eur/usd

EUR/USD H1:

EUR/USD ke price movements par asar daalne wale kai factors hain. Ek ahem pehlu ka tawajjo dena wazeh hai: jari rehne wale geo-political tensions, jo ke bharak sakta hain aur market ko uljhan mein daal sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, maali indicators jaise ke inflation rates, rozgar ki shiraa'at, aur central bank policies investor sentiment aur market ki taraf daoraan e rukh mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Technical analysis qeemat ki harkaton aur support aur resistance levels ke mutaliq ahem wazeh faraham kar sakta hai. Moving averages, trend lines, aur chart patterns jaise key technical indicators ka jaaiza lenay se, traders apni trades ke liye dakhil aur nikalne ke maqamat ka tajziya kar sakte hain. Risk management darust hai rahzanat mein muthalliq volatile markets mein. Traders ko apni risk bardasht ki had ka shorah zarur samjhtay hue munasib risk management strategies ko amal mein laina chahiye, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur position sizing, taake unka maal e matli ko ahem nuqsan se mehfooz rakha ja sake. Is ke ilawa, global waqiyat aur market ki khabron se mutaliq maloomat hona faisla kun trading decisions ka buniyadi hissa hai. Siyasi, maali, aur maeeshati taqatwar mulk ki taza khabron ka tabadla kar ke, traders market ke jawabat ko qabal az aana samajh sakte hain aur apni strategies ko mutabiq kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD H4:

Aur sarfeen e bazaar ke darmiyan anay wale waqiyat mein wabaad ka izafa hone ka ihtimal hai, lekin mojooda soch e rukh ahtiyaat bhari nazar hai. Market participants Almaniya se maali data release aur American trading session ke doraan mustaqbil ki khatirat par nazar rakh rahe hain. Ye data points global maeeshat ki sehat ka andaza lagane ke liye ahem hain aur investor behavior ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Eurozone ka sab se bara maeeshat Almaniya, is wakt aurat ki taraf se economic performance mein ahem harkat karta hai. Almaniya ke maali indicators mein kisi bhi ghair mutawaqa tabdeeli ya farq forecasts se ripple effects ko maali asas par asar andaz ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, American trading session ke doraan waqiyat, khaaskar technology, finance, aur energy jaise ahem sectors mein hotay hain, market sentiment par unke asar ke liye khatirat se nazar rakha ja raha hai. Geo-political events, trade tensions, aur central bank policies ke ird gird ghumrah halat aur cautious outlook investors ke darmiyan shamil hain. Jabke short-term fluctuations mumkin hain, lekin overall tone ikhtiyaarat aur tayar ho jana hai jo mustaqbil ke market trends ke jawab mein hai. Traders ko maloomat hasil karne, hushyarana amal, aur apni strategies ko dhaanpne ke liye mashwarat di ja rahi hai zehreela markaziyat ke muqam par tabdeeli hui markaziyat ke samne.

Aaj hum EUR/USD pair ko D1 waqt frame par dekh rahe hain, aur hum dekh sakte hain ke price mein kuch nuqsan ho raha hai bina 1.0810 ke darje ko paar karne ke, aakhirkaar 1.0710 ke darje ko khatam karke zameen haar gaya hai. Is liye, mojooda price action 1.0730 ke support level price ke ird gird ikhata honay ki isharaat deti hai, thori price movements ziada tawazun ke saath li ja rahi hain. EMA 50, khas tor par, bohot directional movement paida kar chuki hai, mutabiqan aik technical nature ka bohot bara signal banai hai: SMA 100 ke saath mout ka cross.



Bechoun ki favor mein numaya taizi se kami tasdiq karta hai ke unka ikhtiyar EUR/USD pair ke trading direction ko define karne mein hai. Indicator histogram Awesome Oscillator (AO) aur RSI ka volume check karna tasdiq karta hai ke momentum mein kami hai downtrend se indicator level 0 line ki taraf badh raha hai. Aise momentum mein kami bechoun ki dabaav mein asani ki ishaarat de sakti hai. Is liye, buyers 1.0750 ya EMA 100 ke darjat ki taraf ziada prices ko dabane ka irada karenge, waise hi ke stochastic indicator parameter mein mazid tawajjuh nazar aati hai jo overbought zone ke neeche cross karne ki taraf isharaat karta hai. Ye cross aik qareebi muddat mein neechay ki momentum ka dobara shuru hone ke imkaan ki ishaarat deta hai. Is liye, traders ko price movements, zaroori support ya resistance levels, aur technical indicators ki monitoring ke saath trade karna mashwara diya jata hai jo unhe EUR/USD pair ke mojooda dynamics mein mumkinah mouqe ko samajhne mein madad kar sakta hai. Traders ko market conditions ke saath narmi se amal karke behtareen trading nateeja hasil karne ke liye apne strategies ko tabdeel karne ki salahiyat rakhni chahiye. Aapka din achha guzray.

Euro ki chand lamhaat ki bulandi peer ko taiz US maali data aur barhte hue siyasi tensions ne foran daba diya. Musbat US retail sales ki shumar karne wali figures ne dollar ki darkhwast ko uchhaal diya. Eurozone, durust inflation lekin ek mandi mizaj maeeshat ka muqabla kar raha hai. Ye ECB ki taraf se June mein interest rate kaatne ki mumkin tawun ki ishaarat hai, jo Euro ko dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor banati hai. Aag mein tail daalne ke liye, Middle East ke tanazaat ne taqat hasil ki, jo investors ko safe-haven dollar ki taraf le gaye. Technical indicators bhi Euro ke mumkin giravat ki taraf ishaarat dete hain.
RSI ek saaf raah ki kami ka ishaarat deta hai, jabke Stochastic indicator oversold ilaqa mein chala gaya hai. Ye ek mazeed Euro ki qeemat giravat ka sabab ban sakta hai, jab bears EUR/USD jori ko 1.0727-1.0735 ilaqa ki taraf khenchne ki koshish karenge. Ye ilaqa support ke levels ka ek markaz hai, jo ek peechle bulandi aur ek ahem Fibonacci retracement level shamil hai. Is zone ke neeche girne se naye 2024 ke adna darje tay ho sakte hain aur Euro ko 1.0635 ki test ka samna bhi ho sakta hai.
Lekin, Euro ke liye abhi bhi umeed hai. Bulls EUR/USD jori ko 1.0800-1.0873 ilaqa ke ooper le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ye ilaqa ahem hai kyunki yahan key moving averages maujood hain, jo agar par kar liye jayein to ye ek mumkin reversal ka ishaarat ho sakta hai. Is resistance ke upar safal tor par guzar jaane se late December 2023 mein qaim ki gayi downtrend line ki dobara jaanch ho sakti hai.
Agar bulls is rukawat ko paar kar sakte hain, to unka nazar andar ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai, yani 1.1032-1.1095 ka ahem resistance range. Asal mein, Euro ka mustaqbil US maeeshat ki nisbat aur Middle East tanazaat ki raah ki taqat par mabni hai. Musbat US data aur barhte hue tanazaat dollar ko pasand karte hain, jabke in ilaqon mein tabdeeli Euro ka punaruddhar rasta khole sakti hai. Anay wale hafton mein, ye tay hoga ke EUR/USD jori ne akhir mein kis raah par qadam rakha.

EUR/USD pair ke powerful movements ka waqt aya hai, jahan aham resistance levels 1.0806 aur 1.0865 behad ahem hain. Traders ke liye sabar aur durusti ka istemal zaroori hai taake yeh muhim maqami marhala tay karein. Is stage par li gayi faisla agle trade ke rukh par gehra asar dal sakta hai. Halankeh pair ko is resistance level se guzarne ka potential hai aur 1.9007 ki taraf unchaiein choone ka potential hai, magar yeh nateeja mukhtalif factors par depend karta hai jese market ki halat aur prices ka reaction, khaas taur par north ki mukhtalif maqasid ke hawale se, khas tor par intelligence developments ke context mein. Marketers ko in variables par nazr rakhni chahiye taake woh inform decision lain.
Dosri taraf, agar price 1.0696 ke qareeb support level par hai, toh naya scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke yeh ek consolidation period shuru ho is level ke neeche, pehle se niche utaar chal ko dobara shuru hone se pehle. Yeh pattern price ko moqoof hone mein taqat hasil karne deta hai integration phase mein pehle se tayyar hote hue ki woh dobara neeche utaar chal ke liye jari rakhe. Isi tarah, agar price 1.0657 ke qareeb support level par hai, toh ek aur mumkin scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke yeh ek mukhtalif consolidation period shuru ho is level ke neeche, pehle se niche utaar chal ko dobara shuru hone se pehle. Traders ko chaukanna rahna chahiye aur market developments aur price action ke trends ke jawab mein apne trading strategies ko tabdeel karna chahiye.

Akhri mein, EUR/USD pair ki mojooda movement traders ke liye stable aur dynamic trading environment pesh kar rahi hai. Resistance aur critical support ke level ko tajziya karke, market ki halat ke baray mein maloomat hasil karke, aur apne approach ko adjust karke, traders ko faisle lene ki azadi hai taake woh munasib aur moqaatdar faislay kar sakein signals ke adhaar par.

EUR/USD
Geopolitical masael euro/dollar jodi ke qeemat ki harkaat per ab kum asar andaz hotay ja rahe hain, jabke maaliyat policy ke tabdeel, khaaskar Federal Reserve ke, ahmiyat barha rahi hain. European Central Bank (ECB) apne aamalat mein ek halat mein hai jahan uske faisle mudda ke maraat ke hawale se mehdood hain. EUR/USD jodi mein tajziya ab factors ke ird gird ghumti hai jo Federal Reserve ke faislon ko asar andaz banate hain.

Technically, euro/dollar ki qeemat ko 1.0575-1.0625 ke support zone ki taraf dabaaya ja raha hai, jahan tasveer ko dekhte hue tehqiq ki zarurat hai beshak potential corrective pullbacks aur buyers ke reactions ke liye. Dusri taraf, 1.0725-1.0755 ke resistance zone ki taraf aik rollback ho sakta hai, jis per mazeed mushahida ki zarurat hai. Jabke aik downward channel musalsal qaim hai, filhal darjat per farokht karna naqabil-e-kashish ho sakta hai, khaaskar impulse correction ki zarurat ke liye. Haal hi mein market ki harkaat, jumeraat ke ghaer mutawaqqa harkaat, farokht ke faislon ko aur bhi mushkil bana deti hain.

Aaj ka khail ka intizamiya taqreeban mukammal tor per anjam diya gaya, jiska maqsad euro/dollar ko 1.07 ke nishan tak pohanchana tha. Magar tawaqqa ki gayi pattern mein tabdeeli ne aik flat option scenario ko paida kiya. Kal ka market ka manzar tay karega ke kya mojooda jama akhraj barqarar rahega, shayad 1.07 ke upar ek upward movement ki taraf jhukta. Is harkaat ki taaqat ka nigrani karna intehai ahem hai, jabke aik downward channel lambay arsay tak mawaqif rakhne wale hai. Farokht ki strategies ko mutabiq bandobast karna intehai zaroori hai, jahan euro/dollar jodi mein upward harkaaton par tawajju di ja rahi hai.

Keemat ne linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ke laal resistance line ko cross kiya, lekin 1.09806 tak ke ziyada quote ke keemat tak pohancha, jis ke baad uski barhti hui raftaar ruk gayi aur qarar se girne lagi. Ab saamaan 1.08282 ke qeemat darja hai. Sub kuch mad-e-nazar rakh kar, mujhe umeed hai ke market ke keemat wapas aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (1.07232) ke nichle aur consolidate honge FIBO level 23.6% tak aur phir mazeed neeche chalein golden average line LR of the linear channel 1.06960 tak, jo ke Fibo level 0 % ke saath milta hai. Ek farokht ke muamlay mein dakhil honay ki munasbat aur darustagi poori tarah se RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke dwara tasdeeq ki gayi hai, kyunke woh filhal overbought zone mein hain.

EUR/USD D1



Main ab EUR/USD currency pair ki live pricing ko decode kar raha hoon aur isay aik ghantay ke chart par tafteesh kar raha hoon. Federal Reserve ki statement ke baad, euro-dollar pair gir gaya aur 1.07815 ke support level tak pohanch gaya hai. Yeh giravat tab tak jari rahegi jab tak pair 1.07615 ke support ko test na kar le. Meri tafteesh ke mutabiq, market ke trends mein ek mumkin tabdili ka izhar ho sakta hai jo keemat mein izafa kar sakta hai, shayad ek upward trend bhi. Halankeh, abhi market ek mustaqil range mein trade kar raha hai, jis ki wajah mustaqil inflation rate hai. Yeh yaad rakhna ahem hai ke jab tak market ke conditions mein kisi bhi khaas tabdeeliyan nahi hoti, yeh range-bound trading behavior jari rahega.








EURUSD ka D1 time frame jaiza karte hue, 1.0990 zone se ek downtrend zahir hua. 1.0765 tak girne ke bawajood, keemat ne ek baar phir 1.0802 tak wapas aaya, bearish pressure ko jhel rahe hain. Jumeraat ko, keemat ne 1.0802 tak laut kar 1.0802 tak wapas aaya, jis se mera irada EURUSD ko short karna hai ek target ke saath 1.0690. Aane wale Easter break ke saath, main mustaqil hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, jahan quotes 1.0702 aur 1.0665 ke darmiyan oscillate kar sakte hain. Halankeh EURUSD ke liye ek bearish trend bias hai, lekin uncertainty bhi hai. Muntazir dollar ki growth phase ab tak mojud nahi hui hai, aur meri bechna mujhe ghabra rahi hai. Shayad ek hafta ya do ke liye market mein dollar ki growth phase anay mein waqt lag sakta hai, aur April ke darmiyan, main 0.9536 ke minimum se aage ka dollar ki aur kamzor hone ka muntazir hoon, jo ek kharidari mauka tijarat ke liye layega. Halankeh main 4th figure tak ek giravat ki umeed rakhta hoon, main unchuyat ki zyada cain ke bare mein ehtiyaat bhool jaata hoon. Magar, mera target 1.0700 par hai, aur main nazdik se nazar rakhunga.

EUR/USD currency pair ke zindagi se mutaliq keemat ke tabadlay ka tawazun karna mushkil aur mufeed hai. Walaayat e Khas ke darust naqal mein nakaam koshish ke bawajood, jo ke adakar dobara aasman par le jana chahte hain, keemat ke tabadlay par asar dal raha hai. EUR/USD ke darmiyan tabdeeliyon ki tafseelat ko samajhne ke liye, mukhtalif factors ko mad e nazar rakha jana chahiye. Sab se pehle, siyasi aur maashraati hawaalaat ke asar ka tawazun hai. Europe aur United States mein siyasi aur maashraati hawalaat ki tabdeeliyan, jese ke qanoon saazi, arz e nigaah maashiyat aur tijarati masael, currency pair ke keemat par asar dal sakti hain. Masalan, Brexit jese bade siyasi hawalaat Europe ke maqasid aur euro ke qeemat par asar dalte hain. Isi tarah, United States ke maashraati policies, jese ke interest rates aur tijarati mawad ke tanazaat, USD ki keemat ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Dusri badi cheez, arthi hawalaat aur mawad ke tabadlay hain. GDP, employment rates, aur tijarati sanatein dono mulk mein currency pair ki keemat par asar dal sakti hain. Agar kisi mulk ka GDP tezi se barh raha hai, to is se us mulk ki currency ki keemat bhi barh sakti hai. Isi tarah, tijarati tanazaat, masalan, tariffs ya trade agreements, bhi currency pair ke keemat par asar dalte hain. Teesra important factor, central banks aur monetary policies ka asar hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) jese central banks ki monetary policies, jese ke interest rates aur quantitative easing, currency pair ke keemat par seedha asar dalte hain. ECB agar interest rates ko kam karta hai ya quantitative easing shuru karta hai, to euro ki keemat par asar padega. Usi tarah, Fed ke actions bhi USD ki keemat par asar dalte hain. Akhir mein, tijarati tanazaat aur sentiment bhi currency pair ke keemat par asar dalte hain. Investor aur trader ke tijarati decisions, jese ke risk sentiment, safe-haven demand, aur technical analysis, bhi EUR/USD ke keemat ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Overall, EUR/USD currency pair ke keemat ke tabadlay ka tawazun tajziya karna mushkil hai, lekin siyasi, maashraati, arthi, central banks ki policies, aur tijarati factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue is par ghor karna zaroori hai.
Euro - US Dollar. Currency pair/instrument ki potentiay movemnt ka jayeza Heiken Ashi candlestick signals ke sath TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ki roshni mein kiya gaya, ye note kiya ja sakta hai ke mojooda market halat ko bullish structure se characterise kiya gaya hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, mojooda market forces alignment ko darust karne mein madad karta hai, jisse charts par noise ko smooth out kiya jata hai, technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur trading decisions ki darustgi barhata hai. TMA channel indicator (lal, neela aur peelay rang ke lines) do martaba smooth ki gayi moving averages par mabni support aur resistance lines banata hai, jisse instrument ki movement ke mojooda hudood ko darust karta hai, jo market ke sath tabdeel hote hain. RSI indicator ko ek zariye ka oscillator ke tor par istemal karna faida mand hai.

Munasib chart ke sath, ye dekha ja sakta hai ke Heikin Ashi candles ne blue rang ikhtiyar kiya hai, jo buyers ki numaya taqat ko darust karta hai. Keemat ne upper channel boundary (neela dashed line) ko cross kiya hai aur, bulandi ke noqte se bounce karne ke baad, ab apne darmiyani line (peela dashed line) ki taraf rawana hai. Usi waqt, RSI oscillator bhi kharid signal ko mukammal tor par tasdeeq karta hai, kyunke uska curve ab mazeed upar ki taraf point kar raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is liye, ye kaha ja sakta hai ke mazeed faida mand long buy trade mein dakhil hone ka acha mauqa hai jo red dashed line par neeche ke channel boundary (red dashed line) ki taraf rukh kar raha hai, jo keemat ke level 1.09236 par hai.

EURUSD


Euro (EUR) early Monday ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf thori si behtari dikhayi, lekin is par Euro ki kamzori ka bara trend chha gaya. EUR/USD pair Asian trading ke doran kareeb 1.0650 tak pohanch gaya, jis ka maqsad Jumeraat ko pichle mahine ki kamzori ki darwazah bandi se wapas aana tha. Ye kamzori do asal factors se munsalik hai: saqafati pareshaniyan aur European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetary policy ka mukhtalif raaye. Hal hil mein Iran ki taraf se Israel ke khilaf drone aur missile hamle, ek shak ki israeli hamle ke jawabi tor par, market mein thora sa ghabrahat paida ki. Magar, ye hamla pehle se tay tha, mazeed izafa ke liye mumkinat ko mehdood kar deta hai aur market ko kuch had tak tasalli faraham karta hai.

Central banks ki mukhtalif tareeqon par amal ki bari kahani mein hai. ECB agar ma'ni lagataar kam hoti rahi to June mein interest rate cut ki ishaarat de raha hai. Intehai mazboot US iqtisadi deta aur barhti hui inflation Fed ko munasib monetary policy ke liye apni tajziyaat dobara karna par rahi hai. Is tasleel mein izafa ne Fed ke interest rates ko June mein ghair tabdeel rakhne ke imkanaat ko barhaya hai, market tool ke mutabiq 46.8% se 63.5% tak. Ab investors iss haftay ki ahem data releases ka intizar kar rahe hain, Eurozone mein industrial production aur US mein retail sales par tawajju hai. ECB ke potential rate cuts ke mutalik aur tezi se Euro ki umeedein kam hoti ja rahi hain, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye wazeh bearish bias ko numaya karta hai. Iss haftay ki qeemat ka amal khaas tor par fikar anghaiz hai. Jabke pair Wednesday ko kuch waqt ke liye ahem moving averages ke upar uth gaya, lekin aakhir mein in ke bohot nichay band hui. Phir Euro ne Thursday ya Friday ko kisi bhi numaya behtari ki koshish nahi ki, aur na hi woh mamooli profit-taking activity dikhayi di jo aksar ek mustaqil sell-off se pehle hoti hai. Ye sab 1.0650 tak EUR/USD ko le gaya, aik level jo December ke akhri dinon se nazar nahi aya, iski pehle ki trading range se ikhtitam ka ishara hai.

EURUSD pair ka H4 time frame chart dekhte hue, nazar aata hai ke pichle Thursday ke trading mein jo price barhao hua, wo 1.0864 ka resistance level ko tor kar kaamyaab raha. Magar, agle trade mein, yaani 16 baj kar server time par, price bearish ho gaya jab ek bearish candle ban gaya. Price ka giravat trading ke doran Jumma ko jaari reh sakti hai, khaaskar America ki session ke early trading mein, lekin ant mein, giravat mein ulatne ka muka mila jab price ne 1.0800 ka psychological level chhoo liya. Aur aakhir mein, pichle Jumma ke trading mein sirf sideways trading hi hui. Bollinger Bands ka indicator period 24 ke liye dekhe jane wale halat se pata chalta hai ke Bollinger Bands abhi bhi kafi wide hain, jo dikhata hai ke trading volatility abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Simple Moving Average period 50 aur Simple Moving Average period 120 ke indicators dwaara dikhayi gayi trend direction abhi tak Bearish trend line mein valid hai, lekin kaafi mazboot hai kyun ke price position do SMAs ke darmiyan khel rahi hai. Ek taraf, RSI period 5 aur RSI period 14 ke indicators ke dekhe jane wale halat mein, abhi dono RSIs bhi bearish signals dikhane ke liye valid hain, isliye agle hafte ke trading ke liye price mein giravat hone ki sambhavna abhi bhi hai.
Chuninda waqt-frame (time-frame H4) par liniar regreshan channel dakshin ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo bazaar mein mojooda mazboot farokht daarakht ki mojudgi aur market ke price quotes ka mazboot nichayi tor par guzar jaane ki khaalis mumkinat ko darust karta hai. Ghair liniar regreshan channel ka graph dakshin ki taraf mojood hai, jo farokht karne walon ke koshishat ko darust karta hai jo ke makti qeemat ko kam karne ke liye baqaeda koshaan hain aur kharidaron ko apni makhsoos haliyat se nahi nikalne ka irada rakhte hain.

Euro ka taqaaza dollar ke mukablay mein aksar tezi se badal jaata hai aur forex market mein iski tabdeeliyon ka asar bhi maamoolan ghair mukhtalif tareeqon se dekha ja sakta hai. Pichle hafte, EUR/USD mein intehai utaar chadhao dekha gaya hai, jismein market ka qeemat 1.0790 tak gir gaya. Lekin, jab market is had tak pohanch gaya, tab mujhe yeh ehsas hua ke shayad ab behtar move aane wala hai aur yeh waqt hai ke kharidari ki taraf rawana hon. Forex market ka taqaza har waqt tabdeeli ka samna karne ki surat mein hota hai aur ismein traders ko hamesha mutaghayyar rehna chahiye. Market ka aghaz aur ikhtitam dono maqamat bade ahem hote hain aur in dono waqt per traders ko khaas tawajju deni chahiye. Jab market ki qeemat neechay jaati hai aur kisi makhsoos had tak pohanchti hai, jaise ke 1.0790, to yeh waqt hota hai ke traders ko mawaqayi nazar andaz karne ki bajaye tafteesh karne ki zaroorat hoti hai.
Is maamlay mein, market ke girne ke baad 1.0790 tak, mujhe yeh ehsas hua ke ab market ek muhimat ki manzil tak pohanch chuki hai. Yeh manzil ek aham hoti hai kyun ke yahan par market ki raftar ko dobara badalne ka imkaan hota hai. Agar market is had tak pohanchti hai aur phir se uthne lagti hai, to iska matlab hai ke market mein bullish momentum wapas aa sakta hai. Is surat mein, traders ko kharidari ki taraf rawana hona chahiye. Kharidari ka faisla karne se pehle, mukhtalif tajziyat aur analysis ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Technical analysis ke zariye, traders market ki patterns, price action, aur indicators ka istemal karke future ke movements ka andaza laga sakte hain. Iske saath hi, fundamental analysis bhi ahem hoti hai jismein economic indicators, monetary policy decisions, aur geopolitical events ka asar shamil hota hai.

EUR/USD M30 Waqt Frame

5-minute chart ka tajziya karne mein, qeemat ke harkaton ko chalane wali dynamics ko samajhna nihayat ahmiyat ka hamil hai. Is manzar nama mein, Eurozone data ne pehli shuruat ki ghaas par (initial growth) urooj par le aaya, jo keh aik jhooti tooti ke ird gird ka aghaz banaya, jo euro ko farokht karne ka aik mojooda moqa zahir karta hai. Magar, chart ka qareebi jaeza karne par, yeh maloom hota hai ke currency pair ne neeche ka rujhan ikhtiyar nahi kiya.

Is tafreeq se paish aane wale qeemat ke harkat ne, din ke baad ka waqt bhi le kar, market se baahar nikalne ke liye aik aqalmandi ki qadam hai, fahmida harkat ke darmiyan tafawut ke zehni manzar ko dobara tajziya karne ke liye. Is waqt market se baahar nikalna ek qabil-e-aqal harkat thi, ke waziha aqeeda aur haqeeqat ke darmiyan tafawut ko dekhte hue, jo ke khatre ke nuqsanat ka khatra kam karta hai.

Ab, lambay positions ko kholne ki taraf tawajjuh ko mor diya jata hai, is par jiddojehad hai ke tajziyaati tajziya ke daira ko tajziya karke naya approach ikhtiyar kiya jaye. Pehli jhooti tooti ke inconclusive fitrat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek ihtiyaat angaiz approach zaroori hai. Aik strategy mein saaf tasdeeq ke signals ka intezar karna shamil ho sakta hai, pehle se lambay position par qabal hazam hone se pehle.

Yeh mukhtalif indicators jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, ya oscillators ko dekhte hue isko shamil kar sakta hai signs of bullish momentum ke liye. Iske ilawa, currency harkaton par asar andaz hone wale tajziyati maahaul aur anay wale taza kismon ka imkan ka tajziya karna bhi ahmiyat ka hamil hai.

Sabar aur intizam ko aise bemaar halaat mein tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Bina mojooda market dynamics ka wazeh faham ke bina aik position mein jaldi jaldi shamil hone se naqalati natijay ka samna ho sakta hai. Is liye, itminan aur ummeed ki ghaarat se muntazir rehna aur fayda mand moqa ka intezaar karna zaroori hai jo kamyabi ke imkaanat ke liye zyada moqtadir hota hai.

Ikhtitami tor par, jab Eurozone data par euro farokht karne ka pehla mansooba wazeh nazar aya, to qeemat ke harkat mein tafawut ke zarf zarurat parne par bhi, situation ka dobara tajziya zaroori tha. Market se baahar nikalna strategies ko dobara tarteeb dene aur waziha signals ka intezar karne ka ek mouqa faraham karta hai. Lambay positions kholne ke liye, ehtiyaati aur intizami approach mashhoor hai, tajziyaati signals aur market analysis ko taraqqi de kar tijarat ke faislon ko behtar banane ke liye.

Forex trading ke ghair mustaqil duniya mein, sabar aur hoshiyari ahem sifat hain. Jab Europe ki trading session shuru hoti hai, traders ko ek pur-sukoon rawayya banaye rakhna chahiye aur market ke harek harkat ko qareeb se dekhna chahiye. Forex market ke daramad par hazaron factors ka asar hota hai, jin mein ma'ashi data ka izhaar, siyasi waqiyat, aur central bank policies shamil hain. Is phanday daar jaal mein, traders ko sabr aur intizam rakhna lazmi hai, jisse unhe mutasir market ke haalaat par aqalmandi se faislay karne ki ejazat mil sake.
Ek trader ke paas ek aham tool technical analysis ka hota hai, jo keemat ke charts ko muta'ala kar ke mustaqbil ki keemat ki harkaton ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai. Europe ki trading session mein, traders ko ahem support aur resistance levels par qareebi tawajjo deni chahiye, sath hi trend lines ko bhi dekhna chahiye jo keemat ki harkaton ka rukh darust karte hain. Ek upri trend line ke neeche girna ya ahem support levels ka tod ek market ke jazbat mein tabdili ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo ke mazeed niche ki taraf momentum ko le ja sakta hai. Barqarar nahi hona, ye levels todna mumkin hai keh kisi girawat par mutasir traders ko market ke urooj aur girawat se faida uthane ke imkanaat mil sakte hain.

Magar, zaroori hai kehtay hain ke ihtiyaat aur ghaflat se faislay mat karen jo ke sirf chand muddaton ki keemat ki harkaton par mabni hotay hain. Balkay, traders ko aik intahi strategyka istemaal karna chahiye, har trade ki mumkin khatrat aur inamat ko ta'khamul ke saath ghor se wazan dena chahiye. Is mein market ke bunyadi asoolo ka mukammal samajh shamil hai, sath hi mojooda waqt mein ma'ashi indicators aur khabron ko durust taur par tabdeeli karna bhi shamil hai.

Is ke ilawa, kamiyabi ke liye adaptability aur flexibility bhi zaroori hai. Forex market hamesha taraqqi kar rahi hoti hai, aur traders ko apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Ye trading positions ko modify karna, trades mein daakhil ya bahar hona, ya mukhtalif khatrat ke doran kisi aur waqt ko behtar samjha jana bhi shamil ho sakta hai. Badalte market ke haalaat ka jawab dene ke liye hushar aur jawabdeh rehkar, traders khatron ko kam kar sakte hain aur moqay ka faida utha sakte hain.

Yesterday, EUR/USD saw positive news that continued until the afternoon, contributing to its upward trend. Today, I predict that the pair will continue moving upwards, making a reversal of the previous sell-off almost impossible. The support level at 1.08960 is expected to aid this progress, potentially leading to an overall impact at 1.09581. However, it's unlikely for the price to remain at this level for long, so a slight decline may occur before the uptrend resumes. The four-hour chart indicates that the pair is oversold, but there are no significant signs of selling pressure. There might be a minor reversal, possibly around minus thirty points, but overall, signs point to further growth. Any decline is expected to be limited to around the 1.0885 area, indicating a quicker advance thereafter.

Regarding the market graph, while there were expectations for an increase in GBP and EUR/USD, the rise in gold prices caught me off guard. Deciding on the next steps can be challenging in such situations, especially considering the lack of volatility in the market leading to shorter-duration major price movements. The daily chart indicator suggests caution, especially due to the reinforcement of past trends. The strategy involves waiting for the signal to compete with volume, reach the upper Bollinger Bands, and then wait for a sell signal. However, the market might only produce a sell signal, indicating that market makers are utilizing both bullish and bearish trends to complicate trading decisions. Currently, in this currency pair, the bullish sentiment appears to be stronger than the bearish sentiment.

EUR/USD ne guzishta kuch mahinon se apni pasandida harkat ke taur par lauta - kam volatility. Magar yaad rakhiye ke downtrend jaari hai, teen dinon ke girebaan ke baad bullish correction kaafi kamzor tha, aur din ke ikhtitam tak euro ke qeemat aur gir gayi. Is tarah, market ne pichle haftay ke giravat ke baad bhi rukna nahi tha aur peer ko euro ko dobara bechna shuru kar diya.

Hamari raay mein, mojooda harkat bilkul mantaki hai. Hum ne baar baar zikar kiya tha ke euro ko is waqt barhne ke koi buniyaad nahi hain. Aur US mahangai report ke baad (jo June mein Federal Reserve ke dar ko kam kar dene ki umeedon ko khatm kar deta hai), dollar ke barhne ke aur bhi asbab hain. Isi dauran, European Central Bank June mein darojat kam kar sakta hai, kyun ke bank ke monetary committee ke afraad is bare mein khule aam baat kar rahe hain. Is liye, hum euro mein mazeed giravat ka intezar kar rahe hain. Kal, US ki rozana farokht report umeedon se zyada nikli, is liye dollar ko macroeconomic support mila. 5-minute time frame par sirf aik trading signal bana. US trading session ke khulne se pehle, jodi ne 1.0668 ke darje se do point ke ghalati ke saath giraavat ki, jiski baad ise taqreeban 1.0618 ke darje tak girne mein kamiyabi mili. Jodi is darje tak nahi pohanchi, lekin qeemat taqreeban raat ke puray hisse mein is ke qareeb rahi. Is liye, naye shuruwati logon ko farokht ke short position ko manwally band karne ka kafi waqt mila. Is se hasil nafa taqreeban 25 pips tha. Total volatility sirf 40 pips se thori zyada thi, yeh aik shandar nateeja hai.

Mamoolan, short positions ko dobara samajh sakte hain, 1.0568 ka nishana banate hue. 5M chart par mukhtasar key levels 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611-1.0618, 1.0668, 1.0725, 1.0785-1.0797, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981 hain. European Union mein, ZEW Institute ki economic sentiment indices euro area ke liye traders ko roushaniyon ka aghaz faraham kar sakti hain. United States mein, reports building permits, housing starts, aur industrial production ke bare mein jaari kiye jayenge. Hum inhein secondary reports ke tor par samajhte hain aur in par mazboot market reaction ka intezar nahi karte.

EUR/USD currency pair. Pichle haftay, euro/dollar jodi ne ahem level 1.0800 ko paar karne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, jo kharidari aur farokht karne walon ke liye ahem tha. Natije mein, farokht karne walon ki taqat barh gayi aur darmiyani muddat ke downtrend jaari raha. Jumma ko choti correction ke bawajood, jodi mein quwwat ka ahsaas nahin tha, jo mazeed kami ka ishara hai. Monday ko market ki dobara khulne se neeche ki taraf ka rukh shuru ho sakta hai, lekin farokht karne walay naye rukh ko 1.0800 par milti hui rukawat ko bachane ka imkaan hai, jo zyada munasib qeemat par farokht ke liye mushkil bana sakta hai. Wo 7th-figure maqasid par nazar rakhte hain, 6th-figure ka imtehaan lena.
Jab tak bearish trend qaim hai, chand muddat ke liye kharidari ke moqaat kamm hain. Agar H1 chart par 1.0823 ke ooper break ho, to ye ek upri sudhaar ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Is takreeban, bearish momentum jaari rahega. 1.0742-1.0764 range ka nishana rakhte hue farokht ka ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Daily chart par, mera nishana 7th figure ke neeche girne ka hai. Magar, downtrend ke dauran muddat ke andar munfarid pulbacks ho sakte hain, jo hoshiyar rehne ki zaroorat hai. Tawajjo farokht par mabni hai, aur mumkinah giravat ko mushkilat ka samna hai. Kal, Asian session ke doran izafa shuda ghairat mandi ka intezar karein, jo European session ke doran shifting player presence ki wajah se kami hone par girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. American session mein izafa shuda ghairat mandi ka imkaan hai, jahan 1.0738 support ke mutaabiq 1.0812 tak mulaqat ho sakti hai. Agar 1.0816 par rukawat mumkin hai, to momentum technical resistance 1.0859 par munfarid rukh ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo mazeed bullish harkat ko le ja sakta hai. Is level ko paar na karne ki soorat mein, ek senior impulse cycle ka nateeja 1.0934 aur iske baad 1.1058 ke taraf ja sakta hai.

Jurmni statistics office Destatis ne ek report jaari kiya kehte hue ke Jurmni mahangi March mein thori muddat ke liye mutawaqqa se zyada ruki, apni taqreeban teen saal ki dar se neeche pohnchi. March mein Jurmni Harmonized Consumer Price Index ka pehla mutafarriq qeemat maheenavi buniyad par 0.6% barhi, thora kam se mutawaqqa 0.7%. Jurmni Harmonized Consumer Price Index ka shuruai saalana darja 2.3% tha, mutawaqqa qeemat 2.4% ke mustaqbil par se kam tha. Naram mahangi ka zahir hona dikhata hai ke Germany European Central Bank (ECB) ke 2% ke hadaf ke qareeb pohnch raha hai, market ke umeed ko barha kar ECB ke karza daro mein kum karne ka intizar hai. Yeh phir euro par bojh dalti hai, jis se EUR/USD jodi ke liye rukawaton ka sabab banta hai. Takneeki lehaz se, upri tanasub ki ibtedai rooshni 1.0790 par mojood hai, mazeed rukawat 1.0812 par hai, aur mukhya rukawat 1.0844 par hai; neeche ki tanasub ki ibtedai himayat 1.0736 par hai, mazeed himayat 1.0704 par hai, aur zyada ahem himayat 1.0682 par hai.

EUR/USD

Salam dosto, kaise hain aap? EUR/USD 6waaray musalsal session kay doran girte hue, mangalwar ko Asian ghanton mein 1.0610 ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Aala US dollar EUR/USD jodi par dabaav daal raha hai, shayad zyada US Treasury bonds ke maal o dhaar se mutasir. Mazeed se, United States se behtar se behtar retail sales data ne umeedon ko barha diya hai ke Federal Reserve darust muddat tak daraye ko buland rakhe ga. US dollar index apni faa'elein ko qareeb 106.20 ke qareeb barha raha hai, jab ke likhne ke waqt US Treasury bonds ke 2 saal aur 10 saal ke yields 4.92% aur 4.60% hain, mutabiqan. Markazi Asia ke azaa'd aabadi mein barhte hue maqami jhagray investors ko safe-haven U.S. dollar ki taraf murnay par majboor kar rahe hain jab ke retail sales ne March mein 0.7% tak izafa kiya, jo ke market ki tawaqqaat ko peechay chor gaya. Pehle wala reading February mein 0.6% se 0.9% tak ta'adad badh gayi thi. Retail sales mein 1.1% tak izafa control group mein hua, jo pehle ki 0.3% ki izafat ke muqabil thi.

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ke raees Mary Daley ne haal hi mein kaha ke wala haalat par bohot ziada izafa ho gaya hai, magar mazeed kaam reh gaya hai. Unhon ne karwai se pehle inflation par itminan rakhne ki ahmiyat ko dabaya. Daley ne bhi ishaarat di ke mulk ka muzahira mazboot izafa kar raha hai, mazdoor market mazboot hai, aur inflation halqay ke maqayl par hai. Euro ponday ne dushmanana khitab se pehle ghate ka samna kiya. ECB Governing Council ke rukun Gediminas Simkus ne kaha ke is saal teen rate cuts hone ke 50 se zyada feesad chances hain, Reuters ke mutabiq. Mazeed se, ECB ke chief economist, Philip Lane ne barqarar inflation ke mawazna ke maqam par mawafiqat mein mazeed taraqqi hone ka zikar kiya. Chahein ke mazid qareebi samay mein inflation ka manzar ho, lekin 2025 tak manzoor inflation ki mutmain tawaja rehti hai.

Eurusd ka movement Jumma ko kafi giravat dekha, 60 pips tak, jabke 1.0850 se 1.0790 tak gir gaya. Eurusd currency pair ka giravat EURO currency exchange rate ki kamzori ki wajah se hua, Eurozone mein retail sales kam hone ke news ke release hone ke baad 0.5% aur German factory orders bhi 0.2% kam hone ke news se Eurusd ka movement 20 pips gir gaya. Iske alawa, Eurusd ka giravat USA dollar ki taqat bardasht karne se bhi hua, jab NFP news ke release hone ke baad 303 hazar non-agricultural job vacancies aayi aur America mein be rozgar dar bhi 3.8% tak kam ho gaya, isse Eurusd ka movement kafi zyada gir gaya 1.0790 ke price tak. Lekin, Jumma ko market band hone ke baad, USA dollar ka kamzori experience hua jab SP500 index shares ke price 5220 tak badh gaya, isse USD se EURO exchange rate kafi zyada kamzor ho gaya. Mere fundamental analysis ke natijay mein aaj ke liye future movement ke liye EURUSD ka mai ab bhi BUY EURUSD ka faisla karta hoon 1.0860 ke price tak.
Mere technical analysis ke hisab se, Eurusd ka future movement ab bhi 1.0860 ke price tak ka rise ka trend dikhata hai. Is baat ki wajah hai ke M30 time frame par Eurusd currency pair ka movement ek bullish engulfing candle ban gaya hai jo ke kafi strong BUY EURUSD signal hai 1.0860 ke price tak future mein. Relative strength index 14 indicator ki visualisation mein, pata chalta hai ke eurusd ka price 1.0790 par oversold ya bohot zyada oversold hai, iska matlab hai ke shayad hi Monday ko eurusd ka movement upar ki taraf correct ho jaaye, kareeb 10-50 pips tak. BUY EURUSD signal ko FIBONACCI method se bhi support mil raha hai kyunki jab Eurusd ka price 1.0790 ke range mein tha, toh pata chala ke Eurusd RBS area mein tha, isliye Monday ko Eurusd ka price 1.0860 ke range tak badhna mushkil nahi hai. Mere technical analysis ke natijay mein aaj ke liye Eurusd currency pair ke movement ke liye, maine faisla kiya hai ke mai BUY EURUSD 1.0860 ke price tak rakhunga.