جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

company ne note kiya hai ke US dollar barh raha hai, zyadatar Treasury yields ke badhne ki wajah se. Treasury bond yields mein yeh izafa US Treasury bonds ke significant supply ke karan hai, jab ke sarkar apne extensive financial programs ko fund karne ke liye debt barhati ja rahi hai. Mulk ka debt burden ek unsustainable pace par barhta ja raha tha, jo inevitably borrowing ki cost ko drive up kar raha tha. Lekin, US sarkar ki expansive policies ne economy ke remarkable growth ko bhi fuel kiya hai, jo dollar ke recent outperformance ka ek crucial factor hai. Apollo ke chief economist, Torsten Slok, explain karte hain: "Economy abhi bhi itni robust kyun hai? Yeh fiscal policies ke significant tailwind provide karne ki wajah se hai, jise easy financial conditions ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes ke counterbalance kiya hai." Slok further note karte hain ke US fiscal policy abhi bhi "accommodative" hai chip legislation, inflation control act, aur infrastructure law ke karan. "Isliye, yeh expect kiya ja sakta hai ke employment growth aur inflation 2024 mein accelerate karengi." Federal Reserve, woh add karte hain, shayad 2025 tak interest rates reduce nahi karega.
Sunday ki technical analysis ke mutabiq pair ka 1-hour chart par. Yahan price ek ascending channel mein hai, jahan yeh maximum TF tak pohanch gaya aur phir neeche gir gaya aur ek large red zone ke andar kaam karna shuru kar diya. Price ke likely hai ke support level of the Moving Average, red line at 1.2670, ko retest kare. Price is level ko neeche break kar sakti hai aur mid-trend level, black line at 1.2580, ki taraf head kar sakti hai.

Oscillator indicate karta hai ke price overbought hai. Yeh apne peak tak pohanch gaya hai, aur oscillator h...

GBP/USD ke hawale se kal, previous daily range ke minimum ko update karne ke baad bina local support level at 1.26741 (meri analysis ke mutabiq) tak pohanche, price reverse ho gaya aur confidently upward move kiya favorable news background ke karan. Is se ek bullish candle form hui jo previous day ke range ke andar close hui. Main abhi conclusions lene mein jaldi nahi kar raha aur overall kuch khaas interesting dekh nahi raha, isliye main designated support level ko continue observe karne ka plan bana raha hoon, saath hi support level at 1.26340 ko bhi. Jaise pehle mention kiya, do scenarios in support levels ke near ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario involves karta hai ek reversal candle ka formation aur upward price movement ka resumption. Agar yeh hota hai, to main wait karunga ke price resistance level at 1.28006 par wapas aaye. Agar price is resistance level ke upar settle hota hai, to main further upward movement expect karta hoon towards resistance level at 1.28938. Is resistance level ke near, main ek trading setup dhundhunga taake further trading direction determine kar sakoon. Ek aur possibility hai ke ek zyada distant northern target 1.29956 tak pohanchne ki, situation aur in targets par price ke reaction par depend karta hai. Ek alternative scenario involve karta hai price ka support levels at 1.26741 ya 1.26340 ke neeche settle hona aur further downward move karna. Agar yeh hota hai, to main price ko support level at 1.25694 ki taraf move karte hue dekhunga. Is support level ke near, main bullish signals dhundhunga, anticipating ke upward price movement mein

GBP/USD ANALYSIS 12 JUNE 2024

Gbp/Usd market pair jo ke Monday ko hua woh phir se buyers ke control mein tha jo ke sellers ki bearish koshishon ko kam karne mein kaamyab rahe, support area ko taqat denge ke 1.2700-1.2696 ke daam jo ke ab bhi sellers ke selling rate ko rokne mein kamyabi hasil kar raha tha. Phir buyers is situation ka faida uthate huye GbpUsd pair ki price ko bullish move mein buland le gaye taake price dobara barh jaye.



Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal kar ke dekha gaya ke price phir se Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar move kar raha hai aur buyers ne ek mazboot bullish candlestick bhi banaya hai jo ke kaafi mazboot hai taake Gbp/Usd pair ki price bullishly aur mazeed buland move kar rahi hai jiska agla target Upper area ki taraf ja raha hai aur use test kar raha hai. Bollinger bands ka daam 1.2800-1.2805 par hai jo ke ab tak seller ko qayam rakhne mein kaamyab raha hai.

Tuesday ke dopahar ke trading ko buyers ke dominance ne jari rakha hai jo ke apni bullish opportunities ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain zyada se zyada dakhil kar ke taa ke wo sellers ko bearish resistance dene se dabaa sakein. Bullish buyer ka target seller ki resistance area ko test karne ki koshish kar rahe hain jo ke 1.2760-1.2765 ke daam par hai jo agar kaamyab tor par enter hua to yeh ek aur buland bullish opportunity ko kholti hai agle target ke liye seller ki supply resistance area ke daam 1.2800-1.2805 par.

RSI indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price jo ke pehle level 53 area mein tha, ab level 55 area ki taraf ja raha hai, iska matlab hai ke buyers ki taraf se buying pressure ab bhi kaafi mazboot hai aur yeh mauqa hai ke aaj ke trading mein 75 RSI area tak buland hone ka mauka hai.

Nateeja:

Sell entries kiya ja sakta hai agar seller ne nazdeek ki buyer support area ko penetrate kiya hai jo ke 1.2700-1.2695 ke daam par hai aur TP target area 1.2650-1.2645 ke daam par hai.

Buy entry kiya ja sakta hai agar buyer ne nazdeek ki seller resistance area ko tor diya hai jo ke 1.2660-1.2665 ke daam par hai aur TP target area 1.2800-1.2805 ke daam par hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki price behavior par focus karti hai. H1 chart par ek upward trend dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur price 133-day moving average ke upar hai jo support ko indicate karta hai. Chhoti time frames mein, price consistently is average ke upar close hoti hai, jo buying opportunities ko indicate karta hai. Agar price 1.2587 tak pullback kare, to yeh buying positions ke liye acha mauka ho sakta hai, jabke agar price 1.2525 se neeche girti hai to yeh selling opportunities ko indicate kar sakta hai. Current trend buying ke sath align karta hai, jo H1 trend se support hota hai. GBP/USD market structure abhi bhi bullishness ke signs dikhata hai. Yeh tab wazeh hota hai jab price 1.2632 level ke upar jati hai aur 1.2593 ke high tak pohanchti hai. Daily time frame ko analyze karne se lagta hai ke market gradually bullish hoti ja rahi hai. Market conditions mein kuch improvement ki gunjaish hai, magar significant nahi hai. Candlestick position jo 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar hai yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers market trend ko control kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, koi imminent bearish trend nahi hai kyunki 50 EMA ne 200 SMA ko cross nahi kiya, jo ke death cross signal ki absence ko indicate karta hai. Agar price FR 50 ke 1.2595 level ko surpass karti hai, to upward correction FR 61.8 level tak 1.2665 ko pohanch sakti hai, jo supply area ke sath align karta hai. Mera chart sirf standard fourteen period Relative Strength Index (RSI) use karta hai taake price analysis bias na ho. Agar RSI 30 se neeche jata hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ko suggest karta hai, jo ke 1.2605 par likely thi. 1.2516 ke neeche establish karna selling opportunity ko signal kar sakta hai, jabke 1.2638 range ko break karna buying ko support karta hai. Significant price move 1.2632 se upar potential exchange rate increase ko suggest karta hai, aur 1.2637 ke upar position sustain karna upward momentum ko confirm karta hai. Ek decline jo growth ke baad hota hai yeh indicate karta hai ke upward movement continue ho rahi hai. Support level 1.2505 ko test karne ke bawajood, rate bounce back karta hai, jo possible strengthening ko hint karta hai. Continued growth ko ensure karne ke liye, further testing around 1.2569 ya ek false breakdown zaroori ho sakta hai. Magar agar rate local minimum 1.2454 se neeche girti hai, to yeh ongoing decline ko suggest karta hai. Exchange rate

GBPUSD pair mein nazar aa rahi hai, yeh 1.2800 level ki taraf ek mumkin karkardagi ki taraf ishara karti hai. Yeh is liye kyunki EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ki doori, jo ke bullish trend ko darust karti hai, kaafi ahem hai. Yeh saaf nahi hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein trend ki taraf koi tabdeeli hogi ya nahi, aur agar sudden downward correction hota hai, to yeh sirf trendline tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin, jab ek downward correction trendline tak pohanchta hai, to yeh structure ko todata hai kyunki 1.2680 ki kam qeemat successfully guzari gayi hai. Iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke qeemat upar ki taraf rally na kare balki neeche ki taraf chali jaye jab qeemat ka pattern structure neeche ke naye lows aur naye highs mein dakhil hota hai. Ab tak, SMA 200 jo dynamic support ka kaam karta hai, ko bilkul bhi touch nahi kiya gaya hai. Qeemat, 50 EMA ke aas paas mazbooti se mazid hoti ja rahi hai, jo Stochastic indicator ke sath support mil raha hai. Parameters jo level 50 ko guzar nahi rahe hain, wo mukhtalif crossings ka samna kar rahe hain aur overbought zone mein dakhil hone ki mauqa hai. Is tarah, upar ki taraf ki rally jaari rahegi jab tak parameters clear tor par overbought zone mein dakhil hone ki dhaanak na dikha dein ke overbought point ko zyada se zyada pehunch gaya hai. Trading ke liye nukta-e-nazar se wazeh hai ke kisi ko bullish trend ki taraf musalsal follow karna chahiye, jo ke ab bhi bohot mazboot hai, isliye jab qeemat 50 EMA tak wapas correct hoti hai to BUY entry position ko barqarar rakhein. Tasdiq Stochastic indicator parameter se aani chahiye jo level 50 ko guzar chuka hai, lekin koshish ki ja sakti hai ke parameters oversold zone mein dakhil hone ka intezar kiya jaye. 1.2800 level ko take profit target ke tor par istemal kiya ja sakta hai ya phir ziada, kyunki sharaait ab bhi bullish hain, aur stop loss/cut loss ko trendline ya 1.2642 ke kam qeemat ke as pas rakha jana chahiye. Indicator 50 ke neeche hai, jo recovery momentum ki kami ko indicate karta hai. Neche ki taraf, 1.2680 (ascending channel ki lower limit) immediate support ke tor par aligned hai, phir 1.2650 (4-hour chart par 100-period simple moving average (SMA)) aur 1.2630 (100-day SMA). GBP/USD pair jo ab 1.2750 par priced hai, ahem resistance aur support levels dikhata hai, jo traders ke liye dekhna zaroori hai. Resistance level 1.2800 par hai, yaani agar price rise hoti hai, to is level ke aas paas selling pressure ka samna kar sakti hai, jo price ko upar jane se rok sakta hai. Dusri taraf, support level 1.2700 par hai, yaani agar price drop hoti hai, to is level ke aas-paas buying interest mil sakta hai, jo further girawat ko rok sakta hai. Candlestick patterns in levels ke aas-paas crucial hain. For instance, support level ke qareeb agar bullish candlestick pattern banta hai, to yeh potential price rise ka ishara de sakta hai, jabke resistance ke qareeb bearish pattern potential price drop suggest kar sakta hai. Kayi indicators GBP/USD ke potential movement par insights provide karte hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) abhi 55 par hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market na to overbought hai na oversold, aur dono directions mein movement ki room available hai. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) slight upward trend dikhata hai, jo mild bullish sentiment indicate karta hai. Bollinger Bands, jo volatility measure karte hain, yeh dikhate hain ke price upper band ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo potential upward pressure ka indication hai. Zigzag indicator, jo price swings highlight karta hai, recent higher highs aur higher lows mark karke is trend ko confirm karta hai. Iske ilawa, Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, balanced market ko suggest karta hai, bina kisi Stochastic Oscillator, jo traders ke liye ek aur important tool hai, 70 ka reading dikhata hai, jo potential overbought conditions ko hint karta hai, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke price ko jaldi resistance face karna par sakta hai. Yeh oscillator ek particular closing price ko uske certain period ke price range se compare karta hai. Abhi, yeh upper range ke qareeb hai, jo recent upward momentum ke slow down hone ka indication deta hai. Wahi, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, 0.0100 par hai, jo market mein moderate volatility imply karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke significant price swings expected hain, lekin

Kal, shimal mein chand lamhoon ki wapas hatnay kay baad, qeemat ulat gayi, jabardast neechey ki taraf harqat kay sath akhbarati sooratehal kay doran. Yeh mukammal bearish candle bananay ka sabab bana, jo 0.90989 kay support level ko tor kar neechey mazbooti se qaim hui. Mojooda soorat-e-haal ko dekhte huey, mujhe agla target 0.90112 ka support level lagta hai. Is support level kay qareeb, do sooratein payda ho sakti hain. Pehli soorat mein reversal candle formation ho sakta hai, jo qeemat mein mumkinah upar ki taraf harqat ko zahir karega. Agar aisa hua, to mein 0.91572 kay resistance level par wapas anay ka intizar karunga. Agar yeh resistance level tor dia gaya, to mazeed upar ki taraf harqat ka ishara milega jo 0.92244 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level par, mein ainda trade ka rukh tay karne kay liye ek trading setup ka intizar karunga. Jabke ek door ka target 0.94096 bhi mumkin hai, mein safar kay doran mumkinah neechey ki taraf wapas hatnay se hushyar rahunga. Agar qeemat 0.90112 kay support level kay neechey majmooi tor par qayam ho gayi, to mein mazeed neechey ki taraf harqat ki tawakku karunga jo 0.88396 ya 0.87426 kay support levels tak ja sakti hai. Har soorat mein, mein in support levels kay qareeb bullish signals ki talash karunga,
aur global bullish trend formation kay doran qeemat mein upar ki taraf dubara harqat ki umeed rakhta hoon. Mazeed barin, dosray asraat jaise ke geo-siyasi waqeaat bhi currency ki up-and-down ko badhawa de sakti hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend kay sath is rukh ko barqarar rakhne ka irada hai, kyunki d1 timeframe MA ko bohot neechey 1.2694 par rakhta hai, main yahan harqat ko nazar andaz nahi kar sakta. Iske sath hi, rozana buniyad par ek mazboot resistance mark ka drift hai, aur yeh is baat ki nishandahi kar sakta hai ke kharidaaron ka rukh ab bhi awla hai. Isliye, mein ab tak bullish plan par qayam hoon, aur agar yeh developed hota hai, to 1.2888 ko torna zaroori hai. Lagta hai ke lambi muddat mein, GBP/USD par bears ki shikast aur harqat ka silsila jaari rahega, taake bulls 1.2994 tak torne ki salahiyat ko barqarar rakh sakein.

Mery analysis GB/USD currency pair ki rah chal ki hai. Chalo British pound ki technical analysis shuru karte hain market sentiment dekh kar. Kharidari aur farokht ka percentage dekh kar hum ne note kiya ke 67 percent sellers aur 33 percent buyers hain. Lekin is ke bawajood, aik ahem khilari kehtay hain ke bullish rehna chahte hain, jo keemat ko buland karna chahte hain aur bear-stop losses ko trigger karna chahte hain. Sunday ki hourly chart ki technical analysis mein, keemat ne apne peak se pichay hat kar ascending channel mein aik ahem laal zone mein dakhil kiya. Hamain kuch dar asal moving average (MA) support ka imtehan lena chahiye, jo kareeb 1.2674 hai, aur potential break neeche ke janib le jaye ga jo ke black line ke qareeb 1.2585 pe ek test ko le jayega. Oscillator overbought conditions ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jahan histogram positive zone mein ek downtrend continuation ki alaamat hai. Jab hum ne naye haftay ke opening ka intezar kiya, ek upar ki taraf harkat ke baad keemat Bollinger band ka upper hissa test kar sakti hai pehle se neeche mutawajjah hoti hai. Aksar, ek neeche ki taraf harkat ke bawajood keemat MA aur Bollinger band pair tak la sakti hai, kareeb 1.2635/50 ilaqa, jahan mazeed rah chal ki taraf janib milti hai. Keemat ka giravat yahan tak ponch sakti hai ke neeche Bollinger band 1.2437 pe target ho jata hai. Medi-term trading range ko haftay ki chart se diagonal lines se dekha gaya hai. Haal hi mein 1.2810 ka aik ahem imtehan liya gaya, hum ne aik ahem giravat dekhi, jo ke scalping enthusiasts ke liye maujooda hai. Agar aglay paanch dinon mein yeh ahem level tod diya jaye, to yeh aik zyada numaya trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Mazeed, economic calendar events ka nigrani karna ahem hai, khas tor par UK aur USA chahte hain. Sunday ki hourly chart ki technical analysis mein, keemat ne apne peak se pichay hat kar ascending channel mein aik ahem laal zone mein dakhil kiya. Hamain kuch dar asal moving average (MA) support ka imtehan lena chahiye, jo kareeb 1.2674 hai, aur potential break neeche ke janib le jaye ga jo ke black line ke qareeb 1.2585 pe ek test ko le jayega. Oscillator overbought conditions ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jahan histogram positive zone teen-star updates, jo ke qeemti wazahat faraham kar sakte hain.

Pound ka khareednay ka tasdeeq point aaya jab GBP/USD ke price ne 1.2729 pe test kiya, jo MACD indicator ka zero se oopar jaana se mawafiq tha. Yeh GBP/USD jodi mein 35 pips se zyada ka phailao le aaya. UK ke loaning report ka shukriya Friday subah pair ki raah par koi khaas asar nahi dala, lekin US reports se naye long positions trigger huay, jo upar ka trend mazid taqwiyat diya, jo maine pehle bhi faida uthaya, jo pehle zikar kiye gaye entry point mein. Aaj, UK Manufacturing PMI figures ke izhar hone ki tawaqo hai. Agar yeh values investors ke expectations ko paar karein, toh yeh pound ke uthao ko jari rakhna ke liye sabit hogi, kyun ke haftay ke ibteda mein short-term bechne ke koi wazay sabab nahi hain. Mera tareeqa hai ke main pound khareedun jab GBP/USD 1.2755 tak pohanch jaye, jo ke chart pe hari line se nishanit hai, 1.2805 ke nishanit hai, jo moti hari line se zahir hai. 1.2805 tak pohanchne ke baad, main long positions band karun ga aur short positions shuru karun ga 30-35 pips ke ulte irtifa ke intezar mein.

Pound ke harkat par aaj ka itminan rozay ke high ka pakka toorna aur musbat UK manufacturing activity figures par mabni hai. Khareednay se pehle, zaroori hai ke tasdeeq karen ke MACD indicator zero ke oopar hai aur abhi shuru ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, agar do musalsal tests hoti hain 1.2723 ke price ka jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai, toh main bhi pound khareednay ka irada rakhta hoon, kyun ke yeh instrument ka neeche ki taraf ki taqat ko rok sakta hai aur mukhtalif auron ka izhar karsakta hai, jo 1.2755 aur 1.2805 ke darmiyan ki harkat ki tawaqo ki jaati hai.

Mukhaalif, 1.2723 ke level ko test karne ke baad (jo chart pe laal line se nishanit hai), jiski wajah se GBP/USD mein tezi se kami aati hai, toh main aaj pound bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Traders ke liye asal nishan 1.2684 hoga, jahan pe main choti positions band karun ga aur long positions shuru karun ga, ulte irtifa ke 20-25 pips ke movement ki tawaqo mein. Pound bechna uchit hai jab jodi rozay ke high ke qareeb mazid koi jama nahi hoti. Bechnay se pehle, zaroori hai ke tasdeeq karen ke MACD indicator zero ke neeche hai aur abhi shuru ho raha hai.

Iske ilawa, agar MACD indicator overbought region mein hai aur 1.2755 ke do musalsal tests hote hain, toh main aaj pound bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh jodi ke upar ki taraf ki tawaqo ko mehdood kardega aur mukhtalif auron ka izhar kar sakta hai, jo 1.2723 aur 1.2684 ke darmiyan ki harkat ki tawaqo ki jaati hai.

GBP/USD Ke Qeemat Amal Ka Tajziya aur Muntazam Timeframes Par Trading Mumkina Mouqay:
Ghantay (H1) chart par, hamara tajziya dikhata hai ke qeemat ne ahem farahmiyat wala farahmiyat daal di hai 1.2650 ke zaroori supply area tak, jo aksar market ka jazbat muqarrar karta hai. Halat filhaal yeh hain ke qeemat 100-period moving average (MA100) ke atraaf mujmel hai, ek zone jahan pehli koshishat qeemat ka momentum aksar rukawat ka samna karti hai. Yeh rukawat mazeed taqat hasil karti hai 50-period moving average (MA50) ka pehli dafa chhuna, jo aagay barhti girawat ki sambhavna ko bhar deta hai. Mazeed, anay wale USDX khabar ka waqiya mazeed nichle dabao ko barha sakta hai. Haal hi mein 150 points ke qareebi bullish momentum ke bawajood, koi ahem market correction ka mazhar nahi hai, jo scalpers ke liye short positions ko shuru karne ka ek khush gawar mauqa banata hai.

Chaaron ghante (H4) chart par ja kar, qeemat ke trend ka mazeed wusool hota hai, jo supply area ke andar mazboot mojudgi ko darust karti hai, ahem support aur resistance ke sath nazdeek hota hai. Yeh taalluqat ek mansoob girawat ki taraf ishara kartay hain. Mutawaqqa kamzori ka tasawwur pichle ahem level par 1.2680 tak puhanchne ka hai, jo ke na sirf ek resistance area hai balkay ibtida se nikalne ka bhi point hai. Is tahqiq ke mutabiq, mojooda market sharaet traders ke liye ek mauqay hai jo faiziyat se istifada kar sakte hain, mojoda supply area par nishana band kar ke 1.2710 tak.

Mumkin mustaqbil ke qeemati harkaat ka andaza lagane ke liye, mukhtalif manazir ki aghaz se mulazim karna zaroori hai. Agar qeemat Tuesday ko 1.2690 se le kar 1.2880 tak range mein dhaal jaye, to GBP/USD joda mazeed urooj ki taraf ja sakta hai. Magar, 1.2790 se le kar 1.2660 range ke ird gird inkar, aik ulta chal sakta hai, jis se girawat ke taraf tareeqi hogi jis ka nishana hai 1.2766 se le kar 1.2835 tak.

Pura market sentiment ko samajhne ke liye, GBP/USD chart me ek beja halat ka tajzia hota hai, jahan currency pair nazdeek moving averages ke darmiyan ghoom raha hai, jo bazar ke shamil hone wale afraad ke darmiyan taraddud ki dalil hai. Technical indicators, darmiyan mein qarar paye jatay hain, mazeed tasweer dete hain ke clear directional bias ka na hona. Khaas tor par, rate channels mazeed intizaam farahm karte hain, jahan ek channel 2023 mein rate harkat ko dikhata hai, jab ke doosra channel neelay rango mein 2022 aur 2023 ke darmiyan rate fluctuations ko shaamil karta hai.

Ikhtitami tor par, mojooda market sharaet ek nami pehlu ke manzar ko pesh karte hain jahan mazeed trading mouqay moujood hain muntazim timeframes par. Traders ko chaukanna rehna aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banana ki hidayat di jati hai taake GBP/USD joda ke muqarar sharaet ka rukh ko samjha ja sake.

Hafta band hone ke sath saath, main aksar zyada timeframes ka tajziya karta hoon. Hafta bullish candle ke saath band hua tha jisme ek bada shadow tha neeche ki taraf. Price ab 1.2520 par hai, jo weekly period ki average moving line ke neeche hai. Moving average ab 1.2595 par hai. Agar price agle hafte mein izafa kar sake aur moving average ke upar jam jaye, toh humein 1.2630 aur usse upar, 1.3000 tak izafa dekhne ko milega. Lekin agar price moving average ke upar pakad nahi pata, toh humein 1.2443 tak giravat dekhne ko milegi aur shayad southern decline ka jari rah jaye. Is halat mein ek move 1.2370, 1.2260 tak bhi mumkin hai. Lekin stochastics mujhe confuse karte hain. Ye indicator oversold zone chhod chuka hai aur izafa karne ki iraadein dikhata hai. Isliye koi pakki baat nahi hai aur hum market ki nigraani karenge.
Aam tor par, mere liye yeh waise hi hota hai: kaam ke dinon mein H4 aur uske neeche, bohot kam baar H1 se neeche, weekends par weekly aur daily timeframes ki trading pairs hoti hain. Ab palatne ka waqt GBP/USD ka daily chart tak pahunch chuka hai aur yeh wahan se kya milta hai.

Toh, am total mein yeh keh sakte hain ke pound-dollar ka mukhya disha neeche ki taraf hai, sahi zig-zags kaafi samay se ban rahe hain. Isi dauran sab kuch logic aur technical taur par sound lag raha hai. Pichhle local low se (1.2298) ek corrective pullback hua tha, jo confidently pair ko moving average ke upar utha liya aur lag raha tha ke yeh ek reliable unchai hai jahan se bechna chahiye. Aur lagta hai ke hum giravat ko dobara shuru ho rahe hain, lekin sabhi prayatn moving average ko upar se test karke aur price rebound karne mein khatam ho jaate hain. Aur aise bohot saare prayatn hue hain. Toh humne hafta wahi khatam kiya: Thursday ko nirdharit target ka test aur rebound, jiske parinamswarup ek bullish candle aayi ek lambi shadow ke saath neeche. Friday ko candle thodi kamzor thi, lekin phir bhi uski adhikatam aur kam se neechein ke xetreme se unchi thi. Aur main puri tarah se yakeen nahi hai ke bechne ke liye current se (mukhya disha mein) reliable aur attracticv hain. Main 1.26 figure ke nazdeek price ka intezar karna chahta hoon aur bas wahan se pehle shorts kholne ka irada hai.

Mention nistruments ka technical analysis kar rahe hain. Aur signals ka istemal kar rahe hain, jaise Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator, RSI (14), aur standard settings ke MACD indicators. A deal khatam karne ke liye, aapko sabhi teen indicators se enter karne ke liye samaan disha waale signals ka intezar karna hoga. Agar kisi bhi ek ka readings dusre indicators ke readings ke vipreet ho, toh signal asat hain aur pass hoga. Market se baahar aane ke liye, ham Fibonacci grid ka istemal karke correction levels ka bhi madhyam lete hain, jo pichhli trading periods (daily ya weekly) ke maujooda lows aur highs ke adhaar par banaya gaya hai.

Jab GBP/USD jodi ko taqreeban 1.2523 ke darja tak pohanchte hue dekha gaya, iska arth hai ke British pound ka qeemat ek dollar ke muqable mein taqreeban 1.2523 ho gaya. Yeh tajziya currency market ke mukhtalif factors par mabni hota hai, jaise ke economic indicators, monetary policy, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Is darja tak pohanchne ka asal sabab darasl yeh hai ke forex market mein traders aur investors ki raay mein tabdiliyaan aa gayi hain, jo ke mukhtalif maamlaat ki wajah se ho sakti hain. Pehli nazar mein, yeh level GBP/USD jodi ke liye ek mukhtasir samay ka trend darust karta hai. Yeh bataata hai ke mojooda market mein dollar ki qeemat ke barhne ki wajah se, ya phir British pound ki qeemat mein izafa hua hai. Yeh maamlaat wazeh karte hain ke forex market mein volatility hai aur traders is volatility ko faida utha sakte hain ya nuqsan utha sakte hain, aeham hai ke traders is volatility ko samajh kar faida utha saken. Dusra asar ho sakta hai economic data par, jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, ya phir inflation data. Agar United Kingdom ke economic indicators behtar hotay hain America ke muqable mein, toh British pound ki qeemat mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke GBP/USD jodi ko barhne ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Isi tarah, America ke economic indicators bhi asar daal sakte hain, agar wo behtar hotay hain, toh dollar ki qeemat barh sakti hai, aur GBP/USD jodi ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Geopolitical events bhi currency markets par asar daalte hain. Kisi bhi muddat mein, agar Brexit jaise mudda hai ya phir kisi aur wajah se United Kingdom ya America ke darmiyaan tanaav ho, toh yeh currency markets ko mutasir kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD jodi ke qeemat mein tabdiliyaan laa sakta hai. Aakhri tor par, market sentiment bhi currency prices par asar daalta hai. Agar traders mein ek tarah ka consensus hai ke British pound ki qeemat barhne ki taraf hai, toh yeh sentiment GBP/USD jodi ko upar le ja sakta hai. In tamam factors ka ek saath mil kar, GBP/USD jodi ke darja tak pohanchte hue dekha gaya. Traders ko hamesha dhyaan mein rakhna chahiye ke forex market mein aik mukhtalif maamla ho sakta hai, aur unhein apni strategies ko is maamlay ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

Aaj GBP/USD pair ne apne aap ko kaafi ajeeb tareeqay se dikhaya. Kal ka close wahi tha jo ek din pehle tha, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh achanak se upar ki taraf chalayega. Mera iraada hai ke guzishta daily candle ka sab se kam level ka intezar karunga, jo 1.2753 hai. Agar choti time frame par head and shoulders pattern banta hai, toh mein zaroor trade mein shamil honga. Mujhe 1.2730 ke paar transactions ko hold karne ka koi faida nahi lagta, isliye mein wahan par apne trades close kar dunga. Kal ka extremal ke liye daily movement ka aadha hissa mujhe profit lene ka mauqa dega jo 1.2822 hai. Abhi tak GBPUSD mein koi significant price movement nahi hui hai. Aaj raat tak bhi in dono pairs ke liye high-impact economic data release nahi hui, jiska matlab yeh hai ke market ab tak sideways chal rahi hai. Prices abhi bhi sideways hain lekin yeh sideways movement resistance area mein ho rahi hai. Agar aaj raat ki price ko dekha jaye jo abhi bhi bullish bias mein hai aur resistance area mein hai, toh GBPUSD ke agle movement ke liye abhi bhi bullish potential hai. Lekin, price ab tak resistance line 1.2708 ko break nahi kar payi aur sellers lagta hai isko suppress karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, toh agle movement mein price girne ka potential bhi hai. Lekin agar trend conditions jo ke ab bhi bullish hain, dekhi jaye toh yeh bearishness sirf ek price correction/retrace ho sakti hai aur phir price dobara se uthegi. MA 50 line 1.2608 par ek correction target ho sakta hai aur phir price phir se uthegi.GBPUSD ke agle movement ki prediction, upar diye gaye analysis ke mutabiq, ab bhi zyada probability yeh hai ke price dobara bullish ho jaaye, lekin pehle price correct kar sakti hai phir bullish reliance resume kar sakti hai. Toh is waqt GBPUSD mein trading ke liye, buying opportunities dekh rahe hain. Resistance line 1.2708 ke breakout aur MA 50 line par pullback price ka wait karna ek buying opportunity hai jo hum GBPUSD par trading ke liye le sakte hain. Is beech, hum sell opportunity bhi le sakte hain agar price resistance line 1.2708 par reject hoti hai aur MA 50 line ka breakout hota hai. Sell opportunities: Hum sell opportunities tab le sakte hain jab price resistance line 1.2708 par reject hoti hai. Profit target MA 50 line 1.2608 par rakh sakte hain. Agli sell opportunity tab le sakte hain jab price upar uthti hai aur resistance line 1.2802 par price rejection hota hai. Profit target 12708 line aur MA 50 line par rakh sakte hain. Ek sell breakout bhi le sakte hain jab price girti hai aur MA 50 line breakout hota hai 1.2608 par. Profit target support lines 1.2510 aur 1.2447 par rakh sakte hain.Buy opportunities: Hum buying opportunity le sakte hain agar price dobara uthi aur resistance line 1.2708 ko breakout karti hai. Profit target angle resistance line 1.2802 par rakh sakte hain. Agli buying opportunity tab le sakte hain jab price gire aur MA 50 line 1.2608 par price rejection ho. Profit target resistance line 1.2708 aur 1.2802 par rakh sakte hain.

Daily time frame mein GBPUSD pair ka analysis. GBPUSD pair jo pichlay Jumay ko trade hui thi, ab bhi kharidaaron ya purchasers ke control mein thi. Pehle price ko sellers ne bearish direction mein neeche le aaya tha, magar phir bhi yeh support area 1.2705-1.2700 par buyers ne rok liya, jo buyers ko pair GBPUSD ka price control karne ki ijazat diya aur phir zyadah buying pressure lagaya jis se price bullish direction mein reverse ho gayi.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ko use karte hue monitor kiya gaya hai ke price dobara Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar hai, jo buyers ke liye profitable position banata hai jab GBPUSD pair trade ho rahi ho. Iske ilawa, bullish Doji candle ka zahir hona bhi yeh indicate karta hai ke buying pressure ab bhi bearish pressure se zyadah hai. Buyers apni koshish jari rakhein ge ke GBPUSD pair ka price aur bhi ooper le jaayein, agla target Upper Bollinger bands area 1.2585-1.2580 tak pohanchne aur test karne ka hai, jahan ek strong supply resistance area sellers ke liye mojood hai.

Aaj subha Monday ke trading mein, dekha gaya hai ke buyers ne sellers par apni dominance barqarar rakhi hai aur bara market enter karke price ko bullish direction mein move karne diya hai. Sab se qareebi target seller resistance area 1.2763-1.2760 ko breakout karne ka hai, jo ab bhi strong hai. Agar yeh validly penetrate ho jata hai, to higher bullishness ka mouqa khul jaye ga, agla target next seller's supply resistance area 1.2795-1.2800 ko point karna hai.

Natija:

RSI indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price jo pehle level 60 area mein thi, ab level 63 area ki taraf move kar chuki hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buying pressure jo buyers ne kiya hai, ab bhi market se support le raha hai, jo chahte hain ke prices aaj ke trading mein RSI level 75 area ki taraf rise karti rahein.

Sell entries tab ki ja sakti hain agar sellers support area 1.2705-1.2700 ko penetrate kar lein, TP area price 1.2660-1.2650 par ho.

Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer resistance area ko break kar le, aur pending buy stop order price 1.2760-1.2765 par place karein, TP target 1.2795-1.2800 par ho.

Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator ke signals ke saath ek currency pair/instrument ka technical analysis, saath hi classic RSI (14) aur standard settings ke MACD indicators ka istemal karte hue. Ek trade mein shaamil hone ke liye, aapko teen working indicators ke readings ka intezar karna hoga jo ki ek dusre se vipreet nahi aur ekhi direction mein ho. Market se exit lene ke waqt, ham FIBO correction levels ke optimal aur sabse zyada mumkin madhyamo ka bhi dhyan denge, jabki Fibo grid ko pichhli trading periods (din ya hafto) ke maujooda ektreme points ke adhaar par stretch kiya jaata hai.
Jaise ke linear regression channel ke liye, yeh darshata hai ki vartaman bechne waale ke liye market situation favourable hai, kyunke yeh dakshin ki taraf modh hai. Upar se jhuka hua angle itna adhik hoga, utna zyada majboot downward trend hoga. Ussi waqt, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines) jo nazdeek bhavishya ki prakriya ko anuman lagane ke liye istemal hota hai, ne neeche se gold channel line ko cross kiya hai aur upward direction dikhata hai.

Price ne linear regression channel 2nd LevelSupLine ka blue support line cross kiya tha, lekin quotes ka LOW 1.23054 par pahuncha, uske baad apni giravat band ki aur dhire dhire badhne laga. Vartaman mein, instrument 1.25085 ke price level par trade kar raha hai. Pichhli sab cheezon ke adhaar par mujhe ummid hai ke market price quotes wapas laut kar aur FIBO level 50% ke 2nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.26809) ke upar consolidate hogi aur aur kooper ki disha mein badhegi golden average line LR ke linear channel 1.26918, jo Fibo level 61.8% ke saath milta hai. Yeh bhi milta hai ke is waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators persistently signal kar rahe hain ke instrument oversold hai, kyunke woh profitable khareedne ki deal ke liye zone mein hain.

Jab GBP/USD jodi ko taqreeban 1.2523 ke darja tak pohanchte hue dekha gaya, iska arth hai ke British pound ka qeemat ek dollar ke muqable mein taqreeban 1.2523 ho gaya. Yeh tajziya currency market ke mukhtalif factors par mabni hota hai, jaise ke economic indicators, monetary policy, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Is darja tak pohanchne ka asal sabab darasl yeh hai ke forex market mein traders aur investors ki raay mein tabdiliyaan aa gayi hain, jo ke mukhtalif maamlaat ki wajah se ho sakti hain. Pehli nazar mein, yeh level GBP/USD jodi ke liye ek mukhtasir samay ka trend darust karta hai. Yeh bataata hai ke mojooda market mein dollar ki qeemat ke barhne ki wajah se, ya phir British pound ki qeemat mein izafa hua hai. Yeh maamlaat wazeh karte hain ke forex market mein volatility hai aur traders is volatility ko faida utha sakte hain ya nuqsan utha sakte hain, aeham hai ke traders is volatility ko samajh kar faida utha saken. Dusra asar ho sakta hai economic data par, jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, ya phir inflation data. Agar United Kingdom ke economic indicators behtar hotay hain America ke muqable mein, toh British pound ki qeemat mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke GBP/USD jodi ko barhne ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Isi tarah, America ke economic indicators bhi asar daal sakte hain, agar wo behtar hotay hain, toh dollar ki qeemat barh sakti hai, aur GBP/USD jodi ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Geopolitical events bhi currency markets par asar daalte hain. Kisi bhi muddat mein, agar Brexit jaise mudda hai ya phir kisi aur wajah se United Kingdom ya America ke darmiyaan tanaav ho, toh yeh currency markets ko mutasir kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD jodi ke qeemat mein tabdiliyaan laa sakta hai. Aakhri tor par, market sentiment bhi currency prices par asar daalta hai. Agar traders mein ek tarah ka consensus hai ke British pound ki qeemat barhne ki taraf hai, toh yeh sentiment GBP/USD jodi ko upar le ja sakta hai. In tamam factors ka ek saath mil kar, GBP/USD jodi ke darja tak pohanchte hue dekha gaya. Traders ko hamesha dhyaan mein rakhna chahiye ke forex market mein aik mukhtalif maamla ho sakta hai, aur unhein apni strategies ko is maamlay ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Click image for larger version

Pound ka khareednay ka tasdeeq point aaya jab GBP/USD ke price ne 1.2729 pe test kiya, jo MACD indicator ka zero se oopar jaana se mawafiq tha. Yeh GBP/USD jodi mein 35 pips se zyada ka phailao le aaya. UK ke loaning report ka shukriya Friday subah pair ki raah par koi khaas asar nahi dala, lekin US reports se naye long positions trigger huay, jo upar ka trend mazid taqwiyat diya, jo maine pehle bhi faida uthaya, jo pehle zikar kiye gaye entry point mein. Aaj, UK Manufacturing PMI figures ke izhar hone ki tawaqo hai. Agar yeh values investors ke expectations ko paar karein, toh yeh pound ke uthao ko jari rakhna ke liye sabit hogi, kyun ke haftay ke ibteda mein short-term bechne ke koi wazay sabab nahi hain. Mera tareeqa hai ke main pound khareedun jab GBP/USD 1.2755 tak pohanch jaye, jo ke chart pe hari line se nishanit hai, 1.2805 ke nishanit hai, jo moti hari line se zahir hai. 1.2805 tak pohanchne ke baad, main long positions band karun ga aur short positions shuru karun ga 30-35 pips ke ulte irtifa ke intezar mein.

Pound ke harkat par aaj ka itminan rozay ke high ka pakka toorna aur musbat UK manufacturing activity figures par mabni hai. Khareednay se pehle, zaroori hai ke tasdeeq karen ke MACD indicator zero ke oopar hai aur abhi shuru ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, agar do musalsal tests hoti hain 1.2723 ke price ka jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai, toh main bhi pound khareednay ka irada rakhta hoon, kyun ke yeh instrument ka neeche ki taraf ki taqat ko rok sakta hai aur mukhtalif auron ka izhar karsakta hai, jo 1.2755 aur 1.2805 ke darmiyan ki harkat ki tawaqo ki jaati hai.

Mukhaalif, 1.2723 ke level ko test karne ke baad (jo chart pe laal line se nishanit hai), jiski wajah se GBP/USD mein tezi se kami aati hai, toh main aaj pound bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Traders ke liye asal nishan 1.2684 hoga, jahan pe main choti positions band karun ga aur long positions shuru karun ga, ulte irtifa ke 20-25 pips ke movement ki tawaqo mein. Pound bechna uchit hai jab jodi rozay ke high ke qareeb mazid koi jama nahi hoti. Bechnay se pehle, zaroori hai ke tasdeeq karen ke MACD indicator zero ke neeche hai aur abhi shuru ho raha hai.

Iske ilawa, agar MACD indicator overbought region mein hai aur 1.2755 ke do musalsal tests hote hain, toh main aaj pound bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh jodi ke upar ki taraf ki tawaqo ko mehdood kardega aur mukhtalif auron ka izhar kar sakta hai, jo 1.2723 aur 1.2684 ke darmiyan ki harkat ki tawaqo ki jaati hai.