جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Forex trading strategy
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aisa lagta hai keh pound/dollar ka joda pahle hi mazbut hona shuru ho gaya hai. Halankeh, qimat abhi tak 1.2570 ki satah tak nahin pahunchi hai. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh joda ek waqfa lega aur yaumiyah chart par is nishan se ooper mustahkam hoga. Bartanwi pound filhal 1.2466 ki satah ke ird-gird karobar kar raha hai. Agar Asian session me qimat me kuch izafa hota hai to, pullback par long jana mumkin hoga. Bahar hal, Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke bayanat ke bad yah bat wazeh ho gayi hai keh Americah me suratehal itne acche nahin hain. Iske alawa, aane wali news reports se Americi dollar par asar padne ki ummid hai, jo badle me pound/dollar ke jode ko qadar hasil karne ki ijazat dega.


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GBP/USD jodi ko aagay ki mumkin upward movement ke liye tayar kia gaya hai, jahan ahem resistance levels aage hain. Agar jodi apna safar jaari rakhti hai, to woh 1.2793 par aur bhi rukawatoun ka samna kar sakti hai, jo December mein dekha gaya uchta bindu se milta hai. Is darja ko paar karne se aage aur bhi resistance zones ki jaanch ki ja sakti hai, jo 1.2826 aur 1.2892 par rukawatoun ka maqam hai. Market ke hissadaron, traders aur investors, aane wale dino aur hafton mein in darjaat ko nazdeek se nazar andaz karenge taake bullish momentum ki taqat ka andaza lagaya ja sake aur potential trading mauqay ko pehchana ja sake. Iske ilawa, technical indicators ke siwa, maqroohimi factors aur saiyasi asraat GBP/USD jodi ke rukh par asar dalne ke liye mukhya bhumika ada karte rahenge. Ye bahri variables iske price action ko mushkil bana dete hain, jo market ke hissadaron ki thorough analysis aur tafakkur ko talab karte hain. Sare aham, GBP/USD jodi ke lambe arse tak trading range se bahar nikalne ka tawajju traders aur investors dono ke dhiyan ko pakad gaya hai. Haalanki shurui resistance 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par tawaqquf kiya jata hai, lekin jodi ke liye yeh darjaat ko paar karne ka potential hai aur nazdeeki dor ke liye unchi rukawat levels ko nishana banane ka mauqa hai, jo dobara khareedne ki dabav aur pasandida market conditions par mabni hai. GBP/USD jodi ka rukh tawajju se dekha jata hai, jiska apna movement moazi market sentiments aur ma'ashiyati trends ko numaya karta hai.
Is liye, hissedaron ko chaukasi se dekha jata hai, taa'adudiyon mein taqat aur forex landscape mein jadeed mouke par react karne ke liye tayar rahte hain. Ikhtitami tor par, GBP/USD jodi ke safar ka uske sthaapit range ke bahar hona currency markets ki dynamic nature ko numaya karta hai. Halanki mushkilat ka samna hai, lekin mazeed aage ka potential un logon ke liye dilchaspi ka markaz hai jo forex trading ke complexities ko samajh rahe hain. Jab jodi rukawat levels aur bahri asraat se guzarti hai, market participants muttafiq rahte hain, taa'adudi trends aur GBP/USD exchange rate ke developments se faida uthane ke liye tayyar hote hain.

Kal GBPUSD pair par jo trading hui, wo kamyabi se khareedari ne hukumat ki, halankeh farokhtkar jari rahay jo ke khareedari ke saath lar rahay thay aur koshish kartay rahay ke khareedari ka sahara lekin khareedari ne ise daba diya, is tarah khareedari ne keemat ko barhane ka dabaav zyada dikhaya aur keemat ko bulish tor par upar le gaya.

Rozana timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal kiya gaya, is se dekha gaya ke keemat ko khareedari ne neeche ki taraf le jaa liya ya khareedari ne neeche ke Bollinger Bands area ke upar chadh gaya hai jise ek bulish mumkinat ke dawat ke saath jala sakti hai, jo ke aaj bhi GBPUSD pair mein khareedari ka dabaav banaye rakhne ke
Rozana timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal kiya gaya, is se dekha gaya ke keemat ko khareedari ne neeche ki taraf le jaa liya ya khareedari ne neeche ke Bollinger Bands area ke upar chadh gaya hai jise ek bulish mumkinat ke dawat ke saath jala sakti hai, jo ke aaj bhi GBPUSD pair mein khareedari ka dabaav banaye rakhne ke liye behtareen hota hai. Khareedari kee koshish hogi ke keemat ko upar le jaya jaye takay farokhtkar ka muqabla kia jaa sake jo ke 1.2530 par hai aur ye bulish path ko kholne ke liye bich ka target hai.

Aaj subah GBPUSD pair mein jo trading ho rahi hai, lagta hai ke yeh abhi bhi khareedaron ke zair e qaboo hai ya khareedari jo apni maujooda
khareedaron ke zair e qaboo hai ya khareedari jo apni maujooda bulish imkan ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hai zyada dabaav dal rahi hai aur phir se farokhtkaron par bearish mukhaalfa nahi dala jaye. Khareedari ki koshish hogi ke keemat ko upar le jaya jaye takay farokhtkar ka muqabla kia jaa sake aur pehle farokhtkar ki rukawat ka muaqabla kia jaye jo ke 1.2485-1.2495 ke daam par hai. Agar isay kamyabi se tora ja sakta hai, to GBPUSD pair ki keemat ka dabaav mazeed barh jayega jise target 1.2515-1.2530 ke daam par supply farokhtkar area hai.
RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke keemat jo pehle 34 ke level mein thi ab wo 36 ke level ke taraf ja rahi hai, iska matlab hai ke bulish khareedari ka movement ab bhi market ke support ko mil raha hai jo ke keemat ko mazeed upar le jana chahta hai jise aaj ki trading mein RSIlevel ke taraf ja rahi hai, iska matlab hai ke bulish khareedari ka movement ab bhi market ke support ko mil raha hai jo ke keemat ko mazeed upar le jana chahta hai jise aaj ki trading mein RSI ke level 50 ke taraf jaane ka target hai.





Sell entries banayi ja sakti hain agar keemat khareedari ka sahara le kar neeche wale area se guzar jati hai sell-stop order ke saath jo 1.2410-1.2400 ke daam par hai aur TP area 1.2370-1.2365 ke daam par hai.

Ek buy entry banayi ja sakti hai agar khareedari ko rukawat ka muaqabla
keemat khareedari ka sahara le kar neeche wale area se guzar jati hai sell-stop order ke saath jo 1.2410-1.2400 ke daam par hai aur TP area 1.2370-1.2365 ke daam par hai.

Ek buy entry banayi ja sakti hai agar khareedari ko rukawat ka muaqabla karne mein kamiyabi milti hai aur buy-stop order ko 1.2470-1.2490 ke daam par rakha jata hai jise TP target 1.2520-1.2530 ke liye hai.

H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:
GBP/USD currency pair Asian session mein mukhtalif izafa ke saath trade kiya. Pound euro ke peechay chalne ki wajah se barh gaya, khaaskar US dollar ke dynamics ke jawab mein. America, apni taraf se, major currencies ke ek basket ke khilaf hasil ki gayi positions ka hissa kuch haar gaya. Pair is trying to correct from the low reached earlier this week. Britain se economic calendar aaj kafi mamooli hai. Tamam tawajjo geopolitics aur American market ke khulne par hoti hai. United States se kafi ahem maaloomaat aayegi. Khaaskar, United States mein unemployment benefits ke liye shuruaati daaway par tawajjo dena qabil-e-gaah hai. Is instrument ke liye din ke pehle hisse mein, maqool uroojy ko jari rakhne ka imkaan hai, lekin aam tor par main ne neeche ki raftar ka dobara aghaz ki umeed rakhti hoon. Expected turning point level 1.2525 par hai, main is level ke neeche bechunga nishaan rakh kar 1.2425 aur 1.2375 ke darjon ki taraf. Dusra, pair barhna shuru kardega, 1.2525 ke level ke oopar jayega aur mazboot ho jayega, phir pair 1.2545 aur 1.2575 ke darjon tak ja sakta hai.

H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

GBP/USD instrument ke liye Tenkan-sen line 1.24646 aur Kijun-sen standard line 1.24493 ka guzarna neeche se oopar hua, ek khareed signal mila. Phir market Senkou Span B 1.24507 aur Senkou Span A 1.24335 lines se banaayi gayi cloud ke hudood ke oopar gaya. Ab, GBP/USD currency pair 1.24787 par cloud ke bahar trade kar raha hai. Ye kharidaron ke hoslon ki taaqat ka ishaara hai, jo unke kharidari iraadon par mazeed bharosa deta hai. Main tab tak khareedta hoon jab tak mujhe waapas signal na mile ya main samjhta hoon ke aaj ke liye hasil kiya gaya munafa kaafi hoga. Kyunki meri trading din bhar ke andar munafa kamana hai, Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karke. Urooj mein, cloud boundary mazboot support ka kaam karegi, jiska andar jaana izaafi barhawaat par shak kar dega.

GBP/USD

Weak market sentiment aur limited trading ne pound ko boost diya, khaaskar jab UK ke haal ki maaloomat mein izafa hua jo ki ummeedon ko peechay chhod diya aur August mein rate cut ke chances badal gaye. Forex ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ka daam 1.2482 tak pohanch gaya phir likhne ke waqt 1.2450 ke qareeb settle hua, jabki US dollar ke mukaable dusri major currencies ke khilaaf izafa qaim hai.

UK mein CPI inflation ki maaloomat ke baad, jisme March mein 3.2% ki barqi darja inflation thi, pound euro ke mukaable 1.1735 tak barh gaya, jo February ki 3.4% se kam hai lekin market ki umeedon se zyada 3.1% hai.

Maeeshi calendar ke natije ke mutabiq... Office for National Statistics ne kaha ke UK ka key core inflation rate 4.2% barh gaya (asal maqoolat mein 4.5%) lekin 4.1% se market ki umeedon se zyada hai. Service sector inflation 6.1% se thodi kam hui 6.0% tak. Ye level abhi bhi itna zyada hai ke Bank of England ke qareeb mein aane wale interest rate cuts ke liye maqool nahi hai.

Mukhtasir, bazaar June ko rate-cutting cycle ke shuru hone ki taraf leaning kar rahe hain, lekin central bank ke monetary policy committee ke kuch members ne haal mein kaha ke wo ek August rate cut ko pasand karte hain. Ye numbers un policymakers ko zyada takat denge aane wali muzakrat mein.

Bank of England ke liye aur bhi bura ye hai ke ummeed hai ke Federal Reserve sirf ek martaba 2024 mein interest rates ko cut karegi. Bank of England aur dusri central banks ye chahte hain ke Fed ke saath mil kar kisi bhi mumkin currency ki kamzori ko kam kiya jaye.

Aaj ka GBP/USD forecast:

Dinank chart ki performance se andaza hota hai ke GBP/USD exchange rate ka overall trend abhi bhi bearish hai aur ye trend 1.2620 aur 1.2775 ke resistance levels ke qareeb naa tootega. Bears ko dekhte hue ke agar 1.2400 ke psychological level ke neeche jaata hai toh technical indicators ko seriously oversold levels ki taraf le jaayega. Aaj ka economic calendar UK se kisi bhi major data releases se khali hai aur focus US data, Philadelphia manufacturing index, haftawar jobless claims aur kuch Fed officials ke bayanaat pe rahega.

GBP/USD 4 ghanton ka chart

Is hafte ke trading ke shuru mein, yeh ummeed thi ke humein pair ke liye ek neeche ki taraf ka leher dekhne ko milega, pichle hafte ki girawat trend ko jaari rakhte hue, magar ab tak yeh hafte ek side mein trend mein khatam hone ki sambhavna hai. Is hafte mein, price ne red aur blue channels se result wale price triangle ke andar trading shuru ki, jo channels hain jo pichle do hafte mein price movement ko darust karti hain. Har baar jab price ne neeche ki taraf girne ki koshish ki, toh woh lower blue channel line se support mili, aur har baar jab woh chadhne ki koshish ki, toh usne weekly pivot level se resistance mili. Ab price triangle ke bahar aur red channel level ke upar trading ho rahi hai. Isliye aane wale ghanton mein aur haftay ke band hone se pehle, price kaam upar ki taraf lehrayegi weekly pivot level tak. Isliye aaj pair ke liye behtareen trading mauka yeh hai ke current level se khareedna hai aur stop loss level ko aaj ka sabse kam trading price ke neeche set karna hai. Arthik roop se, British pound ke price ko aage badhava mila jab Britain mein latest inflation reading ne ummeedon ko paar kar diya aur august mein interest rates ko kam karne ki sambhavnaon ko badal diya. Arthik calendar ke data ke natije ke mutabiq... Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke bahut mahatvapurn British core inflation rate saal ke 4.2% tak badha, 4.5% se kam ho kar, magar market ki ummeedon se zyada 4.1% tak pahunch gaya. Services inflation thoda gira 6.1% se 6.0% tak. Yeh level ab bhi bahut zyada hai jo Bank of England ke karib aane wale rate cut se match karta hai. In natijon ke baare mein vichaar karte hue, ING Bank ke Forex expert Francesco Pisole ne kaha: “Services sector mein consumer price index - jise Bank of England sabse zyada dekhta hai - 6.1% se 6.0% tak slow hua, jiske mutabiq consensus aur Bank of England ke apne expectations 5.8% the.”. “Mazboot-than-expected wage figures ke saath, yeh zyada se zyada mumkin hai ke Bank of England ka pehla interest rate cut August tak na aaye.” Aam taur par... market ne interest rate-cutting cycle ki shuruaat ke liye June ko favor kiya tha, magar bank ke Monetary Policy Committee ke kuch sadasyon ne haal mein dikhaya ke woh August mein ek cut prefer karte hain. In numbers ne upcoming deliberations mein is policymaker camp ko ek mazboot hath diya.

Forex trading strategy
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, pound/dollar ka joda 1.24238 ki support satah se niche girne me nakam raha aur ooper ki taraf palat faya. Qimat ne utarte hue rujhanat ko tod diya aur 1.24485 ki support satah ooper mustahkam ho gaya. Filhal, Bartanwi pound ooper ki taraf trade kar raha hai, 1.24732 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badh raha hai. Agar qimat is nishan se ooper toot jati hai to, pound sterling faide ko badhayega aur 1.24885-1.25132 ke ilaqe tak pahunch jayega.


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USD pair ke resistance level ko nishana banane ki koshish 1.2679 ke qeemat range mein hai. Yeh resistance level ek mahatvapurn sanket hai, jo ki traders ke liye ek mudda ho sakta hai. Resistance level ko nishana banane ki koshish ke peeche kuch karan hote hain jo market dynamics aur economic indicators se judi hui hote hain. Pehle toh, economic data ka impact mahatvapurn hota hai. Economic indicators jaise ki GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation figures currency pairs ke movement ko prabhavit kar sakte hain. Agar kisi desh ka economic performance strong hai, to uski currency bhi strong hoti hai, jo ki uske currency pair ke value ko badhane mein madad karti hai. Lekin, agar koi economic indicator expectations se kam hota hai, ya phir negative hota hai, toh yeh ek currency pair ke value ko kam kar sakta hai. Dusri baat, geopolitical events aur central bank policies bhi ek currency pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Agar koi desh ki political stability mein koi uncertainty ho, ya phir koi geopolitical tension ho, toh yeh uske currency pair ke value ko kam kar sakta hai. Central bank policies bhi mahatvapurn hote hain, special jab central banks interest rates ko badha ya ghata dete hain. Interest rate changes se currency pairs ke movement mein tezi ya mandi aati hai. Teesri baat, technical analysis bhi traders ke liye mahatvapurn hai. Technical analysis mein traders price charts aur trading volumes ka istemal karte hain, taaki wo market trends aur price patterns ko samajh sakein. Resistance aur support levels bhi technical analysis ka ek hissa hote hain, jo traders ko market mein entry aur exit points decide karne mein madad karte hain. Agar kisi currency pair ka price ek resistance level tak pahunchta hai, toh traders usse ek potential selling opportunity ke roop mein dekhte hain. Is tarah se, GBP/USD pair ke resistance level ko nishana banane ki koshish karne ke peeche kai karan hote hain, jismein economic indicators, geopolitical events, central bank policies, aur technical analysis ka role hota hai. Traders ko in sabhi factors ko dhyan mein rakhte hue apne trading decisions ko lena chahiye.

Market ke tabdeeliyon ko tajziya karte hue, yeh wazeh ho jata hai ke qeemat barhane ke liye mumkin moqaat khaas qeemat darajat aur un ke mutabiq istehkam par mabni hain. Misal ke taur par, 1.2600 ke ooper aik ahem qeemat ke break ke baad, jis ke baad ek moasafat phase ata hai, qeemat barhane ke liye aik moazzam mahaul ishara deti hai. Mazeed, 1.2686 ki mukhtalif darjaat se nikaalne se aik khareed sinyal ka izhar hota hai, jo ke 1.2750 ki hadd ko paar karne par mazeed qeemat barhne ka imkaan deta hai mojooda market sharaat ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, barqarar hone ki tawaqo hoti hai. Magar, is uroojat ki qaymiyat 1.2840 ke ahem darjaat ke paar hone aur is. Market analysis karne ka aik tareeqa hai ke qeemat darajat ko mabni baa asas sahulat ya levels ke zariye tajziya kiya jaye. Jab ek currency pair ya koi aur market instrument ek mukarrar qeemat ko paar karta hai, to yeh aksar aik naye trend ka ibtida hota hai. Misal ke taur par, agar 1.2600 darjaat ko paar kya jata hai, to yeh ek qeemat darajat ka toot kehlata hai, jis se aksar naye investors aur traders market mein shamil ho sakte hain.



Is darjaat ko paar karne ke baad, market mein aik moasafat phase shuru ho jata hai. Is phase mein, traders aur investors naye positions lete hain aur pehle ke trend ko jari rakhne ke liye apne strategies ko adapt karte hain. Yeh aksar volatility aur tezi se mukhtalif orders ka aghaz hota hai, jo ke naye mawaqay ka izhar karta hai. Mazeed, jab market 1.2686 darjaat ko paar karta hai, to yeh aksar ek aur sinyal hota hai ke qeemat barh sakti hai. Is darjaat ko paar karne se pehle, traders ko tawajjo deni chahiye ke kya yeh aik temporary breakout hai ya phir haqeeqatan mein aik mazboot trend ka ibtida hai. Agar yeh breakout mazbooti ke sath hota hai aur 1.2750 ki hadd ko paar karta hai, to yeh ek aur confirmation hoti hai ke mazeed qeemat barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh barqi rahat darjaat ki qaymiyat 1.2840 ke paar hone aur is darjaat ke upar aur upar umeed ke mutabiq, aik naye aur mazboot trend ka aghaz hota hai. Jab market is darjaat ko paar karta hai, to yeh aksar ek aham sinyal hai ke mazeed tezi ka imkaan hai aur traders ko apni positions ko darust karne ke liye tayyar hona chahiye.

Keemat Ke Breakouts Aur Mumkin Karobar Ke Tareeqay Ki Tehqiqat

Keemat ne 1.2467 ke range ke andar break kiya hai aur is ke neeche mazid qayam hai, jo ek bechnay ka moqa faraham karta hai. Agar ek chhota neeche ka impulse hone ke baad 1.2467 ko kamyabi se tor diya jaye, to yeh ek bechnay ka nishan ho sakta hai. Guzishta din 1.2543 ke range mein tor phor mein deri hui, lekin iske qareeb pohanch gaye, jo umeed hai ke pehle 1.2704 ke local maximum ko torne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Agar yeh darja niche lag jaye, to yeh bechnay ka ek majbooth wajah banega.

Bechnay ka mashwara diya jata hai agar keemat 1.2467 ke range se jhooti tor par bahar nikalti hai ya agar yeh 1.2400 ke range ko guzar kar tor phor mein shamil ho jaye. 1.2516 ke mojooda local minimum ka girawat aur jhooti tor par bhi girne ki umeed hai, jo umeed hai ke 1.2425 ke local maximum par qadam jamane par ek bechnay ka moqa faraham karta hai.

Jab tak 1.2425 ke local minimum ka darja natawar aur jama nahin hota hai, yeh agar aage bhi barqarar rahe, to yeh daleel hai ke agar yeh tora nahin gaya to mazid bechnay ka potential hai. Ek chhota taiz tor phor ke bawajood, afzai ki umeed hai. 1.2543 ke oopar se guzar jane aur iske istemal se bechnay ka moqa banta hai. Chhote sudharon ke baad bhi, umeed hai ke afzai jari rahegi. 1.2704 ke local maximum se bahar nikalne ka tor phor ek rate hike ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Mojooda waqt mein, keemat ki range 1.2543 par hai, jald hi mazeed afzai ki sambhavna hai. Pound/dollar currency pair ne Asian session mein tarha tarha ke tabadlaat ka muzahira kiya, guzishta jumeraat ko, jab ke dollar mazid majboot hota raha, pair peer ke qareeb apni kamaiyon par raha. Tawajju amrici session aur global geopolitics par mabni hai, jahan is instrument ke liye aage ki girawat ki tawaqqo hai pehle aadhi mein din ke liye.

GBP/USD Pair ka Daily Timeframe

Jis tareekh ko GBPUSD pair par trading hui thi, woh ab bhi side mein chal rahi hai jahan khariddaar aur bechne wale abhi bhi barabar hain aur prices abhi tak resistance area 1.2455-1.2465 aur support area 1.2420-1.2415 ke darmiyan hi hain, jo ke price movements ko mehdood banata hai.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ka istemal karke dekha jata hai, to yeh nazar ata hai ke price abhi tak seller ke dwara sambhala ja raha hai jo ke price ko Lower Bollinger bands area mein sambhal sakte hain aur seller ko bazaar se ek bearish Doji candlestick ke formation ke zariye bhi support mil raha hai, jo ke ishara karta hai ke GBPUSD pair abhi tak bearish mein niche jaane ka potensiyal rakhta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bollinger line bhi abhi tak neeche ki taraf khuli hui hai, jo sellers ko trading mein dominion jaari rakhne ke liye aurat taqwiyat deta hai aaj unka maqsad khariddaar ki maang wale support area ki taraf jaane ka hai 1.2370-1.2380 ke qeemat par.

Aaj dopehar ko European market par trading ko buyers ya khariddaar ne control kiya ya phir wo bechne walon se zyada shamil hue aur buyers ka kaamyaabi se support area ko 1.2410-1.2420 ki qeemat par sambhalne ke baad, price ko safalta se buyers ne haath me liya jo phir mazboot kharidne ya kharidne ki dabao ko lagu kiya. Price ko test karne aur seller resistance area ko 1.2460-1.2470 ke qareeb pahunchna agle bulish opportunities ko khulne ka mauqa dega jiske maqsad ko aagey seller resistance supply area 1.2500-1.2510 ki taraf jaane ka hai.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke price jo pehle level 32 ke ilaqe mein tha, ab level 34 ke ilaqe ki taraf chala gaya hai, iska ishaara hai ke GBPUSD pair ko khariddaar ne support area ko maintain karne ke baad bullish taur par sanwarna shuru kiya hai aur aaj RSI level 50 ke ilaqe ki taraf bulish taur par chadhaai ka mauka hai.

Nateeja:

Agar price khariddaar support area ke neeche ghuste hai to sell entries banayi ja sakti hain jiske saath saath ek pending sell stop order laga sakte hain 1.2410-1.2415 ki qeemat par TP area 1.2370-1.2375 ke liye.

Agar buyer ka resistance area ke upar safal hota hai to ek buy entry banayi ja sakti hai jisme ek pending buy-stop order laga sakte hain 1.2460-1.2470 ki qeemat par TP nishaan 1.2510-1.2520 ke liye.

GBP/USD currency pair North American trading session mein badi had tak be-mutmaen raha, Bank of England policymaker Megan Green ke tajwezat ki kami se be-sada hua. Ye harkat ke UK mein aik khamoshi maeeshati data ke din mein aayi. Intehai kuch Federal Reserve officials ke liye sabar naam ka khail raha, jo interest rate cuts par ahtiyaat se apni stance ko dohrate rahe. Ye jazbat Fed ke zyada aggressive easing ke pehle ke tawaqoat se ikhtilaf hai, kuch log shuru mein 2024 mein 6 cuts tak ka tajwez karte hain. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic aur New York Fed President Williams jese key central bankers ke taqreer headlines ko dominate kar rahi thi, maeeshati data releases ko pichay chhodte hue. Bostic ne maal o dakhil ko control karne ki zarurat ko zor dala, jo ke yeh ishara tha ke Fed maali policy ko halka karne ke liye tayyar nahi hai. Jabke Williams ne Fed ki data-driven approach ko tasleem kiya aur mojooda maali policy stance mein itminan ka izhar kiya, lekin agar zaroorat pesh aaye to wo future rate hikes ko rad nahi karte. Mazeed market sentiment ko mutasir karte hue, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index ne aik tez izafah tak surprise kiya 15.5 par, jo ke 1.5 ki mamooli tajwez se bohot zyada tha. Magar, mojooda ghar bechnay ki data ne mukhtalif tasveer paish ki, jo ke 4.3% ki kami ke sath 4.19 million units tak pohanch gayi.



In tajurbaat ka andaza lagate hue, Fed ke rate cuts ke liye market ki tawaqoat ko kam kar diya gaya hai, traders ab sirf do cuts ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar Bank of England ne Fed se pehle rate cut karne ka faisla kiya to yeh sentiment ka is par asar hosakta hai. Technical nazar, GBP/USD daily chart mein aik mumkinah bearish harkat ka ishara hai. Joda ne hilwat November 2023 ki kamzor ko 1.2448 ke neechay girne ka hilwat kar diya hai jo ke usay 1.2400 level ke taruf mazeed giranay ka shikaar bana deta hai. Halankeh buyers ne kuch nuksan wapis hasil kiya hai, lekin haal ki keemat ke action ka ishara hai ke 1.2480/90 zone ke ird gird kharidari ka dabav jama ho raha hai. 1.2400 ke neechay tor par giravat ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan November 17th ki kamzor (1.2374) aur November 10th ki kamzor (1.2187) ke potential support levels hain. Dosri taraf, GBP/USD ke liye aik mumkinah behtar harkat ke liye 1.2500 level ke tor par aik tor par ki zarurat hai. Magar, buyers ko 200-day moving average (DMA) ke shakhsiat mein aik bara rukawat ka samna karna hoga jo ke mojooda waqt mein 1.2575 par hai.

Is maheenay mein Dollar index mein mazeed taqwiyat hui hai, jis ne GbpUsd market mein ek bearish harkat ko trigger kiya hai. Laga hai ke market ki keematain maheenay ke ibtida se ghata rahi hain. Kal raat aik bullish correction hui, market ke halat ko jis tarah se technical taur par dekha, laga ke market 1.2536 zone ke neeche trading kar raha tha, is liye yeh halat traders ke liye bearish trend par tawajju ka markaz hai kyunke market ka safar peechle haftay se Downtrend side par chal raha hai. Agar aap haftay ke ibtida se safar ke pattern ko naptein hain, to lage ke market bearish rally zone mein daur raha hai. Yeh halat h4 time frame par dekha ja sakta hai aur keemat ko upar ki taraf tehqeeq ki ja rahi hai. Agar agla safar phir se 1.2402 zone tak nichle ja sakta hai, shayad phir bhi bearish reh sakta hai haftay ke ikhtitam tak, humein sirf intezaar karna hoga aur dekhna hoga ke agar keemat ko forokht karne walon se musbat jawab milta hai to yeh beshak bearishness ko jari rakhega. Technical nigrani se, market ka pattern yeh hai ke downtrend abhi bhi market ki movement par chha gaya hai, jis se keemat ki harkat mein upar ki tehqeeq ko jari rakhne ka rawaayya paida hota hai pehle tak raat ke waqt ghari mein candlestick badi bearish trend ke mutabiq daurta hai. Abhi market Asian zone mein hai jahan market mein tehqeeqati muddat ke darmiyan darman mein kam farokht ka bazar hai, trading faisla hasil karne ke liye kuch ghanto ka intezaar behtareen hai. Mazeed, nichli keemat ka ilaqa bearish continuation ke liye forokht karne walon ka nishana ban jata hai. Haftay ke ibtida mein candlestick ka moqam nichle aur nichle hota gaya, laga ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Agar mumkin ho, GbpUsd keemat aur bhi gehra giregi taake aap haftay ke liye zyada munafa hasil kar sakein.