eur/usd

Relative Strength Index indicator 70 ke upar hai, jis se nazar aata hai ke EUR/USD abhi bhi technically overbought hai, haalanki Thursday ke late US session mein kuch kami nazar aayi.
Neche 1.0840-1.0850 (Fibonacci 23.6% latest uptrend, retracement of static levels) pehli support ke tor par aata hai pehle 1.0800, jahan 100-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages hote hain. Agar EUR/USD 1.0900 ke upar chadhte hue aur ise support ke tor par tasdiq karte, to phir 1.0950 (static level) next resistance ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai phir 1.1000 (psychological level, static level). Thursday ke US session mein pair ne aapna sarvottam star ko choo liya tha, jise 1.0900 tak pahunchate hue dekha gaya tha. Ek neeche ki correction ke baad pair ne European session mein Friday ko aaram se 1.0850 ke upar daka laga rakha.
US dollar ko zor ka samna tha soft US inflation data ki wajah se. Mahine ke hisab se, Consumer Price Index me 0.1 percent ki kami dikhai di, jabki core CPI sirf 0.1 percent barha over the same period. Dono hi readings market ke expectations se kam thi aur investors ko September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed jaari rakhi. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ko policy rates ko September mein be change rakna ke chances 10 ke nichhe they. PICH day main, Producer Price Index data for June US economic docket mein shamil hai. Mahine ke hisab se, PPI ka 0.1 percent barhne ka tajaawur hai. Ek negative reading USD par aur dabaw dal sakti hai aur EUR/USD ko oopar le jane mein madad kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, ek mazboot tajaawur maazbot dollar ke rivayton ke khilaf madadgar ho sakti hai, magar market ke reaction mein had maayat ho sakti hai.
EUR/USD ko uchaal deti hai. US affectation data bhi bari had tak asar daal sakta hai aur dealers isse nazar andaaz nahi karenge. Agar US Dollar Index 104.40 –104.60 ke support position ke neeche settle ho jata hai, to yeh EUR/USD ke liye bullish signal hoga
Kul mila kar, EUR/USD ka faida aur dealers jo US affectation data par tawajah dein, request dynamics par asar daal rahe hain. Germany ke affectation rate mein kami aur US Dollar Index ka support position ke neeche settle hone ki soorat mein, EUR/USD ke liye mauqa ban sakta hai. Dealers ko iss halaat par nazar rakhte hue informed trading decisions leni chahiye
Agar EUR/USD 1.0900 –1.0915 resistance position ko tor deta hai, to wo 1.1000 –1.1015 aane wale resistance position ko test karne ka rasta kholega. Ye bullish movement request mein musbat taur par izafa karne ka ishara hoga aur EUR/USD ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai. US affectation data aur USDollarIndex ke movements ko nazar andaz na karna zaroori hai takay request dynamics samajh saken aur trading strategies accordingly adjust kar saken
Yeh mojooda request situation dealers ke liye ahem hai unhein informed trading oppurtunities ka faida uthana chahiye. EUR/USD ke uchle jane aur USDollarIndex ke implicit girne ko madde nazar rakhte hue, waqt se pehle aur maloomati trading decisions lena zaroori hai.

EURUSD is waqt ke level par trade karta rahega, utni hi ziada probability hai ke yeh North ki taraf move karega. Neeche, qeemat ko 1.0670 ka ek acha support level support kar raha hai, jo ke pichle trading week ka minimum hai, lekin jo log long positions lena chahte the shayad unhon ne pehle hi open kar liye hain. Magar agle hafte bulls ke liye ache entry points ho sakte hain. Kareebi mustaqbil mein, main expect karta hoon ke yeh currency pair resistance level 1.0760 ke aas paas rahega, jo ke last week ka high hai.
EURUSD pair ne guzishta hafta koi khas natija nahi dikhayi. Abhi ke waqt yeh 1.07400 ke level par wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke, jaise ke hum jaante hain, kaafi strong hai. Yeh pair is ke aas paas kaafi dair se ghoom raha hai. Bullish direction ko samajhne ki koshish karte hue, pair ko is level par resistance ka samna hai. Bears bhi apni khoyi hui positions wapas le rahe hain. Filhaal, hum dekhte hain ke dono bears aur bulls thake hue hain, aur ab yahan plausible scenarios ka implement hone ka koi chance nahi hai. Isliye, Monday ko, main suggest karunga ke humein market ke open hone aur naye trading week ke shuru hone par kya muntazir hai, lekin hum is par baad mein baat karenge aur is optimistic note par, ek aur hafta khatam hota hai. Sabko munafa aur kamiyabi ki dua deta hoon.
Market mein fractals ke signal ko samajhna bhi ahem hai. Ek new upward fractal form ho chuka hai, jo quotes ki growth ka target hai. Iska breakdown aur consolidation price ko higher levels tak pohanchane dega. Agar hum downward fractal dekhein, to yeh current price se kafi door hai, isliye price fall ke liye qareebi fractal ka intezar karna behtar hoga.
AO indicator ke signals bhi market direction ke liye kaafi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Zero mark ke upar active increase price growth ka strong signal de sakta hai, jabke negative area mein active increase Euro ke fall ka indication de sakta hai.
Overall, Euro market mein halat is waqt mixed hai, aur dono buyers aur sellers ko apne respective levels ko break aur consolidate karne ki zaroorat hai. Buyers ko 1.07608 aur sellers ko 1.06700 aur 1.06666 ke levels par focus karna hoga. AO indicator aur fractals ke signals ko dekhte hue, market ka agla move decide hoga.
Maujooda halat mein RSI khareedne ko support karta hai, kyun ke yeh aik qabooli hadood mein hai. Mein apna take profit Fib level 210% par set karunga, jo ke 1.08767 ke qeemat ke saath milti hai. Is ke baad, jab main hisse ko breakeven par laaun ga, to mein doosre aur door ke northern Fib levels ke liye trailing stop ka istemaal karunga. Bulls ne H4 1.0842 par rukawat ka saamna kiya hai, jo ke ek pullback ki nishani hai. Market ne expected tarah se musbat US data ka jawab nahin diya, jo ke agle haftay mein kisi reaction ki alamat ho sakti hai. Europe mein aane wale elections aur right-wing group ke qareebi jeet ke mawqe par, euro mein zayada taqat ho sakti hai, jis se EU ko taqwiyat milay gi. Shuru mein market ne US statistics ka jawab diya, lekin baad mein bulls ne dobara control hasil kiya, jis se euro mein izafa hua. H4 par 1.0666 ke level se euro bulandi ki taraf chala gaya, aur bulls ne is upward movement ko jari rakha.

EUR/USD ka joda rozana chart par do channels mein trade kar raha tha. Ek channel bearish tha, jo laal rang mein dikhaya gaya tha, aur pichlay maheenay ke bearish wave ko darshata tha. Doosra channel ne do waves ko dikhaya, jo neelay rang mein tha. Ek bullish wave pichlay maheenay thi aur ek bearish wave us se pichlay maheenay thi. Maheena ka pivot level 1.0880 par tha, jahan price ne laal channel ki beech line se support hasil kiya. Uske baad, price ne girna shuru kiya jab tak yeh neelay channel line tak nahi pohanch gaya, jo ke monthly support level 1.0810 ke mutabiq tha. Yeh price ko support diya, jese ke ab yeh laal channel ki beech line par tha Is ke bar'aks, ek laal line jo weekly pivot level ke neechay extend karti hai, girawat ki imkanat ko dikhati hai, lekin yeh kam imkaniyat rakhti hai. Isay tab consider kiya ja sakta hai jab candle weekly pivot level ke neechay close hoti hai. Aise mein, EUR/USD aglay haftay 1.0790 level tak correct kar sakta hai.

Click image for larger version

Name: image_5013927.png
Views: 22
Size: 15.2 KB
ID: 13033805

Price laal channel line tak barh sakta hai, usay upward break kar sakta hai, phir monthly pivot level se retest karne ke liye gir sakta hai, aur phir upward continue kar sakta hai. Yeh green rang mein dikhaya gaya hai. Ismein price ka laal channel line tak barhna aur wahan se bounce karna shamil hai, jo downside potential ko dikhata hai. Agar aap price ko upper red channel line tak pohanchne ka intizar karen aur price behavior ko dekhen, to aap sell kar sakte hain agar yeh niche bounce karta hai aur bearish price action develop hota hai. Is ke ilawa, laal channel ko upward break kar sakta hai aur ek din channel ke bahar close kar sakta hai, jo aapko purchase karne ka mauqa deta hai
Price ne monthly support level 1.0770 tak girawat ki, is level ke neechay break kiya, aur do din tak is level ke neeche trade karta raha. Phir, price ne upar jane ki koshish ki lekin nakam raha, ek pin candle banayi aur phir se niche gir gaya
Is tarah ke trading scenario mein, traders ko market ki movements ko qareebi se dekhna chahiye aur significant levels par price behavior ka tajziya karna chahiye. Yeh help karta hai decision making mein, ke kab buy aur sell karna hai. Charts aur technical indicators ko samajhna aur unhe sahi tarah se interpret karna trading mein bohat madadgar sabit hota hai
EUR/USD joda frequently market news aur economic data ke asraat ko face karta hai. Economic indicators jese ke GDP growth, employment reports, aur central bank policies is joday par significant asar daal sakte hain. Forex traders ko yeh tamam factors ka khayal rakhte huye apni strategies plan karni chahiye.

EUR/USD D1** Kal EUR/USD ne umeed ke mutabiq north ki taraf ek strong bullish impulse ke sath move kiya, jis ke nateja mein ek full bullish candle bani jo asaani se resistance level 1.08850 ko tor kar uske upar consolidate kar gay. Mojooda surat-e-haal mein, yeh expect kar raha hoon ke aaj northward movement continue hogi aur price agle northern targets ki taraf impulsively move karegi, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 1.09425 aur 1.09812 par hain. In resistance levels ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate karegi aur further

over the same period. Dono hi readings market ke expectations se kam thi aur investors ko September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed jaari rakhi. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ko policy rates ko September mein be change rakna ke chances 10 ke nichhe they. PICH day main, Producer Price Index data for June US economic docket mein shamil hai. Mahine ke hisab se, PPI ka 0.1 percent barhne ka tajaawur hai. Ek negative reading USD par aur dabaw dal sakti hai aur EUR/USD ko oopar le jane mein madad kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, ek mazboot tajaawur maazbot dollar ke rivayton ke khilaf madadgar ho sakti hai, magar market ke reaction mein had maayat ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD ko uchaal deti hai. US affectation data bhi bari had tak asar daal sakta hai aur dealers isse nazar andaaz nahi karenge. Agar US Dollar Index 104.40 –104.60 ke support position ke neeche settle ho jata hai, to yeh EUR/USD ke liye bullish signal hoga

Kul mila kar, EUR/USD ka faida aur dealers jo US affectation data par tawajah dein, request dynamics par asar daal rahe hain. Germany ke affectation rate mein kami aur US Dollar Index ka support position ke neeche settle hone ki soorat mein, EUR/USD ke liye mauqa ban sakta hai. Dealers ko iss halaat par nazar rakhte hue informed trading decisions leni chahiye

Agar EUR/USD 1.0900 –1.0915 resistance position ko tor deta hai, to wo 1.1000 –1.1015 aane wale resistance position ko test karne ka rasta kholega. Ye bullish movement request mei

northward movement hogi. Agar yeh plan work out hota hai, to main price ko resistance level 1.11393 tak move hone ka intezar karunga. Is resistance level ke qareeb main ek trading setup banne ka intezar karunga jo trading ka further direction determine karne mein madad karega. Ek doosra option bhi hai ke door ke northern target, jo ke 1.12757 par hai, ko work out kiya jaye, magar yahan situation dekhni padegi aur sab kuch depend karega ke news background kya hota hai aur price designated far northern goals par kaise react karti hai .

EUR/USD Market Outlook:
Salaam aur Good Morning dosto!
Kal EUR/USD ka market dobara tezi se niche gir gaya aur taqreeban 1.0907 zone tak pohanch gaya. Yeh US news events ka natija hai jo sellers ke haq mein gaye. Yeh dominance sellers ki mazboot position ko zair kerta hai, ek ahem factor jo agay barh sakta hai jab US trading zone aaj baad mein unfold hota hai. Short-term opportunities dekhne walay traders ke liye, aik prudent approach yeh hai ke take profit target 30 pips ka set karain, sath hi strategically placed stop loss 15 pips ka rakhein. Aaj, main EUR/USD par buy order prefer karta hoon short target 1.0945 ke sath. Is tactical setup ka rationale market ki volatility mein hai, jahan fluctuations tezi se established trends ko badal sakte hain, isliye ehtiyaat se kaam lena aur stop-loss measures ko aqlmandi se apply karna zaruri hai. Achhe tareeqe se placed stop loss ki efficacy ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye, jo unexpected market movements ke against crucial safeguard ke tor par kaam kerta hai jo potential gains ko khatam ya losses ko barha sakti hain.
Halaat dekhte huay jo sellers ke haq mein hain, sell position ko execute kerna ek focused short-term target plan ke sath viable strategy ke tor par samnay aata hai. Anticipate kerte huay ke sellers agay momentum barhayein ge, khaaskar agar woh key support levels ko breach kar lein aane walay trading sessions mein, profitable outcomes ke potential ko near term mein underscore kerta hai. Yeh strategic outlook is premise par based hai ke sellers apna current momentum barqarar rakhein ge, hatta ke prevailing market conditions ko leverage kerte huay anticipated support areas ki taraf navigate karain. Aage chal kar, technical indicators ka alignment market sentiment ke sath yeh suggest kerta hai ke emerging trends ko capitalize karte huay well-calibrated trading strategies ko execute kerna conducive environment hai.

Overall, EUR/USD ka market wapas aa sakta hai aur 1.0945 zone ko baad mein cross kar sakta hai. Aap sab ka trading day successful ho!

EURUSD is waqt ke level par trade karta rahega, utni hi ziada probability hai ke yeh North ki taraf move karega. Neeche, qeemat ko 1.0670 ka ek acha support level support kar raha hai, jo ke pichle trading week ka minimum hai, lekin jo log long positions lena chahte the shayad unhon ne pehle hi open kar liye hain. Magar agle hafte bulls ke liye ache entry points ho sakte hain. Kareebi mustaqbil mein, main expect karta hoon ke yeh currency pair resistance level 1.0760 ke aas paas rahega, jo ke last week ka high hai. EURUSD pair ne guzishta hafta koi khas natija nahi dikhayi. Abhi ke waqt yeh 1.07400 ke level par wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke, jaise ke hum jaante hain, kaafi strong hai. Yeh pair is ke aas paas kaafi dair se ghoom raha hai. Bullish direction ko samajhne ki koshish karte hue, pair ko is level par resistance ka samna hai. Bears bhi apni khoyi hui positions wapas le rahe hain. Filhaal, hum dekhte hain ke dono bears aur bulls thake hue hain, aur ab yahan plausible scenarios ka implement hone ka koi chance nahi hai. Isliye, Monday ko, main suggest karunga ke humein market ke open hone aur naye trading week ke shuru hone par kya muntazir hai, lekin hum is par baad mein baat karenge aur is optimistic note par, ek aur hafta khatam hota hai. Sabko munafa aur kamiyabi ki dua deta hoon.
Market mein fractals ke signal ko samajhna bhi ahem hai. Ek new upward fractal form ho chuka hai, jo quotes ki growth ka target hai. Iska breakdown aur consolidation price ko higher levels tak pohanchane dega. Agar hum downward fractal dekhein, to yeh current price se kafi door hai, isliye price fall ke liye qareebi fractal ka intezar karna behtar hoga.
AO indicator ke signals bhi market direction ke liye kaafi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Zero mark ke upar active increase price growth ka strong signal de sakta hai, jabke negative area mein active increase Euro ke fall ka indication de sakta hai.
Overall, Euro market mein halat is waqt mixed hai, aur dono buyers aur sellers ko apne respective levels ko break aur consolidate karne ki zaroorat hai. Buyers ko 1.07608 aur sellers ko 1.06700 aur 1.06666 ke levels par focus karna hoga. AO indicator aur fractals ke signals ko dekhte hue, market ka agla move decide hoga.

Kuch purani posts milin jin ka date July 5 tha, aur aaj humaray paas ninth hai. Toh maine socha ke daily chart pe situation ko wave technique se dekha jaye: MA100 parallel to floor space mein kaam kar rahi hai - jo ke week ke dauran flat mood ka signal hai. MA18 ne ek waqt mein bearish mood dikhaya: yeh thirty degrees ke trend angle pe niche ki taraf move kar rahi thi. MA100 ko top se bottom cross kiya, aur ek dead cross banaya - jo ke sell signal hai. Lekin pichle haftay ke bulls ke asar ke neechay, jab woh vertical ascending channel mein north ki taraf move kar rahe thay. Aur yeh light moving average bhi floor ke parallel space mein kaam kar rahi hai. Sab candles moving averages, guiding averages, aur local Nichimoku cloud ke upar space mein ban rahi hain. Yeh iska matlab hai ke humara mood bullish rehta hai. Nichimoku cloud is currently bullish rangon mein hai. Forecasting ke point of view se, Kumo bears ke favor mein jata hai. Aur - MA100 ke upar position mein stagnate kar raha hai - yeh signal hai ke bears abhi real nahi hain, filhal - sirf correction dikhate hain, aur phir - kaafi mumkin hai - hum dobara upar jayen. Abhi tak mujhe is instrument pe sirf flat dikh raha hai Atlantic ke par, focus Germany ke inflation data pe shift hota hai Thursday ko, jo ke eurozone ke price pressures pe insights provide karega. Expectation yeh hai ke inflation stubbornly 2.5% ke aas paas rehti hai, jo ke European Central Bank ka 2% target exceed karti hai. Yeh persistent inflation eurozone ki economic recovery pe pressure dalti hai aur ECB ke monetary policy decisions ko challenge karti hai. Euro khud US dollar ke against comeback ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh recently December 2023 se jo downtrend line in place thi uske upar break karne mein kamiyab raha, jo ke potential reversal signal karta hai. But technical indicators resistance levels around 1.0859 aur 1.0998 ko hurdles banate hain euro ke ascent ke liye. Conversely, agar key moving average ke niche fall hoti hai toh yeh further decline trigger kar sakti hai towards 1.0630 level. Aane wale din euro ke liye ek critical test honge, jahan political

EUR/USD pair ki technical analysis
Euro ki keematon mein US dollar ke khilaf faida ruk gaya jab ke EUR/USD resistance level 1.0922 par ruk gaya aur neeche jaane laga, jisay likhte waqt 1.0875 ke qareeb stable dekha gaya. Powell ka bayan bhi dikhaya ke euro-dollar is fazool ko faida nahi utha saka. America ke Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne apne halqay mein "dovish" note jataaya, lekin euro ke daam is bayan se faida uthane mein na-kamiyaab raha.

Powell ne Washington, D.C. ke Economic Club mein interview diya, jahan unho ne pichle haftay ke muntakhib hone wali America ki inflation ki numbers par guftugu ki. Lloyds Bank ke market insights ke head Sam Hill ke mutabiq, "Powell nakaam nazar aaye." "Ye us trend ko reflect karta hai jo Fed ne doosre quarter mein dekha, khaas tor par last teen inflation reports mein."

"Hamain yeh sahi karna hai," Powell ne izafi farmaya.
US dollar ne is qisam ke bayan par kam asar dikhaya. Jab Powell ne 3 July ko ECB's Forum on Central Banking mein kaha ke inflation par bari progress hui hai aur disinflation process wapas track par hai, to dollar mein mazeed kami aayi. Portugal ke Sintra mein kaha ke agar labor market "unexpectedly weak" ho jaye to hum is par react karenge. Powell ne apne nazariye ko dobara izhar kiya ke interest rates ke neutral level ko pehle se zyada samjha jata hai, lekin policy ab bhi mehdood hai.

Isi tarah, analysts ne izafi kaha ke "Market prices iske baad aur bhi kam hone ki taraf raftar badhane lagi, aur September se shuru hone wale easing cycle ke baad saal ke do cuts ki tawajjo di jaa rahi hai, jin mein se teen cuts hone ke 60% ke qareeb imkaan hai."

Aam toor par, Thursday ko European Central Bank ki agle interest rate decision pe sab nigahein hon gi. Interest rates ko unchanged rehne ki umeed hai lekin market ko ishaara chahiye ke mazeed rate cuts nazdeek hain. Market ne ECB ke September interest rate cut ko bhi aam tor par puri tarah se price kar liya hai, jo ke ishara deta hai ke euro versus dollar mein koi maani taslees nahi aayegi, jo exchange rate ko 1.09 ke neeche stable rakh sakta hai aur ek naye breakout ke liye tayar kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD aaj ke forecast:

Din bhar ke chart ke mutabiq, bulls ab bhi euro ke daam ke direction par mazboot qabza rakhte hain aur unhein 1.1000 ke psychological resistance ko todna zaroori hai taake general trend bullish ho jaaye. Agar yeh nahi hota to yeh us time period par head and shoulders pattern bana sakta hai, jo ke bechare ki dabao ki wapas aane ki alaamat ho sakti hai aur 1.0790 support ko todne ki khatra hai jo ke haal hi mein upar ki taraf tashkeel ho chuki tezi ko khatam kar sakta hai. Euro/dollar ke daam European Central Bank ke faislon ka reaction tak mazeed range-bound rahega jo ke kal Thursday tak rahega.Click image for larger versions

Yaad rakhein ke European Central Bank ne daro mein kami shuru kar di hai (bilkul Federal Reserve ke mukhalif, jis se sab logon ne March mein ek dar kam ki ummed ki thi), is wajah se euro request dabao mein mubtila hai. Jaisa ke pehle zikr kiya gaya, is ka matlab yeh nahi ke kuch hafton mein brace foran brabar price par gir jaye ga. Capital ka dakhil hona nisbatan dheema hai aur EUR/USD brace ki riyayati dar mein kam inteshar hota hai. Mutaalati tajziya ke mutabiq, EUR/USD brace ki aam inteshar dar pichle paanch dinon ke liye June 25 ke roop mein 48 pips hai, jo ek kam qeemat samjha jata hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke Tuesday ko brace 1.0680 aur 1.0776 ke darmiyan harkat kare ga. Taraqi shuda direct retrogression channel ooper mud gya hai, lekin global downtrend mukammal hai. CCI index oversold ilaqa mein dakhil hua, lekin is waqt hume taqatwar barguzida ka intezar nahi hai. EUR/USD brace global downtrend ko qaim rakhta hai aur 4 ghante ke timeframe mein moving normal ke qareeb hai. Pehle taqreer mein humne bataya ke hum lambi positions ko nahi samajhte hain aur hume downtrend ki qowat ka daam rakhna chahiye. Is waqt, 1.0681 aur 1.0620 ke targets ke saath short positions ab bhi maqbool hain. 1.0681 se jawab, ek aur round of upward correction ko trigger kiya gaya. Hum euro ki khareed ko tajweez nahi karte, kyun ke hume yakeen hai ke global downtrend jari hai aur single currency ke liye barhne ki koi buniyadi waja nahi hai. Lekin price barhne ke dauran kuch arsa ke liye izafe ke liye hosakta hai.
EUR/USD ke aadharik map par, hafta peer se aam taqreeban muqami harkat ke saath shuru hua, jahan keemat maqami position ke qareeb trading kar rahi thi. Keemat ne Tuesday, Wednesday aur Thursday ko trading position se neeche girayi, jo 1.0647 tak support ke taraf ek sell signal paida karta hai. Keemat ne is rut ko tasdiq kiya aur isey mazboot sell signal banaya, aur Jumma ko, sell signal ada ho gaya; jab keemat is position ke adhe se zyada aur is support ke qareeb maqami ho rahi thi, doosra sell signal paida kiya. Maqami harkat ke saath range se shuru hua, Monday ko growt hua aur 1.0747 tak resistance tak aaya. Is waqt, if the price through the resistance at 1.0747 is doubtful and the price rolls back, selling will be applicable

EUR/USD D-1

Jab hum EUR/USD pair ka daily chart kholte hain, toh isme wohi situation nazar aati hai jo GBP/USD pair ke daily timeframe par thi. Yahan par ek sideways price channel wedge ki shakal mein bana hua hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ne support line se 1.0655 ke level se rebound kiya, toh EUR/USD pair north ki taraf ura aur aaj EUR/USD pair 1.0815 ke level tak pohonch gaya, jo ke is level par naya local maximum ban gaya. Buyers ko is price mark se upar jaane nahi diya gaya, ek rebound mila aur is post ko likhne ke waqt EUR/USD 1.0780 ke level par wapas aaya, aur ab jab mein yeh lines likh raha hoon, price 1.0786 ke level tak rebound kar chuki hai. Maujooda price marks se, EUR/USD pair ke confidently growth continue karne ke chances zyada hain aur buyers ka goal wedge ke upper border tak pohonchna hoga, jiska intersection approximately 1.0950 ke level par hoga.

Chart D1:


EUR/USD H-1

Jab hum EUR/USD pair ka hourly chart kholte hain, toh hume nazar aata hai ke pehle, 1.0665 ke level (local minimum) se rebound ke baad, major confident growth ki taraf chala gaya aur phir ek strong ascending price channel bana, jisme EUR/USD pair ab 1.0786 ke level par trade kar raha hai. Northern channel ke andar do growth waves ban chuki hain aur ab dusri wave of decline hai, jo resistance line se 1.0815 ke level se rebound ke baad shuru hui hai aur technically sab kuch indicate karta hai ke lower border of the northern channel tak decline hoga, jiska intersection approximately 1.0730 ke level par hoga. Is tarah, current levels se aap short-term aur medium-term trading perspective mein EUR/USD ko safely sell kar sakte hain.

EURUSD ANALYSIS 19 JULY 2024


Subah bakhair, European Central Bank ke Governor ne kal raat apne statement mein kamzor lehje se aghaz kiya, yeh kehte hue ke doosri seh-maahi mein iqtisadi taraqqi pehli seh-maahi 2024 se ahista hogi. Lekin, dilchasp baat yeh hai ke agle statement mein zyada nokriyan paida hone ki baat hui, khaaskar services sector mein, jis se kaam ka bazaar aam tor par mazboot ho raha hai.

Iqtisadi bahali ki tawakko gharelu kharch se ki ja rahi hai, yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke Europe mein inflation mustahkam rehne ki taraf mayil hai jab tak buniyadi energy prices bohot zyada ghair mustahkam na hon. Is statement se kisi bhi taur par sood ki sharah kam karne ka koi ishara nahi mila, isliye is martaba Lagarde sahiba ka statement kuch ghehra tha, jis ke nateejay mein kal raat se Euro kamzor ho gaya hai, aur Aisian session ke aghaz tak aisa hi raha, jis se pehle se banne wala bullish signal bearish mein tabdeel ho gaya.

Technical tor par daily chart mein bayein janib, yeh wazeh hai ke qeemat ek bearish engulf candle ke saath band hui, jo ke ibtedai ishara hai ke qeemat mazeed neeche gir sakti hai agle naye demand area 1.0812 ki taraf, kyun ke aaj subah tak khareedaar 1.0894 ke demand area ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahe. Shayad girne ka amal ahista ho, kyun ke pehle 1.0872 ke ilaqe mein khareedaaron ki taraf se rad amal tha jis ne ek bullish pinbar candlestick banayi. Is level ka breakout qeemat ko yaqeenan 1.0812 ki taraf le jayega, kyun ke yeh ilaqa kaafi dynamic support lines EMA50 neela, EMA200 laal aur lower Bollingerbands lines ka meeting point hai, jo agle movement mein ek dilchasp entry buy area banata hai, kyun ke aam tor par movement support 1.0666 se resistance 1.0949 tak abhi tak bullish trend mein hai.

H1 intraday movement par qeemat ki action ko dekhte hue, yeh zaahir hota hai ke qeemat pivot zone 1.0912 - 1.0924 se kaafi door khuli, jo ibtedai ishara hai ke seller pressure abhi bhi bohot mazboot hai, agar qeemat pivot zone ki taraf pullback kar sakti hai, to yeh ek acha mauka hoga ke sell position ko khola jaye kam se kam loss limit placement ke saath. Magar, yeh pullback scenario mumkin hai ke waqe na ho kyun ke sell pressure zyada ghalib hai, isliye traders foran buy position khol sakte hain kyun ke aaj raat Europe aur America ke economic calendar mein koi schedule nahi hai, isliye market aam tor par bina kisi izafi pullback ke weekly trend ko jari rakhegi, kyun ke Stochastic indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ishara karna shuru ho chuka hai jab ke pehle apne intraday oversold side se upar ki taraf barh raha tha. Aise market ke halat mein, ek trading plan banaya ja sakta hai jo ke is tarah ho:

Trading Setup:
SELL LIMIT agar qeemat pivot zone 1.0912 - 1.0924 ke qareeb pullback kare, SL 1.0935 aur TP 1.0872 ke saath.

**Currency Pair Analysis: EUR/USD**

Currency pair ne Friday ke trading session mein notable movement dikhayi, aur 1.0844 tak ke teen hafton ke peak ko reach kiya. Market close tak, price thodi retreat ho kar 1.0840 par aa gayi, jo bullish tendency ka signal hai aur investors is par nazar rakh rahe hain.

**Economic Data aur Technical Resistance ka EUR/USD Outlook:**

Lower gasoline prices, building materials ki subdued demand, aur food services aur drinking places mein sales ki decline significant drags thi. In challenges ke bawajood, retail sales ne May mein thodi growth dikhayi, jo April mein 0.2% contraction ko reverse karti hai (jo pehle stagnant performance se revised thi). Lekin, growth rate 0.1% thi, jo 0.2% forecasted se kam thi.

EUR/USD pair mein koi bhi positive movement ki koshish naye sellers ko attract kar sakti hai. Yeh resistance 1.0850 confluence ke paas gains ko cap karne ki sambhavana hai, jo ek critical support-turned-resistance level hai. Agar yeh pivotal point decisively clear hota hai, to ek short-covering rally shuru ho sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko 1.0870 supply zone aur shayad 1.0900 mark tak le ja sakti hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche dip kiya hai, aur ab 1.0793 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh shift investor ke bearish sentiment ko suggest karta hai aur technical indicators ko dhyan se monitor karna zaroori hai. EUR/USD ke liye support 1.0731 ke aas-paas expected hai. Yeh support levels potential downside risks ko assess karne ke liye critical hain.



Yeh support level chart pattern ke upward-sloping order se align karta hai, jo October 3, 2023 ke low 1.0447 se aur April 16 ke low 1.0600 ke horizontal cushion se hai. Bearish outlook ko add karte hue, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke neeche gir gaya hai. Agar RSI is level ke neeche sustain karta hai, to yeh further bearish momentum ka signal de sakta hai, jo traders ko cautious positioning ki taraf prompt karega.

EUR/USD currency pair ne aaj ka din 1.0868 par khola, jo ke pechle din ke opening se notable increase hai. Ye upward momentum Thursday ke American session ke dauran observe hone wale significant surge se continue ho raha hai, jahan pair ne key resistance level 1.0845 ko break kiya tha. Is breakthrough ke baad, EUR/USD pair 1.0897 ki high par pohonch gaya, jo approximately 60-pip increase hai. Ye movement suggest karta hai ke pair ne supply area 1.0894 ke aas-paas target kiya, jo buyers ki taraf se ek strategic push indicate karta hai. EUR/USD pair ka resistance level ko break karna aur apni position uske upar sustain karna market sentiment mein potential shift ko highlight karta hai. Traders aur investors ko euro mein confidence gain ho raha hai, shayad Eurozone ke favorable economic data ya developments ki wajah se. Dosri taraf, ye movement U.S. dollar ki weakening ko bhi reflect kar sakti hai, jo recent economic data ya Federal Reserve ke policy statements ki wajah se ho sakti hai. EUR/USD pair ke future direction ko analyze karne ke liye kuch factors consider karne honge. Pehle to, current upward trend ki sustainability is baat par depend karegi ke pair apni position newly established support level 1.0845 ke upar maintain kar sakta hai ya nahi. Agar EUR/USD is level ke upar hold kar sakta hai, to ye further gains ke liye ek solid foundation provide kar sakta hai. Lekin agar ye is level ke niche wapas girta hai, to ye ek false breakout aur bearish reversal ka potential indicate kar sakta hai.



Economic indicators Eurozone aur United States dono se future direction shape karne mein crucial role play karenge. Eurozone se positive economic data, jaise strong GDP growth, low unemployment rates, aur rising consumer confidence, euro ko further gains support kar sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar U.S. se koi economic weakness ke signs milte hain, jaise disappointing job numbers ya lower-than-expected inflation, to dollar par additional pressure aayega aur euro ko benefit milega. Central bank policies bhi EUR/USD pair par significant impact dalengi. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, interest rates, aur economic outlooks par stances critical hain. Agar ECB hawkish stance signal karta hai ya rising inflation ki wajah se tightening monetary policy hint karta hai, to ye euro ko further support de sakta hai. Conversely, agar Federal Reserve dovish tone adopt karta hai ya rate hikes ki slower pace indicate karta hai, to dollar weaken ho sakta hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye beneficial hoga.

جولائی 20 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، مارکیٹ کے ارتباط اپنی معمول کی حالت میں واپس آگئے: دیگر اینٹی ڈالر کرنسیوں کے ساتھ تیل اور اسٹاک انڈیکس میں کمی واقع ہوئی۔ یورو 42 پپس گر گیا، جو پیر سے منگل کے دن کینڈل باڈیز کی حد میں داخل ہوا۔



تجارتی حجم اوسط سے زیادہ تھا جو یورو کی براہ راست فروخت کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ کل کا یورپی مرکزی بینک کا اجلاس بھی افراط زر اور معیشت کی ترقی کے حوالے سے کوئی حوصلہ افزا اشارے فراہم کرنے میں ناکام رہا۔ قیمت اور مارلن آسیلیٹر کے درمیان فرق کام میں آ رہا ہے۔ اگر جوڑا 1.0905 کے نیچے دن کو بند کرتا ہے، تو 1.0788 پر سپورٹ تک پہنچنا قیمت کا اگلا مقصد بن جائے گا۔

٤-گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0905 سپورٹ لیول اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے چوراہے پر نیچے چلی گئی۔ یہ موجودہ تحریک کو تیز کرنے کے لیے کافی مضبوط پیش رفت ہے۔ قیمت ان لائنوں کے نیچے طے ہوئی، اور مارلن آکیلیٹر نیچے کی طرف نیچے کی طرف بڑھ رہا ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD Technical Analysis (19-7-2024):
Market ki price action ke mutabiq aaj bechnay ki soorat mein ja rahi hai. Agar price 1.0950 ki manshoor level ko upar se toor de? To yeh short-term bearish nazariyat ko mansookh kar dega.
Is bearish move ka nishana qareeb 1.0872 level hai. Magar aap apni trading position ka aadha hissa 1.0894 level par band kar sakte hain, safe trading ke liye.

Daily Outlook:
Kal market 1.0940 level par khula. Kal ke trading session mein, market ne 1.0942 tak buland aur 1.0894 tak pasti ki. Is tarah kal ka trading range 48 pips tha. Market ka jazba Bearish hai. Yeh daily pivot level ke neechay trading ho rahi hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein yeh daily support levels S1 aur S2 ko touch kar sakti hai.

H4 Outlook:
Pair daily time frame ke mutabiq side-way trend mein hai. Magar abhi current mein bearish trend hai. Iska wazahat neeche di gayi hai.
Market ne pehle se weekly resistance level 1.0950 ko touch kiya tha.
RSI 14 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai, overbought condition ke baad.
Ek pin bar pattern nazar aaya, jo ek aur bearish candlestick ke sath bearish market ki taqat ko confirm karta hai.
Market MA 30 ke neeche move kar rahi hai, jo market ki bearish taqat ko darshata hai.
Bearish divergence bhi market ke neeche jaane ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Hourly Outlook:
Market ki price action ke mutabiq pair neeche ki taraf move karay ga. Iska wajah hai:
Market ne ek mazboot support line ko downside mein toor diya hai.
Market EMA 30 ke neeche move kar rahi hai.
Yeh daily pivot level ke neeche khula hai.

Forex trading mein meri das saal ki tajurba hai. Agar aapko feedback chahiye to mujhe PM mein message karen. Isse meri trading career mein madad milegi. Aapka saath shukriya aur agle haftay ko aapko mubarak ho.