Eurusd forum

Aane Wale Ma'ashi Data Release: Is hafte ke liye Eurozone, Germany, aur France ke flash PMI data ka intizar kar rahe hain traders aur analysts. Ye numbers iqtisadi sehat aur performance ke bare mein ahem maloomat denge, jo ke ongoing euro ki volatility ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit honge.

Market Ka Rujhan Aur Mustaqbil Ke Umeed: Euro ki halia girawat jo uske peak se hui, woh market ki chintaon ko darsha rahi hai, jo European Central Bank ke mustaqbil ke aamaal se mutaliq andeshon se paida hui hai. Sood ki kamiyabi aur naye macroeconomic forecasts par tawajju ECB ke easing stance ko darsha rahi hai, jo ma'ashi indicators ke hawale se hai. Is waja se, aane wale PMI data market sentiment aur euro ki trajectory ke hawale se umeedat ke liye ahem hoga.

Ahem Ma'ashi Indicators: Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Eurozone, Germany, aur France ka flash PMI data, in ehm ilaqon mein iqtisadi activity aur sentiment ke ahem indicators honge. Agar PMI readings mutawaqqa se zyada strong hoti hain, toh euro ko support mil sakta hai, jabke kamzor data se mazeed ECB ki monetary easing ki umeedain barh sakti hain.

Jab euro kareeb $1.088 par hai, tawajju ECB ke policy review aur ahem ma'ashi data ke release par hai. Markazi bank ke faislay, updated ma'ashi forecasts aur indicators se mutasir honge, jo euro ke mustaqbil ke rukh ka tayyun karenge. Isliye, sarmaayakar aur traders ko in taraqqiyat se khabar rakhna zaroori hai taake potential currency market fluctuations ko navigate kar sakein.

Eurozone Mein Consumer Sentiment Mein Umeed Se Zyada Behtari: Shuruaati andazay darsha rahe hain ke Eurozone ka consumer confidence index July 2024 mein -13 tak barh gaya hai, jo pichle maheene ke -14 se upar hai aur market ki umeedat -13.4 se barh kar hai. Ye Feb 2022 ke baad se sabse buland satah hai, jo ECB ke halia sood ki kamiyabi ke baad inflation ke kam hone ke jawabi faur par paish aaya. Market ka rujhan mazeed sood ki kamiyabi ke hawale se September aur shayad December mein bhi optimistic hai. France ke parliamentary elections ke baad siyasi concerns bhi kam hue hain, jo ke aik single-party dominance ke khauf ko kam karte hue legislative gridlock ko farogh de rahe hain. European Union ke wasi ilaqe mein bhi consumer sentiment mein behtari dekhne ko mili hai, jo -12.2 tak barh gaya hai.

EUR/USD Forecast Aaj: Halia daily chart performance ke madde nazar, EUR/USD pair ek downward bias dikha raha hai, jisme support 1.0800 ke neeche tootne se bearish control barhne ke imkanaat hain, jo mazeed girawat ko 1.0730 aur 1.0660 tak le ja sakta hai. Technical indicators darsha rahe hain ke latter level se strong selling pressure hai. Wahan, psychological resistance ab bhi 1.10 par hai, jo kisi bhi upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye ahem hai. Ye harkatain asar andaz hongi global central bank policies, ma'ashi performance, aur agle US presidential election ke nateejaat ke hawale se jo Biden ke term ke baad hogi.

Yeh hai, khawateen o hazrat, jis tarah high profits banaye jate hain, unlike jo hum yahan aapke sath kar rahe hain...
Ab tak, mujhe euro aur pound ke darmiyan koi clear correlation nazar nahi aati. Pound thoda gir gaya hai, magar usne euro ki tarah growth nahi dikhayi. Main zyada is baat par yaqeen rakhta hoon ke pound euro ko neeche kheench lega, na ke ulta. Kya humein EURUSD ke decline ke liye tayyar hona chahiye?

Monday se, EURUSD pair ne powerful tarike se upar ki taraf jump kiya aur wedge ki upper boundary ko tod diya. Yahan ek channel bhi hai, dono ke upper boundaries same hain. Ab tak, unhone retrace kiya hai aur hold nahi kar sake. Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke southern pullback hoga ya nahi. Meri matlab hai, ek deeper pullback. Agar pound girna shuru karta hai, to euro bhi neeche achha lagega.

Abhi niche dekhna possible nahi hai kuch significant reasons ki wajah se. Pehla reason hai recent impulsive rise, aur ek impulse ka usually momentum hota hai. Doosra point hai growth structure mein koi break nahi hai, previous impulse mein koi break nahi, aur even local minimums intact hain. Teesra point hai H4 timeframe par ek unfulfilled potential buy signal ki mojoodgi. Maine second chart par blue bar ke sath iska potential mark kiya hai jiska target 1.10352 par hai. Yeh signal active hai jab tak higher minimum 1.07768 nahi toota. Dosri taraf, even with a buy signal present, euro phir bhi aage pull back kar sakta hai. Magar abhi ke liye, yeh correlation ke sath align nahi hota pound ke sath. Friday se in dono mein strong divergence hai, aur inmein se koi ek doosre ko follow karega. Yeh kehna mushkil hai, kyunki yeh euro pound ko follow kar sakta hai, ya pound euro ko follow kar sakta hai.

### Trading Wisdom: EUR/USD
#### Current Market Analysis

Hamara dehan EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ko decode karne par hai. Kal euro-dollar pair neeche ki taraf gaya, jaisa pehle se umeed thi, aur phir ek aur bearish push di. Filhal, pair locally consolidate ho raha hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh movement jaldi hi bearish direction mein continue karega.

#### Hourly Chart Analysis

Hourly chart par:
- **Indicators**: Neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo aage aur decline ka ishara dete hain.
- **Bollinger Bands**: Pair middle Bollinger Band ko neeche se test kar raha hai is consolidation phase ke dauran. Aane wala direction zyada tar is par depend karega ke yeh level ko todta hai ya wapas hota hai.

Current setup ke mutabiq:
- **Breakthrough Scenario**: Agar pair middle Bollinger Band ko todta hai, toh yeh downward trend ke continuation ka ishara karega.
- **Rebound Scenario**: Agar pair is level se wapas hota hai, toh yeh bearish movement mein temporary pause ya correction ka ishara kar sakta hai.

#### Four-Hour Chart Analysis

Four-hour chart par:
- **Indicators**: Kuch bullish divergences ke bawajood, further decline ka ishara dete hain.
- **Bollinger Bands**: Bands expand ho rahe hain jaise hi pair neeche ja raha hai, jo aam tor par downward momentum ke probable continuation ko indicate karta hai.

#### Trading Strategy

Analysis ko dekhte hue, main EUR/USD pair ke liye selling ko primary trading strategy banata hoon. Yeh hai detailed approach:
- **Sales Priority**: Short positions par focus karna chahiye overall bearish sentiment aur technical indicators ke madde nazar jo further decline ka ishara dete hain.
- **Confirmation**: Pair ko either middle Bollinger Band todne ya wapas hone ka intezar karein hourly chart par. Yeh confirmation agle move ke liye clearer signal dega.
- **Monitoring**: Four-hour chart indicators aur Bollinger Bands ke expansion par nazar rakhein, kyunke yeh broader perspective provide karte hain trend continuation par.

#### Conclusion

EUR/USD pair dono hourly aur four-hour charts par strong bearish signals dikha raha hai. Primary strategy selling ko prioritize karna hai, khaaskar agar pair middle Bollinger Band ko hourly chart par todta hai, jo bearish trend ke continuation ka ishara karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur key levels aur indicators ko monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein

EUR/USD ek mazboot bullish trend ka izhar kar raha hai jab ke yeh kai aham pivot levels ke ooper trade kar raha hai. Yeh pair abhi monthly Pivot level 1.0827 ke ooper hai, jo pehle 1.0764 par tha. Is se yeh pata chalta hai ke pair ne mahine bhar mein kaafi taqat hasil ki hai. Is ke ilawa, yeh weekly Pivot level 1.0871 ke ooper trade kar raha hai, jo pehle 1.0860 par tha, jo ke weekly timeframe mein bullish sentiment ke jari rehne ki nishani hai. Daily Pivot level 1.0800 bhi paar ho chuki hai, jo short-term mein upward momentum ko mazid mazboot banati hai.

Pivot levels technical analysis mein bohot zaroori hote hain kyun ke yeh support aur resistance ke potential points ko represent karte hain, aur in levels ke ooper trade karna aksar taqat ki nishani hota hai. EUR/USD ke case mein, monthly, weekly, aur daily pivot levels ko paar karna collectively ek strong bullish trend ka ishara hai. Traders aksar in levels ko dekhte hain taake market sentiment ko samajh sakein aur informed trading decisions lein.

Monthly pivot level 1.0827 ke ooper movement yeh zahir karta hai ke longer-term sentiment bullish hai, aur buyers ne market par apna qaboo rakha hai. Pehle mahine ke pivot 1.0764 se upar jana buying interest aur euro ke liye confidence mein izafa ko dikhata hai.

Isi tarah, weekly pivot 1.0871 ke ooper trade karna, jo pehle 1.0860 tha, yeh dikhata hai ke weekly basis par bhi bullish momentum mojood hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke pair ne poore hafte apni taqat ko barqarar rakha hai, shayad kisi positive economic data ya market sentiment ki wajah se jo euro ko favor kar raha hai.

Daily pivot level 1.0800 ka paar ho jana short-term bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Yeh daily news events, economic releases, ya technical factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai jo is waqt euro ko favor kar rahe hain.




Mukhtasir yeh ke, EUR/USD ka monthly, weekly, aur daily pivot levels ke ooper trade karna ek mazboot bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh multi-timeframe alignment of pivot level breakouts yeh dikhata hai ke pair mein significant upward momentum hai, jo traders ke liye is waqt ke trend se faida uthane ka mauka bana sakta hai. Jaise ke hamesha, traders ko pivot levels ke saath doosre factors aur indicators ko bhi dekhna chahiye taake apni trading strategies ko confirm kar sakein aur effectively risk ko manage kar sakein.

EUR/USD currency pair ne ek kamzori ka samna kiya, jab yeh Wednesday ko 1.0915 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, Asian session mein takreeban 1.1008 ke paas pohanchne ke baad. Yeh neeche ki taraf ki movement primarily US dollar ki mazid mazbooti ke chalte hui, jo ke mukhtalif currencies pairs par asar daal rahi thi. Market participants intezar mein hain ke Germany ka June trade balance aur industrial production data din ke baad release hoga. Yeh economic indicators euro ke performance par bari asar daal sakte hain. Ek naye risk-on sentiment aur US Treasury yields mein izafa dollar ko support pohanchane mein madad de rahe hain. Magar, market expectations hai ke Federal Reserve ne September se shuru hone wale bade interest rate cuts se dollar ke upside potential ko rok sakti hain aur shayad EUR/USD pair ko momentum haasil karne ke liye mauqe pesh karti hain. Market ab 69.5% probability ke sath Federal Reserve ki taraf se September mein 50 basis points ke interest rate cut ki umeed kar rahi hai, jo ke pichle haftay 13.2% thi. Is expectations ki shift monetary policy mein aasani ki ummeed ko dekhti hai. Ek doosri taraf, US trade deficit June mein $73.1 billion tak ghata, jabke exports ne is saal ke shuru mein apni sab se tezi se growth dekhi. Is acha development ke liye US ki maeeshat ko mazeed sahara mil sakta hai.






Doosri taraf, euro ne bechnay ka dabao face kiya hai eurozone mein mazid economic weakness ke sabooton ke wajah se. Eurostat ne eurozone ke retail sales mein June mein 0.3% kam hone ki shocking report di, pehle mahine ki 0.5% increase ke baad. Yeh figures 0.1% growth ki expectations se kam nikhli. Euro pehle quwwat dikhaya tha, early July mein ek downtrend se bahar nikla aur pichle haftay mein 1.0947 ke char mahine ka unchaai tak pohancha. Magar, pair ne ek correction ka samna kiya hai, apne 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) ke qareeb aaya hai. Agar neeche ki taraf ka trend jaari rahe aur pair SMAs ke neeche aaye, to shuru kiya gaya initial support levels ka intezar hai 1.0793 (1.0447-1.1138 uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement) aur 1.0711 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level). Aur neeche condition ki surat mein pair ko June ke low tak pohanchne ki umeed hai 1.0666. Mulaahiza kijiye ke agar price bounce back karti hai aur 1.0874 ke 38.2% Fibonacci level ko paar karte hain, to yeh raasta ban sakta hai June high tak 1.0915 ke aur shayad haal hee mein char mahine ka high 1.0947 tak. Agar yeh level paar ho jata hai to 1.0975 par 23.6% Fibonacci level ka test ho sakta hai. Aakhir mein, EUR/USD pair ki mansoobagi US aur eurozone economic data ke darmiyan, saath hi dono ilaqon ke interest rate policies ke raasta darust hoga.

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko ease kar liya jab ke yeh Monday ko briefly 1.10 se upar chala gaya tha. Markets Monday ke market rout ko digest kar rahe hain jo ke Japanese indices meltdown ke baad aaya. Germany ke Monthly Factory Orders ne June mein unexpected tor par 3.9% surge kiya.

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko 1.0950 se niche ease kar liya jab ke yeh week ke aghaz mein mazeed gains add kar raha tha, Friday ke poor US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report ke baad. Markets ko recession fears ne dara diya, jo Asia mein equity crisis ko spark kiya jahan do major Japanese indices, Nikkei aur Topix, ne sirf ek trading day mein 10% se zyada value lose kar di. Markets Tuesday ko recover kar rahe hain, jab ke US Dollar (USD) apne peers ke against gain kar raha hai aur Monday ke losses ko recover kar raha hai.

Tuesday ko EUR/USD ki correction ziada bari ya tezi se hone wali nahi lagti. Germany ka June Factory Orders data Euro (EUR) ko support kar raha hai ek stellar performance ke baad. Expectations thi ke June mein month-over-month sirf 0.8% increase hoga May ke 1.6% decline ke baad. Data ne expectations ko exceed karte hue positive 3.9% par aaya.

Raat ko, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee aur San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly ne traders ke nerves ko calm kiya. Dono US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ne kaha ke kuch softer numbers kisi concern ka sabab nahi hain aur job market ab bhi strong hai, kisi substantial aur widespread permanent layoffs ke bagair. Recession fears filhal ke liye kam lag rahe hain, lekin markets ko dar hai ke Fed ne rate cuts par zyada waaday kar diye hain aur jab waqt aayega to shayad kam deliver kare. EUR/USD retreat kar raha hai jab ke sellers Monday ko hard aaye jab pair briefly 1.10 se upar chala gaya tha. Is psychological level par firm rejection aur price action ke wapas red descending trend line se niche girne ke baad, lagta hai ke EUR/USD ko support dhoondne ki zaroorat hai taake next leg higher ke liye strength regain kar sake. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator lagbhag overbought hai, is liye yeh samajh mein aata hai ke pehle ease karne de us se pehle ke next rally spark ho.




Upside par, teen stages ko pehchana ja sakta hai. Pehla area 1.1017 hai, jahan Monday ko sellers hard aaye the. Agar EUR/USD wahan se rally kar paye, to December ke peak 1.1139 par next leg higher aa sakta hai. Agar Fed ko markets ke control se bahar ho jane par emergency rate cut karna pada, to surprise move 1.1275 tak unfold ho sakta hai.

Support ke liye dekhte hue, 1.09 ka round level ideal candidate hai. Agar US Dollar momentum gain karta hai, to 1.08 region mein moving averages ka belt next area dekhne layak hai. Zaroor, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.0830 par bohot appealing lag raha hai, given ke pichle periods mein iski importance rahi hai.

EUR/USD TAAQAT 07 AUGUST 2024

Pichle mahine ke end tak, price ulta seedha hokar neeche ja rahi thi, lekin is mahine ke shuru mein kharidar situation ko ulta karne mein kamiyab raha. Aam tor par, main yeh kehna ka aitbaar karta hoon ke market ab mustaqbil mein bullish trend ke saath chal raha hai. Shayad abhi bhi Uptrend ka safar jari rakh sakte hain. Kal raat market mein neeche ki taraf ek correction dekhne ko mili thori si giravat ke saath kyunki buyers ne prices barhane ke liye koshish ki. Aaj bhi sellers ke efforts hain ke prices ko neeche le jayein. Agar aap EurUsd market mein trading situation monitor karte hain, to aap dekh sakte hain ke buyers market ko control kar rahe hain taake wo prices ko Uptrend zone ki taraf le ja sakein. Prices 1.1009 position tak utha sakti hain. Kal raat ka bearish correction journey ne phir se prices ko girane ka sabab banaya.

Maujooda market situation mein lagta hai ke candlestick ne barhne ki koshish ki hai, period 100 ke simple moving average zone se door jaane ki koshish ki gayi hai taake safar ko Uptrend side ki taraf jari rakha ja sake. Meri raay mein, buyers shayad sellers ke efforts ko prices ko neeche lane mein nakami ka samna kar sakte hain. Maujooda candlestick position 1.0925 area ke aas paas chal rahi hai, meri raay mein yeh ishara hai ke market ko mazeed barhne ki mauqa hai jab market ne neeche ki taraf correction ka samna kiya hai, is liye yeh situation traders ke liye ek reference hai ke wo Uptrend par zyada tawajjo dein kyunki market trend pichle haftay se Uptrend side ki taraf jaa raha hai.






Trading recommendation: KHAREEDEN (4 Hour Chart)

Position opening strategy:

Agar pichle hafte ke shuruaati trading period se shuruwat ki jaye, to market situation ab bhi bullish journey par hai. Agar candlestick 1.0946 price zone tak chale gaye to, upar di gayi research aur market analysis ke natayej se, to main yeh predict karta hoon ke price mazeed barhne ka imkaan hai haftay ke end tak. 1.0951 price zone ek area hai jahan position khul sakti hai, jabke agle bullish safar ki taraf jaane ke liye 1.0948 area test kiya jaa sakta hai jabke mazeed buyers ko mauqa milega ke wo price trend ko support karte rahein taake candlestick mazeed barh sake.

Good morning. Mujhe bhi laga tha ke aaj Euro ek aur wave create karega kal ke maximum 1.10081 ki taraf, lekin Euro European session ke dauran bina growth ke girna shuru ho gaya. Aam tor par, sellers abhi tak koi aham level break nahi kar paaye hain aur ab bhi growth ka chance mojood hai. Sellers ka qareebi target ab 1.08919 hai, aur agar yeh usay break karke consolidate kar lete hain, to seedha raasta 1.07764 ki taraf khul jayega. Buyers ko ab growth ki ek aur wave form karne ke liye 1.09621 ko break karke consolidate karna hoga.

**EURUSD M30:**

1. Kal Euro ne 1.09576 par purchase ke entry point ka forecast kiya tha, price ne doosri baar is level ko actively break kiya aur pehle target 1.09917 tak pohanch gaya.

2. Maujooda surat-e-haal bands ke base par yeh hai ke price lower band ke saath actively move kar rahi hai, jab ke dono bands outward open ho gayi hain. Yeh price fall ke possible continuation ka signal de raha hai, aur hum sirf dekh sakte hain ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi.

3. AO indicator ne negative area mein increase form karna shuru kar diya hai, agar hume qareebi mustaqbil mein zyada active acceleration nazar aati hai, to hume price fall ke liye ek stronger signal milega. Zero cross karke positive zone mein increase karna quotes ke grow hone ka signal dega.

4. Is surat-e-haal mein sales ko 1.08963 ke level par place kiya ja sakta hai, price fall ke dauran breakout aur consolidation ke sath 1.08706 aur 1.08328 ki marks tak pohanchne ki umeed hai.



5. Purchases ko 1.09576 ke level par place kiya ja sakta hai, price rise ke dauran breakout aur consolidation ke sath 1.09917 aur 1.10350 ki marks tak pohanchne ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Tuesday ko ziada sukoon se trading kiya. Market ne "recover" karne shuru kiya tha Friday ke events aur Monday ke panic se, aur us din macroeconomic background practically ghayab tha. Natija yeh nikla ke volatility average levels tak kam hui, aur price mazeed halke qadam se girne laga. Hum samajh nahi pa rahe hain market panic ke reasons ko Monday ko, aur mutabiq, samajhte hain ke US dollar phir se "flat ground" par gir gaya. Haan, labor market aur unemployment reports dobara forecasts se zyada bure the, lekin yeh yeh nahi ke Federal Reserve kal hi monetary policy ko khulne shuru karega. Iss saal ke shuru se, market ne Fed se rates ko jaldi hi kam karne ki umeed rakhi thi. Aur August ke shuru se, yeh ab tak nahi hua. Labor market aur unemployment data ne kamzor values dikhayi hain kam az kam chaar mahinay tak. Lekin sirf August mein hi market ne sochna shuru kiya ke ek ghata shuru ho gayi hai aur Fed ko fooran interfere karna chahiye. Pair 1.06-1.10 ke horizontal channel ke andar bana raha. Hum umeed karte hain ke is channel ke lower boundary ki taraf movement hoga. Tuesday ko 5-minute time frame par ek munasib sell signal bana tha. European trading session ke doran price 1.0940 level ke neeche consolidate hui aur qareeb qareeb pounche 1.0888-1.0896 taakat. Lekin yeh pounch ne saki. Din ke end tak, quotes wapis upar le aye, is liye naye traders ko sirf thori si profit ke saath manually trade close karna para.





Wednesday ke trading tips:
EUR/USD tezi se barh gaya aur hourly time frame mein short-term downward trend ko toot diya. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne sab bullish factors ko puri tarah factor kar liya hai, is liye hum umeed nahi karte ke upar ki movement jaari rahegi. Economic reports ne fir se dollar ko neeche giraya Friday ko, lekin yeh yeh nahi ke greenback roz depreciate hoga. 24-hour timeframe ab tak 1.06 aur 1.10 ke darmiyan flat range dikhata hai. Abhi tak koi wajah nahi hai is range se bahar jane ki.

Wednesday ko, naye traders qareebi levels se trade kar sakte hain. Pair abhi achi movements dikhata hai, kafi signals bante hain. Lekin volatility kam ho sakti hai, aur bearish correction jaari reh sakti hai.

5M timeframe par consider karne ke liye asal levels hain 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, aur 1.1091. Wednesday ke liye sirf Germany mein industrial production ke liye ek report schedule hai. Hum abhi bhi umeed rakhte hain ke US dollar recover karega.

Hello dosto, kaise hain aap, EUR/USD pair ne jo trading ki wo ek naram note ke qareeb thi 1.0915 ke qareeb Asian trading hours mein Wednesday ko, ek to 1.1008 ke qareeb se wapis hokar. Aik mazboot US dollar ne bari tadaad mein mukhtalif major pairs ko neeche khSich diya. Investors June trade balance aur industrial production releases ka intezaar kar rahe hain Germany se, jo din ke bad mein hone waale hain. Mazeed uppar, EUR/USD ke samne August ka high hai 1.1008 (August 5), jise December 2023 ka top of 1.1139 (December 28) follow karti hai. Neeche, pair ka agla target 200-day SMA par hai jo 1.0828 par hai, jo weekly low of 1.0777 (August 1) aur June low of 1.0666 (June 26) se pehle hai, sab se pehle May low of 1.0649 se aai. Looking at the bigger picture, pair ki positive bias tab tak bani rahegi jab tak yeh key 200-day SMA ke uppar sustained fashion mein rahe. Ab tak, chaar ghante ka chart kuch uppar ka momentum ka nuksan dikhata hai. Ibtida mein resistance 1.1008 par hai pehle 1.1139. Doosri taraf, pehli support 200-SMA par hai 1.0822 pehle 1.0777 aur 1.0709. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 58 ke qareeb settle kiya. EUR/USD ne do seedhe dinon ke faide ko kam karne ke liye aik taza bechne wale pressure ke neeche aaya Tuesday ko, ye sab kuch ek barhne wale traction recovery ke background mein har us se sath, jo greenback ke andaaz ko generally positive banata hai. Duniya bhar ke stock markets mein dikkat.






USD equation ki dusri taraf pe, USD index ne 103.00 barrier ko dobara le liya phir Monday ko 102.00 neighborhood mein tezi se wapis aaya, yeh madad ki US yields mein taza bechne se hi, sath hi, decent recovery in US yields me se koi fed officials (A. Goolsbee and M. Daly) ne somehow all markets ko suggest kiya ke wo recent US labor market results ko zyada overestimate kar rahe hain, ye US recession reject karne ke liye, jab ke woh rate par inclined the, aise scenario se bachne ke liye. German currency market mein, 10-year bond yield ne Monday ke thode se recovery ko barhaya aur 2.20% level ko cross kar liya sath hi baqi global peers ke saath.

EUR/USD/H1

Monday ke New York trading session mein, currency pair ne apne gains ko crucial 1.1000 level ke upar barqarar rakha. Yeh stability is liye aayi kyunke United States ke jobs report for July ne Average Hourly Earnings mein decrease dikhaya, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha. Average Hourly Earnings, jo wage growth ka ek ahem measure hai, service sector mein inflation ko drive karne mein significant role play karta hai. Year-over-year, yeh metric May ke 4.1% se gir kar 3.9% par aa gaya, jabke month-over-month growth 0.4% se moderate hoke 0.3% par aa gayi. Wage growth mein yeh easing persistent inflationary pressures ko kam kar raha hai.

US Dollar (DXY) barhte hue strain mein hai, jise yeh speculation fuel kar raha hai ke Federal Reserve apni September meeting mein interest rate cuts initiate kar sakta hai. US Dollar Index, jo Greenback ki performance ko chhe major currencies ke against measure karta hai, apne downward trend ko sattarween consecutive session tak extend kar chuka hai, aur nayi three-week low 105.00 ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. June ke higher-than-expected employment figures—206K versus anticipated 190K—ke bawajood, Unemployment Rate 4.1% tak barh gayi, jo expectations aur pehle figure 4.0% se zyada thi. Yeh factors market anticipation of imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts ko temper kar rahe hain.




EUR/USD lagbhag 1.1001 par trade kar raha hai. Daily chart par bearish momentum kam ho gaya hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka rise slow ho gaya hai. Traders different range of movements expect kar sakte hain, jahan resistance 1.0810 par noted hai, jo 2024 ke high to low ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement aur 100-day moving average (DMA) ke mutabiq hai. Support levels 1.0711 aur 1.0661 par situated hain. Agar downside breach 1.0800 se neeche hota hai, to EUR/USD 1.0600 region ki taraf push ho sakta hai.

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD

Pichle trading week mein, euro ne support zone ko hold karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki aur wapas bounce karke growth ko resume kiya aur naye local highs ki taraf move kiya. Ibtida mein, price signal zone mein gir gayi thi lekin 1.0780 area mein support mil gaya aur wahan se wapas bounce kiya. Magar, expected growth scenario ab tak materialize nahi hua, kyunke target territories abhi tak acquire nahi hui hain aur in par ab bhi kaam ho raha hai. Isi dauran, price chart supertrend ki green zone mein move kar raha hai, jo buyer activity ko indicate karta hai.

Aaj ki technical picture par nazar dalte hue, 4-H chart par dekha jaye to simple moving averages ab bhi price par upar se negative pressure daal rahe hain, jabke intraday trading key resistance 1.0880 ke niche consolidate ho rahi hai. Is liye, agar hume 1.0805 support level ka clear aur strong break nazar aata hai, jo ke 50.0% Fibonacci retracement ke qareeb hai, to downward correction most likely resume hogi, apni pehli official site tak pohanchte hue. Doosri taraf, agar trading stability 1.0850 ke upar wapas aati hai, jahan 38.20% correction pair ko health mein wapas laata hai, to hum ek positive trading session dekh rahe hain jisme targets initial target 1.0880 se shuru hote hain. Chart niche dekhein:



Pair abhi apne weekly highs se kaafi upar trade kar raha hai. Main support area test kiya gaya aur apni integrity ko maintain karne mein kamiyab raha, quotes ko high level par rakhte hue despite strong pressure, jo upward vector ki sustainability ko indicate karta hai. Price ko continue karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke yeh 1.0926 level ke upar firmly consolidate kare, jahan key support area abhi borderline par hai. Is area ka successful retest aur subsequent rebound ek aur upward movement form karne ka mauka dega, jisme target areas 1.1033 aur 1.1121 hain.

Agar support break ho jata hai aur price pivot level 1.0837 se niche gir jati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD technical analysis

EUR/USD ki price ne kuch din pehle bullish trend se bearish trend ki taraf kuch tabdeeli dekhi jab is ne 4-hour chart par 1.0915 ka high touch kiya. Ab hawaa phir se patli hoti ja rahi hai, aur downward trend ke pehle asaar nazar aane lage hain. Is ke ilawa, is ki price apne 50-day moving average ke neeche gir rahi hai. EUR/USD ka Ichimoku indicator bhi is waqt ki price movement se kaafi upar hai, jo ek mumkin bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Pehle ka bullish trend, ab khatam hota nazar aa raha hai. Technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke EUR/USD ki price recent bearish trend ko resume kar rahi hai jab tak demand level 1.0890 ko na chhoo le. Agar sellers EUR/USD me active rahe to bearish trend anivaari hai. EUR/USD me movement agle hafte tez ho sakti hai agar downward trend jari rahta hai aur price rapidly 1.0810-1



Subh ke early Asian session mein, EUR/USD ne 1.0930 ke demand level ke neeche gir kar use ek resistance level ke taur par istemal karna shuru kar diya. Kai indicators, jese ke 50-day moving average line aur Ichimoku indicator, yeh dikhate hain ke EUR/USD takreeban 1.0905 tak gir gaya hai. Forecast abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur market ke participants 1.0890-1.0935 ko agla muztariq support level samajhte hain. Agar EUR/USD 1.0910 ke neeche girne aur hourly candle pattern ko is se neeche close karne mein kaamiyab ho jata hai, to hum is se yeh expect kar sakte hain ke yeh aggressively 1.0940 ko test karega. Yeh mumkin hai ke agar EUR/USD 1.0850-80 ke supply area ko break karta hai, to yeh bulls ko 1.0910-1.0990 ke levels ko ghoor se dekhne ke liye attract karega filhal.

Monday ke New York Trading Session Mein EUR/USD Ka Haal:

Monday ke New York trading session mein, currency pair ne apne gains ko crucial 1.1000 level ke upar barqarar rakha. Yeh stability is wajah se aayi kyunke United States ke jobs report for July ne Average Hourly Earnings mein decrease dikhaya, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha. Average Hourly Earnings, jo wage growth ka ahem measure hai, service sector mein inflation ko drive karne mein significant role play karta hai. Year-over-year, yeh metric May ke 4.1% se gir kar 3.9% par aa gaya, jab ke month-over-month growth 0.4% se moderate hoke 0.3% par aa gayi. Wage growth mein yeh easing persistent inflationary pressures ko kam kar rahi hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

US Dollar (DXY) barhte hue strain mein hai, jise speculation fuel kar rahi hai ke Federal Reserve September meeting mein interest rate cuts initiate kar sakta hai. US Dollar Index, jo Greenback ki performance ko chhe major currencies ke against measure karta hai, apne downward trend ko sattarween consecutive session tak extend kar chuka hai, aur nayi three-week low 105.00 ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. June ke higher-than-expected employment figures—206K versus anticipated 190K—ke bawajood, Unemployment Rate 4.1% tak barh gayi, jo expectations aur pehle figure 4.0% se zyada thi. Yeh factors market anticipation of imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts ko temper kar rahe hain.

Investors ko in key levels aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake market dynamics mein potential shifts ko gauge kar sakein. Jab EUR/USD pair in pivotal points ko navigate kar rahi hai, market participants ko economic developments aur Federal Reserve policy signals ke bare mein informed rehna hoga.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ek critical resistance level ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai, jo ke 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0953 par hai. Iske ilawa, ascending channel ka lower boundary, jo 1.1000 level ke aas paas hai, bhi focus mein hai. Agar pair is support ke neeche girti hai, to yeh downward pressure experience kar sakti hai, aur potentially 1.0950 level ko test kar sakti hai, jo rebound support provide kar sakta hai.




Technical Outlook:

EUR/USD pair ka technical outlook bullish nazar aa raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 mark ke upar positioned hai, jo current bullish trend ka confirmation de raha hai. Agar RSI 70 level ki taraf further rise karti hai, to yeh pair ke bullish sentiment ko mazid strengthen karega, aur continued upward momentum signal karega.

### Trading Wisdom: EUR/USD
#### Current Market Analysis

Hamara dehan EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ko decode karne par hai. Kal euro-dollar pair neeche ki taraf gaya, jaisa pehle se umeed thi, aur phir ek aur bearish push di. Filhal, pair locally consolidate ho raha hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh movement jaldi hi bearish direction mein continue karega.

#### Hourly Chart Analysis

Hourly chart par:
- **Indicators**: Neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo aage aur decline ka ishara dete hain.
- **Bollinger Bands**: Pair middle Bollinger Band ko neeche se test kar raha hai is consolidation phase ke dauran. Aane wala direction zyada tar is par depend karega ke yeh level ko todta hai ya wapas hota hai.

Current setup ke mutabiq:
- **Breakthrough Scenario**: Agar pair middle Bollinger Band ko todta hai, toh yeh downward trend ke continuation ka ishara karega.
- **Rebound Scenario**: Agar pair is level se wapas hota hai, toh yeh bearish movement mein temporary pause ya correction ka ishara kar sakta hai.

#### Four-Hour Chart Analysis

Four-hour chart par:
- **Indicators**: Kuch bullish divergences ke bawajood, further decline ka ishara dete hain.
- **Bollinger Bands**: Bands expand ho rahe hain jaise hi pair neeche ja raha hai, jo aam tor par downward momentum ke probable continuation ko indicate karta hai.

#### Trading Strategy

Analysis ko dekhte hue, main EUR/USD pair ke liye selling ko primary trading strategy banata hoon. Yeh hai detailed approach:
- **Sales Priority**: Short positions par focus karna chahiye overall bearish sentiment aur technical indicators ke madde nazar jo further decline ka ishara dete hain.
- **Confirmation**: Pair ko either middle Bollinger Band todne ya wapas hone ka intezar karein hourly chart par. Yeh confirmation agle move ke liye clearer signal dega.
- **Monitoring**: Four-hour chart indicators aur Bollinger Bands ke expansion par nazar rakhein, kyunke yeh broader perspective provide karte hain trend continuation par.

#### Conclusion

EUR/USD pair dono hourly aur four-hour charts par strong bearish signals dikha raha hai. Primary strategy selling ko prioritize karna hai, khaaskar agar pair middle Bollinger Band ko hourly chart par todta hai, jo bearish trend ke continuation ka ishara karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur key levels aur indicators ko monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading