trend resume se pehle aasakti hai

ki nazr-e-aamad ke mutabiq, pound sterling ke qeemat mid-week trading mein US dollar ke khilaf aik teesra percent kam hui, jis ki wajah "tight" signals thin jo US Federal Reserve ke afraad ne jaari kiye thay. Is natijay mein, pound sterling ke qeemat ke nuqsanat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle. US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai. Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.

Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.

Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.

Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi. Aaj, GBP/USD pair ko US GDP growth reading, haftay ke jobless claims ki tadad aur durable goods

The market of GBP/USD bilkul meri prediction k mutabiq chala aur kal lagbhag 1.2790 zone tak pohanch gaya. Aaj UK GDP data ka release market ko asar dal sakta hai, jo ke sellers ya buyers ki madad kar sakta hai support ya resistance zones ko cross karne mein. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke hum US 3-year Bond Auction aur Unemployment rate ko monitor karain, kyun ke yeh events market dynamics par significant asar dal sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, US Core CPI rate buyers ko zaroori momentum de sakta hai ke woh jaldi ya der se 1.2865 zone ko cross karain. Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, main recommend karta hoon ke GBP/USD par ek buy order place karain short-term target of 1.2847 ke sath. Is volatile market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke stop loss tool ka use karein aur market scenario ko thoroughly samjhein. UK GDP data ka analysis UK ki economic health ke baray mein insights de sakta hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko affect karta hai. Isi tarah, US 3-year Bond Auction aur Unemployment rate ke outcomes investor sentiment aur US ki economic stability ke baray mein clues provide karein ge. US Core CPI rate bhi ek critical factor hai, kyun ke yeh inflation trends ko reflect karta hai jo ke currency valuation ko directly influence karta hai. In fundamental factors ko risk management ke disciplined approach ke sath combine karke, traders zyada informed decisions le sakte hain. Technical analysis ka use karte hue, jese ke support aur resistance levels ka study karna aur price action ko monitor karna, market movements ko predict karne ki ability ko aur enhance karta hai. Waise toh GBP/USD market ne previous predictions ko align kiya hai, lekin aaj ke economic events significant changes drive kar sakte hain. Strategic buy orders ko appropriate stop-loss levels ke sath set karke aur UK aur US ke key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rehkar, traders potential gains ke liye position le sakte hain. In variables par nazar rakhna market scenario ko zyada effectively samajhne aur short-term target of 1.2847 ko achieve karne mein madad karega, aur buyers ke eventually 1.2865 zone ko cross karne ka possibility bhi hogi.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda apni pur aitemad tezi ka daud jari rakhe hue hai. Buniyadi nuqtah nazar se kuch bhi tabdil nahin hua hai, lehaza Bartanwi pound me badhat jari rahne ka imkan hai. Qimat 1.2860 ki satah par pahunch gayi hai, lekin abhi tak is nishan se ooper mustahkam nahin hui hai. Bahar hal, mazid tezi ki gunjaish hai. 1.2895 ke ilaqe ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Iske alawa, Bartaniyah se GDP samet aham aidad o shumar jald hi jari kiye jayenge. Halankeh, aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me Americi inflation ke aidad o shumar ka ghalbah hai, jo din ko intehai ghair mustahkam bana sakta hai. Lehaza, agar qimat 1.2790 ke ilaqe me wapas aati hai to, mai long positions kholunga.