gbp/usd

GBP/USD Technical Analysis.

The GBP/USD kee keemat pehlay se 1.2792 par hai. Chahe main kitna bhi yeh karna pasand karoon, main phir bhi bechunga. Pechle muamalon mein bade nirasha janak rahen bina market mein keemat durusti ka khayal rakhe humare apne andhviswas aur jald bazi se markazi thay. Hum 1.2792 ke value par ek rollback ka intezar kar rahe hain. Mere liye yeh bahut madadgar hoga kee maine bechne se pehle price zyada na kardo. Jitni neechi mombatti, utni badi balloon! Mere bura naseeb hone ke darr ko 1.2793 blocks ke area mein rukawat se shaant kar diya jayega. Ab main zameen par nahi khelta. Kam az kam aaj. Pehle ham pahle se upar the, ab sab kuch sirf neeche hai. Unki tasdeeq aur salahnumaian mahiyat ke masail ko mainstream mein utaar sakti hain, mazeed taraqqi aur tajziyah ko mufeed banati hain. Jab ke tajziya ke mukhtalif shobon mein izafa hota hai, to is trend ke sakht fawaid ko pehchanna zaroori hai. Ek taraf, ilm ki jamaat aur niche dilchasp cheezon ke phelao se afrad ko apne shauqon ko pura karne aur khushhaali bhari zindagi guzarne taqat milti hai. Dusri taraf, culture ka commercialization aur nayi cheezon be intiha talaash asaliat aur mustawalagi ke sawal uthate hain. Ikhtitam mein, mukhtalif shobon mein dekha gaya izafa interest hamari samaji qaumiyat ke dynamic tabiat ka aeina hai. Takneeki taraqqi, samaji tabadlay, aur culture ke asar se shakhsiyat ka munfarid khaisho, daryafti aur izhar ka fitri khwahish ko numayan karte hain.



Abhi main market mein mazboot bearish trend dekh raha hoon. Mera mansuba hai ke mein waqt dhoondhun jab keemat channel ke ooperi had 1.28217 tak pohanch jaye. Jese he main yeh halaat dekhta hoon, main assets ko 1.27451 level tak bechne ka moqa talash karoonga. Agar keemat munafa ke level ko todti hai, to yeh bearish safar jaari rakhne ka ishara hoga. Lekin main tasleem karta hoon ke iske baad upar ki durusti ho sakti hai, is liye zaroori hai ke market ko nazar andaaz kiya jaye aur bullon se mumkin hai koi reaction ke liye tayyar ho. Main hamesha tayyar hoon apna mansuba badalne ke liye agar market ki soorat e haal badal jaye, kyun keh yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke agar 1.28217 level ko bullon ne guzar diya, to yeh market mein bullish interest ka nishan ho sakta hai, jo ke sitaution ka dohraya jana aur bech ka mukammal karne ke liye ek nishan ho sakta hai. Main hamesha market ki halat mein tabdeeliyon ko dekhta hoon aur agar zarurat pesh aaye to apna mansuba badalne ke liye tayyar hoon currency pair, traders aur market analysts mein aetamad ka ahsaas paida karte hain. Natije mein, mojooda rukh ka tehdarri jaiza liya ja raha hai, jise iski motabiq ek lambi fasl ka shuruaat hone ka dawa hai. Uske ilawa, currency pair dwara dikhaya gaya mazbooti baahri dabaon ka samna karne aur toofani market shirayat se guzarne ki salahiyyat ko darust karti hai. Yeh mazbooti currency pair ki asliat aur pukhtaai ka jhalak hai, jo ke sarmaya daron aur market ke nazarandaaz ke darmiyan shak o shubaat ke darmiyan yaqeen dilati hai. Iske ilawa, mandiyo ke baad mustaqil behtar hone ka aam pattern market ke shirakat daron ki mazbooti ko numaya karta hai, jo tabdeel hone wale dynamics ke jawab mein hamari nisfaniat aur stratejik faislon ki tajziya aur mukhalifat mein numaya hoti hai.

Agar H1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaye, to mojooda mumkin candle ka moqa abhi bhi supply area mein phans gaya hai jo ke 0.6637 ke qeemat par hai. Maslan, agar resistance tor diya ja sakta hai, to shayad izafa mazeed buland ho. Agla shumara jo nishana banay ga, woh meri tajziya hai ke agla resistance hai jo 0.6666 ke qeemat par hai. Dosri taraf, maslan, agar nichla hissa guzra gaya hai, to shayad us ilaqa mein kuch wapas chalay jaye ga. Mujhe yeh shak hai ke yeh resistance guzara nahi hoga kyunki jab yeh kal gir gaya tha, to qareebi support pehlay hi guzar chuka tha, jo ke matlab hai ke ab trend bearish hone laga hai. Mudda yeh hai ke izafa sirf correction ke liye nishana banaya gaya hai. Main bhi dekhta hoon ke correction poori tarah mukammal ho chuki hai, aur ab nazdeek mustaqbil mein koi ulat phir hogi. Evening star candle pattern ka qayam bhi ek ishara hai ke market jald he ulat phirega. Baat yeh hai ke hum jante hain ke pehle izafa bohot buland tha. Girawat shuru hone lagi hai jab candle ne ilaqa chhua.
Agar ichimoku indicator istemal karte hue tajziya kiya jaye, to position tenkan sen aur kijun lines ke oopar thi. Halankeh position line ke oopar thi, yeh zaroori nahi ke harkat mazeed buland rehne wali hai. Balkay, abhi bhi aise conditions hain jo ke sideways hain, is tarah ka indicator istemal ke liye munasib nahi hai. Jab tak kumo abhi bhi seedha hai, sideways shayad bohot arsa tak qaim rahe. Agar aap yeh indicator istemal karte hain, to behtar hai ke pehle market ko busy hone ka intezar karen kyunki trend asani se peshgoi kiya ja sakta hai.

Is doran, stochastic indicator khud hi abhi neeche jane ka signal de raha hai kyunki uska rukh mukhalf ho gaya hai. Sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke agar lines takra jayein, to unhe maqbool kaha ja sakta hai. Magar, aise market conditions ke sath jo ke abhi bhi seedha hain, ghalt signals ho sakti hain. Yeh indicator bhi istemal ke liye munasib nahi hai jab yeh sideways ho.

To aaj ka tajziya ka nateeja yeh hai ke gbpusd abhi bhi neeche jaane ka mauqa hai kyunki candle abhi tak resistance ko 0.6634 ke qeemat par guzar nahi sakti. Woh jagah baad mein ek rebound area ban jayegi. Maslan, meri tolerance limit mein resistance mein izafa abhi bhi hai jo 0.6668 ke qeemat par hai. Is se zyada, main kehta hoon ke neeche jaane ke imkaanat taqreeban khatam ho rahe hain. Isliye, main dosto ko yeh mashwara deta hoon ke woh behtar hai ke sirf sales positions kholen. Nishana qareebi support par rakha ja sakta hai, jo ke 0.6562 ke qeemat par hai. Muddawar, stop loss ko resistance 0.6669 par rakha ja sakta hai.

Bechne ke amal ke darmiyan, GBP/USD jodi ki keemat 7 mahine ke buland darjat se gira, jis mein nuqsan support level 1.2746 tak phail gaya, pehle tajziya likhne ke waqt 1.2800 ke darje par tasfiya hui. Sterling dollar ke hal hilate hue faiz ne haal hee mein US jobs numbers ke elaan ke baad 1.2893 ke resistance level tak puhanch gaye.
British pound ki keemat ko manfi asar par gaya, jab UK GDP figures tawaqo se milti gayi jabke US Consumer Price Index reading, jo tawaqo se thori taqatwar thi, US currency ko mazboot kiya. Maamlaat ke Economic Calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, Wazir-e-Shumari ke daftar ki taraf se jaari naye data ne dikhaya ke British GDP ne January mein 0.2% ke mahine ke bhar mein izafa kiya, retail trade aur house building ke wapas aane ki wajah se, December mein 0.1% ki girawat ke baad. Ek taraf, pehle jaari hone wale maqami data ne dikhaya ke British ordinary wages mein saalana bhar mein 6.1% ki izafa hua tha, January ke ikhtitam se pehle teen mahino mein, jo ke October 2022 ke teen mahino se slowest pace tha aur tawaqo se thori si kam 6.2% izafa tha. Isi tarah, traders Bank of England ko tawaqo hai ke pehli dafa August mein interest rates ko kam karne ka irada kar sakti hai, jabke European Central Bank aur US Federal Reserve ke mohtamam interest rate cuts ka tawaqo June mein bhi ho sakta hai.

Jaisa ke kal elaan kiya gaya tha. UK ki arzi shumari ne January mein growth dikhayi, mahine bhar ke GDP data ke mutabiq, jo ke British pound ko euro aur dollar currencies ke mukhtalif girawaton ke baad stable karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Pound-to-euro exchange rate ne Office for National Statistics ke mutabiq 1.17 par haal hee mein haare hue girawaton ko jama kiya. Ek taraf, pound ke exchange rate dollar ke khilaaf 1.2790 tak puhanch gaya. 0.2% ki izafa tijarat ke adhaar par british services sector mein mazboot phir se tabdeeli (m/m), ek nateeja jo ke pehle mahine jaari hui official January retail figures ne bataaya tha. Tameer production mein izafa (1.1% m/m) bhi madad kar gaya. British manufacturing output January mein 0% rahi, December ki 0.8% se nichle darje par aur tawaqo se mutabiq thi. Industrial production -0.2% par nuqsan deh tha, jo tawaqo se kam tha 0%. Ye data faa'liyat mein behtar hone ki nishani hai. Magar, phir bhi bezaar wapas mohim hai aur ek maheenon se seedha hone wale ek arzi nizam ki guftagu karta hai.

British pound ke liye, numbers zyada bhi bure ho sakte the aur is haftay ke nuqsanat ka silsila barh sakte the. Magar, tawaqo ko poora karne se bech dharakne ko roka ja sakta hai aur mojooda darjat ke qareeb kuch jama hone ki ijaazat de sakti hai.

GBP USD ki tajziyaati daily time frame

Ye 1.2720 tak ki puhanch signal ki kamyabi ko zahir karta hai aur iski ziada se ziada potensial ko darust karta hai Is level tak puhanch aham nishan hai aur traders ke liye is signal par amal karne ka kamyab nateeja hai Iske ilawa, ye signal ki durusti aur taeed ko sabit karta hai aur mukarrar waqt mein qeemat ke harkaton ko durust tor par peshgoyi karne mein iski durusti ko darust karta hai Signal se paish ki gayi trade ki maujooda imkaanat ko tajziya karne mein, nashriyat ke imkaanat aur jude hue khatron ka tawazun karna zaroori hai Sabz bar signal ke liye mutaliq imkaanat ka nazar andaaz hai jis se munsifane ooper ki manzil ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai Dusri taraf, surkh bar potential rukawat ka size darust karta hai, jo trade ke sath jude hue khatron ka ahem nishaan hai



H1 time frame par GBP USD ki tajziyaati nazar
Traders ke tor par, maazi ko yaadgaar banane ke liye aur mustaqbil ke aurat tajziyaati sargarmiyon ka jawab dena zaroori hai Jabke signal ne apne ibtedai maqasid tak puhanch li hain, to market ko nashriyat ka markaz banane ke liye barqarar rahna zaroori hai ya tajziyaati sargarmiyon ke kisi bhi nishaan ko dekhne ke liye Yeh proactive rawaya traders ko apni strategies ko mutabiq karne aur mazeed maukaat ka faida uthane ki tawajjo deta hai Iske ilawa, munafa hasil karne aur asal rupya ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye tehqiqati tareeqe se peshgoyi karne ka mustaqil rawaya zaroori hai Munasib stop-loss ke darjat tay karke aur khatron ke management ke asoolon ka paalan karke, traders apne potential nuksanat ka muqabla karte hue apni exposure ko kamyabi se sambhal sakte hain Ikhtitami tor par, H1 time frame par signal ke maqasid ki kamyabi tajziyaati tafteesh aur strategy banane ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai Market ke signals ko durusti se pehchan karke aur unhe sahih tor par samajhne se, traders munafa ka faida utha sakte hain aur forex market ke complexities ko pur bharosa taur par samajh sakte hain Magar, hamesha ke liye hoshyar rehna aur mustaqbil ke trends aur mukhtalif tajziyaati nashriyat ko mustaqil tor par nigrani karna zaroori hai

Gbpusd h4 waqt frame
Meri raye ke mutabiq, maine GBP/USD ke saath "munafa ka taaluk" bohot wazeh tor par banaya aur mera bechna 1.2817 se kafi wazeh tor par khula (mukhtasir inteha sirf 1.2821 par thi), lekin aik deal mein dakhil hona, jaise ke aap jante hain, trading mein half the battle hota hai, doosra half wqt par munafa ke sath bahir nikalna hota hai. Lekin is lamha ke sath, main keh sakta hoon ke yeh bohot acha nahi chala.

Mujhe nahi lagta tha ke kal, amooman, market mein raftar barh jayegi, is liye maine 1.2773 ke neeche pound-dollar ka intezar nahi kiya, is liye maine shorts 1.2780 ke neeche band kar diye. Aur pair ne pehle hi 1.2744 ko test kiya hai aur ye, aik mazboot support ke tor par, ek kharidne ka point bhi hai, lekin abhi main kharidne ke liye tayyar nahi hoon, shayad qareeban European session ke qareeb, lekin abhi pound-dollar ke paas har shart mojood hai ke ek janobi rukh mein zig-zag ke bane ka aur is ka nishana, wow, figure ke darmiyan 1.26 par hai.

GBP/USD ke current situation ke baare mein aur bhi details mein jaan'nay ke liye, humein market ki movement ko aur achhe se samajhna hoga. GBP/USD pair ke liye, agar hum H4 waqt frame par dekhein, to hum dekhte hain ke yeh range-bound movement ka shikaar hai aur recent trading day ke range ke andar hai. Is range ke andar, ek minor correction ke baad, aik buy signal nazar aaya hai. Yeh ek aaina satoon ke tabadlaat hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke hum jald hee is global movement ki taraf acha shot dekhein ge.





Agar hum upar ki taraf dekhein, to sab se pehla level jo update hoga woh supply zone (0.965) hoga. Agar kharid daar is range ko tood pata hai, to ek naya channel khul jayega agli unresolved extreme ki taraf: 0.960, ya shayad mazeed upar. Kharid daaron ki taqat ka taslem khud ko tora hua maximum (0.966) se oper mein stable karna hoga, jo bull ke taqat ko taslem karega.

Magar yeh yad rakhiye ga ke yeh sirf ek possibility hai aur market ke mizaj aur zaroori news events ke asar se badal sakta hai. Isliye, hamain hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur naye updates aur news events ka intezar karna chahiye jo market ko kisi aur rukh par le ja sakte hain. Agar 0.9688 ke darja ko tor kar, to market bullish direction mein plan kar sakta hai.

Is tarah se, GBP/USD pair ke trend aur movement ko samajh kar, hum sahi aur munfarid trade decisions le sakte hain.

GBP/USD H4


Maine "agreement" GBP/USD ke sath bohot wazeh tor par dekhi, aur mera 1.2817 se bechna bhi bohot wazeh tha (mukhtasar ziada sirf 1.2821 tak tha), lekin muamla mein dakhil hona, jaise aap jante hain, trading mein aadha muqabla hai, doosra aadha waqt par munafa dene wala exit hai. Magar is lamhe mein, mein keh sakta hoon ke yeh kaafi acha nahi nikla. Mujhe kal yeh nahi lag raha tha ke aam tor par market mein razaamandi barh jayegi, is liye maine 1.2773 se neeche pound-dollar ki umeed nahi ki thi, is liye maine 1.2780 se neeche shorts band kar diye... Aur pair ne pehle hi 1.2744 ko test kar liya hai aur yeh, ek mazboot support ke tor par, khareedne ka bhi ek daakhilah nishandah hai, lekin abhi tak main khareedne ke liye tayar nahi hoon, shayad European session ke qareeb, lekin abhi pound-dollar ke paas ghati ki taraf zig-zag banane ke liye tamam sharaait hain, aur iska maqsad, wow, din bhar ki correction. Aur chaar ghante ka chart par khareedne ka ilaqa bhi test ho gaya hai, jo ab 1.2746-1.2709 par hai. Main qeemat ko channel ke neeche urane ki izazat deta hoon. Magar mujhe abhi jyada pasand hai ke vartamaan qeemat se 1.2890 tak ke zyada se zyada palat jaane ki mumkin sambhavna hai aur





pair, kal 1.27319. pair ikhata mein reh gaya, muqablay mein GBP/USD ke mukhtalif tarah se na muda, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke bechna halat abhi ke liye khatam ho gaye hain aur qeemat aaj kareebi hawale se kareebi taraf jaegi, jahan par qeemat 1.27926 par support level hai aur kaam karne ke liye maqsad be shak 1.28829 par resistance level ho sakta hai, aur phir hum dekhein ge ke yeh us taraf se muda ke bhi wapas jaegi, ya pair abhi tak bulandiyo se guzar kar mazbooti ke sath agey badhega aur khareedne ki taraf qeemat ka chal mukammal hoga. Southern correction pura hua aur humara currency pair 1.2729 ke daraje tak kamiyab girawat laya. Ab qeemat 1.2747 par trade ho rahi hai aur ek palat ke aakhri shakal banana ki koshish kar rahi hai. Magar ghatiyo ke maqsad ab tak ghareebi par banaye gaye nahi hain. Pehla maqsad level 161.8 Fibonacci grid par 1.2763 ke qeemat par ata hai. Dusra maqsad level 261.8 Fibonacci grid par 1.2728 ke qeemat par ata hai. Dono maqsad puray kiye gaye hain

GBP/USD ke technical price analysis ke mutabiq, pichle trading haftay mein iski harkat zyadatar bullish rahi. Kharidari bazaar par bechnay walon se zyada dabao ke bawajood, halat buland rahe. Mom ki mombati ki keemat 1.2810 se 1.2885 tak pahunch sakti thi. America dollar ki kamzori ne GBP/USD ko barhte rehne mein madad ki, jiski wajah se pound sterling ise mazboot kar raha hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) ne agle kuch mahinon mein dar-e-faiz ko kum karne ka irada kiya hai, muashiat ke maqsood tak pohanchne ke liye. Is context mein, GBP/USD mein acha potential hai, lekin market ki harkat par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. GBP/USD ke halat ko samajhne ke liye, iski technical analysis ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Haftay ke chart par nazar dalte hue, hum dekhte hain ke isne mazid barhti hui trend ko jari rakha hai. Bullish momentum ka aham role hai, jo ke market mein kafi optimism ko darust kar raha hai. Iske mukhtalif indicators jese ke moving averages aur RSI, bhi is bullish trend ko support karte hain.
America dollar ki kamzori bhi GBP/USD ko sath le kar chal rahi hai. Dollar index ke girawat ne pound sterling ko aur bhi mazboot banaya hai. Is mein Federal Reserve ke mukhtalif policies ka bhi asar hai. Agar Fed dar-e-faiz ko kam karta hai, to yeh dollar ki qeemat mein kami ko janam de sakta hai, jo ke GBP/USD ko mazeed izzat aur taraqqi de sakta hai. Magar yeh bullish trend ke baghair koi bhi market poora nahi hota. Geopolitical tensions, economic indicators aur unexpected events bhi market ko achanak tabdeel kar sakte hain. Isi liye, investors ko hamesha savdhani se kaam lena chahiye aur market ki harkat ko lagatar monitor karna chahiye. To conclude, GBP/USD ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, is waqt isme acha potential hai. Dollar ki kamzori aur Fed ke dar-e-faiz kam karne ka irada, isko aur bhi mazboot kar raha hai. Lekin, market ki harkat par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, aur unexpected events ka bhi dhyan rakhna hoga.

Market analysis: GBP/USD

Aaj ki takneeki tahlil mein, GBP/USD ke bazaar mein ek mukhtalif girawat ka paigham hai. 1.2710 ke saath neeche girne ke baad, bazaar ne 1.2650 par ek naya sahara star qaim kiya hai. Halankeh, ab bazaar mukhya sahara aur rukhavat ke staron ke darmiyan hil raha hai. Traders mojooda dam kuchh naye girawat ya aik mukhtalif mor ki nishandahi ke liye kareebi damo ka tajziya kar rahe hain.
Haal ki keema girawat ki kayi wajohat ho sakti hain, jaise ke ma'ashiyati daston ke nashrat aur bazaar ki jazbat. Mumkin US ma'ashiyati daston ke mutabiq, khaas tor par US utpadak keemat index (PPI) ke ghaire mutawaqa ubhar ne Federal Reserve ka dar ko khauf zada barha diya hai. Is ne mukhtalif ma'ashiyati polisi kai hawalat se muntakhib kia hai. Yeh karoron rupiye ki qisamat se dollar ki numaindgi ka taraqqi kar diya hai. Mazeed, US rozgar ke behtareen daston ka halka sa izafa, January mein tezi se girne ke bawajood, consumer kharch ke behtareen daston ko aks deta hai.

Market Forecast and Trading Strategy

British Pound ka US Dollar ke khilaf girna, dono mulkon ke darmiyan mukhtalif ma'ashiyati daston ka aks hai. Jabke UK ki ma'ashi zindagi main umer ghumar aur munafi ka izafa dikhaya hai, US utpadak keemat index (PPI) ke ghaire mutawaqa izafe ne raseed se asal ma'ashiyati hawalat ko chira dia hai. Is ke natije mein, investors ne US dollar ko britani paund ke aghaz ke liye tarjeeh di hai, jo ke GBP/USD exchange rate ko khatam karne ke liye tarjeeh di hai.
Is ke ilawa, US retail daston ka halka sa izafa, January mein tezi se girne ke bawajood, consumer kharch ke behtareen daston ko aks deta hai. Yeh mufeed daston, ghaire mutawaqa utpadak keemat ke saath joroobari ma'ashiyat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Yaksaa, UK ki aalami maqami halat, Brexit ki muzahmat ki asar aur is ke asar par shawar daston ki zillat se peechle samay mein aalam mein girawat ko aya hai.

Market Ki Peshgoi Aur Karobar Ki Policy

GBP/USD bazaar mein mojooda baarghawani kharabi ke baawajood, traders kahtareekhi tor par ahtiyaat ke sathamuna kar rahe hain taake khatraat ko kam karein aur mumkinah mouqon se faida uthaein. Har chandika damo ke tajziya se zahir hota hai ke beqaida bearish jazbat mojood hain, jis ka daam 1.28217 par channel ke ooperi shakal mein karne ka maqsad hai.
Karobar ki policy muktalif asarat ka mohtasib hoona chahiye, khaaskar agar daam rukhavat ke upar se guzar jata hai. 1.28217 ke upar guzarne par kisi mor par trading ki fikar mandi ka matlab hai. Yeh nakaar sahi ho jata hai ke beqarar ho kar market ke maamlat ko dubara jaanchna padega.



GBP/USD Market Outlook and Risk Management

GBP/USD ke traders ko ahtiyaat aur hoshyari mein kaam karna chahiye, jaise ke bazaar mein izafa ka ek munqasim amoor hai. Mufeed khatraat ke aham ibratni taqaze ko kam karna aham hai taake mumkinah nuqsanaat ko rokha jaye aur capital ko hifazat mein rakha jaye. Halankay, pehle mukhalif manzar ke baraks, traders ko flexible aur ghair mutawaqa hawaon ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Takmeel Aur Khatara Nigraani

Ikhtitaami guftagu ke tawajjo mein, mukhtalif bazaar ke mojudgi mein roopantaran aur taqreeban yahihote hue, jajubaar ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, mushahidat aur mudakhlat se talluqat barqarar rakhna zaroori hai. Aam tor par, mufeed takmeel karne se pehle, traders ko mojooda daston ko monitor karna chahiye aur agle amur ki saholat ke liye mustaqil tayyari karni chahiye. Behtar tajziya aur mufeed karobar ki policy ke zariye, traders forex market ke complex scenario ko taqatwar andaaz se samajh sakte hain aur unka trading maqsad hasil kar sakte hain.

Forex trading strategy
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal, pound/dollar ki jodi gir gayi, 1.2760 ki support satah ko tod di aur nuqsanat ko badha diya. Natije ke taur par, Bartanwi currency ne 1.2745 ki kamtarin satah ko tod diya.
Aaj market ka jazbat mandi ka shikar hai. 15-minute ke chart ke mutabiq, pound/dollar ki jodi ke nichli satah se niche girne aur 1.2700 ke nishan ki taraf badhne ki tawaqqo hai.



4-ghante ke trading chart ke mutabiq, Bartanwi pound ne 1.2800 muzahmati satah ka false breakout banaya, kiyunkeh bulls market par dobara control hasil karne me nakam rahe takeh qimat us nishan se ooper mustahkam ho sake. Yah joda Shumali Americi session me gir gaya, zahir taur par inflation ke aidad o shumar aur America ke ibtedai berozgar daawon ki wajah se kamzor hua. Bears qimat ko niche lane me kamyab rahe. Ab sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh joda 12.700 ke nishan tak apni kami ko jari rakhega. Agar qimat is satah se niche aati hai to, sterling me kamzori badhegi aur 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) tak pahunch jayegi. Is ilaqe me, munasib qimat par joda kharidna danishmandana faisla hoga. Is dauran, intraday me girawat ka rujhan ab bhi barqarar hai.

مارچ 15 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل، پاؤنڈ نے بہت کام کیا اور اس علاقے میں ایک مضبوط سپورٹ تک پہنچ گیا جہاں 1.2745 کی ہدف کی سطح یومیہ ٹائم فریم پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے ساتھ ملتی ہے۔ قیمت 1.2826 پر مزاحمت سے گر گئی۔ اب، اگر یہ 1.2745 سے نیچے مضبوط ہو سکتا ہے، تو یہ 1.2610 کی حد میں سپورٹ کھول دے گا۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر ڈاون ٹرینڈ ٹیریٹری کی حد کو عبور کرنے کے لیے جلدی میں ہے، اور اگر وہ ایسا کرنے میں ناکام رہتا ہے اور قیمت 1.2745 اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن دونوں سے اوپر جاتی ہے، تو پاؤنڈ 1.2826 کی سطح سے اوپر چڑھ سکتا ہے، ممکنہ طور پر 1.2940 تک .



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائنز (سرخ) اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی (نیلے) سے نیچے آ گئی ہے اور 1.2745 کی سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے کو مستحکم کرنے کی کوشش میں مسلسل گر رہی ہے۔ اگر یہ کامیاب ہو جاتا ہے تو اگلا ہدف 1.2610 ہو گا۔ مارلن آسکیلیٹر اس کوشش کی ہر ممکن مدد کر رہا ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBPUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Geetay rang mein guzarta hua haftey mein mein, GBP/USD ka tawanaati tanaza dekha gaya, aam tor par nichla raha, America se ma'ashi data ke bahao ke darmiyan. Is hafte ke trading ki shuruat se, sterling ka qeemat US dollar ke muqablay mein buland honay ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin iski fawaid ne 1.2706 ke rukh par pohanchne se pehle naqabil-e-bardasht 1.2675 ke as paas ja kar ruk gayi hai. Aam tor par, US dollar ki qeemat ne hafte ki trading ko kamzor note par shuru kiya, jab ke haal hi mein January mein hue America ke mustaqbil ki umerdaar ashyai ka intezam aik umeed se kam numainda raha.

Ma'ashi calendar ke data ke natayej ke mutabiq, index ne -6.1% darj kiya, jo ke market ki 4.5% ke izafi giravat ki tawaqo se kam hai, aur December mein 0.3% ke baad aaya. Yeh duraust ashyaat ke mustaqbil ki sab se bara mahana giravat thi, jo April 2020 se bhi pehlay se America ke dollar ko neechay bhejti hai. Lekin, Red Sea mein jaari honay wali muddat mein silsila-e-nakhushi se shayad pareshani ka silsila, jis ne market ko ghera, aur safe-haven currency ko sath dene wala, shuruati nuksanat se bahar nikalne mein kamyab raha.

Budhwar ki taraf barhne par, America ke dollar ne 2023 ke chauthe quarter mein US GDP ke thori si nichli tabdiliyon ko pakarne mein mushkil pesh ki. Dosri tajziya ne chauthe quarter ke liye 3.2% darj kiya, 3.3% ki tawaqo se mukhalif. Pichle Jumma, America ke dollar ki qeemat ne naye ta'arrufat ka samna kiya ek mazeed tawanaati tanaza ke darmiyan, aur America ke be-rozgar hone ke ansar mein aik izafa hua, aur core shakhsi istifadaat ki price index mein tezi ki kami ka rukh aaa. Halan ke Fed ka pasandida nizaam-e-mol baqi rahi kamzor, jo January mein 2.9% se 2.8% tak gir gaya, maqool giraawat musalsal ke qeemat ke dabein ko zahir karta hai.

Aam tor par, British pound ki qeemat ne hafte ki trading ko kisi wazeh raah par shuru nahi kiya, jabke pichle hafte ke rilij ke liye moayana shuda mu'assir ma'ashi data ne British pound ko kahin jane ke liye kuch bhi nahi chora. Lekin, Monday ko mua'sharo ne ek naram munh par British Chancellor Jeremy Hunt ko is haftay ke Spring Budget mein nefundi tax cuts ki darkwast par intebha di, jo ke pound ko aik tang raah par mazboot rakhne mein madad karti hai. Analyston ne Chancellor ko khatra diya hai ke kisi bhi nefundi tax cuts se pound ko aik naqabil-e-bardasht 2022 mini-budget ka dohrana ho sakta hai, jo America ke dollar ke muqablay mein tareekhi kam ke nateeje par rukawat dene wala tha.

Mooliati Tahlil aur Bazaar Ka Jaiza:

GBP/USD jori ne neechay ki taraf dabaao mehsoos kiya jab ke mukhtalif factors, jese ke US ke mahangai ke data aur rozgar ki farokht ke shumar, ne US Dollar ke moqif ko mazboot kiya aur Federal Reserve ki policy ke lehaz ko badal diya. Yahan, currency pair ki haalat mein halchul ke peechay mojooda harkat ke key drivers ka qareebi jaeza dekhtay hain. US ki mahangai ke data aur rozgar ki farokht ke figures ke jariye US Dollar ko taza damak diya gaya, jis ne GBP/USD jori ko neechay daba diya. Mazid taqatwar maqazi daleelat ne zahir kiya ke US ki maeeshat mein sabr aur istiqamat hai, jis ne investors ko Federal Reserve ki mudarabahati policy ke lehaz ko apne umeedon ke mutabiq tarteeb denay par majboor kiya.

Mumtaz maeeshati data ne Federal Reserve ke lehaz ko badal diya, jahan investors ke darmiyan kam ummidon ka hamil hona zahir hua. US ki maeeshati behtar hone ki alamaat ke saath, bazaar ke hissadaron ko Federal Reserve ki policy mein tabdeeli ke imkaanat ka samna hai, jismein assets ki farokht ko ghataane ya bhaugat ke marotbat ko izafa karne ka imkaan shamil hai.

US mein sanati ijaadat ke data ne US Dollar ko British Pound ke khilaaf mazbooti di. Sanati sector aur baray ijaadati nateeje ki sabit honay wali istiqamat ne US ki maeeshati behtar hone ki tawaqo ko madde nazar rakha, jo ke GBP/USD ke neechay dabaao ko mazeed barhaya.

Dusri taraf, UK mein tawajju aakhri rozgar ke report ki taraf mudi, jo Bank of England ki mudarabahati policy ke baray mein tasawwur ko surat mein laane mein bari role ada kar sakti hai. Data maeeshati manzar aur mahangai ke dabaao ke lehaz se Bank of England ke taraf se aik daraye mukhtasir hone ke imkaanat ko mutasir kar sakta hai.

Aage dekhtay hain, bazaar ki tawajju agle meetings of Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke liye mazid barh rahi hai. Mahangai ke data ke hawale se, in meetings ke nateejay ka asar GBP/USD ke manzarnuma par mukhtalif raastaon ka nateeja umeed kiya jata hai. Investors ko markazi bankon ke zariye kisi bhi ishara ya policy tabdiliyon ko tawajju se monitor karna chahiye, jo currency dynamics ko mazeed mutasir kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD GBP/USD pair ke liye, bearish trading pehle se hi taraqqi ka markaz hai. Market mein bearish lehja asal hai aur aapne sahi dekha hai. Tehqiqati faaliyat GB/USD trading instrument ke harkaat ko pesh karna aur paish goi karna mein achi madad karti hai, jo trading mein munafa mand tajurbaat ke moqaat faraham karti hai, lekin trading ke dauran trading amal mein yaqeen aur yaqeeni hai. Pehle to maine bechnay ki tavsiyat di thi, kyunke jodi ki be-inteha barhne ki illogical growt ka khatma hone ke ache reasons the. Jin logon ne meri tajaweez ke mutabiq trading ki thi, wo ab faida mein hain. UK ke liye statistics ki kami aur dollar ki mazbooti ke statistics ko madde nazar rakhte hue, hum keh sakte hain ke mazeed giravat ka buland imkaan hai. Ek chhoti aur short-term islah-e-kash ka imkaan hai, jo bechne ke doran stop orders lagane ke waqt ghor se ghor karne chahiye. Aur is tarah se trend poori tarah se neeche ki taraf hai. Char ghanton ka chart aur daily chart par aik mukammal technical analysis jodi mein giravat ka ishaara karta hai. Yeh haqeeqat hai ke aap be itminan bechne par yaqeen se trade kar sakte hain. Tajarbat: bechain aur sirf bechaini ke liye agli paanch din

Acha, aaj maine giravat mein 18 point band kiye, jo bhi main ne nikala, aur us se pehle, 1.2790 se maine bechne ke karib 60 point plus ke band kiye, yeh sab maine 2 din mein jama kiya, aur mujhe lagta hai ke main bilkul bhi trade nahi karonga jab tak 20 March ko Fed na aaye, yaani Powell ka bayaan. Samajh nahi aa raha ke wo mehengai mein izafa aur producer prices ke baray mein kya kahenge. Agar unhone mehengai mein izafa par fikar ka izhar kiya to dollar dubara kharida jayega, lekin agar unhone is haftay ke data ko nazar andaz kiya, to hum aasani se poori giravat ko khatam kar sakte hain, hume intezaar karna hoga. Agar aap technology dekhein, to 20 March tak giravat ke liye ek reserve hai, hum 1.2670 ya thora aur neeche jaa sakte hain, lekin main nahi dekhta ke kahan aur zyada neeche jaa sakte hain, sirf 20 March ko hum zyada saaf kar sakte hain, by the way, aj France mein mehengai ka record acha nahi nikla, shayad yeh trend sirf USA mein shuru hua, lekin yeh bohot jald kehna mushkil hai. Main umeed ki option ko ghooronga agar umeed 1.28 ke upar ho, to is level ke upar se pakad kafi hai, 1.2820 ki zaroorat hi nahi hai, yeh bohot hai.

GBP/USD:

Assalamu'alaikum warahmatullahi wabarakatuh, subah bakhair dosto, jahan bhi ho. Main un sab ko mubarakbaad deta hoon jo roze rakhte hain, umeed hai ke wo taqatwar rehain ge ta dholki. Yakeenan, shukar hai keh ab saturday hai aur hum forex trading ke fa'alaiyat ke liye ek lamha band kar rahe hain, ab tak, dosto, unki trading ke natije, kya munasib tawaqqaat ke mutabiq munafa hain, umeed hai ke aisa ho. Theek hai, sabse pehle main apne dosto ka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon jo mere diye gaye journal mein apna input diya hai, umeed hai ke yeh hum sab ke liye faida-mand sabit ho.
Aaj main agle peer ke trading plan ke liye GBPUSD currency pair par guftagu karne ki koshish karunga, aaj ke market band hone tak GBPUSD pair bearish halat mein hai, lekin bearish ki taqat itni mazboot nahi hai, kyunke maine dekha hai ke kal ka movement zyada sahih taur par sideway kaha ja sakta hai. Agle peer ke liye, hum ye estimate karte hain ke ye pair kahan jaega, mazeed tafseel ke liye, chaliye GBPUSD TF H4 chart ko saath mein dekhein taa ke hum analysis ka asas bana sakein:



GBPUSD Time Frame H4 chart jo upar dikhaya gaya hai se, hum support aur resistance levels dekh sakte hain jo hum trading ke liye istemal kar sakte hain agle peer ko take profits, stop losses lagane mein, entry points aur reversal points maloom karne mein. Support aur resistance levels is tarah hain:

support and resistance zones:

Resistance 3: 1.2946
Resistance 2: 1.2854
Resistance 1: 1.2794
Pivot point: 1.2762
Support 1: 1.2702
Support 2: 1.2669
Support 3: 1.2577.

Upar di gayi chart mein dekha ja sakta hai ke H4 TF par bana hua trend, agar aap 50 MA ka istemal karte hain, toh bearish hai kyunki qeemat is ke neeche chal rahi hai, phir qeemat bhi rozana pivot point ke level 1.2762 ke neeche hai. Kal ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, main ye kah sakta hoon ke agle peer ko GBPUSD pair ka abhi bhi ek neeche ki taraf ka trend hoga, doosra bearish maqsood hai jo ke doosre support par mojood hai jo ke 1.2669 ke qeemat par hai aur agar qeemat isay torne mein na kaamyaab hoti hai ya neeche nahi jaati hai, to ye andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke qeemat pivot point level 1.2762 ki taraf mehdood taqat barhaayegi.

GBP/USD jodi ke liye, baazari trading pehle se hi ahmiyat rakhti hai. Baazari jazbat haqeeqat mein mojood hain aur aapne ise sahi taur par dekha hai. Tajarbiati fa'alat durust tarah se GBP/USD trading instrument ke harkat ko paishgoi aur pehchaan mein madad karti hai, jo sirf munafa bakhsh trading ke moqaat faraham karti hai balkay trading ke doran trading amlon mein bharosa aur yaqeen bhi deti hai. Pehle to maine bechnay ki tavsiyat di thi, kyun ke jodi ke be-dhangy izafa ko khatam karne ke achi wajahat thin. Jo log mere tajziyati mawadon ke mutabiq trading karte rahe hain, ab wo munafa mein hain. UK ke statistics ki kami aur dollar ki mazbooti ke statistics ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, hum araam se keh sakte hain ke mazeed girawat ka buland ihtimal hai. Thori aur chhoti muddat ki taraqqi ka imkan hai, jo farokht ke doran stop orders lagane ke doran mad e nazar rakha jana chahiye. Aur phir trend bilkul neeche ki taraf hai. Char ghante ke chart aur daily chart par mukammal technical tajziya ek girawat ki nishandahi karti hai. Ye haqeeqi halat hai jab aap ba-i'tminani se farokht par trading kar sakte hain. Tawsiyat: sirf bechain aur sirf bechaini ke liye agle panch din ke liye. Achha, aaj maine 18 point ki girawat mein band kar diya, jo kuch bhi nikal liya, aur pehle se, 1.2790 se lagbhag 60 point ke upar farokht band kiya tha, yeh sab maine 2 din mein ikattha kiya, aur main sochta hoon ke main shayad itna hi trade karun, jab tak 20 March ko Federal Reserve na ho, ya phir taqreeban jab tak Powell ki taqreer na ho. Yeh saaf nahi hai ke woh inflayeshan aur peshkash shuda qeemat mein izafa ke baare mein kya kahenge. Agar unhe inflayeshan mein izafa ka pareshani ka izhar karte hain, to dollar ko wapas khareed liya jayega, lekin agar unhone is haftay ke data ko nazar andaz kiya, to hum poori girawat ko jaldi khatam kar sakte hain, hume intezaar karna hoga. Agar aap takneeki nazar dalte hain, to 20 March tak girawat ke liye ek reserve hai, hum 1.2670 ya thoda kam tak ja sakte hain, lekin main dekhta nahi hoon ke kahan aur zyada neeche ja sakte hain, sirf 20 March ko hum taqatwar halchal dikha sakte hain, waise, aaj France mein bhi inflayeshan ka koi acha nateeja nahi nikla, shayad yeh trend sirf USA mein shuru hua hai, lekin yeh kahna abhi bahut jaldi hai. Agar aap tehnoloji ko dekhte hain, to 1.28 ke upar girawat ke surat mein ek izaafa ka ikhtiyar hai, is level ke upar qaaim ho jana kafi hoga, 1.2820 ki zarurat nahi hai, yeh bohot zyada hai.