امریکی ڈالر بمقابلہ کینیڈین ڈالر: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

USD/CAD jodi barqarar hai 1.3650 ke upar aur ab tak 1.3680 ke qareeb hai early Asian session mein Maheeni. US Dollar (USD) apni haal ki nuksano ko wapas la raha hai jabke traders Canada aur US se aham iqtisadi data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Khas tor par woh Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data aur US Retail Sales figures ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo dono Maheenay ko mutawaqqa hain. Ye reports currency pair ke liye naye safarishin faraham karne ka imkan deti hain.
Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke member Adriana Kugler ka aamne samne bayan hona hai, jo market sentiment par asar daal sakta hai.

Peer ko, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne US ki maeeshat ke bare mein guftagu ki aur kaha ke haal hi mein wo bohot acha kaam kar rahi hai. Unhone kaha ke central bank muntazir nahi rahega ke 2% barasat ka inflation target hit ho jane ke baad faislay kiya jaye.


Pichle haftay ke thanday US inflation data ne Fed ki taraf se September mein ek rate cut ke imkanat barha diye hain. Ye umeed US Dollar par kuch dabao dal rahi hai. Traders ab September mein rate cut ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke phir November aur December mein aur takseem ki umeedain hai. Saal ke end tak, policy rate 4.5%-4.75% tak kam ho sakta hai.




USD/CAD ke aas paas 1.3680 ke qareeb hona yeh zahir karta hai ke market wait-and-see mode mein hai. Traders ehtiyaat se kaam kar rahe hain jab tak woh anay wale iqtisadi data aur Fed ke member ke taqreer ka mehsoos nahi karte. Canadian CPI data Canada mein inflation trends ke baray mein maloomat faraham karega, jo Canadian Dollar (CAD) par asar daal sakta hai. Isi tarah, US Retail Sales data dikhayega ke consumer spending kis had tak khush haal hai, jis se US ki maeeshat ke baray mein hints mil sakte hain.

Agar Canadian CPI data zyada inflation dikhata hai, to CAD ko mazbooti mil sakti hai, jo ke USD/CAD jodi ko neeche daba sakti hai. Ulta, agar US Retail Sales data mazboot hai, to USD ko support mil sakta hai, jo jodi ko buland karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Jerome Powell ke peer ke bayanat ne dikhaya ke Fed apni iqtisadi maqasid ke liye pur-frosh hai aur market ki intezar ko wazeh karta hai. Anay mahinon mein rate cut ki umeedon ka matlooba paish guftagu ke market ka nazariya dikhata hai ke Fed maeeshat ko slow hone wale inflation ke doraan support ke liye aham qadam uthayega.

USD/CAD jodi ab tak 1.3650 ke upar barqarar hai, traders naye rukh ke liye anay wale Canadian CPI aur US Retail Sales data par tawajjo diye hue hain. Fed ki monetary policy aur anay taqreerain market ke harekat ko shakal dene mein badi rol ada karengi. Amomi sentiment ehtiyaat bhari hai, traders anay wale iqtisadi data aur Fed ke faislon ke bharose par aasal nuqsanat ke liye tayar ho rahe hain.

Hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/CAD market bikne walon ki taraf mael ho raha hai, 1.3680 level tak pohanch gaya hai. Magar, main isay asal harkat abhi nahi keh sakta. Main samajhta hoon ke market sirf Washington session ke doran asli tor par hilay gi. Us waqt, kar-e-karahat waqion se CPI high-impact news events aa sakti hain, jo market trend ko tabdeel kar sakti hain. Isliye, main kehta hoon ke humein USD/CAD market ke uparward move hone ka sochna chahiye. Market 1.3698-1.3663 level tak pohanch sakti hai, aur yeh bullish concept aaj ke US session mein zahir hoga. Isliye, humein anay wale tabdeelion ke liye tayyar hona chahiye.

Jab hum dekhte hain ke USD/CAD market ne 1.3680 level tak pohanch liya hai, to samajhna chahiye ke ye level mukhtasir hosakta hai. CPI high-impact news events market mein significant tabdeeliyan laa sakti hain. Ye news events market mein buland volatility paida kar sakti hain, jald tareen qeematien tabdeel hoti hui. Is surat mein, traders ke liye ahem hai ke wo market ki harekaton par nazar rakhen aur apne trading strategies ko is mutabiq adjust karen.

Washington session ke doran, jab CPI news jaari hoti hai, possible hai ke market mein bullish movement dekhi ja sakti hai. Market 1.3698-1.3663 level tak pohanch sakti hai, jo mazeed unchi harkat ko darust karegi. Aise manaziron mein, traders ke liye ehtiyaat bartaraf rakhna zaroori hai aur kisi bhi achanak market harkaton ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke CPI data umeedon ko pura na kare, jo market ko shock dekar uska trend mutasir kar sakta hai. Isliye, hamesha stop-loss orders lagana aur risk management strategies ko amal mein lane ka ahem hai. High-impact news events ke doran, ghairnawaz naqadeed ka intazam karna zaroori hai takay ghair mutawaqqa market harkaton ka samna kiya ja sake. Traders ko samajhna chahiye ke in news events ke doran, market mein bohot sari tawaqo hoti hai. Isliye apni tajziyaat par focus karna aur market ke mohtawaat par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar market bullish harkat dikhaye aur 1.3698-1.3663 level tak pohanch jaye, to ye munafa kamane ke liye aik acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Magar, hamesha ehtiyaat bar qaim rakhna aur apne trading plan par chalna zaroori hai.

USD/CAD market abhi 1.3680 level par hai, aur Washington session ke doran, CPI news ke baad, yeh market upar ja sakta hai. Market 1.3698-1.3663 level tak pohanch sakti hai, aur humein is bullish concept ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. News events ke doran, zyada volatility aur ghair mutawaqqa harkaton ka khatra hota hai, isliye sahi risk management strategies ko amal mein lana zaroori hai. Market ki harekaton ka nazariya karna aur apne trading plan ka paas rahna traders ke liye faida pohochane wala ho sakta hai.

USD/CAD currency pair ka tajziya karna hain ek detail se jaaiza, mojooda trends aur takniki idaraayon ka tajziya karna hain taakeh potential trading opportunities pehchan sakain. Sab se pichhli jaaizay mein, USD/CAD pair ek zyadatar bearish trend dikhata hain, jise choti jagah ke liye short positions ke liye potential mouqaat batata hain.

Is bearish trend ka aik ahem pehchan hona pair ke movement ke liye khususi key moving averages ke nisbat hota hain. USD/CAD ne hamesha apne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade karna jaari rakha hain. Yeh alignment aksar ek mazboot bearish signal ke tor par dekha jata hain, jise yeh ishara karta hain ke pair ek downtrend mein hain aur selling pressure kharidne ke interest ke muqablay mein hain. Traders aam tor par in moving averages ko overall trend ko napne aur potential resistance aur support points ke pehchan karne ke liye istemal karte hain.

Moving averages ke alawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi USD/CAD ke momentum ka tajziya karte waqt aik ahem indicator hota hain. RSI mojooda waqt mein 40 ke aas paas hain, jo ke ek bearish bias ko darust karta hain lekin abhi tak ek oversold halat nahi hain. RSI 30 ke neeche generally oversold ke tor par samjha jata hain aur kuch palatnay ki sambhavana ka ishara kar sakta hain. Magar, jab RSI abhi tak oversold territory mein nahi hain, yeh ishara karta hain ke USD/CAD ke liye girne ke liye mazeed jagah ho sakti hain ek potential rebound se pehle.

Ek aur ahem takniki kafiya hain ke jo USD/CAD ke peecha chal raha hain woh ek giraffe channel pattern ke maujoodgi ke sath hain. Yeh pattern neeche ke unchaaiyon aur neeche ke lo ko darust karta hain, jo bearish outlook ko mazboot banata hain. Is channel ka upper boundary ek dynamic resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hain, jahan pair ne bar bar selling pressure ka samna kiya hai. Ulta, lower boundary ek support level ke taur par kaam karta hain, jahan ke qeemat apne giravat se kuch waqt ke liye bahar nikal sakti hai.





Support aur resistance levels traders ke liye potential entry aur exit points decide karne mein ahem hoti hain. USD/CAD ke liye, fori support level 1.2850 ke aas paas milta hain, jo pehle se ek floor ke tor par kaam aata hai, aur mazeed giravat se rokav deti hai. Is level ke neeche girne se door, next support level 1.2700 par ho sakta hain darwaza khulta hai sarani momentum ke liye, uska muqam ban sakta hai. Upar, resistance 1.3000 ke aas paas dikhai deta hai, aik nafsani level jo pehle ke qeemat ke tajziya par ba-khabri hai. Is resistance ke oopar jaane se bearish trend se muqabla ho sakta hai, ek possible palatnav ya kam az kam consolidation ki ek dor ke ishara ko andar rakhna.

Market ki jazba-o-tahsinaat aur bunyadi factors bhi USD/CAD ka raasta tay karte hain. Canadian Dollar (CAD) aksar commodity prices, khas tor par oil, se mutassir hoti hai, kyun ke Canada aik bara oil exporter hai. Halaanki, US Dollar (USD) ko mukhtalif economic indicators se mutasir kiya jata hai, jinme Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions, rozgaar ki data, aur mairaafi figures shamil hain. Abhi, kisi bhi signs of economic weakness in the US ya oil prices mein terzi dikhai dena CAD ke mazboot hone ke liye, bearish trend ko mazboot karne ke liye.

Mukhtasaran, USD/CAD currency pair abhi ek bearish trend dikhata hai, jaise ke key moving averages ke neeche hone, a RSI jo bearish momentum darust karta hai, aur a descending channel pattern. Key support aur resistance levels 1.2850 aur 1.3000, istsrah, potential price action ke liye muddahein hai. Traders ko commodity prices aur economic indicators jaise bahri factors ko bhi madde nazar rakhte hue, jo pair ke raaste ka nirdeshan kar sakte hain. Aam tor par, takniki aur bunyadi analysis yeh suggest karta hain ke USD/CAD ke liye mazeed downside potential ho sakta hai, jo near term mein short positions ke liye mouqe pesh karte hain.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis Daam oopar ki taraf saheel rahe hain, aur haftay ki tasleem se neecha aa kar 1.3765 ke resistance level tak poncha. Tehqiqat mein oopar ki taraf rehte hui daam pehle mid-channel lines se oopar gaya tha, phir gir kar haftay ke pivot level 1.3655 tak ponch gaya, aik mazboot support level jo ke ek punji aur aik am rafi hota hai jo ke daam ponch kar tajdeed ho gai Ye teh, itni daam Is haftay ki shuruat se, pair ki keemat ne ek saath movement ki taraf liye, jo ke ahem haftay ke pivot level 1.3650 se sambhal rahi thi aur oopar ki price channel lines se muqabla kar rahi thi. Is haftay se, daam ascending price channels ke andar trade karne laga hai, jo ke peechle do hafto ki tehreerein hai, lekin is ne in channels ko tor diya aur in ke bahar trade karne laga hai. Daam haftay ke pivot level tak ponchne ki tawaqo ki jati hai, jo ke is ke agle rukh par asar andaz hoti hai, aur is ke mustanad asar ki maloomat hasil ki gayi hai. Apne hosla afzai ke baare mein yad rakhna zaroori hai. Mein tajaweez karta hoon ke agar daam oopar ki taraf rebound karta hai, aur haftay ke pivot level ke oopar bottom banata hai to khareedna munasib hai. Mukhalfat ke taur par, agar 4 ghantay ka mombati haftay ke pivot level ke neeche band hota hai to bechna munasib hai. Ye tajaweezat aage ke rukh ko saaf aur puri umeed se amal mein lane ke liye hon chahiye

D1 Period Chart - USDCAD Currency Pair. Taqariban teen mahine se price sideways move kar rahi hai, aur bears uthti hui wave structure ko break nahi kar paaye. Ek decline ho sakta hai jab price ne horizontal support level 1.3589 ko test kiya. Kayi din se price iss level ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, neeche jaane aur ascending structure ko torhne ki koshish kar rahi hai, khas taur par jab upar ek horizontal resistance level 1.3646 tha. Lekin sellers jo growth ka intezaar kar rahe the, unhone resistance level 1.3646 ko tor diya. Ye level ek mirror image ban gaya aur price, support test karne ke baad, confidence ke saath bounce back hui. US dollar phir se mazboot ho gaya. Dosri currency pairs, jin par US dollar pichle dino se mazboot ho raha tha, ne bhi madad ki, jaise euro-dollar aur pound-dollar long rally ke baad ease kar gaye. MACD indicator phir se zero mark cross kar raha hai aur upper buy zone mein move kar raha hai. Price expected thi ke descending line tak continue kare jo last do peaks par bani thi aur price wahan tak pohanch gayi. Technical picture ke ilawa, US Dollar ko mazbooti mili pichle haftay ke Friday news par. Canada's core retail sales index expected se bura aaya. Aur retail sales volume Canada mein gir gaya. Is background ke against, Canadian dollar kuch kamzor ho gaya, aur price target tak, descending resistance line tak pohanch gayi. Iske qareeb, short-term M15 par, sell formation dekh sakte hain, aur try karein ke same mirror level ko resistance mein convert karein, aur line ke neeche wapas aane ki koshish karein. Aap online market se sale open kar sakte hain, lekin yeh kam reliable hai short-term confirmations ke dekhne se.

haftay ke trading mein, Canadian dollar apni pehli range mein trade karta raha. Hafte ke shuru mein, price upper border 1.3735 pe thi, jahan se ye rebound hui aur lower border 1.3616 tak sharp decline shuru hua, signal zone se break out karte hue reversal level mein enter ho gayi. Yahan se, passage stop hote hain aur dheere dheere upward turn lene lagte hain. Iss tarah, currency pair ka expected development nahi hua. Abhi, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo selling pressure ko indicate kar raha hai. Technical perspective se aaj, 4-H chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke index temporarily resistance 1.3720 ke upar move kar raha hai, jahan simple moving average positive stimulus provide kar raha hai, jo ke 14-day high hai. Positive indicator signals se impulse mazid strong ho raha hai. Toh, hum positive hain lekin cautious bhi hain day trading ke liye above the previously broken resistance level at 1.3830, jo ke support mein turn ho gaya hai, jaise ke hum jaante hain ke 1.3790 se neeche break hona zaroori hai pehla target 1.3778 ko achieve karne ke liye. Hum remind karte hain ke minimum hourly candle ko 1.3753 se neeche close karna assumed uptrend ki functionality ko cancel kar dega aur index price pe strong negative pressure dalega with targets of 1.3940 aur 1.3910.

Saath hi, key support area strong pressure mein hai lekin abhi tak price ko break out karne nahi de raha, pehle ke upward vector ko relevant rakhta hai. Ye tab confirm hoga jab price level 1.3664 ke upar break through karegi aur mazid strengthen ki possibility hogi jahan main support area borders hain. Repeated testing aur subsequent rebound ek naya upward movement ka mauqa dega with a target area of 1.3793 aur 1.3862.

**USD/CAD Pair Forecast**

FOMC ko aam taur par kuch naya nahi laata. Yeh bas high-ranking Federal Reserve officials ka ek meeting hota hai. Jab tak latest interest rate ka scheduled announcement nahi hota, tab tak kuch naya nahi hota. Aur agar Fed governor ka koi scheduled speech nahi hai, tab bhi kuch naya nahi hoga. Lekin, market ne FOMC hone se pehle hi US economy mein kuch naya dekha hai, jaise jab United States ne apna ISM Services data release kiya jo significant drop karke 50 points se neeche aa gaya. Is wajah se USDCAD afternoon se evening tak kaafi bearish raha. Main bhi disappointed tha, kyunki din ke dauran jab mere paas USDCAD pair mein hedging position thi with BUY aur SELL positions simultaneously, maine SELL position exit karne ka faisla kiya. Natije mein, mujhe kaafi deep bearish price pe loss uthana pada. Khushqismati se, BUY position choti lot se thi, isliye accumulated floating loss bhi relatively chota tha.

Aaj ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke USDCAD pair mein price movement sluggish rahegi kyunki US financial market reportedly closed hai. Lekin, maine Friday ke economic calendar ko dekha jisme important economic data releases hain Canada aur United States se. Forecast hai ke Canadian economic data worse hoga. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj se hi small lot ke saath BUY position lena galat nahi hoga, hoping ke price Friday ko dobara bullish ho jaye, halaanke Bollinger Band indicator H4 time frame mein dikhata hai ke price lower band area mein hai.

USD/CAD Daily Forecast Update

Asian trading session ke doran USD/CAD currency pair lagbhag neutral raha. Thoda sa dip dekhne ko mila, lekin overall price wahan par hi hover kar rahi hai jahan kal close hui thi. Badi action tab aayegi jab American markets khulengi. Sab log employment data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Canada aur United States dono se aayega. Ye statistics 3:30 PM par release hone wale hain, aur analysts ka kehna hai ki yeh currency market mein wild swings ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Mera take kuch is tarah se hai:

Din ke pehle hissay mein, USD/CAD pair ke liye ek moderate upward correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh ek temporary bounce ho sakta hai downward trend resume hone se pehle. Mera prediction hai ke key reversal point 1.3645 ke aas paas hoga. Agar price is level ke upar break karke consolidate karne lage, to yeh aur bhi climb kar sakti hai 1.3675 ya 1.3695 tak. Lekin, yahi cheez mere liye interesting ho jaati hai. Agar price waqai 1.3645 ke upar jaati hai, to main ise short positions (selling) enter karne ka mauka samajhta hoon. Mere target sell points 1.3545 aur phir 1.3505 par honge.



Lekin agar employment data expect se weaker nikalta hai, khas kar US ke liye, to downward trend USD/CAD pair ke liye momentum gain kar sakta hai. Us scenario mein, price shayad 1.3645 ke neeche hi rahegi, aur agar aisa hota hai to main wapas se sell karne ka plan banaunga. Overall, aaj ka din USD/CAD pair ke liye high potential volatility wala hai. Jabki morning mein short-term upward correction possible hai, mujhe lagta hai overall trend abhi bhi downwards hi hai. Mera key level jo dekhne layak hai, woh 1.3645 hai. Agar price iske upar break karti hai, to main higher levels par sell karne ka plan banaunga, lekin agar neeche hi raheti hai, to main downward trend ko continue dekhte hue naye opportunities ko short karne ka plan banaunga.

USDCAD currency pair ka movement Friday ko bhi upar ki taraf rahan aur price 1.37600 tak pohanch gaya. Ye izafa Canadian dollar ke kamzor honay ki wajah se hua. Canadian dollar ki kamzori retail sales data ke release honay ke baad hui jo 0.3% se kam hogayi aur core retail sales bhi 0.8% se kam hogayi. Iski wajah se USDCAD currency pair ka movement izafa kartay huay 1.37600 tak pohanch gaya. Halaankay US dollar ki value bhi kamzor rahi US unemployment rate data ke release honay ke baad, jo 243 hazar unemployed logon tak pohanch gaya. Philly FED manufacturing ke natayij bhi 13.9 tak barh gaye, jo USDCAD ke liye thori bohat izafiya ka sabab bane agle Monday ko 10-40 pips ke darmiyan. Meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya ke USDCAD ko BUY karoon aur price 1.37600 tak le jaoon.



Dosri taraf, agar main technical analysis ko dekhoon, toh USDCAD ka movement bhi upar hi janay ka rujhan rakhta hai aur price 1.37600 tak pohanch sakta hai. H1 time frame mein USDCAD ne bullish engulfing candle banayi hai jo ek bohat strong signal hai BUY karne ka 1.37600 tak. Meri relative strength index indicator 14 ke mutabiq, USDCAD ka price 1.372400 par volume limit 60 RSI indicator ke mutabiq hai ya overbought nahi hai. Yeh baat USDCAD ko aage barhane ke imkaniat barhata hai 1.37600 tak aglay Monday. Magar humein downwards correction ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye kyun ke USDCAD ka price 1.37240 SBR area yaani Support Become Resistance area mein hai. Iski wajah se aglay Monday ko USDCAD ka price 10-50 pips tak neeche gir sakta hai. Aaj ki meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya ke USDCAD ko BUY karoon aur price 1.37600 tak le jaoon, magar downwards correction ka khatra bhi hai jo price 1.3700 tak gir sakta hai.

USD/CAD pair ne do Moving Average lines ke neeche move karne ki koshish ki, lekin support (S1) 1.3621 ko reach karne mein nakam raha. Price sirf 1.3623 tak gir kar dobara consolidation ke upar chali gayi. Downward movement support (S1) ko reach karne mein nakam rahi aur price ne pivot point (PP) 1.3677 ko cross kar liya. Upward momentum ne price ko resistance (R1) 1.3731 tak push kiya, lekin phir pivot point (PP) ke qareeb retrace kar gaya. Iske bawajood, price impulsively rise karti rahi aur aakhir kar resistance (R1) 1.3731 ko cross kar gayi, halanki bullish trend weak ho raha tha. Abhi USD/CAD pair ki price movement resistance (R1) 1.3731 aur do Moving Average lines ke upar hai, aur further upward movement ka chance hai towards resistance (R2) 1.3787.

US Economic Data Report ka Potential Impact:

Agar hum US economic data report ke results ko dekhein jo last night New York session ke dauran release hue, toh yeh US Dollar currency ke liye disappointment suggest kar sakte hain. Data results expectations ko exceed nahi karte, lekin phir bhi USD/CAD pair ke price increase rally ko support kar sakte hain resistance (R1) 1.3731 ko surpass karne ke liye. Stochastic indicator ke parameters overbought zone mein enter karte hue 90-80 levels ke beech mein yeh indicate karte hain ke rally buying ke liye saturation point par pohnch sakti hai. Sirf sufficient impulsive price increases ke saath, downward correction phase significant nahi ho sakti. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke through uptrend momentum bhi upward rally ko continue karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Positive area mein green aur wide volume histogram bhi is baat ko support karti hai.

Entry Position Setup:

Trading options ke liye, aap BUY position ke saath re-enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, halanki current bullish trend weak ho raha hai. Entry point resistance (R1) 1.3731 ke around hona chahiye jab price downward correct kare. Confirmation ke liye wait karein Stochastic indicator ke 50 level ke upar cross karne aur AO indicator ke volume histogram mein uptrend momentum show karne par. Aap take profit resistance (R2) 1.3787 par place kar sakte hain aur stop loss pivot point (PP) 1.3677 ke beech ya do Moving Average lines ke beech place kar sakte hain.

USD/CAD ab 1.3700 ke aas-paas hai, jo is baat ko mazid mazbooti deta hai ke current downward trend jaari rahega. Yeh notion recent false breakout se reinforce hoti hai jo 1.3680 ke upar dekha gaya, is baat ki taraf ishara karte hue ke mazeed declines qareeb hain. Yeh pair mazid mazboot ho sakta hai agar 1.3613 break hota hai aur consolidation hoti hai, magar yeh abhi tentative hai. Downward movement ke imkaanaat 1.3688 ke resistance pe possible hain. Agar resistance overbought bhi ho, to pehle yeh ek selling signal ho sakta hai.
Recent false breakout ke natayij mein, bearish sentiment mazid barh gaya hai, jo is baat ka ishara deta hai ke downward movement jaari reh sakti hai. Market buying pressure ki taraf shift ho sakti hai agar yeh 1.3688 ke upar consolidate hoti hai. Agar is level par ek false breakout hota hai, to downward trend phir se resume ho sakti hai. Upward movements jo substantial increase nahi dete, wo further selling se pehle corrective action result kar sakti hain. Halanke US economic data zyadatar negative hai, upcoming releases ke forecasts neutral hain, aur Canadian news mein koi bearish bias nahi hai jo trading sentiment ko dominate kare.

USD/CAD pair H1 timeframe pe downtrend channel ke andar move kar rahi hai, jahan sales ka target support 1.3613 pe hai aur potential buyers resistance 1.3688 ke qareeb hain. Technical perspective se, USD/CAD pair filhal ek downtrend channel ke andar move kar rahi hai. Ek bottom-up approach mein, yeh pair downward sloping resistance H4 chart pe test kar rahi hai jab lower boundary se rebound ho raha hai. Ek resistance zone 1.3688 aur 1.3669 ke darmiyan hai. Agar yeh barrier possible hai, to further upward movement upper target zone 1.3718-1.3748 tak pohanch sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, agar yeh resistance break nahi hoti, to decline 1.3688 se 1.3609 tak hosakti hai. Is liye, USD/CAD pair ka price action aaj nuanced hai, technical indicators aur fundamental factors ke intricate interplay ko emphasize karte hue. Is scenario ke natayij mein, forex market mein future movements predict karna inherently uncertain hai. Trading strategies bearish sentiment se possible hain jo US economic data ke natayij se trigger hui hain aur neutral outlook. Market participants ko yeh levels closely monitor karni chahiye taake potential breakout ya breakdown points identify kiye ja saken. Traders ko macroeconomic indicators aur geopolitical events ko bhi consider karna chahiye, jo currency movements ko significant influence kar sakte hain. USD side pe koi bhi substantial movement primarily drive kar sakti hai

USD/CAD currency pair kaafi ghore se dekhne mein hai, jahan analysts iske price movements aur technical indicators ko bariki se study kar rahe hain. Weekly chart ke upper channel limit ko dekhte hue, long-term target 1.3880 pe bana rehta hai, lekin aagey aur upside limited ho sakti hai. Daily time frame chart ek downward bias ko suggest karta hai aur potential pullback ki sambhavana dikhata hai. Bollinger Bands ek naye upward push ke liye tayaar hone ka ishara dete hain bearish retracement ke baad, jahan support levels 1.3695-87 aur 1.3678 pe milta hai. Monday ko kuch corrections ho sakti hain, lekin din ke end tak 1/2 zone ko maintain karna zaroori hai, jahan lower tail Friday ke candle ko mirror kar sake. Pair ek narrow, sideways trend dikhata hai, jo previous analysis se thoda mukhtalif hai. Future behavior agle hafte ke price action pe depend karega, kyunki 1.3770 ke upar ki attempts sirf upper candle shadows bana rahe hain, jo buyers ki weakness ko indicate karti hain. Ek significant catalyst ki zaroorat hai jo instrument ke volatility ko impact kar sake, kyunki usual 100% levels waisa asar nahi rakhte.
Notably, Price Action method ne pehle 130-point ka price rise lead kiya tha, spreads ko exclude karte hue, jo ek kaafi significant achievement thi. Haal ke market situation potential bearish tendencies ko exhibit kar rahi hai. Long-term target 1.3880 significant bana rehta hai, lekin weekly chart ke upper channel pe upside cap suggest hota hai. 4-hour chart downward bias indicate karta hai, aur Bollinger Bands ek possible upward impulse ka ishara dete hain bearish retracement ke baad, provided ke price crucial support levels 1.3695-87 aur 1.3678 ke upar rehti hai. Monday ka trading kuch corrections dekh sakta hai, lekin din ke end tak price 1/2 zone mein honi chahiye, jo previous Friday ke candle pattern ko mirror kare. Narrow sideways movement ek consolidation period ko suggest karta hai, aur future direction agle hafte ke price action pe depend karegi. Upper candle shadows ke presence 1.3770 ke upar buyers ki hesitation ko reflect karti hai, aur substantial volatility drive karne ke liye ek strong catalyst ki zaroorat hai.

Haan, ajnabi, yeh mushkil hai tumhare liye! Halankeh tum scalping ke shauqeen ho, is liye tumhara aik mustaqil aur rozana ka kaam hai, lekin darmiyan muddat mein, currency market ne pichle kuch saalon mein bohot zyada tabdeeliyan dekhi hain. Is pair ke daily chart par, maine market mein dakhil hone ke reference points banaye hain. Agar hum yahan wave analysis bhi shamil karen, to asal mein kaam ho sakta hai. Mujhe 1.3590 par jo support hai, ka kisi wazeh test nahi nazar aa raha, halankeh hum us ke qareeb hain, pichhle hafte jo "rail" par chal rahe the, us waqt humne aik qisam ka minimum perform kiya, agar taqmeel karein to mukammal drawdown 85 points tha, InstaForex spreads ko barabar nahi karte hue. Is tarah ke market mein, humein is par khushi milti hai. Aaj Thursday hai. Fitri tor par, jaise hamesha, hum arzi calendar par tawajjo dete hain. Yahan kya acha hai? Canadian dollar ke baray mein kuch dilchasp nahi hai, sab kuch USA se maali ilm ki taleem per mabni hui hai, 15:30 Moscow time par - "Unemployment benefits ke laikar initial ta'aleem aur consumer price index", wakt par tawajjo de, mujhe nahi pata ke tumhare liye ye waqt kya hai.

Technical indicators bhi mix signals dikha rahe hain. 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), jo ke ab $1.3663 par hai, muassar price se ooper hai, jis se short term mein aik mumkin neechay jhukao ka pehlu dikh raha hai. Dosri taraf, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI), 40.00 aur 60.00 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, jo investor ki tawaja ki na-karar dikhata hai. Agar muhim se key support level $1.3600 ke neeche se qawi tor par toot jata hai, jo ke May mein ek farsh ka kaam karta tha, to yeh pair mazeed neechay dabao mein aa sakta hai. Is scenario mein potential targets shamil hain April ki low of $1.3547 aur psychological level of $1.3500. Waise agar bulls qeemat ko June ki high of $1.3800 ke ooper daba sakte hain, to yeh taza kharidari ke mauqe khol sakti hai. Yeh pair April high of $1.3838 ki taraf aur shayed hi 2023 ke November high of $1.3900 ki challenge bhi kar sakta hai. Anay wale US inflation data aur Fed aur BoC ke baad key policy izhaar honay ko pehle ke barabar ka mohtamim sitaron ka asar dalne wale ahem factors banenge jo q?ear qareeb mein USD/CAD pair ki raah ka faisla karenge. Support levels jaise 1.2527 aur 1.3513 ke darmiyan range, ahem hai kyunkay yeh price points hain jahan currency pair ne aksar girne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai. Yeh levels aksar farsh ke tor ke kaam karte hain, mazeed giravat se bachane wale tor par kaam karte hain aur kabhi kabhi aik price rebound ka rasta dikhate hain. Baraks, resistance levels price points hain jahan currency pair ko aksar ooper uthne mein mushkilat ka samna hota hai, yeh ooper uthne wali movement ko limit karne wale ceiling ka kaam karte hain. Is scenario mein, dekhnay wale resistance levels ke baray mein 1.3560 aur 1.3553 hain. Yeh levels ahem hain kyunkay agar qeemat in points ke qareeb pohanchti hai ya inhe batati hai, to yeh wazeh kartay hain ke mojooda ooper wali momentum ki quwwat, mojooda bearish nazar ko batil kar sakti hai. Is liye, agar qeemat in resistance levels ke neeche rehti hai, to ye hamein bechne ke mauqe dekhne ki strategy ko mazboot karta hai.

USD/CAD Price Overlook

Mein abhi USD/CAD currency pair ke pricing movements ka live analysis kar raha hoon. Canadian dollar ke sath pair ne significant growth dikhayi hai. Humne kal ke highs ko update kiya, lekin American market activity ne trend ko bearish direction mein shift kar diya. Is ke bawajood, hum ab bhi wahi range mein trade kar rahe hain, jo 1.3769 mark se door hai. Yeh puzzling hai kyunke harmful data ne initially dollar ko boost diya, jabke positive statistics ab us par pressure dal rahe hain. Agar price 1.3779 area ya us se ooper pohonchti hai, toh main selling consider karunga. USD/CAD pair ek uptrend mein hai, jo ke H1 time frame uptrend channel ki upper limit tak pohonch gaya tha. Phir yeh lower trend line ki taraf move karte hue, support zone 1.3702-1.3674 ko test karne laga. Initial lower target tak pohonchne ke baad, ek consolidation period hoga trend line ke neeche. Yeh downward movement ki suggestion deta hai towards the lower volume zone 1.3637 aur 1.3617 ke darmiyan.


Dusri taraf, agar is tested zone se bounce back hota hai, toh yeh upward movement ki indication de sakta hai towards the resistance zone of 1.3720-1.3730. H4 chart par, USD/CAD pair rapidly decline kar rahi hai afternoon mein, jo ke local ascending channel ki lower border ke qareeb hai. Yeh do possibilities present karti hai: ascending channel ke andar continued growth ya decline agar quotes channel ki lower border ke neeche consolidate hoti hain. Long-term scenario predict karna challenging hai. Lower border se rebound movement indicate karega channel ke upper trend line ki taraf. Conversely, agar channel se neeche fall hota hai aur consolidation hoti hai, toh yeh retest karegi 1.3609-1.3629 support zone ko.

suggest karta hai ke U.S. dollar Canadian dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai. Lekin, market ki slow movement ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke aane wale dinon mein significant shift ho sakta hai. Kayi factors hain jo USD/CAD pair mein potential big movement contribute kar sakte hain. Pehla, economic indicators aur data releases jo ke United States aur Canada se aate hain, crucial role play karte hain. Misal ke taur par, employment reports, GDP growth figures, aur inflation data currency values par profound impact kar sakte hain. Agar aane wale data mein significant deviation market expectations se hoti hai, to yeh USD/CAD pair mein increased volatility la sakti hai. Canadian side par, Bank of Canada ki policy decisions equally impactful hoti hain. Canada ki economic reliance commodities, khas tor par oil par hai, jis ka matlab hai ke oil prices mein fluctuations Canadian dollar ko significantly influence kar sakte hain. Oil prices mein rise Canadian dollar ko strengthen karta hai, kyun ke yeh mulk ke export revenues ko boost karta hai. Is liye, global oil market mein koi bhi developments, jaise ke OPEC production levels mein changes ya geopolitical tensions jo oil supply ko affect karte hain, significant movements USD/CAD pair mein trigger kar sakte hain.
Ek aur factor broader economic environment ko consider karna hai. Geopolitical events, trade negotiations, aur global economic trends uncertainty create kar sakte hain aur market sentiment ko drive kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, ongoing trade disputes ya new tariffs investor confidence ko affect kar sakte hain, jo ke currency pairs mein abrupt movements lead karte hain. USD/CAD pair in influences se immune nahi hai, aur unexpected geopolitical developments anticipated big movement ko catalyze kar sakte hain.