Eurusd forum

5-minute timeframe par Thursday ko do sell signals form hue. Price ne do martaba 1.0888-1.0896 area se bounce kiya. Pehla short position novice traders ke liye profitable raha, kyun ke usay ECB meeting ke results announce hone se pehle manually close kar dena chahiye tha. Us waqt, yeh takreeban 15 points ke profit mein tha. Phir, specified area se ek aur bounce hua, lekin koi nayi price decline nahi aayi. Trade ko breakeven ya minimal loss par close kiya ja sakta tha. Overall, volatility lagbhag 40 points ke ird-gird hone ki wajah se, kisi bhi profit ki umeed karna mushkil tha.
Thursday ko Trade Karna:

Hourly timeframe par, pair upward correction maintain kar rahi hai. Euro ka girna medium term mein dobara shuru hona chahiye kyun ke global trend downward hi hai. Magar market unknown reasons ki wajah se dollars khareedne se katra raha hai aur upward channel se nikal nahi paa raha. Fundamental background market ke liye matter nahi karta, zyada tar macroeconomic statistics sirf euro ke haq mein interpret ki ja rahi hain.

Friday ko, novice traders euro ke further growth ki umeed kar sakte hain. Khaaskar agar US ki key macroeconomic statistics forecasts se weaker hon. Is surat mein, euro 1.0940 ke level tak barh sakta hai.

5-minute timeframe par, following levels ko consider karna chahiye: 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981. Friday ko, Eurozone apni GDP report for the first quarter in the third estimate publish karega. Yeh koi major report nahi hai, magar phir bhi kuch reaction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Zyada significant Nonfarm Payrolls, unemployment, aur wage data US mein release hongi.

EUR/USD Taqreeb: ECB Rate Cut Ke Baad

Euro doosray bara currencies ke khilaaf barh gaya ECB ne darjaton ko kum kiya lekin mazeed kum karnay ka irada na kiya, kaha ke wo data ko nigrani karegi aur har mulaaqat ke baad faislay karegi. Reliable Trading ki platform ke mutabiq, EUR/USD jodi 1.0900 ke satah tak barh gayi, jahan yeh satah stabilize ho gayi analysis likhne ke waqt aur aglay ahem event ke samne FX market mein, jismein US mazdoori ke data jaari kiye jayenge. Faisla announce hone ke baad, GBP/EUR exchange rate 1.1733 tak gir gaya jab ke din ke pehle 1.1765 tak pahunch gaya tha.

Euro tayz tor par gir sakta tha agar ECB ne ishara diya hota ke doosra rate cut July ya August mein ho sakta hai. Balki, ECB ne koi thos wada nahi kiya, kaha: "Governing Council ek data-driven approach aur meeting-by-meeting approach istemal karega ta ke restrictions ka munasib level aur duration tay kiya ja sake," ECB ne kaha. Usne ye bhi kaha ke rate ka faisla unki taheqeeq ke buniyad par hoga jo aane wale economic aur financial data, core inflation dynamics, aur monetary policy transmission ki mazbooti par mabni hogi.

Mukammal taur par, ECB ka ghair wazeh hukmaraani ne market mein ek darja-e-ghair yakeeni paida kiya hai, jo rate-cutting cycle ke rafter par umeedon ko kam kar sakta hai. Ye ek aahiste aur kamzor cycles mein se aik ho sakta hai, jo kuch economists pehle se hi ghor kar rahe hain. Ye wazihaat logon ko mumkinayat ke future exchange rate trends ke liye behtar samajhne aur tayyari karne mein madadgar ho sakti hain.

ECB ke taaza taaza economic forecasts doosra ahem signal hain: bank ke economists ne is saal aur agle saal ke liye headline aur core inflation ke liye apne tajziyati tajziyat ki hai. Iska matlab hai ke mazeed kum karnay ki zaroorat kam hoti ja rahi hai. Aane wale saal mein, dono inflation measures ko 2.0% aur 2.1% ke neeche milna muntaqil hai, 2.2% tak pohanchne ke liye. Ye iska matlab hai ke inflation 2.0% ke maqsood se oopar rehne wala hai.

Foreign exchange trading ke mutabiq, euro thodi si barh kar $1.088 tak pohanch gaya aur ECB ne interest rates ko 25 basis points kum karne ka inaam mila lekin mazeed rate cuts ke baare mein ihtiyaat ki alamat di.

EUR/USD ke liye aaj ka tajwezah:

Daily chart ke taraqqi ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ke daam oonchaari raaste par hain, aur bullion ki taqat ka zyada control jo hai woh trend ko mazeed mazboot karegi jo aaj ho sakta hai agar US mazdoori ke data tamam tawaqoat ke neeche rahe. Dusri taraf, agar data tawaqoat se zyada mazboot hai, to Eurodollar apne halqe dar aur se ghoonsa de sakti hai.

5-minute timeframe par Thursday ko do sell signals form hue. Price ne do martaba 1.0888-1.0896 area se bounce kiya. Pehla short position novice traders ke liye profitable raha, kyun ke usay ECB meeting ke results announce hone se pehle manually close kar dena chahiye tha. Us waqt, yeh takreeban 15 points ke profit mein tha. Phir, specified area se ek aur bounce hua, lekin koi nayi price decline nahi aayi. Trade ko breakeven ya minimal loss par close kiya ja sakta tha. Overall, volatility lagbhag 40 points ke ird-gird hone ki wajah se, kisi bhi profit ki umeed karna mushkil tha.
Thursday ko Trade Karna:

Hourly timeframe par, pair upward correction maintain kar rahi hai. Euro ka girna medium term mein dobara shuru hona chahiye kyun ke global trend downward hi hai. Magar market unknown reasons ki wajah se dollars khareedne se katra raha hai aur upward channel se nikal nahi paa raha. Fundamental background market ke liye matter nahi karta, zyada tar macroeconomic statistics sirf euro ke haq mein interpret ki ja rahi hain.

Friday ko, novice traders euro ke further growth ki umeed kar sakte hain. Khaaskar agar US ki key macroeconomic statistics forecasts se weaker hon. Is surat mein, euro 1.0940 ke level tak barh sakta hai.

5-minute timeframe par, following levels ko consider karna chahiye: 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981. Friday ko, Eurozone apni GDP report for the first quarter in the third estimate publish karega. Yeh koi major report nahi hai, magar phir bhi kuch reaction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Zyada significant Nonfarm Payrolls, unemployment, aur wage data US mein release hongi.

EUR/USD H4 time frame

EUR/USD ka trend abhi tak tabdeel nahi hua hai, yeh abhi bhi southern hi hai. Magar 1.0788 ka daily southern break level tootne ka ishara mil chuka hai ke yeh kam az kam 1.0830 tak barh sakta hai. March futures ke maximum volume ke level 1.0847 se upar rukne par, yeh 61.8% level 1.0882 aur NKZ 1.0890-1.0907 ko test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, magar isay chhoona behtar nahi, warna south sach mein toot sakta hai. Aur daily waves kehti hain ke decline abhi khatam nahi hua, 1.0724 ka minimum level update karna zaroori hai. Asal mein, 50% level 1.0853 tak pohonch gaya tha, to yeh correction kaafi ho sakta hai, magar 1.0788 tootne se yeh 61.8% 1.0882 tak barh sakta hai, jahan se neeche jana aur bhi behtar hoga. Yeh to saaf hai ke south ke liye kam az kam 1.0817 ke volume ke neeche jana zaroori hai, aur phir 1.0788 ke neeche. Agar woh 1.0907 ke upar jaate hain aur wahan hold karte hain, to yahan real north ka izhaar ho jayega. Filhal, mera main option yeh hai ke minimums ko update karne ke liye wapas jaya jaye.

EUR/USD H1 time frame

Main aapki post mein system data add kar sakta hoon jo ke yehi baat zahir karta hai, ke 1.0800 ke medium-term level ka breakdown hua hai, jo ke trend mein tabdeeli ka matlab hai. Magar main isay zyada theek se confirm kar sakta hoon. Jab hum downward correction perform karte hain, to initial level broken level 1.0800 ka test hota hai, aur phir, jese hi card girti hai, ek aur yellow level niche 1.0787 par hai, jahan ek rollback welcome hai. Aur yeh ke neeche kuch uthana ka waqt nahi mila, main yahan kuch add nahi kar sakta. Kyunki niche mujhe kuch wapas karne ka nahi lagta, sirf required level 1.0800 hai, magar yeh aapke level se upar hai. Is ke liye, main intezar kar raha hoon ke hum required level 1.0800 tak jayein, aur phir agar hum 1.0787 ko bhi pick kar sakte hain, to yeh ke din kamiyab raha aur technically sab kuch scheme ke mutabiq ho gaya. Main graph par dikhana chahta hoon ke average mein yeh pura kar sakte hain, yeh zaroori nahi ke itna gehra ho, magar yeh exclude nahi hai aur yeh north ko nahi todega.

Tuesday ko late March ke baad apne highest point 1.0900 se upar hit karne ke baad, EUR/USD ne ground lose kar diya aur day weaker end kiya. Jab market ka rujhan US macroeconomic data ki taraf hota hai, pair ka short-term technical picture bullish momentum ki kami dikhata hai. US Bureau of Labor Statistics ne Tuesday ko report kiya ke April ke last business day tak 8.059 million job openings thein. Yeh figure market forecast 8.34 million se kam tha, jiski wajah se US dollar (USD) ko ground gain karne mein mushkilat ka samna hai. Lekin, cautious market stance ne EUR/USD ko gain karne se roka.
Wednesday morning tak US stock futures pichle din se thode higher the, jo EUR/USD pair ko support kar rahe the. ADP employment change for May aur ISM services PMI data US economic calendar par later in the day release honge. Investors expect karte hain ke ISM services PMI 49.4 se barh kar 50 se zyada ho jaye April ke comparison mein, aur private payrolls May mein 173,000 increase karein. Is hafte ke shuruat mein ek weak ISM Manufacturing PMI ne US dollar ko lower push kiya. Agar ISM Services PMI mein services activity ki sustained decline dekhi jaye, to selling pressure on the US dollar wapas aa sakta hai, jo EUR/USD ko rise karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Lekin, agar ISM Services PMI positive aata hai to US currency ko strengthen kar sakta hai aur value mein gains ko limit kar sakta hai.

Tuesday ko EUR/USD ne apne highest point ko touch karne ke baad, short-term technical outlook bearish momentum ko reflect karta hai. Market ab US macroeconomic indicators ki taraf dekh raha hai, jo pair ke future movements ke liye crucial honge. US Bureau of Labor Statistics ke mutabiq, April ke end tak 8.059 million job openings thein, jo market expectations se kam thein. Iski wajah se USD ne strength lose ki. Yeh data release ke baad, EUR/USD pair ne stability maintain karne ki koshish ki, lekin bullish momentum kaafi kamzor raha.

Wednesday morning tak, US stock futures thode barh gaye thein, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye supportive factor raha. Is din ke dauran ADP employment change for May aur ISM services PMI data release hone wale hain. Investors ki umeed hai ke ISM services PMI April ke 49.4 se barh kar 50 se upar pohonch jaye aur private payrolls May mein 173,000 se increase karein. Agar yeh expectations puri hoti hain to yeh US dollar ko support de sakti hain. Lekin agar ISM Services PMI weak aata hai to yeh US dollar par selling pressure wapas la sakta hai, jis se EUR/USD ko rise karne ka mauka milega.

US Bureau of Labor Statistics ke report ke mutabiq, April ke end tak 8.059 million job openings thein jo ke market forecast se kam thein. Iski wajah se USD ko ground gain karne mein mushkilat hui. Wednesday morning tak US stock futures thode higher thein, jo EUR/USD pair ko support karte rahe. Investors ko ab ADP employment change for May aur ISM services PMI data ka intezar hai. Umeed ki ja rahi hai ke ISM services PMI April ke 49.4 se barh kar 50 se zyada ho jaye aur private payrolls May mein 173,000 se increase karein. Agar ISM Services PMI weak aata hai to US dollar par selling pressure wapas aa sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko rise karne ka mauka mil sakta hai. Lekin agar ISM Services PMI positive aata hai to US dollar ko strength mil sakti hai aur EUR/USD ke gains ko limit kar sakta hai.

Is situation mein traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur upcoming US economic data releases ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Short-term technical indicators aur US macroeconomic data mil kar EUR/USD pair ke future direction ko shape karenge. Agar market ki expectations puri hoti hain to yeh US dollar ko support kar sakti hain aur EUR/USD ke bullish momentum ko dampen kar sakti hain. Lekin agar data disappointing aata hai to yeh EUR/USD ko upward push de sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne haaliya trading sessions mein significant movements dikhayi hain, jo ke daily aur half-hour charts par strong sell signal present karte hain. Aayiye technical analysis ko ghor se dekhein aur market ki current situation aur future trading implications ko samjhein.

H4 chart ko kholte hue, hum dekhte hain ke euro/dollar pair pehle ek strong ascending price channel mein trade kar raha tha. Lekin, yeh upward trend tab disturb hua jab price ne is channel ki lower boundary ko 1.0880 level par tod diya. Yeh breakout market sentiment mein aik aham tabdeeli ka nishaan tha, jo bullish se bearish ki taraf shift ho gaya.

Breakout ke baad, pair ne 1.0860 level tak decline dekha, jo ke potential downward trend ka pehla ishara tha. Is decline ke baad, ek rebound hua jahan price ne neeche se tod gaye ascending channel ki lower boundary ko dubara test karne ki koshish ki. Yeh retest 1.0890 level tak pohoncha, lekin price is resistance ko break karne mein nakam raha, jis se ek rebound aur decline ka silsila barqarar raha.

Filhal, H4 chart par, EUR/USD pair ek naye downward price channel mein trade kar raha hai. Yeh channel ek sustainable bearish trend ka ishara hai, aur major currency pair is waqt 1.0870 level ke ird gird trade kar raha hai. Technically, yahan se resistance line ki taraf ek corrective growth ho sakti hai. Lekin expect yeh kiya ja raha hai ke 1.0880 level ke aas paas price ko resistance face hoga, jo ke rebound aur southern channel ke andar decline ke silsile ko barqarar rakhega.

Daily chart ka analysis bhi half-hour chart par dekhi gayi bearish outlook ko corroborate karta hai. Dono timeframes strong sell signals dete hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke downward momentum ka silsila barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Traders ko kisi bhi temporary corrective growths ke bare mein hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyun ke yeh short-lived honge aur resistance ko face karenge.

Summary mein, EUR/USD pair ke technical indicators aur chart patterns align hote hue strong sell signal dete hain. 1.0880 par ascending channel ki lower boundary ka todna, 1.0890 par subsequent failed retest, aur 1.0870 ke ird gird current trading, yeh sab continued decline ki taraf ishara karte hain. Jab market 1.0880 level ki taraf correct karega, yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke isko resistance face hoga, jo rebound aur bearish trend ke silsile ko barqarar rakhega.

Traders ko in technical signals ko trading decisions banate waqt madde nazar rakhna chahiye, aur short-lived corrective growths jo short positions ke liye opportunities provide karti hain, un par alert rehna chahiye. Multiple timeframes par signals ka alignment bearish outlook ko mazbooti se darshata hai, isliye yeh prudent hoga ke current market environment mein sell positions ko prioritize kiya jaye.

EUR/USD: Currency Pair Study
EUR/USD currency pair recent trading sessions mein significant movement dikhayi de rahi hai, jo daily aur half-hour charts par strong sell signal present kar rahi hai. Chaliye technical analysis mein gehraayee mein jaate hain taake current market situation ko samajh sakein aur future trading ke implications ko dekhe. H4 chart khol kar dekhte hain, to humein nazar aata hai ke euro/dollar pair pehle ek strong ascending price channel ke andar trade kar raha tha. Lekin, yeh upward trend us waqt disrupt ho gaya jab price channel ke lower boundary ko 1.0880 level par tod diya. Yeh breakout market sentiment mein ek aham tabdeeli ka ishara tha, jo bullish se bearish mein shift ho gaya.



Breakout ke baad, pair ne decline experience kiya aur 1.0860 level tak pohonch gaya, jo ek downward trend ke pehle sign tha. Is decline ke baad ek rebound dekha gaya, jahan price ne broken lower boundary ko neeche se retest karne ki koshish ki. Yeh retest 1.0890 level tak pohoncha, lekin price is resistance ko todne mein nakam raha, jiske natije mein rebound hua aur decline ka silsila jari raha. Abhi, H4 chart par, EUR/USD pair ek naye downward price channel mein trade kar raha hai. Yeh channel ek sustained bearish trend ko indicate kar raha hai, aur major currency pair 1.0870 level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Technically, ek corrective growth ka potential hai towards the resistance line of this downward channel. Lekin yeh expected hai ke takreeban 1.0880 level par price resistance face karegi, jo rebound aur southern channel ke andar decline ke aagey barhne ka sabab banegi.

H1 Wednesday ko hourly chart par, EUR/USD pair neeche khula, aur price trading level 1.08344 ko tod gaya. Iske baad ek sell signal aya support level 1.07475 tak. Thursday ko, price support level ki taraf girti rahi, lekin phir breakout level pe wapas aa gayi. Signal sell ka tha, lekin kaam nahi kiya kyunki price neeche se trading level ko tod kar merge hogayi, jo ke buy signal ban gaya resistance level 1.09217 tak. Buy signal phir kaam nahi kiya. Friday ko price ne trading level tod diya, jo phir sell signal tha. Yeh sell signal bhi kaam nahi kar saka, aur price phir is level ko tod kar merge ho gayi, jo phir buy signal tha resistance level 1.09217 tak. Mera khayal hai yeh buy signal kaam kiya kyunki price resistance level ke qareeb bounce hui; yeh support level 1.08344 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai. Buy signal abhi bhi valid hai. Agar price 1.08344 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh buy aur sell signal dono hai, aur sell target support level 1.07475 hai. Monday ko, northern target resistance level 1.09217 hai. Pair ne key levels 1.08698 aur 1.08792 ke upar break kiya, bullish sentiment ko mazboot banaya aur buyers tight control mein hain. Yeh model ongoing upward trend ko confirm karta hai aur profit-taking ka ishara deta hai EUR/USD pair par. Agar pair 1.0840 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh sellers ke haq mein market conditions change hone ka ishara hoga. Yeh bearish forces ko mazboot karega aur pair ko neeche dhakil sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ka movement support aur resistance levels ke ird gird hai. Traders ko price action in points par monitor karni chahiye taake pair ka future determine ho sake. Pair apni upward momentum continue karta hai ya decline ki taraf wapas jata hai. Further growth likely hai support aur key resistance level 1.0847 par.

EUR/USD H4

Kuch kehna mushkil hai jab tak close nahi hoti, sirf itna keh sakte hain ke dusre week tak growth nahi hui. Aise movement ko south ki taraf kehna mushkil hai, lekin growth ruk gayi hai, iska matlab hai ke side corridor ke boundaries dekhni chahiye jahan hum shayad agle waqt trade karein ge. Aane wale week mein calendar par kaafi news hain jo three stars ke sath hain, lekin lagta hai ke humein koi strong movement ek taraf se nahi milegi, news shayad EUR/USD pair par multidirectional effect dalegi aur result mein hum zyada door nahi jaenge. Lekin overall, movement south ki taraf hogi, kyunki humne side corridor receive kar liya hai, even with slight southern slope, isliye high probability hai ke price iss corridor ke andar hi move karegi, shayad week ke end tak bahar aa jaye, lekin pehle half mein hum

EUR/USD: EUR/USD currency pair ne is haal mein khaas ruchhadar tabdeeliyan darja di hain, jo daily aur half-hour charts ke mutabiq majeed sell signal ko dikhati hain. Aaiye, hum techchiye ke naujawanat mein jayein takay hamarey paas aakhri bazari hayaatan ka samajh ho aur is ke asraat aaglaa taraqqi karnay walay trade ke liye kya hain. H4 chart khol kar dekhain to, hum dekhte hain ke yeh euro/dollar pair pehle bohat mazboot ooncha unchai channel mein trade kar raha tha. Lekin, is ooncha trend ko wo tod diya jab raqam ne 1.0880 level ke niche utar kar channel ke neechay boundary ko tuktaya. Is qasdi nateeja e aati hai bazar ki hawa khatam ho gayi aur wo bulish se bearish ho gayi.

Is nayi naqlat ke baad, pair ne 1.0860 level tak wazahat paayi, jo ke pehli nishani thi izafi naqlat ki shayadat ki. Is wazahat ko ek tajaweez ke baad, raqam ne koshish ki ke wo phir se upper boundary ko neeche se retest karein, jo ke 1.0890 level tak pohnchi, lekin raqam ne is resistance ko todne mein kamiyabi nahi hasil ki, jo ke wazahat mein wapas aaye aur izafi naqlat ko taeed di. Aaj kal, H4 mein EUR/USD pair ek nayi naqlat ke price channel mein trade kar raha hai. Is channel ka matlab hai ke izafi naqlat dalil ho gayi hai, aur major currency pair 1.0870 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Techchiyaani tawajjoat ki ke iss naqshi maahol mein ek izafi naqlat ho sakti hai jo is downward channel ke resistance line ki taraf ho. Lekin, aaisa lagta hai ke lagbhag 1.0880 level se raqam mukawala karain gayi aur wapas aane ke baad naqshi naqlat ko aage badhate hue.

Dailey chart ki tahqiqat naqshi soorat ko wazahat aur half-hour chart se malmat karti hai. Dono waqt frameek maloomat bechan signal ko izhar kartay hain, jo izafi naqlat ki daureen jari rehne ki zuhurat dikhati hain. Tajarba karnay walay ko kisi zaroori zaroorat ka khayal rakhtay hue, jo mohtamaal corrective izafi ho sakti hain, wahe bas choti choti daur rakhen gi aur resistance ka muqabala karein gi. Techchi indicators aur chart patterns ke mutabiq EUR/USD pair ke liye zaheed sell signal mil raha hai. Chhati channel ke neeche boundary ko 1.0880 pe chor ke, agay ki bekarri ko 1.0890 pe chhoti resistance mila, aur is waqt niche channel mein 1.0870 ke qarib trade ho raha hai, jo izafi naqlat ko kamsar tor par daba ke agay barhna dikhata hai. Jaise he bazar 1.0880 level ke qarib daweez karein, waisa lagta hai ke wo resistance ka muqabala karein gayi, jo wapas aaye aur naqshi trend ko taeed de.

Tajarba karne walay ko in techchi signals ko bazari faislay karnay mein talashi leni chahiye, izafi izafi ko zaroori daur rakhtay hue short positions ke liye moqa chahiye. Har waqt frameek maloomat ke izhar ke is maqam ki naqshi soorat ko zaheed sell position ko taeed dete hain, is lie prudaana karain ke is mauqe par sell positions ko prioritise karein.

Forex trading strategy
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ke jode ne naye tejarati hafte ka aaghaz niche gap ke sath kiya hai. Iski wajah yah ho sakti hai keh France ke sadar Emmanuel Macron ne mulk ki parliament, qaumi Assembly ko tahlil kar ke intekhabat ka ailan kar diya hai.
Ab, tawaqqo ki jati hai keh European currency munafa ko dobara shuru karne se pahle gap ko pur karne ke liye fisal jayegi. Lehaza, traders ya to maujudah satah se ya qimat ke 1.0730 ke nishan tak girne ke bad long positions khol sakte hain.
1.0800 ki satah ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Iska breakout 1.0830 ke nishan ka rasta khol dega. Agar Budh ke aidad o shumar inflation me kami ko zahir karte hain to is tarah ki tezi ka scenario mumkin hai, jis ka imkan aane wale intekhabat ke pesh nazar hai.
Yah joda kharidne aur aham khabron ki release ki tawaqqo me Budh tak break-even point pahunchne ka aacha waqt hai. Yaqinan, maujudah suratehal me, mai aaj euro/dollar ke jode par short positions kholne par gaur nahin kar raha hun.

#1 Collapse
Besttrader
Senior Member

• تاریخِ شمولیت: Apr 2020
• پوسٹس: 1649
• پسندیدہ پوسٹس 2554
• موصول شدہ کو پسند کریں 7519

Forex trading strategy
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ke jode ne naye tejarati hafte ka aaghaz niche gap ke sath kiya hai. Iski wajah yah ho sakti hai keh France ke sadar Emmanuel Macron ne mulk ki parliament, qaumi Assembly ko tahlil kar ke intekhabat ka ailan kar diya hai.
Ab, tawaqqo ki jati hai keh European currency munafa ko dobara shuru karne se pahle gap ko pur karne ke liye fisal jayegi. Lehaza, traders ya to maujudah satah se ya qimat ke 1.0730 ke nishan tak girne ke bad long positions khol sakte hain.
1.0800 ki satah ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Iska breakout 1.0830 ke nishan ka rasta khol dega. Agar Budh ke aidad o shumar inflation me kami ko zahir karte hain to is tarah ki tezi ka scenario mumkin hai, jis ka imkan aane wale intekhabat ke pesh nazar hai.
Yah joda kharidne aur aham khabron ki release ki tawaqqo me Budh tak break-even point pahunchne ka aacha waqt hai. Yaqinan, maujudah suratehal me, mai aaj euro/dollar ke jode par short positions kholne par gaur nahin kar raha hun.

EUR/USD


Employment report ne eurozone rate expectations ke dynamics bhi badal diye hain, jahan traders ab 55 basis point cut forecast kar rahe hain is saal, jo pehle 58 bps tha data se pehle.

European Stoxx 600 (.STOXX), jo ke saal ke shuruaat se 10% gain kar chuka hai, 0.2% gir gaya.

Eurozone bond market mein bhi weakness dekhi gayi, German 10-year yields 8 basis points badhkar 2.618% ho gayi.

Currency markets mein, U.S. dollar 0.8% badh gaya major currencies ke basket ke against, employment data se pehle ek hafte ke losses ko reverse karte hue. Euro 0.8% girkar $1.0802 par aa gaya, jo ke pichle din ke chhote gain ke baad hua.

Brent crude futures 0.6% girkar $79.36 per barrel par aa gayi. Stronger dollar ne spot gold par bhi asar dala, jo 3.6% girkar $2,290.59 per ounce par aa gaya.



American session ke shuruaat mein, EUR/USD pair 1.0826 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai, 200 EMA ke upar, aur strong technical correction ke under hai.

Agle kuch ghanton mein, euro 1.0821 (200 EMA) ke upar bounce kar sakta hai lekin agar bearish force prevail karti hai, toh EUR/USD is dynamic support ko tod sakta hai aur 5/8 Murray par 1.0803 ko reach kar sakta hai. Price 1.0800 ke around uptrend channel ke bottom tak bhi pahunch sakti hai.

H4 chart ke mutabiq euro oversold zone ko reach kar raha hai, hum yeh maante hain ke agar yeh aane wale dinon mein 1.0800 ke upar consolidate karta hai, toh hum buying opportunities dekh sakte hain targets ke saath 1.0864 aur 1.0925 par.

Agar daily close aur consolidation 1.0800 ke neeche hoti hai, toh Euro ka outlook badal sakta hai aur hum expect kar sakte hain ke EUR/USD girta rahega aur 4/8 Murray par 1.0745 ko reach karega. Instrument 1.0658 ke low tak bhi pahunch sakta hai jo ke early May mein dekha gaya tha.

1.0760 level EUR/USD pair ke liye aik ahem monthly support level hai, jo aksar pivot indicator ke zariye har mahine ke shuru mein pehla support level ban jata hai. Do mahino tak ke upper movement ke baad, EUR/USD pair nedoun trend ka aamnu shaam dekha. Yeh trend reversal ne neeche ki taraf movement se le kar ascending price channels ke andar trading karne ka ishara diya, jo market sentiment mein aik possible tabdeeli ki taraf ishara karta hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, EUR/USD pair ne bullish momentum dikhaya, ahista ahista barh raha tha. Lekin ascending channels ke beech ki line par resistance ka samna karte hi, pair ne retrace karna shuru kiya. Yeh correction ne sabhi establish kiye gaye price channels ko breach kiya, jo bullish trend mein temporary kamzori ka ishara tha.

Jab price pehle channels ke upper boundary ko retest kiya, toh woh badi selling pressure ka samna kiya aur ek aur neeche ka wave shuru kiya. Yeh giravat chalti rahi jab tak pair 1.0710 support level tak pohanch gaya. Yeh support level price ko stabilise karne diya aur ek correctve upward movement shuru ki. Yeh series of movements EUR/USD pair ke price action mein support aur resistance levels ke dynamic interplay ko darust karti hai. Mahine ke shuru ke taraf ho raha izafa positive market sentiment ko reflect karta tha, mukhtalif economic factors aur possibly speculative buying ke zariye driven. Lekin ascending channels ki middle line par resistance bohot zyada tha, jis se price ko ek zyada sustainable level ki talash thi. Sabhi price channels ka breach hone ke baad market dynamics mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho gaya, EUR/USD pair bullish se neutral ya bearish stance mein chala gaya. Upper boundary ko retest karne aur neeche ki taraf girne ka baad, resistance levels ki himmat aur market ke inclination ko bechne ki taraf demonstrate kiya. Jab pair 1.0640 support level tak gir gaya, temporary floor mila, jis ne price ko upar le jane diya. Yeh wapas tapti movement woos taraf indicate karta hai ke market bilkul bearish nahi hai aur neeche levels par buying interest abhi bhi hai. Yeh 1.0770 support level ko dekhne ke liye aik ahem level ho sakta hai, kyun ke yeh future price movements ke liye aik pivot ka kaam karega.

جون 10 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

مئی میں امریکی بے روزگاری 3.9% سے بڑھ کر 4.0% ہو گئی کیونکہ لیبر فورس کی شرکت کی شرح 62.7% سے گر کر 62.5% ہو گئی، نان فارم پے رولز نے 272k نئی نوکریوں کا اضافہ کیا بمقابلہ 182k کی پیشن گوئی اور فی گھنٹہ اجرت میں 0.4% اضافہ۔ سونا 3.45%، تانبا 4.94%، برینٹ خام تیل -0.54%، گندم -1.92%، ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 -0.11%، 5 سالہ امریکی حکومتی بانڈز پر پیداوار 4.29% سے 4.46% تک گر گئی، یورو کی قیمت میں کمی اس کی قیمت کا 0.78٪۔ ڈالر کی طرف اس طرح کی "ٹیکٹونک" تبدیلی کو یورپی مرکزی بینک کی شرح میں کمی پر تاخیری ردعمل کے علاوہ کوئی دوسرا راستہ نہیں سمجھا جا سکتا۔ یہاں تک کہ تجارتی حجم جمعرات کے مقابلے میں نمایاں طور پر زیادہ تھا۔



اگر ہم ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر نظر ڈالیں تو ہم اس بات سے اتفاق کر سکتے ہیں کہ "ٹیکٹونک" کی اصطلاح بالکل بھی مبالغہ آمیز نہیں تھی۔ قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی حمایت تک پہنچ گئی، جو نیچے مضبوط ہو کر برابری کے قریب علاقے میں طویل مدتی کمی کا آغاز بن سکتی ہے۔ اس طرح کی تحریک کی پہلی شاخ کا اختتام 1.0369 - اگست 2022 کی اونچائی پر دیکھا گیا ہے ۔

یومیہ چارٹ پر، مارلن آسکیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن بیئرش ٹیریٹری میں چلی گئی ہے۔ ایک وقفے کے ساتھ مارکیٹ کھلنے سے قیمت نے 1.0788 پر سپورٹ پر قابو پا لیا، جسے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے تقویت ملی۔ سطح پر قابو پانے سے قریب ترین ہدف 1.0724 پر کھلتا ہے - یہ ایک مضبوط سپورٹ بھی ہے، جو دسمبر سے مئی تک درست ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر یا تو داخل ہو چکا ہے یا اوور سیلڈ ایریا کے قریب ہے۔ اوپننگ گیپ 25 پِپس ہے۔ ہم مارکیٹ کے اس فرق کو ختم کرنے کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں، یعنی یورو میں اصلاح شروع ہو جائے گی، اس کے بعد ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 1.0788 کی سطح سے نیچے آ جائے گی اور 1.0724 کی طرف گر جائے گی۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

eur/usd price overview.

Upper channel line aur weekly resistance level of 1.2860, dono significant indicators hain aur yeh price top formation ke sath mutabiqat rakhte hain. Is haftay ke duran price upward trend mein tha, aur descending blue channel line ke neeche selling zone mein open hua. Jab price pivot level of 1.2770 ke neeche gaya, tab price red channel line tak pohanch gaya, aur downward blue channel ko tor diya, jis ne price ko upward movement ke liye crucial support diya. Yeh developments potential trading opportunities pesh karte hain jo aap ke liye faidemand ho sakti hain.Weekly pivot level tak decline aur rebound upward trend mein hua hai is decline ki wajah se. Upward trend tab tak continue reh sakta hai jab tak hum resistance level aur weekly channels ko break karte hain. Yeh analysis aapke trading decisions ke liye crucial hai, jo aapko informed choices banane ka confidence deta hai. Pichle do dinon mein, price ne ascending price channels ke andar trade karna shuru kiya hai. Yeh pattern ek potential upward trend ko suggest karta hai, kyun ke price higher highs aur higher lows bana raha hai.

Price initially daily pivot level pe trade kar raha tha, jo aksar price ke liye turning point hota hai. Shuru mein session ke, mid-channel lines ne support provide kiya, jo intense buying pressure ko indicate karta hai. Jaise hi price climb karke monthly pivot level ke kareeb pohanchi, pehla daily resistance level ek decline mein result hua. Ab price lower channel lines tak pohanch gayi hai aur current level se support milne par wapas rise kar sakti hai, kyun ke yeh lower channel lines tak pohanch gayi hai

1. Bullish Continuation: Agar price ko upar ki taraf push milta hai aur yeh 1.2860 resistance level ko tod deta hai, toh yeh upward trend ka continuation ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, traders ko buying opportunities dekhni chahiye, aur yeh anticipate karna chahiye ke price higher levels ko target karega.
2. Bearish Reversal: Agar price 1.2860 resistance level ko break nahi kar pata aur neeche girta hai, toh yeh bearish reversal ka indication ho sakta hai. Is mein traders ko selling opportunities dekhni chahiye, aur is price fall ke madde nazar neeche ke support levels ko target karna chahiye, jaise ke 1.2770 pivot level Market ko samajhna aur in options ka dhyan rakhna aapko confidently navigate karne mein madadgar hoga. Har ek movement aur price action ko closely monitor karein, aur technical indicators ka sahara lein taake sahi trading decisions le sakein