gbp/usd

GBP/USD Analysis: Resistance aur Support Zones

Qareeb tareen maqsad resistance zone 1.2650-1.2745 ko test karna hai jo pehla upar target hai. Agar is level ke upar consolidation hota hai, to yeh further growth ko support karega jo upper volume zone 1.2665-1.2758 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Lekin, jab yeh channel ke upper boundary se rebound hua, yeh expanding triangular model ke upper edge ke qareeb aa gaya. Agar yeh upar se niche enter hota hai, to pehla lower target support zone 1.2600-1.2670 hoga. Filhal, hum channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb trading kar rahe hain, jo potential fall ka indication hai. Phir bhi, hume channel ke upper boundary ke upar breakout dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo decline ke bajaye ho sakta hai. Chalti growth aur sellers ke kam hotay influence ko dekhte hue, purchases kholne ka waqt hai. Market filhal uptrend mein hai aur slowdown ke koi nishan nahi dikh raha. GBP/USD market resistance aur support ke beech mein positioned hai, aur kisi bhi direction mein breakout naye trends establish kar sakta hai. Market ka apni forming aur rising trends ke liye consistent respect traders ke liye aik reassuring sign hai. Agar market 1.2585 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh support aur resistance ko 1.2570 par establish karegi. Yeh analysis H4 time frame ke liye tayar kiya gaya hai.

**H4 Chart Technicals ke Mutabiq:**

GBP/USD pair ek bearish trend mein hai lekin resistance 1.2748 ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Har attempt ne fail ho kar market ko support level ki taraf wapas morha hai. Market trend ko bearish rehne ki umeed hai jab tak yeh support level 1.2668 par rejection nahi encounter karta. Isliye, market trend sideways hone ki umeed hai, jo un logon ke liye faida mand aur profitable ho sakta hai jo technical knowledge rakhte hain.

GBP/USD Analysis: Low Volatility and Market Reactions

GBP/USD ne Friday ko low volatility ka samna kiya aur pair hardly move hui. Friday ko UK aur US se kuch reports release hui, lekin market ne in reports ko ignore kar diya. UK economy ne pehle quarter mein stronger growth dikhayi, lekin is report ka pair ki movements par koi asar nahi pada. US mein bhi important PCE indices aur consumer sentiment reports release hui, jo din ke dusre hissa mein dollar ko kuch support provide karte hain. Lekin, kya hum really macro data par market ki is reaction mein interested hain jab overall volatility sirf 45 pips thi? Pair ki value flat rahi.

Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par formally ek buy signal generate kiya. European trading session ke dauran, pair ne 1.2605-1.2633 area se bounce hone ke liye kuch ghante struggle kiya. Yeh signal itna weak aur inaccurate tha ke isay execute karna bekaar tha. Kisi bhi case mein, US data release se pehle traders ko pair ke direction change hone ki ummeed thi.

**Trading Tips for Monday:**

Hourly chart par GBP/USD downtrend formation ke promising signs dikha raha hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakti. Bearish prospects ke hawale se, yeh achi baat hai ke price ne 1.2693 level ko do baar overcome kiya; lekin market aksar sell karne se inkaar karti hai, even technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic factors ke honay ke bawajood. Abhi bhi, har naye low pehle se sirf thoda kam hai aur corrections kaafi frequent hain. Yeh downward trend ki weakness ko indicate karta hai.

Monday ko British pound shayad erratic aur illogical movements continue kare. Khush kismati se, pair stronger movements dikhana shuru kar sakti hai kyunki agle hafte mein bohot saari important data release honi hai.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, aur 1.2980. Monday ko UK se Manufacturing PMI for June release hogi, aur similar indices US mein bhi publish kiye jayenge, jinmein important ISM bhi shamil hai.

GBP/USD H4 Analysis:

Shuruat mein, humne dekha ke buyers ki army ne price ko upar push karne ki koshish ki, lekin price upar nahi ja paayi. GBP/USD currency pair ki trend beech mein last week ke bearish trend ko continue karti rahi. Market jo ke last kuch hafton se dominantly bearish trend mein hai, abhi tak poori tarah se khatam nahi hui lagti.

Graph ke observations ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair ab bhi bearish trend ki taraf wapas jaane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Is haftay mein downward movement continue nahi kar paayi, kyun ke trading session ke end ke qabal buyers ke forces ne resistance kiya, jiski wajah se bearish trend ne 1.0725 level tak upward correction dekha. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein, is pair ne bullish direction mein trend reverse karne ki koshish ki, lekin daily timeframe par bhi market sellers ke control mein nazar aayi, isliye pichle haftay ka izafa sirf ek correction lagta hai.

GBP/USD pair filhal consolidation phase mein hai, jahan significant resistance level ko todne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai. Kamzor US dollar, jo ke weak CPI figures ki wajah se hai, recent price movements mein crucial role play kar raha hai. Jab tak short-term outlook uncertain hai, dollar ke further depreciation se pair ki upward movement ko support mil sakti hai, jo ke 1.2700+ ke local high tak target kar sakti hai. Traders ko technical aur fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue trading decisions lene chahiye aur market ke movements pe nazar rakhni chahiye.

GBP/USD Analysis:

GBP/USD abhi bhi 6/8 (1.26953) ke border ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Is instrument ki volatility mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui hai. Mere nazdeek, prospects aur trading executions ke hawale se, main kuch key scenarios ko consider kar raha hoon:

1. Currency pair ka upar ki taraf move karna, reversal level 7/8 (1.31836) ki taraf.
2. Medium term ke local maximum ki price ko update karna - ZZ of the average period, bina kisi upper control point ke formation ke.
3. Medium-term perspective ke local maximum ki quotes ko update karna - ZZ of the medium period aur upper control point ki value (856.3 points).
4. Upward trend ka development continue hona, jab tak asset local maximum of the long-term perspective - ZZ of the older period aur upper control point ki value (2796.1 points) ko update kare.
5. 7/8 level border tak pahunchnay ke baad, is border ko niche se upar break karna aur GBP/USD ka is border ke upar fix hona.

Immediate target upward movement ka 6/8 level border khud hai. Short, medium, aur long-term ke liye jo scheme apnayi gayi hai wo wahi rahegi.

European currency ne market ke khulte hi kaafi active move kiya, jabke British pound ne American dollar ke muqablay mein sirf chhota sa qadam aage badhaya. Is wajah se GBP/USD chart pe Asian session ke doran practically koi tabdeeli nahi hui; quotes ab bhi yellow moving average se thodi niche trade kar rahi hain, jo ke south direction mein rollback ki prospects ko indicate karta hai, aur current trading range ka lower limit area 1.2610 tak pahunchnay ka imkaan hai.

Aaj strong fluctuations dekhne ko mil sakti hain, kyunke US manufacturing sector ke business activity index ki publication expected hai, jo economists ke mutabiq increase ke sath publish hoga. Yeh US dollar ke strengthening ka ek aur reason ho sakta hai American session ke shuru hone se pehle. Alternative scenario ke tor par, main yellow moving average ke breakdown ki possibility ko bhi consider kar raha hoon, jo further growth ko upper limit of the trading range, jo ke 1.2700 level par hai, ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level reach hota hai, to main actively sell karunga.

Main yeh baat bhi mad e nazar rakhta hoon. Lekin purchases mein enter karne se pehle, main 1.2605 - 1.2615 ke area mein speculators ki reaction ko dekhna pasand karunga. Yeh window entry ke liye guide hogi. Lekin agar aap dekhein ke is mahine kaise kaam hua hai, to bears ka pressure mehsoos ho raha hai. Aur agar koi increase hota hai, to wo sirf ek rollback hi hoga. H4 timeframe par, British instrument autumn leaves ki tarah gir raha hai. Buyers abhi tak decrease ko delay karne mein successful nahi hue hain. Ab 1.2615 ka border ek naye descent ke liye hai, jo pehle bhi dheere dheere pricked ho chuka hai, magar movement dheemi ho gayi hai. Asian markets ka kaam shuru hone ke saath, main pair ke naye decrease ko allow karta hoon. Yeh blade sectors ke beech hai. Aur aage events kaise unfold honge, yeh dekhna hoga.

Kal ke liye, live ranges yeh hain: Sell zone (1.2540 - 1.2605) aur buy zone (1.2615 - 1.2690). Technical price of GBP/USD abhi 1.2640 par hai. Mujhe is point se entry point dhoondhna thoda asaan nahi lag raha. Main abhi pound-dollar ko catch karne ke liye do scenarios consider kar raha hoon. Pehla hai rollback rebound ke sath reverse upwards. Jab 1.2615 ke paas pahunchenge, agar rebound hota hai, to main buy karunga. Increase targets honge 1.2650-70-90. Dusra option hai 1.2615 ke neeche breakout hona, aur main 1.2600 se sell karne ki koshish karunga. Sliding targets honge 1.2585 aur phir rise ke sath 1.2540 tak exit.

Agar Asian traders level par khamosh rehte hain aur apni mood nahi dikhate, to kuch nahi karna, Europe ka intezar karna hoga. Aur 11:00 tak direction decide karunga. Mondays mushkil ho sakte hain, isliye rush na karna behtar hai. Sabko successful trading ki dua!

Market Structure of GBP/USD

Market khula hai aur abhi volatility movement dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo ke ek unexpected movement hai, London session se pehle hi. Aaj main GBP/USD ka analysis kar raha hoon, jo ke 4 ghante ke time frame chart par ek clear market structure dikhata hai. Lekin usse pehle, main aaj ke fundamental events ko highlight karna chahta hoon. Monday ko kai macroeconomic reports release hone wale hain. Germany, EU, UK, aur US mein June ke liye standard Manufacturing PMIs ke second estimates release honge. Yeh reports currency pairs ki movement par zyada asar nahi dalengi. Iske ilawa, Germany ka June ka inflation report bhi aayega, jo interesting ho sakta hai. Forecasts ke mutabiq, Consumer Price Index 2.4% se kam hokar 2.3% par aa sakta hai, jo euro par pressure daal sakta hai. Yaad rahe, Eurozone ka last report show karta hai ke annual inflation 0.2% barh gayi thi, magar agar inflation phir se slow hoti hai, to yeh European Central Bank ko September mein rate cut ke kareeb laa sakti hai. Yeh euro ke liye bearish factors hain.

US mein bhi ISM Manufacturing Index publish hoga, jo din ka sabse important report hai. Agar figure expected se zyada barh kar 49 points par aa jata hai, to yeh report dollar ko boost kar sakti hai.

4 ghante ke time frame chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ne clear bearish structure dikhaya hai. Pichli baar GBP/USD ne low break kiya aur supply zone area bana, jahan se GBP/USD reject hua aur gira. Phir GBP/USD ne ek naye lower low ke neeche break kiya aur ek fresh supply zone area banaya, jo 1.2703 aur 1.2681 ke beech hai. Ab GBP/USD is supply zone area ki taraf ja raha hai aur yeh zone sell opportunity ke liye hai. GBP/USD near-term resistance level 1.2671 ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, agar yeh resistance level break hota hai to ek naya demand zone area bhi banega.

Overall, supply zone area mein sell trade dekhna achha idea hai, jise maine upar mention kiya hai, aur stop loss ko supply zone area ke upar rakhein. Target naya demand zone area 1.2637 aur 1.2620 ke aas-paas hona chahiye.

GBP/USD Pair Ka H4 Time Frame Par Analysis

Chart ki observations ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair abhi bhi bearish trend ki taraf wapas jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Is hafte downward movement trade session shuru hone se pehle continue nahi kar saki. Pichle hafte ke akhir mein buying forces ki resistance ke wajah se bearish trend continue hua, aur price level 1.0725 tak upar ki taraf correction dekha gaya. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein, pair ko bullish direction mein market trend reverse karte hue dekha gaya. Lekin daily timeframe par market situation abhi bhi sellers ke control mein dikhayi deti hai, isliye pichle hafte ki increase sirf ek correction hi samjhi gayi.

Pichle hafte ke Monday ke shuruat mein bhi ek upward correction dekhi gayi thi jo price level 1.0747 tak pahunch gayi thi, lekin Saturday morning ko price phir se gir gayi. In conditions ko dekhte hue, yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ka market trend bearish direction mein continue hone ki umeed hai aur price shayad 1.2595 ke range tak neeche aayegi. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ki position jo level 50 ke neeche gir gayi hai, yeh trend ke abhi bhi bearish hone ka indication hai.

Agle hafte ke trading session ke liye, main Sell trade entry ke liye achi area dhoondhne par concentrate karunga. Is hafte ki price movements jo ke sideways lag rahi hain, wo abhi bhi Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche hain, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ke liye aur zyada opportunity dikhata hai. Agar market conditions ko pichle teen hafte se dekha jaye, to mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend agle mahine tak continue karega.

Aaj GBP/USD mein market ne chhoti gap ke sath khula, jo ke Asian session ke dauran bhar gaya hai, aur abhi buyers position ko hold kar rahe hain, Friday ke daily range ka high update karne mein kamiyab rahe hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikar kiya hai, mujhe lagta hai ke sellers price ko niche ki taraf push karte rahenge, aur is surat mein main support level par focus karunga, jo ke mere analysis ke mutabiq 1.25694 par located hai. Is support level ke aas-paas do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle banaye aur price upward movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ke resistance level par wapas jane ka intezar karunga jo ke 1.27025 ya resistance level 1.27399 par hai. In resistance levels ke upar price consolidate hone par, main further northward movement expect karunga, resistance level 1.28604 ya 1.28938 tak. In resistance levels ke paas, main agle trading direction ka pata lagane ke liye trading setup banne ka intezar karunga.

Of course, main yeh bhi maan raha hoon ke price ke higher northern targets ke taraf movement ke dauran southern pullbacks bhi ho sakte hain, jinko main nearby support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, uptrend ke resume hone ki ummed ke sath. Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke price support level 1.25694 ke paas consolidate karne ke baad niche ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan unfold hota hai, to main price ke support level 1.24661 ya support level 1.24456 ki taraf move hone ki ummed karunga. In support levels ke paas bhi, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, upward price movement ke resume hone ki umeed ke sath.

General taur par, agar hum chhoti baat karein, to filhal mujhe locally kuch bhi interesting nazar nahi aa raha. Overall, main northward movement ke resumption ki taraf oriented hoon, lekin buying options ko consider karne ke liye, main nearest support level se clear bullish signal dekhna chahta hoon.

Yeh potential ban sakta hai ke market current range ke upper limit ka test kare, jo ke 1.2726 level ke just niche hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to mere liye yeh ek strong selling signal hoga. Aaj forex market ki directionless nazar aa rahi hai. Economic catalysts ki kami aur technical stalemate ke wajah se sideways trading ka din hone ke imkaan hain. Lekin technical indicators mein kuch subtle hints hain jo calculated risks lene wale traders ke liye entry points offer kar sakte hain. Red Moving Average ke neeche break hona buying opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai, jabke Yellow Moving Average ke upar break hona selling opportunity ko indicate kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, market ki overall lack of momentum ke sath caution zaroori hai.

Is tarah se, baad mein hum zyada free aur flexible rahenge market ke development ko dekhne ke liye. Is hafte bearish movement ka continuation next month ke shuruat mein downward trend ko momentum provide kar sakta hai, aur shayad zyadah fundamentals isko support karenge. Mere hisaab se, agle kuch dino ke liye Sell trading option abhi bhi consider ki ja sakti hai. Agla market opportunity bearish trend ko continue karne ka chance rakhte hai. Achha signal confirm karne ke liye humein sellers ka intezar karna hoga jo price ko 1.2621 ki taraf push kare. Is doran, next decline ka target yeh ho sakta hai ke candlestick 1.2601 price area ke niche gir jaye.

General taur par, Pound ke liye abhi downward idea kaam ho raha hai H4 timeframe par sell signal ke basis par. Yeh signal 1.27218 level par hua, aur iska potential blue bar se 1.25855 target tak dikhaya gaya hai. Lekin, personally main deeper pullback ka intezar kar raha tha taake H4 timeframe par trade kar saku. Lekin jaisa ke humne dekha, koi pullback nahi aayi, aur Pound ne sirf 1 to 1 risk-to-reward ratio ke sath entry ka mauka diya, yani ke signal level se. Yeh mumkin hai ke Pound mein increase aaye, aur yeh increase current decline se zyada ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 sell signal ke against jana advisable nahi hai, khas taur par jab overall structure bearish hai. Haan, kuch indications hain ke upward movement ho sakti hai, jaise decline ka slow hona aur horizontal position banana, jo local triangle ko form karta hai. MACD bhi last two waves mein divergences dikhata hai, jo sales ke against na jane ka strong factor hai. Isliye, yahan sales karna risky hai, aur purchases karna bhi risky hai kyunki bohot se arguments hain, lekin growth ko support karne wale facts kam hain.

Summer ke end tak market ka kya type rahega? Main yeh nahi kehna chahunga ke Sterling prices rise nahi kar sakti, agar Bank of England refinancing rate ko reduce karne ka decision le, jo ke agle month mein expected hai. Dollar pair major changes ke bina rahega. British pound pair ki prices red moving average aur resistance level 1.2657 ke beech confined hain, jahan aaj Monday ko decline hui hai, aur is channel se direct exit ke signs nahi hain. Bulls resistance level 1.2657 ke upar nahi chadh paaye, jo current trading range ka middle limit hai, isliye hum expect kar sakte hain ke ek aur pullback hoga jo red moving average ko mark karega, level 1.2610 tak. In conclusion, short-term uncertainty current GBP/USD market ki situation ko characterize karti hai, lekin long term mein downward bias nazar aa raha hai. England mein refinancing rate ko reduce karna aur United States mein current rates ko maintain karna dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye favorable conditions create karte hain.

GBP/USD Forecast

Salam aur Good Morning sab ko!

Aaj GBP/USD par sideways condition dekhi ja rahi hai, jo ke recent sessions mein buyers ki lackluster performance ke wajah se hai. Is bekaar ke movement ko dekhte hue, market mein survival ke liye careful decision-making zaroori hai. Mere liye aaj bhi buy order dena theek hai, kyunke market ke favorable hone ki potential hai. Lekin, vigilant rehna bhi zaroori hai, kyunki US ISM Manufacturing PMI release market sentiment ko significant tor par alter kar sakti hai. Market ko samajhna aur in economic indicators ke mutabiq adapt karna success ke liye essential hai.

Meri recommendation yeh hai ke short-term ke liye sell position consider ki jaye, jabke long-term trading plan ko maintain rakha jaye. Yeh dual approach flexibility provide karti hai, jo immediate market conditions aur longer-term trends dono ko accommodate karti hai. Aaj GBP/USD market buyers ke favor mein rahega, lekin caution zaroori hai. Stop-loss orders ka istemal critical hai, khaaskar US trading session ke doran jab ISM aur Final Manufacturing PMI indices release honge. Yeh measures risk manage karne aur unexpected market movements se bachne mein madadgar honge.

Aise volatile environment mein strategic aur well-thought-out trading plan ki importance ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Short-term trades aur long-term positions ko balance karke, traders fluctuations ko zyada effectively navigate kar sakte hain. Summary yeh hai ke aaj ke GBP/USD market ko sideways condition aur key economic data releases ke potential impact ki wajah se nuanced approach ki zaroorat hai. Short-term sell positions aur long-term buy strategies ke combination ke saath diligent stop-loss orders ka istemal, trading ke liye ek robust framework provide kar sakta hai.

Market signals par informed aur responsive rehna crucial hai opportunities capitalize karne aur risks mitigate karne ke liye. Current conditions buyers ke liye cautious optimism suggest karte hain, lekin flexibility aur preparedness aaj ke trading landscape ko successfully navigate karne ke liye essential hain.

Aapko successful trading week ki dua aur calm rehne ki salahiyat!

GBP/USD/H4

Pichli raat ki trading session mein buyers price ko upar le jane mein nakam rahe, aur is momentum ka faida uthate hue sellers ne price ko neeche push kar diya. Chart analysis ke results ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair pichle June se downward movement mein hai. Aaj subah price movement thodi upar correction kar rahi thi, lekin weekly basis par sellers ki taqat ab bhi candlestick ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur yeh level 1.2686 tak pahuncha hai. Candlestick ka position jo ab bhi red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke neeche hai, yeh market ke bearish hone ka indication hai. Dekha jaa sakta hai ke pehli upward trend phir se downward ho gayi hai. American session ke shuru hone ke waqt market phir se neeche move karne ka irada rakh sakti hai.

Pair ne zyadatar currencies ke muqablay mein strong performance dikhayi hai, siwaay Euro ke. Yeh strength tab bhi barqarar hai jabke market mein yeh speculations barh rahi hain ke Bank of England (BoE) apni agle meetings August ya September mein interest rates ko kam karne ka soch sakti hai. Yeh speculations UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke recent report se fuel hui hain, jo indicate karti hai ke economic recovery April mein expected roop se thum gayi thi.

GBP/USD pair 1.2700 mark ke kareeb significant resistance face kar raha hai, aur aage 1.2860 region ke paas aur hurdles hain. Agar pair is point ke aage apni strength barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh potentially saal ke peak 1.2900 level ko dobara test kar sakta hai, jo March mein dekha gaya tha. Agar yeh peak breach hota hai to yeh 1.2951 resistance tak climb kar sakta hai aur shayad psychological 1.3000 mark ko reclaim karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jo July 2023 ke baad nahi dekha gaya.

**Shezuka Trading Discussion**

Lekin ek alternative scenario bhi hai. Agar prices Yellow Moving Average ke upar rahti hain, to bulls control dobara haath mein le sakte hain aur prices ko upar push kar sakte hain. Yeh potential upper limit ko test karne ke liye lead kar sakta hai, jo ke 1.2726 level ke just neeche hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai to mere liye yeh ek strong selling signal hoga. Aaj forex market directionless lagti hai. Economic catalysts ki kami aur technical stalemate ka matlab hai ke sideways trading ka din ho sakta hai. Lekin, technical indicators me kuch subtle hints hain jo calculated risks lene walon ke liye entry points offer kar sakti hain. Red Moving Average ke neeche break hona buying opportunity ka indication hai, jabke Yellow Moving Average ke upar break hona selling opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai. Halankeh overall market mein momentum ki kami hai, caution zaroori hai. Is tarah se, baad mein hum zyada flexible aur freer honge market ke development ko dekhne ke liye.

Is hafte ki bearish movement ka continuation agle mahine ke shuruat mein downward trend ko momentum de sakta hai, shayad zyada fundamentals isko support karenge. Mere khayal mein, agle kuch dinon ke liye, Sell trading option ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Agli market opportunity bearish trend ko continue karne ka chance ab bhi hai. Achhi signal ki confirmation ke liye hume sellers ka intezar karna hoga jo price ko 1.2621 ki taraf push karen. Is dauran, agla target decline ke liye yeh ho sakta hai ke candlestick 1.2601 price area ke neeche gir jaye.

General taur par, abhi Pound ke liye downward idea H4 timeframe par kaam mein hai. Yeh signal 1.27218 level par aaya, aur iska potential blue bar ke zariye dikhaya gaya hai jo 1.25855 tak hai. Lekin, main personal taur par deeper pullback ka intezar kar raha tha is idea ko trade karne ke liye, lekin dekha gaya ke pullback nahi hua, aur Pound ne sirf 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio ki opportunity di jo signal level se mili. Yeh mumkin hai ke Pound mein increase ho, aur yeh increase current decline ka aadha se zyada ho sakta hai. Lekin, H4 sell signal ke khilaf jana advisable nahi hai, khaaskar jab overall structure bearish hai. Haan, kuch indications hain ke upward movement ho sakti hai. Jaise ke decline dheema ho gaya aur horizontal position mein convert ho gaya, local triangle ban gaya. MACD bhi pichle do waves mein divergences dikhata hai, jo sales ke khilaf jaana ka strong factor hai. Isliye, yahan sales risky hai, aur purchases bhi risky hain kyunke arguments zyada hain, lekin growth ko support karne wale facts kam hain.

Agar summer ke end tak market kaise rahega? Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke sterling prices Bank of England ke refinancing rate ko reduce karne ke faislay ke baad barh jaaye, aur aisa faisla agle mahine expected hai. Dollar pair major changes ke bina rahega. British pound pair ki prices red moving average aur resistance level 1.2657 ke beech confined hain, jahan aaj, Monday ko decline dekha gaya, aur koi signs nahi hain jo is channel se directly exit ka indicate karein. Bulls resistance level 1.2657 ke upar nahi chadh pa rahe, jo ke current trading range ki middle limit ke sath coincide karta hai, hum expect kar sakte hain ke aur ek pullback red moving average tak, level 1.2610 tak ho. Conclusion mein, short-term uncertainty market ki current situation ko characterize karti hai, lekin long-term mein downward bias hai. England mein refinancing rate ko reduce karna aur United States mein current rates ko maintain karna dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye favorable conditions create karta hai.

**GBP/USD H1 Analysis**

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis karenge. Agar pair H1 resistance 1.2681 ko tod deti hai, to growth ka likelihood hai. Successful breakout se probability lagbhag 90% tak barh jati hai, lekin 10% uncertainty 1.2696 level par rahegi, jahan pair retrace kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level sahi hota hai, to mujhe ummeed hai ke growth 1.2781 tak pohch sakti hai, jo H1 resistance ke sath coincide karti hai aur 1.2696 se 1.2721 tak breakout ke baad follow hoti hai, ya 1.2621 H1 support ho sakta hai. Agar retracement 1.2751 se hoti hai, to H1 support 1.2546 par hoga. Lekin, agar 1.2696 par bounce back hota hai to scenario complicated ho sakta hai aur further decline ko rokh sakta hai. Post-retracement, growth 1.2781 tak continue ho sakti hai, jahan bearish reversal ka possibility hai agar ek aur breakout nahi hota, jo growth ko 1.3126 tak push kar sakta hai. Agar decline dekhte hain aur 1.2611 range tak price girti hai aur successful breach hota hai, to yeh sell signal ko indicate karega. Agar price 1.2611 ke neeche break hoti hai aur consolidate hoti hai, to sell signal ko reinforce karega.

Is tarah se baad mein hum zyada free aur flexible honge market ke development ko dekhne ke liye. Is hafte ki bearish movement ka continuation agle mahine ke shuruat mein downward trend ko momentum de sakta hai, aur shayad zyada fundamentals isko support karenge. Mere khayal se, agle kuch dinon ke liye Sell trading option ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Agli market opportunity ab bhi bearish trend ko continue karne ka chance rakhti hai. Achhi signal ki confirmation ke liye hume sellers ka intezar karna hoga jo price ko 1.2621 ki taraf push karen. Is dauran, agla target decline ke liye yeh ho sakta hai ke candlestick 1.2601 price area ke neeche gir jaye.

Pound khud is tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai. Gains ke ek period ke baad, isne recently selling pressure ka samna kiya, aur ek key short-term upward trend line ke neeche gir gaya. Lekin, isne apni 50-day moving average par support pa liya, jo ek tezi decline ko rokti hai. Agar downward pressure continue hota hai, to pound support level 1.2655 ko breach kar sakta hai, jo further drops ko 1.2620 aur 1.2598 tak le ja sakta hai, jo is saal ke shuruat mein dekhe gaye levels hain. Overall, pound ki direction US data aur upcoming US election se policy changes ke perception par depend karti hai. Jab tak yeh uncertainties clear nahi hoti, pound holding pattern mein rehne ki sambhavana hai.

**GBP/USD Update Analysis**

**Time Frame H4:**

Friday ko GBP/USD pair ki price poore din ke dauran previous daily range se break nahi ho pai aur ek uncertainty candle bani jo thodi bullish edge ke sath thi. Aane wale haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke southward trend continue ho sakta hai. Main is level ko bar-bar monitor karunga, jo mere signals ke mutabiq 1.25694 par located hai. Is support level ke paas do scenarios develop ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario hai ke turning candle form ho aur upward price movement resume ho.

**Market Outlook:**

Agar hum summer ke end tak market ke behavior ko dekhein, to mujhe hairani nahi hogi agar sterling prices increase karen Bank of England ke refinancing rate reduce karne ke decision ke baad, jo agle mahine expected hai. Dollar pair major changes ke bina rahega. British pound pair ki prices red moving average aur resistance level 1.2657 ke beech confined hain, jahan aaj, Monday ko, decline dekhi gayi. Abhi tak koi sign nahi hai jo is channel se direct exit ko indicate kare. Jab tak bulls resistance level 1.2657 ko paar nahi kar lete, jo current trading range ki middle limit ke sath coincide karta hai, hum ek aur pullback expect kar sakte hain jo red moving average ko mark karega, level 1.2610 tak.

**Summary:**

Short-term uncertainty GBP/USD market ki current situation ko characterize karti hai, lekin long-term mein downward bias dikhai de raha hai. England mein refinancing rate ko reduce karna aur United States mein current rates ko maintain karna dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye favorable conditions create karte hain. Isliye, market ke current behavior ko dekhte hue, short-term mein caution zaroori hai aur long-term bearish trend ka possibility bhi nazar aa raha hai.

**British Pound Analysis**

British Pound ko trading duniya mein bahut zyada analyze kiya jata hai aur yeh Euro ke muqablay mein technical analysis ke liye zyada pasandida hai. Filhal, H4 timeframe par ek downward trend ka idea kaam mein hai, jo sell signal par base hai. Yeh signal 1.27218 ke level par hua tha, aur iska potential blue bar se 1.25855 tak dikhai deta hai. Mere hisaab se, main thoda deeper pullback ki ummeed kar raha tha taake is idea ko H4 timeframe par trade kar saku. Lekin, jaise ke humne dekha, pullback nahi aya aur Pound ne sirf ek risk-to-reward ratio of 1 to 1 ke sath entry ka mauka diya, jo sirf signal level se hai.

Yeh mumkin hai ke Pound mein thodi increase dekhi jaye, jo current decline ka zyada than half ho sakti hai. Lekin, H4 sell signal ke against jana advisable nahi hai, khaaskar jab overall structure bearish hai. Haan, kuch indications hain jo upward movement ki taraf ishaara karte hain. Misal ke taur par, decline dheema ho gaya hai aur horizontal position mein turn kar gaya hai, jo ek local triangle form kar raha hai. MACD bhi last two waves mein divergences show karta hai, jo sales ke against na jaane ka strong factor hai. Isliye, yahan sales karna risky hai, khaaskar local stop loss set karna behtar hai. Purchases karna bhi risky hai kyunki arguments zyada hain lekin growth ko support karne wale facts kam hain.

Agar hum hourly timeframe dekhen, to ek growth ka signal hai, lekin iska potential chhota hai. Yeh signal sirf 1.26827 tak ke targets ko indicate karta hai, jo zyada likely upper boundary of a narrowing channel par ek false breakout ho sakta hai, na ke ek asli rise. Timeframe priority ke hisaab se, H4 par senior sell signal aur hourly timeframe par junior buy signal hai. Agar hum senior signal ke against trade karte hain, to H4 aur M15 timeframes ka combination use karna behtar hai aur H1 timeframe par trading avoid karni chahiye. Yeh isliye kyunki M15 timeframe ab bhi senior idea ke within move kar sakta hai jabke senior idea (higher timeframe) M15 ke liye zyada lenient hai.