یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

hai, jo ke Wednesday ko ho gi, aur yeh USD ke movement ke liye is hafte ek ahem factor hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke hafte ke shuru se Wednesday tak market USD ke bullish movement ko support karay, is liye hamein jaldi mein koi position open karne ki zaroorat nahi, balkay ek mazboot signal ka intezar karna chahiye. Digar khabron mein ziada focus inflation data par hai, jabke US aur duniya mein inflation kam ho rahi hai aur zyada control mein hai, is liye mere khayal mein inka market par koi khas asar nahi hoga. Daily basis par dekha jaye to yeh pair Purple EMA100 trend line par ruk gaya hai jo ke 1.0950 ke fresh demand area ke sath match kar raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke 1.0900 ke price par hai. mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj

EUR/USD ka market price is waqt 1.0971 ke qareeb float kar raha hai, jo ke support zone ke qareeb hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price ka pattern bearish hai aur girawat ka silsila jari hai. Aisi umeed hai ke EUR/USD ka trend is quarter mein barkarar rahega. Oscillator bhi negative territory mein hai aur oversold zone se kaafi door hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi negative lag raha hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke price mazeed gir sakta hai. Iske ilawa, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bhi negative hai aur zero level ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Moving averages bhi bearish signal de rahe hain.
Teknik tor par, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) aur 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ki girawat bear traders ke haq mein jaa rahi hai. Yeh tamam factors bears ko support karte hain. Mere trading plan mein 3 buy aur 3 sell entries shamil hain. Aap chart pe dekh sakte hain ke resistance level 1.1034 hai jo ke ek dynamic resistance hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai, toh naye buyers $1.1125 ke qareeb aa sakte hain, jo doosra resistance level hai. Yeh umeed bhi hai ke agar yeh rise hota hai, toh EUR/USD mazeed barh kar 1.1207 ke resistance level tak jaa sakta hai, jo ke teesra resistance level hai.

Doosri taraf, support level 1.0952 pe hai, jo ke dynamic support level hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, toh naye sellers $1.0234 ke qareeb aa sakte hain, jo doosra support level hai. Iske baad, agar girawat jari rehti hai, toh EUR/USD further gir kar 0.9654 tak jaa sakta hai, jo ke teesra support level hai.

Main yeh samajhta hoon ke sellers ka raaj is haftay barkarar rahega aur hum apna profit ratio mazeed barha sakte hain. Is analysis ke baad, mein sell entry ko pasand karta hoon aur apna take profit point 0.9654 pe rakhta hoon. Is umeed ke sath ke yeh analysis aap ke liye mufeed hoga, mein yeh kahta hoon ke market ki current situation bears ke haq mein hai aur hum profit kama sakte hain agar sell entries ko theek jagah lagaya jaye.

EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai

USD/JPY ka haal hi ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price 144.40 tak gir gaya hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 146.50 se neeche nahi jaayega. US dollar index ki tezi geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY is supply zone 145.50 ke paar phir se recover karega.
Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels par meri nazar hai: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai. 30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11. 1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai.
Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega. Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai. Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing PMI mazeed 44.8 par aa gaya, jo ke pehle 45.8 tha. Germany, jo ke region ki sabse bari economy hai, khaas challenges face kar raha hai, jahan economy second quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui, aur third quarter mein bhi further decline ke asar hain. Yeh economic trends Eurozone ke liye badhne wali uncertainty ko dikhate hain, jo market movements ko bhi influence kar sakti hain


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Good morning! Umeed karta hoon ke sab doston, moderators, aur members theek honge. Mujhe umeed hai ke aap log meri trading se khush hain. Aaj ki EUR/USD analysis par nazar daalte hain. Abhi ke time par EUR/USD 1.0942 par trade kar raha hai. EUR/USD ka bearish trend jald khatam nahi hoga kyun ke USD index apna bullish trend barqarar rakhe hue hai. Aapko pata hai ke EUR/USD aur USD ka ek inversely proportional relationship hota hai.Meri trading experience ke mutabiq, yeh chart ek confirmed bearish scenario dikhata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) 50 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo aane wali consolidation ko signal kar raha hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator chart mein kamzori ka signal de raha hai. 50-period aur 20 EMAs jo 1.0945 aur 1.0942 par hain, yeh dikhate hain ke abhi aur downside potential baqi hai. Sabse qareebi resistance 1.0951 par hai, jahan upward movement ko aim karna chahiye. Yeh price mazeed barh sakti hai aur agle resistance level 1.0975 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo doosra resistance level hai. Uske baad buyers 1.0996 ko hit karne ki koshish karenge, jo teesra resistance level hai.
Doosri taraf, sabse qareebi support 1.0936 par hai, jahan downward movement ko aim karna chahiye. Yeh price bhi niche ja sakti hai aur agle support level 1.0543 ko test kar sakti hai, jo doosra support level hai. Uske baad sellers teesre support level 1.0123 ko hit karne ki koshish karenge. Mere forum friends ne mujhe iss accurate analysis ke liye shukriya kaha hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke hum daily perfect analysis share kar sakte hain, kyun ke hum robots nahi hain.Traders ke liye in key levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar price 1.1064 ke upar break kare, to yeh market sentiment mein ek bara shift show karega, aur euro apni lost ground wapas lene ki koshish karega aur pehle ke highs ko challenge karega. Aise scenario mein, current positions ko dobara evaluate karna zaroori hoga, khaaskar un traders ke liye jo euro par short hain. Agar price 1.0949 ke upar hold nahi kar pati ya 1.1000 par reject hoti hai, to yeh bearish outlook ko reaffirm karega aur selling pressure ka sabab banega.Aakhir mein, euro ka current price action bearish momentum aur potential bullish reversals ke darmiyan ek complex situation ko dikhata hai. Traders ko hamesha hoshyar rehna chahiye aur 1.0949, 1.1000, aur resistance zone 1.1034-1.1064 par nazar rakhni chahiye. In points par depend karega ke euro ka agla move kya hoga. Market ke evolution ko dekhte hue, adaptability zaroori hai, jo traders ko emerging opportunities ka faida uthane ka mauqa dega jab ke risk ko effectively manage kar sakein. Support aur resistance levels ka interplay trading decisions ko guide karega, aur euro ka near-term trajectory banayega.

Filhal, RSI yeh bata raha hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai, jo ke yeh darsha raha hai ke overall market sentiment bearish dominance ki taraf hai. Yeh weakening momentum bohot ahem hai kyun ke yeh un traders ke liye increased risk ko highlight karta hai jo is waqt buy positions lene ka soch rahe hain.
Iske ilawa, aur bhi factors hain jo action lene se pehle madde nazar rakhne chahiye, jaise ke upcoming economic data, interest rate announcements, ya koi geopolitical events jo Eur/Usd pair ko influence kar sakti hain. Misaal ke taur par, agar Reserve Bank of monetary policy mein koi tabdeeli karti hai ya economic releases jaise ke employment figures, GDP growth rates, ya inflation data aata hai, toh yeh sab cheezein currency ke movement par asar daal sakti hain.

Meri rai yeh hai ke abhi buy positions lene se pehle ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur sabar se kaam lena zyada behter hoga. Yeh zyada strategic hoga ke ya toh ek clear signal ka intezaar kiya jaye ke trend change hone wala hai, ya agar bearish momentum barqarar rehta hai toh short positions par ghor kiya jaye. Agar price girta rahta hai, toh kuch important support levels 1.0900 aur 1.1000 hain jo watch karne layak hain. Agar koi strong bullish reversal hoti hai, toh resistance levels 1.09400 aur 1.09800par aa sakte hain.


Eur/Usd currency pair ka aakhri kuch trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhayi de rahi hai, jiska sabab zyada tar dovish Federal Reserve ki expectations hain. Magar, is upward momentum ke raste mein kuch challenges bhi hain, jaise ke America aur Euro US ki economic uncertainties jo is ke gains ko kam kar sakti hain. Federal Reserve ki taraf se September mein ek bara rate cut ki umeed, jo 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, Euro dollar ke liye ek major tailwind sabit ho raha hai. Yeh umeed U.S. job growth mein recent decline ke baad aur bhi mazboot hui hai.

EUR/USD pair ka daily chart kholen, to humein nazar aata hai ke pehle, 1.0665 ke local minimum se rebound karne ke baad, EUR/USD pair ek upward trend mein shift ho gaya aur phir ek upward price channel bana, jisme major 1.1200 ke round price mark tak pohanch gaya. High 1.1215 par draw hua, lekin buyers ko mazeed aage jane nahi diya gaya. EUR/USD pair ne kuch nakaam koshishain north ki taraf ki, lekin uske baad bears ne initiative le liya aur EUR/USD ko south ki taraf le aaye. Yeh pair thodi si dair mein 1.0950 tak gir gaya, jahan ek naya local minimum bana.
Mazeed, daily chart par humein "Two Tops" ki graphic figure bhi nazar aati hai, jo ek reversal figure hai aur yeh humein is baat ka ishara deti hai ke upward trend ek mukammal downward trend mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke qareebi future mein hum pair ko sell kar sakte hain aur 1.0900 ke round price mark tak target kar sakte hain.

Ab hum ne daily chart ko dekha, aur ab hum hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain. Yahan humein ek informative picture milti hai ke kaise upward trend se gradually downward trend ki taraf change ho raha hai. Hum dekhte hain ke doosra downward price channel break hua jab unexpectedly strong "non-farm payroll" (nonks) data aaya, jo market ne expect nahi kiya tha. US labor market ke positive news ke baad, dollar index north ki taraf soar kar gaya, jab ke majors gaye. Nateeja yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair 1.0950 tak gir gaya, jisse neeche sellers ko nahi jaane diya gaya aur Friday ka trading 1.0973 par khatam hua. Is level se aap safe tareeqe se sell kar sakte hain, kyun ke downward trend abhi khatam nahi hua aur hourly time ke mutabiq yeh abhi aur ziada momentum gain kar raha hai

EUR/USD 1-ghante ke chart par bohot hi technical aur structured price movement nazar aata hai, jo supply aur demand zones, liquidity pools, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ke darmiyan complex interplay dikhata hai. Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.
1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt

EUR) ne Wednesday ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kamzori dikhayi, jab yeh New York session ke dauran 1.0950 ka eight-week low touch kar gaya. Aham currency pairs ne bhi pressure mehsoos kiya jab US dollar ka taqatwar rujhan barqarar raha, aur US dollar index (DXY) bhi 102.70 ka seven-week high cross kar gaya. Dollar ki yeh taqat umeed ki ja rahi November mein Federal Reserve ke dosray 50 basis point rate cut ke intizaar se thi. Traders ko apne bets revise karne par majboor hona para jab September ke upbeat US non-farm payrolls report ne economic growth aur consumer spending ke downside risks ko kam kar diya. Iske ilawa, Middle East mein barhte hue geopolitical tensions ne dollar ko safe-haven asset ke tor par mazid appeal di.
Financial markets ke participants ab umeed karte hain ke Fed is saal ke bache hue do policy meetings mein 25 basis point ka rate cut karega, jaisa ke CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq bataya gaya hai. Wednesday ko investors ne September ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes ko ghore se dekha, jo 18:00 GMT par release hue. FOMC minutes ne sab officials ke interest rates aur economic outlook par views ko convey kiya. September meeting mein tamam Fed members ne 50 basis point ka cut shuru karne par ittefaq kiya, siwaye Michelle Bowman ke jo 25 basis point cut ke haq mein thi.

Aage dekhte hue, dollar ke movements ke main drivers US Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) ke September ke data honge, jo Thursday aur Friday ko release honge. Euro ne US dollar ke muqablay mein apni double top position 1.1200 ke qareeb se peeche hat kar 2% se zyada girawat dikhayi, jo iske chhati musalsal positive din ka akhri nishan tha. Price ne short-term uptrend line aur 1.1000 round figure ko break kar diya, jo recent downward correction ko confirm karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne neutral threshold 50 ke neeche girawat dikhayi, magar Stochastic yeh indicate kar raha hai ke negative bounce khatam ho chuki hai, kyunki %K aur %D lines ne oversold territory mein bullish crossover form kar liya hai. Agar selling interest barqarar rehta hai, toh market 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko 1.0870 par retest kar sakta hai, jab ke medium-term uptrend ke qareeb 1.0800 par settle hone ka imkaan hai

Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.
1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt

Wednesday ko ho gi, aur yeh USD ke movement ke liye is hafte ek ahem factor hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke hafte ke shuru se Wednesday tak market USD ke bullish movement ko support karay, is liye hamein jaldi mein koi position open karne ki zaroorat nahi, balkay ek mazboot signal ka intezar karna chahiye. Digar khabron mein ziada focus inflation data par hai, jabke US aur duniya mein inflation kam ho rahi hai aur zyada control mein hai, is liye mere khayal mein inka market par koi khas asar nahi hoga. Daily basis par dekha jaye to yeh pair Purple EMA100 trend line par ruk gaya hai jo ke 1.0950 ke fresh demand area ke sath match kar raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke 1.0900 ke price par hai. mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq

/USD 1-ghante ke chart par bohot hi technical aur structured price movement nazar aata hai, jo supply aur demand zones, liquidity pools, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ke darmiyan complex interplay dikhata hai. Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.
1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt hua.

Is setup mein ek critical point fair value gap (FVG) ka formation hai jo 1.11250 ke aas-paas hai. Fair value gaps aksar traders dwara istemal kiye jate hain taake wo market mein inefficiency ke areas ko identify kar saken jahan price gap ko "fill" karne ke liye wapas aa sakti hai, jo rebalancing mechanism ke tor par kaam karta hai. 1.11250 ka gap jaldi fill ho gaya jab market ne apne pehle ke range se breakout karne ki koshish ki, jo yeh darshata

/USD ka market price is waqt 1.0971 ke qareeb float kar raha hai, jo ke support zone ke qareeb hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price ka pattern bearish hai aur girawat ka silsila jari hai. Aisi umeed hai ke EUR/USD ka trend is quarter mein barkarar rahega. Oscillator bhi negative territory mein hai aur oversold zone se kaafi door hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi negative lag raha hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke price mazeed gir sakta hai. Iske ilawa, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bhi negative hai aur zero level ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Moving averages bhi bearish signal de rahe hain.
Teknik tor par, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) aur 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ki girawat bear traders ke haq mein jaa rahi hai. Yeh tamam factors bears ko support karte hain. Mere trading plan mein 3 buy aur 3 sell entries shamil hain. Aap chart pe dekh sakte hain ke resistance level 1.1034 hai jo ke ek dynamic resistance hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai, toh naye buyers $1.1125 ke qareeb aa sakte hain, jo doosra resistance level hai. Yeh umeed bhi hai ke agar yeh rise hota hai, toh EUR/USD mazeed barh kar 1.1207 ke resistance level tak jaa sakta hai, jo ke teesra resistance level hai.

Doosri taraf, support level 1.0952 pe hai, jo ke dynamic support level hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, toh naye sellers $1.0234 ke qareeb aa sakte hain, jo doosra support level hai. Iske baad, agar girawat jari rehti hai, toh EUR/USD further gir kar 0.9654 tak jaa sakta hai, jo ke teesra support level hai.

Main yeh samajhta hoon ke sellers ka raaj is haftay barkarar rahega aur hum apna profit ratio mazeed barha sakte hain. Is analysis ke baad, mein sell entry ko pasand karta hoon aur apna take profit point 0.9654 pe rakhta hoon. Is umeed ke sath ke yeh analysis aap ke liye mufeed hoga, mein yeh kahta hoon ke market ki current situation bears ke haq mein hai aur hum profit kama sakte hain agar sell entries ko theek jagah lagaya jaye

GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoo

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S E U R / U S D**
Good morning, umeed karta hoon ke sab dost, moderators, aur members khairiyat se honge. Umeed hai ke aap log meri trading se kafi khush hain. Chaliye aaj ka EUR/USD ka analysis check karte hain. EUR/USD is waqt 1.0942 par trade kar raha hai jab yeh likha ja raha hai. EUR/USD ka bearish trend jaldi rukta nazar nahi aa raha kyunke USD index apni bullish trend ko continue kar raha hai. Aap log jaante hain ke EUR/USD aur USD ke darmiyan inverse proportional relationship hai. Mere trading tajurbe ke mutabiq, yeh chart ek confirm bearish scenario banata hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) 50 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke consolidation ka ishara de raha hai. Sath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator chart mein kamzori ka signal de raha hai. Upar jaati hui 50-period aur 20 EMAs jo ke 1.0945 aur 1.0942 par hain, yeh dikhati hain ke abhi aur downside potential baqi hai.

**Nearest Resistance Levels**
- Sabse qareebi resistance 1.0951 par hai, jo ke upward movement ka pehla target hona chahiye.
- Iske baad, prices aur zyada barh kar next resistance 1.0975 ko test kar sakti hain, jo ke doosri level of resistance hai.
- Agar ye resistance bhi break hoti hai, to buyers ka agla target 1.0996 ka resistance level ho sakta hai, jo teesri level of resistance hai.

**Nearest Support Levels**
- Sabse qareebi support 1.0936 par hai, jo ke downward movement ka pehla target hona chahiye.
- Iske baad, prices gir kar next support 1.0543 ko test kar sakti hain, jo doosri level of support hai.
- Agar ye support bhi break hota hai, to sellers ka agla target 1.0123 ka support level ho sakta hai, jo teesri level of support hai.

Mere kai forum friends ne mujhe shukriya kaha hai is accurate analysis ke liye jo maine share kiya. Lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke aap rozana perfect analysis share kar sakte hain, kyunke hum robots nahi hain.

**Chart Indicators**
- **MACD Indicator:** Chart mein weakness ka ishara deta hai.
- **RSI Indicator Period 14:** 50 ke qareeb consolidation ko signal karta hai.
- **50-day Exponential Moving Average (Orange Color):** 1.0945
- **20-day Exponential Moving Average (Magenta Color):** 1.0942