gbp/usd

Subah bakhair! Aapka forecast Pound ke growth ke bare mein confirm ho gaya, sab kuch actively grow hua, lagbhag 100 points tak, aur kai important levels ko break kiya. Pehle, unhon ne 1.28026 ka level break kiya, phir jaldi se 1.28394 ki mark tak pohnch gaye, aur phir foran hi 1.28637 ke level tak pohnch gaye. In teen levels ke breakout ne humein descending structure ka breakdown aur quotes ke growth ke possible continuation ke signals diye. Agar hum 1.28637 ke level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to hum aagey growth expect kar sakte hain 1.28873 ke level ki taraf. Sellers ke liye, kuch downward form karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke koi reversal model create karein jis par aagey chal kar rely kiya ja sake, jab ke abhi tak upward movement active hai.

GBPUSD H4 Pair:

1- Pound 4-hour chart par actively upper band ke sath move kar raha hai, jab ke dono bands bahar ki taraf khule hue hain, jo ke price growth ke possible continuation ka signal dete hain. Is situation mein hum sirf observe kar sakte hain ke ye signal develop hota hai ya nahi. Agar hum situation ko fractals se evaluate karein, to price ne kal upward nearest fractal ko break kiya aur August 6 ke fractal ke level tak target pohncha, aur phir mazeed aagey barh gaya. Iss waqt, ek naya, qareebi fractal upward form hua hai, jo quotes ke growth ka target hai. Iska breakout aur consolidation price ko July 29 ke fractal tak 1.28873 le jaane ki ijazat dega. Nearest fractal downward door hai, aur price fall ke direction mein rely karne ke liye, naya, qareebi fractal downward ka formation ka intezaar karna padega.

2- AO indicator positive zone mein actively grow ho raha hai, ek naya maximum form hua hai, abhi tak yeh wazeh nahi ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur isse yeh suggest hota hai ke price growth mazeed continue kar sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Ke Saath Jeetne Wale Trades**

**Jayeza**

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko samajhne ke irade se hai. British pound ne medium-term support line se rebound kiya, jo 1.2631 par tha. Is ke baad, trend ne puri tarah se reversal dikhayi hai, aur ab pair confident bullish growth dikha raha hai, isliye is waqt is ke khilaf trade karna bekaar hai.

**Hali Ki Performance**

Pair ne ek majboot horizontal resistance 1.2671 ko tod diya hai, jo buyers ki confidence ko barhaya hai aur aage ke growth ka potential khula hai, shayad weekly peak 1.2739 tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Filhal, koi significant rukawat nazar nahi aa rahi hai is raaste mein. Main abhi buy ya sell karne ka soch nahi raha, kyunki dollar sabhi currencies ke muqablay kamzor ho raha hai. GBP/USD currency pair abhi bhi uptrend mein hai, jo heavy moving average se confirm hota hai, aur price bar-bar bounce karti rehti hai. Hum filhal 1.2631 ke level par hain, jo pichle trading session mein supply zone ke taur par kaam aayi thi jahan price bar-bar bounce hui.

**Key Resistance Levels**

Bullish rally ka jari rehne ke liye zaroori hai ke 1.2661 ka resistance todna padega. Dusri taraf, agar growth aur candles 1.2691 ke upar close hoti hain, to pair 1.280 tak bhi barh sakta hai aur weekly triangle ke upper limit ko test kar sakta hai.

**Market Conditions**

Britain mein rate situation ajeeb hai. Halankeh inflation 2% tak gir gaya hai, Central Bank aisa react kar raha hai jaise kuch badla nahi. Is behavior ko upcoming elections aur sudden moves se bachne ki koshish se jura gaya hai. Conservative representatives Central Bank mein hain, lekin wo Labour Party ko faida nahi dena chahte, jo situation ko aur bhi kharab kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, pound aaj bhi barh raha hai.

**Nateejah**

GBP/USD ke paas dono upward aur downward movements ka potential hai, jo critical levels aur market reactions par depend karta hai. Traders ko 1.2701 aur 1.2691 ke levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki ye agle significant moves ko indicate karenge.

GBPUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.



Breakout ke baad price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar price steadily rise karti hai, higher highs aur higher lows H1 chart par bante hain, to yeh naye bullish trend ke liye case ko strengthen karega. Lekin, agar breakout ke baad swift reversal hota hai aur price pehle ke resistance level ke neeche wapas aa jati hai, to yeh false breakout indicate kar sakta hai aur pair phir apne pehle ke downward movement par wapas aa sakta hai. Traders ke liye patience key hai. Breakout ke basis par long positions initiate karne se pehle additional confirmation ka wait karna behtar hai. Yeh retracement ko dekhna shamil ho sakta hai jo former resistance level ko naye support ke tor par test karta hai ya price ka clear hona subsequent resistance levels, jaise recent highs, ko upward movement ki strength affirm karne ke liye. GBPUSD pair H1 time frame chart par upar ki taraf breakout dikhata hai aur diagonal resistance ko breach karta hai. Yeh development promising hai, lekin definite shift towards upward trend declare karna premature hai. False breakout ka potential hai, aur traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, further confirmation dekhte hue long positions commit karne se pehle. Technical aur fundamental factors dono ko dekh kar traders market ki complexities ko better navigate kar sakte hain aur profitable trading opportunities ke liye informed decisions le sakte hain.

GBP/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
13 AUGUST 2024


GBP/USD 4-hour timeframe per kuch important phases hain jo main observe kar raha hoon. Pehle, ek significant uptrend tha jahan price 1.2630 se gradually barh kar 1.3045 ke peak tak pohnchi. Yeh pound sterling ki strength ko US dollar ke muqablay mein dikhata hai is dauran.

Peak par pohnchne ke baad, chart par ek trend reversal dikhayi di jahan price decline karne lagi aur 1.2810 ke aas-paas stabilize hui. Phir price 1.2810 aur 1.2770 ke beech ek narrow trading range mein chalti rahi, jo market mein uncertainty ya buyers aur sellers ke beech balance ko indicate karta hai.

Agla phase ek pronounced downtrend ka hai, jahan price 1.2650 ke low tak gir gayi. Is level ko touch karne ke baad, price fir se increase hui aur ab 1.2770 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke short-term mein resistance aur long-term view mein support ka kaam kar raha hai.

Is analysis se, main conclude karta hoon ke GBP/USD ab recovery phase mein hai recent bottom ko touch karne ke baad, lekin abhi bhi bearish pressure ke neeche hai kyunki medium-term trend abhi bhi lower hai. Nearest key resistance point 1.2810 hai, agar yeh break hota hai, to yeh further recovery signal de sakta hai towards 1.2895 levels ya usse bhi upar.

GBP/USD pair ne yellow daily pivot zone 1.2763 - 1.2774 se 161% resistance 1.2821 - 1.2833 ki taraf nikalna shuru kar diya hai. Yahan se market wapas neeche aakar correction kar sakti hai, lekin pehle buyer ko kal ke highest price 1.2792 ko penetrate karna hoga. Agar yeh fail hota hai, to green resistance 1.2821 tak pohnchne ke chances kam hain kyunki market decline kar sakti hai jo bullish trend ke continuation ko lead kar sakta hai. Pichle kuch dinon se GBP/USD market strong sellers ke control mein hai kyunki Bank of England FED ke muqablay mein dovish hai.

H4 conditions ke mutabiq, price consistently Blue EMA50 ke upar hai, isliye 1.2810 tak potential abhi bhi wide open hai, lekin sustainable increase technically mushkil lagti hai kyunki resistance area 1.2800 ke upar pehle se hi achieve karna mushkil tha. Isliye strong fundamental support ki zarurat hai jaise CPI data ya US monthly inflation kal raat. Agar results expected se alag hote hain, to GBP/USD ke aur upar jane ke chances hain, isliye traders ko abhi sirf short profit targets ko hi dekhna chahiye, bade news se pehle.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis

Hello dosto. Kiya hal hay.
Last trading week mai, sterling ne apni decline ko continue kiya aur agle local minimum 1.2667 tak pohoncha. Is point par price ne strong support dekha, jisse ye 1.2788 level ke neeche break karne me kamyab rahi, decline ko roka, aur kuch losses ko cover kiya. Lekin abhi tak target area tak nahi pohoncha, jahan is waqt price work kar rahi hai. Price chart abhi bhi super-trend red zone mai hai, jo ye indicate karta hai ke sellers ka pressure abhi bhi maujood hai.

US PPI (Producer Price Index) ka monthly value July mai 0.1% se increase hua, jo market expectations ke mutabiq hai, aur previous value 0.2% thi. Annual value bhi 2.2% tak gir gayi, jo pichle saal July mai thi, aur ye market expectations 2.3% se neeche hai.



Pair is waqt apne recent weekly low par trade kar raha hai. Key resistance zone ko test kiya gaya, aur price ne isko hold kiya, jisse decline ko continue karna pada, jo ye indicate karta hai ke downtrend maujood hai. Trend ko continue karne ke liye, price ko jaldi se 1.2788 level ke neeche strengthen karna zaroori hoga, jahan main resistance zone hai. Agar is area se pullback hota hai retest ke baad, toh ye opportunity milegi decline ko continue karne ke liye target area tak, jo 1.2612 aur 1.2524 ke darmiyan hai.

Agar resistance overcome ho gaya aur price ne 1.2857 reversal level ko break kar diya, toh current scenario cancel ho jayega.

GBP/USD currency pair par profound impact dalte hain. Interest rate decisions, quantitative easing measures, aur forward guidance se market sentiment drive hoti hai aur currency pair ka direction influence hota hai.
Recently, Bank of England ne monetary policy ko cautious approach di hai, inflation ke impact ko dekhte hue. Is ke muqablay mein, Federal Reserve ne interest rate hikes aur balance sheet reduction par aggressive stance rakha hai. Ye divergence monetary policy ko bearish trend ko aur exacerbate kar sakta hai.
Lekin, agar BoE inflationary pressures ke response mein zyada hawkish stance leti hai, to current trend reverse ho sakta hai. Waise, agar Fed economic growth ke concerns ki wajah se dovish ho jata hai, to US dollar weaken ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko upward momentum de sakta ha
GBP/USD pair bhi is se immune nahi hai. Brexit developments, trade negotiations, aur political instability UK ya US mein volatility create kar sakte hain aur sharp price swings ka sabab ban sakte hain.
Maslan, agar UK-EU trade relationship ke positive news aate hain post-Brexit, to pound ko boost mil sakta hai, jab ke negative developments pound par heavy weight daal sakti hain. US mein political uncertainty, jese ke fiscal policy debates ya upcoming elections, US dollar ko impact kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ko influence kar sakti hai.
Traders ko geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market reactions ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain.
GBP/USD currency pair ke movements ko predict karne mein important tool hai. Price charts ko analyze karke, key support aur resistance levels ko identify karke, aur technical indicators jese ke moving averages aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) ko use karke traders potential market movements ka insight gain kar sakte hain.
Filhal, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai, aur price action key moving averages ke neeche hai. Lekin, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical support level ke kareeb aa raha hai. Agar ye level hold hota hai, to reversal ya significant bounce ho sakta hai. Agar support level breach hota hai, to bearish trend accelerate ho sakta hai aur further downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Market sentiment bhi GBP/USD pair ko drive karta hai. Sentiment economic data, central bank actions, aur geopolitical events se influence hota hai. Sentiment ka shift bullish se bearish, ya vice versa, sharp movements ka sabab ban sakta hai.
GBP/USD pair ke movements ko influence karte hain. Low liquidity periods, jese ke holidays ya Asian trading session, market ko sharp movements ke liye zyada susceptible banate hain. Dusri taraf, high liquidity periods, jese ke London ya New York sessions, market ko zyada stable banaate hain.
GBP/USD currency pair filhal 1.2754 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend mein hai. Jab ke market dheere dheere move kar rahi hai, kuch factors hain jo aane wale dino mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. Economic indicators, central bank actions, geopolitical events, technical analysis, market sentiment, aur liquidity sab GBP/USD pair ke direction ko determine karte hain.
Traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur potential market-moving events ke liye prepared rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movement ka sabab ban sakti hain. Informative aur analytical approach se traders behtar decisions le sakte hain aur aane wali market volatility ka faida utha sakte hain.
Volatility bhi major economic release ya unexpected geopolitical events ke doran significant increase dekh sakti hai. Traders ko aane wale dino mein increased volatility ke liye aware rehna chahiye, jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movements ka sabab ban sakti hai.