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EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Americi mulazmaton ke aidad o shumar ki tawaqqo me kal ki tejarati sargarmi sust rahi, Japani yen wahid currency thi jis ne kayi sau pips ki aham intraday chalen dekhi gayi. Hairat ki bat yah hai keh yah active taur par qadar kho raha hai.
Jahan tak euro/dollar ke jode ka talluq hai, mai market se bahar hun aur short jane ke mauqe ka intezar kar raha hun. Mai market par nazar rakhunga aur dekhunga keh Shumali America ke session ke aaghaz me qimat kahan hogi aur uske bad hi karobari faisla karunga. Behtarin suratehal me, short positions 1.0770-1.0800 ki satah par kholi ja sakti hai, lekin qimat ko pahle wahan pahunchne ki zarurat hai. Utar-chadhaw filhal sust hai. Iske alawa, yah dekhte hue keh aaj ke macroeconomic calendar Europe se kisi bhi aham khabar se mahrum hai, euro/dollar ka joda din ka pahla nasf sideways me karobar karne me guzarega.
Americi nonfarm payrolls ke aidad o shumar ke alawa, khidmat ke shobe me karobari sargarmiyon par Institute for Supply Management ka survey aaj aane wala hai. Is pas manzar me market me utar-chadhaw badhne ka imkan hai.

مئی 3 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل، یورو نے 1.0636/56 رینج پر واپس آنے کی بھرپور کوشش کی، لیکن مارکیٹ کی مختصر واپسی نے خطرے کو اپنی لپیٹ میں لے لیا۔ قیمت 1.0724 پر مزاحمت کے اوپر واپس آئی، اور آج یہ اس سطح سے اوپر کھل گئی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اپ ٹرینڈ ٹیریٹری میں داخل ہو گیا ہے، جس سے پتہ چلتا ہے کہ قیمت 1.0757 کی درمیانی سطح کی طرف بڑھنے کا ارادہ رکھتی ہے۔



اگر یہ کامیاب ہو جاتا ہے تو، 1.0796 کی ایک اہم سطح آگے ہے، جو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن قریب آ رہی ہے۔ یورو کے اس سطح سے درمیانی مدت کے زوال میں تبدیل ہونے کا زیادہ امکان ہے۔ آج کے امریکی روزگار کے اعداد و شمار کی بنیاد پر اس طرح کا ایک مختصر اضافہ ممکن ہے، جس سے اندازہ ہوتا ہے کہ لیبر مارکیٹ قدرے کمزور ہوگی۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر اور 1.0724 کی سطح سے اوپر آ گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسکیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں نمو کی حمایت کرتا ہے، قیمت کی نمو کو سپورٹ کرتا ہے۔ 1.0685 نشان کے ارد گرد ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اس پلان کے لیے معاونت کے طور پر کام کرتی ہے۔ اگر یہ اس نشان پر قابو پا لیتا ہے، تو قیمت ہدف کی حمایت کی حد میں داخل ہو جائے گی۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD

Nedaoq US Non-Farm Payroll data, jis ke saath zyada se zyada umeedwar mizaj aur aqsaam ki bhetar wazehat milti hai, ne foreign exchange market mein aik chamakdar tabdeeli laa di hai. Yeh musbat data Federal Reserve ko apne interest rate cut ko September tak taalne par majboor kar sakta hai, jis se dollar ko mazbooti mil sakti hai aur EUR/USD ko 1.0600 tak neeche daba sakta hai. Magar, kahani yahi khatam nahi hoti. Agar data ek mazboot American labor market ka saaf tasweer dikhaata hai, to dollar ko phir se kamzor kar sakta hai aur 2024 ke baad interest rate cut ke darwaze ko khol sakta hai. Is surat mein, EUR/USD pair 1.0800 se guzar sakta hai. Abhi, EUR/USD apne 21-day simple moving average (SMA) 1.0715 ke aas paas nazdik hai. 24-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se neeche hai jo ek potential downside risk ko dikhata hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke euro ka sustainable recovery ke liye, kharidari karne wale ko 50-day aur 200-day SMAs ke convergence zone mein mazbooti ka darja qaim karna hoga, jo 1.0800 ke aas paas hai. Agar euro is resistance level ko torh sakta hai, to agla rukawat 1.0842 pe hone wala hai, jo ke 100-day SMA hai. Dusra, agar neeche ki dabao asar jaari rahe, to euro apne April low 1.0619 ko dobara dekh sakta hai. Aur zyada giravat ho sakti hai jo ke 1.0550 ka psychological barrier ko bhi paar kar sakta hai, jo ke November 2023 low 1.0517 ko bhi test kar sakta hai.

Aane wale US non-farm payroll data for April, high-risk-sensitive currencies jese ke euro ke liye ek ahem event hai. Umeed hai ke isme lagbhag 243,000 naye jobs hon, pehle ke figure ke mukable jo 243,000 tha. Is ke ilawa, April 26th tak ke ISM services data US economy ke overall health ke liye qeemti insights faraham karega. Aik kamzor reading (jese ke hilaf-e-umeed 208,000 jo ke do mahinay ka low tha aur market ki umeedon se kam tha 212,000) Federal Reserve ko interest rate cut ko taalne par majboor kar sakti hai. Technical side ki taraf dekhte hue, euro ne apne paanch mahinay ka low 1.0600 pe kuch support dhoondha hai. Magar, sustainable recovery abhi tak namoodar nahi hui hai. Agar euro is level ke neeche gir gaya, to potential support zones October-November support 1.0516 pe aayengi aur neeche bhi September support level 1.0487 pe aayengi. Doosri taraf, euro ke liye kisi bhi bullish movement ka initial rukawat key support areas of 2024 pe aayega, jo 1.0693 aur 1.0722 hain. US jobs data ke nazdeek aate hue aur economic data jo ek mix picture paint kar raha hai, EUR/USD pair ka near-term direction uncertain hai. Aane wale din is mein euro apne current consolidation zone se nikal kar sustain movement mein kisi bhi direction mein chalna shuru kar sakte hain, yeh mukhtalif taur par mazbooti ya kamzori ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD

Aaj Jumma hai aur May ka pehla Jumma hai aur aaj humare paas NFP ke bare mein ahem khabrein hai jo dekhne layak hain. Aaj main EUR USD daily time frame chart ko dekh raha hoon aur abhi EUR USD daily resistance level ko test kar raha hai. Magar pehle technical analysis mein gehri dhoondhne se pehle main kuch fundamentals aur apna khayal aapke saath share karna chahunga. The fundamental background ab bhi US dollar ke favor mein kaam karta hai, aur latest FOMC meeting is baat ko support karta hai - ab Powell ko bhi nahi pata ke monetary policy easing kab shuru hogi. Aaj pair apni giravat ko dubara shuru kar sakta hai, kyun ke market ne FOMC meeting ka ek logic se be-akl reaction kiya tha, aur ab price sideways channel ke upper boundary ke paas hai. Traders 1.0725-1.0733 area se trading ka consider kar sakte hain. Magar US aaj ahem data release karega, to market reaction aniyat ho sakta hai. Aur aaj ka economic calendar bahut saari news events dikhata hai, jaise ke euro area unemployment data jo release hone wala hai, jo traders ignore kar sakte hain. Dusri taraf, US NonFarm Payrolls, unemployment, aur ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ke crucial reports publish karega wages ke saath. Yeh chaar reports strong market reaction provoke kar sakte hain. To in news events ke aas paas savdhan rahiye.

Ab baat karte hain technical analysis ke baare mein EUR USD daily time frame chart pe. EUR USD abhi resistance level zone area ko test kar raha hai aur resistance level ko paar karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur EUR USD ne pehle bhi yeh resistance level ko kai baar test kiya hai aur ek support trend line bhi EUR USD bullish momentum ko support de raha hai, isliye main do possible scenarios ki umeed rakhta hoon aaj ke liye.

Pehla possible scenario yeh hai ke agar EUR USD resistance level ko mazboot momentum ke saath paar karta hai to EUR USD agle Daily resistance level 1.0860 ki taraf ud jayega jo buyers holders ke liye ek accha long term target hai.

Doosra possible scenario yeh hai ke agar EUR USD current resistance level mein fail ho jaata hai aur daily support trend line ko paar karta hai to yeh giravat ke taraf badhega daily support level 1.0601 ki taraf jo ek accha intra day target bhi ho sakta hai.

Abhi market upcoming news events par depend karta hai.

Haal hi mein mazid se mazid tawaqqa se zyada taqatwar US non-farm payroll data, jis ke sath mehngai se zyada umeed ki gai, foreign exchange market ko aik naya rukh dikha gaya hai. Ye musbat data Federal Reserve ko apni interest rate cut ko September tak taalne ka imkan deta hai, jis se dollar ko mazid mazbooti mil sakti hai aur EUR/USD ko 1.0600 ke neeche dhakel sakta hai. Magar, kahani yahi khatam nahi hoti. Agar data mein ek mazboot American mazdoori market ka wazeh manzar saamne aaye, to yeh dobara dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur 2024 ke baad interest rate cut ke darwaze ko khol sakta hai. Is manzar mein, EUR/USD pair 1.0800 ke level se guzar sakta hai. Abhi, EUR/USD apni 21-day simple moving average (SMA) 1.0715 ke aas paas naqabil-e-itminan par hai. 24-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche bethta hai jo ke aik sambhav downside risk ko zahir karta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq aik mustaqil euro ka izafa chahte hain, kharidar ko 50-day aur 200-day SMAs ke milne wale convergence zone ke ooper mazbooti ke liye ek mazboot qadam qaim karna hoga, jo ke 1.0800 ke aas paas hai. Agar euro is resistance level ko torh sakta hai, to agla rukawat 1.0842 par 100-day SMA hoga. Ulta agar neeche ke dabaav jari rehta hai, to euro apni April ki kam se kam qeemat 1.0619 par dobara dekh sakta hai. Aur mazeed girawat ka imkan hai ke 1.0550 ke nafsiyati darwaze ko paar karte hue November 2023 ki kam se kam qeemat 1.0517 ko bhi test kiya ja sake.

Aane wale US non-farm payroll data ka April ke liye ek ahem event hai, jise euro jesi high-risk-sensitive currencies ke liye dekha jata hai. Umeed hai ke lagbag 243,000 naye jobs aayenge, mukable ke figure 243,000 ke mukable. Is ke ilawa, April 26th tak ke haftay ke liye ISM services data US maeeshat ke overall sehat ke liye ahem insights faraham karega. Kamzor reading (jaise ke nedawat 208,000, jo ke do mahinay ki kam se kam thi aur market ki umeedon se 212,000 kam thi) Fed ko interest rate cut ko taalne par majboor kar sakti hai. Technical pehlue se dekha jaye, euro ne apni panch mahine ki kam se kam qeemat 1.0600 par kuch support dhoondha hai. Magar, aik mustaqil inhisar ab tak haqiqat nahi bana hai. Agar euro is level ke neeche gir jaye, to mumkin support zones October-November ke 1.0516 aur neeche September ke support level 1.0487 par shamil ho sakte hain. Doosri taraf, euro ke liye kisi bhi sambhav bullish movement ko pehle key support areas ka saamna karna padega jo ke 2024 ke 1.0693 aur 1.0722 hain. US jobs data ke nazdeek aur maeeshati data jo ke ek mix tasveer faraham karta hai, EUR/USD pair ki qareebi raftar abhi tak ghair yaqeeni hai. Aane wale dinon mein yeh ahem hoga ke euro apni mojooda consolidation zone se nijaat pa sake aur kisi bhi rukh mein mustaqil harkat par ja sake.

EUR/USD: Price Study

Main aaj EUR/USD currency pair aur uska qeemat ka rawayaan tafseel se guftagu karunga. Kal, euro/dollar pair ne apna urooj darust rakha, jo 1.0796 ki mazboot rukawat par 50% Fibonacci level ko paar kar gaya. Magar, bullish rawayaan ko roka gaya jab 100 dino ka moving average aur triangle ki nichli trend line D-1 time-frame par tor di gayi, jis se 1.0763 ki taraf tajawuz hui. Lekin fikar na karen; trading taqreeban triangle ka darmiyan wapas laut gayi, aur bullish trend ka silsila jaari raha, jo khabron ke impulse par kharidne wale ki reaction ke sath chala, 1.0748 ki oopri had ko tor diya. Main mazeed urooj ki taraf ka tareeqa umeed karta hoon 1.0835 ki agli manzil tak, jo 61.8% Fib projection ko numaya karta hai. Halaat ko dekhte hue, jin mein nuqsan-deh berozgari ke data aur mayoos kun US GDP figures shamil hain, yeh sujhaav dete hain ke America ki mukhtalif tor par Europe ke mufeed bharakar mein tezi se slow down ho raha hai. Yeh farq pair ki raah ka uncertainty barha raha hai.



Lekin agar pair 1.0823 ke upar support sthapit karta hai, toh urooj ka manzar mukhtalif ho sakta hai. In tawajoat ke bawajood, mazboot izafa mojoodah dor mein naqabil-e-yaqeen nazar ata hai. Keemat MA-200 moving average ke oopar hai, jo bullish jazbaat ko ishaara karta hai. Kal, pair ne din ka opening mark se upar trade kiya aur buland bandar Bollinger ko qareeb se chhu liya, jis se jaari urooj ki tawajjuh hai. Main 14-din ki setting ke sath RSI indicator ko nigrani karta hoon, jis mein overbought ya oversold halat ko dikhane wale positions se bachta hoon. Mojudah dor mein, RSI kharidne ki faaliyat ko support karta hai, qaboolyah mein mumtaz hai. Ye maloomat aapko EUR/USD currency pair ka qeemat ka rawayaan samajhne mein madadgar hai. Agar aapke koi mazeed sawalat ya pareshaniyan hain, toh mujhse fikarmandi se poochein.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Jumma ko aik numaya izafa dekha, ek naye haftay ki bulandiyon tak pohanch gaya. Ye musbat pherqe us waqt aya jab Amreeki naukriyon aur non-farm payrolls ke data aane se pehle ke samjhe ja rahe the. Ye data umeed se zyada kam nikla, aur ummeed thi ke Federal Reserve jaldi se interest rate kaat dega. Amreeki Nonfarm Payrolls report ne dikhaya ke interest rate kaatne ki umeedain mukhtalif hain. Data ne dikhaya ke April mein net naye Amreeki nonfarm payrolls 175,000 they, jo 243,000 ki tawaqoat se zyada they lekin pehle mahine ke 315,000 (jo baad mein 303,000 tak sudhar gaye) se kam they. Is ke ilawa, April mein average hourly earnings 0.2% barh gaye the pehle ke quarter ke mukable mein, jo ke 0.3% ke izafe ki tawaqoat se kam nikle. EUR/USD ke liye musbat lehja mein izafa karne mein US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke data ka bhi asar tha jo ke tawaqoat se kam nikla. Ye market ko hairat mein daal gaya jo ke karobar ke operators se zyada musbat nazar aane ki ummeed rakhte they. April ke ISM services PMI 49.4 par tha, jo 16 mahineon mein sab se kam darja tha. Ye shumari deflationary darje 50.0 se neeche giri aur 52.0 ki tawaqoat se kam nikli, pehle ke 51.4 se. Aage dekhte hue agle haftay, European retail sales data ko mangal ko jari kiya jaane ki umeed hai. Medean tawaqoat ke mutabiq, March mein euro zone ki farokht mein 0.6% izafa hone ki tawaqoat hai, peechle mahine ke 0.5% girawat ke baad. America mein, agle Jumma ko jari hone wale Michigan Consumer Confidence Index, America ki maeeshat mein kami ki umeedain kitni hain ye aham indicator sabit hoga. Michigan Consumer Confidence Index ka May mein 77.0 tak izafa hone ka imkan hai, peechle mahine ke 77.2 se.
EUR/USD pair ne Jumma ko apne haal ki consolidation zone se nikal kar aik naye haftay ki bulandi tak pohanch gaya, 1.0813 par. Ye izafa 1.0740 aur 1.0720 ke darmiyan ek mazboot rukawat zone ko paar kar gaya. Is haftay pair ka kamzor tareen point 1.0650 par darj kiya gaya, jab kharidar pair ko us ke haal ke unchiyon ki taraf le jaane ki koshish kar rahe they. Jumma ko bullish dabao ne EUR/USD ko 1.0800 ke darjay tak le gaya, jahan 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) maujood hai. Magar, hafta anth ke qareeb baray faida asani se le jaane ne EUR/USD ko dobara 200-day EMA par 1.0760 par wapas laya. Agar tehreek phir se shuru hoti hai, to nazdeeki rukawat 1.0752 par pehla rukawat ban sakti hai jo ke keemat ko paar karne ke liye lazmi hai. Is rukawat ko paar karne ke liye, bull 1.0795 ke ilaqe par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo 2024 mein sath hi sath support aur resistance ka kaam karta hai aur 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke sath milta hai. Is zone ke paar nikalne se pehle, September ki unchi 1.0884 ke liye raasta ban sakta hai. Mutasirha, girawat foran February ki kam se kam 1.0694 par support ka samna kar sakta hai. Agar keemat is darje se neeche gir jati hai, to wo phir nazdeeki support level 1.0673 par test kar sakti hai. Aur neeche, paanch mahine ki kam se kam 1.0600 par shayad tawajju di jaye.

EUR/USD pair ne US dollar ki taqat ke peechay tezi ke mahol mein maazi ke 1.06396 ke qareeb naoorun par girne ki wajah se khaas tor par nichle dabao ka samna kiya hai, jo naye darjat ke naye low ko darsata hai. Is niche ke rukh ko mukhtalif factors se jora ja sakta hai, jin mein pehli baat US dollar ki mazbooti ka jaari rehna hai. Karobarion ne Federal Reserve ki istaqlalat ko dobara ghoorna shuru kiya hai, special interest rates par qadmon ka moqa par roshni dalte hue. Federal Reserve, jise amooman sirf "Fed" kehte hain, America ke monetary policy ka nigrani karne wali authority hai. Jab bhi Federal Reserve interest rates ko tabdeel karta hai, ya uske dar ko modify karta hai, to iska asar dollar ki keemat par padta hai. Kam interest rates dollar ko kamzor kartay hain, jabke unka barhna iski mazbooti ko barhata hai. Is dafa, Federal Reserve ne interest rates par izafa kiya, jo dollar ki mazbooti ko darust karne mein madadgar sabit hua. Is ke ilawa, siyasi hawalaat bhi iske neeche makhsoos role ada kar sakte hain. Geopolitical tensions, trade agreements, aur bazaar mein kisi muddat ke doraan kuch bhi naya aane wala hona, sab is currency pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Brexit jaise bade se bade geopolitical events ya phir America aur Europe ke darmiyan ke taqat ke muamlat is currency pair ke liye mazi mein significant asrat dikhate hain.

Mukhtalif deson ke economic indicators bhi is currency pair ke movement ko asar andaz ho sakte hain. Jab Europe ya America mein economic indicators strong hote hain, jaise GDP growth, employment figures, ya phir consumer confidence, tab currency pair mein taraqqi dikh sakti hai. Technical analysis bhi is situation ka hissa hai. Traders aur investors ek number of technical indicators aur chart patterns ka istemal karte hain taake woh market trends aur price movements ko samajh sakein. Moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur chart patterns jaise ki head and shoulders ya double tops, sab is analysis ka hissa hote hain.
Aakhri tor par, market sentiment bhi aham factor hai. Jab market mein pessimism hai, ya investors ne dollar ke liye kam confidence dikhaya hai, tab ye pair niche ki taraf jhuk sakta hai. Ye sentiment political, economic, aur social factors par depend karta hai. In sabhi factors ka milaap ek saath EUR/USD pair ke movement ko determine karta hai. Isliye, traders aur investors ko market conditions, economic indicators, aur geopolitical events par chaukanna nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake woh sahi aur munasib trading decisions le sakein.

EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar) ka market ka aghaz waqt ke pehle time frame ka jaeza dikhata hai ke aaj profitable trade ko band kar ke faida hasil karne ki mumkinat buland hai. Behtareen market dakhli maqami nuqta intekhab ka intikhab karte waqt kai lazmi shiraa'it shiraa'it ki jaati hai. Sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke aap ko baray H4 time frame par trend ke rukh ka tayun karna hoga takay market ke jazbat ke saath gumraahi se bacha ja sake. Is kaam ke liye, hum instrument ka chart 4 ghanton ke time frame par kholte hain aur bunyadi qaidah ko dekhte hain - H1 aur H4 waqt ke doran trend ke rukh hamwar hona chahiye. Is liye, pehli shiraa'it puri karne ke baad, hum yaqeen karte hain ke aaj ka market humain aik wusat trade qayam karne ka behtareen moqa faraham karta hai. Phir tajziya mein hum teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke signals par tawajju dete hain. Hum Hama aur RSI trend indicators ke blue aur green tabdeel hone ka intezar karte hain, jo ke abhi ke waqt mein khareedne wale farokht karne wale se zyada mazboot saboot hain. Jab yeh hota hai, hum ek kharid farokht ka order lagate hain. Trade ko aik magnetic level indicator ke signal par band karte hain. Aaj, sab se zyada mumkin signal processing level 1.08401 hai. Ab sirf yeh hai ke humain dekhna hai ke price chart par magnetic levels ke qareeb pohnchti hai aur sakhti se faisla karna hai ke kya hum position ko market mein agle magnetic level tak rakhenge ya kamai kiye gaye munafa ko cash out karenge. Potenital maal ka nuqsaan na ho, trawls jura ja sakte hain.
EUR/USD M-15

EURUSD aaj 1.0812 par barh gaya, jo ke ghair zaraati khabron ke liye jaana jaata hai. Magar is dafa khabar nirasa kun thi. Main ne lambi muddat se aisi manfi khabar nahi dekhi, is liye yeh shumali janib laut aaya. Lekin agar pair pehle dinon mein barh nahi gaya hota, to break out zyada mazboot hota, is liye main kuch pehle ghair zaraati izafay ko wapas lautne ka khayal rakhta hoon. Ab, 8vi jagah mein dakhil hone ke baad, keemat 7vi jagah par laut aayi hai, jo ke darust karta hai ke keemat dobara niche ke trend mein lautegi aur 6vi jagah tak girne ka silsila jaari rahega.

1-Ghante ke Timeframe par EUR/USD Pair ki Tafseeli Tehqeeq:

EUR/USD jodi ne haal hi mein 1-ghante ke chart par naye qeematein dikhayi. Shuru mein, jodi ne aham trading level 1.06477 tak pohancha, jo baad mein toot gaya, jis se ek muddat mein consolidation ka dor shuru hua. Uske baad, is toot ko aik sell signal ke tor par samjha gaya, jiska target 1.053302 par set kiya gaya. Magar yeh sell signal waqaiyat mein kaam nahi aya jab qeemat upar aur ziada badh gayi, jis se yeh sell setup na-mutawaqqa sabit hua.
1.06477 level ke oopar chal pohnchna market ke jazbat mein tabdili ki alaamat thi, jo ek buy position shuru karne ka sochnay par majboor karta. Magar is salahiyat ke bawajood, qeemat mukar gayi, waapas aayi, aur phir se pehley level ke neeche chali gayi.
Is ke baad neeche ke key level ko toorna ek aur sell signal ke tor par dekha gaya, jismei downside pressure ka izhar tha. Magar qeemat jald hi level ko dobara capture kar liya, jo signal ko ek buy indication mein tabdeel kar diya. Yeh buy signal saabit hua jis se qeemat is support level se hosla afzai kar ke aagey badhi aur 1.07335 ke ooncha trading target tak pohanchi.
Is moasar manzar mein qeemat ke dynamics market ki zyadati laparwahi darust karte hain, jin signals ke darmiyan jazbat buy aur sell indications ke darmiyan idhar udhar ho rahay hain aham levels par tootne ke buniyaad par. Yeh hamayat karte hain quick action aur market conditions ke tabdeel hone par strategy adjust karne ki zarurat par sakhti se insani.
Trade karnewalon ko qeemat ke movement ko nazdeek se dekhne, unke strategies ko mutabiq bandobast karne aur market conditions mein rafeeq rehne ki hidayat di jati hai. EUR/USD pair ki qeemat ki action 1-ghante ke time frame par trading approach ko behtari se samajhne ke liye zaroori hai keeu ke yeh market dynamics ke muamlaat ke sath pace aur sahi faislay lene ki zarurat hoti hai.
Akhiri mei, EUR/USD pair ki haal ki qeemat ke harkaat 1-ghante ke chart par trade karnewalon ko aham hitaani tehqiq ka samna kara, jin signals ne aham trading levels ke toorns par buy aur sell indications di. Jab ke kuch signals waqaiyat mein kaam nahi aye, kuch aur saabit huye, jo market ke mouaqat ko nazdeek se dekhne aur action lene ki ahmiyat ko highlight karte hain.
Trade karnewalon ko hoshyaor rehna zaroori hai, market ke tabdeel hone par jawabdeh rehte hain, aur market opportunities se faida uthane ke liye apni approach mein flexibilty rakhte hain. EUR/USD pair ki qeemat ke harkaat 1-ghante ke time frame par samina nazare se baaz garmi market ke pichlo ajaib mein chalte hen aur strategiyon ko waqt par mawafiqat mein tabdeel karne ki hidayat deti.

EUR / USD H4 Chat:



EUR/USD ki 1.0601 se shuru hone wali tezi ne 1.0752 ko paar karke aur rozana ke bias ko upar ki taraf lauta diya hai. 55 D EMA ka mazboot tootna yeh sujhata hai ki 1.0980 se girawat 1.0601 tak teen waves ke saath puri ho gayi hai. Aur aage ki tezi ki ummeed hai aur 1.0648 se 1.0752 tak 1.0601 ki 100% projection ka mazboot toot 1.0799 par raasta banayega jahan 161.8% projection 1.0892 par hai. Abhi ke liye jab tak 1.0648 ki support bani rahe risk upar ki taraf rahenge agar vapas ho toh. Bade tasveer mein 1.1274 se keemat ke karobari aamal ko theek karne ki soch rahe hain. 1.1138 se girawat teesri pair hai aur puri ho chuki hai. 1.1138 ka mazboot toot yeh keh dega ki 0.9534 (2022 ki kamzor) se shuru hone wali badi up trend 1.1274 ki unchi par dobara shuru hone ke liye tayyar hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.0601 ka mazboot toot kar karobari aamal ko badhayega.

EUR / USD D1 Analysis:

Euro apni mazboot tone par qaim hai aur teesre musalsal din mein izafa kar raha hai, jis se 1.0750 zone (1.0885/1.0601 ka 50% retracement / daily Kijun-sen) par key resistances par dabao aa raha hai. Agar yahan se mazboot toot jaye toh yeh taza bullish signal paida karega aur bull-leg ko 1.0601 (Apr 16) se extend karne ke liye taiyar ho jayega, jahan pe bada downtrend double-Fibo support (0.9535/1.1275 ka 38.2% / 1.0448/1.1139 ka 76.4%) se roka gaya tha.

Daily Chart Par Technical Analysis:



Daily chart par technical picture behtar ho rahi hai kyunki positive momentum mazboot ho raha hai aur 10/20DMA's bull-cross banane ke liye tayyar ho rahe hain lekin 1.0750 zone par baar baar nakami hone se dobara recovery rukawat ka khatra hai aur downside ko khatre mein daal sakta hai. Qareebi muddat ka bias bullon ke saath rehne ki umeed hai jab tak keemat 1.0700 (psychological / converged 10/20DMA's) ke upar hai, jabki agar yahan se toot jaye toh qareebi muddat ka structure kamzor ho jayega. Sabhi nazare US jobs data par hain jahan pe US labor sector ki halat achi rahne ki umeed hai, tashrihat ke mutabiq, jo dollar ko aur bhi mazbooti de kar interest rates ko change na karne ki Federal Reserve ki haliyat ko mazeed support karegi.

EUR-USD H4 Takneeki Jaiza

Doosri guftagu subah is dawr ke EURUSD jodi par jaari hai, jo GBPUSD par mohtaat hai. Is jodi mein bhi wazeh hai ke kal ye baraayi karne mein kaamiyab raha hai, ji haan aur agar ham dhaan dein to abhi EURUSD ki maqami darjaat maanday ke buland darje se kaafi door hain, agar yeh mamla hai, to mumkin hai ke EURUSD mazeed ooncha jaaye, jahan ke is kharidaar ka qareebi nishana guzishta haftay ka rukawat ka area hai. 1.086, to agar yeh area tooti hai to kharidaar ke liye moujooda manzar ki mukhtalif bari shaili ka khol jaayega EURUSD jodi mein. Agar woh kharidaar bhi hain, to unhe H4 khud par oscillator ke barye main haqeeqat se khaas tor par khabardar rehna chahiye, jahan is waqt hum dekh sakte hain ke keemat phir se overbought position mein wapas aa gayi hai, to moujooda manzar se phir se ek aur girawat ka imkan hai. Agar yeh bhi ho, to yeh abhi bhi thoda sa khatarnaak nazar aata hai agar hum sirf isay zabardasti koshish karein.

Shayad EURUSD ko bechnay ke liye, main apna irada chhodne ki koshish karoon, ji haan, aur maujooda taraqqiyat ka mushahida karoonga jo ke behtar hoga agar, misaal ke taur par, dekha jaaye ke EURUSD 1.086 ki rukawat ko toorna sakte hain ya nahi, aur phir agar yeh rukawat tooti nahi, to main dobara bechnay ki koshish karoon ga jahan EMA50 ke ahem area tak bina ideal nishana. EurUsd market jodi ab bhi kal ke trading ke baad mumkinah tor par bullish hai, keemat ko kharidaaron ne kaabu mein rakha jo bearish bechnay walon ko rokne mein kaamiyab rahe aur support area ko barkaraar rakha jo ke keemat ko ooncha jaari rakha.

Daily time window ka tehqeeq karne par Moving Average technique ka istemaal karke dekha jaa sakta hai ke EurUsd market jodi mein kharidaar trading par hukoomat kar rahe hain aur keemat ko peela 200 MA area ko toorna shuru karne mein kaamiyab hain, saath hi kharidaar ki kaamiyabi mein ek mazboot bullish candlestick ko banane mein jo ke keemat ko mazeed ooncha jaane ke imkanat ko barhaata hai. keemat ko bechnay walon ka area jo Blue 100 MA area mein hai, aur maujooda daur mein shayad abhi bhi ek bearish tashweesh ho aur kharidaar ise istemaal kar sakte hain kharidari dakhilah areas ke liye talash karne ke liye.

Euro ne dollar ke muqable mein maqil hone ki alaamat dikhayi, bawajood kuch fluctuations ke. Maqwi ma'ashiyati data se pehle se aameer currency ko taqwiyat mili, jo ke pichle din ke nuqsanat ko bahaal karne mein madad faraham ki. Magar, euro ne apni jagah qaim rakhne ka kaam kiya, thora sa 1.0600 ke ooper reh gaya. Ye maqilgi aai jabke amreeki ma'ashiyati khabron ke bawajood aai. Durable goods orders March mein expected se zyada barh gaye, jis se amreeki manufacturing mein musalsal izafa ka ishara mila. Mazeed, amreeki ma'ashiyat ko 2024 ke pehle quarter mein aik munasib izafa dar jari rakhna tawaqqa kiya ja raha hai, haalaanki peechle quarter se thoda dhimi raftar se. Magar, aise bhi nishaanat thay jo amreeki dollar ki izafa ko kam kar sakti hain. Barhne wale amreeki bond issuance ne thori si Treasury yields ko ooper ki taraf daba dia, aur core inflation ki tawaqqa hai ke maxil ya mazeed kam ho. Ye dollar ko investors ke liye kam kashish banane ka sabab bana sakta hai jo ziyata returns ya inflation ke khilaaf hedge ki talaash mein hain.

Agay dekhtay hain, EUR/USD ke liye ahem satah 1.0700 hai. Agar euro independent tor par is satah ke ooper band kar sakta hai, to ye aik potential izafa ki taraf ishara hosakta hai 1.0750 aur us se bhi aage. Mukhtalif taur par, 1.0700 ke ooper rehne mein kamiyabi na milne se saal ke kamzor tajurba ki dohraai aur shayad hi 1.0448 tak giravat ho sakti hai, aik aham support satah. Ikhtitaar mein, euro aur dollar ab tug-of-war mein shamil hain. Jabke independent US data ne pehle dollar ko taqwiyat di, euro ne mazbooti dikhayi. Anay wale ma'ashiyati indicators, special inflation data, is currency pair ke mustaqbil ki raah ka tayyun karne mein ahem kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Isey mukhtasir tor par, EURUSD pichle kai sessions se rangebound raha hai, lekin momentum indicators se nazar andaaz hota hai ke bears ka abhi bhi asar hai. Aik taaza dhimmi lehar shuru ki ja sakti hai, magar agar 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) aik death cross perfect kar lein.

Market ki tabdeeliyat ko samajhna forex trading mein kamiyabi ke liye ahem hai. Forex trading mein ek mukhya risk management tool stop-loss order hai. Ye order traders ko trade par qubool karne ke liye unka zyada se zyada nuqsan pehle se tay karna deta hai. Ek stop-loss level tay karke, traders agar market unke khilaaf jaata hai aur ek mukarar point ke paray tak chala jata hai, to wo khud-ba-khud ek position se bahar nikal sakte hain, jisse potential nuqsan mein rokawat aati hai. Traders ke liye ahem hai ke wo apne risk tolerance, trading strategy, aur trade kiye jaane wale currency pair ki halat ke mutabiq stop-loss levels tay karein.
Ek aur ahem tajziya risk management ka position sizing hai. Sahi position size tay karna ye daryaft karta hai ke traders apne paisay ko kisi bhi ek trade par zyada risk na karein. Ismein sahi position size tay karna shamil hai jaise ke account size, risk tolerance, aur stop-loss level tak faasla. Apne trading capital ko har trade par ek chhota hissa dene se, traders apne risk ko mukhtalif positions mein taqseem kar sakte hain aur individual trades se badi nuqsan se bach sakte hain.

Risk management mein ye bhi shamil hai ke market ki developments aur ma'ashiyati waqiat ko mutasir karne wale mamlaat ki maloomat hasil karna. Ma'ashiyati indicators, central bank announcements, siyasi waqiat, aur doosre factors market sentiment aur volatility ko asar daalte hain. Traders ko aksar news sources, economic calendars, aur market analysis ko regular basis par nigrani mein rakhna chahiye takay woh relevant developments ke mutabiq apni trading strategies ko adjust kar sakein.

Iske ilawa, market ki tabdeeliyat ke mutabiq adaptable rehna bhi risk management ke liye ahem hai. Forex market dynamic hai aur sudden volatility, liquidity, aur price action mein tabdeeliyan ho sakti hain. Traders ko apni strategies, risk parameters, aur trade execution tactics ko badalne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jaise ke stop-loss levels ko tang karna ya phir wide karna, positions ko upar ya neeche kar dena, ya phir waqtan-fa-waqtan trading se hat jana heighted uncertainty ke doran.

Ikhtitami tor par, risk management forex trading mein kamiyabi ka aik ahem hissa hai, khaaskar volatile market conditions mein. Munasib risk management strategies ko amal mein laate hue, jaise ke stop-loss orders tay karna, position sizes ka intizam karna, market developments ki maloomat hasil karna, aur tabdeeliyat ke mutabiq adaptable rehna, traders apne paisay ko mehfooz rakh sakte hain aur forex market mein lambi arzi munafa hasil karne ke imkanat ko behtar bana sakte hain.

EUR/USD: Ek Safar Nama Successful Trading Ki

Chaliye, EUR/USD currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ka rawaiya dekhte hain. Mujhe bhi lagta hai ke umeed hai ke siyahat hogi; bus 1.0725–1.0755 ka resistance zone pehle se hi istirahat mein hai. Wo siyahat banana jari rakhein ge. EMA line ke taraf, aur wahan bas 1.0850 hai. Wo unchi ja sakte hain, lekin yeh meri unchai hai ab tak. Aur EMA par, mujhe aik ulte nateejay ko dekh raha hoon jo ke pohanchne par ho sakta hai. Mustaqbil ke harkatun ke mutalik mukhtalif mansubay ke tajziye kiye ja rahe hain. Lagta hai ke hum 1.0695 par resistance tak pohanchen ge. Is manzar mein, hum naye bulandiyon ki taraf qaaim trend dekh rahe hain, aur mujhe yakeen hai ke hum is harkat ki jari rahne ko dekhain ge. Mere khayal mein, aqeeda hai ke EUR/USD kam az kam 1.0896 tak umeedwar ho sakta hai. Magar khareed sakta hai nakam ho, aur mujhe lagta hai ke 1.0605 darje tak girne ka imkaan hai, jahan se bhaaloo phir se zinda ho sakte hain.

Main ye manta hoon ke izafa ka imkaan is waqt zyada mumkin nazar ata hai. Chart par upar aur neeche ki harkat ke liye kafi signals hain, lekin ab tareekh ke saath tajziya kar ke raast ka intezar karna bohot mushkil hai. Main ye mera raaye samajhta hoon ke upar ki taraf ke price trend sab se zyada mumkin mansubah hai. Is waqt, mujhe mazeed izafa nahi hai. Main apni position ka tazkira is baat se samjha ke wo lal resistance ko paar kar gaye, lekin wo sakht tha, aur daily mombati us par band nahi hui. Ye ab mauqah hai jahan izafa nahi hoga. Aur aap ka tasveer bhi taza nahi hai; jo aap ke paas hai abhi tak wo wahi izafa nahi hua jo aap ko nonfarm payrolls mein mila tha kal. Phir bhi, statistics kisi tarah galatfehmiyon ka sabab hoti hain. ADP mein jaise job izafa tha, aise kuch nahi hai. Aur sab se bari baat yeh hai ke sab kuch aik haftay mein hua, aur phir Powell ne bhi kaha ke rozgar ka bazurgh ho raha hai.

Asal mein, wo hamesha arrows ko ADP ki taraf munh karte hain, kehte hain ke unhein izafa mil gaya hai. Us ke khilaaf kya shikayat hai? Magar yeh ke nonfarm payrolls abhi tak mojood nahi hain, yeh kisi tarah se yahan ghor nahi kiya jata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke kuch waqt ke baad market janib gharbi badal jaye, jo ke is halat mein aik lambi muddat ke liye bullish trend ki position ko mazboot kare ga. Yahan aik ahem support darja 1.0481 hoga, jo ke aik mustaqil girawat ke doraan wazeh ho jaye ga. Magar agar mazeed girawat ke liye kafi tawanai nahi hai, to EUR/USD ki siyahat shuru ho sakti hai, jismein ke izafa ke pehle darje 1.0664 par resistance ka intezar karna hoga. Is manzar mein, jodi bila takalluf apna raasta badal sakta hai mustaqbil mein, aur umeedwar girawat ke bajaye, hum ek mukhalif harkat ka ulta chalan dekhein ge, jo ke ek mukhtalif raftar mein tehreek ko badal dega.