جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD currency pair North American trading session mein badi had tak be-mutaharik rahi, Bank of England policymaker Megan Green ki tawajjuh ke baghair. Ye khami harkat aik khamosh ma'ashi data ke din mein aai. Intehai Federal Reserve af'wah ka moamla dekhtay hue, kai afwahen chal rahi hain ke Fed ki taraf se chandra chandratein bhi jari ki jaa sakti hain. Baaz log 2024 ke shuru mein chhe chandratein ki umeed rakhte hain. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic aur New York Fed President Williams jese ahem markazi bank carwano ke taqreerain sar headline bani, ma'ashi data ke izharat ko shadeed shadeed chhupa kar.

Bostic ne infalation ko control karne ki zarurat ko buland awaz se izhar kiya, jabke Williams ne Fed ki data-driven approach ki tareef ki aur mojooda monetary policy stance par itminan izhar kiya, lekin agar zarurat pesh aai to future mein daro rate ko bhi nahi khatam kiya. Market sentiment par mazeed asar daalne ke liye, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index ne taza 15.5 par shadeed izafa kiya, jo ke sirf 1.5 ka saada ta'qeed tha. Magar mojooda ghar bechne ke data ne mukhtalif tasveer paish ki, 4.19 million units mein 4.3% ke izafe ke sath ummedon se kuch kam rahe.

In tajurbaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, market ke Fed rate cuts ki umeeden kamzor ho gayi hain, ab karobarion ko sirf do cuts ki umeed hai. Ye sentiment ka jhataka GBP/USD pair ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar Bank of England Fed se pehle rate ko khatam karne ka faisla kare. Takneeki manzar par jhankte hue, GBP/USD daily chart mein aik mumkin bearish harkat ki isharaat hain. Jodi ka halqi bhteri November 2023 ki kami 1.2448 ke neeche gir gai hai, jo ke isay mazeed kami 1.2400 ke janib khatraat mein daal rahi hai. Jaise ke kharidne wale ne kuch nuqsan wapis le liya hai, magar haal hi ki qeemat ka amal darust karta hai ke kharidne ki dabao 1.2480/90 zone ke aas paas jama ho rahi hai. 1.2400 ke neeche girna aik ziada shidat se girawat ka aghaz kar sakta hai, jahan November 17th ki kamai (1.2374) aur November 10th ki kamai (1.2187) jese mumkin support level hain. Doosri taraf, GBP/USD ke liye aik mumkin inkiyaar 1.2500 ke darja ko torne ki zarurat hai. Magar kharidne wale 200-day moving average (DMA) ke sath 1.2575 par mojood hai jo ke aik bara rukawat hai.

British Pound (GBP) Thursday ki Asian trading session mein kamzor note par shuru hui, jis mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 1.2450 ke aas paas ghum rahi thi. Yeh kamzori haal hi mein UK ke inflation data se hai, jo ke March mein 3.2% par do saal aur aadha ke record tezi se kami dikhata hai. 3.4% se kam hone se, investors ki umeedain hai ke Bank of England aane wale mahino mein interest rates ko kum kardega, jis se GBP/USD jori par neeche ke dabaav aayega. Mazeed maaliati data releases Thursday ke baad aane wale hain, jo ke US jobless claims, regional manufacturing data, aur mojooda gharoun ki farokht ko lekar mazeed andaza dete hain. Bank of England khud ne bhi naram inflation figures ke bais rate kum karne ki ishaarat di hain. Yeh maaliati rukawat GBP/USD ke technical indicators mein zahir hai. Stochastic index ne pehle ka support level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke dhaanchna deta hai ke jori oversold ho sakti hai. Lekin, relative strength index abhi tak 30 ke qareeb hai, jo ke "sell" signal samjha jata hai, aur mazeed girawat ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. Chhoti-term ke jazbaat maanfi rehte hain jab tak ke keemat neeche ki janib giray aur descending channel aur 50-day moving average (1.2655) ko torde.
GBP/USD ki mojooda kamzori pareshan kun hai, kyun ke 20-day aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan ka faasla kam hota ja raha hai. Aam tor par yeh upri saal ki kami ka ishara deta hai. Magar agar keemat 1.2655 ke oopar chadh jati hai, to tawajju resistance levels par 1.2700-1.2740 par hogi. Is zone ke behtar tor par tor par tor se upar ja sakta hai jo ke pichlay pandamic ki low 1.2820 ke qareeb pohanch sakta hai. Muta'alliqan, agar GBP/USD apna neeche ka rukh jaari rakhta hai, to pehle 1.2340 ke qareeb support ka saamna kar sakta hai. Ziyada ahem girawat ka dor bhi maansik taur par ahem level 1.2300 ko khelne mein aa sakta hai.
Mustaqil kamzori shayad pehle 1.2260 ke qareeb pichlay support zone ko dobara test kare, phir aham level 1.2200 se larte hue. Mangalwar ko keemat ka inkar 1.2500 par suggest karta hai ke downtrend shayad khatam na ho. Halankeh waqtan-fa-waqtan mawazna mumkin hai, lekin rozana band 1.2400 ke neeche hone se mazeed girawat ki rah khul sakti hai jis se 1.2340 ki taraf mazeed girawat ho sakti hai.

Crossover ke baad, market mein bearish trend ka asar asal mein currency pair ki qeemat par hota hai. Is mein maqbool bearish trend ke context mein qeemat ki bewafai ka tawajjo se dekhna zaroori hai. Jab bearish sentiment hoti hai, to traders ko currency pair ke support level range zone ke andar tootne ki zyada sambhavna hoti hai. Is waqt, munsalik diagram mein support levels ki ahmiyat ka waqt darazi chart par wazeh kiya ja sakta hai. Support levels, yaani ke woh qeemat jahan se currency pair ki keemat neeche girne se rokta hai, market dynamics mein badi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Agar support levels toot jayein, to yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein bearish trend ka taasur mazid barh sakta hai. Is liye traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur qeemat ki harkat ko mutasir karne wale mukhtalif factors ko ghor se samajhna chahiye. Ma'ashiyati ishaaray, siyasi aur rajneeti hadsat, aur market ki janib se jazbat, yeh sabhi factors currency pair ki qeemat par asar daal sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati ishaaray, jaise ke GDP growth rate aur employment data,



market mein bearish ya bullish sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain. Siyasi aur rajneeti hadsat bhi market ko directly ya indirectly asar andaaz ho sakte hain, jaise ke geopolitical tensions ya central bank policies.
Is liye, traders ko in factors ko samajh kar apni trading strategies ko adjust karna zaroori hai. Bearish trend ke doran, support levels ko closely monitor karna aur unki ahmiyat ko samajhna market ke liye mukhtalif rehnumai faraham kar sakta hai. Support levels ko tootne se pehle, traders ko apne risk management aur exit strategies ko tayyar karna chahiye taake nuqsanat ko kam kiya ja sake. Final mein, market ke dynamics ko samajhna aur market ki harkat ko predict karne ke liye traders ko tajziya aur tajurba hona zaroori hai. Bearish trend ke doran, qeemat ki harkat ko mutasir karne wale mukhtalif factors ko ghor se samajh kar, traders apni trading decisions ko improve kar sakte hain aur nuqsanat se bach sakte hain.

GBPUSD

Is maheenay mein Dollar index mein aur bhi mazbooti nazar aayi hai, jo GbpUsd market mein ek bearish movement ko trigger kar rahi hai Lagta hai ke market ki qeematain maheenay ke ibtida se kami mein ja rahi hain Kal raat ek bullish correction hui, jo ke market ki haalat jise maine takneeki tor par dekha tha, us se lagta hai ke market 1.2536 zone ke neeche trade kar raha tha, is liye yeh maqam traders ke liye ek reference hai ke woh bearish trend par tawajjo dein kyunke market ka safar peechle haftay se Downtrend side par chal raha hai Agar aap haftay ke ibtedai pattern ko naapain, to lagta hai ke market bearish rally zone mein chalne ki koshish kar raha hai Yeh haalat h4 time frame par dekhi ja sakti hai aur qeemat oopar ki taraf correction kar rahi hai Agar agle safar phir se 1.2402 zone tak neeche ja sakta hai, to shayad yeh haftay ke ikhtitam tak bhi bearish reh sakta hai, hum sirf intezar kar sakte hain aur dekh sakte hain ke agar qeemat ko bechne walon ka musbat jawab milta hai to yeh beshak bearishness ko support karega

Takneeki nazar se, market ka pattern yeh hai ke downtrend ab bhi market movement par chha gaya hai, jis se qeemat ki harkat ko pehle oopar ki taraf correction karne ki tendency ban gayi hai, phir dopahar mein candlestick bara bearish trend ke saath chalti hai Ab market ab bhi Asian zone mein hai jahan par market mein transaction volatility nisbatan kam hai, market mein trading faisla hasil karne ke liye kuch ghanton ka intezar behtareen hai Iske ilawa, neeche ki qeemat ka ilaqa bearish continuation ke liye seller ka maqsood ban jata hai Haftay ke ibteda mein candlestick ka maqam neeche chala gaya tha, lagta hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai Agar mumkin ho, GbpUsd ki qeemat aur bhi gehri gir sakti hai taake aap haftay ke liye zyada munafa hasil kar sakein

GBP/USD H1

Market sentiment pound ke performans ko gehri asar daalti hai, khaaskar maqool interest rate ki tabdeelian ke hawale se Haal hi mein mua'qat interest rate cut ki ummeeden ko peechay chhodne wale haalaat mein aane wale mizaji dastawaizon ne badal diya hain Iss ke bajaye, tawajju ab April ke inflation figures par mudaawam hai taake rate adjustments ke potential timing ko samjha ja sake, jahan nigarishakar June ya August ko mumkin starting points ke tor par dekh rahe hain

Pound ke qeemat investors ke dwara maeeshat ke indicators aur central bank policy signals ko kaise samajhne par mabni hai Iss maamle mein, tawajju inflation aur wage data par hai, jo ke monetary policy decisions ko rehnuma karte hain Jab maishatein tajwezat se zyada mil jaati hain aur mehengai ghair ummeedanak tor par barh jaati hai, toh yeh ek mazboot maeeshat ko darust karne ka ishaara deta hai, jis se interest rate cuts ki zaroorat ko taal sakte hain Is natije mein, traders apni expectations ko dobara tarteeb dete hain, jis se currency markets par asar hota hai

Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions pound ke nisbat market sentiment ko shakal deti hain Interest rates ko adjust karke, central bank price stability aur mustaqil maeeshati growth ka apna dual mandate poora karne ki koshish karta hai Aksar, buland interest rate ek currency ko mazid mazboot karta hai kyun ke yeh buland yields ke liye talab hoti hai Ulte, kam rates currency ko kamzor kar sakte hain jabke investors behtar returns ko talash karte hain

Pound ke hawale se, interest rate cuts ke expectations ki tawaqqo currency ki qeemat par neeche ki taraf dabav daal deti hai Investors pound-denominated assets par kam returns ki umeed mein currency ko bech sakte hain Ulte, maqool maeeshati data jo rate cuts ke chances ko kam kar deta hai, pound ke liye demand ko barha sakta hai, jis se uski qeemat buland ho sakti hai

Interest rate decisions ka waqt currency traders ke liye ahem hota hai Interest rate adjustments ke timing aur miqdaar ke hawale se expectations mein chhote se tabadlaat bhi exchange rates mein numaya harkat ko trigger kar sakte hain Isliye, economic data releases, central bank communications, aur market sentiment sab pound ki qeemat ko shakal dete hain

Jaise ke nigarishakar April ke inflation figures ka intezaar karte hain, woh data ko monetary policy ke rukh par insights ke liye gehri tor par tajziya karenge Yeh dekhte hue keh inflation expectations ko poora karta hai, unse zyada hota hai, ya expectations ko nahi poora karta hai, market participants mustaqbil ke interest rate movements ke liye apne forecast ko mutabiq tarteeb denge Yeh musalsal data, expectations, aur policy decisions ka khail currency markets ke dynamic nature ko darust karta hai, jis se pound ki qeemat par asar hota hai aur trading strategies par asar padta hai

GBP/USD H4

GBP/USD ko ek mumkin behtar hone ke liye, 1.2700 level ko paar karna hoga Yeh ek zaroori darja hai jo currency pair ke performans mein ek musbat mukammal badalao ki rah ko banane mein madad karega Magar, kharidardar ko 200-day moving average (DMA) ke roop mein ek bohot bara challenge ka samna karna padega, jo ke abhi 1.2675 par maujood hai Yeh moving average ek ahem resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai aur ek barrier hai jo kharidardar ko zyadati ke dore ko hasil karne ke liye paar karna hoga

Currency pair ke haal ki sakhti ne ek noteey shift ki raaye dikhayi hai GBP/USD pair ne ek neeche ki taraf safar ke saath deal kiya tha, aur November 10 ke kam point 1.2177 is raah ko misaal deta hai Jab jab pair ek behtar raah talash karta hai, to tawajju is baat par hogi ke kya yeh 1.2700 ki psyche barrier ke par upar uth sakta hai Agar yeh yeh kar pata hai, to yeh momentum mein ek shift ko darust karega aur pair ke liye ek zyada bullish nazar e aqeedat ka ishaara ho sakta hai




Magar, 200-day moving average jo 1.2675 par hai, yeh ek technical rukawat hai jo tackle kiya jana hoga Yeh lamba dor ka trend indicator amooman ek mazboot support ya resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai, market ke rukh ke mutabiq GBP/USD ko is average ke par guzarne ke liye, ek taqatwar kharid dabaav ki zaroorat hogi jo pair ko oopar dhakel sake Aise ek harkat ko ek bada tabdili ke roop mein darust kiya jayega aur yeh ishara karega ke pair ke liye market ki nazar e aqeedat zyada ummeedwar ho rahi hai

Traders aur investors ko closely dekhne wale hain ke GBP/USD in ahem levels ke aas paas kis tarah ka reaction dikhata hai 1.2700 mark aur 200-day moving average ke paar safal tor, market sentiment mein ek tabdeeli ka ishaara aur currency pair ke liye ek mumkin mukammal badalao ko indicate kar sakta hai Yeh development zyadati ko mazeed kharidardar market mein la sakti hai, upar ki rukh ko mazboot kar ke aur mazeed faida dene ke liye support faraham kar sakte hai

Dusri taraf, in ahem levels ko torne mein kamiyaabi nakaam hone se mojooda neeche ki rukh ko jari rakh sakti hai Agar pair ko 1.2675 resistance ke paar karne mein kathinai ho, to bechne walon ko dobara control hasil ho sakta hai, jo currency pair mein mazeed kamiyabi ke liye aur neeche girao mein le ja sakta hai Iss scenario mein, traders ne possible neeche ki targets ke liye dekha jaye ga November 10th ke low 1.2177 ke ird gird, kyun ke market shayad dobara is level ko test karna chahega

Aam tor par, aaney wale sessions GBP/USD pair ki disha tay karne mein ahem ho jayenge Market participants closely dekhenge ke currency pair ke liye resistance levels ko kaise navigational karta hai aur ek saaf trend establish karta hai Asaasi factors jaise ke economic data releases aur geo-political events bhi short to medium term mein pair ki raah ko shakal dete hain




Akhri tor par, GBP/USD ke ubharnay ka intezar uske ability par hai ke woh ahem resistance levels ko tor sake, khaas tor par 1.2700 level aur 1.2675 par 200-day moving average Safal tor ek zyada bullish nazar e aqeedat ke liye maidan set kar sakta hai, jabke agar yeh nahi kar sakta toh neeche ki dabao jari rahe sakti hai Traders aur investors pair ke agle kadam ka jaiza lene ke liye situation ko closely nigrani mein rakhenge

GBP/USD



GBP/USD currency pair North American trading session mein bharosa rakhta raha, Bank of England policymaker Megan Green ki tawajjo se mehroom rehne par asar nahi hua. Yeh movement UK mein ek khamosh maqami data din ke doraan aayi. Ek taraf, Federal Reserve ke kai afisaane sabar ka naam lete rahe, jinhon ne apni hoshiyari raaye par qaim rakhi, interest rate cuts ke maamle mein. Yeh jazbat pehle ke tawaqo'at se mukhtalif hain, jab kuch logon ne early 2024 mein chhe cuts tak ki tawaqo ki thi. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic aur New York Fed President Williams jaise ahem central bankers ki taqreeron ne headlines par qabza kar liya, jis ne ma'ashi data releases ko peechay chhupa diya. Bostic ne mustaqbil ki policy par roshni daali aur tawanai ko control karne ki zarurat par zor diya, jis se lagta hai ke Fed monitory policy mein rafaqat ko barqarar rakhe gi. Jabke Williams ne Fed ki data-driven approach ko tasleem kiya aur mojooda monitory policy stance par itminan bayan kiya, lekin agar zarurat pesh aai to future rate hikes ko bhi inkar nahi kiya. Market sentiment ko mazeed asar andaz karte hue, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index ne 15.5 tak tezi se barhne ke sath aik shandar surprise kiya, jo ke 1.5 ki mamooli tawaqo se bohot zyada tha. Magar, mojudah ghar ke farokht data ne alag manzar paish kiya, jis mein 4.3% ke izafi girawat ke sath 4.19 million units ka izafa izzafa hua. In tajawuzat ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, market ki tawaqo Fed ke rate cuts ke liye samhaal gayi hai, traders ab sirf do cuts ki tawaqo rakhte hain. Yeh tawaqo ka tabadla GBP/USD pair ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar Bank of England Fed se pehle rates ko kat'ta hai. Technical nazar se dekhtay hue, GBP/USD daily chart aik mumkin bearish harkat ka ishaara deta hai. Pair ka hal hi mein November 2023 ke 1.2448 ke neeche chalay jana usay mazeed izafi girawat ke liye khol deta hai jo ke 1.2400 level ki taraf ja sakti hai. Halan ke kharid dene wale ne kuch nuqsaan wapis le liya hai, lekin hal hi ki qeemat amal ka ishara deti hai ke 1.2480/90 zone ke aas paas kharid dabaav jama ho raha hai. 1.2400 ke neeche girne se gehri izafi girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai, jahan pe potential support levels hain November 17th ke low (1.2374) aur November 10th ke low (1.2187). Dusri taraf, GBP/USD ke liye aik mumkin bahal hone ke liye 1.2500 level ka toorna zaroori hai. Magar, kharid dene wale 200-day moving average (DMA) ke form mein ek bari mushkil ka samna karenge jo ke mojooda waqt mein 1.2575 par hai.

British pound ka hal hil chuka hai. Juma ko ek kami ke baad, ab wo khoyi hui zameen wapas le raha hai. Yeh uske bawajood hai ke taqatwar US jobs report ne dollar ko buland kiya. Amuman, pound haftay ke liye flat hai jismein kisi bhi aham ghair mojoodgi ke bawajood khaas gardish aayi hai. US economy is currency exchange drama mein aik ahem kheiladaar hai. Aik shandar hiring quarter, jis mein March ka nonfarm employment tawaqoat se zyada tha, ne dollar ko buland kiya. Jabke saalana growing rate thori c kam hui, wage inflation barhti ja rahi hai, Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate hikes ke lehaz se fikron ko kam kar rahi hai. Dariyaft kiya gaya ke is week UK ki services industry se weak data ke baad worries barh gayi hain. Thaki hui GDP aur sasti ke dabaon ka rukh investors ko Bank of England ke potential interest rate cuts ki taraf le ja rahi hai, jo pound par neechay ki dabao daal rahi hai.

Ye manfi andaz e fikr eftar ke chuti ke baad investors ke wapas aane par wazeh tha. Pound to US dollar exchange rate aik chhah haftay ka record kam par chala gaya, jo ke uske March ke peak ke baad ek neechay ki taraf ka trend hai. Analysts ab dekh rahe hain ke agar pound December 2023 mein jo inkaar ka samna karta raha tha, us se bacha ja sakta hai. Agar girawat jaari rahe, to pound pehle kuch ahem nafsiyati support levels par imtehaan le sakta hai jese ke 1.2517 aur 1.2500. Aur girawat ka barhna usay aham 1.2440 resistance zone tak le ja sakta hai. Mazeed nuksan ko December mein pehchaanay gaye support line ya phir 1.2380-1.2400 range se ya potential ki saktah hai. Asal mein, pound ka mustaqbil taqatwar US dollar aur UK ki uncertain economic outlook ke darmiyan ke khelaf hai. Aanay wale hafton mein yeh anjaam dene wale hain ke pound apna pair kaboo mein la sakta hai ya aur gir sakta hai. GBP/USD pair ab ek juncture par hai, haal hi mein support se rebound kiya hai lekin mukhya levels par resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Ek bullish tongs pattern banane ke baad, pair tezi se badha lekin fir 50-day aur 100-day moving averages ke intersection par rukavat aayi hai, jo ki laal aur neela lines se symbolize ki gayi hai. yah resistace ne ek giravat ko la ke bearish shooting star candlestick pattern ka nirman kiya. Haal hi ki kamzori ke bawjud, support at 1.2550, jo November 2023 se se pakka saabit hua hai. Yah ek aur tezi ka potential darshata hai. Magar, MACD indicator, trend reversals confirm karne ke liye istemal kiya jaanewala ek tool, abhi tak ek kharidne ka signal nahi de raha hai, jaise hi signal line ko paar kar ke. Moving averages swayam resistace blocks ke roop mein bane huye hain, jiske liye ek nishchit tod (jaise ki lamba hare rang ka candle jo unke paas band hota hai) ki zarurat hai ek adhik bullish outlook ke liye. Is pichle chitron ko aur bhi jatil bana raha hai. GBP/USD ne lambe samay ke uptrend line aur 200-day SMA ke niche gir gaya. Jabki ye abhi tak November se sthapit 1.2520-1.2820 consolidation zone ke andar hai, haal hi ki momentum ko phir se hasily karne ki koshish kamzor nazar aati hai. Agar range ke nichle simit aur 1.2495 support ke par neeche gir jaata hai, toh ek adhik negative market bhavna trigger kar sakta hai, jo ki 1.2370 ki diwar ko samne la sakta hai.

Overall, GBP/USD pair mukhya resistance levels par ladhata rahta hai, uljhan ke beech mein conflicting technical signs ke beech. Traders ko dhyaan se dekhna chahiye 1.2550 support level, moving averages, aur MACD indicator ke aas paas price action ko, pair ke agle disha ke liye sanket. Moving averages ke paar hone aur MACD se bullish confirmation ka signal, 1.2820 resistance ki taraf ek sambhav rally ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Dusri or, 1.2495 support ke neeche ek tod, 1.2370 ki aur aur giravat ki aur le ja sakta hai. Is chanchal market mahaul mein sabr aur savdhan rahna sahi rahega

GBP/USD ka one-hour time frame analyze karte hue, jo resistance level 181.59 hai, wo higher price point ko darust karta hai. Resistance level market mein ek point hai jahan pe buyers ko selling pressure se guzarna padta hai, jiski wajah se price increase rok jati hai ya slow ho jati hai. Ye level market mein ek important point hai, kyunki jab price is level tak pahunchta hai, traders aur investors expect karte hain ke price wapas neeche jaayega ya phir sideways move karega. Is level ko pehchanna trading strategies ke liye kafi zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh ek potential entry ya exit point ho sakta hai. Is level ke paar jane ka mtlb hai ke market mein strong buying pressure hai aur price ko aur upar jaane ki sambhavna hai. Agar price is level ko successfully cross kar leti hai, toh traders ka focus agle resistance level ki taraf shift hota hai. Resistance level ko identify karne ke liye technical analysis ka istemal hota hai, jisme price action, trend lines, aur indicators jaise ki moving averages aur Fibonacci retracement ka istemal kiya jaata hai. Yeh important hai ke traders apni trading strategy ko sahi tarah se samjhein aur market ki movements ko monitor karte rahein. Agar price resistance level ko break kar leti hai, toh traders ko apni positions ko adjust karna chahiye, taake unka trade risk kam ho aur potential profit badhe. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke traders market ke fundamentals ko bhi dhyan mein rakhein, jaise economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events. In sab factors ka impact market movements pe hota hai aur inhe ignore kar dena trading decisions ke liye nuksaan dayak ho sakta hai. Overall, GBP/USD ka 181.59 resistance level ek important point hai jo traders ko market ke direction aur potential trading opportunities ke baare mein indicate karta hai. Is level ko monitor karna aur uske around price action ko analyze karna trading success ke liye zaroori hai.

Haal ki taraqqiyat yeh darust karti hai ke mojooda ma'ashiyati sharaait shuru mein tasawwur kiye gaye se zyada lambi muddat tak jari reh sakti hain. Is se US dollar (USD) ko doosri currencies ke muqablay mein mazbooti milti hai, jaise ke British Pound (GBP). UK ke manufacturing sector mein behtari ke nishaan dikh rahe hain, jin ka buniyadi kaaran qaum ki demand hai, lekin GBP ke ird gird mojooda kamzori saaf hai. Is ke ilawa, Pound ki pasandgi ko mazboot manufacturing data se aur kamzor kar diya gaya hai jo America se aaya hai. UK ke manufacturing sector mein behtari ke nishaan dikh rahe hain, jin ka buniyadi kaaran qoam ki demand hai, lekin is behtar hone ka asal silsila zyada se zyada ghair mulki factors ka asar kam hai. Jab ke yeh ek acha taraqqi hai, lekin yeh GBP ke ird gird mojooda kamzoriyon ko khatam karne ke liye kafi nahi hai, jo ke currency markets mein is ki performance par bohot zyada asar dal rahi hai. Mukhalif taur par, America mein mazboot manufacturing data aaya hai, jo ke USD mein investoron ki umeedon ko barha deta hai. Mazboot manufacturing sector America mein na sirf ma'ashiyati mazbooti ko darshaata hai balkay ye bhi sujhaata hai ke gharo ka kharch mazboot hai. Ye, apne moavze ke tahqiqat ke zyada darwaze khol sakta hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Haftawar chart ke mutabiq, pound/dollar 2019 se descending price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai. Filhal, Bartanwi pound 1.2422 ke ird-gird chal raha hai. Is se qabal, kharidaron ne channel ki balayi hadd ka test karne ki koshish ki lekin nakam rahe. Natije ke taur par, qimat 1.2890 ki satah se piche hat gayi aur aalmi kami ke rujhan par wapas aa gayi. Aaj, is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh pound/dollar ka joda apne nuqsanat ko badha dega aur 1.2050 ki satah tak gir jayega (pichli kami ka muqami nichli satah). Pichle hafte ki candlestick ka baody surkha tha, aur maujudah candlestick ka bhi waisa hi hone ka imkan hai.



EUR/USD
Ab aaiye haftawar chart par ruto/dollar ke jode ka tajziyah karien. European currency bhi ek descending channel ke andar chal rahi hai aur filhal 1.0635 ki satah par trade kar rahi hai. Is se pahle, market ne channel ki balayi hadd ka test karne ke liye bulls ki musalsal tin nakam koshishen dekhi, jiske natije me aalmi mandi ki rujhan laut aayi. Pichle hafte ki candlestick ka body surkh tha, jiska matlab hai keh is hafte ki candlestick bhi manfi rujhan ki numaindagi karne ke liye surkh rang ki ho sakti hai. 1.0450 ka nishan (pichle sal October me muqami nichli satah muqarrar hua tha) tak kami ki tawaqqo me short positions 1.0635 ki maujudah satah par kholi ja sakti hai.

GBP/USD currency pair Thursday ko stagnant rahi. EUR/USD article mein, humne phrase use kiya ke British currency "flat se bahar nikalne ke baad bhi flat rehti hai." Chaliye samjhein ke ye kya matlab hai. British pound ne 4 mahinon tak 1.25-1.28 (mutarif hadood) ke darmiyan ek taraf rahne ka silsila rakha. Pichle hafte lambe arse ke intezar ke baad lower boundary ke neeche breakthrough dekha; uske baad kuch nahi hua. Super-overbought pound abhi tak gira nahi hai, haalaanki UK ki maeeshat mandi mein hai, aur Bank of England market ke umeed se jaldi monetary policy ko asaan karne ka aghaz kar sakti hai. Pound kamzor hona pasand nahi kar raha, haalaanki US ki maeeshat, rozgar market, aur karobar ki sargarmi ki badiyat hai. Market dollar ko khareedne se inkar kar rahi hai, haalaanki Fed ki hawkish policy stance aur videsh mein mahangai ki slowdown ki kami hai.

Is tarah, GBP/USD jodi abhi illogical taur par trade ho rahi hai. Asal mein, hum 24 ghante ka timeframe par flat ki mukammal hone ka faisla kar rahe hain. Haan, jodi ne sideways channel se bahar nikal liya hai, lekin 4 ghante ka timeframe dekha jaye to, wo ek hafta se stationary hai. Kuch log keh sakte hain ke is hafte ke macroeconomic background weak hai, is liye jodi ka lagbhag immobilized halat hai. Hum aise ek raaye ko ghalat samajhte hain, kyunke pichle kuch dinon mein kam se kam do events hone chahiye the jo keemat ko dead center se hila dena chahiye thi. UK mein mahangai un levels ke qareeb hai jahan central bank ko monetary policy ko asaan karne ki guftagu shuru kar deni chahiye. Jerome Powell ne saaf kar diya ke nazdiki mustaqbil mein kisi bhi daromadar ko khatam karna baat chhod diya hai.

Thursday ko aur bhi dilchasp maloomat samne aai. Morgan Stanley ke experts ke mutabiq, wo May mein UK mein pehli dafa monetary policy ko asaan hone ka intezar kar rahe hain. Note kiya gaya hai ke zyadatar market participants pehli daromadarat ka intezaar September mein karte hain, jo ke abhi bhi US se pehle ho sakta hai. Haalaanki, Morgan Stanley ke experts ne Andrew Bailey ke April 17 ko di gayi taqreer mein ummed-e-khayal ko nazar andaz karte hue kaha, jo current inflation decline ko "forecasts ke mutabiq" kaha. Aur yaad rakhein ke kitni martaba humne kaha hai ke Fed ko chahe jo marzi ho, wo rates ko zyada arse tak jari rakh sakti hai. Lekin Bank of England ko aisi raahat nahi hai, kyunke British economy ne pehle se hi do mukhalif quarters guzare hain.

Jaise ke dekha gaya hai, hamare alfaz aise haqeeqati ma'ani hasil kar rahe hain. British regulators mukhtalif economic contraction ko roknay ke liye umeed se jaldi hi policy ko asaan kar sakte hain, jo 2016 se sakhti se guzar rahi hai. ECB, jo ke maeeshat mandi se bach gaya, ne inflation ko 2.4% tak girne ka intezaar kiya aur phir sirf tab rate-cut cycle shuru karne ki tayyariyon par guftagu shuru ki. Bank of England shayad itna CPI ke maqam ka intezaar na kare aur jaldi shuru ho jaye. BoE pehle rates ko kum karna shuru karega, aur Fed - bohat baad mein market ke umeed se. Is tarah, bunyadi background ab bhi sirf pound ki giravat ki baat karta hai. Magar market ya market makers ab bhi GBP/USD jodi ko bechnay se inkar kar rahe hain. Ya phir Bank of England pound ke exchange rate ko musteqil banane ke liye chhup ke interventions kar raha hai. GBP/USD jodi ki aam volatility pichle 5 trading dinon mein 74 points rahi hai. Pound/dollar jodi ke liye ye qeemat "average" consider ki jati hai. Juma ko, April 19 ko, hum 1.2384 aur 1.2532 ke darmiyan mei range mein movement ki umeed rakhte hain. Senior linear regression channel neeche ki taraf ishara de raha hai, jo ke ek descending trend ki nishandahi karta hai. CCI indicator do martaba oversold zone mein dakhil hua, jo ke jodi mein naye uthan ko provoke kar sakta hai. Lekin, 4 mahine ka flat mukammal karna abhi zaroori hai.

Qareebi support levels:

S1 - 1.2421

S2 - 1.2390

Qareebi resistance levels:

R1 - 1.2451

R2 - 1.2482

R3 - 1.2512

Trading recommendations:

GBP/USD currency pair 24 ghante ka timeframe par flat mukammal karne ka tassawur hai, jo ke sab se ahem baat hai. Hum ab bhi movement sirf South ki taraf umeed karte hain, aur ab jab level 1.2500 ko tor diya gaya hai, jodi ko 1.2384 aur 1.2351 ke targets ke sath bechna gawara hai. British pound ko khareedna conditions ke mutabiq be-maqsad hai, jab price ne sideways channel ke lower boundary ke zariye nikal liya hai. Jodi jaldi upar uth sakta hai, kyunke CCI indicator ne do martaba oversold zone mein dakhil kiya hai, lekin hum ise sahi nahi samajhte hain ke is correction mein trade karna chahiye.

GBP/USD currency pair Thursday ko static raha. EUR/USD article mein humne phrase istemal kiya tha ke British currency "flat se bahar nikalne ke baad bhi flat hai." Chaliye samjhaate hain iska kya matlab hai. British pound 4 mahinon tak 1.25-1.28 (takreeban hadood) ke darmiyan ek side mein trade hui. Pichle haftay mein lambee intezar ki gayi peechidgi ne neeche ki hadood ke neeche breakthrough dekha; uske baad kuch nahi hua. Super-overbought pound abhi tak girne se inkar karta hai halankeh UK ki maeeshat ghareebi mein hai, aur Bank of England market ki umeed se pehle hi monetary policy ko aasan karne ka aghaaz kar sakta hai. Pound ko qeemat ghatane mein hichkichahat mehsoos hoti hai, halankeh US ki maeeshat, rozgaar market, aur karobar ki faaliat kaafi behtar hai. Market dollar ko kharidne se inkar karta hai, halankeh Fed ki hawkish policy stance aur overseas mein muflisi ki rukawat ke bawajood inflation ki dhaar mein koi kami nahi hai.

Is tarah, GBP/USD jodi ab waqtan-fa-waqtan gair-mantiki tor par trade ho rahi hai. Bunyadi tor par, hum abhi bhi 24 ghante ke timeframe mein flat ka ikhtitam tay kar rahe hain. Haan, jodi ne side mein channel se bahar nikal liya hai, lekin 4 ghante ke timeframe par, wo ek haftay se static hai. Kuch log keh sakte hain ke is haftay ki macroeconomic background kamzor hai, is liye jodi ka qareeban immobilized halat hai. Hum aise kisi ray ko ghalat samajhte hain, kyunke kam az kam pichle kuch dino mein do events aise the jo qeemat ko murdar mark se hila sakte the. UK mein muflisi ke darajay tak inflation pohanch rahi hai jahan par central bank ko monetary policy easing ki mazakarat shuru karne ka munasib hai. Jerome Powell ne wazeh tor par izhar kiya ke qareebi mustaqbil mein koi darjat keat ka izafa sawal hi nahi hai.

Aur Thursday ko mazeed dilchasp maloomat saamne aayi. Morgan Stanley ke experts ne kaha ke wo May mein UK mein pehli dafa monetary policy ko aasan karne ka intezar karte hain. Darjat ke zyadatar market participants pehli darjat ka rate cut September mein tawajjuh kar rahe hain, jo ke shayad US se pehle ho sakta hai. Halankeh, Morgan Stanley ke experts ne 17 April ko Andrew Bailey ke husool e raay par tasalli ka izhar kiya, jo ke mojooda dhaar mein inflation ki barhti hui speed ko "tasleemat ke mutabiq" qarar diya. Aur yaad rakhein kitni dafa humne kaha hai ke Fed ko chahaye jitni marzi lambi muddat tak rates ko maximum par rakhne ki aazadi hai. Magar Bank of England ko aise luxury nahi hai, kyunkeh British maeeshat pehle hi do musalsal quarters se manfi raftar par hai.

Jaise ke dekha ja sakta hai, humare alfaz darust maani ikhtiyar kar rahe hain. British regulators expected se pehle policy ko aasan karne ka aghaaz kar sakte hain taake maeeshat ki mazeed tangi ko roka ja sake, jo 2016 se mushkil waqt guzar rahi hai. ECB, jo muflisi se bach gaya, ne maeeshat mein rukawat ka intezar kiya jab tak ke inflation 2.4% tak na pohanch gaya aur phir unho ne rate-cut cycle shuru karne ke liye tayyari ka muzakra shuru kiya. Bank of England shayad itni CPI ke qeemat ka intezar na kare aur pehle shuru kar de. BoE pehle rate ko katwae ga, aur Fed - market ki umeed se bohot baad mein. Is tarah, bunyadi background abhi bhi sirf pound ki girawat ki baat karta hai. Lekin market ya market makers abhi bhi GBP/USD jodi ko bechnay se inkar karte hain. Ya phir Bank of England pound ke exchange rate ko stable karne ke liye chhipe huwe interventional kaam kar rahi hai. GBP/USD jodi ke average volatility ke peechle 5 trading dino mein 74 points hain. Pound/dollar jodi ke liye, yeh qeemat "average" maani jati hai. Jumeraat, 19 April ko, hum 1.2384 aur 1.2532 ke levels ke darmiyan rehai ke umeed karte hain. Senior linear regression channel neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo ke ek girawat ki trend ki alamat hai. CCI indicator oversold zone mein do baar dakhil hua, jo ke jodi mein ek naya uthan paida kar sakta hai. Magar, 4 mahinay ka flat mukammal karna abhi sabse ahem hai.

Qareebi support levels:

S1 - 1.2421

S2 - 1.2390

Qareebi resistance levels:

R1 - 1.2451

R2 - 1.2482

R3 - 1.2512

Trading hidayat:

GBP/USD currency pair qareeban 24 ghante ke timeframe mein flat mukammal kar chuka hai, jo ke sab se ahem hai. Hum abhi bhi sirf dakkhan ki taraf hi umeed karte hain, aur ab jab 1.2500 ke level ko toorna gaya hai, jodi ko 1.2384 aur 1.2351 par targets ke saath bechna mushkil nahi hai. British pound ko side mein channel ke neeche se bahar nikalne ke haalat mein kharidna na-mufeed hai. Jodi jald hi upar khench sakti hai, kyunkeh CCI indicator oversold zone mein do baar dakhil hua hai, lekin hum is correction ko trade karne ke laayak nahi sam

GBP/USD ka trend dekhte hue lagta hai ke yeh currency pair neeche ki taraf ja raha hai aur 1.24200 level se bhi neeche gir sakta hai. Yeh tezi se niche jaane ki tayari mein hai. Yeh dekha gaya hai ke GBP/USD mein tezi aur mandi ke cycles hamesha hoti rehti hain, aur is waqt yeh mandi ki taraf jaane ki sambhavna zyada hai. Is situation mein, traders ko mahatvapurn taur par samajhna chahiye ke kyun yeh giravat aa rahi hai aur kya iska asar long-term aur short-term positions par hoga. Ek mukhya karan ho sakta hai Brexit se judi uncertainty aur UK ki arthik sthiti par asar dalne wale factors. Brexit negotiations ke masail aur UK ki arthik prakriya par sawal uth rahe hain, jo ki GBP ko kamzor kar raha hai. Iske alawa, global economic conditions bhi GBP/USD ke trend par asar daal sakte hain. Agar global markets mein kisi bhi karan se instability ya uncertainty badh jaati hai, toh yeh bhi GBP/USD ko neeche khinch sakta hai. Traders ko is samay bazaar ke tazurbaat par amal karke aur rishton ko kamzor karne ki tayari karke apne positions ko protect karne ki zaroorat hai. Risk management ka dhyan rakhna bahut zaroori hai, jaise stop-loss orders lagana aur position sizes ko control karna.

Isi tarah, traders ko current market sentiment ko samajhna zaroori hai. Agar majority traders neeche ki taraf ki umeedon se trade kar rahe hain, toh yeh giravat aur bhi gehri ho sakti hai. Lekin, yadi koi sudden positive news aati hai jaise strong economic data release ya Brexit se related positive developments, toh yeh trend badal bhi sakta hai. Overall, GBP/USD ka trend niche ki taraf jaane ki tayari mein hai aur traders ko is situation ko samajhkar apne trading strategies ko adjust karna hoga. Risk ko samajhna aur control karna zaroori hai taki kisi bhi unexpected movement se nuksan na ho.

Forex trading strategy
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ke jode me kal ki rally sirf ek tezi ki islah thi. Jaisa keh tawaqqo ki gyi thi, Bartanwi pound ne nuqsanat ko badhaya kiyunkeh yah 1.2481 ki muzahmati satah ko todne me nakam raha. Ibtedai karobar me, pound sterling 1.23964 ki support satah ka test kiya aur isme ucchal aaya. Dekhte hain aage kya hota hai. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.24164-1.24288 ke raqbe ka test karega aur fir 1.24487 ki muzahmati satah tak badh jayega.

اپریل 19 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ روز برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے ایک اور کوشش کی، بدھ کے اضافے کے بعد، اوپر کی طرف حرکت شروع کی، لیکن بدھ کی بلندی کو عبور کرنا ناممکن تھا۔ اور آج صبح، قیمت 1.2427 پر سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے ٹوٹ گئی۔



اس وقت تک، مارلن آسیلیٹر قیمت میں مدد کے لیے بے تاب نہیں رہا ہے۔ یہ اپنا کام کرنے میں مصروف ہے—زیادہ آسان نیچے کی طرف نقل و حرکت کے لیے زیادہ فروخت شدہ علاقے کے سامنے تناؤ کو جاری کرنا۔ لیکن اب یہ نیچے کی طرف مڑ گیا ہے۔ پاؤنڈ کے لیے قریب ترین ہدف 1.2370 ہے — جو 17 نومبر 2023 کی کم ہے۔ اس کے بعد 1.2287-1.2307 کی حد کے اندر مضبوط ہونے کی جدوجہد آتی ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.2427 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہونے کی تیاری کر رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں چلا گیا ہے۔ مزید نیچے کی طرف حرکت کا اشارہ بن گیا ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*