USD/CAD currency pair ne Jumeraat ko aik tezi ka jhatka mehsoos kiya, jis se US trading session mein qareeb 1.3750 tak pohanch gaya. Is izafe ki wajah do ahem factors ki hai: Canadian dollar ki kamzori aur US dollar ki taqat. Canada ki taraf se, loonie ki musibat ka sabab aik mayoos karne wala retail sales report tha. Statistics Canada ne mahana retail sales mein 0.8% ki izafi girawat ko zahir kiya, jo 0.6% ke mutawaqey girne se zyada thi. Yeh kamzori core retail sales tak bhi pohanchi, jismein automobile ko exclude karte hue 1.3% girawat aai, jo mutawaqey 0.5% girne se kafi zyada tha. Yeh shumarat Canadian consumer spending ke liye pareshan kun manzar ko paint karte hain, jo gharo par Bank of Canada (BoC) ke barhte hue interest rates ke dabaav ke neeche dab rahe hain. Yeh BoC ke future mein rate cuts ke raste ko khol sakta hai, jo aam tor par aik mulk ki currency ko kamzor karta hai.
Dusri taraf, Jumeraat ko US dollar apni taqat ka muzahira kar raha tha, jabke US Dollar Index (DXY) near 104.40 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh index greenback ki taqat ko aath major currencies ke ek basket ke khilaf nishana bandi karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ki yield 4.24% tak pohanch gayi, jo US dollar ki pasandeedgi ko mazeed barhata hai. Is taqat ne USD/CAD pair par apna asar dikhaya aur usay ooper ki taraf dabaaya.
Aag mein tail daalne ki baat ye thi ke US presidential election ke aasraat thi. Donald Trump ki jeet ke umeedon ne US dollar ki barhti hui, lekin is talluq ka durust wazeh ho na saka. Investors ab key Federal Reserve policymakers jaise New York Fed President John Williams aur Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic ke taqreeron ka besabri se intezar kar rahe hain. In taqreeron ko khaas tor par future interest rate adjustments ke baray mein kisi bhi ishara ke liye nazar andaz kiya jaega. Agar Federal Reserve apni rate tightening grip ko halka karne ki surat mein muntakhib ho jaye, to is se US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur is ka asar USD/CAD pair par ho sakta hai.
Technically dekhnay se, manzar ka halafi hai. Stochastic aur RSI jaise technical indicators ab ooper ki taraf isharaat kar rahe hain, jo USD/CAD ke liye overbought territory ko zahir karte hain. Yeh nazara qareebi mustaqbil mein kisi pullback ka ishara ho sakta hai. Lekin agar USD/CAD pair 1.3790 resistance level ke ooper toor jaye, to yeh mazeed izafe ke raaste ko khol sakta hai, jis se 1.3845 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke mid-April mein dekha gaya tha. Dusri taraf, agar USD/CAD pair 1.3600 support level ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh aik mukhalif taqat aur neeche ki taraf girne ka ishara kar sakta hai.
Mukhtasar mein, USD/CAD ab aik jang ke maidan mein phansa hua hai. Is currency pair ki mustaqbil ki raftar kai factors par munhasar hai, jin mein Canadian economy ki sehat, US presidential election ka natija aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions shamil hain. 1.3790 ya 1.3600 ke ooper ya neeche toorna aam tor par agle dominant trend ka wazeh ishara dega.
Dusri taraf, Jumeraat ko US dollar apni taqat ka muzahira kar raha tha, jabke US Dollar Index (DXY) near 104.40 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh index greenback ki taqat ko aath major currencies ke ek basket ke khilaf nishana bandi karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ki yield 4.24% tak pohanch gayi, jo US dollar ki pasandeedgi ko mazeed barhata hai. Is taqat ne USD/CAD pair par apna asar dikhaya aur usay ooper ki taraf dabaaya.
Aag mein tail daalne ki baat ye thi ke US presidential election ke aasraat thi. Donald Trump ki jeet ke umeedon ne US dollar ki barhti hui, lekin is talluq ka durust wazeh ho na saka. Investors ab key Federal Reserve policymakers jaise New York Fed President John Williams aur Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic ke taqreeron ka besabri se intezar kar rahe hain. In taqreeron ko khaas tor par future interest rate adjustments ke baray mein kisi bhi ishara ke liye nazar andaz kiya jaega. Agar Federal Reserve apni rate tightening grip ko halka karne ki surat mein muntakhib ho jaye, to is se US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur is ka asar USD/CAD pair par ho sakta hai.
Technically dekhnay se, manzar ka halafi hai. Stochastic aur RSI jaise technical indicators ab ooper ki taraf isharaat kar rahe hain, jo USD/CAD ke liye overbought territory ko zahir karte hain. Yeh nazara qareebi mustaqbil mein kisi pullback ka ishara ho sakta hai. Lekin agar USD/CAD pair 1.3790 resistance level ke ooper toor jaye, to yeh mazeed izafe ke raaste ko khol sakta hai, jis se 1.3845 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke mid-April mein dekha gaya tha. Dusri taraf, agar USD/CAD pair 1.3600 support level ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh aik mukhalif taqat aur neeche ki taraf girne ka ishara kar sakta hai.
Mukhtasar mein, USD/CAD ab aik jang ke maidan mein phansa hua hai. Is currency pair ki mustaqbil ki raftar kai factors par munhasar hai, jin mein Canadian economy ki sehat, US presidential election ka natija aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions shamil hain. 1.3790 ya 1.3600 ke ooper ya neeche toorna aam tor par agle dominant trend ka wazeh ishara dega.
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