gbp/usd

Wednesday ko, GBPUSD waqai barha. Lekin, candle 1.2935 ke resistance ko torh nahi saki, is liye ye phir se 1.2901 tak gir gayi. Phir Thursday ko, GBPUSD currency pair lagbhag 45 pips gir gayi. Candle 1.2901 ke area se 1.2853 ke price tak pohonch gayi. Is girawat ke natije mein, 1.2878 ke qareebi support ko ab successfully torh diya gaya hai.

Agar current H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, to candle abhi bhi RBS area mein 1.2583 ke price par stuck hai. Jab tak RBS area neeche nahi torhta, GBPUSD ke phir se barhne ka imkaan hai. Us area se shuru hote hi, GBPUSD barhna shuru karegi. GBPUSD pichle kuch dinon se girti aa rahi hai, ab palatne ka waqt hai. Lekin, aapko ehtiyaat karni hogi agar RBS area torh diya jata hai kyun ke is se GBPUSD aur zyada gir sakti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to GBPUSD agle support 1.2630 tak gir sakti hai.

Ichimoku indicator se analysis karne par, candle position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke trend ke abhi bhi bearish zone mein hone ka matlab hai. Filhal, barhne ke koi nishani nahi hain kyun ke koi nai intersections nahi hui hain. Magar, umeed hai ke qareebi support 1.2885 ko torhne se GBPUSD phir se barhne lagegi. Main dekhta hoon ke seller ka pressure bhi kam hone laga hai jab se candle RBS area tak pohonchi hai.

Stochastic indicator se bhi pata chalta hai ke condition oversold hai. Yeh is line se sabit hota hai jo apne lowest level 20 tak pohonch chuki hai. Ho sakta hai ke qareebi future mein GBPUSD dheere dheere barhna shuru kare. Mujhe yakeen hai ke GBPUSD ab barhegi.

Aaj ke analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke barhne ke chances abhi bhi hain halan ke current condition mein pressure hai. Jab tak RBS area 1.2853 par torhta nahi, barhne ka moqa khula hai. Stochastic bhi batata hai ke condition oversold hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, sirf buy positions open karen. Aap apna target qareebi resistance 1.2930 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss support 1.2842 par rakh sakte hain.

musalsal barhta ja raha hai. Ek taraf, yeh sellers ke liye bohot favorable conditions provide karta hai, lekin doosri taraf, iske impulsive growth se yeh bhi suggest hota hai ke sellers shayad galat ho sakte hain is situation mein. Halanki hum yeh nahi keh sakte ke sales nahi ho sakti. Hum sirf market ke opportunities pe react kar sakte hain. Filhal, H4 timeframe par sell signal ke hawale se, pound bohot favorable setup offer kar raha hai.
Is situation ke liye yeh scenario hai: Sell signal ke potential ke sath meri idea unchanged hai, jo ke ab bhi chart par blue bar ke tor par dikhayi de rahi hai target 1.25855 ki taraf. Is signal ke andar hone wali har cheez ko correction mana jata hai. H4 par buy signal already play out ho chuka hai, aur aaj daily timeframe par ek aur buy signal milega jab current daily candle close hogi, jo bohot jald hone wala hai.

Agar specifically selling idea ki baat karein, jaise ke hum Fibonacci retracement levels se dekh sakte hain, hum already 1:6 risk-reward ratio tak pohanch chuke hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke current levels se selling karte hue target 1.25855 ke sath aur stop-loss 1.28588 par rakhte hue potential profit risk se 6 guna zyada ho sakta hai. Lekin kuch sahi nahi lag raha yahan. Hum impulsively move kar rahe hain, upside ki taraf koi correction nahi hai, aur meri main plan euro ke liye growth hai. Ab mujhe yeh nahi samajh araha ke decline, jo itna arsay se favorable selling levels ke liye intezar mein tha, kaise unfold hoga.

Daily timeframe par, train bas north ki taraf ja rahi hai. Aur sales bas is train ko dekhte hi fade ho jaye gi. Yeh ek locomotive hai jo 120 wagons ko kheench rahi hai aur 80 km/h ki speed se ja rahi hai. Daily timeframe ki structure ke base par (doosra chart), mujhe pair ki desire rising continue karne ki lagti hai aur shayad blue line ko break karne ki bhi (jo ke maine local resistance ke tor par mark ki hai). Pound bina pullback ke barh raha hai. Abhi sell karna risky hai. Agar hum sell karte hain, to hum bas waisi hi situation mein phans jayenge jaise sab log jo sell kar rahe the aur pullback ka intezar kar rahe the jo kabhi nahi aaya. Recommendation - abhi selling

GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka real-time mein tajzia kar rahe hain. 1.2938 level ne apni ahmiyat dikhayi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke hum ab 1.2999 (5/8 channel ka top) aur 1.2938 (4/8) ke beech consolidate kar sakte hain aur upper limit ko test karne ka chance hai. Yeh pair trading week ke end tak is range mein reh sakta hai. Magar, British CPI data kal fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hai. Agar inflation expected se kam hoti hai, to ho sakta hai ke hum 1.2999 ko touch na kar sakein. Is surat mein, bears 1.2938 support level ko break karne ki koshish karenge aur 1.2877 ka aim rakhenge. Do hafton ki growth ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne aakhirkar is saal ke highs ko surpass kar liya aur ho sakta hai ke July mein pichle saal ka peak bhi reach kare, khas taur par 13th ko. Is hafte, upward momentum ruk gaya aur aaj reverse bhi hua. Yeh pending orders ka reset ho sakta hai, jiske baad pair apna ascent resume kar sakti hai, ya phir ek complex false breakout ho sakta hai jo extra liquidity ko sell orders ke liye istemal kar raha hai.
Halat jald clear ho jayegi, magar abhi uncertainty barqarar hai. Main anticipate kar raha tha ke pair inflation data release se pehle grey range mein trade karega, jo inflation stagnation ka end signal karega. Post-inflation data, main expect kar raha tha ke pair grey range mein wapas chala jayega, kyunki sirf 0.01% inflation drop par growth unjustified lagti hai
Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad, pair ne decline continue kiya, jiske baad ek pullback aaya, jo mujhe simple rollback laga. Us waqt pair ki growth ne mujhe hairaan kar diya, aur yeh pre-election movement ho sakti hai. Jab yeh grey range ke upar wapas chala gaya, sellers ne volume gain kiya. Main soch raha tha ke yeh grey range mein wapas descend karega, magar yeh climb karta raha. Yeh rise bilkul unwarranted lag rahi hai. Pair ke current levels ko koi fundamental factor support nahi karta; yahan buyer volume accumulate kar raha hai.
GBP/USD neechayi ki trend banane ke umda signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh yeh pair upar ki taraf bhi trend banane mein qabil hai. Pair phir se ooncha ja raha hai, aur overall, yeh logic ke khilaaf lihaaz kar raha hai. Halankay, koi bhi inkar nahi kar sakta ke halqi economic reports ne pound ko support kiya hai.
Wednesday ko, pound sterling dhire dhire 1.2913 ke level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Is mein kuch din lag sakte hain 45 pips guzarne mein. Lekin tezi se girawat ka tawaqo nahi hai, jab tak ke pound trend line ko nahi todti. Aur agar todti bhi hai, to yeh bilkul ho bhi nahi sakta. Is halaat mein kam az kam panch martaba ho chuka hai.
5M chart par key levels 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980 hain. Wednesday ko UK June ke liye ahem inflation report publish karega, jo pound par dabaav daal sakta hai kyunke inflation mazeed neeche gir sakti hai. Lekin market ne sab pichli inflation girawaton ka pound bech kar taqatwar kiya nahi hai.

GBP/USD pair ka outlook unclear hai. Downward pullback ki anticipation ke bawajood, humne pehle ke sales zone ya resistance area ke lower boundary se ek retest dekha hai. Iske ilawa, bullish debts ab bhi mumkin hain. Ideally, ek rebound is monthly resistance zone se hona chahiye. Pavlik ke address ke mutabiq, bearish trend jald shuru ho sakti hai, chahe bullish debt likely ho ya na ho. Magar, yeh sirf meri perspective hai. Hourly chart par pound-dollar pair ka analysis Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad significant activity ko reveal karta hai. Price overlook bullish hai.
Pair ne support level 1.26072 par descend kiya aur 1.26801 se 1.26072 range ke andar trade karna shuru kiya. Theoretically, pair ko apni decline ko continue karna chahiye tha, magar yeh unexpectedly retrace ho gaya, shayad pre-election volatility ki wajah se. Upcoming elections ka impact uncertain hai, jahan inflation primary focus hai. Pair is range se shift hone ke chances kam hain agar inflation further decline ya growth exhibit nahi karta. Yeh filhal apne pehle ke highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke peculiar hai. Jab ke is pair ka decline likely hai, ek minor rise euro-dollar pair mein bhi plausible hai. Current analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair range ke opposite borders ko touch kar sakta hai, jo ke modest increase ko suggest karta hai. Magar, pound ke current high trading level ke madde nazar, ek slight pullback predict kiya gaya hai pehle ke pair eventually support level 1.26113 par descend kare.
Pehle chart par ek downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh plan relevant tha jab tak pound impulsively north move nahi kar gaya. Blue bar potential decline ko H4 signal ke relative moving averages ke mutabiq dikhata hai, aur aaj sirf yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke yeh signal kaam nahi kiya. Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai na ke trend waves mein.
GBP/USD apne main moving averages ke ooper trade kar raha hai aur relative strength index (RSI) musbat aur ooper ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI abhi tak overbought shuruaat tak nahin pohancha hai. Lekin daily chart par ek cautionary sign hai, kyun keh 1.28 ke ooper koi mustaqil movement nahin rahi hai: 2024 ke chart par dekhne par maloom hota hai keh exchange rate ne 1.28 ke ooper koi significant muddat tak qaim nahin rakha hai. Daily chart ke performance ke aadhar par, 1.2860 par major resistance ko khatra hone ki kam umeedi hai. Yaad rahe keh 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar isko toorna ho, to iska matlab hai keh pound aur agey nahin badhegi. Is resistance ke wajah se, GBP/USD Thursday ke ahem US inflation reading se pehle 1.28 level ke dono taraf narrow range mein trade kar sakta hai.
Mali calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, headline US consumer price index ki annual kamzori ka imkaan hai, jo keh May mein 3.3% se 3.1% tak girne ka intezar hai, jo keh January mein dekha gaya tha. Is natije se maloom hota hai keh saal ke pehle nisf mein keemat mein tezi ke baad inflation mein rukh aane ka izhaar hai. Is se Federal Reserve ke September mein US interest rate cut ke imkaanat barh jayenge, jo keh dollar par asar andaz hoga.

Good afternoon!

Filhal, pound zyada upar ki taraf nahi ja raha hai, aur recent northern pullbacks zyada tar correction lag rahi hain. Yeh adjustment 38.4% level par 1.2650 tak chadh sakta hai, jahan ek nearby resistance bhi maujood hai at 1.2745. Lekin, mein tabhi pound ke trend ko consider karunga jab yeh 36.4% level tak pohnch jayega. Abhi ke liye, EMA200 1.2580 par resistance level ke roop mein hai, jo aage ke development ke liye ek achi launching platform ban sakti hai.

Movement abhi bhi tezi se ho raha hai, lekin overly optimistic statements banane ke bajaye patterns aur figures ka analysis zaroori hai. GBP/USD chart ko H1 aur H4 par dekhte hue, ek “Diamond” pattern ban raha hai. Agar yeh pattern theek rahta hai, to hum expect kar sakte hain ke pound agle resistance levels, 1.2715, aur uske baad EMA150, aur phir shayad 1.2645 tak pohnche. EMA50 ke paas se ek reversal downward ki bhi sambhavana hai. Lekin yeh speculative hai, aur patterns aur calculations dono is scenario ko confirm ya disprove kar sakti hain. Filhal, yeh mera outlook hai.

Pound shayad 1.2758 ke aas paas dheere dheere gir sakta hai. Yahan par zyada levels consider nahi karne hain. Aapka best bet yeh hoga ke aap 1.2700 aur 1.2648 ke aas paas demand ko monitor karein. Isliye, main in levels par nazar rakhoonga jab tak current trend uncertain hai. Iske bawajood, substantial buying ho sakti hai, lekin medium-term mein purchase ka faida nazar nahi aata. Pound ne cross-pairs mein kaafi ucha chadhai kiya hai, isliye kuch restraint zaroori lagti hai. Is wajah se, ek slight correction aur downward movement ka period jaldi expected ho sakta hai.

### GBP/USD Ka Positive Trend 1.2860 Kay Qareeb Asian Trading Hours Mein Barqarar:
Jumay ko Asian session mein GBP/USD exchange rate positive raha, 1.2860 kay qareeb barqarar. Yeh stability investoron ka British pound per aitmad zahir karti hai bawajood k economic uncertainties barqarar hain.

### US Maeeshat Ne Q2 Mein 2.8% Growth Kay Sath Tawakul Ko Barhaya:
Dusri quarter mein, 2023 mein, US maeeshat ne 2.8% salana growth rate hasil ki, jo ke tajziya karon ki prediction se behtar thi. Yeh growth mazboot consumer kharch aur business investments ki wajah se hui hai. Yeh stronger-than-expected performance yeh zahir karti hai ke US COVID-19 pandemic ki disruptions se ache se recover ho raha hai.

### Bank of England Mumlika Hai Kay Sood Ki Sharh Kam Kare:
Agay dekhte hue, Bank of England (BoE) expected hai ke apni policy meeting mein agle haftay pehli baar char saalon mein sood ki sharh kam kare. Yeh mutawaqqa qadam economic activity ko stimulate karne aur challenges jaise ke inflation aur slow growth ko address karne kay liye uthaya ja raha hai. Sood ki sharh kam hone se borrowing costs kam ho jayengi, jo ke UK economy mein spending aur investment ko encourage kar sakti hai.

### Trading Strategy:
Kal, main expected kar raha tha ke British pound 61.8% Fibonacci support level par rebound karega. Magar, aaj asset is support level ke neeche gir gaya hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara hai ke US dollar index mazboot hai, jo ke financial market mein currencies ko affect kar raha hai. Is waqt, pound naya support level 1.2836 par approach kar raha hai. Agar yeh is level ke neeche toot jata hai, toh sellers ko buyers per ziada strength mil sakti hai, aur hum dekh sakte hain ke price 1.2766 level tak gir sakti hai. Lower timeframe par, RSI ne 50.00 mark ko todne ki koshish ki magar reject ho gaya. Jab tak RSI 50.00 se neeche hai, humein long buy positions se parhez karna chahiye.

**GBPUSD Currency Pair Analysis**
Budh ko, GBPUSD ne actually izafa kiya. Magar, kyunki candle resistance 1.2935 ke qeemat ko penetrate nahi kar paayi, yeh phir se 1.2901 ke qeemat tak gir gaya. Phir Thursday ko, GBPUSD currency pair ne takreeban 45 pips ki kami ki. Candle 1. 2901 se 1.2853 tak gir gayi. Is kami ki wajah se, iska qareeb ka support 1.2878 ab successfully penetrate ho gaya hai.

Agar hum current H1 timeframe se analyse karein, to candle ab bhi RBS area 1.2583 mein phansi hui hai. Jab tak RBS area niche nahi hota, GBPUSD ka phir se barhne ka mumkin hai. Is area se GBPUSD barhne lag sakta hai. Lekin, agar RBS area penetrate ho gaya to GBPUSD aur bhi niche gir sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to GBPUSD agle support 1.2630 tak gir sakta hai.

Ichimoku indicator ke zariye analysis karte hue, candle abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke bearish zone mein trend ko darshata hai. Filhal koi naya intersection nahi hai jo upward movement ki nishani ho. Lekin, agar GBPUSD apne qareeb ke support 1.2885 ko break kar de, to is se GBPUSD ko barhne ki ummeed hai. Seller pressure bhi dheela hota nazar aa raha hai jab candle RBS area tak pohanchi.

Stochastic indicator bhi dikhata hai ke condition oversold hai. Yeh line apne sab se niche level 20 ko penetrate kar gayi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke shayad GBPUSD dheere dheere barhne lage. Mujhe pura yaqeen hai ke GBPUSD iske baad izafa karega.

To aaj ki analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke barhne ke chances ab bhi hain, halankeh current condition ab bhi pressure mein hai. Jab tak RBS area 1.2853 nahi tootata, barhne ka mauqa ab bhi khaula hai. Stochastic bhi batata hai ke condition oversold hai. Is liye, jo log is pair mein trading kar rahe hain, unhein sirf buy positions kholne par focus karna chahiye. Aap target ko nearest resistance 1.2930 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko support 1.2842 par rakh sakte hain.

Pound ne upar ka rukh nahi liya, halaan ke kal ek buy signal diya tha one-hour time frame par. Magar ye signal filter kiya gaya aur trading mein nahi liya gaya kyun ke ye almost usi level par tha jaise pehle ka hourly signal tha (jo ke nahi hua). Matlab, upar jane ka itminaan nahi tha, aur na hi higher maximums update hue ke structure ko badal sakein. Magar, buy signal ke pullback par, ek ulta signal aaya, yaani sell ka, aur ye achi tarah se kaam kar gaya. Dono M15 aur one-hour time frames par sab kuch sahi hua. Pehla chart sell signal ka distance dikhata hai. Blue M15 time frame ke liye, aur orange one-hour time frame ke liye. Dono signals achi tarah se execute hue.

Haan, pound ne aaj ek interesting candle di, hum ise north ka impulse dekh rahe hain, magar overall isne kuch bhi nahi badla. Ye candle sell level lene ke liye thi jahan trade mein ratio 1 to 2 risk to reward hota. Aur yehi hua. Yeh 1 to 3 nahi diya, unfortunately, magar hourly signals ke liye yeh aksar 1 to 3 nahi deta. Hourly time frame par target level 1.28594 ko jewellry precision ke sath hit kiya gaya, aur phir seedha upar gaya, halaan ke zyada strong nahi aur abhi up and down move kar raha hai. H4 time frame par sell signal ka sawal abhi bhi khula hai. Ye kaam kar sakta hai ya nahi. Ya shayad yeh sirf pullback hai ek aise price par jo sell ke liye profitable ho. Overall structure yahaan asaan nahi hai.

Pound ne ek two-sided candle draw ki. Magar neeche jane ke baad, yeh zyada tar chances hain ke Fibonacci target level 161.8% ko poora kare, jo 1.28381 ke level se milta hai. Buyers pehle impulse ko rise ka base samajhte hain, wo tab enter karte hain jab impulse 50%-61.8% level par pullback karta hai, yeh chart par bhi nazar aata hai, iski nishaniyan hain. Toh main abhi tak increase ke koi signs nahi dekh raha, zyada possibilities hain ke yeh girta rahega towards main sell signal on the H4 time frame, target level 1.28062 ke sath. Aur hamara local target of course 1.28381 hai.

Kal, GBP/USD ne bhi ek mazboot upar ki taraf harkat dikhayi, jo ke kamzor US macro data ki wajah se hui. Humne aapko agah kiya tha ke ISM aur ADP reports par tawajju dena zaroori hai. Dono reports, agarche puri tarah se maayusi nahi thi, magar umeed se kamzor sabit hui. Isliye, din ke doosre hisse mein dollar ki girawat mukammal tor par qabil-e-peshgoi thi. Badkismati se, bazar ab bhi be sabri se kisi bhi US economy ki kamzori ki khabar par prateekria de raha hai, halaanke yeh UK se ziada mazboot hai. Bazar ko ab koi fikar nahi ke Federal Reserve apni rate kam karne ka plan nahi rakhta. Pound Sterling ko kam az kam 1.23 level se neeche girna chahiye tha, magar iske bajaye yeh pichle cheh mahine se ek flat range mein atka hua hai, jo ke daily timeframe par wazeh dekha ja sakta hai. Pair ki sideways harkat hourly chart par bhi wazeh hai. Aaj, hum sirf kal ke growth ke baad ek correction ki umeed kar sakte hain, aur pair kamzor volatility dikhayega.

5-minute timeframe par ek bohat acha buy signal tab bana jab price ne 1.2684-1.2693 area ko break kiya. Uske baad, price 1.2748 level tak barh gayi, usay bhi break kiya, aur phir thoda neeche aa gayi. Isliye, naye traders apni long positions ko ya to 1.2748 level ke upar band kar sakte the ya jab price ne is level ke neeche settle kiya aur ek sell signal banaya. Har surat mein, profit kam az kam 40 pips tha. Yaad rahe, acha trend ke sath trading signals ko execute karna aur achi profits hasil karna mumkin hai. Agar market flat ho, to kisi bhi tarah ka signal profit nahi dega.

### Thursday Ke Trading Tips:

Hourly chart par, GBP/USD promising signs dikhata hai ke ek downtrend form ho sakta hai, magar iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair ek upward trend nahi bana sakta. Pair ne recent hafton mein bohat saari sideways actions dikhayi hain, aur neeche jaate waqt pehli significant support area 1.2605-1.2633 ko paar nahi kar saka. Isliye British currency phir se barh rahi hai, aur overall, yeh erratic movements dikhata rehta hai.

Thursday ko, pound sterling kal ke growth ke baad retreat kar sakta hai. Magar, US markets Independence Day ke moqe par band hain, isliye pair se strong movements ki umeed nahi hai.

Key levels 5M chart par hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, aur 1.2980. Aaj, UK second estimate of Construction PMI data publish karega. Yeh aik secondary indicator hai jo sirf minor market reaction provoke kar sakta hai

GBP/USD currency pair par hum aaj guftagu karenge. 1.3976 tak ke faiday hasil hue hain, jo ke aik musbat nishan hai. Aur mazeed aane wala hai. Main mazeed izafa ka imkaan dekhta hun, wala ke kuch rukawaton ke bawajood. Pehla target 1.2891 hai jo ke 261.8% ratio par hai, aur main mazeed nazar nahi dalta kyun ke trend bullish hai. Behtar yahi hai ke bears apni farokht se wabasta rahein takay ke qeematain oonchi hojayein. Warna, jahan se positions nikali jayein, wahan trend ki ahmiyat kam hoti hai. Nuqsaan pehle aur dosre support ke darmiyan rok diya gaya, jahan par 1.2889 par paanch digit ke hawalay se farar hone ka jhoota breakdown kiya gaya. Hafta ke shuru mein, main ek aur breakdown dekh raha hun, haan ke iska asar mumkin hai. Thoda sa nichlay support ka reload hoga, jiska update mumkin hai. Bollinger bands ne zor se niche ki taraf ishara kiya hai. Keemat aik tang hawalay ke andar badalti rahegi, lekin mujhe umeed hai ke agle haftay mein izafa hoga. Main haalaat ko alag tareeqay se samajhta hun aur pound ke nichle jana ka khayal se inkar karta hun. Trend aik bullish fateh ko ishara karta hai, jo ke abhi ek nichlay correction se guzar raha hai. Halan ke haalat mein, bulls ka wazeh faida hai. Har support level par, jo bhi market shirkat karne walon ki positions barhane ke irade rakhte hain, wo control lete hain, jo ke nichlay movement ko rokta hai. Yeh agle oonchi qadam ke taraf le jata hai, jo ke bullish trend ki taqat ko mazbooti deta hai. Agar yeh trend jaari rahe, to hum 1.3025 tak izafa ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke GBP/USD ke liye aik ahem resistance hai. Intehai douran ke bearish imkanat mutasir ho sakti hain, lekin 1.2832 ke support ko todna mushkil ho ga. Is tarah, mojooda market conditions temporary corrections ke bawajood bullish trend ko favor karte hain. In fluctuations ka samajhna, support aur resistance levels ko moassar tareeqay se navigational karna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD kai technical indicators se support ho raha hai. Sab se pehle, 50-period moving average aik ahem support level hai jo ke ishara deta hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Jab keemat is moving average ke oopar hoti hai, yeh mazboot khareedari dilchaspi aur mustawar bulandi ki alamat hai. Is ke ilawa, daily pivot point 1.2653 par hone se bullish hissas mazbooti milti hai. Pivot points potential support aur resistance levels ke tajziye mein ahem hote hain, aur jab keemat pivot ke oopar hoti hai, yeh amoman trading din ke liye bullish nazar aata hai.

GBP/USD pair ne pichle hafte mein bullish momentum ke liye potential dikhaaya, jo market conditions ke saath milta tha jo buyers ke favor mein the. Yeh positive outlook daily timeframe par wazeh tha, jahan overall upward trend nazar aaya. Lekin price ne ek downward correction bhi experience kiya, jo use lagbhag 1.2975 tak le aaya. Yeh level traders ke liye ek significant area of interest ban gaya hai, jo is point se aur upward movement ke possibility ko keenly assess kar rahe hain.

1.2975 tak ka correction noteworthy hai kyunki yeh ek key support level ko represent karta hai. Technical analysis mein, aise levels aksar future price movements ke liye springboard ke roop mein kaam aate hain, khaaskar prevailing uptrend mein. Traders closely watch kar rahe hain ki GBP/USD pair is support ke upar reh paata hai ya nahi, kyunki agar yeh nahi rehta toh yeh ek deeper correction ya market sentiment mein shift ka indication ho sakta hai.

Kayi factors current market dynamics mein GBP/USD pair ke contribute kar rahe hain. Ek taraf, British pound ko positive economic data aur expectations ke saath support mil raha hai ki Bank of England monetary tightening ko continue rakhegi. Mazboot economic indicators jaise robust employment figures aur rising inflation ne yeh belief strengthen kiya hai ki Bank of England hawkish stance maintain karegi. Iska direct impact pound par hoga aur iske further gains against the US dollar mein potential bhi increase hoga.

Contrarily, US dollar ko mixed economic data aur uncertainties se face karna pad raha hai, including Federal Reserve ke future monetary policy actions ke aaspaas. Jabki US economy ne resilience dikhaya hai, solid job growth aur consumer spending ke saath, lekin inflation concerns aur geopolitical risks ne outlook ko complex banaya hai. Is wajah se investors dollar ke regarding cautious stance mein hain, jo GBP/USD pair ko additional boost de raha hai.

Technical indicators bhi traders ke expectations shape karne mein crucial role play kar rahe hain. Moving averages, khaaskar 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, market participants dwara closely watch kiye ja rahe hain. Abhi GBP/USD pair in key moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Iske alawa, momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) yeh suggest kar rahe hain ki bullish momentum jari rakh sakte hain, agar 1.2975 support hold karta

GBP-USD PAIR MOVEMENT
Rozana trend mein, GBPUSD mazboot bullish rawaiya dikhata hai. Ye EMA 100 se bhi zahir hota hai jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, jo ke uptrend mein mustaqil aur barqarar momentum ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, price ne significant resistance level 1.28145 ko tor dia, jo ek aur indication hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ke qabze mein hai. Is resistance level ka breakout aam tor par is baat ki nishani hoti hai ke price mazeed barhti rahegi, kyunki pehle ye level unchi price movements ke liye rukawat bana hua tha
Lekin, halaan ke aam trend abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin kuch nishaniyan hain ke latest high 1.30378 se downward correction movement aa rahi hai. Ye correction market movements ka ek fitri hissa hai, jahan prices apni adjustment karti hain pehle ke apni main trend ko continue karein. Filhal, price ke pass ab bhi potential hai ke wo correction ko base area 1.27713 - 1.28248 ke range tak continue karein. Ye area 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath bhi milta hai, jo aksar ek strong support level ka kaam karta hai uptrend mein
61.8% Fibonacci retracement level traders ke dwara aksar istemal hone wale levels mein se ek hai, taake ongoing trend mein potential reversal ya support areas ko identify kiya ja sake. Is context mein, 1.27713 - 1.28248 area na sirf ek technical support zone ka kaam karta hai, balki ek aise area ke taur par bhi jahan correction ke baad buyers dobara market mein enter ho sakte hain. Agar price is level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikhati hai, toh uptrend ke continue hone ke imkanaat hain

Pichlay Tuesday ko, GBP/USD pair ne significant downward movement dekha. Yeh downward movement ne July 22, 2024 ko hone wali upward movement ko rok diya, jo ke last Monday hui thi. Yeh downward movement sirf ek correction ho sakti hai ya phir yeh sellers ke taraf se profit taking ki action ho sakti hai taake woh apne ab tak ke profits ko secure kar sakein. Doosri taraf, yeh ek reversal ya trend reversal ki shuruaat bhi ho sakti hai.
Agar hum yahan observe karein, to abhi ke liye lagta hai ke seller zyada dominant aur market ko control kar raha hai. Yeh baat baaki major pairs ke sath bhi ho rahi hai jo ke USD mein end hote hain, aur jin ka downward movement July 18, 2024 se start hua tha pichlay hafte. Lagta hai ke seller strong pressure se nikalne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur price ko significant downward movement ki taraf push kar raha hai taake woh buyer ki strong resistance ko overcome kar sakein jo ke price ko upward movement ki taraf push kar rahe hain jo ke July 2, 2024 se ho rahi hai ya early July se, jo ke maine daily time frame mein aaj raat clearly observe kiya. Long term mein, lagta hai ke seller ka agla price target green zone ko pass karna hai jo ke level 1.2591-1.2636 par hai. Ye area abhi tak kaafi fresh hai kyunki ab tak is area ka koi retest experience nahi hua.

Is acha mauqe par, main is pair ko half-hour time frame par bhi analyze karunga. Jaise ke hum yahan observe kar sakte hain, buyer ke efforts to penetrate the verified resistance area at level 1.2932-1.2944 ko reject kiya gaya hai at 06.30 Instaforex broker server time, July 23, 2024. Is market condition ke sath, seller ka agla price target level 1.2873-1.2880 par hai, jo ke abhi ke liye ek kaafi decisive area lagta hai. Aap sab iske baare mein kya soch rahe hain? Kya price us area ko validly pass kar sakta hai jo ke kaafi fresh hai aur ab tak koi retest experience nahi hua? Sell orders ko in results ke mutabiq consider kiya ja sakta hai. Profit target, recommendation ke taur par, agar level 1.2840 par rakha jaye to theek rahega, jo ke 33 pips door hai is price position se.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj, market ki suratehal kafi ghair yaqini hai. 1-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, pichle kuch dino se tejarati sargarmiyan kafi kam rahi hai. Iske bawajud, pound/dollar ki jodi ahistah-ahistah girti ja rahi hai. Filhal, yah 1.28478 ki support satah par karobar kara raha hai. Aaj, qimat ya to maujudah satahon se kamzori ko 1.27760 ki agli support satah tak badha sakti hai, ya wapas ucchal sakti hai aur 1.28988 ki muzahmati satah aur descending trend line tak badh sakti hai aur nuqsanat ko dobara shuru kar sakti hai aur matlubah hadaf ki taraf badh sakti hai.

GBP/USD ne kal pichle daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad reversal kiya aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jis mein thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi tak apne plans nahi badal raha is instrument ke liye aur main kareeb se nazar rakha hua hoon sabse qareebi resistance level par, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level ko pohochayegi, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla priority scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidate karne aur mazeed growth ka hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karlegi, to main mazeed northward movement expect karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke mazeed door ke northward targets achieve ho, lekin main is waqt unhe consider nahi kar raha kyunki unke jaldi realize hone ka perspective nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price resistance level 1.28000 ko test karegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southward movement resume hogi. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. General taur par, agar mukhtasir mein kahoon, to abhi ke liye main assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation impulsive northward price breakout ke saath end hogi aur buyers qareebi resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge, aur phir main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga. GBP/USD Asian session ke dauran thoda high hua. British euro ke baad peeche hai. Yeh zyadatar dollar ke recovery ke waja se against ek basket of major currencies tha. Sterling domestic political issues ke waja se pressure mein hai. Investors UK general election ke start ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Saari tawajjo Eurozone aur US data par hai. Fed coordinator Powell ka speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Pair ke liye, pehli half of the day mein kuch upward correction ki umeed hai, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke downtrend barkarar hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main us point ke neeche sell karunga targets 1.2585 aur 1.2535 ke sath. Agar pair rise hota hai, 1.2685 mark ko break karta hai aur merge hota hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak ka rasta khul jayega. In markers ke basis par, main phir se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga