gbp/usd

GBPUSD support region par ajeeb reakshan dikhata hai kyunke GBP USD ke muqablay me mazbooti dikhata hai, jo ke apni taqat ko barhata ja raha hai. GBPUSD ne daily support region ko tor nahi paya, sirf thodi dair ke liye wahan ghusa aur phir wapas aa gaya. European session ke douran ek ahem bullish movement GBPUSD me unusual reakshan paida kar sakta hai, jo ke GBPUSD ko upar ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Magar, agar GBPUSD me European session ke douran zyada movement hoti hai, to is baat ka imkaan hai ke ye apni negative trend ko barqarar rakhe aur neeche ki taraf tor jaye.




Aaj Asian session me USD index ko dekhen to wo apni bullish trend ko jari rakhe hue hai, aur market khulte hi isme ahem izafa hua. Choti moti corrections ke bawajood, USD index ki primary trend mazbooti se bullish hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke ye bullish movement jari rahegi. H4 period me, USD index me negative development ka imkaan hai RBS region me revision ki wajah se. Agar USD index RBS region ko torne me nakam hota hai ya isme ahem movement hoti hai, to ye USD index ko apni bullish trend ko jari rakhne pe majboor kar sakta hai.

Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, temporary H4 chart ko madde nazar rakh kar hum apni trading decisions ko guide karenge. Ek strategy ye hai ke hum short positions lein, stop loss ko current support line ke upar rakhein aur target support 1.2680 par set karein. Dusri taraf, buy positions ko support level par lein, stop loss rakhein aur initial target ko resistance 1.2605 par set karein, jab ke next goal 1.2650 ho. Stop loss ka istimaal reasonable hona chahiye, jo ke ek sensible aur faidamand trading strategy ko enhance karega. Ye meri analysis aur recommendations ka khulasa hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis
Is hafte trading white triangle ke andar shuru hui, jo ke do channels se bana hai. Inme se ek channel red hai jo upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur pichle hafte ke price movement ko represent karta hai. Dusra channel blue hai aur sideways hai, jo ke aakhri do hafton ka price movement dikhata hai. Weekly pivot level 1.2620 par hai, weekly resistance level 1.2790 par hai, aur weekly support level 1.2560 par hai. Ye levels is hafte ke liye bohot aham hain, khaaskar kyunke ye channel lines ke sath align hain, jo ke price par mazboot asar dal sakte hain.

Green lines upward move ki possibility ko represent karti hain. Ek green line price triangle ke andar extend karti hai jo broken hai. Agar price triangle ke andar wapas aata hai aur lower line se support leta hai, to ye upper triangle line aur resistance level 1.2790 tak ja sakta hai. Dusri green line resistance level 1.2785 ke upar extend karti hai aur 1.2830 ke resistance level tak jati hai. Is par tab bharosa kiya ja sakta hai jab price 1.2840 ke resistance ko tor de aur ek ghanta uske upar stabilize ho jaye.




Red line decline ki possibility ko represent karti hai, jo ke lower triangle line ke neeche extend karti hai aur 1.2565 ke support level tak jati hai. Jab tak price triangle line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, is par bharosa kiya ja sakta hai. Buying tab ho sakti hai jab price triangle ke andar trade kare aur ek ghanta stable rahe. Stop-loss level ko din ke lowest trading price ke neeche adjust kiya ja sakta hai, aur target level ko 1.2750 ke resistance level ke neeche adjust kiya ja sakta hai. Ek aur buying opportunity tab aayi jab 1.2735 ka resistance break hua aur price ek ghanta uske upar stable raha. Stop-loss level ko price triangle ke andar move kiya ja sakta hai, aur target level ko 1.2766 ke resistance level ke neeche adjust kiya ja sakta hai.

In sab indicators ko dekhte hue, trading decisions ko market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai. Achi trading strategy banane ke liye, in levels aur trends ka dhyan rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Price movements ko samajhne aur inke mutabiq trading positions le kar, ek mazboot aur faidamand trading strategy banai ja sakti hai. Ye analysis GBP/USD ke technical aspects ko highlight karta hai aur trading decisions ko guide karne me madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Prices aur Agle Hafte Ka Tajziya
H4 chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pichle hafte se GBP/USD parity 1.2686 aur 1.2613 ke darmiyan gir gayi hai. Ye levels support aur resistance ka kaam kar rahe hain. Dono 1.2641 par close hue hain aur ab hum intezar kar rahe hain ke Monday ko market kaise khulti hai. Chart par 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ka istemal karke, yeh wazeh hota hai ke price selling trend mein hai. Moving averages trend ka rukh aur mumkinah tabdiliyon ka pata lagane mein madadgar hote hain. Dono moving averages downtrend mein hain, jo ke selling pressure ko confirm karte hain. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi bearish signal de raha hai. MACD signal line abhi tak zero ke upar cross nahi hui, jo ke bearish trend ko zahir karti hai. MACD histogram bars negative zone mein hain, jo ke selling momentum ko aur bhi confirm karte hain.

Agle hafte dekhna aham hoga ke price 1.2613 support level ko tor kar neeche jati hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level tor gaya, to GBP/USD parity me mazeed girawat ho sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar price 1.2686 resistance level ke upar tor kar jati hai, to yeh ek bullish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Is liye, traders ko Monday tak intezar karna chahiye aur price movements ko ghor se dekhna chahiye. Indicators aur moving averages short-term trend ke jari rehne ka ishara dete hain, magar aham factors aur data ko bhi nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai jo ke price ko affect kar sakte hain.




Technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh suggest karte hain ke sellers abhi upper hand mein hain, jo ke pound ke liye future losses ka ishara de sakte hain. Agar girawat hoti hai, to pehli defense line 1.2600 psychological level hogi. Agar yeh breach hota hai, to agla major support zone 200-day moving average par 1.2555 hoga, uske baad critical 1.2500 level hoga. GBP/USD ko upar chadne ke liye, buyers ko 1.2700 level ko wapas capture karna hoga aur pehle support trend line ko jo ab resistance ban chuki hai, 1.2730/40 ke aas paas torna hoga. Agar girawat jari rehti hai, to immediate support 1.2655 ke kareeb mil sakti hai, uske baad ek mazboot support zone 1.2598 ke aas paas hoga, jo January aur March mein mazboot rahi thi. Agar yeh key level breach hota hai, to price February low 1.2517 tak gir sakti hai.

Dosri taraf, agar GBP recent losses ko erase kar sakta hai, to initial resistance 1.2816-1.2826 range mein mil sakti hai, jo recent peak aur December 2023 high se mark hoti hai. Agar yeh area hold nahi hota, to pair wapas three-month highs 1.2859 ki taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Ek decisive breakout is level ke upar, 2024 high 1.2892 ko test karne ka rasta bana sakta hai.

Is tajziye se traders ko apni strategies banane mein madad milegi aur wo price movements aur market conditions ko better tarike se samajh kar trading decisions le sakte hain.

Ghair mulki currencies ki GBP/USD pair ki technical analysis
British pound ne naye hafte ki trading ka aaghaz mazboot taraqqi ke sath kiya US dollar ke muqablay mein, halanke musroof US data calendar aur Britain ke elections volatility mein izafa kar sakte hain. Forex market trading ke mutabiq, British pound ka daam US dollar ke muqablay mein GBP/USD resistance level 1.2709 tak barh gaya, lekin phir jaldi hi iske wassi girawat ke raaste par wapas aa gaya, jo ke waqt e tehrir analysis ke doran 1.2645 ke qareeb mustahkam hai.

Pound ko European assets ki uthan se sahara mila jabke sarmayakaron ne relief mehsoos kiya ke Marine Le Pen ki National Rally party ke chances National Assembly mein mukammal aksariyat hasil karne ke kam hain, weekend ke elections ke baad. Yeh uske party ke kam performance (~33% vote) ki wajah se tha, jo ke opinion polls ke mutabiq (~36%) ke muqablay mein kam tha. Kul mila kar, hung legislature ka natija dusray round ke voting mein mumkin hai, khas tor par jabke far-left aur center parties anti-Le Pen voting strategy mein cooperation karne ke liye tayar hain. Natije ke tor par, European assets barh rahe hain, jis mein British pound bhi shaamil hai.

Technical tor par, British pound ka daam US dollar ke muqablay mein GBP/USD ne 9-day moving average ke upar harkat ki, jo ke pehla asal positive technical taraqqi hai jo humne mid-June se dekhi hai. Yeh qareebi muddat mein kuch faida ke imkaniyat ko zahir kar sakta hai, jisme 1.27 aik mumkin target hai. Relative Strength Index 50 (neutral) par hai, lekin phir se ooper aane laga (a positive development in the coming hours). General tor par, hum dekhte hain ke sterling/dollar pair ne bhi 50-day moving average ke upar break kiya, jo ke pichle hafte ek resistance ka source tha.

Aik rozana ka close is level (1.2654) ke upar ye zahir kar sakta hai ke aik mazid constructive technical outlook phir se banana shuru ho raha hai. Pound ki taraqqi ise duniya ke bara investment banks ke predicted middle point ki taraf le jaayegi.

Economic calendar ko dekhte hue, is hafte kai releases aur speeches hain jo pound ki volatility ko expose kar sakte hain. US ISM manufacturing survey Monday ko release hoga, jo mazeed economic slowdown ke indications de sakta hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Tuesday ko European Central Bank conference Sintra, Portugal mein baat karega. Markets uske updated views pe interested hongi Fed rate cut 2024 ke mumkinat par sun ne ke liye.

Is hafte ka highlight US non-farm payrolls report Friday ko hoga. Headline figure 180,000 tak pohanchne ki umeed hai, jo ke 272,000 se kam hai. Average hourly earnings ke 0.3% barh ne ki umeed hai monthly basis par June mein.




Britain ka election Thursday ko is stage par low-risk event hai kyun ke Labour win ke chances bohat high hain aur humne polls mein koi shift nahi dekha jo ke iske outcome ko change kar sake. Pehla bara event exit poll hoga jo ke Thursday raat 10 baje schedule hai. Yeh recent history mein bohat accurate indicator raha hai. Surprise yeh hoga agar Conservatives strong performance dikhayenge jo ke “hung parliament” ka sabab ban sakta hai jahan koi party apni majority control nahi kar sakti. Yeh pound mein kamzori ka sabab banega jabke markets uncertainty ke period ka sochti hain. Hum fluctuations ko short-lived expect karte hain kyun ke Labour, Conservatives ya Lib Dems ke spending aur tax plans mein kuch radical nahi hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis
December mein GBP/USD ka rate aik safed triangle ke andar trade karna shuru hua, jo pichle mahine ke sirf price movement ko represent karta hai aur ek red ascending channel se bana hai. Blue rising channel ke ilawa, aik aur channel bhi hai jo pichle do mahine ke mukhtalif movements ko dikhata hai. Agar price ascending triangle ke upper aur lower lines ke darmiyan move kare, to ascending triangle banega. Monthly pivot level 1.2645 ko support ke tor pe dekha ja sakta hai, jisse price monthly resistance level 1.2720 tak pohanch sakti hai. Triangle ke upar jo green line hai, woh potential upward movement ko indicate karti hai jo upper red channel line tak ja sakti hai.




Agar triangle ka break upwards ho aur close uske upar ho, to yeh upward trend ko indicate kar sakta hai. Last week, oil prices ne rebound kiya aur daily chart par broken channels ko retest kiya. Yeh mahina bearish channels ke andar trading se shuru hua, jo pichle do mahine ke movements ko represent karte hain, aur monthly pivot level 1.2685 ke neeche opening hui, jisse decline nazar aaya. Red line jo price triangle ke neeche extend karti hai aur lower blue channel line tak jaati hai, decline ko identify karna asaan bana deti hai. Agar price triangle ke neeche break ho jaye aur usi din neeche close ho, to aap is scenario par bharosa kar sakte hain. Apna stop loss aaj ke lowest trading price ke neeche set karein aur target level triangle ki upper line ke neeche rakhein.

Moving averages, specifically around the 1.2570 mark, indicate a relatively strong uptrend. Sustaining levels above critical moving averages typically signals bullish sentiment among traders and investors. However, the forex market is highly dynamic, and trends can shift swiftly. If the GBP/USD pair undergoes a downward correction, it's crucial to identify potential support levels where the price might stabilize or reverse course. Currently, analysts closely monitor the 1.2570 level, which has been a significant point of support and resistance in recent trading sessions.
If the downward trend intensifies, the next potential support level to watch would be around 1.2460. Support levels are crucial in technical analysis as they represent price points historically attracting buying interest, thereby preventing further declines. The 1.2460 level could serve as a critical threshold for traders seeking to capitalize on rebounds or minimize losses. Market participants should also consider broader economic factors influencing the GBP/USD pair, including GDP growth rates, employment figures, and central bank monetary policy decisions from both the UK and US. Geopolitical developments and market sentiment also play pivotal roles.




The Pound (GBP) continued its decline against the US Dollar (USD) for the fourth consecutive week, pulling the GBP/USD pair to a six-week low above 1.2600. All eyes are now on the eagerly awaited UK general elections on July 4 and the US Nonfarm Payrolls data on July 5, which could provide new directional impetus for GBP/USD. The market's reaction to Powell's comments may be temporary, especially ahead of Wednesday's ADP Employment Change report, ISM Services PMI, and the Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes.

After breaking below the rising trendline support two weeks ago, Pound Sterling maintained its bearish momentum. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is pointing south below 50, currently near 42, reinforcing potential further downside moves. Moreover, the pair has breached critical support at 1.2645, the convergence of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 100-day SMA, marking another negative signal. However, a recent bullish crossover, where the 50-day SMA crossed above the 100-day SMA on Thursday, warrants caution for traders.

To regain momentum in the downtrend, GBP/USD would need a decisive break below the May 15 low of 1.2584.

Di gayi pichli haftay ki behtar-tareen data ke mawaqif se, market agle mahine tak interest rate mein izafa ka ahtemam kar raha hai, jo ke saaray paisay ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Rozana chart par, GBP/USD jodi ne chhotay arsay ke moving average ko torh kar upar ki taraf rukh liya hai, jahan tak keh technical indicators bhi izafa kar rahe hain. Mukhtasar MACD line oonchi ja rahi hai, aur surkh kinetic energy bar ko bhi oonchi ja rahi hai. Aaj, GBP/USD jodi rozana trading ke liye dilchasp setup pesh kar rahi hai. Yeh jora kai dino se ek mazboot keemat ke pattern mein harkat kar raha hai. Apni wusat ke tajarbat ke sath, mein aap ke faide ke liye tafseelat muntazir rakhta hoon. Ab humare paas waqiaat ke tashkeel ke liye do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehle option mein, quotes resistance level tak pohanch sakte hain, jo rozana chart par 50-period moving average ke zariye numaya hai, jis ka haal ab 1.2680 hai. Yeh manzil bohat umeed afroz hai aur mere liye ek mukhtalif tareeqa hai. Is ke ilawa, AO indicator ko zero line ke upar se guzarne ka matlab ek kharidari signal hai.




Yeh trend buland hai, jab ke yeh mahina ke sab se unchi trading ke keemat ko torhne ki taraf ja raha hai. Lekin, keemat mein kamiyabi nahi mili hai, is liye abhi bhi ek neechay ki rukh ya trend mein kamiyabi ka imkan hai. Mahina ke pivot level ke upar, sabz line ko 1.2760 ke resistance level par lamba kiya gaya hai, jo ke upar ki taraf ki istehkaam ki mumkinat ko numaya karta hai. Yeh ab ek aetiqaad mand sarchashma hai. Pichle kuch mahino mein, surkh line ne mahina ke pivot level ke neeche ooncha kiya aur 1.2540 ke support level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ek giravat ki mumkinat ko numaya karta hai. Har bar jab keemat mahina ke pivot level ko torhti hai, is par bharosa kiya ja sakta hai. Agar keemat pichle mahine ke sab se unchi trading keemat ko torh deti hai, to aap kharidari ka order daal sakte hain. Isi tarah, jab keemat pivot level ke neeche girte hue aur upar laut kar aati hai, jo ek upward trend ko numaya karta hai, aap cost ko bhi kharid sakte hain.

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah bakhair doston!
Aaj humare paas GBP/USD ke kuch kharidari mauqe hain. Kyunki US Fed Chair Powell ke taqreer ka market sentiment par asar hona ahem hai. Is liye, mujhe umeed hai ke market bechne walon ke haq mein rahega. Wo baad mein 1.2621 zone ko guzar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, anay wale news data ke asar se market sentiment par bohat gehra asar ho sakta hai aur trading ke natayej par bhi bohat asar andaazi ho sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara diya jata hai ke wo maaloomat hasil rakhen aur apne strategies ko badalte hue tajarbat ke sath adjust karen, jo market ke tawanayi aur naye mauqe ke jawab mein. Market sentiment mein tabdeeliyon ko tashkeel dene aur khud ko strategy se munsalik karne se traders apne trading capability ko behtar bana sakte hain aur maali marketon ke ittefaqat ke faide utha sakte hain. Ye proactive approach na sirf trading ki samajh ko tez karta hai balki maali marketon mein halat-e-jazeera ke jokhim ko bhi kam karta hai.

Is ke ilawa, aaj ka market ek mazboot kharidari mauqe pesh kar raha hai jis mein taqatwar buyer sentiment aur upar ki taraf rawani hai. Market ke moasir tawanayi ke sath humwar hokar aur achi tarah mufassal kharidari strategies ko amal mein laakar, traders apne munafa ki tawaqaat ko barha sakte hain. Disciplined trading practices ko ahmiyat dena aur bunyadi idaroon se faide uthana, traders ko market ke complexity mein bhi apni trading strategy ko bharosemandi se naqabil-e-nazar bana sakta hai. Market ki taza developments par mutawajjah rehna aur badalte halaat ke jawab mein mukhfi aur moasir taur par jawab dena, traders ko unke trading strategies ko behtar bana kar maali marketon ke dynamism ke andar mauqe par faida hasil karne mein madad deta hai. Aaj, mein 1.2600 ki short target ke sath bechnay ki taraf raaye dete hoon. Is ke ilawa, aaj ke market mahaul mein ek mazboot kharidari mauqe pesh kar raha hai jis mein mustawar buyer sentiment aur upar rawani ka muzahir hai. Market ki raftar aur tawanayi ke saath mel mila kar aur proactive trade planning aur waqt se tajarbat, traders ke liye kamiyabi ke mauqe ko barhate hain. Discipline approach ko ahmiyat dena aur bunyadi idaroon se faide uthana, traders ko market ke complexity mein bhi apni trading strategy ko bharosemandi se naqabil-e-nazar bana sakta hai. Market ki taza developments par mutawajjah rehna aur badalte halaat ke jawab mein mukhfi aur moasir taur par jawab dena, traders ko unke trading strategies ko behtar bana kar maali marketon ke dynamism ke andar mauqe par faida hasil karne mein madad deta hai.

Ummeed hai ke aap sab ko aaj trading ka safar kamyab ho!

H4 Trading Chart par GBPUSD:
H4 time frame chart par dekha gaya hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ki price ne kal market ke opening se upar jaane ka safar shuru kiya, phir US se news aayi jo price ko aur tezi se buland kar diya aur price ne pehle se buland hone wale wave ke maximum ko bhi paar kar liya. Lekin price wahan par thahra nahi aur jald hi neeche gira, ek jhoota breakout mila - jise ek decline ka signal samjha ja sakta hai. Jaise hi jhoota breakout hua, pehle wale growth wave ka update nahi maana ja sakta, hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke wave structure girne wala tha aur girne ke mood par raha hai, MACD indicator bhi neeche bechne ki zone mein raha aur apni signal line ke neeche gir raha hai. Girawat ko jaari rakhne ke liye kafi factors maujood hain. Mujhe yakeen hai ke price pehle wale growth wave ka minimum ya pichle haftay ka minimum update karne ki koshish karega. Mere liye, choti periods par intraday trading sirf niche ki taraf ek priority hai abhi. Price ne kal ke girne ke baad yahan atak gaya hai, mujhe yakeen hai ke yahan buyers ke positions accumulate ho rahe hain taaki unhe neeche kheench sakein, unhe khareedne ka waqt diya ja raha hai. Aaj ke news se hum note kar sakte hain: Moscow time 12:00 baje - Eurozone mein Consumer Price Index (CPI). 16:30 baje - US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech. 17:00 baje - US labor market mein open vacancies ki tadad. Objective taur par mujhe koi wajah nazar nahi aati ke price yahan se upar jayega, yeh upar ja sakta hai lekin sirf ek purchase zone ki zaroorat hai, aur purchase zone har significant broken low ke peechhe hoti hai, is waqt yeh pichle haftay ke minimum ke peechhe hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

GBP/USD brace mein analysis ke mutabiq, yeh currency pair 1.2693-1.2737 range mein ek ahem resistance level ko paar karne mein naakaam raha hai. Yeh resistance level mazboot sabit hua hai, kyun ke bullion ne isay kai martaba kosha hai lekin kamyabi nahi mili. Price action ne ek tang connection channel banaya hai, jo vacillation aur mazboot directional movement ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Mukhtalif koshishon ke bawajood, haal hi mein bullion ne is resistance ko paar karne mein nakami ka samna kiya aur price 1.2628 tak gir gayi.





Aam taur par request sentiment ko US dollar ki kamzori ne affect kiya hai. Note ki qeemat mein girawat, GBP/USD brace ke haal ki harkat mein ek ahem factor raha hai. Is kamzori ka aik barham bakhsheeda sabab weak Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers rahe hain, jo US ki mustehkam nazar-e-muashi aur iske asar par aane wali monetary policy decisions ke bare mein shakhsiyat se nawaqif kar dete hain. Kamzor CPI data ishara deta hai ke inflation pehle se zyada mazboot nahi hai jaisa ke pehle tajziyaat kiya gaya tha, jis se Federal Reserve ke liye ek zyada pacifist stance ho sakti hai. Is se peechay, investors apni interest rate hikes ke liye tawaqoat ko adjust karte hain, jo US dollar par downcast pressure daal raha hai, aur yeh asar phir GBP/USD brace par bhi zahir ho raha hai, jo keh mukhtalif request dynamics ko reflect karta hai.

Chote term mein, GBP/USD brace ke liye manzariyat uncertain hai. Haal hi mein resistance level ko paar karne mein nakami aur baad mein girawat 1.2628 tak is baat ki alamat hai ke bullion hosla haar rahay hain. Magar, US dollar ki jari kamzori ne brace ko kuch support de sakti hai, jis se haal ki downcast trend ka muaqqaf badal sakta hai. Note ki mazeed girawat ke douran, dealers aur investors ko yeh mouqa samajhna chahiye ke brace ko aagay barhane ka aik mauqa samajh kar us taraf push karna chahiye, jis mein 1.2700 ke asli high ko target kiya ja sakta hai aur is se aagay.

1.2700 ki cerebral position ko nazar andaaz karna ahem hoga, kyun ke is se upar break hone se mazeed upside potential signal ho sakta hai. Magar, cautious rehna bhi zaroori hai kyun ke request ko profitable data releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank programs jaise mukhtalif factors asar daal sakte hain. Kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa khabar ya waqeyat se request dynamics jaldi badal sakte hain aur GBP/USD brace ke haal ki rukh ko tabdeel kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

British Pound (GBP) ab Muttahida States Dollar (USD) ke khilaf larai mein phansa hua hai, pichle do hafton se familiar range 1.2610 se 1.2820 ke darmiyan sidha chal raha hai. Yeh stagnation kuch mukhtalif forces ke asar mein a rahi hai jo is currency pair ko mutassir kar rahi hain. Aik taraf, aane wale UK general elections ke baray mein paish aane wali tashweeshain investors ko ihtiyati banaye rakhne par majboor kar rahi hain. Is ke ilawa, Bank of England (BoE) ne interest rate hikes par thamne ke baad August mein potential rate cut ke expectations ko barhaya hai, jis se Pound ko kamzor kar diya gaya hai. Magar, USD bhi mukhalif asar se dochar hai. Jab ke hilat-e-asbab se hal hi mein is ne neechay se ubharta hua hai, lekin is ki taqat temporary nazar a rahi hai. Monday ko US 10-year bond yields mein izafa inflation concerns ko ishara deta hai, jis ke natijay mein US mein interest rates kam ho sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, traders Federal Reserve (Fed) se clearer signals ka intezar kar rahe hain, jis se USD ke rukh par kisi bhi bara bet par pani pherne se pehle kuch numayan nishanat milain. Aane wale events jaise ke Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki taqreer aur Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data jo Friday ko release hoga, USD ke mustaqbil ke rukh par asar andaz ho sakte hain.





Technically, GBP/USD Pair Ki Tafseeli Jaiza

Takniki tor par, GBP/USD pair nichay ki taraf mael nazar a raha hai. Short-term indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bearish bias ishara dete hain. Agar pair mojooda support level 1.2610 ko toor le to mazeed girawat 1.2570 tak aur shayad mazeed nichlay ja sakta hai. Magar, aik bullish reversal ki bhi koi mumkinat hai. Agar pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke resistance ko paar kar le to woh 1.2740 tak chadh sakta hai aur trading range ke upper limit 1.2820 ko dobara test kar sakta hai. Kul mila kar, GBP/USD pair ab wait-and-see mode mein hai. Aane wale events aur data releases, khas tor par Fed aur UK elections se, sabab ban sakte hain jo is sidha chal rahi keemat action ko toornay aur currency pair ke future rukh ko tay karnay mein madad karenge.

British pound versus US dollar Sab ko acchi mood! Chalo market ki halat dekhte hain. Daily chart par linear regression channel ki upar ki taraf ki rukh hai, jo khareedne ki fa'iliyat ka acha saboot hai. Zaroori hai ke dyaan dein ke market 1.26432 ke level ke ooper qaim hai, jo ke izafa ke imkaanat ko dikhata hai. Takniki tajziya dekhte hain, humare paas dilchaspi wali surat-e-haal hai. Channel ke nichle kinar se, 1.26710 channel ke top ko pehchanne ka moqa hai. Magar yaad rakhein ke maqsad tak pohanchne ke baad, ooper ki fa'iliyat mein kamzori ho sakti hai, aur yeh market ki raftar mein rukawat ke zariye zahir ho sakta hai. Ye is wajah se hota hai ke D1 chart par shadeed harkat pesh ki gayi hai, aur ek pullback ki sambhavna hai. Agar aap bechne ki soch rahe hain, to yeh mumkin hai, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke bohat bharosa ho, zaroori hai ke aap stop loss ka tayyun karen. Samajhna chahiye ke mojooda upar ki taraf rawana trend ke khilaf bechna risky ho sakta hai. Magar zyada pasandeeda option yeh ho sakta hai ke channel ke nichle kinar ka intezaar kiya jaaye, phir mumkin bechne ke liye. Correction ke baad, khareedne ki sambhavna ko madde nazar rakhte hue gaur kiya jana chahiye. Chart par trend ke mutabiq, long posi
postions ko short positions ke mukablay mein zyad potential ho sakta hai.




Daily chart ki dynamics ko darshane wale chart par, linear regression ke andar halat kaafi complicated nazar aati hai. Ek taraf, channel ki rukh sahi karne se neeche ki taraf le jaata hai, jo ek pullback ko dikhata hai. Magar yahan khareedne wale istiqamat aur quwwat dikhate hain. Signal yeh hai ke market 1.26665 ke level ke ooper trade ho raha hai, jo ke is channel ka upper border hai. Do channels ke readings ke buniyad par, yeh natural hai ke hum yeh nateeja nikalein ke bulls ne aghaaz kiya hai. D1 chart par, hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke uptrend 1.27148 ke level tak phail sakta hai. Yeh level bulls ke liye kuch mushkilat paida kar sakta hai, jahan market rukawat daal sakta hai aur correction kar sakta hai. Agar D1 channel ka upper border aur level 1.27148 tak pohancha, to faida lene ki sambhavna ko gaur kiya ja sakta hai. 1.27148 ke tor par tor par break aik raftar barhane ka baiz ban sakta hai aur D1 chart par trend ki rukh badal sakta hai, is liye khareedne ki fa'iliyat pehli prioriti mein aayegi. Magar market ke 1.26665 ke neeche laut aane se sellers ka asar zyada ho jata hai aur unki hukumat ko tasdeeq karta hai.

GBP/USD/H4

Hamari guftagu ka muzoo hai GBP/USD currency pair ki keemat ke harkat ka tajziyah. Am generally haftawaray time frames ko tawajjo detay hain. Dollar-yen currency pair ke liye abdul malk currency mein barqarar izafa nazar aata hai. Pichlay haftay mein, khareedars ne naye urooj tak pohancha 161.27 USD/JPY par. Lambay position rakhnay walay ke liye asli kamiyabi yeh thi ke unhon ne keemat ko 160.00 ke ooper mazbooti se jamaya. Khareedars ne is nishan ko paar karne ke liye lambay arsay se koshish ki thi, lekin der se, jo market ke hissay daar ko dilchaspi paida karta hai. Aglay haftay, mujhe is level ke ooper mazeed mazbooti ke imkanat ka intezar hai. USD/JPY pair ne is haftay apnay tamam waqt ke urooj ko taza kiya hai. Hamain kam arsay ke time frames par wazeh uptrend nazar aata hai, jo humein trim support levels dhoondne aur lambay positions kholne ke liye izazat deta hai. Magar daily chart ek mazeed dilchasp tasawwur pesh karta hai, jo aas paas ke mojooda quotes se kafi door hai, khas taur par 157.69 ke qareeb baray support level ke sath.




Char ghantay ke chart par, 1.260 ke aas paas neechay ki harkat mein dhalao ka wazeh izhar hai, jo aglay haftay ke shuru mein bullish faaliyat ke imkanat ki isharaat deta hai. Taahum, market ne abhi tak aise ahem support levels tak nahi pohancha hai jo ek wazeh ooper ki taraf murawwajah isharaat dikhata hai. Bunyadi umeed ye hai ke neechay ki taraf trend rahega, jis mein din bhar ke dauran bullish muhimat bhi shamil ho sakti hain. Jumeraat ke dauran ki intraday levels 1.2618 ke neechay reh gaye, jo ke bullish development ke jariye ke mukammal hone ka toor par nazar aaya aur 1.2660 ke ooper reh gaye, jo ke is ko tasdeeq karta hai. Haalat mein kuch khabrein hain. Juma ko, pound ko Britain se kai reports milein ge, jahan karobar ki faaliyat ka index currency ko mazeed mazbooti de sakta hai. Baad mein, 16:44 aur 16:59 par, amreeki reports ke aane ka imkaan hai jo temporary taur par dollar ko barhawa de sakta hai, jo ke ek zigzag pullback neechay ke liye mojooda halat ko wazeh taur par barhawa de sakta hai. Ye humein mojooda halat ko wazeh taur par jaanchne aur tasawwur hasil karne mein madad dega ke keemat kya 1.2660 ke ooper ja sakti hai aur neechay ke pullback ke liye nascent restructuring process ko khatray mein daal sakta hai.

AO indicator zero ke qareeb aaya hai, agar aglay dinon mein hum zero ke zariye se guzar jayein aur musbat zone mein taizi se izafa ho, to humein keemat ke barhne ke liye ek mazeed mazboot signal mil sakta hai. Keemat mein girawat ke liye signal hasil karne ke liye, aapko manzoori deni chahiye ke naqshe mein mazeed taizi se izafa ho.

Mere subah ke taqseem mein, mein ne 1.2613 level par tawajjo di aur is par market entry faislay is par munhasir karne ka irada kiya tha. Chalo 5-minute chart dekhte hain aur dekhte hain wahan kya hua. Giravat aur jhooti breakout ki shakal mein ek behtareen dakhli nukta-e-dakhli mawadat dene wala point diya, jis se kharidari ke liye bhetar entry point mila, jiske natije mein joda 45 points se zyada buland ho gaya. Takneeki tasawwur doosre hisse ke din ke liye na tabdeel hua. GBP/USD par lambi position kholne ke liye, yeh zaroori hai:

Arazei aur maheena ke kam az kam unat ki nazron mein aamadgi ne ummeed paida ki ke din ke doosre hisse mein paond ka mukhtalif hone ka imkan hai. Magar yeh us par bhi munhasir hoga ke Americi Kaam Ki Khuli Aamad aur Mazdoori Ki Tanawuli ke dilchasp report ka bayaan hoga. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka taqreer ka intezar hai. Sirf unka dovish nazariya paond ko madad dega. Agar jora girne ki surat mein, 1.2613 ke subah ke sath jhooti breakout ke mazboot difa ne lambi positions ke liye aik behtareen entry point diya hai, jis mein 1.2655 ke samar ko phir se daur karne aur usay taaza karnay ki imkanat hain. Is chhed ke upar se guzarna aur phir se is haddi ke ooper chadhay ki sanad dega, jo paond ki bulandi mumkin banayega, jo lambi positions ke liye dakhil hone ka mauqa hoga, jis mein 1.2699 ke chhed ki ooper ke hadi ko taaza karna mumkin hoga. Door tak maqsad 1.2732 ke ilaqe hoga, jahan mein faida uthane ka irada hai.





GBP/USD mein jora girne ke halaat aur doosre hisse ke din mein 1.2613 par sahabat ki taaqat ke baghair bullish sakhti ki kamiyon ko ghor kiya gaya, aur yeh leval haal hi mein teen martaba imtehan hua hai, joda jora ke dabaav ko wapas layega. Yeh bhi giravat aur agle sahabat par azmana ko phir se azmana aur 1.2583 ke aglay sahulat ke taaza imkanat ke imkanat mein izafa ki imkanat hai. Is liye sirf aik jhooti breakout lambi positions ke khulne ke liye munasib hoga. Mein 1.2550 kam ke hawale se turant GBP/USD khareedna ka irada kiya hai, jis mein aik 30-35 point ki din bhar ke sudhar ke liye maqsad hai.
GBP/USD par short positions kholne ke liye, yeh zaroori hai.

Farokhtgar un sab kuch hasil kar chuke hain magar bazaar ki aitmaad ko mazboot nahi kar sake, puri tarah se kharidaron ko raftar de di. Din ke doosre hisse mein poora tawajjo 1.2655 ke qabzay ko punah mohr ki taraf majmoo hoga. Is liye sirf aik jhooti breakout banane ke ikhtiyar par short positions kholne ke liye munasib hai, taqsim ke neechay 1.2613 ko kam karna. Is haddi se neeche se ooper tak izafa aur azad adad ki mazboot tafseel ke saath, jamae U.S. statistics, kharidaron ke maqamat par hamla karain, kharidaron ke maqamat par hamla karain, jamae U.S.

GBP/USD H4 Chart
Aaj pound sterling dollar ke khilaf tezi se chala gaya jab Bank of England ne apni December ki meeting mein interest rates ko barha diya, jis par mazdoori ke data ke barhne ka asar tha. Bank of England ke Governor Bailey ne kal kaha tha ke unhe mazdoori ke data par tawajjo deni hogi. Technically, keemat ki tezi ne 100 ghantay ke moving average ko paar kar liya hai, jo ab 1.2645 par hai. Dollar ke halq mein taizi ke bawajood, moving average bearish rehta hai. Aaj ka bulandi 1.2715 par hai, pichle haftay ki bulandi 1.2680 aur 200 ghantay ke moving average 1.2690 ke darmiyan hai. Ye mojooda setup ek mazboot bearish trend ko mazbooti se isharaat deta hai, jo market mein ehtiyat aur tawajjo ko dastbardar kar raha hai.




Pound Real (GBP) teesre haftay se murattib tarah se US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf kamzor raha, jis ne GBP/USD pair ko 1.2600 ke ooper chalne wala chhe hafton ka kamzor bana diya. Sab ke nazar 4 July ko hone wali UK general elections aur 5 July ko hone wale US Nonfarm Payrolls data par hain jo GBP/USD ko naye raaste ka zawiya denge. GBP/USD Powell ke tanqeedi tajziyay ke jawab mein transient ho sakta hai, mukhtalif muqablay mein mukhtalif muqablay ke samne. Jis se Wednesday ki Programmed Information Processing (ADP) Work Change report, ISM Services PMI, aur Federal Reserve ke June ki meeting ke minutes ke samne mein aane wala hai. Do haftay pehle neechay ki taraf barhti trendline support ko torne ke baad, Pound Sterling ne apni bearish raftar ko barqarar rakha. 14-dinon ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke niche south ko isharaat deta hai, jo ke ab tak qareeb 42 hai, mazeed downside harkat ko aitmaad dete hue. Is ke ilawa, pair ne bhi ahem support 1.2645 ko tor diya hai, 50-dinon ke basic moving average (SMA) aur 100-dinon ke SMA ki conversion mein, ek aur negative isharaat hai. Magar ek taaza bullish crossover, jo Thursday ko 50-dinon ke SMA ne 100-dinon ke SMA ko cross kiya hai, karobaar ke liye ek chowkhat hai. Downtrend ke momentum ko phir se pakadne ke liye, GBP/USD mein 1.2584 ke May 15 ke low ko mazbooti se torne ki zaroorat hai.