یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Pichlay do trading dino mein, qeemat ka trend sideways raha aur narrow range mein move karta raha, jo ke pichlay hafton ke price movement se kafi mukhtalif tha. Aaj ka trading session bhi sideways trend ke andar hi open hua, aur trading ke aghaz se hi qeemat slow aur sideways direction mein chal rahi hai. Yeh qeemat ki harkat abhi tak aglay direction ka taayun nahi karti, is liye sideways movement ko rectangle pattern ke tor par deal kiya ja sakta hai. Sabse pehli cheez jo ki ja sakti hai wo yeh ke sabse zyada aur sabse kam qeemat ka taayun kiya jaye.

Jab qeemat upper line ko break kare aur wapis test kare, to isay upward trend consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar qeemat lower line ko break kare aur wapis test kare, to isay downward trend ka signal samjha ja sakta hai.

Economic side par dekha jaye to euro ka rate $1.09 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke pichlay do mahine ka sabse kam level hai. Yeh US dollar ki general taqat aur expectations ke chalte ho raha hai ke US Federal Reserve borrowing costs ko expect se slow pace par reduce karega. Europe mein, European Central Bank (ECB) se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo is haftay ke meeting mein deposit rate mein 25 basis points ka cut karega, jaise ke September aur June mein kiya tha.

Tajiron ka maan'na hai ke ECB apni har meeting mein ek quarter point ka cut karta rahega, March tak. Eurozone mein annual inflation rate September 2024 mein 1.8% tak gir gayi, jo ke April 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai.

Stock trading platforms ke mutabiq, Eurozone stocks ne is hafta ko green mein end kiya. European stocks Friday ke din zyada high pe band hui, jo ke North American counterparts ke positive session se faida uthate hue thi, khasa tor par earnings season ke positive start ke baad. Saath hi, investors ne kuch economic data ko evaluate kiya. France ka 2025 budget bhi bariki se dekha ja raha hai, jisme spending cuts aur companies, wealthy, aur energy sector par tax barhaye gaye hain.

aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price
Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Qarib tarin muzahmati satahon par wapas aane ke bad, euro/dollar ke jode se maujudah satah ya is se thoda ooper nuqsanat dobara shuru karne ki ummid hai, mumkena taur par 1.0785 ke nishan ho hadaf banate hue. Agar qalil muddati kami ka rujhan toot jata hai aur European currency ki qadar me izafa hota hai to, market me tezi se islah jari rahega. Jahan tak aaj ke intraday trading ki baat hai, euro/dollar ka joda filhal 1.0838 ke yaumiyah pivot point par trade kar raha hai. European session ke qarib chizen wazeh hone ka imkan hai aur jodi din ke liye apne mansube dikhayegi. Agar qimat 1.0833 ke nishan se ooper msutahkam ho jati hai to, euro ke pas 1.0868 - 1.0885 range ka test karne ka mauqa hoga. Agar qimat 1.0838 se niche aati hai to, iska matlab hoga keh tezi ki islah ka waqt abhi nahin aaya hai.



Ab aaiye margin zone ke nazariye se market ki suratehl par gaur karein. Kal, qimat ne 1.0811 - 1.0795 ke ilaqe ka test kiya. Agar euro me girawat jari rahti hai to, 1.0763 - 1.0742 ke ilaqe ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai, jo ooper bataye gaye 1.0785 ke nishan se niche hai. Asuli taur par, control zone ke darmiyan ki satah se qimat ka durust hona koi mamuli bat nahin hai. Bulls case scenario me, agar qimat apni pichli kami se islah ke hisse ke taur par badhna jari rakhti hai to, imkan hai keh farokht karne wale 1.0858 aur 1.0853 ki satahon se munsalik sales range me markat par dobara contril hasil kar lenge.

dabaav banaye rakha, lekin European majors EUR/USD aur GBP/USD ko zyada asar nahi hua, aur DAX bhi US markets ke saath upar gaya Tuesday ko. Aaj US economic calendar mein zyada kuch nahi hai, isliye umeed hai ke dollar zyada hila-jula nahi karega, magar halki hawkish bias ke sath rahega, jiski wajah se Middle East mein tensions aur US rate expectations mein hawkish shift hai jo ke Friday ke dovish report ke baad samne aayi thi. Filhal koi waisa sabab nahi lagta jo US dollar mein significant selloff ka sabab ban sake, siwai agar Middle East mein tensions mein kami aaye.
Markets ne takreeban 50bp Fed cut ka khayal chor diya hai, aur is haftay ke US inflation data se yeh soorat-e-haal tabdeel hone ki umeed nahi hai. Eurozone mein, jabke German industrial data ne ek surprise month-on-month rise dikhaya 2.9% ka Tuesday ko, ECB ke 25 basis point rate cut ko agle hafte tak nahi roknay ki umeed hai. Nateeja yeh ke EUR/USD ka rasta thoda downside ki taraf jhukta nazar aa raha hai.

Kya US dollar mazeed gains kar sakta hai? US dollar ne guzishta hafte Powell ke hawkish bayanat aur mazboot non-farm payrolls news ke baad rally ki thi, lekin humne doosre major central banks, jaise ke ECB, BoE, aur BoJ se dovish signals bhi dekhe hain. Saath hi, Chinese markets ne bhi week ki shuruaat thoda kamzor ki hai, jo commodity aur EM FX ke muqablay mein dollar ko mazid support dene wala ek aur factor hai.

Markets ab puri tarah Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke 50bp cut ke mukhalifat se mutabiq hain, aur ab November aur December mein 25bp cuts price in kiye jaa rahe hain. Agle chand dinon mein thodi volatility honi chahiye, lekin EUR/USD mein koi bara move October ke akheer tak expected nahi hai, jab naya jobs aur activity data release hoga, siwai agar ECB agle hafte koi surprise de.

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko 1.1135 se gir kar ek din mein 0.60% ka nuqsaan uthaya, aur ab Wednesday ko 1.1070s par qareeb qareeb wohi qeemat par trade kar raha hai. Eurozone ke inflation figures ke expected se kam hone ne is girawat ko kuch had tak samjhaya. Eurozone ka Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) September mein sirf 1.8% YoY barha, jo ke 1.9% forecast se kam tha aur pehle ke 2.2% se bhi neeche raha. Core inflation bhi 2.7% YoY par tha, jo August ke 2.8% se ek tenth kam tha aur umeed se neeche aaya. In numbers ke mutabiq, ECB ka 2.0% ka target headline inflation ke liye ab door hota nazar aata hai, jabke core inflation is ke qareeb hai. Yeh baat ECB ke interest rates mein kami ka imkaan barhati hai, jo ke capital flight aur Euro ki girawat ka sabab ban sakti hai. Eurozone ke August unemployment rate ne zyada asar nahi dala, jo 6.4% par saba raha, bilkul experts ke forecasts ke mutabiq aur July se badla nahi. Technical analysis.
EUR/USD ka pair 1.0500 ke aas paas neeche aur 1.1200 ke aas paas ooper ka ek wide multi-year range mein phansa hua hai. Filhal, yeh range ke upper end ko chhu kar wapas retreat kar raha hai. "The trend is your friend" ke principle ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ek sideways trend mein lagta hai, jo ke short, medium aur long term har significant period par dikh raha hai. Is liye, zyada imkaan yeh hai ke yeh trend qaim rahega aur is halat mein yeh pair dobara range ke lows ki taraf ja sakta hai. Ab prices downward trend shuru kar rahi hain. 1.1041 par yeh significant support tak pohanch gayi hain, jo ke 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ka red level hai, aur yeh girawat ko temporarily rok sakta hai. Agar yeh 50-day SMA, pichle up leg ki trendline, aur September 11 ke swing low 1.1002 ko torh deti hai, to yeh ek asal downward leg ka aghaz hoga. Agar prices 1.1000 ke neeche close karti hain, to yeh ek major bearish signal hoga. Uske baad ke hostile targets mein 200-day SMA at 1.0875, August 1 low at 1.0777, aur 1.0600 honge.

اکتوبر 18 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل یورو کے لیے غیر معمولی تھا — یورپی مرکزی بینک نے کلیدی شرحوں کو ایک چوتھائی پوائنٹ کم کر دیا، اور واحد کرنسی 29 پِپس تک گر گئی۔ یورو 1.0777 پر ہدف کی حمایت کی طرف مسلسل کم ہو رہا ہے۔ اس سطح سے، ہم اصلاح کی توقع رکھتے ہیں۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کے پاس اب بھی گرنے کی گنجائش ہے۔



آج، یورو زون کے اگست کے لیے ادائیگیوں کے توازن اور ستمبر کے لیے امریکہ میں نئے گھر کی تعمیر کے اعداد و شمار جاری کیے جائیں گے۔ دونوں اشاریوں کے لیے پیشین گوئیاں بتاتی ہیں کہ ڈیٹا پچھلے ادوار سے نمایاں طور پر مختلف نہیں ہوگا۔ یورو اپنی سست رفتار حرکت جاری رکھ سکتا ہے۔ تاہم، اقتباسات کے لیے ایک قابل ذکر عنصر یہ ہے کہ مارکیٹ کے شرکاء فعال فروخت کے ایک ہفتے کے بعد منافع لے سکتے ہیں۔

چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے نیچے مسلسل گرتی جا رہی ہے، مارلن آسیلیٹر قیمت کو آہستہ آہستہ فالو کر رہا ہے۔

خلاصہ: آج کی صورتحال غیر جانبدار اور پرسکون ہے، اگلے ہفتے مزید فعال تحریکوں کی تیاری کے ساتھ۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Hum abhi bhi EUR/USD ke price behavior ko closely dekh rahe hain, jahan pair ek ahem bearish trend se guzar raha hai. Recent trading sessions consistent downward movement ko reflect karti hain. Pair 1.0951 se gir kar 1.0882 tak pohoncha, jo ke ek ahem bullish liquidity zone hai. Selling pressure ka ek notable indicator MACD hai, jahan signal line histogram ke upar position mein hai, jo strong bearish momentum ka ishara deta hai. Isi waqt, U.S. dollar index (DXY) bullish price action dikhata hai, jo EUR/USD ke liye bearish outlook ko mazeed reinforce karta hai. Weekly chart bhi is downtrend ko wazeh tareeke se reflect karta hai, jahan pair ne 1.1194 ke aas paas ek double-top pattern banaya, jis ke baad ek bearish engulfing candle ne 1.1006 ke previous support ko tor diya. Yeh ek established downward trend ko suggest karta hai, jiska agla target significant support levels ho sakte hain.

Pair ka target 1.0778 aur 1.0668 ke aas paas hai, khaaskar jab current trend ki strength ko dekha jaye. Price ko upar push karne ki koshishon ne 1.1196 (R1) par resistance face kiya, jo false breaks ya rejections ka sabab bana. Price ka rally short-lived tha, jisse ek steep decline hua. Do Moving Average lines, jisme support (S1) 1.1086 par tha, ko aasani se breach kiya gaya. Price ne downward rally ko jari rakha, aur 1.1040 (S2) ke support ko bina kisi significant upward correction ke cross kar liya. Price decline takreeban 1.0930 (S3) ke support ko touch karne wala tha, magar 1.0951 par ruk gaya.

Iske ilawa, price pattern structure ab lower low - lower high formation mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Price ne impulsively 1.1040 (S2) ke neeche gir kar 1.1002 ke low ko break kiya jo ek invalidation level tha. Is structure break ne price ko naya lower low pattern banane ka mauqa diya. Kisi bhi possible price increase correction se lower high pattern banne ka imkaan hai. EUR/USD pair se expect kiya ja raha hai ke lower high pattern experience karega, jahan 1.1086 (S1) aur 1.1040 (S2) pe support levels hain, uske baad price mazeed decrease kar ke 1.0930 (S3) ke support ko test karne ki koshish karegi. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se downward momentum dikh raha hai, jab ke volume histogram abhi bhi negative area mein hai, jo selling pressure ko indicate karta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne haali mein kaafi dynamic period ka samna kiya hai, jisme significant movements aur market sentiments ka shifting dekha gaya hai. Hourly chart par, yeh pair blue-colored resistance line 1.0850 ke upar break kar gaya, lekin uske baad se wapis apne pehle wale range mein aa gaya hai. Yeh pullback ek consolidation phase ko zahir karta hai, jo aksar bullish momentum se pehle hota hai. MACD indicator bhi is outlook ko support karta hai, kyun ke signal line histogram ke neeche hai, jo positive price movement ko validate karta hai. Is waqt ka daily candle traders aur investors ka dhyan khinch raha hai, jo medium-term reversal trend ka ishara deta hai. Lekin is trend ko confirm karne ke liye price ko 1.0874 ke upar break karna hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh buying volume ke ikattha hone ka nishan hoga, jo pair ko pehle target 1.0951 tak le jaayega. In positive indicators ke bawajood, reversal trend ko ek choti Fear Value Gap aur magenta-colored EMA-55 ki resistance ka samna karna padega. Is liye, aggressive upward move se pehle support level ka retest zaroori ho sakta hai. Sath hi, macroeconomic factors bhi pair ki trajectory ko shape karne mein bohot ahem role ada kar rahe hain. Euro ne dollar ke against recovery ki, aur chaar din ke losses ke baad yeh recovery zyada tar US dollar ki selling operations ke wajah se hui. Lekin euro ke liye short-term supportive factors abhi tak mazboot nahin hain, khaaskar European Central Bank ki haali interest rate cut aur European Union ka PMI data jo agle hafte release hoga. US ki taraf se mixed housing aur construction data ne investor sentiment ko behtar banaya, aur economic slowdown ke concerns ko door kiya. US ne "soft landing" ka scenario door kar diya hai, aur growth aur activity indicators expectations se zyada niklay hain, jise optimistic retail sales data ka support bhi mil raha hai. In developments se yeh samajh aata hai ke euro ko kuch support mila hai, lekin iski recovery ka daromadar aane wale economic data aur policy decisions par hoga. In summary, traders ka immediate focus key technical levels ko achieve aur consolidate karna hona chahiye, sath hi macroeconomic indicators par bhi nazar rakhni zaroori hai taake market movements ka broader understanding hasil kiya ja sake.

aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane
yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke 1.0900 ke price par hai.raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke 1.0900 ke price par hai.

Kal, EUR/USD ki rate ne kaafi umeed se bharpur tareeqe se corrective growth dikhayi, jo 1.0864 ke resistance tak pohanch gayi aur din ko is level se thoda upar band kiya. Is ke saath, agar intraday price 1.0864 ke level ke upar consolidate hoti hai, toh is se aage ke growth ke liye raasta khul jaata hai, jahan resistances 1.0895 aur 1.0925 hain. In levels se mujhe naye attempts ki ummeed hai jo ke girne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Ab girne ke targets 1.0834 aur 1.0803 ke supports ban gaye hain, jahan par naye attempts upward rollbacks ke liye bhi ho sakte hain. Hamare paas ab ek trading range hai jo 1.0925 aur 1.0864 ke beech hai, jahan median mark 1.0864 hai. Is liye ab hame price movement ka intezaar hai taake yeh is range ki kisi bhi boundary ki taraf kaam kare. Filhal, upper boundary ki taraf uthane ka zyada imkaan hai, lekin hum yeh sab kuch Monday ko jaanenge.

Yeh baat bhi dhyan mein rakhni chahiye ke jab tak price is range ko nahi tor deti, tab tak humari trading strategies in levels ke aas paas hi honi chahiye. Agar price upper boundary ko tor deti hai aur 1.0895 ya 1.0925 tak pahunchti hai, toh yeh naya signal hoga ke upward movement continue ho sakti hai. Lekin agar price 1.0864 se neeche aati hai, toh yeh decline ka indication ho sakta hai.

Is waqt, mujhe lagta hai ke hame 1.0864 ke aas paas nazar rakhna hoga, kyunki yeh ek significant level hai jo dono taraf ki movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Agar price is level se upar stabilize hoti hai, toh hum 1.0895 ya 1.0925 ki taraf dekh sakte hain. Lekin agar yeh level break hota hai aur price neeche girti hai, toh hum 1.0834 aur 1.0803 ke supports ki taraf bhi dekhenge.

Trading ke liye yeh bhi zaroori hai ke hum market ki news aur events ka bhi khayal rakhein. Market ke movements kaafi had tak geopolitical events aur economic indicators par depend karte hain. Toh hame un updates ka bhi intezaar karna hoga jo market ki sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke agar price 1.0895 ya 1.0925 tak pahunchti hai, toh mujhe nayi sales ke liye achi opportunities mil sakti hain. Yeh significant levels hain, aur in par price ki behavior dekhna hoga. Jab tak price in levels ke aas paas hai, tab tak sales ke liye tayar rehna hoga. Is tarah se, hame market ki movement ka faida uthana hoga aur nayi positions open karne ka mauqa talash karna hoga.

Aakhir mein, trading strategy ko flexible rakhna bhi zaroori hai. Market conditions ke mutabiq apne plans mein tabdeeli laani chahiye. Is waqt, price movement par nazar rakhna, trading ranges ko samajhna aur market ki fundamentals ko dekhna hamesha faydemand rahega. Is tarah se hum apne trading decisions ko behtar bana sakte hain aur market ki volatility ka faida utha sakte hain.

EUR/USD ka jorha is hafte poore tor par girta raha, pichle hafte bhi. Yeh bilkul aam hai ke bechne walon ne is Jumme ko thora rukne ka faisla kiya. Lekin iske sath-sath, unhon ne pichli din ki candle ko nahi khaya Thursday ko, aur na hi intraday maximum 1.0873 ko tor paye. Ab hafte ke shuruat par hume ek paheli mili hai: ya to hum upar ki taraf corrective rollback ko agay barhate hain, ya phir hum trend ki taraf girte hain. Is marhale par, intraday top level abhi tak apni ahmiyat nahi khota. Aur neeche, 1.0780 ka area, jahan se daily trend line guzar rahi hai, yeh bhi koi yaqeen nahi hai ke yeh girne se roke gi ya nahi.
Shaayad is hafte hum dheere dheere 100 points girte raheinge aur hafte ke end tak hum sirf trend line tak pohanch payenge aur dekhenge ke kya yeh upar ki taraf rebound hota hai ya nahi. Yeh tab hai jab Monday ko wo foran 1.0873 se upar nahi jaate. Calendar par Monday aur Tuesday ke liye koi news drivers nahi hain, sirf geopolitics ko adjustments karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, aur mumkinah complications abhi tak khatam nahi hui hain, jo bechne walon ke haq mein hai. Toh Monday ko aisa ho sakta hai ke hum foran upar intraday limit ko torne ki koshish na karein, balki neeche ki taraf girte hain American markets ka intezaar karte hue. Magar aam tor par, maine dekha hai ke Mondays aksar kaafi volatile hote hain. Neeche, 1.0811 ka level downward movement ki tasdeeq karega, agar kuch hota hai. Sab ko achha weekend guzarnay ki dua.

**EUR/USD ka Forecast:**

EUR/USD pair ne is hafte aur pichhle hafte lagataar decline kiya hai. Yeh normal baat hai ke sellers ne Friday ko break lena decide kiya ho, lekin unho ne Thursday ke previous din ka candle engulf nahi kiya aur na hi intraday maximum 1.0873 ko todh paaye. Ab week ke start par hum aik challenge ka samna kar rahe hain: ya toh price correction ke liye upar jaayegi, ya trend ke sath decline continue karegi. Filhaal intraday top level abhi tak apni importance lose nahi kar raha. Neeche, 1.0780 ke aas-paas ka area – jahan daily trend line guzar rahi hai – bhi yeh guarantee nahi karta ke yeh further decline rok payega.

Haan, shukriya! Maine apne trades ka bada hissa close kar diya hai aur drawdown lagbhag 7 dafa kam ho gaya hai. Mai ek achha hissa withdraw karne mai bhi kamiyab raha hoon. Thursday ke ECB data aur unke response se price ne local minimum update kiya, lekin 1.0803 ke support ko thoda sa miss kar diya. Aaj EUR/USD rate naturally thoda correct ho gaya aur 1.0834 se upar hi raha, jo price ke 1.0864 tak upar jaane ke chances ko barhata hai. Lekin mujhe shak hai ke Friday ko price is level se upar jaa sakegi. Mera bhi yehhi maan'na hai ke abhi kisi bare correction ke technical signals ya conditions nazar nahi aa rahe. Mera trading system ke mutabiq, bara correction ka signal tab aayega jab price 1.0925 ka level tod de. Abhi ke liye mai sirf choti rally ko hi rollbacks samajh raha hoon. Neeche ke targets wahi hain – 1.0803 aur 1.0773 ke supports, jinhain abhi break karna mushkil hai. Zyada se zyada price 1.0803 tak ruk sakti hai.





Ab dekhna yeh hai ke Friday kis level par close hota hai. Meri strategy simple hai – mai har rollback par apni sales ko add karta rahunga jab tak baqi ke orders close na ho jayein.

Is haftay hum shayad gradually 100 points tak neeche girenge aur week ke end tak trend line tak pohonch kar dekhenge ke kya wahan se koi rebound hota hai ya nahi. Yeh assume karte hue ke Monday ko price 1.0873 ke upar nahi jaati. Monday aur Tuesday ke liye economic calendar mein koi major news nahi hai, lekin geopolitics adjustment ka chance de sakti hai, aur current complications ka hal na milna sellers ke haq mein jaata hai. Monday ko ho sakta hai ke price direct upper intraday limit ko todhne ki koshish na kare, balki American markets ka intezar karte hue neeche jaye. Mene note kiya hai ke Monday aksar volatile hota hai. Neeche, agar price 1.0811 ke level ko todh de, toh downward movement confirm ho jaayegi. Sab ko acha weekend mubarak!

**EUR/USD ka Tajziya aur Ibtidai Paishgoi**

Pichlay do hafton se EUR/USD pair lagataar girti ja rahi hai. Yeh baat qabile-faham hai ke sellers ne is Jumma ko kuch arsa break liya ho. Lekin Thursday ko jo candle bani thi, wo poori tarah se pehle din ki candle ko cover nahi kar saki, aur na hi us ne 1.0873 ka intraday maximum todha. Ab haftay ke aghaz pe hum aik confusion ka samna kar rahe hain: ya toh price upar ki taraf aik correction karegi, ya trend ke mutabiq girawat jari rahegi. Intraday top level abhi bhi relevant hai, jabke neeche 1.0780 ka area, jahan daily trend line guzar rahi hai, bhi girawat rokne ka koi surety nahi deta.



Thursday ke ECB data ne market me kuch optimism paida kiya tha, jisse local minimum update hua, magar price support level 1.0803 ko thora chhu k ruki. Aaj price apni correction kar rahi hai aur 1.0834 ke upar hai, jo is baat ke chances barha rahi hai ke price resistance level 1.0864 tak barh sakti hai. Lekin, Friday ko price ko aur ziada oopar kheenchna mushkil lagta hai. Filhal, koi bara technical signal ya condition nazar nahi aayi jo major correction ka indication de. Mere trading system (TS) ke mutabiq agar price 1.0925 ko todti hai, toh hi ye bara breakout samjha jayega. Tab tak, main sirf local rollbacks ko short-term attempts samajh raha hoon.

Neeche key supports ab bhi 1.0803 aur 1.0773 hain, lekin price ke 1.0803 se neeche girne ke chances filhal kam lagte hain. Yeh support zone price ko kuch arsa rok sakta hai. Jumma ke closure ke baad hi pata chalega ke market kis direction mein jaayegi. Meri strategy simple hai: har rollback pe sales add karta rahunga, jab tak apne tamam trades close na kar doon.

Agla hafta dheere dheere 100 points tak girne ka chance rakhta hai. Hafte ke end tak price trend line ko test kar sakti hai, taake pata chale ke wahan se rebound ho ga ya nahi. Agar Monday ko price 1.0873 ke upar nahi gayi, toh girawat jari reh sakti hai. Monday aur Tuesday ke liye koi khaas news drivers nahi hain, sirf geopolitics kuch adjustment ka sabab ban sakti hai. American markets khulne tak girawat ka silsila chal sakta hai. Mondays aam tor pe kaafi volatile hote hain, is liye 1.0811 ka level girawat ka signal confirm kar sakta hai. Sab ko acha weekend mubarak ho!

**EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

EUR/USD currency pair is is waqt kafi kami dekh raha hai, aur ye downward trend recent sessions mein barqarar hai. Ek trader ke tor par, mujhe is movement se kafi khushi hai, khaaskar jab ke American dollar mazid mazboot hota ja raha hai. Ye trend sirf maasharti dynamics ko nahi dikhata balki trading ke liye mukhtalif mauqe bhi faraham karta hai.

Jab mai weekly chart kholta hoon EUR/USD pair ka, to ek wazeh neeche ki taraf jhukaav nazar aata hai. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke ye kami kisi bhi aham economic news ya bohat badi geopolitical events ke baghair ho rahi hai. Aam tor par, currency pairs news par react karte hain, chahe wo interest rates se related ho, employment figures ho, ya political developments. Aise catalysts ki kami is waqt ki movement ko aur bhi dilchasp banati hai.

Jab mai price action ka jaiza leta hoon, mujhe umeed hai ke pair aage bhi girega, shayad support level 1.0770 tak. Ye level ek mazboot consolidation point nazar aata hai, jahan pehle pair ne stability dekhi hai. Ek aham observation ye hai ke resistance level filhal 1.0900 par hai, aur agar pair ko upar ki taraf move karna hai, to buyers ko is barrier ko puri tarah se todna padega.

**Trading Strategy**

Meri trading strategy ke tor par, mai ehtiyaat bhara approach rakhne ki soch raha hoon. Maujooda market conditions ye darust karte hain ke selling ek mehfooz bet ho sakta hai jab tak koi wazeh evidence reversal ya bullish trend ka nahi milta. Lekin, risk management ko dekhna kafi zaroori hai, khaaskar jab ke stop-loss levels is waqt kaafi bade hain. Is wajah se, mai filhal market se baahar rehne ka faisla kiya hai.

Mera plan ye hai ke mai kisi behtar entry point ka intezar karoon. Khaaskar, mai 1.0770 level par pair kharidne ka ghoor kar raha hoon. Ye price point ek potential support area faraham karta hai jo reversal ya kam se kam price ki temporary stabilization ko prompt kar sakta hai. Is level ka intezar karke, mai apne munafa k kamyat se trade secure karne ke chances badha raha hoon.

**Potential Movements**

Jab mai filhal sidelines par hoon, mujhe ehsaas hai ke Asian trading session EUR/USD pair ke price par asar daal sakta hai. Ye mumkin hai ke Asian markets price ko 1.0820 level ki taraf upar push karein. Ye tab ho sakta hai jab traders is region mein local market conditions par react karein, jo profit-taking ya speculative buying shamil kar sakti hai.

Lekin, agar price 1.0820 tak bhi upar jata hai, to mai ehtiyaat barqarar rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon. Mai tab tak intezar karna pasand karunga jab tak pair ya to mere target level 1.0770 par mazboot support establish kare ya koi sustained upward movement dikhaye jo 1.0900 resistance level ko tod de.



Aakhir mein, EUR/USD currency pair downward trend mein hai, jo traders ke liye challenges aur opportunities dono faraham karta hai. Significant news ki kami jo decline ko drive kar rahi hai, is situation ko aur bhi complex banati hai. Jab mai apne trades ki strategy banata hoon, mera focus 1.0770 par market mein entry karne par hai, sahi waqt ka intezar karte hue jab tak resistance 1.0900 par nazar rakhoon. Filhal, mera approach ye hai ke mai sabr aur vigilance se kaam loon. Beqarar risks se bach kar aur optimal entry points ka intezar karke, mai future gains ke liye behtar position mein aa sakta hoon jab market evolve hota hai. Jaise hamesha, economic indicators aur global events ke bare mein agah rehna trading decisions lene ke liye kafi zaroori hoga.

Euro-Dollar exchange rate ne Thursday ki Asian morning session mein apna downward trend barqarar rakha, aur lagbhag 1.0850 par pohanch gaya. Majboor hotay huay US dollar ne euro ke ilawa doosri badi currencies par bhi pressure dala. Investors European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy conference ko qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain, jahan Thursday ko aik rate cut ki umeed hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) ne September mein achanak benchmark interest rate ko aadha percentage point kam kiya, lekin ab investors agle saal ke dauran mazeed gradual rate cuts ki tawaqo kar rahe hain. Fed Chair ne ishara diya ke agle rate cuts September ki tarah bade nahi honge, kyun ke economy ki raftaar ke hawalay se chand concerns hain. Thursday ke aakhri hisse mein, investors ka dihaan US retail sales data par hoga, jisme August ke 0.1% se September mein 0.3% ka izafa ki umeed hai. Yeh positive data US dollar ko support kar sakta hai.European Central Bank October ki meeting mein is saal ka teesra rate cut implement karne ka imkaan hai. Haal hi mein huay taraqqi se lagta hai ke ECB apni inflation target ko dobara hasil karne mein pur umeed ho raha hai. ECB decision-makers ke dovish bayanaat aur eurozone inflation mein kami se euro, US dollar ke muqable mein dabav mein aa sakta hai. ECB ke interest rate decision se pehle, euro ne US dollar ke muqable mein nuqsan uthaya, aur Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.0870 se neeche chala gaya. Technical tor par, Stochastic Oscillator selling zone mein negative momentum ko barhata dikhayi de raha hai, aur %k aur %d par decline aur cross ho raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke qareeb horizontal movement kar raha hai. Kyun ke price 1.1200 integer price se zyada 3% neeche gir chuki hai, ab yeh 1.0810 ke qareeb upward trend line ko challenge kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level break ho gaya, tou mazeed decline ho sakta hai, aur long-term uptrend line 1.0775 par aik turning point ka kaam kar sakti hai.EUR/USD pair mein tezi se decline dekha gaya, jo 1.0810 ke qareeb pohanch gayi jabke key support 1.0800 ko hold nahi kar paayi. Pair ne apni upward-sloping 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche chhoti si dip lagai hai jo 1.0861 ke qareeb thi, jo near-term outlook mein uncertainty ki taraf ishara karti hai. Halaanke long-term outlook bullish hai jab tak pair apna breakout from Rising Channel pattern barqarar rakhti hai, aur psychological support 1.0788 ke qareeb hai. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 60.00 se neeche chali gayi hai, jo ke bullish momentum ke kamzor hone ka ishara karti hai. Overall, Euro short-term pressure ka samna kar raha hai, lekin iska long-term trajectory ane walay economic data aur central bank decisions par mabni hogi.