eur/usd

Euro ki trading ab bhi 1.08 ke darje se oopar hai, jo aam tor par khareedaron ko buland rawani ke liye ek mauqa deta hai ke upri harkat jari rakhen. Is waqiyat ka tasdeeq karne ke liye, hamein 1.08758 ke darje par toot phorna aur mazbooti dekhni hogi. Agar khareedaron ko is darje tak pohanchne ki kamyabi milti hai, to phir rasta mazeed 1.09419 ke mark tak khulta hai. Taakay forokhtkaron ko aik ziada pur sukoon neechay ki harkat ko barhane ki ijaazat mil sake, unhe pehle 1.07905 ke darje ko tor phorna aur mazbooti hasil karni chahiye. Pehla maqsood 1.07237 par hoga, aur agar hum us se agay mazbooti hasil kar lete hain, to girawat 1.06939 ke darje tak jaari reh sakti hai. EURUSD jori M30: Hafta ke dauran, farokht ke dakhil maqam ke liye pehla tajziya. Euro ki trading abhi bhi 1.08 ke darje se oopar hai, jo aam tor par khareedaron ko buland rawani ke liye ek mauqa deta hai ke upri harkat jari rakhen. Is waqiyat ka tasdeeq karne ke liye, hamein 1.08758 ke darje par toot phorna aur mazbooti dekhni hogi. Agar khareedaron ko is darje tak pohanchne ki kamyabi milti hai, to phir rasta mazeed 1.09419 ke mark tak khulta hai. Taakay forokhtkaron ko aik ziada pur sukoon neechay ki harkat ko barhane ki ijaazat mil sake, unhe pehle 1.07905 ke darje ko tor phorna aur mazbooti hasil karni chahiye. Pehla maqsood 1.07237 par hoga, aur agar hum us se agay mazbooti hasil kar lete hain, to



girawat 1.06939 ke darje tak jaari reh sakti hai. EURUSD jori M30: Hafta ke dauran, farokht ke dakhil maqam ke liye pehla tajziya. Aaj ke market mein southern direction ki taraf ek potential setback ka samna hai, jab tak ki laal level 1.0778 tak pohanch jaaye. Yeh level cancellation ka bais ban sakta hai, jo traders ke liye ek chinta ka vishay ho sakta hai. Mukhalif tor par, agar currency pair neeche ki taraf move karta hai aur sabz level 1.0725 tak pohanch jaata hai, toh yeh neeche ki taraf ke movement ka jari rehna sabit ho sakta hai. Yeh tajziyaat mukhtalif trading indicators ke madde nazar rakhte hue ki gayi hain. MACD indicator, jo ke zero level ke upar hai aur sabz rang ka hai, aur OsMA indicator ke zariye bhi yeh tajziyaat tasdeeq ki gayi hain. OsMA indicator mein pink line neela se ooper hai, jo ki neeche ki taraf ke movement ko darust kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ne US dollar ki taqat ke peechay tezi ke mahol mein maazi ke 1.06396 ke qareeb darajon par girne ki wajah se khaas tor par nichle dabao ka samna kiya, jo [timeframe specify nahi kiya gaya] naye darjat ke naye low ko darsata hai. Is niche ke rukh ko mukhtalif factors se jora ja sakta hai, jin mein pehli baat US dollar ki mazbooti ka jaari rehna hai. Karobarion ne Federal Reserve ki istaqlalat ko dobara ghoorna shuru kiya hai, khaaskar unka interest rates par qadmon ka moqa par roshni dalte hue.

Dollar ki mazbooti ke peechay ek barqiya soorat-e-hal ka sabab Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ka nazriya dobara ghoornay ka hai. Ibtidaai tor par, market participants ne ummid rakhi thi ke Fed ka assest purchase program jald hi kam kar diya jayega, jo ke monetary policy mein ikhtisaar ki nishaanakahi karta hai. Magar, haal ki taraqqiyan dikhate hain ke yeh kam karna pehle se tasveer ki gayi tareekh ke mukhaalif mei ho sakta hai, shayad December mein. Yeh dairi karne ne karobariyon ko unke positions ko adjust karne par majboor kiya, jo US dollar ke liye izafa demand mein numaya hosakta hai.

Federal Reserve ki interest rates par kaarwai ka bhi buhat bara kirdar hai market ke jazbat ko shaping mein. Historically low levels par interest rates ke saath, pehli tawaqo thi ke Fed jald hi apni monetary policy ko normalise karega. Magar, interest rate hike ke dairi hone ke signs ne dollar ki mazbooti ko dobara ghoorna shuru kiya, jisne isay euro ke barabar major currencies ke khilaf izaafa hasil karne par lead kiya hai.

Is ke ilawa, US Treasury yield curve ka steepening bhi US dollar ki mazbooti ko barhane mein kirdar ada karta hai. Jab lambe arse ke Treasury yields chhote arse ke yields ke mukable zyada hoti hain, to ye mazeed ba'ad ki future interest rates ki tawaqoat ka ishara deta hai, jo ke US mein capital inflows ko khich sakta hai, dollar ke qeemat ko barha kar.

EUR/USD pair ke liye manzar-e-aam ghair yaqeeni hai, kyunke kai factors iske raasta tasavur karte hain. Jabke US dollar ne global economic uncertainties, jaise ke geopolitical tensions aur inflation ke lehaz se, mazbooti dikhayi hai, eurozone ke andar bhi apne khatray hain. In mein dhimi economic growth, COVID-19 pandemic ke baqi asraat, aur European Union ke andar siyasi uncertainties shamil hain.

Is ke ilawa, euro ke baray mein market ke jazbat European Central Bank ke ird gird mutalliq pareshanion ka asar hai.

EUR/USD ka qeemat tafteesh mein hai: Aham mubahsirah darjno par 1.0600–1.0605 kshetr mein dekha ja raha hai.

EUR/USD ne Budh ke early European session mein 1.0625 tak phir se uthar liya hai. Jodi abhi bhi aham EMA ke neeche nakaratmak nazar hai; RSI indicator ghaat bhare kshetr mein hai. Shuruati sahara darjno ko 1.0600–1.0605 kshetr mein dekha ja raha hai; fori rukawat darjno ka samna 1.0710 par hoga.

EUR/USD jodi Budh ke early European trading hours mein taza saalana kamzori par 1.0600 ke taza saalane se 1.0625 ke aaspaas mein mamooli faida dikhata hai. Magar, mazeed uthar shayad mehdood ho sakta hai Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke dushmanana tajaweez aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke June mein sarfeen daromad karna shuru karne ki afwahon ke darmiyan. Sarmaya dan Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ke liye aur ECB President Lagarde ki taqreer ke liye taza seerat muntazir hain. Takneeki tor par, EUR/USD ne asli pair 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche rah kar nakaratmak stance ko barqarar rakha hai. Niche ki raftar ko Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke saath tasdiq milta hai, jo bearish kshetr 32 ke ird gird hai, yeh darust hai ke mazeed niche ki taraf raftar afzal nazar aata hai.

1.0600–1.0605 kshetr aham sahara darja major pair ke liye kaam karta hai, jisme Bollinger Band ke neeche ki had aur psychology level ke aik shaoor shamil hai. Mazeed janobi taraf, agla mubahsirah darja dekhne ke liye November 2 ki kam se kam 1.0565, phir 1.0500 round mark hai. Upar ki taraf, EUR/USD ka fori rukawat darja 1.0710 par 50-period EMA ke qareeb nazar aayega. Mazeed oopar ka filter 100-period EMA par 1.0756 par hai. Is darja ko giraftar tor par 1.0800 aur phir April 9 ki unchi par 1.0885 tak pohnchaega.

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe.

EUR/USD ka haal abhi kamzor lag raha hai aur mera khayal hai ke yeh mazeed gir sakta hai, jo ke Downtrend ki taraf ka safar jaari rakhne ke liye aik sathar numainda ho sakta hai. Raat ko yeh nazar aya ke forokhton ne qeemat barhane ki koshish kar rahe thay magar kharidari karne walon ko nakam banaya, lagta hai ke mombati phir se 1.0582 zone ki taraf giray gi. Mombati ki mojooda position jo ke abhi bhi 100 period simple moving average line ke neeche chal rahi hai, yeh ishara hai ke Eur/Usd jodi ke liye abhi bhi bearish taraf jane ka bara moqa hai. Shakhsan, main umeed karta hoon ke market peechle kuch hafton ke trend ke mutabiq bearish taraf jaye aur apna girne ka safar jaari rakhe jab tak market band na ho. Is tarah ke mauqon ke sath, mujhe lagta hai ke technical analysis ke natayej par based Sell positions par tawajjo dena zyada aaramdayak hai. Sell position kholne ke liye ghaat 1.0610 area ya mazeed neeche 1.0606 area ke qareeb shamil kia ja sakta hai.

Neeche ki taraf ka trend, jis ka Asian high 1.0626 tak barh gaya aur uske baad girawat ki had. 1.0657 ki growth target H4 timeframe ke liye rollback level ke tor par kaam karta hai, jis se zyada tar zigzag ka aghaz hota hai. Agar izaafi barh charh jaaye, to neeche ki taraf ka trend mansookh ho sakta hai, khaaskar 1.0663 ki kal ki bulandiyon ko update karke, jis se neeche ki taraf zigzag ka aghaz hota hai. Is tausee, jo pichle din ke dono intahaon ko update karta hai, 1.0638+-zone ki taraf wapas jasakti hai. Aaj ke kharidaron ka zyada tar intezar 1.0693 tak hai, lekin yeh ek door ki sambhavna hai. Kal, hum MA100 ka imtehaan dekh sakte hain, jabke aaj, MA50 ko barha kar aur qeemat ko barqarar rakhte hue, jo ke ab 1.0636 hai, kharidaron ke liye

EUR/USD pair ne Ameerika doler ki taqat ke peechay zor se tawajjuh miltay huay ek peechay wazahat ke doran dabaav ka samna kiya, jis mein pair 1.06396 ke qareeb ke lehron tak gir gaya, jis se ye ek naye low mark kar raha hai [waqt frame nahi diya gaya]. Is naye tawajjuh ka ek sabab Ameerika doler ki mazid mazbooti hai, jis mein Federal Reserve ki sadaqat ka ek barh chuka tareeqa shamil hai.

Doler ki taqat ke peechay ek barah-e-raast masla ka bhi ek bara hissa hai. Pehle to, market shirakat daron ne Federal Reserve ke aset khareedne ka program jald se jald band karne ka tawaqo kiya tha, jo ke maali siasat ko kathin karne ka ishara karta hai. Magar, haal ki taraqqiyan ye dikhate hain ke ye band ho sakta hai pehle se zyada, shayad December mein. Ye intizam ne investors ko apni positions ko adjust karne par majboor kiya hai, jis se Ameerika doler ki demand barh gayi hai.

Federal Reserve ki sadaqat ke hawale se sastaat darwazay ki bhi ek ahmiyat reh chuki hai. Haalaanki, interest rates ko itihaas ke sab se kam darjay par rakhne ka pehle se ek tawaqo thi, lekin mukhtalif dohraane ki timelines ki ashkaal ko dekh kar interest rate ki tezabi ke late hone ki soorat mein re-evaluation hui hai, jis se ye apni qadar euro jese baray currencies ke mukhaalif karta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Ameerika ke Treasury yield curve ke steepening ne Ameerika doler ki mazbooti mein madad ki hai. Jab ke lambi muddat ke Treasury yields chote muddat ke yields ke nisbat barhte hain, to ye zyada aane wali baqayaat ke lehaz se umeedwar dar ke intezaaraat ko darsata hai, jo ke Ameerika ki taraf se pesay ka atraaf ko bharatay hain, jis se ye doler ki qeemat ko behtar banata hai. Is phenomenon ki mushahida gayi hai jab yield curve ne dohrane shorat ko izafah kiya, jis se EUR/USD pair par dabaav bhi barha.

Pair ke liye mustaqbil ka manzar ghumsum hai, jab ke mukhtalif factors uski rah ka markaz hain. Jab ke Ameerika doler ne aalam-e-maashriyat ki mujassim takleefat ke muqable mein apni taaqat dikhayi hai, jis mein siyasi tensions aur hasool ke hawaalay se afraad ki paas ki jaa rahi hai, eurozone bhi apni khattar se guzar rahi hai. In mein dheemi maashriyat ki rukawat, COVID-19 ka asar aur European Union ke andar siyasi uncertainties shaamil hain.

Is ke ilawa, market ka manzar euro ke hawale se European Central Bank ki maali siasat ke aas paas ki rehaiyat se mutasir hota hai. Haalaanki, ECB ne maashriyat ki behtari ko support karne ke liye ek raah daal rakhai hai, lekin is ke asaar ke moamlaat mein uske tajurbaat ke hawale se shubaat hain ke ye uski tadbeerat mein asar karegi.

Is ke ilawa, aalam-e-geopolitical, jese ke Ameerika aur China ke darmiyaan nafrat ke imaraton mein ya Middle East ke jangon mein, bhi investors ke jazbaat aur currency flows ko asar andaz karte hain. In tensions ki kisi bhi barhao ki halat mein, aik suraksha ki raah takhmeen kar sakti hai, jo ke euro ki bhi karguzari se amdaad de sakti hai, euro ko nuqsandeh asas par behtar karte hue.

Mukhtasar tor par, EUR/USD pair ne mukhtalif factors ki wajah se dabaav ka samna kiya hai, jin mein Ameerika doler ki mazbooti, Federal Reserve ki sadaqat ke nazar-e-maashi ka tasalsul, aur Ameerika ke Treasury yield curve ka dohrao shamil hai. Jabke mustaqbil ki taraf shubaat mufeed hain, jari rehte hain maali siasat, maashriyat ki data releases aur geopolitical events jo ke market ki manzil par asar andaz hotay hain aur currency movements ko mutasir karte hain. Investors in factors ko nazdeek se nigrani karte hain taake EUR/USD pair ke liye manzar ko samajh sakein aur apni positions ko mutabiq adjust kar sakein.

H-4 Timeframe Analysis
Hello, sab ko salaam. Ummeed hai aap sab theek hain. Pichle hafte, mujhe udasgi hui aur maine forum mein koi post update nahi ki. Is hafte, main apna kaam theek se shuru karunga. Chaliye, hum euro ka chart discuss karte hain. EUR/USD ne apni 2023 ki low, 1.0447, ko touch karne ke baad tezi se recover kiya hai. Jab pair ke gains ek naye teen mahine ke high, 1.0964, par ruk gaye, to kharidari pressure ne tez giravat ko roka, aur nazdeeki oscillators ko upar ki taraf le gaye. Agar kharidari dabav jaari rahe, toh price dobara haal hi mein reject ki gayi area, 1.0564, ko retest kar sakti hai. Is level ko cross karne se pair ko February ke high, 1.0632, ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Agar yeh level bhi toota, to dhyaan 1.0694 ke resistance par jaa sakta hai, jo April mein teen baar hold kiya gaya tha aur pair ke gains ko roka tha. Yahaan chart hai neeche:



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Warna, agar koi retracement hoti hai, toh price June-July ke support, 1.0432, ko test kar sakti hai. Is area ko todne se rasta khul sakta hai 1.0365 ki taraf, jo September mein support aur resistance ki tarah kaam kiya tha. Is position ko na nibha paana agle giravat ki taraf le ja sakta hai, 1.0393 area ki taraf aur phir May mein set ki gayi low, 1.0334, ko test karne ki taraf. Chhoti si baat hai, haal ke giravat ke bawajood, EUR/USD mazboot hai aur apni nazdeeki recovery ko dobara shuru karne ke liye acche tarah se tayyar hai. Lekin, agar naye highs tak nahi pahuncha jaata hai, toh ek neeche ki correction ka khatra hai. Yahaan chart hai neeche:

Current market sentiment: EUR/USD

Chalo baat karte hain mojooda pricing rawayat ki EUR/USD currency pair ki. Jodi ab bhi 1.0606 ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai, jo ek neeche ki trend ko darust karti hai aur 1.0700 ki taraf sudhaar ho sakta hai. Hum H1 time frame aur Price Action method ka istemaal karne ki salah dete hain is trend ko analyze karne ke liye, "bullish absorption" candle pattern par tawajjo dijiye. Humne daily pivot par 1.0628 par wapas aaya aur stop ko adha kar diya, kam se kam 25 points ke izafe ke liye nishana banate hue, jismein se 17 points pehle se mil gaye hain. Nazdeek ke pivots 1.0648 par hain, aur ADR indicator 1.0664 ko zyada ahmiyat deta hai, takneeki tajziye ki ahmiyat ko zahir karte hue halki iqtisadi calendar ki wajah se. Mojudah mein EURUSD active buyers par asar daal rahi hai, jahan 1.0617 support level ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Is level ke upar kharidne ke orders lagane, jo ab 1.0626 par hain, aas paas kaam kar sakte hain jo nazdeek ka resistance 1.0663 par ho sakta hai. Hum mojoodah levels par bechnay ki positions ko discourage karte hain.



Magar, aik chhota lot bechnay ke order 1.0669 ke upar ghor kiya ja sakta hai, aam tor par chhote arse ke liye, taqreeban tehqiqati harkaton ke doran. Jodi aik taraf ko trend mein ghoom rahi hai, aik impulse ke saath break out ki taraf hawa banane ki koshish kar rahi hai, jismein 1.0573-1.0588 ko nishana banaya ja sakta hai neeche ki trend mein, jahan 1.0665 par mumkinah ghalat rukawat ho sakti hai. Bulls ne apne positions ko kal bhi qaim rakha, jo market mein stability ka ehsaas dete hain. Maamoli asar wale khabron ke ijlas ke bawajood, overall market sentiment musbat raha. Yeh ishara deta hai ke investors mojooda market shara'it par aitmaad rakhte hain aur unhe chhoti arse ke khabron ke asar mein asani se nahi aate. Kharidne ki zone mein tasdeeq 1.0653 par hai, jahan 1.0705 aur haftawar ka bonus target 1.0743 par hota hai. Support 1.0596 par hai, jo guzarnay par tajziye ki tehqiqat ka haq deta hai. Ibtidaai tayyari shayad kal ki gayi thi, ek oopar ki harkat ka intezar karte hue.

EURUSD
Keemat ab ek resistance area mein trade kar rahi hai, jo upper channel lines hai, jo teen muntazam candles ke liye upward wave ko band kiya jis mein keemat upper channel line se phir se uchhal gayi. Din ke doran, keemat ek keemat ka samundar ke andar trade karne laga hai jo do channels se nateeja hai, ek to bullish hai laal rang mein, jo kal ke movement ko darust karta hai. Doosra bearish hai, neela rang mein, jo pichle do dino ke dauran keemat ka movement darust karta hai. Keemat triangle ke andar chali gayi, phir isse oopar se toor diya, isse dobara test kiya, aur phir se uchhal gayi. Is tarah, keemat ki koshishen zahir haiDoosra bearish hai, neela rang mein, jo pichle do dino ke dauran keemat ka movement darust karta hai. Keemat triangle ke andar chali gayi, phir isse oopar se toor diya, isse dobara test kiya, aur phir se uchhal gayi. Is tarah, keemat ki koshishen zahir hai ke channels ko oopar ki taraf torne mein kamyab ho sakti hain. Is surat mein, jodi khareedne ke liye maujood hogi jab tak haftawarana pivot level 1.0716 na ho. Mehangai ke figures ke elaan se pehle Eurozone ke liye, jo Europe Central Bank ki policy ke mustaqbil ke expectations par tawajjo ka sabab banega, jo haal hi mein Forex market mein Euro ki karobaar par asar daal chuka hai, jabkekamyab ho sakti hain. Is surat mein, jodi khareedne ke liye maujood hogi jab tak haftawarana pivot level 1.0716 na ho. Mehangai ke figures ke elaan se pehle Eurozone ke liye, jo Europe Central Bank ki policy ke mustaqbil ke expectations par tawajjo ka sabab banega, jo haal hi mein Forex market mein Euro ki karobaar par asar daal chuka hai, jabke umeedain barh gayi hain qareebi taarikh ki munfasilat se, jisme Bank ne darust kiya hai. Amreeki Federal Reserve ne jodi ki keemat par mazboot farokht le aayi. Société Générale ke senior forex market analyst Kate Juckes ka kehna hai ke US dollar ke mazboot hone ke nateejay meintaarikh ki munfasilat se, jisme Bank ne darust kiya hai. Amreeki Federal Reserve ne jodi ki keemat par mazboot farokht le aayi.
Société Générale ke senior forex market analyst Kate Juckes ka kehna hai ke US dollar ke mazboot hone ke nateejay mein Euro ke qeemat ke aur girawat ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai, jo mulk ki afzalati ma'ashiyat se juda hai, jo darmiyanay arsey mein ek interest rate kaatne ke imkaan ko khatam karta hai... Amreeki Central Bank dwara. Analyst ye bhi kehte hain, keh: "Do hafton ke doran mazboot se mazboot Amreeki ma'ashi data aur umeed se zyada mehangai ke numbers ne nazriyati umeedon komein Euro ke qeemat ke aur girawat ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai, jo mulk ki afzalati ma'ashiyat se juda hai, jo darmiyanay arsey mein ek interest rate kaatne ke imkaan ko khatam karta hai... Amreeki Central Bank dwara. Analyst ye bhi kehte hain, keh: "Do hafton ke doran mazboot se mazboot Amreeki ma'ashi data aur umeed se zyada mehangai ke numbers ne nazriyati umeedon ko kam kar diya hai regarding Fed easing qareebi arsey mein, aur hamari umeedain darust ki gayi hain, ke 2025 mein shuru hoga ek easing cycle ki talash."


[ATTACH=CONFIG]n12914035[/ATTACH]

, tajaratik tanazaat, aur global uncertainties tajirana ehsasaat par bhaari asar daal sakti hain, jis se currency values mein nazar aane wale farqat-e-wazeh ho sakti hain. Haal hi mein, euro ne mukhtalif challenges ka samna kiya hai Eurozone ke andar siyasi be-atmiyatiyon ke natayej mein, jese ke ongoing Brexit negotiations, Italian debt ke mutaliq pareshaniyan, aur member states ke darmiyan fiscal strategies ke lehranaat. Ye uncertainties euro par dabaav barhane ka sabab bane, jis se major currencies, khaaskar US dollar ke muqable mein izafa shiddat se hota hai. US dollar ka darja jahan har taraf primary reserve currency ke tor par hai, usay global financial markets mein ek khaas position hasil hai. US monetary policies, economic indicators, aur siyasi waqiyat ke tabadlon ka asar aam tor par currency markets par wazeh farqat daal sakti hai, jis se trading dynamics, jese ke EUR/USD pair, mein asar hota hai.
EUR/USD currency pair market sentiment ka aik ahem meter hai, jo Eurozone aur United States ke darmiyan arazi maliyyat ke istehqaaq ko darust karta hai. Traders aur investors mukhtalif factors ko ghor se janchte hain, jese ke economic data releases, central bank decisions, siyasi waqiyat, aur prevailing market sentiment, taki future movements ko EUR/USD currency pair mein paish-e-nazar kar sakein. Har ek ye maamoolat currency market dynamics ko shakl dene wale jatil tarzeen mein hissa hai.

Asal mein, EUR/USD currency pair mukhtalif influences ke liye naqis rehta hai, jese ke economic indicators, central bank policies, siyasi waqiyat, aur prevailing market sentiment. Haal hi mein German inflation data ke weakened hone ke mutaliq speculation ne market ke ongoing discussions mein mazeed complexity ko izafa diya hai. Ye jatil factors mil kar currency market dynamics ki mukhtalif wusat ko numayan karte hain.

Haal hi mein ECB interest rate cuts ke mutaliq shakhsiyat ne euro par dabaav barha diya hai, jis se investors Eurozone aur United States se inflation data, sath hi US ki ISM Services PMI ko bhi ghor se monitor kar rahe hain. Traders ek plex landscape mein navigate kar rahe hain aur in factors ko tajjub se janch kar ke forex market mein maujooda opportunities ko giraft karna chahte hain.

H4 timeframe par zoom karne se market mein ane wale ek impending correction ke indication nazar aate hain. Magar, 1-hour timeframe par, 1.0790 aur 1.0800 par rukawaton ka samna mumkin hai. Ye ishaara deta hai ke chahe ek correction move ka izafa ho, lekin ek mazboot uptrend aaj ke liye namumkin hai. 1.0800 ke mark tak pohanchna bhi mushkil hai, agar southern trend ka mukammal ulta na ho. Aise halat mein, peechli minimum ko update kiye bina ek downward zigzag shuru ho sakta hai. Mukhtasir tor par, aaj ke trading outlook southern sentiment ke jari rehne ki taraf mael karta hai, jab tak key intraday levels par tasdeeq na mil jaaye. Jabke ek correction bade timeframe par intezar kiya ja raha hai, chhotay timeframes par rukawaton ka samna ho sakta hai jo ke ziada upward momentum ko rukawat daal sakti hain. Traders ko hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur unke strategies ko tabdeel karne ki zaroorat hai taake maujooda market conditions ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Currency trading ke shor mein, EURUSD jodi haal he mein neeche ki taraf utar chuki hai, apne chalte hue trend mein naye zeenith tak pohanch gayi hai. Magar, is giravat ke darmiyan, aik moqa ka chamakdar pehraan nazr aa raha hai jo aaj hi se shayad zaahir ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, potenti gains ki khinchavat ke darmiyan, ehtiyaat ki nishani chandni rehti hai, jo is taiz manzar ko sahi tareeqay se guzarnay ki hidayat deti hai. Is taabirati keemat
ke manzar mein, aik mukhtalif ilaqa saamne aaya hai, jo tehqeeqati traders ke liye faida mand dakhilon ki talash mein khaas hai. Ye zone, apni munfarid keemat ke waade ke saath, investors ko mauqa deta hai ke moaser transactions mein shamil hone ka waqt chunne ka. Magar, is zahirin fayde ke darmiyan, aik mukhlis challenge bohot bara samne hai, jis ne amliyat par sailaab e ghum ka saya daal diya hai.



Ye challenge un wazeer hai jo upar zikr shuda zone ke hadood mein numainda hai, jisay aik ahem qataar 1.0653 ka qawl tajweed karta hai. Ye raqami nishan aik aham muqam ada karta hai, jo aik bunyadi mor hai, agar isay tor diya gaya to ye bazaar ki dynamics mein aik rukh ko tabdeel kar sakta hai. Yaqeenan, is mor par guzarnay ki tawaqo se technical breakdown ke khadshat paida hoti hai, jahan mukhtalif patterns aur trends ko khaas tor par mutasir kia ja sakta hai. Jab traders is khatarnak manzar ko taabir karte hain, to ehtiyaat ka farz hamesha zahir hota hai. Halankeh, sabz zone ke khush aamdeed keemat ka khubsoorat manzar jazbati ho sakta hai, lekin is par ahtiyaat se qareebi se qareebi mukhtalif khatray hain jo is jama mein shamil hain. Yaqeenan, munafa ke mauqe ke darmiyan barabar ko khatra bhi hai, jo bazaar ke parvaaz mein faa'ili approach ka jhoota hai.

Euro aur US Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair ne Thursday ke early Asian trading mein thori izafa dekha aur 1.0672 tak pohanch gaya. Is izafe ka sabab US Dollar par bechnay ki dabao mein kami aur zyada risk-positive trading mahol hai. Investors ab Thursday ke baad late economic data releases ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jin mein haftawarwi be-rozgar claims, Federal Philadelphia Index, Consumer Sentiment Index, aur household sales ke data shamil hain. Ye reports Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke mumkinat par mazeed wazihaat faraham karenge. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke comments jo Tuesday ko aaye aur jo central bank ke 2% inflation target ko paane mein itminan ki kami ka izhar karte hain, ishara dete hain ke rate cuts shayad pehle se zyada waqt lenge. Ye hawkish remarks short term mein US Dollar ko kuch support faraham kar sakte hain aur EUR/USD pair ke izafe ko mehdood kar sakte hain. Market ki expectations, CME Fedwatch tool ke zariye, abhi taqreeban 71% chance dikhate hain ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rate ko kam karne mein kamyab ho sakti hai.


Technically, EUR/USD pair kamzor momentum dikhata hai, Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne sab se kam level par 30 aur MACD indicator zero line ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Agar bechnay ki dabao mazeed barhe, to pehla support level dekhne ke liye 1.0515 hai, jo ke November 1st ko pohanchi sab se kam point tha. Upar ki taraf, pair ko 1.0655 par resistance ka samna hai pehle se pehle 1.0695 aur 1.0720 ke darmiyan taqatwar resistance zone se guzarnay se pehle. A broken upward trend line aur 1.0760 ke price level bhi resistance points ka kaam kar sakte hain jab tak pair 20-day moving average tak pohanchta hai 1.0780 par. Baray tasawar se, Euro US Dollar ke khilaf neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, aik symmetrical triangle pattern ko tor diya gaya hai, jo mazeed nuqsan ke darwazay ko kholta hai. Mazeed, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Bostjan Vasalic ne ishara kiya hai ke agar arzi taur par economic contraction jari rahe to jama karne ke interest rates ko saal ke end tak 4% se 3% tak kam kar diya ja sakta hai. Interest rates mein izafa ya kam hona bari currency pairs ke movement ko mutasir karne ka bara asar hai. ECB ka dovish rukh Euro ki kamzori aur EUR/USD pair ke liye rukh ka parcha bana hai.

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe.

EUR/USD ka haal abhi kamzor lag raha hai aur mera khayal hai ke yeh mazeed gir sakta hai, jo ke Downtrend ki taraf ka safar jaari rakhne ke liye aik sathar numainda ho sakta hai. Raat ko yeh nazar aya ke forokhton ne qeemat barhane ki koshish kar rahe thay magar kharidari karne walon ko nakam banaya, lagta hai ke mombati phir se 1.0582 zone ki taraf giray gi. Mombati ki mojooda position jo ke abhi bhi 100 period simple moving average line ke neeche chal rahi hai, yeh ishara hai ke Eur/Usd jodi ke liye abhi bhi bearish taraf jane ka bara moqa hai. Shakhsan, main umeed karta hoon ke market peechle kuch hafton ke trend ke mutabiq bearish taraf jaye aur apna girne ka safar jaari rakhe jab tak market band na ho. Is tarah ke mauqon ke sath, mujhe lagta hai ke technical analysis ke natayej par based Sell positions par tawajjo dena zyada aaramdayak hai. Sell position kholne ke liye ghaat 1.0610 area ya mazeed neeche 1.0606 area ke qareeb shamil kia ja sakta hai.

Neeche ki taraf ka trend, jis ka Asian high 1.0626 tak barh gaya aur uske baad girawat ki had. 1.0657 ki growth target H4 timeframe ke liye rollback level ke tor par kaam karta hai, jis se zyada tar zigzag ka aghaz hota hai. Agar izaafi barh charh jaaye, to neeche ki taraf ka trend mansookh ho sakta hai, khaaskar 1.0663 ki kal ki bulandiyon ko update karke, jis se neeche ki taraf zigzag ka aghaz hota hai. Is tausee, jo pichle din ke dono intahaon ko update karta hai, 1.0638+-zone ki taraf wapas jasakti hai. Aaj ke kharidaron ka zyada tar intezar 1.0693 tak hai, lekin yeh ek door ki sambhavna hai. Kal, hum MA100 ka imtehaan dekh sakte hain, jabke aaj, MA50 ko barha kar aur qeemat ko barqarar rakhte hue, jo ke ab 1.0636 hai, kharidaron ke liye ahem hai.

Euro ko US Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair ne Jumeraat ke early Asian trading mein halka izafa dekha aur 1.0672 tak pohanch gaya Is izafe ka sabab US Dollar par bechnay ke dabaav mein kami aur zyada risk-positive trading environment hai Ab investors Thursday ke baad mazeed ma'ashi dawaamon ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein haftawarana bayrozgaar claims, Federal Philadelphia Index, Consumer Sentiment Index aur ghar ke farokht par ma’aloomaat shamil hain Ye reports Federal Reserve ke daam ghataane ki mumkinat par mazeed roshni daalenge Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke Tuesday ke comments jin mein central bank ke 2% inflation target ko haasil karne mein itminaan ki kami ka ishaara tha, yeh suggest karte hain ke daam ghataane ke intezar ka mudda pehle ke mutawaqqa hai Ye hawkish tajawuzen chand dairay ke liye US Dollar ko kuch support faraham kar sakti hain aur EUR/USD pair ke izafaat ko mukhtalif qisam se mehdood kar sakti hain Bazar ke tawaqoat, jo CME Fedwatch tool ke zariye afsar hai, ab Federal Reserve ke daam ghataane ki taqreeban 71% ke kareeb mumkinat ko point karti hain

Takneekan, EUR/USD pair kamzor momentum ka muzahir kar raha hai, jahan Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne kamzor tareen darajay par 30 aur MACD indicator zero line ke neeche trade kar raha hai Agar bechnay ke dabaav mazeed taiz hota hai, to pehla support level jo dekha jaye ga woh 1.0515 hai, jo ke 1st November ko chand dairay tak pohanch gaya tha Upar ki taraf, pair ko 1.0655 par rukawat ka samna hai, phir behtar rukawat zone ke darmiyan 1.0695 aur 1.0720 ke darmiyan hai Ek tootay hue upar ki trend line aur 1.0760 ke darje ka bhi rukawat ke hissa ban sakte hain, pair 20-day moving average tak pohanchne se pehle Ek baraai nazar se, Euro US Dollar ke khilaf ek neeche ki rah par lagta hai, jo ek symmetrical triangle pattern ko toornay se door farakh kholta hai, jo mazeed nuqsaan ka darwaza kholta hai Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ke policymaker Bostjan Vasalic ne ishaara kiya hai ke agar ma’ashi kamzori jari rahe to deposits par daam ko tehat 4% ke 3% tak giraya ja sakta hai agle saal ke aakhir mein Daam dhaar mein izafa ECB ki dovish stance ne Euro ki kamzori ko faraham kiya hai aur EUR/USD pair ke liye rukawaton ka jazba paida kiya hai

EUR USD H1


Ab bhi mazboot imkaan hai ke trend ke peeche izafa izafa hota rahe ga, halaanki sudharne wale giravat ke baad bhi. Kharidari karne wale behtar shaffaf fariyad ke liye talaash kar rahe hain. Agar 1.0800 ke local minimum se dobara chadh kar izafa hota hai aur wahan se izafa hota hai, to izafa jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Is ke saath hi, wahan bhi ek mehdood quantity ki kharidari ki hukumat thi. Is market ke daraje ka bhi yeh ek pro-trading mahol hai. Giravat mojoodah se aage bhi ja sakti hai, lekin agar mojoodah se giravat jaari rahe, to kharidari phir bhi ki ja sakti hai. Agar hum jald hi 1.0765 ke local maximum ke upar se todte hain aur is ke upar jam hojate hain, to yahan ek achha signal milne par hum kharidari shuru kar sakte hain. Izafa mumkin hai agar mojoodah staron se halki sudhar ke baad jaari rahe. Agar hum 1.0750 ke upar tod sakte hain aur is ke upar jam hojate hain, to hume mazeed dekhna chahiye, kyun ke hum agar is ke upar tod sakte hain.






Agar 1.0867 ke local maximum ke range ka jhoota breakout hojata hai, to yeh keemat hai ke aap apni behtari ko bechna chahte hain. Mojudah trend jald hi jaari rahega, jise chhodkar, jald hi 1.0950 ke range tak ja sakte hain, agar mojoodah trend jaari rahe. Agar share ki keemat dobara 1.0800 ke range tak gir jati hai, jahan trade mojood hai, to izafa dobara shuru ho sakta hai, aur keemat phir se chadh sakti hai. Jab market ke keemat 1.0885 ke range ke doran chhoti sudhar ke doran aas pass aaye, to ek kharidari signal nazr ayega jab market ke harkat se kharidari signal utpann hoga. Signal bullish hai jab ye 1.0865 ko par kar ke uske upar jam hojata hai. Ek indication bhi hai ke keemat jald hi girne wali hai, jo ke 1.0720 ke aas paas ke local maximum range se ek jhoota breakout hoga. Halaanki, is waqt, yeh option pehle se hi

EUR/USD Technical Analysis.

EURUSD pair haal he mein neeche gir gaya hai, apni musalsal trend mein ek naya had tak pohanch gaya hai. Magar, is girawat ke darmiyan, aik maujooda mouqa aik kheerati keemat se bharpoor ilaqay mein ubharta hai, jo aaj hi shayad zahir ho sakta hai. Lekin, potenti faiday ki kheesh mein, aik ehtiyaati note par amal ki zaroorat hai, jo is aasoodgi se bhara manzar mein sahih raasta talash karne ki hidayat deta hai. Is tawazun ke manzar mein, aik makhsoos ilaqa ubharta hai, jo dana traders ko fayde-mand dakhli nuktaa par dakhil hone ki mojoodgi se numaya hai. Ye ilaqa, apni maqbool keemat ki dhamak se investors ko bulata hai, jo moqa barqarar karne ke liye raqam se moheet waqt par amli muamlaat mein shaamil hone ki umeed rakhte hain. Lekin, is zahir faiday ke darmiyan, aik mazboot challenge bari sannata ke darwazon mein nazar aata hai, jis ne karwatein maloom ki hain. Ye challenge pesh karta hai main neeche kisi quote ka eham hissa, jo 1.0653 hai.



Mujhe kisi tarah se abhi bhi 1.0558 ke ilaqe ko kuch ehtiyaat ke sath dekh raha hai. Main ne rozana ka chart dekha hai, jis mein 1.0530 tak ka range hai, jo aap ne zahir kiya hai se bhi kam hai, lekin shayad koi pullback ke zariye yahan tak aane ki umeed hai, jo main apne faide ke liye istemal kar sakta hoon. Is doran, main ne din ka chart dekha hai aur samjha hai ke sab raste FE 100 - 138.2 ke ilaqay mein pohanchte hain, aur ye 1.0530 hai. Hum kisi surat mein yahan aayenge, lekin jo humein ulajhta hai wo data aur barhte hue geopolitical tensions hain. Musbat US ki retail sales ki figures ne dollar ki maang ko buland kar diya. Waqt ke saath Eurozone, mukhtalif surat-e-haal ka samna hai: mahangi darjaat mein kami lekin ek sakht ma'arif ki economy. Ye ECB ki June mein aik interest rate cut ko signal karta hai, jo Euro ko dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor kar deta hai.