جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Pichle hafte ke trading mein, GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat US Dollar Index (DXY) mein izafa ke sath girne ka silsila jari raha, jabke Umeedain jaldi se jaldi interest rate cuts ki kam ho gayi. Yeh November ke ilaane kamzori tak gir gaya, jabke Umeedain jaldi se jaldi interest rate cuts ki kam ho gayi. Yeh haftay ki trading 1.2440 ke qareeb stable shuru hui. Aam tor par, pichle haftay ke sakt US ma'ashi adadon ke silsile ke baad GBP/USD pair ki qeemat ne dosri bari currencies ke sath mil kar significant tor par kami kar di.
Maujooda ma'ashi calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ki riport ne bataya ke American ma'ashiyaat mein March mein 300,000 se zyada jobs sharaq kiye gaye, jabke mulk mein berozgari dar 3.8% tak gir gayi. Aik alag riport ne bataya ke mulk mein infilasion March mein barhti rahi. Headline CPI 3.5% tak barh gaya jabke core infilasion 3.8% tak barh gayi. Aik tafreehi riport ne dikhaya ke gas ke prices unchaai par qayam rehne ke bajaye mazeed barh rahe hain. Middle East ke tawanu crisis ne halat ko mazeed bigara hai. Ye do numbers ahem hain kyunke jobs aur infilasion US Federal Reserve ke dual mandate ka hissa hain. Is natije mein, Federal Reserve ne guzishta meetings mein plan kiye gaye interest rate cuts ko na lagane ki koi mumkinat hai. CME data ka mutabiq dekha jaye to zyadatar economists ne June mein rate cut ka intezar nahi kiya jaise ke unho ne umeed ki thi.

Agay dekhte hue, GBP/USD pair ki qeemat is haftay Britain se kai ahem ma'ashi adadon ka rad-e-amal dekhegi. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ko martes ko taaza jobs figures jari karne hain. Ziyada ahem tor par, ye March ke consumer aur producer inflation numbers jari karega. economists ka manna hai ke Britain mein headline consumer price index 3.4% se 3.1% par gir gaya hoga saalana buniyad par. Core infilasion ka tajziya 4.1% tak pohanchne ka imkan hai.

Amumqaa, wazeh hai ke Britain mein infilasion ka silsila mazeed girne ka imkan hai jabke energy prices kam ho rahe hain. Pichle haftay ek riport ne dikhaya ke energy prices pehle se zyada kam ho sakte hain. Wholesale prices £82 per megawatt-hour tak gir sakte hain is saal, jo ke 27% kam hai forecast se. Is liye, agar ye rujhaan jaari rahe to Bank of England mazeed jaldi interest rates cut shuru kar sakti hai US Federal Reserve se.

Amumqaa, yeh zyadatar US dollar ki kahani hai: hum dekhte hain ke dollar apni position ko sab se behtar currency mein mazbooti se barhata hai, US Federal Reserve ke interest rate hike ke umeedain kam hone ke bawajood mazeed barhne wale US infilasion aur ek qaabil-e-fahm muzid ma'ashi market ki sahara se. US ki ma'ashi shakti Eurozone aur Britain mein maal ki farq ka jo khulasa hai, jahan taiz ho rahi activity aur halki labor market shiraa'at ke bais inflation kam hona jaari hai. European Central Bank ne pichle jumeraat ko darust hai ke maujooda rujhaan ke buniyad par, wo June mein interest rates ko cut karega, jabke Bank of England shayad June ya August mein interest rates ko cut karega. Yeh farq currency dynamics ke liye ek mazboot quwat hai aur yeh dikhata hai ke US dollar ki qeemat euro aur pound sterling ke khilaf mazbooti barha sakti hai.

Amumqaa, US interest rates mein cut ki umeedain ke kam hone ke bawajood ye expectations stock markets tak phel gayi, jo ke "safe haven" dollar ko mazboot kar ke "high" pound sterling ko asar andaz hua. Halat abhi ke liye US dollar ke liye ek win-win situation hai.

GBP/USD pair ke takneeki tajweezat aaj:

GBP/USD ki qeemat ne January aur March ke darmiyan 1.2830 ke aspas aik double top pattern banaya. Ab ye is pattern ke

Pichle hafte ke trading mein, GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat US Dollar Index (DXY) mein izafa ke sath girne ka silsila jari raha, jabke Umeedain jaldi se jaldi interest rate cuts ki kam ho gayi. Yeh November ke ilaane kamzori tak gir gaya, jabke Umeedain jaldi se jaldi interest rate cuts ki kam ho gayi. Yeh haftay ki trading 1.2440 ke qareeb stable shuru hui. Aam tor par, pichle haftay ke sakt US ma'ashi adadon ke silsile ke baad GBP/USD pair ki qeemat ne dosri bari currencies ke sath mil kar significant tor par kami kar di.

Maujooda ma'ashi calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ki riport ne bataya ke American ma'ashiyaat mein March mein 300,000 se zyada jobs sharaq kiye gaye, jabke mulk mein berozgari dar 3.8% tak gir gayi. Aik alag riport ne bataya ke mulk mein infilasion March mein barhti rahi. Headline CPI 3.5% tak barh gaya jabke core infilasion 3.8% tak barh gayi. Aik tafreehi riport ne dikhaya ke gas ke prices unchaai par qayam rehne ke bajaye mazeed barh rahe hain. Middle East ke tawanu crisis ne halat ko mazeed bigara hai. Ye do numbers ahem hain kyunke jobs aur infilasion US Federal Reserve ke dual mandate ka hissa hain. Is natije mein, Federal Reserve ne guzishta meetings mein plan kiye gaye interest rate cuts ko na lagane ki koi mumkinat hai. CME data ka mutabiq dekha jaye to zyadatar economists ne June mein rate cut ka intezar nahi kiya jaise ke unho ne umeed ki thi.

Agay dekhte hue, GBP/USD pair ki qeemat is haftay Britain se kai ahem ma'ashi adadon ka rad-e-amal dekhegi. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ko martes ko taaza jobs figures jari karne hain. Ziyada ahem tor par, ye March ke consumer aur producer inflation numbers jari karega. economists ka manna hai ke Britain mein headline consumer price index 3.4% se 3.1% par gir gaya hoga saalana buniyad par. Core infilasion ka tajziya 4.1% tak pohanchne ka imkan hai.

Amumqaa, wazeh hai ke Britain mein infilasion ka silsila mazeed girne ka imkan hai jabke energy prices kam ho rahe hain. Pichle haftay ek riport ne dikhaya ke energy prices pehle se zyada kam ho sakte hain. Wholesale prices £82 per megawatt-hour tak gir sakte hain is saal, jo ke 27% kam hai forecast se. Is liye, agar ye rujhaan jaari rahe to Bank of England mazeed jaldi interest rates cut shuru kar sakti hai US Federal Reserve se.

Amumqaa, yeh zyadatar US dollar ki kahani hai: hum dekhte hain ke dollar apni position ko sab se behtar currency mein mazbooti se barhata hai, US Federal Reserve ke interest rate hike ke umeedain kam hone ke bawajood mazeed barhne wale US infilasion aur ek qaabil-e-fahm muzid ma'ashi market ki sahara se. US ki ma'ashi shakti Eurozone aur Britain mein maal ki farq ka jo khulasa hai, jahan taiz ho rahi activity aur halki labor market shiraa'at ke bais inflation kam hona jaari hai. European Central Bank ne pichle jumeraat ko darust hai ke maujooda rujhaan ke buniyad par, wo June mein interest rates ko cut karega, jabke Bank of England shayad June ya August mein interest rates ko cut karega. Yeh farq currency dynamics ke liye ek mazboot quwat hai aur yeh dikhata hai ke US dollar ki qeemat euro aur pound sterling ke khilaf mazbooti barha sakti hai.

Amumqaa, US interest rates mein cut ki umeedain ke kam hone ke bawajood ye expectations stock markets tak phel gayi, jo ke "safe haven" dollar ko mazboot kar ke "high" pound sterling ko asar andaz hua. Halat abhi ke liye US dollar ke liye ek win-win situation hai.

GBP/USD pair ke takneeki tajweezat aaj:

GBP/USD ki qeemat ne January aur March ke darmiyan 1.2830 ke aspas aik double top pattern banaya. Ab ye is pattern ke

GBP/USD Technical Analysis.

GBP/USD ka daily pivot level 1.2498 hai, jo ek girte hue laal channel mein mumaalik hai. Neeche se support aata hai neeley channel ki line se, jo peechle do hafton se lateral trend ko darust karti hai. Is wajah se is hafte ke liye keemat ka rukh ghair yaqeeni hai. Ummeed hai ke keemat haftay ke pivot level tak barh sakti hai, jahan se laal channel ki line aur haftay ke pivot level dono se rukawat ka samna hai. Is tarah, agar keemat giray, to 4 ghanton ke chart par unchi banane se haftay ke support level 1.2344 tak giraftar hai. Aglay hafte bhi ek mushaba giravat ka intizar hai, jo 1.2373 par rehne ka irada rakhta hai. Is support level par, do manazir samne aate hain: ya to keemat is ke neeche rehti hai, jari giravat ko barqarar rakhti hai, ya phir upar chadhti hai. Pehle surat mein, tawajjo aglay support levels par mudam jaati hai, jo 1.21870, 1.20956, ya 1.20371 hain.



GBP/USD joda mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh baar baar psykolojikal level 1.2500 ko paar karne mein kamiyab nahin hua aur apne peechle trading range 1.2488-1.2892 mein sthapit hone mein bhi kamiyab nahin hua. Haqeeqat mein, joda ne aik naye kamzor point 1.2405 par touch kiya, jo November 2023 se kamzor sabit hua. GBP/USD ka short-term outlook manfi hai agar keemat aik ahem technical level, 50-day moving average jo ab 1.2655 par hai, ke upar qaim nahin hoti. Dosri technical nishandah maamlat jese ke kamzor Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 20-day aur 200-day SMA ke darmiyan tang hoti hui fasla tasleem karte hain ke giravat ke foran ulatne ki ummeedain kamzor hain. Magar aik mumkin upside maujood hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.2655 ke upar chadh sakta hai, to yeh 1.2700-1.2740 zone ko nishana bana sakta hai. Aik faisla kun tor par is resistance level ke upar chadhne se, yeh joda pandemic lows ke qareeb qayam hui support trendline se takraar ko challenge kar sakta hai jo 1.2820 ke qareeb hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis.


GBP/USD ka daily pivot level 1.2498 hai, jo ek girte hue laal channel mein mumaalik hai. Neeche se support aata hai neeley channel ki line se, jo peechle do hafton se lateral trend ko darust karti hai. Is wajah se is hafte ke liye keemat ka rukh ghair yaqeeni hai. Ummeed hai ke keemat haftay ke pivot level tak barh sakti hai, jahan se laal channel ki line aur haftay ke pivot level dono se rukawat ka samna hai. Is tarah, agar keemat giray, to 4 ghanton ke chart par unchi banane se haftay ke support level 1.2344 tak giraftar hai. Aglay hafte bhi ek mushaba giravat ka intizar hai, jo 1.2373 par rehne ka irada rakhta hai. Is support level par, do manazir samne aate hain: ya to keemat is ke neeche rehti hai, jari giravat ko barqarar rakhti hai, ya phir upar chadhti hai. Pehle surat mein, tawajjo aglay support levels par mudam jaati hai, jo 1.21870, 1.20956, ya 1.20371 hain.



GBP/USD joda mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh baar baar psykolojikal level 1.2500 ko paar karne mein kamiyab nahin hua aur apne peechle trading range 1.2488-1.2892 mein sthapit hone mein bhi kamiyab nahin hua. Haqeeqat mein, joda ne aik naye kamzor point 1.2405 par touch kiya, jo November 2023 se kamzor sabit hua. GBP/USD ka short-term outlook manfi hai agar keemat aik ahem technical level, 50-day moving average jo ab 1.2655 par hai, ke upar qaim nahin hoti. Dosri technical nishandah maamlat jese ke kamzor Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 20-day aur 200-day SMA ke darmiyan tang hoti hui fasla tasleem karte hain ke giravat ke foran ulatne ki ummeedain kamzor hain. Magar aik mumkin upside maujood hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.2655 ke upar chadh sakta hai, to yeh 1.2700-1.2740 zone ko nishana bana sakta hai. Aik faisla kun tor par is resistance level ke upar chadhne se, yeh joda pandemic lows ke qareeb qayam hui support trendline se takraar ko challenge kar sakta hai jo 1.2820 ke qareeb hai.йте

GBPUSD
Pichle hafte ke trading mein, GBP/USD
currency pair ki qeemat US Dollar Index (DXY) mein izafa ke sath girne ka silsila jari raha, jabke Umeedain jaldi se jaldi interest rate cuts ki kam ho gayi. Yeh November ke ilaane kamzori tak gir gaya, jabke Umeedain jaldi se jaldi interest rate cuts ki kam ho gayi. Yeh haftay ki trading 1.2440 ke qareeb stable shuru hui. Aam tor par, pichle haftay ke sakt US ma'ashi adadon ke silsile ke baad GBP/USD pair ki qeemat ne dosri bari currencies ke sath mil kar significant tor par kami kar di.
Maujooda ma'ashi calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ki riport ne bataya ke American ma'ashiyaat mein March mein 300,000 se zyada jobs sharaq kiye gaye, jabke mulk mein berozgari dar 3.8% tak gir gayi. Aik alag riport ne bataya ke mulk mein infilasion March mein barhti rahi. Headline CPI 3.5% tak barh gaya jabke core infilasion 3.8% tak barh gayi. Aik tafreehi riport ne dikhaya ke gas ke prices unchaai par qayam rehne ke bajaye mazeed barh rahe hain. Middle East ke tawanu crisis ne halat ko mazeed bigara hai. Ye do numbers ahem hain kyunke jobs aur infilasion US Federal Reserve ke dual mandate ka hissa hain. Is natije mein, Federal Reserve ne guzishta meetings mein plan kiye gaye interest rate cuts ko na lagane ki koi mumkinat hai. CME data ka mutabiq dekha jaye to zyadatar economists ne June mein rate cut ka intezar nahi kiya jaise ke unho ne umeed ki thi.

Agay dekhte hue, GBP/USD pair ki qeemat is haftay Britain se kai ahem ma'ashi adadon ka rad-e-amal dekhegi. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ko martes ko taaza jobs figures jari karne hain. Ziyada ahem tor par, ye March ke consumer aur producer inflation numbers jari karega. economists ka manna hai ke Britain mein headline consumer price index 3.4% se 3.1% par gir gaya hoga saalana buniyad par. Core infilasion ka tajziya 4.1% tak pohanchne ka imkan hai.

Amumqaa, wazeh hai ke Britain mein infilasion ka silsila mazeed girne ka imkan hai jabke energy prices kam ho rahe hain. Pichle haftay ek riport ne dikhaya ke energy prices pehle se zyada kam ho sakte hain. Wholesale prices £82 per megawatt-hour tak gir sakte hain is saal, jo ke 27% kam hai forecast se. Is liye, agar ye rujhaan jaari rahe to Bank of England mazeed jaldi interest rates cut shuru kar sakti hai US Federal Reserve se.

Amumqaa, yeh zyadatar US dollar ki kahani hai: hum dekhte hain ke dollar apni position ko sab se behtar currency mein mazbooti se barhata hai, US Federal Reserve ke interest rate hike ke umeedain kam hone ke bawajood mazeed barhne wale US infilasion aur ek qaabil-e-fahm muzid ma'ashi market ki sahara se. US ki ma'ashi shakti Eurozone aur Britain mein maal ki farq ka jo khulasa hai, jahan taiz ho rahi activity aur halki labor market shiraa'at ke bais inflation kam hona jaari hai. European Central Bank ne pichle jumeraat ko darust hai ke maujooda rujhaan ke buniyad par, wo June mein interest rates ko cut karega, jabke Bank of England shayad June ya August mein interest rates ko cut karega. Yeh farq currency dynamics ke liye ek mazboot quwat hai aur yeh dikhata hai ke US dollar ki qeemat euro aur pound sterling ke khilaf mazbooti barha sakti hai.

Amumqaa, US interest rates mein cut ki umeedain ke kam hone ke bawajood ye expectations stock markets tak phel gayi, jo ke "safe haven" dollar ko mazboot kar ke "high" pound sterling ko asar andaz hua. Halat abhi ke liye US dollar ke liye ek win-win situation hai.

GBP/USD pair ke takneeki tajweezat aaj:

GBP/USD ki qeemat ne January aur March ke darmiyan 1.2830 ke aspas aik double top pattern banaya. Ab ye is pattern ke

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle haftay, pound sterling unchaai tak badhne aur mukhya resistance level 1.2667 ko todkar neeche girne ki koshish ki. Magar, yeh koshish nakam rahi, price rebound hui aur phir tezi se girne lagi, bas 1.2524 level ke neeche girti hui. Magar, yeh humein target area tak nahi le gaya, bus kuch points door. Iske alawa, price chart ne red zone mein supertrend mein pravesh kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ki bechne walon ka control badal gaya hai.

Takneeki tor par, price ne apna 1.2400 ke support level toda hai ek vishesh situation ke karan duniya mein. Agar daily candles is todte hue 1.2400 support level ke neeche band hote hain, toh humara naya target 1.2300 ke liye hoga long-term holding trade ke liye. H-4 timeframe mein, stochastic oscillator apne bachey hue pips ko saaf karne ke liye bullish movement deta hai. Is timeframe mein, hum ek bullish move dekhenge jo uske todte hue support level par 1.2445 level par pahunchega. Is level ko todne par price 1.2580 level tak pahunch jayega. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:



Daily Timeframe Analysis

Pair abhi haftay ke neeche tezi se trading kar raha hai. Iske alawa, key resistance areas ko test kiya gaya aur touch nahi kiya gaya, jisse price neeche bounce hua hai, ek neeche ki taraf vector ko favor mein le jaate hue. Apne iraadon ko confirm karne ke liye, Coates ko maujooda price area mein dakhil hona hoga, jo 1.2524 area mein seema hai, jo abhi mukhya resistance area ka border hai. Is level ko dobara test karna aur uske baad rebound, ek naye neeche ki taraf ka move banane ka mauka dega, jiska target 1.2275 aur 1.2142 ke beech ka area hoga.

Maujooda situation se ulat palatne ka reversl us form mein hoga jaise ki resistance ko todne aur 1.2612 par reversl level se baahar jaane mein. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

Traders tafteeshi tor par Gbp/Usd pair mein ahem support darjat ko nazdeek se dekh rahe hain, khaaskar 1.2550 ke saiklojikal rukawat ke neeche. Tawajju 20 November ke low 1.2440 ko manzil ke tor par hai, kyun ke is level ke neeche girna mazeed neeche ki taraf momentum ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Baad mein, mazboot support zone ka intezar hai takreeban 1.2370 ke aas paas, jo November ke low ke saath milta hai.

Gbp/Usd pair dabaav mein tha, jahan farokht karne wale bazaar ko mutasir kar rahe hain aur keemat ko ahem support darjaton ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. 1.2550 ke saiklojikal rukawat ke neeche girna traders ke darmiyan pareshaniyon ko barhaya hai, jo ab 20 November ke low 1.2440 ko agla mumkin downside maqsad ke tor par dekh rahe hain. Agar keemat is level ke neeche jaati hai, to yeh pair mein mazeed giravat ki raah bana sakti hai.

Traders khaaskar 1.2370 ke darje par tawajju de rahe hain, jo ek mazboot support zone ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. Yeh darja November ke lows ke saath milta hai aur agar pair is ke qareeb jaaye, to kharidne ki dilchaspi ka markaz ban sakta hai. Magar agar farokht ki dabao barqarar rahe aur keemat is support zone ko paar kare, to yeh Gbp/Usd pair mein ek gehri islaah ki raah khul sakti hai.

Mukhaalif taur par, agar buyers rozana band hone wale basis par 150-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko 1.2580 par wapas lete hain, to yeh kuch fori farokht ki dabao ko kam kar sakta hai. Is ahem moving average ke upar ki harkat momentum mein tabdeeli ka ishaara ho sakti hai aur bazaar mein kharidne ki dilchaspi ko dhakel sakta hai.

Aise manzar mein, traders bullish momentum aur mazeed upside maqsadon ka tasdeeqi talash karenge. Resistance levels jo dekhne layak hain shamil hain saiklojikal level 1.2700 aur haal ke unchaayi ke aas paas 1.2800. In levels ke neeche mazeed chalne ka ishaara ho sakta hai aur Gbp/Usd pair mein mazeed faida ke darwazay ko khul sakta hai.

Aam tor par, traders Gbp/Usd pair mein saiklojikal rukawat 1.2550 ke neeche ke ahem support darjaton ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhte hain. In darjaton ke paar hona mazeed neeche ki taraf momentum ko le kar sakti hai, jahan 20 November ke low 1.2440 aur 1.2370 support zone mukhya dilchasp areas hain. Mukhaalif taur par, 150-day SMA ko 1.2580 par wapas le liya jaana ek mumkinah momentum mein tabdeeli ka ishaara kar sakta hai aur fori farokht ki dabao ko kuch kam kar sakta hai.

Mozi ghadi mein, GBP/USD jodi ko ek khatarnaak raasta tay karna hai jab wo haal hi ke ghatey hue darajat aur 100 dinon ka aasaan moving average (SMA) ke nichley sataron se ubharne ki koshish karti hai. Uske koshishon ke bawajood, jodi khud ko aik ikhtisar zone mein phansa dekhti hai jo ke November ke aakhri mein qeemat ki harekaton ko madd e nazar rakhta hai. Jab wo 1.2650 ke mark ke aas paas rehti hai, wahan musalsal karne ke nishan hain, jahan momentum indicators ne ek be-ja kari ki karwi peshkash ki hai. GBP ka phir se ubhar traders mein skepticism ke saath mil raha hai jab wo ahem rukawat sataron ka muqabla karta hai. Agar jodi 1.2580 ke aas paas ke ikhtisar zone aur 1.2480 ke zaroori support level ko tor na sake, to ye traders mein zyada pessimistic fehmi ko laa sakta hai. Aisi surat mein, aik saral hawaar par neeche ki taraf murad ke liye raste ki tayari hogi jo 1.2390 ke qawi rukawat ko nishana banata hai, jismein market ki fehmi ka aik muddat hota hai.
GBP/USD H4 Time Frame:

Hal ab technical indicators jaise ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) traders ko thodi raahat nahi de rahe, jo aik pur-asrar aur ehtiyaat bhara manzar banate hain. MACD jo ke do moving averages ke darmiyan taluqat ko track karta hai, ek naytral se bearish nazar-e-andaz ka ishaara deta hai, jo ke market mein yaqeen ki kami ka tasawwur dikhata hai. Isi tarah, RSI, aik momentum oscillator, clear rukh ko dene mein nakami ka sabab banta hai, jis se jodi ke short term ke raaste ke ird gird tanav ko mazeed shadeed karta hai. Is manzar ke samne, traders ko ehtiyaat aur chokas rahna mashwara diya jata hai, jabke GBP/USD jodi aik manzar-e-ghumnam aur be-yaqeeni ke samundar mein taireen karti hai. Jab ke ubharne ki koshishen umeed ki ek roshni faraham kar sakti hain, lekin qawi rukawat sataron ke maujoodgi aur be-ja kari ke momentum indicators ne chokas rahne ki zarurat ko samjha deta hai. Ahem support aur resistance sataron ko nigrani karna, sath hi technical indicators ko, jodi ka agla qadam jaan ne aur forex market ke turbat sataron mein taireen karne ke liye zaroori hoga. Aakhri mein, GBP/USD jodi apne aik aham lamha par hai, behtari aur mazeed nichle potential ke darmiyan daanste hue. Jabke ikhtisar zone qeemat ki karwai ko rokta hai aur momentum indicators aik shumara kharaab tasveer banate hain, traders ko chokas rahne aur markazi raftar ki raftar ke mutabiq janae wale market dynamics ke liye adapt hona chahiye.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD Thursday ko Asian session mein 1.2650 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. United States (US) ne pichle din mix economic data jaari kiya, jismein behtar ADP employment change shamil tha lekin kam ISM Services PMI readings the. Is se dollar (USD) ke liye mushkilat paida hui. US ADP employment change March mein 184,000 se barh gaya, jo ke February mein 155,000 aur market ki 148,000 ke izafa se zyada tha. Ek dosri taraf, US ISM Services PMI March mein 52.7 ki tajwez se kam nikla, February mein 52.6 se 51.4 par gir gaya. Is waqt US Dollar Index (DXY) kareeb 104.20 par trade ho raha hai, haal hi ki nuqsanat se bahar nahi aa saka. Federal Reserve ke interest rate policy ke rukh ke hawale se, kai Fed representatives ne apni stance ko naram kiya hai.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne data par mabni strategy ko taakeed di aur central bank ke rate decrease karne ki tayyari ko dohraaya. Mazeed tawajju ko kheench rahe hain Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ke bayanat, jo 2024 ke aakhri quarter mein ek rate kam karne ka support karte hain. Fed Board of Governors ke member Adriana Kugler ne disinflation ke mustaqil trend par roshni dali aur iska natija ke tor par rate cuts zaroori ho sakte hain. 2024 ke aakhri quarter tak kam az kam teen rate cut ki tawaqo ki jati hai. GBPUSD ke qeemat 1.2650$ par theek hai pichle session ke tezi ke baad. Agli sessions mein bullish bias ki tawaqo hai jab tak 1.2580$ ko paar karne ka tasdeeq na mil jaye. Agla station test karne ke liye 1.2700$ par nigaah rakhna aur yad rakhna ke agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, to qeemat aur bhi zyada barh sakti hai, seedhe 1.2800$ tak. Is natije mein, hum qareebi aur fori muddat mein mazeed izafa ki tawaqo rakhte hain. Haalat achhi rahegi agar qeemat 1.2580$ ko tor diya jaye, jo ke ise bearish track mein wapas la sakta hai.

Is samay, markets ne June ke liye expected interest rate cut ko lekar jyada dhyaan diya hai. Fed ka nirnay ke aadhar par, jo jobs data se prabhavit hoga, interest rates ka faisla liya ja sakta hai. Agar jobs data majboot hota hai, toh Fed ko interest rate cut karne ki zaroorat nahi hogi, lekin agar data kamzor hota hai, toh interest rate cut ki sambhavna bani rahegi. Yeh bhi dekha gaya hai ki pound aur dollar ke beech mein dekhne wale behtar jobs data ne GBP/USD exchange rate par prabhav dala hai. Overall, markets abhi bhi economic data ke agle nirdharan ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ki Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ko prabhavit karega. Is samay, investors ka dhyan bhi US aur UK ke mukhya economic indicators par hai, jo
currency exchange rates ko prabhavit kar rahe hain.



Aaj chutti ka din hai, aur ye bhi maheena ka aakhri din hai. Ye aur GBP/USD ki harkat ko din ka behtareen istemaal kaha ja sakta hai. Jab main abhi bhi aaj ek rally ka intezar nahi kar raha tha, aur US ke data tajwez ke mutabiq aaya, tou jo investors bazaar mein reh gaye thay, woh mahine ke ikhtitam se pehle apne trades ko mehfooz karne ka faisla kiya. Magar phir Powell ne bola, aur unki musbat taqreer ke natayej mein, naye farokht bazaar mein dakhil hue, jo ke pair ko EMA20 ke neeche trading mein wapas laaya, jo 1.2627 par mojood hai. Is tarah, Monday ko trading range 1.2627 aur triangle ke lower border ke darmiyan +/- 1.2590 ke levels ke darmiyan reh jata hai. Trading week Tuesday ko shuru hogi, aur wahan main pehle se hi ek koshish ka intezar kar raha hoon.



Chutti ka din aur maheena ka aakhri din honay ki wajah se, GBP/USD ki harkat mein aik naye raaste ka tajurba karne ka mauka hai. Main pehle se hi ek rally ka intezar nahi kar raha tha, lekin US ke data ke mutabiq, jo investors bazaar mein reh gaye thay, unho ne mehfooz tareeqay se apne trades ko control mein rakha. Lekin phir Federal Reserve ke chairman Jerome Powell ki musbat taqreer ne bazaar ko dobala utha diya aur naye farokht bazaar mein dakhil hue, jiski wajah se GBP/USD pair ko EMA20 ke neeche trading mein wapas laaya gaya, jo ab 1.2627 par hai. Is tarah, Monday ko trading range 1.2627 aur triangle ke lower border ke darmiyan +/- 1.2590 ke levels ke darmiyan reh gayi hai. Agla trading week Tuesday ko shuru hoga, aur mujhe pehle se hi ek koshish ka intezar hai ke kya naye trends aur opportunities humein milenge.

H-4 Timeframe Analysis
GBP/USD ab tak chaar musalsal sabz candles darj karne ke liye raasta tay kar raha hai jab ke yeh pair October ke 50 pips ke neechay ke levels se shuru hui tezi mein hai aur 200 pip ke resistance ko saaf karta ja raha hai. Din ke asaan moving averages ke saath. Yeh nazar aata hai ke khareedne ki dilchaspi mazboot hai, khaaskar jab yeh upar diye gaye asaan moving averages ke milaap kaar ek aur ahem tezi ka darwaaza khol sakta hai. Khaas taur par, momentum indicator mojooda bullish sentiment ko market mein support kar raha hai. Relative strength index aur average directional movement index equilibrium level ke oopar hain, jo ke market mein ek musbat bullish trend ko darust kar raha hai.



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Agar khareedne ki dilchaspi jaari rahegi, to wo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf jaane ki koshish karenge jo ke downtrend ki taraf hai aur 1.2350 par hai. Agar pair is level ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh 1.2671 tak buland ho sakta hai. Is ilaake ke upar, yeh 1.2760 par mazboot rukavat ka saamna kar sakta hai.

Agar bearish scenario aata hai, to farokht karne wale pair ko 1.2361 aur 1.2382 zones ke neechay push karenge. Phir wo 1.2393 ke nazdeeki support area ko test kar sakte hain, bas 1.2268-1.2287 area ke oopar jahan 50 din ka asaan moving average aur 50% Fibonacci retracement hain. Chhoti baat yeh hai ke GBP/USD ke kharidar abhi bazaar par qabu rakhte hain lekin agar stochastic apne moving averages aur overbought levels ke neechay girne ka faisla karta hai to unke mehnat se kamaye hue munafa jaa sakta hai. Neeche di gayi hai chart:

British Pound (GBP) Thursday ki Asian trading session mein kamzor note par shuru hui, jis mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 1.2450 ke aas paas ghum rahi thi. Yeh kamzori haal hi mein UK ke inflation data se hai, jo ke March mein 3.2% par do saal aur aadha ke record tezi se kami dikhata hai. 3.4% se kam hone se, investors ki umeedain hai ke Bank of England aane wale mahino mein interest rates ko kum kardega, jis se GBP/USD jori par neeche ke dabaav aayega. Mazeed maaliati data releases Thursday ke baad aane wale hain, jo ke US jobless claims, regional manufacturing data, aur mojooda gharoun ki farokht ko lekar mazeed andaza dete hain. Bank of England khud ne bhi naram inflation figures ke bais rate kum karne ki ishaarat di hain.
Yeh maaliati rukawat GBP/USD ke technical indicators mein zahir hai. Stochastic index ne pehle ka support level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke dhaanchna deta hai ke jori oversold ho sakti hai. Lekin, relative strength index abhi tak 30 ke qareeb hai, jo ke "sell" signal samjha jata hai, aur mazeed girawat ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. Chhoti-term ke jazbaat maanfi rehte hain jab tak ke keemat neeche ki janib giray aur descending channel aur 50-day moving average (1.2655) ko torde.
GBP/USD ki mojooda kamzori pareshan kun hai, kyun ke 20-day aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan ka faasla kam hota ja raha hai. Aam tor par yeh upri saal ki kami ka ishara deta hai. Magar agar keemat 1.2655 ke oopar chadh jati hai, to tawajju resistance levels par 1.2700-1.2740 par hogi. Is zone ke behtar tor par tor par tor se upar ja sakta hai jo ke pichlay pandamic ki low 1.2820 ke qareeb pohanch sakta hai. Muta'alliqan, agar GBP/USD apna neeche ka rukh jaari rakhta hai, to pehle 1.2340 ke qareeb support ka saamna kar sakta hai. Ziyada ahem girawat ka dor bhi maansik taur par ahem level 1.2300 ko khelne mein aa sakta hai.
Mustaqil kamzori shayad pehle 1.2260 ke qareeb pichlay support zone ko dobara test kare, phir aham level 1.2200 se larte hue. Mangalwar ko keemat ka inkar 1.2500 par suggest karta hai ke downtrend shayad khatam na ho. Halankeh waqtan-fa-waqtan mawazna mumkin hai, lekin rozana band 1.2400 ke neeche hone se mazeed girawat ki rah khul sakti hai jis se 1.2340 ki taraf mazeed girawat ho sakti hai.

British pound ne apne aapko neutral territory mein phansa hua paaya jab ke Monday ka New York trading session shuru hua. GBP/USD pair ne market participants ke intezaar mein rukhne ka aml dikhaya jab ke ahem US data - March ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka izhaar, jo Wednesday ko scheduled hai, ka intezaar tha. Ye inflation report Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke raaste par roshni daalega, khaaskar ke June se shuru hone wale interest rate cuts ke maamle mein. Is doran, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke sab se ahem currencies ke ek basket ke muqablay mein dollar ki taqat ko dekhta hai, takreeban 104.30 ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Ye izafa market sentiment mein tabdeeli ko darust karta hai. Pehle, ek maayusi US rozgar report ke zariye chal rahe tha, umeedain Federal Reserve ke June mein interest rate cut cycle ko shuru karne ki taraf thi. Magar haal hi mein mazboot rozgar data ne is manzar ko mushtariq kya hai. Report ne dikhaya ke US employers mein mazboot kaam ki taalab jaari hai, halankeh Federal Reserve ne 5.25% se 5.50% tak ke interest rate range ko taal diya hai.
Dariyafti mein, Bank of England (BoE) mukhtalif halaat ka samna kar rahi hai. Jab ke UK mein price pressures mein kami ki alaamat saamne aarahi hain, toh investor ki umeedain BoE interest rate cut ke liye June ki meeting se barh gayi hain. Is haftay, data releases pound ke rukh ka chabak dene wale hain. Jumma ko UK ka maheenaywi GDP figures aur February ka factory data ka izhaar hoga. Khaas tor par, S&P Global/CIPS ne hal hi mein riwayati tor par UK Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) ke barhne ka izhaar kiya hai, jo 20 mahinon ki girawat streak ko todta hai. Technically, GBP/USD abhi daily timeframe par ek descending channel pattern ke andar trade kar raha hai. Ye pattern ek downtrend ko darust karta hai, jahan market participants ko kisi bhi pullback ko bechne ka mauka samjha jata hai. Magar pound ke bulls ke liye ek roshni ki kiran bani rehti hai. 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2570 ke aas paas hai, jo ek mumkin support level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, psychological level 1.2500, jo December 8th ke low ke saath milti hai, bhi support faraham kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ek momentum indicator, abhi takreeban 40.00 ke aas paas mojood hai. Is level ke nichle girne se pound ke liye ek moghtalif kamiyabi ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai.


GBP/USD jora aik tang farq ke andar trading shuru kiya, aur din ke doraan yeh pattern barqarar raha. Magar, din ke guzarne ke sath, pehlay moqarrar farq ke oopar ek numaya harkat dekhi gayi. Ye upar ki raftar ko taqat mili aur aakhir mein 1.2700 ke resistance level ko paar kar liya gaya. Is breakthrough ke baad, market mein ek wazeh uptrend tha, jo ek mumkin kharidne ki mauqe ki isharaat de raha tha, jis ka nishana 1.2680 ke resistance level tha. Pichle haftay mei amal ko barhane ki koshishen koi jawab nahi diya gaya, aur haalaanki keemat ne chand lamhon ke liye unchi aur neeche ke nuqtaat ko guzar diya, aakhir mein wo ek pehchani gayi jagah tak wapas chali gayi. Halat mein scalping ki mauqe seemit nazar aa rahi hain. Kal subah, mein pivot points par tawajju doonga kyunke wo amal ke liye aik range faraham karte hain aur hissay ke liye khaas maqasid ka andaza faraham karte hain. Chart mein various exit probabilities ko dene wala ek "fork" bhi shaamil hai taa ke mumkin outcomes ki intezar mein mukhtalif exit possibilities ko zahir kiya ja sake.



- 4 ghanton ke chart par pond mukhtasir tor par nichle band ke saath chal raha hai apni tor phor ke baad, jabke dono bands khule rehte hain, jo keemat girawat ki taraf ishaara dete hain, aur hum sirf dekh sakte hain ke ye ishaara ban raha hai ya nahi. Agar hum fractals ke zariye mojooda halaat ka tajziya karte hain, to kal ke din ke andar keemat ne nazdiki fractal ko neeche se todi aur na sirf April 88 ke fractal ke level par nishana hasil kiya, balke wo bohot zyada neeche bhi gir saki. Is waqt, aik naya neeche ka fractal bana hai, jo ke keemat ke musalsal girawat ka nishana hai. Is ka toorna aur jamawar banane se keemat ko fractal December 13 ke level par 1.24994 ke level tak musalsal barhne ki ijaazat hogi. Nazdiki upar ka fractal door hai, aur keemat ke rukh mein kisi cheez par itminan hasil karne ke liye, ek naye, qareebi fractal ka intezar karna ahem hai. 2 - AO indicator zero mark ko paar karke manfi ilaqa mein tafteesh shuru kar di hai, abhi tak yeh saaf nahi hai ke pehla shikhar kab bana hoga, aur ye ishara deta hai ke keemat girawat mazeed jaari reh sakti hai.

GBPUSD ka daliy D1 taim farm chart pichle din ke kam darajay ke neechay aik numaya bandish ka samna kiya, jo aik bearish candlestick ke zariye darj ki gayi hai. Is se pehle chhote izafe ke baad, phir wapas mukhtalif rukh par chal kar temporarily south ki taraf gaya. Jab ke bearish momentum mein dhire-dhire kami ho rahi hai, main umeed rakhta hoon ke akhri support level ke saath kisi bhi numaya rebound ke baghair guzar jaye. Mera moqa abhi tak wahi hai jab tak main support level ko chaukanna nazar rakhta hoon. Is ahem mor par, do mumkin scenarios ka ghoor karna zaroori hai. Pehle, keemat is level ke neeche jam ho sakti hai aur mazeed south ki taraf phail sakti hai. Agar yeh scenario paish aaye, to main ek southward rukh ki umeed rakhta hoon support level 1.2451 tak. Is mor par, main aik trading setup ke qayam ka tasawar karta hoon jo future market ka taayun karega, keemat ke support levels 1.2095 ya 1.2037 ki taraf ghuste hue mazeed gahraai tak jana mumkin hai, tajziya-e-evolving fundamental landscape aur price reactions ke motabiq zaroori hai. Doosri taraf, jab keemat support level 1.2373 ki taraf pohanchti hai, wahan aik reversal candlestick formation ka imkaan hai jo aik resumption of upward momentum ka ishaara deti hai. Aise scenario mein, hum aik rukh ki taraf wapas jaane ka intezar karte hain resistance level 1.2518 ki taraf. Magar, ehtiyaat zaroori hai jab tak hum is resistance ke qareeb aik reversal candlestick ka agaz honay ka intezar karte hain, shayad ek taza downward movement ka agaz hoga. Bazaar ke maazi hafta dono buyers aur sellers ke liye naazuk raha, na to clear momentum dono rukh mein dekha gaya. Kal keemat ko oonchi karne ki koshish ke bawajood, momentum thak gaya, jiske natijay mein kam darjay par lows ko dobara test kiya gaya minor adjustments ke saath. Pichli trading week sellers ke favor mein tha. Ye aik test ke saath shuru hua tha horizontal resistance level 1.2711 ka, jo mukhtalif timeframes par signals ke saath saath ishara deta tha ke us waqt se mukhtalif rukh ke hosakta hai. Aik numaya giravat huee Wednesday ko jab US se ahem khabron ke baad, US dollar major currencies ke khilaaf tezi se strong hui aur sellers ke doran session ke douran ek mukhtalif rukh se neechay dabaav aya. Jab ke temporary rok aur uptrend ka dobara shuru honay ka imkaan tha nazdeek ascending trendline aur horizontal support level 1.2526 ke, lekin keemat sirf foran kuch der ke liye ruki phir us rukawat ko torne se pehle. Is natijay mein, ek downward wave structure qaim hone laga, MACD indicator oversold territory mein gir raha tha aur apni signal line ke neeche. Fibonacci retracement tool ka istemal kar ke initial wave par, hum ek potential downside target pehchaan sakte hain 161.8 level par. Magar, is target tak pohanchne se pehle, aik baray imkaan hai aik correctiv uptrend ka kaam hone ka jahan breached support level 1.2526, ab resistance ke tor par kaam karta hai. Yeh tajwez CCI indicator ke zariye nahi support milta hai, jo oversold zone mein gaya hai, aik potential reversal ke ishaaraat dete hue near term mein.

Pound Dollar ke khilaaf Girawat Ke Darmiyan UK Interest Rate Kam Hone Ke Tawaqo'at: Thursday ke Asian trading session ke early hours mein, British pound ne US dollar ke khilaaf girawat dekhi aur 1.2450 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh girawat hal mein UK interest rates mein kam hone ke mumkin signals par jari hui. Yeh downtrend UK inflation mein jari rahe continued easing ke data ke ikhtitaam ke baad aaya. Inflation rates mein kami ke isharaat dikhate hain, yeh UK ki economy mein possible slowdown ka ishara hai. Is natijay mein, Bank of England (BoE) ka amal ke liye kisi bhi waqt interest rates ko kam karne ka barhta hua intezar hai. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell bhi bazaar ke intezar mein hissa le rahe hain. Powell ne apni niyat izhar ki ke rate cuts ko pehle se zyada der tak taakhir di jaegi, United States mein higher-than-expected inflation ke ghaer mutawaqqa reports ke baad. Investors in developments ko tawajjuh se monitor kar rahe hain, jinhe global economy aur currency markets par unka asar jaari hai. BoE ka potential interest rate cut investor sentiment aur trading strategies ko asar daal sakta hai, British pound ki qeemat par doosri currencies ke muqablay mein, jaise ke US dollar. Maazi ke uncertainties ke daire mein, jo economic recovery aur inflation trends ko ghair-mutwaqqa rakhta hai, financial markets central bank policies aur economic indicators par nazuk rehte hain. Traders aur investors ko tabiyat mein hone wale market conditions ke darmiyan hoshiyar rehne aur ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye.

Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy:
Char ghanton (H4) chart mein, British pound ne Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke ishara ke mutabiq thori development dikhayi. RSI 40.00 mark ke neeche gira aur ab isay us se oopar phir se utar gaya hai. Main chart ki taraf dekhte hue, GBP/USD pair 50.00 aur 61.8% Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan phans gaya nazar aata hai. Aik khareedne ka order shuru karne ke liye, asasa ko 50.00% level se guzar dena hoga, jo ke ab market value 1.2491 par hai. Mutawatir, pair ko support mil raha hai 61.8% level se. Is liye, is level ke oopar farokht karne ka faisla behtar nahi ho sakta. Agar instrument is level ke neeche girta hai aur ek H4 candle banta hai jo mazeed downside movement ko ishara deta hai, to yeh ek potential mauqa ho sakta hai farokht karne ka.

Mukhtasar mein, GBP/USD pair ke harkaat abhi ke liye key Fibonacci levels aur RSI signal ke mutabiq tasir mein hain. Traders ko in indicators ko tawajjuh se monitor kar ke khareedne aur farokht karne ke maamlaat mein aqalmandi se faislay lene ke liye mashwara diya jata hai.