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EUR-USD H1 Analysis Chart

Sab se pehle, aaj hum EUR-USD currency pair ka technical analysis karenge. Aapne sahi kaha ke Poland ne apne defense spending mein bohot izafa kiya hai. Poland ka defense budget pichle saal 4.2% tha aur is saal yeh 4.7% tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. Yeh ek khaas baat hai, kyunki aksar jab kisi mulk ka defense spending izafa hota hai, toh isay economic crisis se jodiya jata hai. Lekin Poland ki misaal yeh dikhati hai ke yeh zaroori nahi hai ke har mulk ke liye yeh baat sach ho.

Duniya ke baaz mulkon mein, agar wo apne defense spending ko barhayein, toh yeh unki economy par bohot zyada asar nahi karega. Aksar mulkon mein social projects ya environmental protection pe kharch kiya jata hai, jo shayad utna productive na ho. Agar yeh kharch military-industrial complex ko barhane mein lagayein, toh is se industrial production mein izafa hoga aur is ka asar poore region par hoga.

Ab agar hum EUR-USD pair ki baat karein, toh yeh ab ek ascending trend ko break kar chuka hai. Abhi yeh local descending channel mein hai. Yeh ek ahm signal hai jo dikhata hai ke shayad price 1.0450 ke level ko break karegi aur niche ki taraf nikal jayegi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh humein ummeed hai ke price local reversal dekhegi aur yeh 1.04 ke round level tak gir sakti hai.

Lekin yahan par mujhe is baat ka khayal rakhna hoga ke EUR-USD pair ki growth tabhi mumkin hai jab yeh descending channel se bahar nikalta hai. Agar hum is trend ko dekhte hain, toh humein yeh samajhna hoga ke yeh sirf temporary growth hai. Agar kisi mulk mein social programs par kharch kam kiya jaye, toh GDP aur household income mein izafa ho sakta hai, lekin yeh sustainable nahi hoga. Iska asar sirf ek waqt tak rahega, baad mein yeh ek time bomb ban sakta hai.

Kuch analysts kehte hain ke agar kisi mulk ka defense spending GDP ke 2% se 5% tak barhta hai, toh is se economy par bohot zyada asar nahi hota. Lekin agar yeh spending 10% tak barh jaye, toh iss se zaroor kuch samasayain paida ho sakti hain. Yeh sab kuch strategic planning aur implementation par depend karta hai.

Aaj EUR-USD pair mein bohot zyada movement nahi ho raha. Yeh is baat ka indication hai ke market kuch cautious hai. Aksar jab market mein uncertainty hoti hai, toh traders zyada active nahi hote. Is waqt traders ko chahiye ke wo technical indicators par focus karein aur market trends ko samjhein.

Humein yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke kya economic data release hote hain jo is pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Agar koi positive economic data aata hai, toh shayad EUR-USD pair mein kuch growth dekhi ja sake. Lekin abhi ke liye, humein is descending channel ko monitor karte rehna hoga aur dekhna hoga ke price kis direction mein move karti hai.

Aakhir mein, yeh kehna zaroori hai ke economic policies ka bohot bada asar hota hai currency pairs par. Agar mulkon ki governments apne kharchon ko achhe se manage karengi, toh yeh unki economies ko mazboot karega aur currencies ko bhi support milega. Lekin agar yeh kharchon ka management theek nahi hua, toh humein zaroor ek crisis dekhnay ko mil sakta hai, jo currency market ko bhi affect karega.

Isliye, aane wale waqt mein humein ye dekhna hoga ke kis tarah se Europe ke mulk apne defense spending ko manage karte hain aur is ka asar EUR-USD pair par kya hota hai. Is waqt ke liye, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ki movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

18 February 2025 ko EUR/USD ka jorh 1.0450 ki taraf ghat raha hai, jab ke US Dollar mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke Treasury yields ke barhne ki wajah se ho raha hai. Yeh halat aisa dikhai deta hai ke market mein "Strong Sell" ka trend hai, aur technical indicators bhi is baat ki tasdiq karte hain.

Pehle, is trend ko samajhne ke liye humein kuch technical indicators ko dekhna hoga. RSI (Relative Strength Index) 39.561 par hai, jo ke is waqt "Sell" ka signal de raha hai. Is ka matlab yeh hai ke market oversold hai, lekin abhi bhi sell pressure hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic indicator 26.472 par hai, jo ke bhi sell signal de raha hai. Stochastic RSI bhi 36.124 par hai, jo ke market ke bearish hone ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) -0.001 par hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko dikhata hai.

ADX (Average Directional Index) 29.161 par hai, jo ke trend ki strength ko dikhata hai. Yeh indicator yeh batata hai ke market mein kaafi strong bearish trend hai. Williams %R -70.587 par hai, jo ke bhi sell signal hai. CCI (Commodity Channel Index) -67.8347 par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke market mein sell pressure hai.

ATR (Average True Range) 0.0008 hai, jo ke volatility ko dikhata hai. Yeh low volatility ka signal hai, lekin is ka matlab yeh nahi ke market mein koi movement nahi ho sakti. Highs/Lows indicator -0.0007 par hai, jo ke bhi sell trend ko dikhata hai. Ultimate Oscillator 36.503 par hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko darshata hai. ROC (Rate of Change) -0.191 par hai, jo ke sell pressure ko dikhata hai. Bull/Bear Power 13 indicator -0.001 par hai, jo ke bearish trend ko confirm karta hai.

Market mein EUR/USD ki ghatne ki wajah US Dollar ki mazbooti hai, jo ke Treasury yields ke barhne ki wajah se hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) jo ke 6 badi currencies ke muqable US Dollar ki performance ko track karta hai, woh 106.90 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Is ka matlab yeh hai ke US Dollar ki demand barh rahi hai.

Federal Reserve ki Governor Michelle Bowman ne kaha hai ke asset prices mein izafa ne inflation par kuch asar daala hai. Unka kehna hai ke inflation mein kami aane ki umeed hai, lekin upside risks ab bhi mojood hain. Unhone rate cuts ki taraf jaane se pehle zyada certainty ki zaroorat par zor diya hai. Is ke ilawa, Fed Governor Christopher Waller ne bhi yeh tasdiq kiya hai ke inflation mein behtari aayi hai, lekin yeh behtari "excruciatingly" slow hai. Unka kehna hai ke Fed ko data-driven decision-making ko policy uncertainty se rokne nahi dena chahiye.

Is dauran, Euro par downward pressure hai, kyunki kuch European Central Bank (ECB) ke officials is baat par khush hain ke unhein is saal teen aur rate cuts karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Pichle mahine 25 basis points ka reduction karne ke baad, Euro ki value mein kami aane ki umeed hai.

Lekin, agar Ukraine mein ceasefire hoti hai aur gas supplies resume hoti hain, to Euro ko support mil sakta hai. JP Morgan ka kehna hai ke agar aisa hota hai to EUR/USD pair 5% tak barh sakta hai. Reports ke mutabiq, US President Donald Trump aur Russian President Vladimir Putin ne is conflict ko khatam karne ke liye negotiations shuru karne ka faisla kiya hai. Trump administration ke officials Saudi Arabia mein apne Russian counterparts se milne wale hain, jahan woh potential peace agreement par baat karenge.

Is sab ke mad-e-nazar, EUR/USD ka trend bearish hai, lekin geopolitical developments ke sath yeh change ho sakta hai. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh market ki direction ko kaafi asar daal sakta hai.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis


Aaj ke liye maine EUR/USD pair ka technical analysis kiya hai. EUR/USD is waqt 1.0358 ke resistance aur 1.0265 ke support ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Agarche current market prices is range ke bahar ho sakti hain, magar abhi tak price kaam kar rahi hai is downtrend mein.

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Trend Line Aur Moving Averages Ka Analysis:

• Market Price Aur Trend Line:
  Market price iss waqt trend line ke paas hai, jo price ke neeche girne ka sabab ban rahi hai. Agar market price trend line ko todhne mein nakam hoti hai aur is range se nikal jati hai, to aage chal kar price mazeed neeche gir sakti hai.
• 50-Day Simple Moving Average:
  • Market price filhal 50-day SMA ke neeche hai, jo Navy color se dikhaya gaya hai.
  • Jab tak price is moving average ke neeche hai, bearish trend dominate karega.
• 200-Day Simple Moving Average:
  • Market price ab tak 200-day SMA (Chocolate color) ko touch nahi kar payi hai, jo long-term resistance ka kaam kar raha hai.

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Indicators Aur Price Action:

• RSI (Relative Strength Index):
  • RSI ka period 14 hai, jo price ke momentum aur buying/selling pressure ka pata lagata hai.
  • Abhi tak RSI ka indicator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai, jo mazboot selling pressure ko dikhata hai.
• Support Aur Resistance Levels:
  • Support: 1.0265 ka level filhal critical hai. Agar price is support ko todti hai, to aur girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
  • Resistance: Agar price 1.0358 ke resistance ko todhne mein kamyab hoti hai, to price trend line ke upar ja kar resistance aur 200-day SMA tak pohonch sakti hai.

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Possible Scenarios:

1. Bearish Scenario:
   • Agar price 50-day SMA ke neeche rehti hai aur support level 1.0265 todti hai, to mazeed girawat ke chances barh jayenge.
   • Price trend line aur support levels par ruk kar neeche gir sakti hai.
2. Bullish Scenario:
   • Agar price 1.0265 ke support level se upar rehti hai aur dobara recovery karti hai, to price wapas 1.0358 ke resistance aur 200-day SMA tak ja sakti hai.
   • Yeh sirf tabhi mumkin hai jab RSI aur market ka momentum bullish ho.

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Aakhri Raye:


EUR/USD ke 1-hour time frame mein abhi tak market ka trend bearish hai. Indicators aur price action dono bearish sentiment ko mazbooti dete hain. Traders ko zarurat hai ke support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karein aur apni strategy current trend ke mutabiq banayein.

📉 Bearish Sentiment Dominate: Jab tak price 50-day SMA ke neeche hai.
📈 Bullish Scenario Possible: Sirf resistance ke breakout ke sath aur RSI ke bullish momentum ke saath.

Indicators Used:

• 50-Day SMA (Navy)
• 200-Day SMA (Chocolate)
• RSI Period 14
• 

EUR/ USD Forex Trends using Price Action




EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ka jaiza lena ek dilchasp aur mukhtalif pehlu hai, jo traders ko market ki halat samajhne mein madad karta hai. Is waqt, EUR/USD ki quotation pichle hafte ke high 1.0509 se neeche hai, aur yeh mark resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh price ka agla level 1.0583 par hoga, jahan se buying karne se kam az kam 70 points ka munafa mil sakta hai.

Lekin jab tak yeh maximum level break nahi hota, tab tak girawat ka asar zyada hai. Is liye, is waqt sales zyada promising nazar aati hain. Is joore ne Asian session mein ek range mein trading ki, jahan slight downward movement dekhi gayi. Yeh pair abhi bhi pichle hafte ki closing levels ke paas hai. Aaj America mein presidential day hai, isliye activity kaafi kam hai. Europe se bhi koi khaas news nahi hai, jo market ko move kar sake.

Aam tor par, kuch downward correction is instrument ke liye pehle hissa din mein mumkin hai, lekin main ye expect karta hoon ke upward trend jaari rahega. Euro group meeting par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin is waqt sabse zyada tawajjo geopolitics aur American market ke khulne par hai. Expected reversal point 1.0445 hai. Is mark ke upar buying karne par mera target 1.0545 aur 1.0595 hoga.

Agar pair 1.0445 ko break karega aur consolidate karega, toh 1.0415 aur 1.0395 par girne ka rasta khulega. In levels par main dobara is currency pair mein buying karne ki koshish karunga. Mujhe ye bhi dar hai ke wo current prices se bina kisi zyada movement ke bhi neeche ja sakta hai, lekin ye kam ummeed hai, isliye main sales kholne ka plan nahi kar raha. Is waqt south movement sirf corrective hai.

Price action trading ka asal maqsad market ki halat ko samajhna aur price ke trends ko dekhna hai. Is tarah ke analysis se traders ko market ki behavious samajhne ka mauqa milta hai, jisse wo behtar trading decisions le sakte hain. Aaj ka din kuch kehne ko nahi hai, lekin agar market kisi taraf move hota hai, toh traders ko tayar rehna chahiye.

Market ki volatility bhi ek aham pehlu hai. Agar 1.0509 ka resistance break hota hai, toh yeh bullish sentiment ko darshata hai aur traders ko buying ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level nahi tutta, toh traders ko selling ki taraf dekhna chahiye, kyunki lower levels par support milne ke liye tayar rehna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD ka price action dekhte waqt, traders ko technical indicators jaise ke moving averages aur RSI par bhi tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh indicators market ki momentum aur overbought ya oversold conditions ko samajhne mein madad karte hain. Is waqt, agar RSI overbought zone mein hai, toh yeh girawat ki taraf ishara de sakta hai.

Trading strategy banate waqt, risk management bhi bohot zaroori hai. Har trade ke liye stop-loss set karna chahiye taake agar market aapke khilaf jaye, toh aap kaafi nuqsan se bacha sakte hain. Yeh strategy aapki capital ko protect karne mein madad karegi aur aapko long-term mein profitable trader banne ka mauqa degi.

Aakhir mein, EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ka jaiza lena ek muskil kaam ho sakta hai, lekin agar aap market ki analysis karein aur apni strategies ko implement karein, toh aap behtar trading results hasil kar sakte hain. Har trader ko apne analysis par yaqeen rakhna chahiye aur market ke trends ko samajhne ki koshish karni chahiye. Is tarah, aap trading ke liye tayar ho sakte hain aur market ke movement se faida utha sakte hain.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Aaj ka chart EUR/USD ki price movement aur trend ka clear tasavvur de raha hai Pehle hum price ka overall structure samajhne ki koshish karte hain. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke market ek bullish trend follow kar rahi hai, jo blue trendline se represent kiya gaya hai Yeh trendline ab tak ek strong support ke taur par kaam kar rahi hai, aur price har baar wahan se bounce karti nazar aa rahi hai.
Magar abhi price ek important resistance zone par phansi hui hai, jo red horizontal line se highlight kiya gaya hai. Yeh resistance woh jagah hai jahan sellers zyada active hain aur price neeche push kar rahe hain. Agar price is resistance zone ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh bullish breakout hoga aur market naye highs ki taraf move karegi. Lekin agar price neeche girti hai aur blue trendline ya neeche wali black horizontal support todti hai, toh yeh bearish signal hoga, aur price neeche ja sakti hai.
Volume indicators bhi yahan kaafi kuch bata rahe hain. Chart ke hisaab se, jab price ne pehle upward move kiya tha, tab volume zyada tha. Lekin abhi, jab price resistance ke paas consolidate kar rahi hai, toh volume mein kami dikhai de rahi hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market abhi ek pause mein hai aur agle move ka intezar ho raha hai. RSI bhi weakness dikhata hai, jo yeh batata hai ke buyers ab thoda cautious ho gaye hain.
Agar aap intraday trader hain, toh current support aur resistance ke darmiyan trading kaafi profitable ho sakti hai. Lekin agar aap swing trader hain, toh breakout ka intezar karna behtar hoga. Bullish breakout par buy karna aur bearish breakout par sell karna ek achi strategy ho sakti hai. Hamesha apne risk-to-reward ratio aur stop loss ka khayal rakhein Yeh analysis aapko better decision lene mein madad karega. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke market unpredictable hai, isliye fundamental analysis ko ignore na karein aur dono tools ka use karein.

EUR/USD currency pair ka technical analysis karte waqt, hum 4-hour chart ka istemal karte hain. Is waqt, price aik support area mein trade kar rahi hai, jo ke weekly pivot level aur lower channel line ke nazdeek hai.

Is hafte, price ne aik white triangle ke andar trading shuru ki hai, jo ke do trading weeks ke doran price movement ka general trend dikhata hai. Pehle do weeks mein trend upward raha hai. Price ne upper blue channel line aur upper triangle line ke nazdeek trading shuru ki thi, lekin ab yeh decline shuru kar chuki hai. Is waqt, price ne triangle ko downward taraf break karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, lekin ab bhi yeh aik support area mein hai, jo ke weekly pivot level aur lower blue channel line ke beech hai.

Agar price is level ke upar stable rehti hai, toh yeh upward trend ki taraf jaane ka imkaan hai. Lekin agar price weekly support level 1.0345 ko break karti hai, toh is se trend change ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD Pair ke liye Trading Strategy

4-hour chart ke zariye, hum kuch trading opportunities ki baat karte hain:

Buying Opportunities:

1. Weekly Pivot Level: Pehla entry level weekly pivot level hai. Hum yahan wait karenge ke price is pivot level ko touch kare aur wapas bounce kare. Is bounce ke baad agar price reflexive candle banati hai, toh yeh buying ka achha mauqa ho sakta hai.
2. Lower Blue Channel Line: Dusra entry level lower blue channel line par hai. Agar price is level tak girti hai aur wahan se bounce karti hai, toh yahan bhi hum reflexive candle ka intezar kar sakte hain taake buying position le sakein.

Selling Opportunity: Selling ka mauqa tab milta hai jab price weekly support level 1.0345 ko break kar leti hai aur 4-hour candle iske neeche close hoti hai. Aise mein, hum sell karne ka faisla kar sakte hain, jahan target level 1.0200 ho sakta hai. Is case mein stop loss ko weekly pivot level ke upar set karna chahiye, taake kisi bhi unexpected movement se bach sakein.

Trend Analysis: Trend analysis se humein yeh pata chalta hai ke agar price upper blue channel ke andar rehti hai, toh upward trend mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Lekin agar price weekly support level se neeche chali jati hai, toh downward trend ka dar hai.

Market Sentiment: Market sentiment bhi trading decisions mein bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar market mein bullish sentiment hai, toh buying opportunities ko zyada tarji di jati hai. Iske ilawa, economic indicators, news events, aur geopolitical factors bhi price movement par asar dalte hain.

Conclusion:



Aakhir mein, EUR/USD ka technical analysis yeh darust karta hai ke current price levels aur chart patterns ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai. Hum sirf technical analysis par nahi balki market sentiment aur fundamental analysis par bhi nazar rakhte hain. Trading strategy banate waqt, risk management ko na bhoolna chahiye. Har trade ke liye stop loss zaroor set karein aur capital management ka khayal rakhein. Is tarah se aap apne trading decisions ko behtar bana sakte hain aur profitable trades karne ka mauqa barha sakte hain.

Yeh analysis aur strategy ko samajh kar aap EUR/USD pair ke saath trading karne mein behtar faisle kar sakte hain. Har waqt market ki halat aur price movement par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake timely aur informed decisions le sakein.

فروری 18 2025 کے لیے یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ دو سیشنز کے دوران، یورو 1.0458 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو رہا ہے، جو مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ انحراف کے آثار کو ظاہر کرتا ہے۔ یہ پیٹرن مارکیٹ کی دو اہم خصوصیات کو نمایاں کرتا ہے: قیمت اپنی اوپر کی رفتار کو برقرار رکھنے کے لیے جدوجہد کر رہی ہے اور 1.0534 سے 1.0575 کے ہدف کی حد تک پہنچنے کی طاقت کا فقدان ہے۔ نتیجتاً، مارکیٹ توانائی جمع کر رہی ہے، ممکنہ طور پر 6 مارچ کو یورپی مرکزی بینک کی میٹنگ تک، ممکنہ طور پر تیاری کی ایک توسیعی مدت کے لیے قیمت ایک وسیع رینج میں طے کر رہی ہے۔

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اس رینج کی نچلی حد ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ذریعہ 1.0290 پر بیان کی گئی ہے۔ مزید برآں، یہ تعین کرنے کے لیے اسٹاک مارکیٹ میں جذبات کی نگرانی کرنا بہت ضروری ہے کہ آیا یہ ریلی نئی بلندیوں کی طرف جاری رہے گی یا معکوس۔ ابھی کے لیے، بنیادی منظر نامہ 1.0534 سے 1.0575 رینج کی طرف مزید ترقی کی تجویز کرتا ہے تاکہ ڈائیورجن کی تشکیل کو مکمل کیا جا سکے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت نے ابھی تک گہرے نیچے کی طرف بریک آؤٹ کے لیے تیاری کا اشارہ نہیں کیا ہے۔ اس اقدام کی تصدیق کے لیے قیمت کو 1.0458 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم کرنے کی ضرورت ہوگی، جو مارلن آسیلیٹر کو بھی منفی علاقے میں دھکیل دے گی۔ یہ منظر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ ساتھ 1.0393 پر ایک منفی ہدف کو کھولے گا، جس کے بعد 1.0350 ہدف کی سطح کی طرف ممکنہ کمی ہوگی۔

یورو کو یوروزون سے آج کے معاشی جذبات کے اعداد و شمار سے بھی مدد مل سکتی ہے۔ فروری کے لیے zew سروے کی پیشن گوئی جنوری میں 18.0 کے مقابلے میں 24.3 ہے۔

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.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD ne 1.0500 ke psychological hurdle ke qareeb resistance face karne ke baad bearish pressure dekha hai, jis wajah se price neeche aayi hai. Magar, is major currency pair ka overall outlook ab bhi bullish hai, kyunki yeh 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh EMA filhal takreeban 1.0430 ke aas paas hai, jo strong support provide kar raha hai aur bullish buyers ko confidence de raha hai. Jab tak price is moving average ke upar hai, tab tak bulls ka upper hand barqarar rehega.

Technical indicators bhi yeh dikhate hain ke bullish momentum kamzor zaroor hua hai, lekin abhi bhi upside potential mojood hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 ke resistance level ke upar break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, magar ab tak isko tod nahi paya. Agar RSI (14) 60.00 ke upar sustain kar leta hai, toh yeh bullish confirmation hogi aur naya bullish momentum shuru ho sakta hai. Iska matlab yeh hoga ke buyers phir se dominate karenge aur EUR/USD ko upar le jane ki koshish karenge.

Agar price neeche girti hai, toh February 10 ka low 1.0285 ek strong support zone ka kaam karega. Yeh level bulls ke liye critical hoga, kyunki iske neeche break hone par bearish pressure barh sakta hai aur price aur neeche gir sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar EUR/USD bullish momentum wapas hasil kar leta hai, toh December 6 ka high 1.0630 ek strong resistance level hoga. Yeh barrier todne ke baad price aur bhi bullish ho sakti hai aur naye highs ki taraf barh sakti hai.

EUR/USD ka H4 Time Frame Analysis

Aaj hum EUR/USD ke 4-hour time frame par ek nazar dalte hain. Chart ke mutabiq price abhi 1.04500 ke aas-paas chal raha hai. Moving Averages ka crossover bullish lag raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market upar jaane ke mood mein ho sakta hai. Lekin recent price action thoda sideway lagta hai, matlab market abhi kisi direction mein decide nahi kar raha RSI indicator bhi dekhne layak hai. Abhi RSI 50 ke kareeb hai, jo neutral momentum ka signal deta hai. Agar yeh 70 ke upar jaye, to market overbought ho sakta hai aur wahan se price neeche girne ke chances hain. Wahi agar yeh 30 ke neeche jaye, to oversold zone ka signal milega, jahan se price wapas upar aa sakta hai Ab baat karte hain important levels ki:

• Support Level: 1.03990
• Resistance Level: 1.04580

Agar price 1.04580 tod deta hai, to agla target 1.05380 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price neeche girta hai aur 1.03990 ka support todta hai, to market 1.03295 tak gir sakta hai.
Is waqt market breakout ka intezar kar raha hai. Agar aap short-term trader hain, to aap support aur resistance ke darmiyan scalping kar sakte hain. Lekin agar aap swing trader hain, to strong breakout ka intezar karna behtareen rahega Sabse zaruri baat, trading karte waqt risk management ka khayal zaroor rakhein. Stop loss lagana aur lot size ko manage karna zaruri hai, taake agar market ulta chalta hai, to aapka loss limited ho.
Note:
Yeh analysis sirf educational purpose ke liye hai. Final decision lene se pehle apni analysis zaroor karein aur kisi expert se mashwara lena acha idea hoga.

Profiting From EUR/USD Prices


EUR/USD ka latest H4 chart dekhne par ye samajh aata hai ke market ne recent bullish trend follow kiya, lekin ab price 1.0450 ke aas-paas consolidate kar rahi hai. Pehle kaafi strong upward momentum tha, magar ab price mein thodi si girawat aur stability nazar aa rahi hai. Parabolic SAR ne bhi downward signal diya hai, jo is baat ki tashdeeq karta hai ke ab price retracement kar rahi hai. Saath hi, 50 aur 100 EMA ke indicators abhi bullish bias ko support karte hain, magar agar price 1.0400 ka support level todti hai, toh bearish momentum barh sakta hai.

RSI 14 ki reading filhal 50.27 par hai, jo market ko ek neutral position mein show kar rahi hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke price kisi bhi taraf ja sakti hai, lekin agar RSI neeche 40 ke level tak girti hai, toh bearish trend aur mazid mazboot ho sakta hai. Technical levels ki baat ki jaye toh support 1.0400 par hai, jo ek critical level hai. Agar yeh tod diya gaya, toh price aur neeche ja kar 1.0350 ya us se neeche bhi pohanch sakti hai. Dusri taraf, resistance level 1.0500 par hai, aur is ke upar ka break dobara bullish rally ko activate karega.

Fundamental perspective se dekha jaye toh aane wale dinon mein FOMC Meeting Minutes ka market par bara asar ho sakta hai. Yeh ek high-impact news hai jo USD aur EUR/USD pair ki direction ko directly influence kar sakti hai. Is liye traders ko yeh event closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki is se market mein significant volatility aa sakti hai Akhir mein, EUR/USD pair filhal ek consolidation phase mein hai. Ab yeh depend karta hai ke price kis taraf breakout karti hai. Traders ko cautiously trade karna chahiye aur support aur resistance levels ko dhyan mein rakhte hue apna risk manage karna chahiye.

USDX
Assalam Alaikum! Bearish volume kam ho rahi hai, jis se pata chalta hai keh US dollar index mumkena taur par aaj haftawar aur mahana support satah 107.12 ki taraf apni tezi jari rakhega. Is surat me, DXY 107.12 ke nishan ko tod sakta hai aur thoda ooper badh sakta hai. Filhal, H1 growth index kharidaron ki taraf hai. Yah kal tezi se kharid zone me dakhil ho gaya, jo keh mukhtasar muddat me musalsal ooper ki harkat ka ishara karta hai.



GBP/USD
Jaisa keh mutawaqqe tha, pound/dollar ka joda 1.25800 aur 1.26280 ki satahon se munsalik ek sakht range me raha. Ek tausie shudah islahi kami ke bajaye, jo zyada der tak jari rah sakti thi, kharidaron ne, takniki taraqqi ki madad se, buland satah par ek sideways movement ke taur par islah ka intekhab kiya. Is bat ko zehan me rakhte hue, ham tawaqqo kar kar sakte hain keh aaj aur kal tezi ka rujhan jari rahega aur isme tez izafa hoga. Agar qimat 1.26625 ki satah ko tod deti hai to, Bartanwi pound 1.27280 ke ek hafte ki buland satah aur fir 1.27990-1.28000 ilaqe jaise naye hadaf ki taraf badhega.
Is marhale par, jaise-jaise tezi ka volume kam hota jata hai, volume ko ooper ki taraf modne ke liye ek trigger ki zarurat hoti hai, jis se pound/dollar ke jode ko apne faide ko badhane ki ijazat milti hai.

EUR-USD H1 Analysis Chart

Sab se pehle, aaj hum EUR-USD currency pair ka technical analysis karenge. Aapne sahi kaha ke Poland ne apne defense spending mein bohot izafa kiya hai. Poland ka defense budget pichle saal 4.2% tha aur is saal yeh 4.7% tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. Yeh ek khaas baat hai, kyunki aksar jab kisi mulk ka defense spending izafa hota hai, toh isay economic crisis se jodiya jata hai. Lekin Poland ki misaal yeh dikhati hai ke yeh zaroori nahi hai ke har mulk ke liye yeh baat sach ho.

Duniya ke baaz mulkon mein, agar wo apne defense spending ko barhayein, toh yeh unki economy par bohot zyada asar nahi karega. Aksar mulkon mein social projects ya environmental protection pe kharch kiya jata hai, jo shayad utna productive na ho. Agar yeh kharch military-industrial complex ko barhane mein lagayein, toh is se industrial production mein izafa hoga aur is ka asar poore region par hoga.

Ab agar hum EUR-USD pair ki baat karein, toh yeh ab ek ascending trend ko break kar chuka hai. Abhi yeh local descending channel mein hai. Yeh ek ahm signal hai jo dikhata hai ke shayad price 1.0450 ke level ko break karegi aur niche ki taraf nikal jayegi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh humein ummeed hai ke price local reversal dekhegi aur yeh 1.04 ke round level tak gir sakti hai.

Lekin yahan par mujhe is baat ka khayal rakhna hoga ke EUR-USD pair ki growth tabhi mumkin hai jab yeh descending channel se bahar nikalta hai. Agar hum is trend ko dekhte hain, toh humein yeh samajhna hoga ke yeh sirf temporary growth hai. Agar kisi mulk mein social programs par kharch kam kiya jaye, toh GDP aur household income mein izafa ho sakta hai, lekin yeh sustainable nahi hoga. Iska asar sirf ek waqt tak rahega, baad mein yeh ek time bomb ban sakta hai.

Kuch analysts kehte hain ke agar kisi mulk ka defense spending GDP ke 2% se 5% tak barhta hai, toh is se economy par bohot zyada asar nahi hota. Lekin agar yeh spending 10% tak barh jaye, toh iss se zaroor kuch samasayain paida ho sakti hain. Yeh sab kuch strategic planning aur implementation par depend karta hai.

Aaj EUR-USD pair mein bohot zyada movement nahi ho raha. Yeh is baat ka indication hai ke market kuch cautious hai. Aksar jab market mein uncertainty hoti hai, toh traders zyada active nahi hote. Is waqt traders ko chahiye ke wo technical indicators par focus karein aur market trends ko samjhein.

Humein yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke kya economic data release hote hain jo is pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Agar koi positive economic data aata hai, toh shayad EUR-USD pair mein kuch growth dekhi ja sake. Lekin abhi ke liye, humein is descending channel ko monitor karte rehna hoga aur dekhna hoga ke price kis direction mein move karti hai.

Aakhir mein, yeh kehna zaroori hai ke economic policies ka bohot bada asar hota hai currency pairs par. Agar mulkon ki governments apne kharchon ko achhe se manage karengi, toh yeh unki economies ko mazboot karega aur currencies ko bhi support milega. Lekin agar yeh kharchon ka management theek nahi hua, toh humein zaroor ek crisis dekhnay ko mil sakta hai, jo currency market ko bhi affect karega.

Isliye, aane wale waqt mein humein ye dekhna hoga ke kis tarah se Europe ke mulk apne defense spending ko manage karte hain aur is ka asar EUR-USD pair par kya hota hai. Is waqt ke liye, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ki movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye

EUR/USD European trading hours mein budh ke din 1.0450 ke aas paas tight range mein trade kar raha hai, jismein market participants ek clear breakout ka intezar kar rahe hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ab bhi is major currency pair ke liye 1.0430 ke qareeb mazboot support provide kar raha hai, jo price action ko neeche girne se roknay ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh support level intact rehta hai, to pair mein ek bullish bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi tak 60.00 ke level ko todne mein nakam hai, jo momentum ke kamzor hone ka ishara hai. Agar RSI (14) is level ke upar sustain karta hai, to bullish momentum activate ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Lekin agar RSI fail hota hai, to price sideways ya bearish direction mein move kar sakti hai. Traders aur investors ke liye yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke RSI ka agla move kya hota hai, kyunki yeh price direction ka ahem signal ho sakta hai.

Neeche ki taraf dekhein to, February 10 ka low 1.0285 is pair ke liye ek strong support zone ka kaam karega. Agar price is level ke neeche break karti hai, to EUR/USD aur weak ho sakta hai aur agla target 1.0250 ya us se neeche ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar bullish momentum develop hota hai, to December 6 ka high 1.0630 ek bara resistance level hoga jise todna mushkil ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, to Euro bulls ke liye mazeed upside potential create ho sakta hai.

Traders ko is waqt macroeconomic factors, US Dollar index aur ECB aur Federal Reserve ki policies par bhi nazar rakhni hogi, jo market sentiment ko influence kar sakti hain.

فروری 19 2025 کے لیے یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

ایسا لگتا ہے کہ یورو نے 1.0534 سے 1.0575 کے ہدف کی حد تک پہنچنے کی اپنی کوشش ترک کر دی ہے۔ اس ریورسل کی تصدیق کرنے کے لیے، آج کا سیشن 1.0458 کی سطح سے نیچے بند ہونا چاہیے۔ اگر ایسا نہیں ہوتا ہے تو، جوڑا اب بھی ہدف کی حد تک پہنچنے کی کوشش کر سکتا ہے۔



مجموعی طور پر، اوپر کی طرف اصلاحی رجحان برقرار ہے، کیونکہ قیمت اب بھی اشارے کی لکیروں سے اوپر ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں کام کرنا جاری رکھے ہوئے ہے۔ مزید برآں، اسٹاک مارکیٹ عروج پر ہے، اور خطرے کی بھوک مضبوط ہے۔ 5 سالہ یو ایس ٹریژری بانڈز کی پیداوار گزشتہ سال 20 دسمبر سے 4.33% سے 4.48% کی طویل رینج میں رہی ہے۔

چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0458 سے نیچے مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں مضبوط ہو گیا ہے، جو کہ مضبوط ہونے والے منفی پہلو کو ظاہر کرتا ہے۔ صرف باقی رکاوٹ 1.0396 پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن ہے۔ اس سطح سے نیچے ٹوٹنے کا امکان اب بڑھ کر 65% ہو گیا ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis

Aaj hum EUR/USD ka ek detailed technical analysis karein ge jo aapki trading strategy ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai. Chart ko dekhte hue kuch important cheezein samajh aati hain jo market ke direction ko define kar rahi hain Sabse pehle price levels ki baat karein. Chart ke mutabiq, 1.0600 ka resistance level bohot strong hai aur abhi tak price is level ko tod nahi saka. Yeh level sellers ke liye kaafi strong hai, aur price ko neeche le jane ki koshish karta hai. Agar price is resistance ko todta hai, to agla target 1.0700 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level hold karta hai, to price wapas neeche girne ke chances hain.
Ab support levels ki baat karte hain. Neeche ki taraf 1.0350 ka level ek strong support nazar aata hai. Yeh wo area hai jahan buyers market mein wapas aa sakte hain aur price ko upar push karne ki koshish karenge. Agar yeh support tod diya jata hai, to agla level 1.0200 ho sakta hai Moving averages bhi is waqt kaafi important role play kar rahi hain. Chart mein 50-day aur 200-day moving averages clearly nazar aa rahi hain. Abhi price 200-day moving average ke neeche hai jo bearish trend ko show karta hai. Agar price iske upar close kar leti hai, to bullish momentum develop ho sakta hai.
Market ka sentiment is waqt neutral hai, lekin price action kaafi dynamic hai. Yeh depend karega ke price 1.0600 ka resistance todta hai ya 1.0350 ka support todta hai. Dono scenarios mein, breakout ke sath ek strong movement aa sakti hai.
Key Points:

• Resistance: 1.0600
• Support: 1.0350
• 200-day moving average ke neeche hone ki wajah se sentiment abhi bearish hai.
• Trade karte waqt confirmation ka zaroor intezar karein aur impulsive decisions se bachein Akhir mein, hamesha yaad rakhein ke trading ek risk hai aur proper risk management aur stop loss ka use zaroor karein.