gbp/usd

GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai. Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

GBP/USD 0.26% gir kar 1.3076 par aa gaya hai, jab yeh 1.3134 par pahuncha tha, jo dovish BoE ke bayanat aur US Treasury yields ke barhne se mutasir hua. Bearish RSI bechne walon ki dominate position darust karta hai; key supports 50-DMA par 1.3077, 1.3031, aur 1.3001 par hain.

Resistance 1.3100 par hai, sath hi mazeed targets 1.3134 aur 4 October ka high 1.3174 hain. Pound Sterling apne losses ko Greenback ke khilaf barhata ja raha hai, North American session ke shuruati trading mein 0.26% ki girawat ke sath. Bank of England (BoE) ke Governor Andrew Bailey ke dovish bayanat ne pichle hafte Sterling ki girawat shuru ki. Is liye, GBP/USD 1.3076 par trade kar raha hai, jabke yeh daily high 1.3134 ko chhoo chuka hai.

American traders ke liye overnight session ke doran, GBP/USD ne 1.3058 par teen hafton ka sabse nicha level dekha, lekin phir kuch had tak recovery ki. US Treasury yields mein izafe ne Greenback ko mazboot kiya, jo 7 hafton ke high par 102.00 se upar chala gaya, lekin ab bhi 103.00 se door hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh darust karta hai ke bechne walon ka rukh haavi hai, jabke yeh bearish ho gaya hai. Is silsile mein, Pound ke liye kam se kam resistance ka rukh neeche ki taraf hai.

GBP/USD ke liye pehla support 50-day moving average (DMA) par 1.3077 hoga. Agar zyada kamzori hoti hai, agla support September 12 ka low 1.3031 hoga, uske baad aakhri swing low 1.3001, jo September 11 ka low hai.

Dusri taraf, agar joṛ 1.3100 se upar chala jata hai, toh din ka high 1.3134 ka dobarah jaiza liya ja sakta hai, uske baad 1.3150 ko challenge karna hoga. Uske baad October 4 ka peak 1.3174 hoga, phir 1.3200 tak pahuncha ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD Outlook Analysis:

GBP/USD D1 time frame chart par, GBP/USD currency pair bearish trend ke potential ke nishan dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai. Jab maine haal ki price movements aur chart patterns ka jaiza liya, to ye lagta hai ke 1.2980 support level ki taraf aage ke downward momentum ka imkaan hai. Ye projection maujooda market structure aur pair ke ird gird chalu bearish sentiment par mabni hai. Ye zaroori hai ke key indicators aur price action signals ko qareebi taur par monitor kiya jaye taake ye tasdiq ki ja sake ke ye downward trend jari rahega. Iske ilawa, economic data releases, central bank announcements, ya broader market sentiment mein tabdeeliyan jaise external factors GBP/USD ki movement par khaas asar daal sakte hain. Is liye, traders ko hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko kisi bhi na-umeed price reversals ya tez market moves ko dekhte hue adjust karna chahiye. Halankeh mera immediate target 1.3080 par hai, lekin maine dekha hai ke agar bearish trend jari raha aur pair upar ki taraf traction hasil nahi kar paya, to 1.2980 tak aur bhi girawat mumkin hai. Is waqt maine aur bhi neeche ke levels par baat karne se parhez kiya hai kyun ke ye dekhna zaroori hai ke price intermediate levels of support par kaise react karti hai pehle se aage ki predictions karne se pehle. Agar price 1.2980 tak pohanchti hai, to ye British pound par selling pressure ke jaari rehne ki nishani hogi.

**GBP/USD H4 Time Frame Analysis:**

GBP/USD H4 time frame chart par, hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ke ongoing live assessment ke sath closely aligned hai. Haal ki market behavior aur current chart patterns ka jaiza lene par ye saaf nazar aa raha hai ke pair ek corrective phase ka samna kar raha hai, kyun ke ye haal ki unchaiyon se adjust karne aur stabilize hone ki koshish kar raha hai, taake wo apne primary trend ko phir se resume kar sake. Main aapke nazariye se poori tarah se muttefaq hoon ke 1.3083 level ki taraf corrective move ka imkaan hai. Ye price level historical price action aur technical indicators ke buniyad par ek key area hai.

Wasee nazariye se, 1.3083 ki taraf correction ko ek natural pullback process ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai jo ke significant price movements ke baad hota hai. Aam tor par, aise retracements market ko equilibrium hasil karne ka mauqa dete hain, jahan traders naye entry aur exit points ka jaiza le sakte hain. 1.3083 level temporary support ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai, jahan traders confirmation ka intezar kar sakte hain pehle kisi bhi faisle se pehle.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, mukhtalif indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur moving averages mazeed insights faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI 1.3083 ke qareeb oversold conditions dikhata hai, to ye ye suggest kar sakta hai ke correction apne potential limit tak pohanch chuka hai, aur reversal ka imkaan hai. Lekin agar bearish momentum jari raha, to correction aur gehri ho sakti hai pehle strong support dhoondne se pehle.

### GBP/USD Ke Prices Ka Jaiza

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing movements ko samajhne par markooz hai. GBP/USD pair ne neeche ki taraf rujhan ikhtiyar kiya hai, jo aage ke liye aur kami ki sambhavnayein darshata hai. Haal hi mein khabrein leak hui hain jo Bank of England ke iradon ke baare mein hain ke wo interest rates kam karne wale hain, jo Thursday ko pound par khaas asar daal rahi hain. Iske bawajood, pound ne qafi mustahkam raha hai, aur 1.31 se neeche nahi gaya. Dusri taraf, dollar ne behtareen ma'ashi data ki wajah se khaas taqat hasil ki hai. Is mauqe par, main in price levels par trading karne ki sifarish nahi karta, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke 1.3050 se neeche girne ki sambhavnayein hain, jahan main kharidari karne par ghor karunga, kam se kam short-term pullback ke liye. Mere akhri technical analysis ke baad GBP/USD pair mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi aayi hai. H4 time frame par ek neeche ki taraf rujhan ka madhya-masool trend channel tayar hua hai, aur pichle trading din ne ek bearish candle ke saath band kiya, jo hafte ka naya low darshata hai.

### Ichimoku Cloud Aur Market Analysis

Abhi price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, jo bearish momentum ko darshata hai aur sell positions ke liye ek mauqa faraham karta hai. Stochastic indicator support zone mein hai, jo neeche ki taraf rujhan ko aur mazid support karta hai. Pichle trading session mein, pair ne girawat ko jaari rakha, doosre support level ke neeche position banaye rakhte hue. Bears ne Friday ki trading par qabza kiya, closing 1.3122 par hui.

Din ke liye aage ke liye key intraday benchmarks mein classic Pivot support levels shamil hain. Neeche ki taraf rujhan jaari rahega, aur agar teesra support level toota, to ek aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai, jo pair ko 1.2955 ke aas-paas support line ke neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar buyers market mein dobara enter karte hain, to unka ahem resistance point 1.3452 hoga.

Maujooda market dynamics ke sath, traders ko potential entry points ke liye waqif rehna chahiye, khaaskar agar pair critical support levels ke kareeb aata hai. Aane wale dinon mein bullish ya bearish movements ke liye aur mauqe dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

### GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Raat bhar, GBP/USD apne October ke low 1.3110 se upar chala gaya. November mein, ye level ek khaas resistance level tha. Ab tak, agla resistance level November ka high 1.3220 hai. Agar ye level toota, to upar ka target 50-day moving average par pahunchega, jo SMA par mabni hai. Tuesday ka bullish engulfing candle chart exchange rate ki momentum ko barhata hai. MACD aur RSI bhi upar ki taraf jaane ki taraf rujhan rakhte hain.

Author ke mutabiq, agle kuch dinon mein, British dollar 1.3130 par November ka high tak pahunchnay ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Reversal se pehle, GBP/USD ne pehle November ke high ko briefly todte hue 2023 ka naya high 1.3290 banaya. Ascending triangle ki resistance, jo August aur December ke highs se supported hai, shayad ban rahi hai.

### GBP/JPY Technical Analysis

Jaisay is mahine ke shuruat mein rebound hua tha, Britain dollar/yen apne 6-, 9- aur 13-day moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai. Halanke price upar ki taraf ja raha hai, MACD aur slow stochastic indicators apni signal lines aur midlines ke neeche hain. Price movement ko yahan se mazeed taraqqi ki zarurat hai. Isay Britain dollar/yen ka low declare karne ke liye, pehla qadam 21-day moving average ke upar close karna hoga, kyunki October ke high ke baad nazar aati hui downward trend ke chalte, isay low declare karna abhi bahut jaldi hai.

Dusse taraf, agar hum D1 chart ko dekhein, to humein dekhne ko milta hai ke slip hone ki ek samaan sambhavana hai jo $1.3240 tak ek mazboot comeback ki taraf le ja sakta hai. 1.3285 par ek mazboot buying opportunity maujood hai, aur hum aaj ke trading session mein 1.3275 tak ki badhoti ki umeed kar sakte hain. Is bullish trend ka faida uthane ke liye, buyers ke paas 50-60 pips hasil karne ka mauqa hai, kyunki price ne pehle 1.3265 ka high dekha phir 1.3040 tak swing kiya.