Eurusd forum

Euro (EUR) kamzor hua US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein, aur naya trading week shuru hote hi 10 hafton ka neecha satah chho gaya. EUR/USD ek chothai gir gaya, aur apni 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) tak pahunch gaya, kyun ke dollar ne barhawa liya aur euro mein wasi kamzori dekhne ko mili. European Central Bank (ECB) ka aakhri lending survey mangal ke din pehle jaari hone wala hai, jisme investors European banking sector ki halat ka pata lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain. European Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) ki inflation data pehle hi jumerat ke din aane wali hai, lekin umeed hai ke yeh data bazar mein zyada harka nahi layegi kyun ke market ka focus ECB par hai, jisse umeed hai ke woh 25 basis points se interest rate mein kami karega. Koi ahem US data Thursday tak nahi aayegi jab US retail sales ka data aayega, jisme maahwari buniyad par 0.3% tak ki tezi ka andaza hai September mein, jab ke August mein yeh 0.1% barhi thi.

EUR/USD ka samna saaf neeche jany wale dabao se hai, jisme pair 200-day moving average ke neeche gira aur 1.0900 ke mark ki taraf peeche hat raha hai. Pair late September mein apne high se top-to-bottom tak lagbhag 3% gir gaya hai, aur aakhri 13 mein se sirf 4 trading days ko chor kar baqi sab din red mein close kiya hai. 200-day moving average ke aas-paas ka price action is baat ka faisla karega ke EUR/USD pair ka near-term rukh kya hoga. Agar yeh level sustained tor par toot gaya, to mazeed girawat ka rasta khul sakta hai, jahan agla support area 1.0850 ke qareeb hoga. Dosri taraf, agar pair 200-day moving average ko reclaim kar le aur 1.09063 ke upar wapas aa jaye, to foran neeche jany wala dabao kuch kam ho sakta hai. Lekin, 50-day moving average abhi bhi aik ahem resistance level hai jise todna zaroori hoga kisi bhi sustainable upward reversal ke liye. Jab tak pair 50-day EMA ke neeche hai, technical outlook bearish rahega. 200-day moving average 1.09063 par kuch arzi support de sakta hai, lekin mojooda trends yeh dikhate hain ke near term mein downside risks barqarar hain. Strong bullish catalysts ke baghair, umeed hai ke pair dabao mein hi rahega, aur traders mazeed kamzori ki nishaniyan dekh rahe hain, khaaskar agar pair major moving averages ke neeche rehta hai.

dollar index Euro ki qeemat ke muqable mein 102.70 points tak gir gaya, jo ke 1.10159 points ke qareeb tha. Aaj ke trading din mein, Euro ne maximum 1.10169 points tak pohoncha, jab ke minimum 1.0992 points tha. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke qareebi rate cut ka rasta kholti hai aur yeh expectations barha sakti hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rate cuts shuru karega. news ab bhi ek ahem factor hai jo ke Euro ki trajectory ko affect kar sakta hai. Consensus yeh expect kar raha hai ke US ka CPI 0.2% se barhay ga, aur market ka reaction is baat par depend karega ke asal numbers is forecast se kitne match ya deviated hote hain.
Agar CPI expected se zyada garam aata hai aur Euro ko 1.0980 ke neeche gira deta hai, toh phir se 1.09 level tak girawat ka imkaan hai. Magar agar data expectations ke mutabiq hota hai, toh hum Euro ko mazeed barhte hue dekh sakte hain, jaisay ke recent
Pair is waqt har hafta flat trade kar raha hai, weekly highs set karne ke baad magar unhe hold karne mein nakam. Key support area ko test kiya gaya, aur mazid strong pressure ke bawajood, is ne apni integrity barqarar rakhi, jo ke prices ko range mein rakhta hai, aur yeh upside vector ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai. Aagey barhnay ke liye, 1.0926 level ke upar strong consolidation ki zaroorat hai, jahan main support area border karta hai. Agar is area ka kamiyab retest hota hai aur subsequent rebound hota hai, to nayi move higher ki taraf ho sakti hai, target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan ho sakta haitrading hafta, Euro ne 1.0926 ka mark break kiya magar mazeed aage barhne mein nakam raha aur apne tamam gains kho diye, support area mein mazid strong hotay hue. Is tarah se expected development scenario poora nahi ho saka kyun ke target territory tak nahi pohonch saka aur abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super trendy green zone mein rehta hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. In data ne market mein optimism ko barhaya, jis se US stocks mein izafa hua. US dollar index Euro ki qeemat ke muqable mein 102.70 points tak gir gaya, jo ke 1.10159 points ke qareeb tha. Aaj ke trading din mein, Euro ne maximum 1.10169 points tak pohoncha, jab ke minimum 1.0992 points tha. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke qareebi rate cut ka rasta kholti hai aur yeh expectations barha sakti hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rate cuts shuru karega

Yeh aik aisi price movement hai jo agle rukh ka tayun nahi karti, isliye sideways movement ko rectangle pattern ki tarah samjha ja sakta hai, jahan sab se uncha aur sab se neecha price tay kiya jata hai. Agar price uchi line ko tor deti hai aur usay retest karti hai, toh isay upward trend mana jata hai. Aur agar price neeche wali line ko tor deti hai aur usay retest karti hai, toh isay downward trend mana jata hai.
Economic pehlu se, euro $1.09 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai, jo ke do maheenon mein sab se kamzor level hai. Yeh US dollar ki general taqat ki wajah se hai, jabke umeed hai ke US Federal Reserve borrowing costs ko pehle se kam tez dar se kam karega. Europe mein, European Central Bank se umeed hai ke yeh is hafte deposit rate ko 25 basis points se kam karega, jo ke September aur June mein bhi aise hi kiya gaya tha.

Kul mila kar… Traders ab yeh bet kar rahe hain ke European Central Bank har meeting mein quarter point se rate kam karega jab tak March tak. Eurozone ka annual inflation rate September 2024 mein 1.8% tak gir gaya, jo ke April 2021 ke baad ka sab se kam hai.

Stock trading platforms ke mutabiq… Eurozone ke stocks ne haftay ko green mein khatam kiya. Trading platforms ke mutabiq, European stocks ne Jumma ko upar khatam kiya, jo ke unke North American counterparts ki taraf se positive shuruat se faida uthate hue hua, jabke investors ne kuch economic data ka jaiza liya. France ka 2025 ka budget, jismein kharchon mein kami aur companies, ameeron, aur energy par tax barhane ki baat hai, par bhi nazar rakhi

karke yeh saaf hai ke price ab bhi bikri karon ke control mein hai. Price ab MA 100 Blue area par hai, jo ke 1.0935 ke aas paas hai. Aaj ke trading mein dekha gaya ke price ya candle MA 100 Blue area se neeche gir gayi hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke EUR/USD pair ab gehri bearish trend mein hai. Is ka matlab yeh hai ke yeh pair aage aur bhi neeche ja sakta hai, MA 200 Yellow area tak, jo ke 1.0870-1.0872 ke aas paas hai. Yeh level kharidaron ke liye ek demand support area hai.


Monday ke trading mein, jab Asian market session chal raha tha, bikri karon ke koshishon ko ek mazboot kharidari pressure se mukabla karna pada. Kharidaron ne bazar mein aur zyada force ke sath dakhil hue, jis se momentum bearish se bullish mein shift hua. Unka primary goal yeh hai ke bikri karon ke resistance area, jo ke 1.0950-1.0952 ke beech hai, ko todna hai. Agar kharidaron ne is level ko mazbooti se tod diya, to yeh ek mazboot bullish move ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo EUR/USD ki price ko upar le ja sakta hai.



Bulls ka agla target woh strong resistance area hai jo ke 1.0996-1.0998 ke aas paas hai, jahan bikri karon ne ek aur supply zone establish kiya hai. Agar is level ko test kiya gaya, to yeh bazar ke liye ek critical point banega, jahan yeh tay karna hoga ke bullish momentum aage barh sakta hai ya bikri karon ek baar phir control hasil kar lete hain. Abhi ke liye, kharidaron aur bikri karon ke darmiyan intense battle chal rahi hai, jahan dono taraf apni dominance establish karne ki koshish kar rahe hain

Daily chart ke mutabiq, price ek inverted triangle ke andar chal rahi hai. Is haftay ke dauran, yeh pair decline kar raha hai, magar abhi tak inverted triangle ki lower boundary ko nahi chua hai. Mera andaza hai ke Monday se, pair apni downward movement jari rakhegi aur shayad triangle ki lower boundary tak pohanch jaaye, jo ke qareeb 1.0924 level hai. Yeh ek ahem technical point hoga, kyun ke is level par pohanchne ke baad, main ek potential reversal ki umeed karta hoon. Yeh reversal price ko upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai, jo 1.1225 ke qareeb hai.
Is waqt tak, price ne jo bearish movement dikhayi hai, wo significant hai, magar kuch technical levels hain jo bears ko mushkilat mein dal sakte hain. Pehle yeh samjha ja raha tha ke price apne direction ko qaim rakhay gi, magar jab price support zone ke qareeb aa jaye gi, to bears ko apni strategy dobara sochnay ki zaroorat hogi. Triangle ki structure aur price action dono hi yeh darsha rahe hain ke yeh ek ahem waqt hai, kyun ke price ke is zone tak aa jany se technical levels aur market behavior par asar ho sakta hai.

Inverted triangle ka analysis yeh batata hai ke jab price lower boundary, yani 1.0924 ke qareeb pohanchay gi, to market mein ek reversal ka imkaan barh jaayega. Aisa hone par price wapas upar ki taraf jaye gi aur inverted triangle ki upper boundary, yani 1.1225 ke level tak ja sakti hai. Yeh ek ahem resistance point hoga, aur agar price is level ko break karti hai, to bulls ko ek mazid faida mil sakta hai.

Is dauran, bears ko support zone se agay girawat lany mein mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai. Market ki halat aur daily volatility ko madde nazar rakhte huye, yeh lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein market mein kaafi activity dekhne ko milay gi. Ek taraf, price ko neeche girane ki koshish hogi, jab ke doosri taraf bulls ko price ko wapas upar lay janay ka ek mauka mil sakta hai. Magar, price ka structure aur technical levels ke asar se, humay ye dekhna hoga ke kya price aagay chal kar apna bearish pattern tor payegi ya phir market mein ek powerful reversal

Daily chart ke mutabiq, price ek inverted triangle ke andar chal rahi hai. Is haftay ke dauran, yeh pair decline kar raha hai, magar abhi tak inverted triangle ki lower boundary ko nahi chua hai. Mera andaza hai ke Monday se, pair apni downward movement jari rakhegi aur shayad triangle ki lower boundary tak pohanch jaaye, jo ke qareeb 1.0924 level hai. Yeh ek ahem technical point hoga, kyun ke is level par pohanchne ke baad, main ek potential reversal ki umeed karta hoon. Yeh reversal price ko upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai, jo 1.1225 ke qareeb hai.
Is waqt tak, price ne jo bearish movement dikhayi hai, wo significant hai, magar kuch technical levels hain jo bears ko mushkilat mein dal sakte hain. Pehle yeh samjha ja raha tha ke price apne direction ko qaim rakhay gi, magar jab price support zone ke qareeb aa jaye gi, to bears ko apni strategy dobara sochnay ki zaroorat hogi. Triangle ki structure aur price action dono hi yeh darsha rahe hain ke yeh ek ahem waqt hai, kyun ke price ke is zone tak aa jany se technical levels aur market behavior par asar ho sakta hai.

Inverted triangle ka analysis yeh batata hai ke jab price lower boundary, yani 1.0924 ke qareeb pohanchay gi, to market mein ek reversal ka imkaan barh jaayega. Aisa hone par price wapas upar ki taraf jaye gi aur inverted triangle ki upper boundary, yani 1.1225 ke level tak ja sakti hai. Yeh ek ahem resistance point hoga, aur agar price is level ko break karti hai, to bulls ko ek mazid faida mil sakta hai.

Is dauran, bears ko support zone se agay girawat lany mein mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai. Market ki halat aur daily volatility ko madde nazar rakhte huye, yeh lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein market mein kaafi activity dekhne ko milay gi. Ek taraf, price ko neeche girane ki koshish hogi, jab ke doosri taraf bulls ko price ko wapas upar lay janay ka ek mauka mil sakta hai. Magar, price ka structure aur technical levels ke asar se, humay ye dekhna hoga ke kya price aagay chal kar apna bearish pattern tor payegi ya phir market mein ek powerful reversal

/USD 1-ghante ke chart par bohot hi technical aur structured price movement nazar aata hai, jo supply aur demand zones, liquidity pools, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ke darmiyan complex interplay dikhata hai. Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.
1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt hua.

Is setup mein ek critical point fair value gap (FVG) ka formation hai jo 1.11250 ke aas-paas hai. Fair value gaps aksar traders dwara istemal kiye jate hain taake wo market mein inefficiency ke areas ko identify kar saken jahan price gap ko "fill" karne ke liye wapas aa sakti hai, jo rebalancing mechanism ke tor par kaam karta hai. 1.11250 ka gap jaldi fill ho gaya jab market ne apne pehle ke range se breakout karne ki koshish ki, jo yeh darshata

Daily chart ke mutabiq, price ek inverted triangle ke andar chal rahi hai. Is haftay ke dauran, yeh pair decline kar raha hai, magar abhi tak inverted triangle ki lower boundary ko nahi chua hai. Mera andaza hai ke Monday se, pair apni downward movement jari rakhegi aur shayad triangle ki lower boundary tak pohanch jaaye, jo ke qareeb 1.0924 level hai. Yeh ek ahem technical point hoga, kyun ke is level par pohanchne ke baad, main ek potential reversal ki umeed karta hoon. Yeh reversal price ko upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai, jo 1.1225 ke qareeb hai. Is waqt tak, price ne jo bearish movement dikhayi hai, wo significant hai, magar kuch technical levels hain jo bears ko mushkilat mein dal sakte hain. Pehle yeh samjha ja raha tha ke price apne direction ko qaim rakhay gi, magar jab price support zone ke qareeb aa jaye gi, to bears ko apni strategy dobara sochnay ki zaroorat hogi. Triangle ki structure aur price action dono hi yeh darsha rahe hain ke yeh ek ahem waqt hai, kyun ke price ke is zone tak aa jany se technical levels aur market behavior par asar ho sakta hai.

Inverted triangle ka analysis yeh batata hai ke jab price lower boundary, yani 1.0924 ke qareeb pohanchay gi, to market mein ek reversal ka imkaan barh jaayega. Aisa hone par price wapas upar ki taraf jaye gi aur inverted triangle ki upper boundary, yani 1.1225 ke level tak ja sakti hai. Yeh ek ahem resistance point hoga, aur agar price is level ko break karti hai, to bulls ko ek mazid faida mil sakta hai.

Is dauran, bears ko support zone se agay girawat lany mein mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai. Market ki halat aur daily volatility ko madde nazar rakhte huye, yeh lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein market mein kaafi activity dekhne ko milay gi. Ek taraf, price ko neeche girane ki koshish hogi, jab ke doosri taraf bulls ko price ko wapas upar lay janay ka ek mauka mil sakta hai. Magar, price ka structure aur technical levels ke asar se, humay ye dekhna hoga ke kya price aagay chal kar apna bearish pattern tor payegi ya phir market mein ek powerful reversal

currency pair ki price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb resistance area ka ek "false" breakout dekha gaya. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai. Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai. EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain. Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.
Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain

Iss waqt 4-hour chart par price support zone mein trade kar rahi hai, jahan weekly support level 1.1023 tak pohanch gayi hai. Iss hafta ke dauran, pair ki price mein kafi zyada girawat hui, jahan haftay ke aghaz mein resistance level 1.1223 tak pohanchi thi. Uske baad girawat shuru hui, price channels aur weekly pivot level bhi toot gaye, aur price ne iss level ko chooa. Yeh do imkaanat ka sabab ban sakte hain:
Sideways movement ho sakta hai support level ke upar, phir girawat aayegi, support tootega, aur downward trend jaari rahega. Support milne par price upar ja sakti hai correction ke liye, aur 1.1093 ka level sabse qareeb correction ka level samjha ja sakta hai. Economic side se dekha jaye toh, yeh pair girawat ka shikar risk-off flows ke sabab se hui, jahan September ke liye region mein kamzor price pressures aur America ke mixed leading job indicators bhi asar daal rahe hain. Aane wala ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report, jo pichlay mahine ke liye thodi recovery dikhane wali hai, US dollar ke future ko decide kar sakti hai. Saath hi, Middle East mein naye tensions bhi risk-off flows ko barhawa de rahe hain, jo US dollar ko safe haven ke taur par mazid mazbooti de rahe hain. Iran ne missile attacks kiye hain Israel par, do Hezbollah leaders ke qatal ka jawab dene ke liye, jo global economic activity par bhi asar daal sakte hain. Iske muqabil, Eurozone se koi major reports expected nahi hain, toh traders zyada tar US reports aur market sentiment se cues le sakte hain. Agar geopolitics mein tensions barhti hain, toh low-yielding dollar ko aur fayda ho sakta hai, jabke tensions kam hone par recent gains par profit-taking dekhi ja sakti hai. Hourly chart par main Euro Dollar pair ka analysis kar raha hoon, jahan yeh 1.09956 ke resistance aur 1.11389 ke support ke beech trade kar raha tha. Yeh movement Federal Reserve System ki speech ke baad dekhi gayi, aur uske baad pair ne support 1.10839 ko toda aur gir gaya. Maine yeh girawat expect ki thi, kyunke itni zyada inflation ke saath further growth ka imkaan kam tha. Phir, jab unemployment data samnay aaya, pair aur gir gaya, aur support 1.09833 ko bhi toda. Is support ke tootne ke baad seller ka volume barh gaya aur pair ne support 1.09060 tak pohanch gaya. Mujhe umeed thi ke pair iss support tak pohanchega jab maine sell kiya tha, magar yeh range ban gayi. Us waqt maine socha ke pair phir se is girawat ke neeche jaayega, jaise aksar unemployment data ke baad hota hai, isliye maine pair ko jaldi band kar diya, aur phir bhi yeh 1.09060 ke support tak pohanch gaya. Ab seller phir se volume gain kar raha hai is support ke qareeb, aur main samajhta hoon ke pair neeche ja sakta hai support 1.08216 tak.

EUR/USD ki price waqai pichle Jumay ke flat range mein trade kar rahi hai. Short trend ki priority yeh hai ke jab current correctional measures mukammal hoon, toh girawat ka silsila dobara shuru ho aur mazeed taraqqi kare. Qareebi resistance levels din aur hafte ke pivot levels ho sakte hain, jo 1.0944 aur 1.0938 hain. Chunancha, currency pair ki price filhal din ke pivot 1.0944 se neeche trade kar rahi hai, is lamhe ko aane wali girawat ke liye price setting ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, mujhe in levels par ek reaction dekhna pasand hoga.

Agar bullish scenario ka irtiqa hota hai, aur price 1.0944 ke upar breakout aur consolidation dikhata hai, toh horizontal resistances ke range 1.0956 - 1.0970 se girawat ke dobara shuru hone aur taraqqi ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Girawat ke possible targets ke taur par, main horizontal level 1.0865 aur Fibonacci extension 61.8 - 1.0835 ko madde nazar rakh raha hoon.

EUR/USD: trading idea. Bearish positivity currency pair par dekhai de rahi hai. Market 1.09241 par trade kar raha hai, jo Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche hai, jo Senkou Span B 1.09401 aur Senkou Span A 1.09273 lines ke darmiyan hai.

Yeh cloud mazboot market resistance ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, jo bullish growth ko rok raha hai. Cloud ke andar, Senkou Span B 1.09401 line ko highlight karna zaroori hai; yeh Ichimoku indicator ki sab se mazboot line hai, kyun ke iska period 52 hai, jo lamba hai. Ek aur signal jo selling ka hai, woh Tenkan-sen 1.09264 ke Kijun-sen 1.09341 ke neeche se cross hone se aata hai. Yeh rotation line reference line ko upar se neeche cross karte hue selling ka ishara deti hai. Bearish signals ke is combination se girawat ka trend samajh mein aata hai.

Main ek selling ke entry point par ghawr kar raha hoon. Reverse signal ko cloud ke indicator mein breakout ke taur par samjha jata hai, jab market iske upar consolidate karta hai. Agar golden cross ka signal bhi banay, jo ke buying ka ishara hai, toh cloud ke asar se yeh dobara toot sakta hai.

taraf jhuk raha hai. Yeh pair halya dino mein dabao ka shikar hai, jisme dheema magar musalsal girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aane wale dino mein kuch aise factors bhi hain jo ke isme significant movement la sakte hain. Is downtrend ka ek bara sabab US dollar ki relative strength hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ki wajah se mazid mazboot hui hai. Central bank ka focus inflation ko control karne par hai, jiske liye wo faiz ki daron ko barhane ki policy par amal kar raha hai. Is wajah se greenback (US dollar) investors ke liye zyada attractive bana hai, aur euro jaisi currencies ko dollar ke muqable mein struggle karna pad raha hai. Halya US economic data, jaise ke mazboot employment numbers aur stable consumer spending, ne dollar ki rise ko aur bhi momentum diya hai. Doosri taraf, Eurozone ko abhi bhi kai economic challenges ka samna hai. Is region mein growth prospects ab tak thanda nazar aa raha hai, jo ke high energy costs aur inflationary pressures ke asraat hain. Halanki Eurozone mein inflation ke hawale se kuch behtari dekhne ko mili hai, lekin yeh ab bhi policymakers ke liye ek concern bana hua hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne approach mein ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai, aur unhone signal diya hai ke wo rate hikes ko dheema karne ya rokne ka soch rahe hain, jab tak inflation downward trend mein rahega. Yeh ehtiyaati stance Federal Reserve ke aggressive rawaiye ke mukablay mein euro par aur dabao daal raha hai. Technically, EUR/USD iss waqt ek critical support level 1.0930 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support qaim rehti hai, toh hum ek temporary bounce dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh support break ho jati hai, toh ek bara selloff trigger ho sakta hai, jisse pair agle key support 1.0850 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Traders is level ko ghore se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh break hota hai, toh aagay aur girawat ke darwaze khul sakte hain. Aane wale dino mein kuch important economic events hain jo EUR/USD ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. US aur Eurozone dono apne ahem economic data, jaise ke inflation reports, manufacturing data, aur central bank ke statements

rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai. Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai. EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain. Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai,

### EUR/USD Currency Pair Ka Price Action Analysis

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ka jaiza lene wale hain. Agar aap 1.10091 tak ek corrective increase ki umeed rakhte hain, toh main bhi is upward movement ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Support levels 1.08971 se 1.08571 ke beech hain, jahan EUR/USD ko wapas moorna chahiye aur corrective rise ka samna karna chahiye. Yeh pair abhi 1.08971 tak gir chuka hai, jo ke agle growth ka imkaan barhata hai. Lekin, yeh sambhav hai ke yeh 1.08971 se 1.08571 tak ek aur girawat dekhe, uske baad in areas se rebound kare, jo kam se kam 1.10091 ki taraf barhne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

H4 chart abhi bhi bearish trend darshata hai, isliye maine apni short position band kar di hai aur bullish rally ki umeed kar raha hoon. Yeh rally mere buy threshold ko H4 chart par tod sakti hai. Agar bullish level tut jaata hai, toh yeh buying opportunity ka ishara dega, jo mujhe market mein entry karne par majboor karega. Yeh rise ek correction hai, jo pehle se breach ki gayi bullish trend line ya 1.10472 ke resistance level ki taraf retracement ho sakta hai. Aage ki taraf mazboot upward momentum sambhav hai, jo 1.1021 se 1.11021 tak ki range ko correct kar sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, euro pressure mein hai kyunki European Central Bank (ECB) ki taraf se is saal ke baaki do policy meetings mein rates ko aur kaatne ki umeed hai. ECB ka dovish stance eurozone inflationary pressures ke tezi se ghatne aur ek "fragile" economic recovery ke beech mazbooti hasil kar raha hai. Euro ne US dollar ke muqablay mein 2% se zyada girawat dekhi hai, jab yeh 1.1200 ke paas double top se wapas aaya, yeh uski chhati musalsal positive day hai. Price ne short-term uptrend line aur 1.1000 round number ke neeche break kiya, jo ke recent downward correction ko confirm karta hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 neutral threshold ke neeche chala gaya hai, lekin Stochastics ne yeh darshaya hai ke downward correction khatam ho gaya hai, jab yeh oversold territory mein %K aur %D lines ke darmiyan bullish crossover bana raha hai. Agar selling interest barqarar raha, toh market strong 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.0870 par dobara test kar sakta hai, pehle ke medium-term uptrend line 1.0800 par settle hone se pehle.

Iss waqt 4-hour chart par price support zone mein trade kar rahi hai, jahan weekly support level 1.1023 tak pohanch gayi hai. Iss hafta ke dauran, pair ki price mein kafi zyada girawat hui, jahan haftay ke aghaz mein resistance level 1.1223 tak pohanchi thi. Uske baad girawat shuru hui, price channels aur weekly pivot level bhi toot gaye, aur price ne iss level ko chooa. Yeh do imkaanat ka sabab ban sakte hain:
Sideways movement ho sakta hai support level ke upar, phir girawat aayegi, support tootega, aur downward trend jaari rahega. Support milne par price upar ja sakti hai correction ke liye, aur 1.1093 ka level sabse qareeb correction ka level samjha ja sakta hai. Economic side se dekha jaye toh, yeh pair girawat ka shikar risk-off flows ke sabab se hui, jahan September ke liye region mein kamzor price pressures aur America ke mixed leading job indicators bhi asar daal rahe hain. Aane wala ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report, jo pichlay mahine ke liye thodi recovery dikhane wali hai, US dollar ke future ko decide kar sakti hai. Saath hi, Middle East mein naye tensions bhi risk-off flows ko barhawa de rahe hain, jo US dollar ko safe haven ke taur par mazid mazbooti de rahe hain. Iran ne missile attacks kiye hain Israel par, do Hezbollah leaders ke qatal ka jawab dene ke liye, jo global economic activity par bhi asar daal sakte hain. Iske muqabil, Eurozone se koi major reports expected nahi hain, toh traders zyada tar US reports aur market sentiment se cues le sakte hain. Agar geopolitics mein tensions barhti hain, toh low-yielding dollar ko aur fayda ho sakta hai, jabke tensions kam hone par recent gains par profit-taking dekhi ja sakti hai. Hourly chart par main Euro Dollar pair ka analysis kar raha hoon, jahan yeh 1.09956 ke resistance aur 1.11389 ke support ke beech trade kar raha tha. Yeh movement Federal Reserve System ki speech ke baad dekhi gayi, aur uske baad pair ne support 1.10839 ko toda aur gir gaya. Maine yeh girawat expect ki thi, kyunke itni zyada inflation ke saath further growth ka imkaan kam tha. Phir, jab unemployment data samnay aaya, pair aur gir gaya, aur support 1.09833 ko bhi toda. Is support ke tootne ke baad seller ka volume barh gaya aur pair ne support 1.09060 tak pohanch gaya. Mujhe umeed thi ke pair iss support tak pohanchega jab maine sell kiya tha, magar yeh range ban gayi. Us waqt maine socha ke pair phir se is girawat ke neeche jaayega, jaise aksar unemployment data ke baad hota hai, isliye maine pair ko jaldi band kar diya, aur phir bhi yeh 1.09060 ke support tak pohanch gaya. Ab seller phir se volume gain kar raha hai is support ke qareeb, aur main samajhta hoon ke pair neeche ja sakta hai support 1.08216 tak.