Forex market mei Euro (EUR) ka US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf maqool giravat dekha gaya hai Jumeraat ke Asian trading hours mein. Is kamzori ka sabab taraqqi pazeer US dollar hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ki agle September mein interest rate kam karne ki khabron se hosakti hai. Dosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne meeting mein interest rates ko record bulandi par qaim rakhne ka faisla kia, lekin June mein ek possible rate cut ki isharaat di. Market participants khush-o-khurraman taur par Germany se manhanghai data aur Michigan ke US shehar se consumer confidence readings ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Jumeraat ko muntakhib hai. Magar, ye reports market par kuch asar ka imkaan nahi rakhte hain. Moaser data ke mutabiq, CME FedWatch Tool se, investors sirf is saal Federal Reserve se do interest rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain, jin mein pehla cut September mein mumkin hai. Federal Open Market Committee ki meeting se release kiye gaye minutes mein, committee members manhanghai mein izafa ke baare mein ghabrahat zahir karte thay, aur taza data unka yakeen barhane mein madad nahi kiya ke 2% ke nishan tak wapas lautega. Waqtan faraaz Atlantic ke dusri janib, ECB ne apni ahem interest rate ko 4.0% par qaim rakha, jo ke panchwa musalsal meeting hai jahan rates ko be tabdeel rakha gaya hai. Federal Reserve ke agle qadam ke aas paas kashishon ke darmiyan, ECB ne bhi qareebi rate cut ki isharaat di. Market ki umeedain ECB ke June mein 25 basis point cut ki taraf ishaarat karti hain. EUR/USD ne ek taqwiyat ki koshish ki, lekin wo mukhtalif moajizaati markazii ilaqay mein mazboot rukawat ka samna karna para, jo ke EUR/USD jodi ke liye 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke sath sath 50- day SMA aur Ichimoku Cloud ko bhi shamil karta hai. Agar kisi susti se tabdili hone ki soorat mein, to jodi mumkin hai 1.0795 ki support level ko aazmaegi, jo ke February aur March mein ek buffer ka kaam karta hai. Is level ke neeche ek tooti par jabar ka daaba jaega to, qeemat 1.0722 ki recent kamzori ke taraf rawana ho sakti hai, jo December aur February mein bhi support ka kaam karta hai. Agar qeemat mazeed kamzor hoti hai, to 1.0693 ki 2024 ki kami maqbool downside protection faraham kar sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar saandhain moving average convergence par hamla karain, to qareebi resistance 1.0875 pehli rally ke liye rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Is ilaake ke upar ek breakthrough is raste ko banwa sakta hai ke ek chain ka silsila banta hai, jo ke 1.0941, 1.0963, aur 1.0980 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke mil kar ek downtrend line ko shakal dete hain.
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