gbp/usd

GBP/USD Price Assesment
Agar hum GBPUSD currency pair ki Monday aur Friday ki trading ko dekhein, toh Monday ko yeh pair high ya resistance area 1.3160 - 1.3150 par bana raha tha aur support ya low trading level 1.3110 - 1.3120 par tha. Monday ko daily trading range 50 pips - 40 pips ki thi, jabke Friday ko yeh range 80 pips se 70 pips tak thi, jo ke Monday ke muqable mein zyada thi.

Agar hum 7-period moving average indicator ko close exponential method ke sath apply karen, aur 14-period moving average indicator ko bhi same method se H1 timeframe par dekhein, toh price dono moving averages ke neeche chal rahi hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD pair positive track par hai ya uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai. Agar hum H1 timeframe ka trading chart dekhein, toh price middle band aur upper band ke darmiyan move kar rahi hai Bollinger Band indicator ke sath, jo ke green hai. Yeh bhi yeh zahir karta hai ke GBPUSD pair uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai.



In dono indicators ke ilawa, agar hum parabolic SAR indicator ko dekhein jiska step setting 0.02 aur maximum step setting 0.2 hai, toh dots price ke neeche hain ya candlestick pattern ke neeche jo bana hua hai. Yeh yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD pair buyer pressure ke neeche hai ya uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai. Relative strength index indicator jiska period 14 hai, woh bhi level 50 se 70 ke darmiyan move kar raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke Friday ki trading mein GBPUSD buyer pressure ke neeche hai ya uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai. Is analysis ke madad se, main trade jo hum le sakte hain woh yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair par buy order place kiya jaye.

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar

GBP/USD pair March 2022 se apne highest level par pohcha, jo ke 1.3200 se upar tha.
Pound Sterling stands tall jabke US Dollar weak ho gaya hai. GBP/USD ne aik aur zabardast hafta dekha, jab ke UK se koi high-impact economic events nahi aaye. Major ke ird gird positive tone ka sab se bada sabab US Dollar ki apne major rivals ke against lagatar kamzori thi.
Traders ne apni bearish outlooks on the Greenback ko qaim rakha, jab dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations Jackson Hole Symposium week mein barh gayi. USD buyers ko Fed ke July meeting ke Minutes aur Chairman Jerome Powell ki speech ke intezar mein back foot par rehna pada.
Risk-averse market environment ke bawajood, US Dollar ko Powell ke appearance se pehle nervousness ke doran safe-haven demand nahi mil saka. Greenback ko aik naya jhatka Wednesday ke din outright dovish Fed Minutes ke release hone ke baad laga.
Zyada tar policymakers ka khayal tha ke "agar data expected line mein aata raha, to agle meeting mein policy ko ease karna theek hoga," Minutes ne kaha. Aagay, Minutes ne kaha ke doosray policymakers ne July meeting mein hi borrowing costs ko kam karne ka irada rakha tha.
Nonfarm Payrolls Benchmark Revision ne September ke liye Fed rate cut ko mazid strengthen kiya. US Labor Department ne kaha ke NFP ke period from April 2023 to March 2024 tak ko 818,000 se kam kar diya gaya. Yeh revision takreeban 0.5% ka total downward change represent karta hai.
Week US S&P Global preliminary Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) aur Jobless Claims data ne Thursday ke din dovish policy pivot ke liye bets ko mazid barhaya, jese ke September ke start par policy pivot ki umeed barh gayi thi.
Markets ne 27% probability ko price in kiya ke Fed ke September 17-18 meeting mein 50 basis points (bps) cut ho sakta hai aur 73% chance ke 25 bps reduction hoga, CME Group ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.
Jab traders apne US Dollar longs ko wapas lene lage, GBP/USD ne aik naya 13-mahina high of 1.3130 hit kiya, jo ke strong UK S&P Global preliminary business PMIs ke wajah se bhi tha. UK Manufacturing PMI ne July mein 52.1 se barh kar August mein 52.5 tak improvement dikhayi. Markets ne 52.1 print expect kiya tha. Isi dauran, preliminary UK Services Business Activity Index August mein 53.3 par pohcha, jo ke July ka 52.5 aur expected figure 52.8 tha.
Fed-BoE monetary policy divergence abhi bhi kaam mein tha aur Pound Sterling ke liye tailwind ke tor par kaam kar raha tha, jabke US Dollar thin ice par tha, Powell ke alfaz ke intezar mein.
Powell ne kaha ke waqt aagaya hai ke monetary policy ko adjust kiya jaye aur kaha ke wo labor market conditions mein mazid cooling ko welcome nahi karte. "Hum jo kuch kar sakte hain wo karenge taake ek mazboot labor market ka support ho jese ke hum price stability ke towards progress karte hain," unhon ne mazid kaha. USD ne immediate reaction mein renewed selling pressure ko face kiya, jo GBP/USD ko March 2022 se pehli dafa 1.3200 ke upar chadne ka moka diya.

Monday ko, GBP/USD currency pair ne apni sat din ki winning streak ko khatam kiya, jo ke ek mohtaat market ke mizaj ko zahir karta hai. Yeh pullback uske baad aaya jab yeh pair 1.3000 mark ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha lekin apna bullish momentum barqarar nahi rakh saka. GBP/USD ki is retreat ki wajah chand factors hain, jin mein extended UK bank holiday weekend ke dauraan patlay trading volumes aur iss haftay ke baad aham economic data releases se pehle sarmaayakaron ki hichkichaahat shamil hai. Sarmaayakaar bechain hain kyunke woh aham data points ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein US Retail Sales aur UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures shamil hain, jinka market ki direction par asar parne ki umeed hai. Market ki tawajjoh Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay par bhi hai, jahan bohat se log September mein rate cut ke imkaanat ke bare mein soch rahe hain. Iss soch-bichaar ne trading mein ek mohtaat approach ko janam diya hai, kyunke sarmaayakaar in aanay walay events ke mumkin asarat ko tol rahe hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell aur San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly ki taraf se wazeh ainday ki rehnumayi ke kami ne bhi mohtaat jazbaat ko mazid taqviat di. Dono officials ne yeh wazeh kiya ke ainday rate ke faislay meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, jis ne market ko ek wazeh direction ke baghair chorr diya hai.

Taqneeki tor par, GBP/USD ki haaliya price action uske ooper ki taraf rujhan mein ek waqfa ko zahir karti hai, jahan yeh pair 1.3000 ke aham level ko breach karne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ne mukhtasir tor par ek naya 12-mahina high hasil kiya tha lekin phir wapas pull back kiya, jo is mark ke aas paas ek mumkin resistance level ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is wajah se, ab tajir is baat ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain ke kya koi naya bullish momentum ka sign milta hai ya aane wale dino mein mazeed downside movement hoti hai.

GBP/USD ka Monday ko pullback mohtaat market sentiment ka natija tha, jo ke patlay trading volumes aur aham economic data releases se pehle ki ghair yakeeni ki wajah se tha. Extended UK bank holiday weekend aur aanay wale Fed aur Bank of England ke faislay ke imkaanat bhi market ko ek intizaar ki soorat mein rakhne ke imkaan hain, jahan tajir har naye data point ka ghaur se tajzia karte hain pehle ke woh koi bara qadam uthayen

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar