یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Hamari mojooda tajziya EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ka hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend mazboot nahi hai. Jaise hi Jumma ko upper targets se wapas aaya, prices 1.0850 ke aas paas tike rahe, 1.0830-1.0820 ki taraf giraai nahi gayi. Jaise Winnie the Pooh ne mashhoor kiya, rukawat ka koi wajah zaroor hoti hai. Is liye, shuru mein mazeed urooj ka aghaz ane wala hai, haalaanki shayad Jumma ke peak 1.0881 ko paar nahi karega; waqt hi batayega. Aaj 13:00 Moscow waqt mein, ek OPEC meeting tail market ko asar andaz ho sakti hai. EUR/USD pair ke baare mein, bullish sentiment din bhar qaim hai. Kal, ahem khabrain jaise ke US karobaari fa'aliyat indices, dollar ko mazboot karne ka intezar hai, jabke Europe ke indices, haalaanki kam asar, musbat hone ka tawaqo kiya jata hai. Kul mila ke, maine upar ka rukh teh karte hue aaj ke session ke liye taqreeban upward movement ka andaza kiya hai, Jumma ke high ko dobara pohanchne ke sath, phir ek neeche ki taraf correction ka imkaan.

Ghanton ke chart par nazar dalte hue, "pichle hafte ke ikhtitami dino" ki yaad dilate hue, market ka mukhtalif andaz ho sakta hai, haalaanki zara sa neeche ki taraf rukh hai. Jumma ke trading ke ikhtitam tak, EUR/USD is price level ki upper resistance had tak pohanch gaya tha magar qaim raha. Band hone tak, EUR/USD ne 1.0845 ke aas paas trade kiya, jo ke pair ke price channel ke darmiyan mein tha. Aane wale trading week mein ek mushaba technical stance ka andaza hai, jisme ke prices ek hi raaste mein mehdood rahenge. Kal ke high ko paar karna bullish momentum ko izafa kar sakta tha, haalaanki beech beech mein neeche ki corrections ke saath. 1.0810 ke ooper rehna zaroori hai taake potential upward momentum ko barqarar rakh sakein.
Mukhtasar mein, tajziya ek muhawara fikriyat ke mutabiq hai EUR/USD pair ke future ke movement ke liye, jisme key events jaise ke OPEC meeting aur ane wale economic indicators ka dhyaan diya gaya hai. Price action ko nigaah mein rakhte hue aur technical signals ko samajh kar, traders ko bazaar mein ziada insight aur itminan ke saath safar karne ki salahiyat milti hai.

Good morning everyone! EURUSD pair ke liye, kuch din pehle lagta hai ke hum ne downward reversal complete kar liya hai ek retest se neeche se aur is April resistance zone ya sales zone of that period se. Lagta hai ke bears ne apne level ko defend kiya aur EURUSD ne is week ke lows ko update karte hue wapas roll back kiya. Aur technical indicator ke mutabiq, zone ke top ke qareeb basement mein ek sell signal form hua hai, jo is signal ko technique ke base pe strengthen karta hai. Agar hum conclusions draw karein, to EURUSD pair ke liye technical correction doosre din khatam hui, dono fib aur technology ke mutabiq. Aur kuch dinon mein yeh apne pehle trend pe wapas aa rahi hai, magar yeh sirf mera opinion hai, aur yeh picture mein bhi dikhayi deta hai. Hum 1.0890 ko work out hone ka intezar kar rahe hain, agar yeh work out nahi hota, to agla level 1.0980 hai. Aur main speculate nahi karna chahta ke bulls kar sakte hain ya nahi, yeh market hai, yahan sab kuch mumkin hai. Lekin yeh mera opinion hai, aap aur doosre log is se mutafiq na bhi ho sakte hain. Lagta hai ke aise growth development nahi hogi. Daily EURUSD time frame pe 1.0864 ke neeche wapas aana (5/8 channel ka top) euro pe teesre din tak pressure dalta raha. Aaj mujhe decline ke continuation ki umeed hai towards upper border of the Cloud indicator "Ichimoku Kinko Hyo" jo horizontally 1.0790 level pe pass kar raha hai, by the way, red moving average for 75 days bhi wahan pe pass karega, aur usi waqt hum iski strength ko test karenge. Abhi main 1.0864 ke upar return ko consider nahi kar raha.




EUR/USD ke liye kal, ek choti northern pullback ke baad, price reverse hui aur news background ke against, confidently south ko push hui, jiske natije mein ek full bearish candle form hui, jo easily previous daily range ke low ke neeche consolidate ho gayi. Aaj mujhe lagta hai ke main nearest support level ka price work out kar sakta hoon, jo meri markings ke mutabiq 1.08122 pe located hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha hai, yahan do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario turning candle ke formation aur upward price movement ke resumption se related hai. Agar yeh plan work out hota hai, to main price ka return wait karunga resistance level tak, jo 1.08850 pe located hai. Agar price is resistance level ke upar fix hoti hai, to main further northward movement ka wait karunga, resistance level tak jo 1.09425 pe located hai ya resistance level tak jo 1.09812 pe located hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo future direction of trading ko determine karne mein madad karega. Of course, ek aur option hai ke ek more distant northern target ko work out kiya jaye, jo meri markings ke mutabiq 1.11393 pe located hai, magar agar indicated plan implement hota hai, to price ke northern target ki taraf move karte waqt, main southern pullbacks ko fully allow karta hoon, jo main bullish signals search karne ke liye use karne ka plan banata hoon from the nearest support levels, in anticipation.

Eurusd pichle Jumme ka market movement phir se barh gaya, lekin jo izafa hua wo resistance area ko phir bhi tor nahi saka. Keemat SMA 50 area mein hai jahan par SMA 50 line SMA 200 line se oopar hai. Keemat ek flag pattern bana rahi hai.
Agla Eurusd ka movement ka qiyas karein, agar hum trend dekhein jo ke abhi bhi bullish hai aur keemat ek flag limit pattern bana rahi hai, to phir Eurusd ka agla movement bhi bullish hone ka potential rakhta hai. Magar, keemat abhi bhi SMA 50 line par hai aur keemat resistance line ke neeche aur flag ke andar hai, is liye agle movement mein bearish potential bhi hai aur Eurusd ka agla movement SMA 200 line ko dobara test karne ka bhi potential hai phir se bullishly jaari rehne se pehle. Agar keemat phir se gir jaye aur SMA 200 line aur support line 1.0727 ko tor de, to hoshyar rahen kyun ke agar keemat 1.0727 ki support line ko tor de to Eurusd ka agla movement bearish hone ka potential rakhta hai. Uper di gayi tajwez ke sath, main ye samajh sakta hoon ke agla Eurusd ka movement ab bhi bullish hone ka potential rakhta hai, lekin kharidne ke liye behtar hai ke hum keemat ko flag area ya resistance line 1.0859 ko torne ka intezaar karein. Hum maal-o-daulat ka nishana resistance line 1.0944 par rakh sakte hain. Wahi, agar keemat gir jaye aur flag limit ya 1.0811 ki support line ko tor de, to hum bechne ka mauqa pakar sakte hain. Hum maal-o-daulat ka nishana support line 1.0727 par rakh sakte hain.

H1 (hourly) chart par EUR/USD ke aaj ke trading situation kaafi active hai, jo ke aam tor par Mondays ko itni nahi hoti. Aaj ke market movement significant news announcements se influenced hai jo ke Euro aur Dollar dono ke bare mein hain. Thursday se Friday tak ke recent trend ko analyze karte hue, market ne clear upward trajectory dikhayi hai, jo ke potential further growth ke liye stage set kar rahi hai.

Jab hum is upward movement ke continuation ko dekhen, toh aaj ka key level 1.0840 par hai. Yeh level Friday ka local minimum hai aur current trendline ke sath align karta hai. Yeh ek crucial support level hai jo ke ya toh current bullish momentum ko sustain karega ya phir agar broken ho jaye toh reversal signal dega. RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator abhi positive zone mein range kar raha hai, jo ke buying momentum ko support karta hai. Jab RSI 50 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh typically indicate karta hai ke market bullish phase mein hai aur buying pressure prevailing hai.

Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye 1.0840 level ke around. Agar price is support level ko respect karti hai aur RSI positive territory mein rehta hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko confirm karega. Yeh scenario suggest karta hai ke buyers is level ke around step in kar sakte hain, jo price ko aur bhi upar drive karenge. RSI ka position positive zone mein is perspective ko reinforce karta hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke market sentiment abhi bhi upward movement ko favor kar raha hai.

Lekin, agar price 1.0840 level se neeche drop karti hai, toh yeh direction change ko indicate karega. Is case mein, RSI likely downward trend karega, positive zone se bahar move karega. Yeh shift buying momentum ke weakening aur potential increase in selling pressure ko signal karega. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, toh traders ko selling opportunities ke liye prepared rehna chahiye. 1.0840 se neeche drop suggest karta hai ke support fail ho gaya hai aur ek naya downward trend develop ho sakta hai.

Aaj ke trading strategy ke liye, market changes ke liye adaptable rehna zaroori hai. News announcements ke influence ki wajah se, volatility expected hai. Agar price 1.0840 se upar rehti hai aur RSI positive rehta hai, toh long positions favor ki ja sakti hain, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue. Conversely, agar price is key level ko break kar deti hai aur RSI downwards trend karta hai, toh short positions consider karna prudent hoga, lower support levels ko target karte hue.

, H1 chart of EUR/USD indicate karta hai ke aaj ka trading day potentially active hai with significant price movements driven by news events. 1.0840 ka key level ek critical pivot point serve karta hai. RSI indicator currently bullish bias ko support karta hai, lekin traders ko reversal ke kisi bhi signs ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye. Is level ke around price action aur RSI ko closely monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, ya toh upward trend ke continuation ko capitalize karte hue ya phir potential new downward movement ko. Changing market conditions ko navigate karne ke liye adaptability crucial hogi.

H1 (hourly) chart par EUR/USD ke aaj ke trading situation kaafi active hai, jo ke aam tor par Mondays ko itni nahi hoti. Aaj ke market movement significant news announcements se influenced hai jo ke Euro aur Dollar dono ke bare mein hain. Thursday se Friday tak ke recent trend ko analyze karte hue, market ne clear upward trajectory dikhayi hai, jo ke potential further growth ke liye stage set kar rahi hai.

Jab hum is upward movement ke continuation ko dekhen, toh aaj ka key level 1.0840 par hai. Yeh level Friday ka local minimum hai aur current trendline ke sath align karta hai. Yeh ek crucial support level hai jo ke ya toh current bullish momentum ko sustain karega ya phir agar broken ho jaye toh reversal signal dega. RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator abhi positive zone mein range kar raha hai, jo ke buying momentum ko support karta hai. Jab RSI 50 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh typically indicate karta hai ke market bullish phase mein hai aur buying pressure prevailing hai.

Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye 1.0840 level ke around. Agar price is support level ko respect karti hai aur RSI positive territory mein rehta hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko confirm karega. Yeh scenario suggest karta hai ke buyers is level ke around step in kar sakte hain, jo price ko aur bhi upar drive karenge. RSI ka position positive zone mein is perspective ko reinforce karta hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke market sentiment abhi bhi upward movement ko favor kar raha hai.

Lekin, agar price 1.0840 level se neeche drop karti hai, toh yeh direction change ko indicate karega. Is case mein, RSI likely downward trend karega, positive zone se bahar move karega. Yeh shift buying momentum ke weakening aur potential increase in selling pressure ko signal karega. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, toh traders ko selling opportunities ke liye prepared rehna chahiye. 1.0840 se neeche drop suggest karta hai ke support fail ho gaya hai aur ek naya downward trend develop ho sakta hai.

Aaj ke trading strategy ke liye, market changes ke liye adaptable rehna zaroori hai. News announcements ke influence ki wajah se, volatility expected hai. Agar price 1.0840 se upar rehti hai aur RSI positive rehta hai, toh long positions favor ki ja sakti hain, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue. Conversely, agar price is key level ko break kar deti hai aur RSI downwards trend karta hai, toh short positions consider karna prudent hoga, lower support levels ko target karte hue.

, H1 chart of EUR/USD indicate karta hai ke aaj ka trading day potentially active hai with significant price movements driven by news events. 1.0840 ka key level ek critical pivot point serve karta hai. RSI indicator currently bullish bias ko support karta hai, lekin traders ko reversal ke kisi bhi signs ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye. Is level ke around price action aur RSI ko closely monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, ya toh upward trend ke continuation ko capitalize karte hue ya phir potential new downward movement ko. Changing market conditions ko navigate karne ke liye adaptability crucial hogi.

EUR/USD:

Aaj ke din ke dauran, EUR/USD sideways movement dikha raha hai, lekin 1.0820 par ek shark maujood hai jo take karna zaroori hai. Isko dekhte hue yeh assume kiya ja sakta hai ke price 1.0820 ka level reach karegi, jahan pe debt repay hoga. Uske baad, hum dekhenge ke price kaise behave karti hai, kyunke lower intraday level 1.0816 par hai, jo southern direction of movement ko correspond karta hai. Agar price is level ko update karti hai, toh yeh path south ki taraf khol degi.
Hamare targets levels 1.0810 aur 1.0770 par located hain. Agar price sirf upper level 1.0881 ko update karti hai, toh yeh targets tak pohanchne mein rukawat dal sakta hai. Is case mein, hum dekh sakte hain ke price movement level 1.0920 ki taraf hota hai, jo ke selling point bhi hai. Har haal mein, sales relevant rahengi. Pehle, hum dekhte hain ke shark level 1.0820 kyun important hai. Trading terminology mein, shark level wo level hota hai jahan pe market participants apne pending orders rakhtay hain. Yeh level significant hota hai kyunke yahan pe large volume trades execute hote hain.

Jab price is level ko hit karti hai, toh yeh market ka debt repay karne ke barabar hota hai, aur yeh ek substantial price movement trigger kar sakta hai. Iss point pe pohanchne ke baad, hume dekhna hoga ke price kaise react karti hai. Agar price 1.0820 ko hit karne ke baad 1.0816 ke intraday lower level ko update karti hai, toh southern movement ka rasta khul jayega. Yeh southern movement targets 1.0810 aur 1.0770 par aim karti hai. Yeh levels important support levels hain jahan pe price potentially support pa sakti hai. Agar price is direction mein move karti hai, toh short positions hold karna beneficial ho sakta hai, target levels ko mind mein rakhte hue.

جون 3 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو، یورو نے قیمت چینل کی اوپری حد کا تجربہ کیا۔ اگر قیمت کا مقصد اس لائن کو دوبارہ جانچنا ہے، تو مزاحمت 1.0880 پر قدرے کم ہوگی۔ اگر قیمت اس مزاحمت سے آگے نکل جاتی ہے تو اگلا ہدف 1.0905 ہوگا۔



یہاں، مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ اختلاف پیدا ہو سکتا ہے۔ جمعرات کو یورپی مرکزی بینک کے اجلاس سے پہلے قیمت یہ حاصل کر سکتی ہے۔

تاہم، یورو ترقی کی اپنی آخری کوشش کو ترک کر سکتا ہے اگر مئی کے لیے یو ایس آئی ایس ایم مینوفیکچرنگ پی ایم آئی، جو آج شام شائع کیا جائے گا، اپریل کے 49.2 کے مقابلے میں 49.8 کی پیشن گوئی پر پورا اترتا ہے یا اس سے زیادہ ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، جمعہ کو قیمت تیزی سے کجون-سین لائن کے اوپر چڑھ گئی اور پھر اس اقدام کی تصدیق کرتے ہوئے تیزی سے اس کے نیچے واپس آگئی۔ تاہم، قیمت نے بیلنس لائن کی حمایت کو نہیں توڑا، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر تیزی کے علاقے میں رہتا ہے۔ لہذا، یہ ظاہر کرنے کے لیے کہ یہ اوپر کی حرکت کو دوبارہ شروع کرنے سے انکار کرتا ہے، قیمت کو بیلنس لائن سے نیچے، 1.0840 نشان کے نیچے گرنے کی ضرورت ہے۔ 1.0858 (کیجون-سین لائن) سے اوپر کا استحکام 1.0880 کی طرف بڑھنے کی ایک وجہ فراہم کرے گا۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Hamari mojooda tajziya EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ka hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend mazboot nahi hai. Jaise hi Jumma ko upper targets se wapas aaya, prices 1.0850 ke aas paas tike rahe, 1.0830-1.0820 ki taraf giraai nahi gayi. Jaise Winnie the Pooh ne mashhoor kiya, rukawat ka koi wajah zaroor hoti hai. Is liye, shuru mein mazeed urooj ka aghaz ane wala hai, haalaanki shayad Jumma ke peak 1.0881 ko paar nahi karega; waqt hi batayega. Aaj 13:00 Moscow waqt mein, ek OPEC meeting tail market ko asar andaz ho sakti hai. EUR/USD pair ke baare mein, bullish sentiment din bhar qaim hai. Kal, ahem khabrain jaise ke US karobaari fa'aliyat indices, dollar ko mazboot karne ka intezar hai, jabke Europe ke indices, haalaanki kam asar, musbat hone ka tawaqo kiya jata hai. Kul mila ke, maine upar ka rukh teh karte hue aaj ke session ke liye taqreeban upward movement ka andaza kiya hai, Jumma ke high ko dobara pohanchne ke sath, phir ek neeche ki taraf correction ka imkaan.




Ghanton ke chart par nazar dalte hue, "pichle hafte ke ikhtitami dino" ki yaad dilate hue, market ka mukhtalif andaz ho sakta hai, haalaanki zara sa neeche ki taraf rukh hai. Jumma ke trading ke ikhtitam tak, EUR/USD is price level ki upper resistance had tak pohanch gaya tha magar qaim raha. Band hone tak, EUR/USD ne 1.0845 ke aas paas trade kiya, jo ke pair ke price channel ke darmiyan mein tha. Aane wale trading week mein ek mushaba technical stance ka andaza hai, jisme ke prices ek hi raaste mein mehdood rahenge. Kal ke high ko paar karna bullish momentum ko izafa kar sakta tha, haalaanki beech beech mein neeche ki corrections ke saath. 1.0810 ke ooper rehna zaroori hai taake potential upward momentum ko barqarar rakh sakein.
Mukhtasar mein, tajziya ek muhawara fikriyat ke mutabiq hai EUR/USD pair ke future ke movement ke liye, jisme key events jaise ke OPEC meeting aur ane wale economic indicators ka dhyaan diya gaya hai. Price action ko nigaah mein rakhte hue aur technical signals ko samajh kar, traders ko bazaar mein ziada insight aur itminan ke saath safar karne ki salahiyat milti hai.

Assalam-o-Alaikum, dosto, EUR/USD currency pair ki technical analysis pe charcha karte hain.

Maujooda halaat EUR/USD market mein yeh hain ke currency pair ka price 1.084 par hai aur 4 ghanton ke chart par dono 50-period moving average (MA50) aur 200-period moving average (MA200) ke oopar hai, jo ek mazboot uptrend ka ishaara ho sakta hai.

Support aur resistance levels: 1.080 ke qareeb ek support level nazar aata hai, jabke 1.090 ke qareeb ek resistance level hai. Resistance level ke breakout ka matlab uptrend ka jari rehna ho sakta hai, jabke support level ke breakout se selling pressure barh sakti hai.

Indicators: RSI overbought territory mein hai, jo ke potential price correction ko indicate kar sakta hai neeche ki taraf. Magar MACD uptrend ko confirm karta hai, jis se yeh samjha jata hai ke maujooda upar ki taraf movement jari rahegi.

Trading strategy: Maujooda halaat ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, agar price 1.080 ke support level ke upar rehti hai, to EUR/USD khareedne ka tajziya kiya ja sakta hai, 1.090 tak ka target rakhte hue. Mashwara diya jata hai ke stop-loss 1.080 ke support level ke neeche rakha jaye.jo ke potential price correction ko indicate kar sakta hai neeche ki taraf. Magar MACD uptrend ko confirm karta hai, jis se yeh samjha jata hai ke maujooda upar ki taraf movement jari rahegi.

Nateeja: 4 ghanton ke chart par technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD market mein upar ki taraf ke price movement ka jari rehna mumkin hai. Magar zaroori hai ke risk management aur capital ki hifazat ke liye stop-loss ka istemal kiya jaye.

EUR/USD Ke Maazi Taqreebat Ka Tajziya:

Euro dollar ne guzishta trading haftay ki intehaai dafa mein dollar ke khilaf izafa kiya, $1.088 sahulat se guzar kar, jis se yeh do hafton ki bulandi tak pohanch gaya, ECB aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ka nazriya mukhtalif hota gaya. Ek taraf, euro zone mein ziada tawaan dar maheenay ki maloomat ka asar ECB ko is saal qeemat darjat kam karne par kam dabao dal sakta hai.

Maeeshat ka calendar nateeja, headline aur core inflation rates May mein 2.6% aur 2.9% tak pohanch gaye, muntakhib hone se zyada, bulandi ke barabar. Dosri taraf, kuch data ne dikhaya ke maheer maeeshat par Federal Reserve ke mukhalif monetary policy ke liye shartein ho sakti hain. Asaas shakhsiyati khapat idaray (PCE) ke qeemat mein 0.2% izafa hua, Fed ki pasandida shakhsiyati inflation ka pehla napa, is saal ka sab se dhimi izafa, ummeed hai ke inflation apne maqsood ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Aam tor par, ECB is haftay ki mulaqat mein darjat kam karne ke liye tayar hai, lekin doves aur hawks ke darmiyan taqseem ne central bank ko kitna darjat kam kar sakta hai is par shakhsiyat mein izafa kar diya hai. Mukhtalif, kamzor U.S. shakhsiyati consumption expenditure qeemat ki izafa ne qarzat lagane ka khayal dilaya hai ke Fed is saal siyasat ko asaan kar sakta hai, jis se global stock markets ko kuch raahat mili.

Lisenced trading firm platform ke mutabiq, European Central Bank Thursday ko aik kamzor euro ke darwazay ko khol sakta hai, jab ECB ka pehla rate cut karne se ilaqa United States ki policy raah se mukhtalif ho jayega.

European Central Bank ne mukhtalif siyasi umeedon ko global markets par asar daikhne shuru kar diya hai. Is natije mein, euro ne apni taqreeban do saalon ki bulandi ke khilaf pound ke muqablay mein apni kamzori darj ki, jab ke markets Bank of England ko ECB ke darjat kam karne mein peechay rehne ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Eurodollar Aaj ka Tajziya:

Daily chart ki performance se yeh andaza hota hai ke EUR/USD ke daam trend mein bullon ka dominance momentum ki kami ka shikaar hai aur agar woh 1.0920 sahulat aur 1.3000 nafsiyati sahulat ki taraf barhain toh woh apna control mazboot kar sakte hain. Dosri taraf, ishi doran, 1.0770 sahara darjaat ki taraf ek karkun ke liye ahem hai takay woh trend ko behtar tor par control kar sakein. Performance kehtay huay ke ECB policy ka elaan aur US rozgar ke data ka rad-e-amal intezaar karne ke liye imkaan hai.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichlay trading week mein, euro pehle se bane hue channel mein atka raha aur break out nahi kar saka. Price ne dobara 1.0900 ke qareeb barriers ko break kiya aur 1.0837 se niche gir gayi, jahan support ne phir se push kiya aur previous losses ko poora wapas le aayi. Natija yeh hai ke expected development kabhi nahi hui. Expectation ke bar’aks, yeh target area ko reach karne nahi deti. Issi doran, price chart ek above-trend area se doosri taraf move karti hai, jo uncertainty ko indicate karta hai.

Technical tor par, 4-hour chart par dekhte hue, price ne lower support point ka clear break kiya jo ascending channel ka support form karta hai, aur hum dekhte hain ke Simple Moving Averages pressure aur support mein hain. Upar, price daily bearish trend ko resume kar rahi hai. Iss tarah, hum bearish hain aur jaante hain ke 10770 se neeche break hona pehla target 1.0750 tak pohnchne mein madadgar hoga, jabke initial breakout target 1.0710 ke qareeb hai, aur bearish move 1.0675 tak hai. Yaad rahe ke 1.0840 resistance se upar break hote hi implied bearish scenario foran ruk jayega, aur EUR/USD wapas 1.0880 ke original target tak recover karega. Niche chart dekhein:



Iss waqt, pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar raha hai aur har week neutral rehta hai. Key support areas test ho rahe hain aur significant pressure mein hain magar apni integrity ko retain karte hain, jo preferred upward vector ki relevance ko indicate karte hain. Iss ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko current price area mein break karne aur 1.0837 ke qareeb limit set karne ki zarurat hai, jahan main support area border karta hai. Iss area ka retest aur bounce ek aur move higher ka mauka dega, target karte hue 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan.

Agar support ke neeche aur phir 1.0763 pivot level se neeche break hota hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

Forex trading strategy
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, euro/dollar ki jodi ne 1.0894 ki muzahmati satah ko tod diya. Aaj, qimat iske ooper mustahkam ho gayi. Hal hi me, maine dekha hai keh qimat aksar ifqi satahon ko tod deti hai lekin fir palat jati hai. Lehaza, mujhe aaj European currency ko 1.0894-1.0882 ki support satah se niche girte hue dekh kar hairani nahin hogi.
Mangal ka macroeconomic calendar taqriban kisi bhi aham khabar ki release se kahli hai jo market ke jazbat par bada asar dal sakta hai. Lehaza, takziki tajziyah ki taraf se rahnumayi ke qabil hai. Takniki nuqtah nazar se, mai ummid karta hun keh euro/dollar ki jodi faide ko dobara shuru karne se pahle support zone ka test karegi.



AUD/USD
Yah dekhte hue keh qarz ki satah 0.6592 hai, Australian dollar/US dollar wahan wapas aane ka imkan hai. 4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, ek choti bearish pin bar bani hai. Lehaza, mai kami ko mustarad nahin karta. Iske bawajud, sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh jodi qadar hasil karegi, 0.6715 ki muzahmati satah ko nishana banayegi, aur ise todne ki koshish karegi.

Pichle haftay, EUR/USD currency pair mein, khareednay ka dakhli daura 1.08706 ke level par rakha ja sakta hai. Ye level aik aham point hai jahan khareednay walay apni positions shuru kar saktay hain umeed hai ke qeemat barh jaye gi. Is oopri harkat ke liye maqsood targets 1.0893 aur 1.09196 hain. Ye levels mumkin resistance points ko darust karte hain jahan qeemat ko kuch farokht dabao ya jama karne se pehle samjha jata hai ke agey kya hoga.

Khareednay ka dakhli daura 1.08706 par rakha jana ye dikhata hai ke traders ko bharpoor barhav ki umeed hai. Level 1.0893 pehla target hai, jahan traders hissa bator faida utha saktay hain ya apni stop-loss orders ko mukammal karna sakte hain faida hasal karne ke liye. Agar barhav jaari rehta hai, agla target 1.09196 hai, ek ziada himmat karne wala level jo EUR/USD pair mein mazeed taqat ko darust karta hai. Mukhalif, farokht ka dakhli daura 1.0868 ke level par rakha ja sakta hai. Ye level chote short positions ke liye chuna gaya hai, jahan traders qeemat mein kami ka intezar karte hain. Is niche harkat ke liye targets 1.08832 hain aur hosakta hai mazeed niche ke levels bhi shamil hon, jo yahan specify nahi kiye gaye hain magar agle ahem support zones shamil hosakte hain. 1.0868 par farokht daalne par, traders bearish momentum ka intezar karte hain. Pehla target 1.08832 foran area ko darust karta hai jahan qeemat kuch support pa sakti hai, jo traders ko hissa bator faida uthane ya apni positions ko mukammal karne

EUR/USD

EURO aur US DOLLAR ka technical forecast: Breakthrough ki koshish, aur continuation ka potential

Hum ab economic calendar ke aik ahem mor par hain kyunki Europe aur US dono ke rate decisions agle do hafton mein hain. Non-Farm Payrolls report is dauran release hogi, jabke latest US Core PCE ne pichle hafta volatile close lead kiya tha.

EUR/USD ke front par, bullish breakout jo mid-May ke US CPI report se support paaya tha, woh ab ruk gaya hai, aur pair pichle do aur aadha hafton mein volatile aur choppy raha hai. Pichle hafta, pair ne support dhunda pehle 200-day moving average ko test karte hue, aur sellers 1.0800 ke ird gird frustrated rahe. Buyers ne Thursday aur Friday ko pehle ke losses recover kiye, aur net result last week ek doji tha EUR/USD weekly chart par.



EUR/USD daily chart Analysis

EUR/USD bulls zyada se zyada 6 hafton se control mein hain. Mid-April mein, US CPI report ke release hone ke ek haftay se kam baad, support 1.0611 par appear hui. Jo initially ek painful pullback tha, jaldi se nayi life pa gaya FOMC rate decision aur Non-Farm Payrolls report ke kuch din baad. Isne 200-day moving average ka pehla retest lead kiya, jo agle hafta resistance ban gaya jab tak buyers ne May CPI report se pehle push karna shuru nahi kiya.

Dovish FOMC ke liye, CPI report zyada encouraging thi kyunki isne lowest core CPI dikhayi teen saal mein. Lekin phir bhi yeh 3.6% thi, jo abhi bhi Fed ke 2% target tak pahunchne ke liye kuch raasta baaki hai. Phir bhi, yeh un logon ke liye ek right direction ka step tha jo ummed kar rahe the ke Fed is saal interest rates cut karega.

Lekin trend ruk gaya aur ek pullback hua CPI report ke release hone ke agle din. Is waqt, hum ab tak ek swing high nahi dekh rahe CPI-driven breakout se.

Daily chart se, hum higher highs aur lows ka continuation dekh sakte hain, jo last week bullish defense dikhata hai pehle 200-day moving average ko retest karte hue. Yeh bulls ko trend control karne ki ijazat deta hai, aur agla important resistance level 1.0943 hai, jo March mein appear hua tha, jo high ko hold karne mein madad karta hai pehle bears wapas lete.



EUR/USD Has Continuation Potential

Pichle 17 mahine, EUR/USD ek range mein phansa raha hai, aur aise hi US dollar bhi. Jaise ke weekly EUR/USD chart par dekha ja sakta hai, pair long-term range resistance ka retest karne ke kareeb hai.

Lekin agar hum continuation ke possibility ko consider karein, toh yeh worth hai ke USD ko bhi dekha jaye aur phir un halat ko combine kiya jaye jo isay allow kar sakte hain. Ek similar dynamic USD ke sath hua hai, lekin reverse mein, jaise EUR/USD gradually ek resistance zone mein enter kar raha hai aur ek aur resistance level just above hai.

USD ne apne 200-day moving average ko pichle hafta do dafa test aur rebound kiya hai jabke ek bullish trendline ko maintain karte hue jo December aur March ke swing lows se bani thi. Aur bhi kuch additional support levels hain, 104.08 May ka swing low hai aur 103.92 April ka swing low hai. Yeh latter price khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai price action structure ke liye kyunki yeh last higher low tha pehle USD ne 106.50 ke upar breakout kiya (aakhir mein ek double top form kiya jo since fill aur complete ho chuka hai).

Ek series of short-term lower lows aur highs May mein hui, jo ek critical test set karti hai 103.92 - 104.08 ke darmiyan, kyunki is area se breakout ka assumption sellers ki taraf se highlight karega ek continuation of lower lows aur highs, jabke previous bullish structure ko invalidate bhi karega.

Lekin yeh sab hone ke liye kya zaroori hoga? Sab se zyada, ya toh ECB ko rates cut karne se refrain karna hoga, ya phir signal dena hoga ke further cuts foran nahi kiye jayenge 25bp cut ke baad. Lekin shayad aur bhi important, Non-Farm Payrolls report, jo ek din baad release hogi, ko bahut weak hona hoga, jo FOMC rate decision se pehle ek weaker dollar lead kar sakta hai agle hafta. Yeh Fed ko aage dekhte hue rate cut ke possibility ke liye zyada yaqeen dega.

Forex trading strategy
USDX
Assalam Alaikum! Yaumiyah chart zahir karta hai keh Americi dollar index 104.00 ki kam tarin satah par pahunch gaya hai. 4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, index sideways range se bahar nikal gaya hai aur filhal niche ki taraf badh raha hai. Is tarah, Americi dollar ki qadar kho rahi hai.
1-ghante ke tejarati chart ke mutabiq, niche ka rujhan ab bhi barqarar hai. Greenback ke nuqsanat ko badhane aur ek nayi nichli satah tak pahunchne ka imkan hai. Lehaza, bullish reversal ki tawaqqo karna bahut jald bazi hogi.



GBP/USD
Jaise hi US dollar index tazah kam tarin satah par pahunch gaya, pound/dollar ka joda 1.2800 ki tawil arse se intezar kardah buland tarin satah par pahunch gaya. Filhal, Bartanwi pound ne taqriban 1.2820-1.2830 ilaqe ka test kiya hai. Lehaza, mai ek aur tezi ki tawaqqo rakhta hun, jis ke bad short positions par gaur karna mumkin hoga.

جون 4 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

موجودہ قلیل مدتی تناظر میں، کم از کم جمعرات کو یورپی مرکزی بینک کی میٹنگ تک، یورو نے انحراف کی تشکیل کے ساتھ ایک متبادل منظر نامے کا انتخاب کیا ہے۔ یورو زون اور یو ایس پی ایم آئی ڈیٹا کی وجہ سے ڈالر انڈیکس 0.51 فیصد گر گیا۔ یورو میں 56 پِپس کا اضافہ ہوا، جو 1.0905 کی ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ گیا۔ یوروزون مینوفیکچرنگ پی ایم آئی مئی میں 45.7 سے بڑھ کر 47.3 ہو گیا، برطانوی پی ایم آئی مئی میں بڑھ کر 51.2 ہو گیا، اپریل میں 49.1 سے بڑھ کر، اور امریکی آئی ایس ایم مینوفیکچرنگ پی ایم آئی اپریل میں 49.2 سے کم ہو کر 48.7 پر آ گیا۔ تاہم، مارکٹ پی. ایم. آئی. 50.0 سے بڑھ کر 51.3 ہو گیا۔ اس کے علاوہ، آئی ایس ایم ایمپلائمنٹ انڈیکس اپریل میں 48.6 سے مئی میں 51.1 تک بڑھ گیا، اور اپریل میں 175,000 کے مقابلے میں مئی میں نان فارم پے رولز کے اعداد و شمار میں 185,000 اضافے کی توقع ہے۔



اس طرح کے ایک معمولی عدم توازن کے ساتھ، ایسا لگتا ہے کہ یورو کا اضافہ کافی حد سے زیادہ تھا، لیکن سرمایہ کاروں نے ستمبر کے اجلاس میں فیڈرل ریزرو کی شرح میں 47 فیصد سے 52 فیصد تک کمی کے امکان کو بڑھا کر صورتحال کو مزید خراب کر دیا، یہ فیڈ کے لیے پہلے ہی ایک اشارہ ہے۔ خود، جو اکثر مارکیٹ کی توقعات پر عمل کرتا ہے۔

ہفتہ وار اور ماہانہ ٹائم فریم پر، اس بات کے آثار ہیں کہ یورو 1.1602 (نومبر 2020 کم) تک بڑھتا رہے گا، لیکن ہم اس خیال پر قائم ہیں کہ ای سی بی کی شرح میں کمی کے ساتھ، یورو درمیانی مدت کی کمی میں بدل جائے گا۔ . موجودہ صورتحال میں، ہم توقع نہیں کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 1.0964 سے اوپر بڑھے گی۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ تکنیکی اختلاف پیدا ہو جائے گا۔ اگر ای سی بی یورو کو بڑھنے سے نہیں روک سکتا، تو ہم امریکی مالیاتی اداروں سے جواب کی توقع کر سکتے ہیں۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر صورتحال مکمل طور پر تیز ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر تھوڑا سا نیچے کی طرف مڑ گیا ہے، لیکن یہ قیمت کے الٹ جانے کا کوئی اہم اشارہ نہیں ہے۔ یہاں تک کہ اگر قیمت 1.0905 کی سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ الٹ جانے کی علامت نہیں ہوگی۔ یم. اے. سی. ڈی. کی سپورٹ لائن کے نیچے صرف ایک وقفہ، 1.0862 کی سطح سے نیچے، سگنل فراہم کرے گا۔ ہم ای سی بی کی میٹنگ کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



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