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EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Pair ne Friday ki Asian session mein momentum hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin yeh sirf 1.0900 ke psychological support level ke upar ek narrow range mein trade karta raha, jo pichle din takreeban char hafton ki low par tha. Traders ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain kyunke woh European Central Bank (ECB) ke intezaar mein hain, jo unhein agle directional move ke liye clear signals nahi dete. Market close par EUR/USD 1.0975 ke aas paas raha.

Agar ECB dovish stance ka signal deta hai, toh yeh pair par downward pressure daal sakta hai aur yeh 1.0900 level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Lekin agar ECB ka tone optimistic hota hai, toh bullish sentiment wapas aa sakta hai, aur yeh pair upar ki taraf move karega, khaaskar agar yeh currency 1.0900 ke critical support se upar rahe. Traders ko US economic data aur Federal Reserve policy ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye, kyunki inka pair ke future direction par zaroori asar hoga.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Market participants ECB se updates ka intezaar kar rahe hain, aur bohat se logon ka kehna hai ke central bank apni policy-easing efforts ko jari rakhega. Focus ECB ke monetary policy statement aur President Christine Lagarde ki press conference par hoga, jahan traders ko ECB ki strategy ke baare mein jaanne ki umeed hai. Financial markets filhal yeh expect kar rahe hain ke is saal ke aakhri quarter mein ECB se ek aur interest rate cut aane ki umeed hai, jo upcoming policy announcements ko aur bhi interesting bana raha hai.

Jabke ECB par dhyan hai, pichle hafte ka US labor market report Federal Reserve ke agle move ke expectations mein uncertainty daal raha hai. Is report ne Fed ke aane wale September meeting mein aggressive rate cut ki sambhavnayon par kuch shak paida kar diya hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, market ab bhi yeh expect kar raha hai ke Fed September mein kam se kam 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut dega, lekin 50 bps ke zyada cut ki sambhavnayein 31% tak gir gayi hain, jo pichle hafte 38% thi.







Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Price 1.0950 ke region ki taraf aur gir gaya, lekin pair ne 1.0900 ke psychological support level ke nazdeek Rising Channel chart pattern ke breakout ko test karne ke baad kuch taqat hasil ki hai. Yeh area pair ke liye ek crucial base ban gaya hai, aur near-term outlook behtar hota ja raha hai kyunke currency 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar stabilize ho gaya hai, jo filhal 1.1086 ke aas paas hai.

Agar pair key resistance levels ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh pair ke trajectory par significant asar daal sakta hai. Agar pair 1.1240 ke peak se neeche girta hai, toh yeh 1.1000 ke major psychological support se neeche girne ke baad 1.0900 mark tak pahunch sakta hai. Technical front par, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab 60.00 ke kareeb hai, jo agar is level ke upar bana rahta hai, toh potential bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

EUR/USD currency pair filhal ek wazeh range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan 1.1100 ka level ek aham support point hai aur 1.1200 ka level resistance barrier ka kaam kar raha hai. Pichle haftay, price in dono levels ke darmiyan fluctuate kiya hai, jo traders ke liye ek stable environment bana raha hai. Yeh oscillation ek consolidation period ka ishara hai, jo aksar kisi potential breakout se pehle dekha jata hai.

1.1100 ka level khaas taur par dekhne laayak hai. Jab price is support level ke nazdeek aata hai, toh yeh aksar bounce back karta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers is price par euros kharidne ke liye tayyar hain. Yeh rawaiya yeh darshata hai ke euro ki strong demand hai, jo market mein bullish sentiment ka ishara de sakta hai. Is ke muqabil, jab price 1.1200 ke resistance level par pahunchti hai, toh selling pressure barh jata hai, jo price ko neeche kheeche deta hai. Yeh back-and-forth movement ek range banata hai jise traders faida uthane ke liye istemal kar sakte hain.

Hal hi mein, bullish bias ki taraf ek noticeable shift dekhne ko mili hai. Traders ab aise signs dekh rahe hain ke euro shayad U.S. dollar ke muqabil mazid mazboot hoga. Agar yeh bullish momentum jari rahta hai, toh traders 1.1200 ke resistance level ke upar kisi bhi movement par nazar rakhne wale hain. Agar yeh point cross hota hai, toh euro ki value mein kafi izafa ho sakta hai, jo agle target 1.1250 ki taraf rally extend kar sakta hai. Yeh level ek critical indicator ban sakta hai ek sustained upward trend ka.

Market dynamics jaldi badal sakti hain, isliye traders ko hamesha vigilant rehna chahiye. Agar 1.1200 ke upar breakout hota hai, toh yeh na sirf buying interest mein izafa dikhata hai balki market sentiment mein bhi ek shift ka ishara deta hai. Yeh zyada traders ko long positions lene par majboor kar sakta hai, jo price ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Iske muqabil, agar price is resistance ko cross nahi kar pata aur phir se 1.1100 ki taraf girta hai, toh yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai, jo potential bearish trends ki taraf le ja sakta hai.







Broad economic context bhi EUR/USD exchange rate par asar daal sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve se interest rate decisions, inflation rates, aur economic growth indicators market sentiment ko khaas taur par asar kar sakte hain. Eurozone se positive economic data, jaise strong GDP growth ya rising consumer confidence, euro ki position ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar U.S. economy mein koi negative developments hoti hain, toh yeh dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jisse euro ko mazeed faida mil sakta hai.

Traders ko geopolitical events aur doosri external factors par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo currency movements ko impact kar sakti hain. Trade agreements, political stability, ya major economic announcements se mutaliq khabrein market mein volatility ko barha sakti hain. Yeh unpredictability traders ke liye ek clear strategy aur risk management plan banana bohot zaroori banati hai.

EUR/USD pair filhal ek defined range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan critical support 1.1100 aur resistance 1.1200 hai. Emerging bullish bias ka matlab hai ke traders ko 1.1200 ke upar potential breakout ke liye dekhna chahiye, jo 1.1250 ki taraf mazid upward movement ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, broader economic conditions aur geopolitical events ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions kiye ja sakein. Hamesha ki tarah, careful analysis aur strategy forex market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye bohot zaroori hai.

EurUsd market pair mein pichle Budh ko jo trading hui, wo dobara buyers ne control kar li. Unhone bearish sellers ko support area 1.0738-1.0735 par rokh kar, prices ko aur neeche push karne ka moka nahi diya. Buyers ne phir bohot strong bullish pressure daala, jo US dollar ke weakening se support hua jab inflation ya CPI data estimates se neeche nikla.

Moving Average indicator ko Daily time window mein monitor karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price ya candle phir se bohot strong bullish move kar rahi hai aur Red 50 MA area 1.0776 ko break kar ke Yellow 200 MA area 1.0785 ko bhi cross kar gayi. Yeh aur bhi clear hota hai jab price Blue 100 MA area 1.0802 ko break kar ke solid bullish candlestick banata hai, jo market ke buyers ko support karne ka signal deta hai ke EurUsd pair ko stronger bullish trend mein le jayein. Buyers ka target yeh hoga ke price ko upar le jayein aur seller's supply resistance area 1.0890-1.0900 ko test karein aaj ki trading mein.

Thursday ke Asian market session mein, EurUsd pair ka price abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai jab ke kal raat price sellers ke pressure se thodi correction hui thi. Buyers koshish karenge EurUsd market pair ko dominate karte hue price ko upar le jayein aur closest seller resistance area 1.0848-1.0850 ko test karein. Agar yeh successfully break hota hai, to price aur bhi upar move kar sakta hai, jiska next target seller supply resistance area 1.0890-1.0900 hoga.

Nateeja:

Buy ya buy trading options us waqt ki ja sakti hain jab price seller's resistance area ko penetrate karein. Pending order buy stop area 1.0845-1.0850 par rakhein, aur TP area 1.0890-1.0900 par rakhein.

Sell ya sell trading options us waqt ki ja sakti hain jab price buyer support area ko successfully penetrate karein. Pending sell stop order 1.0735-1.0730 par rakhein, aur TP area 1.0700-1.0695 par rakhein.

EUR/USD pair ki price movement ko dekh kar lagta hai ke upward rally ke baad ab tak koi khaas correction phase nahi dekhne ko mila. Haqeeqat mein, price ne 1.0817 ke high prices ko cross kar liya aur upward rally ko jari rakha. Waqai, jab trend direction already bullish condition mein ho, to price movement ka projection ziyada barhne ka hai. Agar price 1.0778 ke low tak jata hai, to lagta hai ke yeh RBS area 1.0771 tak nahi pohonchega. Is ke ilawa, price pattern ka structure bhi higher high - higher low condition mein hai, jo yeh matlab deta hai ke downward correction phase sirf ek secondary reaction hoga.

RSI indicator ke parameters (14), jo ke overbought zone 80 - 70 level ke andar hain, yeh batate hain ke upward rally mein buying saturation point par pohonch gayi hai. Abhi ka EUR/USD pair ka price agar upward rally ko barhata dekhna chahta hai to pehle ek downward correction zaroori hai, taake price 1.0900 level tak pohonch sake. Yeh bhi yaad rakhein ke New York session mein aaj raat ko US employment data report ka aana hai jo ke US Dollar currency ke outlook ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Agar fundamentals US Dollar ke haq mein hotay hain, to upward rally ruk sakti hai aur price movement 1.0800 level se neeche ho sakti hai.

Trading plan ke liye behtar hoga ke BUY ka intezaar kiya jaye kyun ke iss waqt market ke trending direction ke khilaaf jaana risky ho sakta hai. RBS area 1.0771 ko entry point ke tor par use kiya ja sakta hai agar downward correction kafi impulsive hoti hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameter ke 50 level ke qareeb pohonchne par agar rejection hota hai, to yeh confirmation milti hai. Take profit ya stop loss ko set karte waqt Risk: Reward ratio 1: 2 ka istimaal kiya ja sakta hai taake capital ki strength ke mutabiq adjust kiya ja sake.

Raat ko market ka movement kafi active tha, fellow traders. Waise, raat ka trading kaise rahi? Agar main kal EUR/USD pair trade karne ka plan banata, to acha nahi hota. Mujhe umeed thi ke yeh pair aur upar jayega, magar yeh neeche chala gaya. Yeh US dollar ke mazid taqatwar hone aur bullish trend mein aane se related hai, jo ke ab phir se chal raha hai. Aaj main EUR/USD currency pair ko monitor karunga, jo ke raat ko significant price decline ka shikar tha. Aayein, chart dekhte hain taake hum market ki current situation ko samajh saken.Niche dikhaye gaye chart mein hum dekhte hain ke kal ke historical market movement mein lagbhag 135 pips ka price decline hua. Yeh aaj bhi jari reh sakta hai aur qeemat najdeeki support level 1.0970 ko test kar sakti hai, jo ke pichle hafte ka lowest price level tha. Agar yeh support area break hota hai, to qeemat aur neeche ja sakti hai. Uske baad, qeemat ka decline aglay strong support level 1.0950 tak pohonch sakta hai. Current selling pressure ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj ke price movement mein kal ka bearish trend jari rehne ka imkaan hai.Is technical analysis ke mutabiq, hum ye natija nikal saktay hain ke EUR/USD pair ka current trend ab bhi bearish hai. To aaj ke trading plan ke liye, main sell option ka intekhab karunga, aur mera target qeemat ka girna aur najdeeki support level tak pohonchna hoga. Entry area ke liye, main pehle is intezar mein rahunga ke qeemat upar jaye taake usko nearest resistance level par correct kar sakein, jismein SL ka fasla lagbhag 50 pips hoga aur minimum reward 60 se 70 pips hoga. Dusra option yeh hai ke nearest support level par position rakhi jaye taake isay lambi muddat tak hold kiya ja sake.Meri trading scheme ke dauran, agar qeemat resistance level se neeche rahti hai, to main buy option ko shamil nahi karta. Market ki movement normal se kam thi, jo yeh darshata hai ke aane wale waqt mein mazeed volatility aasakti hai, aur yeh shayad Thursday ko US labour data release tak barqarar rahe. Aik aur downturn subah ke waqt ho sakta hai, jismein European session ke dauran recovery shuru ho. Eurozone mein inflation ab 1% se neeche chali gayi hai, jo ke euro par negative asar dal sakti hai.H1 chart par solid upward channel tha, aur support line 1.1144 ke neeche break hone ke baad pair channel ke lower boundary se neeche chala gaya. Iske baad, EUR/USD pair ne tezi se decline kiya aur original lows 1.1059 ko hit kiya. Sellers aur neeche push karne mein kamiab nahi ho sake aur ab price lagbhag 1.1060 par trade kar rahi hai.

EUR/USD mein nahi dekhe gaye.Agar hum daily chart se analysis shuru karein, toh aisa lagta hai ke ek fifth wave ka growth form ho raha hai, aur mujhe abhi tak koi aise wajah nazar nahi aa rahi ke yeh na ho. Pehle ek signal aaya tha Euro ke rise hone ka, jiska target 1.12301 tha, aur yeh abhi tak meri chart par purple line ke tor par mojood hai. Lekin ab hum ek different level aur signal par baat kar rahe hain, jo hourly timeframe se hai. Yeh thora qareebi target deta hai, lekin agar growth jaari rahi toh dono targets achieve ho sakte hain. Chaliye ab hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain.Dusri chart par H4 timeframe hai, lekin targets dekhne ke liye hum hourly buy signal par discussion karenge. Signal level 1.11446 par consider kiya ja raha hai. Is signal level se neeche aur stop-loss level se ooper jo bhi buy entries hoti hain, wo advantageous aur sahi buying points hain. Stop-loss level ko 1.10677 ke neeche consider kiya gaya hai. Target jo mention kiya gaya hai, wo 1.12209 hai. Agar hum signal level se ooper buying karte hain, toh risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 1 se kam ho jata hai, jo ke long-term mein profitable nahi hoga. Dosre lafzon mein, buying entry point aise select karna chahiye ke wo 1 to 1 ratio se neeche na ho. Agar 1 to 2 ratio achieve karna hai, toh buy entries 1.11187 se start karni chahiye. Aur agar 1 to 3 ratio achieve karna hai, toh entries 1.11038 se start karni hongi. Maine chart par grid aise set kiya hai ke wo ek ruler ki tarah lagta hai. Yani, 0.0% stop hai, 100% profit hai, aur 50% level signal level hai. Currency pair EUR/USD ne Thursday ke din low level 1.10680 se reversal le kar northwards move kiya. Abhi pair Bollinger Bands ke bullish zone mein 1.11625 ke level par hai. MACD histogram zero mark se ooper hai, aur RSI midline ke ooper hai. Agle hafte price ka mazid strong hona aur 261.8% level (1.13133) tak pohanchna expect kiya ja raha hai.
EUR/USD apni taraf se barhkar saal ki unchi simat 1.1200 ke nazdeek pahuncha hai, jab ke US Dollar (USD) ko pressure ka saamna hai kyun ke China ke taraf se bada stimulus plans ka elan hua hai jo unki ma'ashi slowdown ke khataron se nikalne ke liye hai. Aam tor par, khushgawar market sentiment ke doran US Dollar mein investment flows kam hote hain.
China ke is bade stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se November mein bade rate cuts ki umeedon mein izafa ne bhi US Dollar ko pichhe dhakel diya hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe badi currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, Wednesday ko thodi barh gayi hai lekin ab bhi saal ke unche simat 100.20 ke nazdeek hai.
CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke taraf se 50 basis points (bps) ka rate cut karne ki sambhavana 60% tak barh gayi hai, jo ke pehle 37% thi. Fed ne 18 September ko policy-easing cycle shuru kiya tha aur 50 bps ka bade rate cut ka elan kiya tha kyun ke officials ko declining labor demand ki chinta thi.
Is hafte, US Dollar ke liye bada trigger United States ka core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data hai jo ke Friday ko aane wala hai, jo ke Fed ka pasandeeda inflation gauge hai. Yeh andaza lagaya gaya hai ke underlying inflation measure July mein 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% tak pahunchega.
Fed ke pasandeeda inflation gauge se pehle, investors ko US Durable Goods Orders ke August ke liye data par bhi nazar rakhni hogi, jo ke Thursday ko aane wala hai. Naye Durable Goods Orders ke 2.6% tak kam hone ka andaza hai jab ke July mein ye 9.8% ki mazboot growth dikhayi thi.

USD H1 time frame chart par, abhi exchange rate 1.1150 ke aas paas hai, aur market mein clear bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh downtrend Euro ki U.S. Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori ko dikhata hai, jo kai factors ki wajah se hai, jaise ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur overall market sentiment. Traders ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market ki current momentum ko samajhne mein madadgar hain. Technical indicators, jaise Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce kar rahe hain. Yeh pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke qareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term bounce ho sakta hai, magar overall trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na ho. Is waqt EUR/USD pair bearish phase mein hai H1 time frame par, aur kai factors euro ki weakness ka sabab ban rahe hain U.S. dollar ke muqable mein. Traders ko aanay wali economic data releases aur geopolitical developments par ghore se nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko aur bhi mutasir kar sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, long positions mein ehtiyaat karni chahiye, jab ke market ko short karne wale traders key technical levels par nazar rakh kar behtar entry points ko dekhen. Candle analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD mein girawat hai aur trend analysis bhi bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke sirf gold hi nahi, balki yen aur franc jesi currencies bhi dollar ke muqable mein gain kar rahi hain. Yeh broader market mein risk aversion ko darshata hai. Mujhe lagta hai yeh Middle East mein barhti hui tensions ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jahan Iran ke involvement ka khatra hai. Oil prices mein izafa hua hai is rumor ki wajah se ke Iran Israel par missile strike kar sakta hai, aur Israel ne bhi retaliation ka wada kiya hai. Is uncertainty ne market mein declines ko trigger kiya hai. Agar ye tensions raat tak kam ho jati hain, toh kal tak EUR/USD phir se 1.1099 level par aa sakta hai. Aksar aise geopolitical risks jaldi reverse ho jate hain agar situation de-escalate ho jaye. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh euro ne ek ascending wedge se breakout kiya hai aur 1.1049 tak pura retrace kar chuka hai. Agar Iran aur Israel ka conflict aur barhta hai, toh yeh pair 1.0999 level tak gir sakta hai

Maine 1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon,

EUR/USD Price Summary

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Hum weekly range ke peak 1.0971 par pohch gaye hain, jo mujhe selling ko dobara consider karne par majboor kar raha hai. Badqismati se 1.0906-1.0899 range se koi buying opportunity nahi mili. Bears eagerly pullback ka intezar kar rahe hain, lekin yeh dekhna abhi baki hai ke bulls is mein madad karte hain ya bears ko higher levels tak le jaate hain. Abhi bhi ek possible pullback hai, jahan bears apne targets ko 1.0936 tak barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain—yeh outcome abhi questionable hai. Main din ke khatam hone tak koi new buy trades ya sales entertain nahi karunga. Iske bajaye, hum dekhenge ke bulls ka push towards new highs kaisa conclude hota hai. Agar woh weekly range 1.0971 ke upar break karte hain, toh kal ek significant increase dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo September quarterly contract ke first notable targets 1.1081 tak pohchne ka potential rakhta hai.

EUR/USD asset daily hourly period mein pehle se established resistance zones ko revisit karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Filhal, price 1.0973 par hai, jahan se currency pair aksar bearish rebound karta hai. Lekin, primary target abhi bhi critical resistance level 1.1001 hai, jo lagta hai ke yeh instrument test karne ke liye qareeb hai. Technical analysis ke lehaz se, currency pair Bollinger Bands ke upper price range mein hai, jo upward trend ko continue karne ka edge provide karta hai. Aaj ki unusual daily candle ek potential correction zone ko indicate karti hai, jo ke Fibonacci grid par 50% ke aas-paas hai agar bullish trend jari rehti hai. Is asset ko sell karna ek feasible option ho sakta hai agar daily candle lagbhag 50% retrace karti hai.

EurUsd market pair mein pichle Budh ko jo trading hui, wo dobara buyers ne control kar li. Unhone bearish sellers ko support area 1.0738-1.0735 par rokh kar, prices ko aur neeche push karne ka moka nahi diya. Buyers ne phir bohot strong bullish pressure daala, jo US dollar ke weakening se support hua jab inflation ya CPI data estimates se neeche nikla.
Moving Average indicator ko Daily time window mein monitor karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price ya candle phir se bohot strong bullish move kar rahi hai aur Red 50 MA area 1.0776 ko break kar ke Yellow 200 MA area 1.0785 ko bhi cross kar gayi. Yeh aur bhi clear hota hai jab price Blue 100 MA area 1.0802 ko break kar ke solid bullish candlestick banata hai, jo market ke buyers ko support karne ka signal deta hai ke EurUsd pair ko stronger bullish trend mein le jayein. Buyers ka target yeh hoga ke price ko upar le jayein aur seller's supply resistance area 1.0890-1.0900 ko test karein aaj ki trading mein.

Thursday ke Asian market session mein, EurUsd pair ka price abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai jab ke kal raat price sellers ke pressure se thodi correction hui thi. Buyers koshish karenge EurUsd market pair ko dominate karte hue price ko upar le jayein aur closest seller resistance area 1.0848-1.0850 ko test karein. Agar yeh successfully break hota hai, to price aur bhi upar move kar sakta hai, jiska next target seller supply resistance area 1.0890-1.0900 hoga.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, currency pair Bollinger Bands ke upper price range mein hai, jo upward trend ko continue karne ka edge provide karta hai. Aaj ki unusual daily candle ek potential correction zone ko indicate karti hai, jo ke Fibonacci grid par 50% ke aas-paas hai agar bullish trend jari rehti hai. Is asset ko sell karna ek feasible option ho sakta hai agar daily candle lagbhag 50% retrace karti hai.

**Yuro Ki Halat Aur Uqaat**

Yuro ne shuruati tor par is trading hafte mein behter hone mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, lekin jaldi hi us ne raasta badal diya, jisse iski qeemat mein tezi se kami aayi aur yeh aham 1.10 ki had se neeche gir gaya. Yeh kami us waqt aayi jab Amreeki rozgar ki report kaafi behtar aayi, jo yuro par dabao dal rahi thi. Is wajah se, abhi ke liye bazar ka rukh aksar range mein hi rehne ki sambhavna hai. Mazboot Amreeki rozgar ke data ne Federal Reserve ko mushkil mein daal diya hai, jisse unka agle mawaqe par interest rates ko zyada kam karna mushkil lagta hai. Yeh nazar aati hai ke aage chal kar Amreeki dollar ki majbooti ko aur bhi farogh milega.

**European CPI Aur Amreeki Rozgar Ka Asar**

Europe se aaye huye thande CPI numbers aur Amreekeh se aayi behtar rozgar ki data ke saath, yuro abhi ke liye consolidation ke liye tayyar hai. Agle sessions mein, hum dekh sakte hain ke yuro dheere dheere 1.08 ya us se neeche girta hai dusre haftay ke doraan.

**Aham Level 1.08**

Iss marahil par, bazar abhi zyada faislay ka intezaar kar raha hai. 1.08 ka level ek aham jagah banne wala hai jahan traders surat-e-haal ka dobara jaiza le sakte hain aur mumkin hai ke yeh currency pair ka agla bada rukh tay kare. Filhal, aisa lagta hai ke yuro abhi dabao mein rahega, aur yeh dheere dheere kami ka silsila jari rakhega.

**Aane Wale Faisle Aur Bazaar Ka Rukh**

Yeh bazar waqt ke saath bade faisle karne ke liye tayyar hai. Jab tak yeh nahi hota, traders ko kuch choppy action ki umeed rakhni chahiye jab tak yeh jo pairing hai woh is wider range mein rahe. 1.08 ke neeche girne par yeh aur nuksan ka darwaza khol sakta hai, lekin ab tak yuro ka dheere dheere kami ka silsila jari rehne ka khayal hai.

EUR/USD currency pair abhi apni recent kamyabi ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Do din tak positive movement ke baad, yeh pair US session ke dauran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye spot prices 1.1180 ke critical level ke thoda upar hain aur lagbhag unchanged hain jabke dealers US ki ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD takriban 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Aage dekhte hue, Euro ke bulls ka focus kuch ahem resistance levels par hai, jisme 1.1200 ka recent high aur July 2023 ka 1.1276 peak shamil hain. Doosri taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level neeche ki taraf movement ke khilaf ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance aur support levels ka balance near-term mein pair ki performance ke liye ihtiyat pasand optimism ko zahir karta hai.

### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals
Haal hi mein aaye data ne Eurozone ki economic challenges ko ujagar kiya hai, khaaskar uski do bari economies mein. Germany ki industrial production mein July mein 2.4% ki significant girawat aayi, jo expected sirf 0.3% decline ke muqable mein thi. France ne bhi ek downtrend report kiya, jisme industrial output 0.5% se kam hui. Yeh disappointing numbers bearish outlook ko faroogh dete hain, jaise ke Reuters ke ek survey mein dikhaya gaya jo August 30 se September 5 tak conduct hua, jisme 85% economists ne anticipate kiya ke European Central Bank (ECB) aane wale meetings mein interest rate cuts apply karegi.

In economic challenges ko madde nazar rakhte hue, kai ECB officials market ke potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se comfortable nazar aa rahe hain. ECB Executive Board ke member Piero Cipollone ne ek interview mein is khauf ka izhar kiya ke "ECB ka stance bohat zyada restrictive ho sakta hai." Yeh jazba Eurozone ki economic situation par badhne wali fikr ko zahir karta hai aur monetary policy mein ek shift ke imkaan ko faroogh deta hai.

### Continual Time Frame Technical Outlook
1.1150 level ke upar earnings ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka near-term outlook ihtiyaat ke saath optimistic lag raha hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas support establish kiya hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.1157 par hai. Iske ilawa, longer-term indicators jaise 50-day aur 100-day EMAs, jo 1.1144 aur 1.1135 par hain, upward trend dikhate hain, jo future growth ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, currency pair hourly chart par Rising Channel mein apni position barqarar rakhti hai, jo positive momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Technical indicators EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai

EUR/USD

EUR/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ko discuss karna zaroori hai. Yeh pair 1.10 level tak nahi pohoncha, magar kuch early signs of potential activity dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Main is area mein koi significant rally expect nahi karta, kyun ke recent decline kisi major wajah ke baghair hua hai. Yeh decline technical factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, fundamental shift ki wajah se nahi. Abhi tak yeh confirm nahi hua ke pair girta rahega ya nahi, kyun ke kuch strong support levels maujood hain jo bearish trend ko indicate karte hain. Is hafte ke pehle bhi aisi dip dekhi gayi thi jiske baad ek swift recovery hui thi, lekin ab jo situation hai woh kuch alag mehsoos ho rahi hai. Market sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi aayi hai, aur price ab bhi bullish hai. Lekin, weekly price close bullish momentum ke liye favorable nahi lagti.

Agar correction 1.12036 se hoti hai, to yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke jab market significant resistance levels tak pohonchti hai, to pullbacks hoti hain. Is potential ko recognize karna better risk management aur aagey ki trades ke planning ke liye helpful ho sakta hai. Agar bullish movement target hit karne ke baad establish hoti hai, to price action ko closely monitor karna bohot important hoga taake bulls ki strength aur unka price ko upar push karne ka irada samajh sakein. Agar entry point 1.12098 pe hai, to iss situation mein flexibility zaroori hai.

Market ka downward movement bearish shift in sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Trading strategy mein flexibility zaroori hai, aur naye information ko dekhte hue strategy ko reassess aur adapt karna hoga. Agar price is level ke neeche break karta hai, to buying opportunities ka reevaluation zaroori hoga, kyun ke yeh signal de sakta hai ke market sellers ko favor kar raha hai. Yeh adjustment naye support levels ko dekhne ya trend reversal ke clearer confirmation ka intezaar karne par based ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, trader ab bhi bullish side ko favor karta hai aur 1.1176 tak recovery expect karta hai.

Pair ki aaj ki performance unusual rahi hai, kyun ke yeh pehle 1.12 level ke upar gaya tha lekin phir lagbhag 101 points neeche gir gaya. Trader ne technical perspective se kuch lines chart kiye hain jo is instrument ke trading ke liye ek solid strategy offer karte hain. Lekin, bearish trend ab bhi price ko neeche drag kar raha hai, khaaskar H4 time frame mein, jisse pair ko upward rally karna mushkil lagta hai. Fibonacci grid jo 101-161.9 range tak span karti hai, consecutive dinon se effective rahi hai, isliye isko dekhna ab bhi zaroori factor hai. Market mein selling pressure zyada tha jiski wajah se large number of people apni investments sell kar rahe the.

EUR/USD currency pair ka current price behavior discuss karne ke laayak hai. Halaanke EUR/USD ne 1.10 ka level nahi chhua, lekin kuch early signs dikh rahe hain jo potential activity ko darshaate hain. Main is area mein kisi significant rally ki umeed nahi kar raha, kyun ke recent girawat kisi zabardast fundamental shift ke bagair hui. Yeh girawat ziada technical factors ki wajah se hai, na ke koi significant economic ya political development. Abhi tak yeh kehna mushkil hai ke pair girta rahega, kyun ke kuch strong support levels hain jo ek bearish trend ko darshaate hain.

Is haftay ke aghaz mein bhi ek aisi hi girawat hui thi, lekin uske baad market mein tez recovery dekhne ko mili thi. Magar ab ka scenario thoda mukhtalif lag raha hai. Market sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui, aur price abhi bhi bullish hai. Lekin, weekly price close bullish momentum ke haq mein nahi lag raha. 1.12036 ke qareeb ek correction ki umeed karna ek samajhdari ki baat hai, kyun ke markets aksar significant resistance levels par pullbacks ka shikar hote hain.

Is potential ko samajhna better risk management aur aane wali trades ke liye behtar planning mein madad de sakta hai. Agar bullish movement target hit karne ke baad establish hoti hai, to price action ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga, taake bull ki strength aur unki niyat ko samajh sakein ke kya woh price ko aur upar le jaana chaahte hain. Dusri taraf, agar entry point 1.12098 par breach ho jata hai, to yeh ek bearish shift ko darsha sakta hai.

**Market Sentiment**:
Downward movement abhi bhi market mein ek bearish shift ko darshaata hai. Trading strategy mein flexible rehna zaroori hai, taake naye information ke mutabiq assess aur adapt kiya ja sake. Agar price is level ke neeche breach karta hai, to yeh buying opportunities ko phir se evaluate karne ka waqt hoga, kyun ke yeh market ke sellers ko favor karne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Yeh adjustment naye support levels ko dekhne ya trend reversal ke clearer confirmation ka intezar karne ki soorat mein ho sakta hai. Trader ab bhi bullish side ko favor karta hai aur 1.1176 ki taraf recovery ki umeed rakhta hai.

Aaj pair ki performance unusual rahi, kyun ke pehle yeh 1.12 level ke upar gaya, lekin phir lagbhag 101 points ka drop dekhne ko mila. Trader ne technical perspective se corresponding lines chart ki hain, jo is instrument ko trade karne ke liye ek solid strategy provide karte hain. Lekin bearish trend abhi bhi price ko neeche drag karta ja raha hai, khaaskar H4 timeframe mein, jisse pair ka rally karna mushkil ho raha hai.

**Fibonacci Analysis**:
Fibonacci grid, jo 101-161.9 range ko cover karta hai, kaafi dino tak effective raha hai, isliye isko consider karna zaroori hoga. Market mein bohat zyada log apni investments ko sell karna chahte the, jisse market overwhelmed ho gaya.

EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior par guftagu ki ja sakti hai. Halankeh EUR/USD jori 1.10 ke level tak nahi pahuncha, lekin pehle kuch nishaan dekhne ko mile hain jo potential activity ko darust karte hain. Main is area mein kisi bara rally ki umeed nahi karta, kyun ke haali mein jo girawat hui wo bina kisi substantial wajah ke hui. Yeh girawat shayad technical factors ki wajah se hui hai, na ke kisi fundamental shift ki wajah se. Yeh abhi tak uncertain hai ke kya jori girti rahegi, kyun ke kuch intense support levels hain jo bearish trend ka ishara dete hain. Is hafte ke shuru mein, ek aisi hi girawat ke baad tezi se recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mojooda halat kuch alag mehsoos hoti hai. Market sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai, aur price bullish hai. Lekin, weekly price close bullish momentum ke liye favorable nahi lagta. 1.12036 se correction ki umeed karna samajhdari hai, kyun ke markets aksar significant resistance levels tak pahunchnay ke baad pullbacks ka samna karte hain. Is potential ko samajhna behtar risk management aur agle trades ke liye planning mein madadgar hota hai. Agar bullish movement established hota hai target tak pahunchnay ke baad, to price action ko nazar rakhna bohot ahem hoga, taake bulls ki taqat aur iraadey ko samjha ja sake ke wo prices ko upar kahan tak le jana chahte hain. Is ke muqabil, agar entry point 1.12098 par hai.

Market mein niche ki taraf harkat bearish sentiment ka ishara deti hai. Apni trading strategy mein flexible rehna zaroori hai, tayyar rehna chahiye naye maloomat ke mutabiq reassess aur adapt karne ke liye. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, to buying opportunities ka dobara jaiza lena zaroori ho sakta hai, kyun ke yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke market sellers ko pasand kar raha hai. Yeh adjustment naye support levels dekhne ya trend reversal ki clear confirmation ka intezar karne mein shamil ho sakta hai. Iske bawajood, trader abhi bhi bullish side ko pasand karta hai aur 1.1176 ki taraf recovery ki umeed rakhta hai. Aaj jori ki performance unusual rahi, kyun ke isne shuru mein 1.12 level ko break kiya lekin phir 101 points tak gir gayi. Trader ne corresponding lines chart ki hain, jo ke technical perspective se is instrument ke trading ke liye ek mazboot strategy deti hain. Lekin, bearish trend ab bhi price ko neeche kheench raha hai, khaas tor par H4 time frame mein, jo jori ko upar rally karne mein mushkil bana raha hai. Fibonacci grid, jo 101-161.9 range tak hai, kai dinon se effective rahi hai, isliye yeh ek ahem factor hai jo mad e nazar rakha jana chahiye. Market mein bohot saare log apne investments bechnay ki koshish kar rahe hain.