Eurusd forum

Forex market mei Euro (EUR) ka US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf maqool giravat dekha gaya hai Jumeraat ke Asian trading hours mein. Is kamzori ka sabab taraqqi pazeer US dollar hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ki agle September mein interest rate kam karne ki khabron se hosakti hai. Dosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne meeting mein interest rates ko record bulandi par qaim rakhne ka faisla kia, lekin June mein ek possible rate cut ki isharaat di. Market participants khush-o-khurraman taur par Germany se manhanghai data aur Michigan ke US shehar se consumer confidence readings ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Jumeraat ko muntakhib hai. Magar, ye reports market par kuch asar ka imkaan nahi rakhte hain. Moaser data ke mutabiq, CME FedWatch Tool se, investors sirf is saal Federal Reserve se do interest rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain, jin mein pehla cut September mein mumkin hai. Federal Open Market Committee ki meeting se release kiye gaye minutes mein, committee members manhanghai mein izafa ke baare mein ghabrahat zahir karte thay, aur taza data unka yakeen barhane mein madad nahi kiya ke 2% ke nishan tak wapas lautega. Waqtan faraaz Atlantic ke dusri janib, ECB ne apni ahem interest rate ko 4.0% par qaim rakha, jo ke panchwa musalsal meeting hai jahan rates ko be tabdeel rakha gaya hai. Federal Reserve ke agle qadam ke aas paas kashishon ke darmiyan, ECB ne bhi qareebi rate cut ki isharaat di. Market ki umeedain ECB ke June mein 25 basis point cut ki taraf ishaarat karti hain. EUR/USD ne ek taqwiyat ki koshish ki, lekin wo mukhtalif moajizaati markazii ilaqay mein mazboot rukawat ka samna karna para, jo ke EUR/USD jodi ke liye 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke sath sath 50- day SMA aur Ichimoku Cloud ko bhi shamil karta hai. Agar kisi susti se tabdili hone ki soorat mein, to jodi mumkin hai 1.0795 ki support level ko aazmaegi, jo ke February aur March mein ek buffer ka kaam karta hai. Is level ke neeche ek tooti par jabar ka daaba jaega to, qeemat 1.0722 ki recent kamzori ke taraf rawana ho sakti hai, jo December aur February mein bhi support ka kaam karta hai. Agar qeemat mazeed kamzor hoti hai, to 1.0693 ki 2024 ki kami maqbool downside protection faraham kar sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar saandhain moving average convergence par hamla karain, to qareebi resistance 1.0875 pehli rally ke liye rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Is ilaake ke upar ek breakthrough is raste ko banwa sakta hai ke ek chain ka silsila banta hai, jo ke 1.0941, 1.0963, aur 1.0980 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke mil kar ek downtrend line ko shakal dete hain.

Eurusd ne haal hi mein apni pehli haar ko kuch had tak door kar liya hai, lekin ab bhi 0.03% ki kami se 1.0221 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh market mein ek mukhtalif rehnumai ka ishara hai. Dollar ki maqool baft ki wajah se, yeh currency pair aik muqarrar darje par apni qowat ko barqarar rakhta hai. Haalankay, kuch naye tajziyati asraat bhi shayad is mauqe par asar andaz ho saktay hain. Is waqt, halaat euro ki deegar mukhtalif wajahat ki wajah se taqatwar reh rahay hain, jaise ke European Central Bank ke monetary policy decisions aur Eurozone ke economic indicators. European Central Bank (ECB) ki policies ki wajah se, euro ki qeemat par asar parta hai. ECB ne haal hi mein apni monetary policy ko stable rakhne ke liye mukhtalif qadam uthaye hain, jin mein interest rates aur quantitative easing programs shamil hain. Agar ECB ne kisi qisam ki monetary easing announce ki ho, to yeh euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur iska asar EUR/USD exchange rate par dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Eurozone ke economic indicators bhi EUR/USD exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Eurozone ke economic performance, GDP growth, inflation rate, aur employment data jaise factors euro ki qeemat par asar daal sakte hain. Agar Eurozone ke economic indicators strong hain, to euro ki qeemat mein izafa hone ka imkaan hota hai, jo ke EUR/USD exchange rate ko bhi barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Dollar ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions bhi EUR/USD exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Agar Federal Reserve interest rates ko barhata hai ya monetary tightening ki policies announce karta hai, to dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone ka imkaan hota hai, jo ke EUR/USD exchange rate ko nichay ki taraf khinch sakta hai. Isi tarah se, geopolitical events aur global economic conditions bhi EUR/USD exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Geopolitical tensions, trade wars, ya global economic slowdown raise factors currency markets par asar daal sakte hain aur EUR/USD exchange rate ko istiqraar se farogh denay mein madad kar sakte hain. Is waqt, traders ko euro aur dollar ki qeemat ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur market ke tajziyati halaat ko samajhne ke liye mukhtalif factors ka tajziya karna chahiye. EUR/USD exchange rate ke baray mein mukhtalif analysts ke tajziyat ko bhi madad hasil ki ja sakti hai taake behtar trading decisions liye ja sakein.

Khush qismati ke killer EUR/USD trading guftagu

Daily Timeframe Tafseel

Humari guftagu ke ma'abood aur is ka asar dollar par, mujhe kehne ka hausla hai ke riyasatain kisi qisam ka tawazun qaim rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hain, jahan wo Israel ko madad faraham karke apna muqam na khota dikhayen aur ek hi waqt mein har mumkin tareeqay se dikhayen ke unhe is tanaza par koi tawajju nahi hai jo uski tameeri ko barqarar rakhne ke liye darasal is ki awazain unke izharat ke saath nahi chahiye Isi liye dollar ka mutaliq rawayya, aur ye na to gir gaya aur na hi zyada barhega, jo ke abhi ke liye mujhe lagta hai ke is mawad ko shalfo par rakh diya ja sakta hai aur dollar ke tabadla dar ko maamooli iqtasadi factors se jari rakhne ka tasavvur jari rakha ja sakta hai, lekin yahan mujhe lagta hai ke bazar ab tayyar hai, abhi koi izharat nahi hai, lekin hakiki tasdeeq nahi hai ke daro par kami hai, lekin abhi tak koi tasdeeq nahi hai Is pas-e-parda ke maidan mein, mein EUR/USD jori ke nishchit maqasid ki taraf mustaqil kami ka intezar kar raha hoon

H4 Hour Timeframe Tafseel

Main ittefaq karta hoon, lekin 1.07 aur shayad 1.0710 ke mukhalfat darajat ko test karne ke baad In darjat ke baad, aap janoob ki taraf murna shuru kar sakte hain, aur yeh kaafi gehra janoob hoga, aur mujhe intezar hai ke harkat ke nateejay mein koi barabari na ho Is ke ilawa, Lagarde doosre din se kahaniyan suna rahi hai aur, wazahat ke mutabiq, bazaar ko tayyar kar rahi hai ke agle ECB ijtima mein ECB dar asal kami karay ga Isliye mein intezaar kar raha hoon ke jhanda 1.07-0710 tak barhkar kaam karega aur phir mein EUR/USD ki farokht ko pakar loonga Is waqt, tijarat sirf mukarrar mukhalfat darajat par jari hai Lekin kal Europe mein din taqreeban khali hai, aur America mein EUR/USD ke liye kuch moventsa hai Isliye main signs ke saath ittefaq karta hoon, lekin kuch waqt ki der ke saath, aur kyun na jumeraat par kami ka kaam kiya jaye. Lekin hum dekhte hain Is waqt, EUR/USD 61.8% fibo par tijarat kar raha hai, aage buland hone ki koshish karte hue, jo EMA50 ko kholta hai, jo 1.07 tak gira hua hai

EUR/USD currency pair ke qeemat mein dhire dhire kami nazar aai hai, jis ki bari had tak doosri barri currencies ke mukabley mein US dollar ki mustaqil mazbooti ka asar hai. Ye rawaya investors ko arzoo ki taraf le gaya hai jo taraqqi ke mushtamil shobon mein aik mehfooz idara talash kar rahe hain. Mukhtalif factors ne euro par dabao dala hai, khas tor par eurozone mein maeeshat ki sharaarti halat, khaaskar Germany mein, jo ke is jodi ke neechey ki taraf chalne ko barhawa dete hain. Shuruaati trading ki umeedein EUR/USD jodi mein khas zyada tabdeeliyon ka intezar nahi karti thi. Jab ke neeche ki taraf ka rukh muntazir tha, wahaan aik mamooli uthar charhao ka ihtimal tha, jahan market ke analiytik logon ne 1.0835 ke ird gird aik mumkin umdah mor par nazar rakh rakha tha. Is manzil ke neeche farokht ko shuru karne ke iradon par amal ki tayyari thi, jahan nishanay manzilay jaise ke 1.0735 aur 1.0685 set kiye gaye thay.
Kul tahqiq ka mahol sambhal kar EUR/USD jodi ke taraf mudakhlati raha, maujooda market shurataat ko madda samajhte hue musallat manfi dabao ka intezar kar raha tha. Chhoti arse ke liye kharidari ki mohtamam mumkinat ghatey hue bearish trend ke darmiyan mein samjhi gayi. Lekin, agar H1 chart 1.0823 se oopar chala jaye, to aik uthar charhao waqayi ho sakta hai, halan ke bearish momentum us waqt tak qaim rahega. Farokht 1.0742-1.0764 range ke andar mashroot ki gayi thi, jahan rozi ka chart mein saathvein figure ke neeche girne ki koshish ki gayi. Magar, downtrend ke dauran intraday pullbacks par ahtiyaat zaroori thi. Mumkin rukawat ke bawajood, tawajju farokht par qaim thi.
Market ke shurafah ka taqat badalne ke sath, zyada urooj o nichawar ko kal ke Asian session mein tasleem kiya gaya, jo ke European session mein kami ke sath peecha chhoota. Mukhtasir se lekar darmiani muddat ke liye, EUR/USD jodi ka manzar aam tor par bearish raha, jahan aik daira bandi hawai uthar charhao ki mumkinat thi. Magar, karobar karne walon ko ehtiyaat bartari se amal karne aur ahem satah aur takneeki nishanat ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhne ki tajveez di gayi taake wo mutala kie hue karobarati faislay par amal kar sakein.

Forex trading strategy
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Euro/dollar ka joda kal se ooper ki taraf trade kar raha hai.
Kal, mujhe tawaqqo thi keh European currency tezi se islah ke hisse ke taur par 1.0670 ki muzahmati satah tak badh jayegi, aur meri tawaqqoaat durust sabhi huin.
Aaiye ab takniki nuqtah nazar se jode ki harkiyat par gaur karein.
Qabile zikar bat yah hai keh, jab qimat muzahmati satah par pahunch gayi to, Stochastic indicator overbought territory me dakhil hua, aur 4-ghante ke chart par zigzag indicator ne tezi ki lahar ke khatme ka ishara diya.
Iska matlab yah hai keh euro/dollar ka joda ya to is ilaqe se piche hat sakta hai ya aaj thoda ooper ja sakta hai. Bahar hal, relative strength indicator se ishara milta hai keh market ka jazbah ab bhi tez hai. Halankeh, sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh euro maujudah satah se niche girna shuru ho jayega.
Mutabadil taur par, bulls qimat ko badhana jari rakh sakte hain, muzahmati satah ko tod sakte hain aur 4-ghante ke chart par 1.0700 ki satah se ooper ek nayi candlestick bana sakti hain.
Is surat me, market me mukammal taur par mandi se tezi ke rujhan me tabdili dekhne ko milega, jisme euro 1.0730 ki agli muzahmati satah ooper uthega aur yahan tak keh 1.0775 ke nishan tak pahunchne ki koshish bhi karega. Halankeh, trading chart par peele rang me dikhaye gaye scenario ke muqable me is scenario ka imkan kam hai.

اپریل 18 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، یورو میں 0.49% اضافہ ہوا، جبکہ ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں 0.58%، سونا 1.04% گرا، اور امریکی حکومت کے بانڈز پر پیداوار کم ہوئی۔ حتیٰ کہ ایران کے خلاف زیر التواء "جوابی" ہڑتال کے بارے میں اسرائیل کے بیان نے یورو میں اتنے خطرناک اضافے کو کم نہیں کیا۔



ہمیں یقین ہے کہ یورو نے اپنی تمام طاقت استعمال کر لی ہے۔ سنگل کرنسی 1.0636/56 کی حد سے اوپر بڑھ گئی، لیکن یہ آج تک اس نشان پر واپس آ سکتی ہے کیونکہ اف. او.ایم.سی. کے نمائندے شام کو بات کریں گے (افسران سے یہ توقع نہیں کی جاتی ہے کہ وہ غیر مہذب موقف ظاہر کریں گے) اور بے روزگاری کے دعووں کا ڈیٹا بھی جاری 1.0636 پر رینج کی نچلی حد سے نیچے ایک اور ڈراپ 1.0567 کے ہدف کو کھول دے گا۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں داخل ہو گیا ہے۔ تیز اضافہ قیمتوں میں مضبوط تکنیکی مزاحمت کے اوپر ٹوٹنے کی وجہ سے ہوا ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن اصلاحی حرکت کی حد کو نشان زد کرتی ہے، جو 1.0700 کی سطح کے آس پاس ہے۔ ہو سکتا ہے کہ یہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک نہ پہنچ سکے کیونکہ قیمت کا حد سے اوپر بڑھنا اور آسیلیٹر کا صفر لائن سے اوپر بڑھنا غلط اقدام معلوم ہوتا ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat mein gradual kami dekhi gayi hai, jis ki bunyad mai US dollar ka doosri barre currencies ke muqable mein mustaqil izafa hai. Yeh trend aise investors ko apni investments ko economic uncertainties ke dor mein mehfooz banane ke liye mutasir karta hai. Muktalif factors ne euro par dabao daala hai, khaaskar eurozone, khas tor par Germany mein behtar hone wali iqtisadiyat ki shurataat, jo jodi ki manfi raftar ko aur barha rahi hai. Ibtidaai trading expectations ne EUR/USD pair mein kisi numaya ghair mustaqil raftar ka tasawwur nahi kiya tha. Jabke ek girawat ka jari rehna tasawwur kiya gaya, ek mamooli upri islaah ka bhi koi imkaan tha, market analysts ek mumkin palat point ke qareebi 1.0835 level par ankhon mein rakhte hue the. Plans yahan par behte the ke is qadam se neeche bechne ki shuruaat ki jaaye, targets aane waale levels par set kiye gaye the jaise ke 1.0735 aur 1.0685. Kul sentiment muhtatam tor par EUR/USD pair ke taraf muhtaatam tor par umer ka darja rakhte hue tha, maujooda market conditions ke dabeer pressure ko dekhte hue. Short-term kharidari ke mauqe ko mamoolan mehdood samjha gaya taqreeban mukhtasir bearish trend ke dabeer hone ke beech. Magar, agar H1 chart 1.0823 ke oopar chadh jaaye, to aik upri islah ka mohtasib hota hai, halan ke bearish momentum tak phir se shuru hone ki tawaqo rakhi ja rahi thi. Bechna mashwaray ko din ke 1.0742-1.0764 range ke andar diya gaya, maqsad rozana chart par saathveen figure ke neeche girna tha. Magar, downtrend ke doran din ke doran mukhtalif levels par itlaaf ko ahtiyaat se dekha gaya. Mumkin rukawatoun ke bawajood, tawajoh mukhtasar bechna par qaim thi. Market players ke musbat maamlaat ke tabadla hone ke saath, zyada volatility ka intezar kal ke Asian session mein kiya gaya tha, jise European session ke doran kam hona tha. Darmiyanai doraan, chaauthi lehr ab moment pehle se 1.0800 ke neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke ab ek bechna ka factor bana hai. Agar 1.0800 ko tor dia gaya to upri trend ki nishaandahi hogi. In doraanon ke darmiyan, traders ko hoshiyar rehne aur apni strategies ko mutabiq rakne ki hidayat di gayi thi takay woh doranai market conditions ko safar kar sakein. Iske ilawa, qoumi masael aur macroeconomic data releases jodi ki harkaton ko mutasir karenge, jise trading landscape mein ek mazeed tabadla ke saath jor diya gaya hai. Is liye, traders ko maloomat hasil karne aur unke faislay ko tehqiqat se karne ke liye hoshyaar rehna aur rishton ko khatam karne ke liye tawajjo di ja rahi hai. Kul milake, EUR/USD pair ke liye short se medium term tak bearish manzar tha, ek mukhtalif upri correction ke mumkinati ke saath. Magar, traders ko hoshiyar rehne aur kuch ahem levels aur takniki indicators ko qareeb se dekh kar maloomat hasil karne ke liye hoshiyar rehne ki hidayat di gayi.

Halaat-e-Hazra: EURUSD Ke Saath Uljhan

Haal hi mein shuda America ki saalana mahangai ke data ka report nazar aya, lekin EURUSD pair ne ahem 1.0800 ke level ke ooper wapas lenay mein mushkilat ka samna kiya. Balkay, ye ek neeche ki taraf giraawat ka shikar hua, 1.0700 tak gir gaya. Filhal, qeemat 1.0727 ke qareeb mazidat par jam gai hai, jahan qeemat ki tazi kami nazar aati hai. Mojudah dhaal trend mazboot hai, khaaskar jab EMA 50 SMA 200 ke neeche chala gaya, jis ne ek "death cross" ko ishara diya, aur bechne walon ki dominance ko barhaya. Musalsal giraawat clear tarah se dikhata hai ke EURUSD pair ke karobar ke dynamics mein bechne walon ki takat ka asar hai. Lekin, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka qareebi jaiza ek zahir hota hai. Histogram volume ek kam hone wali raftar par hai, 0 ke mark ke qareeb aarahi hai. Ye darust karta hai ke neeche ki raftar mein dhaal ka dhirey dhirey kam hona. Ye manzar kharidne walon ke liye ek moomkin mauqa paish karta hai ke wo control haasil karain aur qeemat ko ooper le jane ki koshish karain, maqsood ke darajat ke qareeb 1.0756 ya EMA 50 ki taraf mutawaqqa.






Lekin, is tarah ke auzar ka kamiyabi ka hai kai factors par mabni hota hai. Pehle to, market ka jazba ahem hai. Karobari loog shayad aham arazi hawalat, jaise ke mahangai dar aur maali policy ke faislay, ko nigrani mein rakhein ge, jo ke jis tarah mein bhi dalte hain us taraf jhuk sakte hain. In ilaqon mein kisi bhi be-nasiqat hone wale taza rujhanat wale hawaale aham tor par market ke dynamics ko muntaqil kar sakte hain.

Dusre, siyasi factors ko ghor kiya jana zaruri hai. Eurozone ya United States ke andar jaari tanazur ya taraqqiyati hawalat karobari itminan ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur baad mein EURUSD pair ke raaste ko asar andaz kar sakte hain.

Is ke ilawa, takneeki tajziyah ki ahmiyat hai potential price movements ko samajhne mein. Karobari loog mazeed indicators ko scrutiny kar sakte hain, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), taa'ki market ke trends aur potentional reversal points ke mutaliq mazeed intezar hasil karein.

Aakhri tor par, jab ke EURUSD pair neeche ki dabao se guzar raha hai, dhirey dhirey giraawat ke nishaan mookhtasir mouqe ko dikhate hain ke kharidne walon ke liye ek moomkin mauqa paish hai. Lekin, is nateeje par kayi iqtisadi, siyasi aur takneeki factors ka asar hota hai jo market ke dynamics ko tarteeb dete hain. Karobari loog ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur is mushkilat se guzarna jari rakhein.

EUR/USD Daily Time Frame

Sabko raat ki khushiyan! Ab hum EUR/USD daily time frame chart par baat kar rahe hain. Is chart par hum dekh rahe hain ke 1.07000 ke level ne ek mazboot support banaya hai aur dollar ki taqat mein izafa ka ishara hai. Yeh iska matlab hai ke hum 1.04500 ke saalana mukhtasir se minimum tak ja rahe hain. Magar is level tak pohnchne se pehle, hume 1.06000 ke local low ke neeche 90 dinon ke liye consolidate karna hoga. Uske baad, hum 1.04500 ke level ki taraf movement ka imkaan consider kar sakte hain. Main is scenario ko tab sochoonga jab keemat 1.06000 ke level ke neeche consolidate hogi. Phir rasta khulega 1.04500 ke level ki taraf, halan ke is raaste par humein 1.05000 ke level ka bhi samna karna hoga jo kam karna hoga. Agar hum is level ko todte hain aur is ke neeche consolidate hote hain, to dollar ki taqat mein mazeed izafa ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Chalo dekhte hain ki haal hafta kaise khatam hota hai, kis keemat par, kyun ke mumkin hai ke hum palat kar 1.07000 ke level ke oopar laut jaayein, aur shayad 1.08000 ke level tak pahunchein.

EUR/USD H1 Time Frame

EUR/USD ka trade 6th figure ke darmiyan ho raha hai. Khushi hai, Leonid, aapko bhi dekh kar. Main aapke alfaz mein afsos ke rang dekh raha hoon ke main tel ke zariye gufa se baahar aaya. Theek hai, theek hai, hum guzar jayenge. Haan, agar aap lambe waqt tak takleef uthate hain, to kuch na kuch kaam bana hai. Main abhi aise hi trade kar raha hoon, jaise hi main apne aap ko khatam karoon, main turant aapko bata doonga. Is pair ke liye bears ziddi hain aur keemat ko upar jaane nahi dena chahte. Shayad hum upar jaayein, ya shayad trend ko follow karein (abhi bhi neeche ki taraf). Agar hum din ke andar 1.0695 ke oopar band karte hain, to main kal pullback par kharidne ke liye khush hoga target ke saath 1.0730. Maine pound ko thoda sa khola, lekin yeh koi serious baat nahi thi. Sach kehne ke liye, mujhe is asset ke baare mein kya sochna hai, mujhe abhi tak naye sardard se bhara hua hai, isliye main is pair par trade karne se bharosa rakhunga. Iske alawa, kal hafta ka aakhri din hai, main nahi chahta ke main apni aadat kharab karoon pehle hi weekend se pehle. Hum dekhte hain.

EUR/USD ka current scenario dekhte hue, lagta hai ki market mein kuch volatility aur uncertainty hai. Haal hi mein EUR/USD ne apni pehli haar ko kuch had tak door kar liya hai, lekin ab bhi 0.04% ki kami se 1.0229 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh situation market ke dynamics ka ek prateek hai, jo ki traders ke liye ek challenging samay ho sakta hai.Ek aadharsh tareeke se, jab EUR/USD ki value mein itni choti si kami hoti hai, yeh dikhata hai ki market mein bahut hi zyada tight range mein trading ho rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ki market participants ke paas kisi na kisi economic data ya geopolitical event ki expectations hain, jo ki market ko influence kar rahi hai. Ek tajziya karte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ki kuch mukhya factors EUR/USD ke is level par trading ko influence kar rahe hain. Pehla factor ho sakta hai central banks ke monetary policies. ECB (European Central Bank) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions currency pairs ki movement par directly asar daal sakti hai. Agar ECB ya Federal Reserve ne kuch announcements kiya hai ya fir koi hints diye hain regarding interest rates, quantitative easing, ya economic outlook, toh yeh EUR/USD mein choti si movement ko bhi generate kar sakte hain. Dusri cheez jo is situation ko shape kar sakti hai, woh global economic conditions hain. World economy mein koi bada event ya change hone par, jaise ki geopolitical tensions, trade wars, ya fir major economic indicators ki better-than-expected ya worse-than-expected release, EUR/USD par impact pad sakta hai. Technical analysis ki drishti se bhi, traders EUR/USD ke current levels ko analyze kar rahe honge. Woh various technical indicators jaise ki moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators ka istemal kar rahe honge, taki future price movement ko predict kiya ja sake. Is samay, traders aur investors ko bhi global market sentiments par nazar rakhni chahiye. Koi bhi major event ya news, jaise ki geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, ya fir global economic indicators ki release, EUR/USD par direct ya indirect taur par asar daal sakta hai. Overall, EUR/USD ke current levels par trading ka scene ek challenging aur volatile ho sakta hai. Traders ko market ko closely monitor karna aur risk management strategies ka istemal karna jaroori hai, taki woh apne positions ko protect kar sake aur opportunities ko exploit kar sake.

Jab hum agle trading week ke liye tayar hotay hain, to market ko ek mufeed dimaag ke saath nazdeek se dekhna zaroori hai, jahan hum potential khatron aur mouqaat ko pehchaante hain. Keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nigrani se dekhte hue aur aik achi taur par mubayin tijarat ki strategy ko follow karte hue, hum bharish aur josh se bhare bazaar mein khud ko kamiyabi ke liye sajaa sakte hain. Jab hum agle trading week ki taraf dekhte hain, to mahaz bahar ke buyers ko jinhe ek potential uptrend ka intezar hai, unhe paishgi se door rakhna zaroori hai. Beshak bullish traders mein udaasi ka mahol hai, lekin halat ke barqarar hone ka izhaar karne ke liye Commitment of Traders (COT) data ke ijlaas ka intezar behtar hai, taake haal ki market activity ka andaza ho aur sentiment mein mumkinah tabdilat ka pata chale. Mazeed, Monday ko setups ka tashreeh, khaaskar options contracts ke liye, ne put contracts ki pighlaavat ko zahir kiya, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke market par aik dhalav asar daal sakta hai. Ab keemat ka moqam 1.0808 ilaqa tak gir gaya hai, candlestick ka moqam ab bhi 100 muddat ke simple moving average line ke neeche hai, jo ke bada waqt ke frame mein bearish trend ka barqarar rehne ka ishaara hai. Aane wale haftay ke market scenario ke liye, bas keemat ko dobara girne ka intezaar karna, ek farokht signal hasil karne ke liye, ho sakta hai ke forokht karne walay keemat ko 100 muddat ke simple moving average line ke neeche nichlaana chahte hain. Agar main haal ki keemat ki harkat ka nigrani karta hoon jo bearish hone ki taraf ja rahi hai, meri raay mein bohot zyada keemat dobara forokht karne walon ke control mein aa sakti hai aur 1.0762 zone ko dobara test karne ke liye kabil hai kyunke ye hisaab se hai aur technicalities ke mutabiq. Meri raay mein, keemat ka safar Downtrend side par jaari reh sakta hai.
Agar aap EurUsd joda ki keemat ki harkat ko 4 ghante ke waqt frame mein dekhte hain, to saaf hai ke market trend ek downtrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Is haftay ke market harkat ke aadhar par, iska girne ki taraf jaane ka rujhan hai, lekin mumkin hai ke keemat dobara 1.0744 zone tak gir sakti hai taake ye mauqaat ko bearish side par jaari rakhne ka darwaza khule, agle haftay ke liye bhi. Tijarat ke doran, hum moqaat talash sakte hain ek munasib moqa par position kholne ke liye.

Jumma ko Euro ne US Dollar ke khilaf ground haara asar dikhaya forex market mein. Federal Reserve ke afkarati tajaweezat se mulaqat ke baad bhi, EUR/USD jora apni neechay ki taraf raah jari rakha, takreeban 1.0640 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh kami us waqt aayi jab Asian session mein haftay ka buland 1.0690 tak pahunch chuka tha. Pooray din, investors Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee ki taqreer ka intezar kar rahe the. Is ke ilawa, April 13th ko khatam hone wale haftay ke naye US jobless claims ke data ne kuch musarrat bhari ishaare diye, jab filings ki tadad 212,000 ke sath barhi, jo ke 215,000 ke mutawaqqa izafa se kam tha. Goolsbee ki mumkin taqreeron aur yeh data dono USD ke rukh par asar daalne ki taaqat rakhte the. Magar, asal tawajjo Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke mukhtalif monetary policy mawaqif par mabni thi. US ka kaam kaari bazaar ka mustaqil pan aur Fed ke afkarati tajaweezat ne September tak US interest rate cut ki taakhir par tajwezat karne ki tawajjo ko jala diya. Muta’arif ECB ne June ke shuru mein rate cut ka ishaara diya, jab ECB Vice President Louis de Guindos, policy maker François Villeroy de Galhau, aur Joachim Nagel ne is harkat ka samarthan kiya.

Euro ne rate cut ke bhar se bharpoor bechne ka dabaav mehsoos kiya muqablay mein Fed ke sath, jo ke 0.8% ki kami ki wajah bani USD ke khilaf. Is ne Euro ko ahem level 1.0700 ke neeche gira diya, aur takreeban 1.0675 ke aas paas panch mahine ke kamzor pehlu par pahunch gaya. Is giravat ne bhi ek takniki tor par tod diya jab ke qeemat ek up trend line ke neeche gir gayi. Yeh darust karta hai ke musalsal giravat ka amal jari reh sakta hai, aur foranati support 1.0655 par hai. Agar kami gehri hoti hai, to qeemat 1.0515 tak gir sakti hai, jo ke EUR/USD jora ke liye lamba muddat ka nazarriya ko zyada bearish kar sakta hai. Is trend ka aur tasdeeq takniki pechidaar se milti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke qareeb oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) negative momentum dikhata hai. In sabhi nishaanat ko mila kar, yeh nishaanat EUR/USD ki giravat ka muzir wasiqaat darust kar rahi hain.

EUR/USD

Abhi mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD currency pair par bearish trend jaari hai, mazboot seller dabav ke zariye jo ke kal muqarrarad tor par 1.07672 ke ahem support level ko toorna kamiyab hui hai. Ye breakout market mein bechne wale ke mukhalif taaqat ka zor dikhata hai aur ishara deta hai ke qeemat mein kami ke silsile mein jaari rehna mukhtalif mustaqbil ke liye mumkin hai. Is halaat mein, mujhe samajhna zaroori lagta hai ke market dynamics ko kis tarah ke asraat mutasir karte hain aur woh kis tarah technical analysis mein numaya hoti hain. Main dekhta hoon ke 50 EMA 100 EMA ke neeche hai. Ye mazboot seller ki hukoomat ko market mein dikhata hai aur meri raay hai ke qeemat mein kami jaari rahegi.

Abhi keematain abhi gir rahi hain aur kisi nihayati trend ka ultaao ka koi ishaara nahi dikhata hai. Ye mujhe yeh samajhne par mazboor karta hai ke seller abhi bhi market ko hukoomat mein rakhte hain aur qeematain mustaqbil mein girne jaari rahengi. Is halaat mein, main musalsal giravat ke munasib mauqay ka faida uthane ke talaash mein hota hoon. Ek strategy jo mein aise sharaait mein lagu kar sakta hoon woh yeh hai ke main ek upar ki sudhaar ka muntazam doraan ka intezaar karta hoon takay mujhe behtareen dakhil noktah ka intizaar karne ki ijaazat mile. Ek mumkinah hai ke keemat pehle tor par gya tha woh support level dobara test kare, ya'ni 1.07672 par. Ye dobara test naye resistance ke tor par tabdeel hone wale support ka tasdeeq ka hissa bhi ho sakta hai. Agar keemat is support level ko dobara ghusne mein na kaamiyaab ho aur neeche ki taraf murnay lagti hai, to yeh mustaqil bearish trend ki taqat ko tasdeeq karega.

To aaj ke tajziya ki ikhtitam yeh hai ke eurusd shirf 1.0734 ke demand ilaqa mein girafraat ka shikaar hai aur mumkin hai ke eurusd phir se ubhar jaye. Isliye, main apne dosto ko mashwara deta hoon ke sirf 1.0735 ilaqa mein ek kharidari position kholne ki koshish karein. Take profit maqsad qareebi resistance par 1.0806 ke daam pe rakh sakte hain aur stop loss qareebi support par 1.0691 ke daam pe rakh sakte hain.

EUR/USD


Ham ab EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ke movement ka tajziya karne par tawajjo kar rahe hain. Aaj, order book ke mutabiq, is currency pair mein khareedne wale ki zyadaad hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke is currency pair mein neeche ki taraf kafi potential hai. Is baat ki tasdeeq 1.0680 ke level par farokht karne wale ki jamawar hai. Mera trading idea yeh hai ke 1.0680 ke level par ek farokht ki position kholi jaye, jahan pehla munafa nishan 1.0590 par rakha ja sakta hai aur rukhna nuqsan 1.0700 par. Agar keemat 1.0700 ke level ke upar fix hojati hai, to hum mukhtalif manazir ko mad e nazar rakhenge. Asia ki session ke doran, EUR/USD currency pair mein aik nazarafarmani nazar aai. Jodi is haftay ke kamzor points par gir gai. Lekin, is waqt, yeh tajurba kar rahi hai ke tajziya kare. Dollar aur Iran ke darmiyan izafa ke manzaray ke sath foreign exchange market mein kafi buland darja ka tanazzuli tha. Aaj ki makhsoos data economic calendar se milta hai. Ziyadatar doosre data Europe aur USA se aayega. Is aalaat ke liye, pehle nisf din mein mufeeda uparwi correction bilkul mumkin hai, lekin asal manzar ek neeche ki raftar ka jari rahna hai. Tajziya shuda muddat ke liye mansoobay ke imkanati mawad 1.0685 ke level par hai; main is level ke neeche bechna pasand karunga jahan pehla target 1.0585 aur doosra 1.0535 ke levels hain. Doosri surat mein, jodi barhna shuru kare, 1.0685 ke upar jaye aur mazboot hojaye, phir 1.0705 aur 1.0735 ke levels ki taraf raasta khulta hai.

Aaj ke din, Asia ki session ke doran, bhalu manzur ko jari rakhne ki koshish ki gayi. Main dekhta hoon ke ek waseela jo kal amreeki session ke doran shuru hua jab mazboot shobon ki indicators aur amreeki dollar ki maqroozgi mein eham izafa hua, jo dollar ke demand ko taza kardiya. Girawat ke nateejay mein, ghaeine maqaami taqat par aam lehrein ne chart par moving average ke neeche gir gai aur mojooda maqami kam se kam level 1.0600 tak pohanch gaye, jabke woh apni jageh ko dair karte rahe aur nisf mein waapis aa gaye, jo yeh darust karta hai ke mazeed ek upar ki tajziya mumkin hai mojooda trading range ki darmiyan average tak ya upar tak 1.0690 ke sath. Dosri taraf, agar bhalu ek dafa phir se moving average ke neeche gir sakte hain, to is dafa ke harekat ka imkan sirf mojooda maqaami kam se kam level 1.0600 ko aane aur isay bhi kaatne ka hai. Ab bazaar mein abhi kuch ghumrahi hai. Halankeh kal federal reserve system ke numaindayon ke qoul par maslan nisf saal tak kisi bhi qisam ke naram tajawuz ka jari rehna wazeh hai, lekin kai investors aik pehle saal ke qarz ka mujarib kuch faida uthane ke liye yakeen rakhte hain, jo kehta hai ke amreeki dollar ki tezi ka tasawwur nahi kiya jaa sakta aur aap musalsal lautanon par khelne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD ne din ke adhe hisse ke liye apni upri harkat jaari rakhi, jo kisi bhi wajah se manzoor nahi thi. Humne pehle bhi aapki tawajjo is baat par dilai hai ke is haftay zyadatar reports aur waqiat dollar ko madad faraham karne wale the. Jesa ke dekha gaya hai, bazaar ne euro ko bina kisi khaas wajah se khareedne ki apni pasandida fardani shuruh kar di hai. Khushqismat hai ke neechay ki janib jhukay waley trend line ne euro ki upri harkat ko rok diya. Abhi haal mein, lagta hai ke qeemat ne is nishan se muraad par ghatkar paitar dastiyab kiya hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke nichli harkat abhi tak mazboot hai aur jodi ne dobara neeche ki taraf rawana harkat jari rakh sakti hai. Kal, koi bhi ahem maasharti ya bunyadi waqiat nahi hue. Agar bazaar bas ek naye lambi dawam se kamzor harkat ke pehle momentum ikattha kar raha tha, toh yeh ya toh aaj ya Monday shuru ho jaye ga. Agar qeemat trend line ko tor deti hai, toh jodi ek upri rukh par chale gi, aur hum dobara euro ko be-wajah izafa karne ka intezar kar sakte hain. 5-minute ke timeframe par kai trading signals utpann hue, lekin hareefiyat kaafi dilchasp thi. Ibtida mein, 1.0838 ke darjaat ko tor dia gaya, aur naye traders ko is signal par long positions kholne ke liye mouqa mila. Baad mein, jodi ne 1.0856 ke darjaat ko par kiya, lekin agle nishan tak nahi pohanch saki, is liye long position ko sham ke kisi bhi waqt manvai tor par band kar diya ja sakta tha. Munafa kuch kareeb 20 pips ka tha, jo ke din ke hareefiyat sirf 44 pips the, is liye yeh ek khush-haal nateeja tha.

Jumeraat ko trading ke tajaweezat: Hourly chart par, nichli harkat qaim hai, lekin EUR/USD teesre din se upar sahi hui hai. Hum samajhte hain ke euro aur girna chahiye, kyun ke qeemat ab bhi zyada hai, aur duniyawi trend nichi hai. Naqad bazaar hamesha jodi ko ek logic ke taur par na dekhna chahta hai, aur kabhi kabhi, yeh be-wajah izafa dikhata hai. Is haftay ke zyadatar bunyadi aur maasharti factors jodi par bhari hona chahiye. Aaj, qeemat trend line se takra gayi hai toh phir bearish tijarat karna mohtaj ho sakta hai. Agar qeemat trend line ko tor deti hai, toh nichli harkat tor di jaye gi, aur jodi pehle wapis hat sakti hai phir izafa karte hue.