یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD 1.0800 ke neeche girte hue ECB ke dovish signal aur mazboot US GDP figures ke damakay se dabaav mein aya Euro ne American dollar ke khilaaf jari rehne wale dabaav ka saamna kiya aur manasik lehron ki tarjih hone ke baad 1.0800 ke ahem manasik darja ke neeche gir gaya. ECB ke policy maker Francois Villeroy ke dovish taqreeron ne is girawat ko barhawa diya. Villeroy ke comments ne darust kar diya ke mahngai ke nishane ko hasil karne ke liye darjat kaatne ki zaroorat hai, jo North American session ke doran EUR/USD momentum ko khatam kar diya. Unhone core inflation mein tezi se kami ka zikar kiya, halankeh ye muashatat ke mutaliq nisbatan buland hain, aur darkhwast ki ke ECB ka 2% inflation maqasid ab tak haasil kiya ja sakta hai, magar agar darjat kaatne na kiye jayein to khatra barh raha hai. Iske ilawa, Germany ki disappointing retail sales data ne Eurozone ki maashi taraqqi par bhi bojh dal diya. Ulta, haal hi mein aaye ameerika ki data ne manasik taur par mazboot maqami sargarmiyon ka izhar kiya, jahan Q4 2023 ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ko 3.4% tak barha diya gaya. Iske ilawa, bayrozgar faiz ansalon ke daaway aik baar phir estimates se kam rahe, jo ke isko darust aurghaam diya ke pasmandah mazdoori ki bazaar hai. Musbat consumer sentiments ko darust karte hue University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index ne apni buland tareen satah ko 2021 se phir se utha liya, jabke February mein Pending Home Sales expectations ko peechay chorh kar 1.6% izafa kar gaye.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller ke jazbati comments ne mazeed US Dollar ke saath nafees sher ko taraqqi di, jo ke US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data ke ijaad se pehle dhaal gaye.

Ek technical nazar se, EUR/USD pair ne 200-day moving average (DMA) ke neeche chalte hue apna neeche ki taraf raasta jari rakha, jo ke February 29 cycle ke low 1.0794 ke neeche chala gaya aur 1.0780 ilaqa ke qareeb pohanch gaya. 1.0800 ke neeche rozana band hone se neeche ka dabao mazeed barh sakta hai, jise ke February 14 ke low 1.0694 ki challenge ho sakti hai, jabke mazeed support 1.0600 level par dekha jata hai. Barabar, agar EUR/USD kharidaron ko pair ko 1.0800 ke oopar uthane mein kamyabi milti hai, to ye 1.0835 par 200-DMA ki jaanch ke liye rah sakti hai.

EUR/USD ECB ke Villeroy ke nishane par rate cut ki zaroorat ko zahir karte hue aur mazboot US maqami data ke damakay ke baad dabaav ka saamna karta hai. Ameerika ki mazboot maqami sargarmiyon ne, jo ke nafees GDP ki ibratnaak bharai aur mustiqil mazdoori ki sakhafat ki, dollar ko saath dene ka saath diya. Aane wale US Core PCE price index ke liye market ki tawaqo bharh rahi hai, jiska faraizat Federal Reserve ki maaliyat ka manhij hai.

Aam tor par, Euro ka dollar ke khilaaf girna ECB ke dovish signals aur mazboot US maqami data ke zor se hua, jabke market ka tawajjo US Core PCE price index ke ane wale ijaad ki taraf barh raha hai, ta ke Federal Reserve ki maaliyat ka qadra aagahi hasil ki ja sake. Traders in taraqqiyat aur technical levels ko nazdeek se dekhte rahenge EUR/USD pair mein potential trading opportunities ke liye.

EUR/USD Keemat Ke Imkaaniyat

Main EUR/USD currency pair ki haqeeqati waqtanah qeemat ke amal ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Pichle haftay mein, euro/dollar pair ko 1.0800 ka aham darja paar karne mein mushkil pesh aayi, jo kharidar aur farokht karnewalon ke liye ehem tha. Is natije mein, farokht karnewalon ko mazbooti milti gayi, aur darmiyani muddat ke downtrend jaari raha. Jumeraat ko choti saheh hue giraawat ke bawajood, pair mein quwat ka kami tha, jo mazeed giravat ko darust kar raha tha. Market ka dobara kholna peer ko neechay ki harekath ko dobara shuru hone ka ishaara de sakta hai, lekin farokht karnewale naye paae par milne wali rukawat 1.0800 par bachna hai, jo behtar keemat par farokht mein dakhil hone mein mushkil banati hai. Unka nishana 7 figure ke targets ka hai jin mein 6 figure ka imtehan shamil hai.

Jab tak bearish rawayaat qaim rahegi, chhote arsey mein kharidari ke mauqay kam hain. Agar H1 chart par 1.0823 ke upar ek tootne ka nishan ho, to yeh aik upar ki sahoolat ki alaamat ho sakti hai. Is tak, bearish momentum jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Behtar keemat par farokht ko ghoor se ghoor kar dekha jana chahiye jo 1.0742-1.0764 ke range ko nishaat deti hai. Rozana chart par meri nishandahi 7 figure ke neechay giravat ki taraf hai. Magar, downtrend ke andar intardev pulbacks ho sakti hain, jo hosh mandi ki zarurat hai. Tadaad farokht ka sabab hota hai, aur mohtamim giravat ka samna mushkilat paida karta hai. Kal Asian session mein buland hosh mandi ka imkaan hai, jiske baad European session mein farokht karnewale ki mojudgi ke bais giravat ka imkaan hai. American session mein buland hosh mandi ka imkaan hai, jahan 1.0738 ki support girne ko rok sakta hai 1.0812 par u-turn le sakta hai. Agar 1.0816 par rukawat mutawaqqa hai, to momentum technical rukawat ki taraf shift ho sakti hai 1.0859 par, jo mazeed bullish harekath ka aaghaz kar sakta hai. Is level ko paar na karne ki soorat mein senior impulse cycle 1.0934 aur uske baad 1.1058 ki taraf ja sakti hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis.

EUR/USD jori apni position barqarar rakhti hai, jab ke ek nami psychological threshold se waziha kami ka samna karne ke baad stabilize hoti hai. Ye barqarari ek potentially pivotal lamhe se pehle hai jo Jum'at ko hai, jisey underlying US private consumption inflation data ka izhaar markaz par aayega. Ye waqiya market dynamics ko nami asar dena ka bhari zimma uthata hai, jo ke jori mein shaded harkat ko janam de sakti hai. Pichli kami ek market ki thodi chtankan ya tawaqo ka izhar karti hai, jahan investors economic indicators ko nazdeeki tor par nazar andaz karte hain aur positions ko mutabiq tarteeb dete hain. Psychological threshold zahiran market ke hissedar ke liye ek nazar ki point darust karti hai, jo ke jazbat ka zahir karne wala nishan aur mazeed rad-o-amal ke liye ek mumkin trigger ka kaam kar sakti hai. Jum'at ke aane wale data release ke sath halat mein ek element of uncertainty shaamil hai. Traders jald-baaz react karne ke liye mojood hain kisi bhi tawallud se expectations mein se, jahan market sentiment incoming information ke jawab mein oscillates ke doran barhavati matanid mein uthati hai. US private consumption inflation data ki ahmiyat ko kam na kiya ja sakta hai, special mojooda market conditions ke peyman mein. Mazeed inflationary pressures ne policymakers aur investors ke liye ek markasi point ka darja rakha hai, monetary policy aur broader economic trends ke liye expectations ko tarteeb dete hue. Agar data inflationary trends mein ghair mutawaqqa insights zahir karta hai, to yeh ek market expectations ko phir se dekhnay ka sabab ban sakti hai regarding interest rates, currency valuations, aur broader economic outlooks. Ye, in turn, EUR/USD jori ke andar nami shifts mein manfiests ho sakta hai, jab traders apni positions ko new information ke jawab mein recalibrate karte hain. Magar, ye note karna bhi ahem hai ke market reactions to economic data inherently unpredictable hoti hain. Jabke analysts forecasts aur projections offer kar sakte hain, market participants ka asal jawab in expectations se bari shiddat se mukhtalif ho sakta hai, sentiment, speculation, aur broader macroeconomic trends mein mutasir ho kar. Is tarah, jabke Jum'at ka data release ek movement ke liye ek potential catalyst paish karta hai

EUR\USD H4



Is ke ilawa, market ke jazbat aur khatra-khuwahish aksar aham kirdar ada karte hain EURUSD jesi safe-haven currencies ke demand mein. Musibat ya zyada volatility ke doran, investors dollar ki taraf tawajju barha sakte hain, jis se EURUSD ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai. Technical analysis bhi EURUSD ke qeemat ke harkat mein qeemati wazahat faraham karta hai. Ahem support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur chart patterns traders ko potentional entry aur exit points ka pata lagane mein madad karte hain. 1.07667.level ka tootna ek bearish sentiment ko darust karta hai, jo currency pair par mazeed niche dabao ka zahir karta hai. Aage dekhte hue, mukhtalif factors ko tawajju dena zaroori hai jab EURUSD ke future movement ka andaza lagaya jaye. Maaliyat ke data releases, jaise ke rozeana kaam ki shumar, mahangai reports, aur . data, mukhtalif maamlaat ke sehat ke bare mein isharaat faraham






kar sakte hain aur currency ki qeemat par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, siyasi aur dunyawi waqiat, tijarati tensions, aur global maashi waqiat jaise ke intekhabat ya siyasi conflicts forex market mein shadeed rujhan dal sakte hain, jo EURUSD ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Central bank ke faislon aur monetary policy announcements currency ke harkat ko shakal dene mein ahem role ada karte hain. ECB ya Federal Reserve se kisi bhi policy tight ya easing ke isharon se EURUSD mein mazeed fluctuations aa sakte hain. Aakhir mein, EURUSD mein correction ke baad kami ko importance samajhne ki zarurat hai jo currency ke harkat par asar andaz hoti hai. Maashi indicators, siyasi waqiat aur central bank policies ko qareeb se monitor kar ke traders ko forex market ke dynamic mahol mein behtar taur par aagah kar sakte hain.

. Jab price 1.0926 level tak pahunchi, toh phir se majboot resistance ka samna kiya aur aage badhne mein asafal raha. Is natije mein, wapas ghoom gaya aur tezi se girne laga, 1.0837 ke pivot level ke neeche gir gaya. Pehle scene ko dobara hone nahi diya. Is darmiyan, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo bechne ki dabav ko dikhata hai.
EUR/USD 0.11% barh kar $1.0850 par pahuncha, jab $1.0837 par open hua aaj. Pair ne ek intraday high of $1.0852 tak jump kiya. Investors February ke personal consumer spending data mein 0.3% ki izafa ka intezar kar rahe hain aur sab se bharosemand aur mazboot central bank data. Federal Reserve interest rates aane wale trends ke bare mein aur bhi zyada batayenge. Aaj, market US mein durable goods ke orders ke data ki raseedan ka intezar kar rahi hai. Yeh samanya roop se US ki maeeshat ki overall performance ke baare mein aur bhi signals dega aur in turn, EUR/USD currency pair ke dynamics par asar daalega.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pair abhi thoda neeche weekly lows ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Main support area price ko apne limits ke andar nahi rok saka aur toot gaya, jo preferred vector mein upward se downward ki ek tabdeeli ka ishara hai. Ab, is movement ko confirm karne ke liye, quotes ko 1.0837 level ke neeche consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo abhi main resistance zone ke borders mein hai. Is area se dobara test aur uske baad rebound, ek aur neeche ki taraf ka movement ke mauqe ko provide karega, jiska target 1.0694 aur 1.0627 ke beech mein hoga.

Mausam ki mojooda surat se aik ulta phulta mael hoga agar resistance se bahar nikal kar 1.0926 ke reversal level ko cross kar jaye. Neeche di gayi chart ko dekhein:

Euro Eurozone ki manufacuring data ka saath deta hua kuch waqt ke liye thora support paya. March ke final PMI reading 46.1 thi, jo ke 45.7 se thori ziada thi jo ke 50 se neeche hai jo ke izafa se mukhtalif hai. Ye USA ke PMI ke mukable mein hai jo ke do saal ke bad pehli dafa 50 ke oopar chala gaya hai. EUR/USD Easter chuttiyon ke baad taqatwar US data aur ek ziada hawkish Federal Reserve ke saath kamzor hui. Jerome Powell ke tajurbaat ne dolar ko mad-e-nazar izafa diya tha June mein interest rate kaat ka umeedwar bhi ghataya. Uncha karz dar amooman foreign capital ko aakarshit karta hai, jo ke dolar ko zyada kashish banata hai. Wahi Euro Central Bank (ECB) Eurozone mein dairpa growth aur kam inflation ki wajah se ek zyada dovish stance ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is haftay ko shaya hui data ne March mein German inflation ko 2.2% pe thanda kar diya, ummeedon se kum aur ECB ke interest rate kaat ka umeedon ko mazeed barhaya. Iske bawajood, EUR/USD ko koi traction hasil nahi hui.

EUR/USD abhi bhi aik chhoti arsay ka downtrend mein hai jo march ke shuruaat se shuru hua tha. CURRENCY PAIR abhi aik ahem support level ke qareeb hai jo 1.0694 ke qareeb hai, jo ke saal ke shuru mein sab se kam ke point hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) ke mutabiq, aik technical indicator momentum ke liye, Euro ab oversold hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke sellers shayad thak chuke hain aur woh apni short positions par waapsi kar sakte hain. Agar RSI indicator oversold zone se bahar chala gaya (30 se ooper), to yeh traders ke liye aik ishara hoga ke woh apni short positions band karen aur shayad long positions kholen. Ye aik temporary pullback ko laa sakta hai downtrend mein, lekin overall trend kaafi zyada bearish hone ke imkanat hain. February ke low aur saal ke starting ke low 1.0694 par barah-e-karam support faraham karne ka intezar hai, aur pehli koshish mein is level ko toorna mumkin hai. Lekin, is level ke neeche aik qatai toorna aksar doosray sellers ko bhej deta hai, jahan agla target ho sakta hai 1.0650 par. Aik qatai toorna aam tor par aik bara red candle hota hai price chart par jo support level ko mukammal tor par gher leta hai aur apni nichli taraf band hota hai. Ya phir, yeh teen mawafiq red candles se darust kiya ja sakta hai jo is level ke neeche toorna hai.

EUR/USD yeh week mein kaafi movement dekh raha hai aur traders ko samajhna mushkil ho sakta hai ke kis direction mein ja raha hai. Is hafte, yeh pair upar neeche gaya hai aur 1.1141 ke level ko cross kar chuka hai, lekin yeh bhi notice kiya gaya hai ke saath hi saath yeh bhi upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Yeh volatile movement kaafi factors par depend karta hai, jaise ke economic data, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Eurozone aur United States se aane wale economic reports aur announcements bhi is pair ki movement ko influence kar sakte hain.
Jab market mein uncertainty hoti hai, traders apni positions ko adjust karte hain aur yeh bhi dekhte hain ke kis direction mein market jaa raha hai. Is waqt, yeh pair ek range mein trade kar raha hai aur traders ko careful hona chahiye. Agar aap is pair mein trading kar rahe hain, toh aapko market ki movements ko closely monitor karna hoga aur apne trades ko manage karna hoga. Stop-loss orders ka istemal kar ke aap apne positions ko protect kar sakte hain aur profits ko lock kar sakte hain.



Yeh important hai ke aap market ke trends ko samajhne ki koshish karein aur apne trading strategy ko uske mutabiq adjust karein. Technical analysis aur fundamental analysis ka istemal kar ke aap market ke movements ko predict kar sakte hain. Overall, EUR/USD ke movement mein dekhne ko mil raha hai ke market volatile hai aur traders ko cautious rehna chahiye. Apni trades ko carefully plan karein aur market ke changes ko closely observe karein taake aap apne trading decisions ko sahi tareeke se le sakein.

EUR/USD

EURUSD: Uper ki umeedain 1.0780 ke darje se oopar hai, jahan ke sambhav nishane 1.0840 aur phir 1.0890 hai. Neeche ke darje se neeche, 1.0780 ke neeche, 1.0700 aur 1.0680 ke darje tak giravat ki keemat hai.

Aaj ke din 1.0742 ke darje se shuruat ke baad, EURUSD currency pair gir gaya aur 1.0725 par ek din ka nikaal set kiya. Uske baad, keemat upar ki taraf mud gayi aur ek din ka uchch tay kiya 1.0780 par. Iss waqt, hum dekh sakte hain ki din ke vyapar ki diagram mein Relative Strength Index upar ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai, jisse yah spasht hota hai ki risk upar ki taraf mud gaye hain. Halaanki, bullon ko is Tuesday ko poste ki gayi uchch ke darje ke upar le jana hoga tak ki upar ki keemat ka gati aage badh sake. Agar yahan par bullon ka safal ho jana nahi hota, toh neeche ki taraf giravat ke uncha gunjaish hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh bearish nishane aaj ke din pehle se nirdisht 1.0725 par honge. Iss darje ke neeche ek safal giravat is tay lagayegi ki kote majboot samarthan darje 1.0700 par pahunch jayenge. Agar bearon ka irada saccha hai, toh unka nishana 1.0680/1.0660 ke keemat par hoga.



Chaar ghanton ke vyapar ki diagram mein, Relative Strength Index, neeche ki taraf modne ki koshish karte hue aane wale vyapar ke samay mein pair ki keemat mein giravat ki sambhavna ka sujhaav de raha hai. Agar keemat phir se 1.0725 ke darje ke neeche girti hai, toh manasik star 1.0700 jaldi hi charts mein aayega. Iss mahatvapoorn samarthan ke neeche aur giravat ke nishane 1.0680 aur 1.0650 ke honge. Ya toh agar keemat girne ki bajaye badhti hai, toh pehla nishana 1.0800 ke gol bindu hoga. Upar ke zikr ki gayi darje ke upar safal agrasar wahi hai jo bullon ko 1.0840 aur 1.0870 ke darje tak pahunchna hai. Chahe kuch bhi ho, main agar keemat 1.0780 ke upar chadhti hai toh kharidne ki mauke ki talash karunga aur agar keemat 1.0725 ke darje ko chhedti hai toh bechne ki mauke ki talash karunga. Chaliye dekhte hain aane wale vyapar mein kaise hota hai. Dosto, sahi pips ke liye sabko shubhkamnaayein! Aur padhne ke liye dhanyavaad.

Jumeraat ko euro-dollar farokht daaroun ke saath rehne ke koi khaas shak nahi hai, lekin agle haftay ki shuruaat kaisi hogi, yeh mere liye poori tarah se wazeh nahi hai, kyunki agar somvar ko kharid daaron ne aik ki manzil 1.0823 ke darjy ke upar wapas qeematain laaien, to unhe mauqa milay ga uttarward pullback ko jari rakhne ka niche ki taraf ka fan aur is zone ke pehle darja 1.0853 ke upper kone ke liye aur iska faida ROS 1.0862 par, mujhe lagta hai ke zyada nahi. To agar rukawat 1.0823 qayam karti hai, to hum zyada tar mumkin hai uttarward pullback ke baare mein bhool jayein aur umeed karein ke EUR/USD jodi ke keemat apni giravat ko jari rakhegi doosre impulse zone 1.0774 ke darjy tak. Kisi bhi imkaan par, upar diye gaye darja.
EUR/USD H1 Time Frame:


Maine rozana chart ki situation dekhi, aur ab main H1 chart kholna chahta hoon. Is par, pehle, 1.0980 ke darjy se farokht ke baad, major ne neeche jaana shuru kiya aur phir humne dekha kaise ek neeche ke price channel ka ijtema hua, jo dakshin ki taraf phel raha tha. Haal hi mein price level 1.0940 tak tazi se barhne ke baad, humne tez ulat pher dekha, qeemat ne asal mein rukawat ki rekha se rebound mila aur aaj humne dekha kaise qeemat ne mukhtasir tezi se neeche jaane ki liye 1.0800 ke darjy tak mazboot giraavat milti hai, jo ek naya maqami minimum bana. Dakshin ke channel ka nichla boundary nahi pahuncha gaya hai aur is ke ziada imkaanat hain ke giraavat jari rahegi 1.0790 ke darjy tak aur support line ko breakdown karne ke liye test kiya jayega. Magar yeh khali technical tajziya hai, aur hume ab buniyadi factors ka tajziya karna hai jo agle trading haftay ke liye economic calendar ko dekhte hue kiya jayega.

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko.

Over all tasveer abhi bhi girawat ki taraf hai, halankeh aaj hum ne aik shumali retracement harkat dekhi. Khas tor par jab naye siyasi tensions ke ubharne lage hain, khaaskar Iran aur America ke sath, US dollar ka temporary mazboot hona abhi bhi daftar e aam hai. 1.0616 ka neechay ka mumkin target mazeed neeche murawajah hota ja raha hai, aur darmiyanah muddat mein is tak pohanchna mawafiq hai. Aur abhi, sab kuch shumal ki taraf aik retracement hai.

Aaj ke trading mein, 1.0791 ka level dilchasp tha, jahan aik intar dinayi janoobi tor par tora ja sakta tha jis ke sath shumali retracement harkat ka tajurba mumkin tha, lekin ye nahi hua, aur subah mein, 1.0737 ka intar dinayi sarhata bhi imtehaan diya gaya. To, shumal abhi tak bilkul aasan nahi hai. Dour muddat ke mumkinah manazir se intar dinayi trading tak, maine kal ke liye daraje tay kiye hain: ooper wala 1.0778 aur neechay wala 1.0725. Halankeh, shumal se janoobi retracement ka tajurba mumkin hai aur mazeed shumal ke izafa ke liye behtar hai ke 1.0740 se neeche na jaye. Us se neeche, bailon ko dabao mehsoos hone lagega puri tor par tor phatne ke imkanat ke sath 1.0725 ke neeche. Aur jo arzooein maine aik sath rakhi hain woh bohot mutabiq hongi. Dekhte hain Asiyoon kitni dair tak ise neeche daba sakte hain, acha sense mein. Main phir se siyasi factors ki taraf dawat deta hoon, Iran ne apne safeer khane ko hamlay ka sakht jawab dene ka waada kiya hai. Raat abhi shuru hui hai.

Yeh hai mojooda tasveer. Soobha ko mazeed tafseelat milengi.
Tameer e taqweem ki bunyadi khabron ke lehaz se, ahem hai ke kal 15:15 Moscow waqt par tajziyaati ghair kisaani muaavze jaari kiye jayenge, aur 16:45 par karobar ki fa'alat index jaari ki jayegi. Wo log jo tail ke liye trading kar rahe hain, 17:30 par is ke ahsaasat jaari kiye jayenge.

Sab ko munafa bhari trades ki dawat.

EURUSD H4

Teknik lehaz se, EUR/USD jodi ke mojooda halat mein kamzorai nazar aati hai. Keemat ne pehle trading saptah mein pehchanay gaye "kharidne ki zone" ke neeche giraavat ki hai aur ahem resistance thakon ke neeche bani hui hai. Ye giravat ek Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke reading ke saath sath hoti hai jo 50 ke neeche hai, jo ek bearish momentum ko darust karti hai. Agar keemat in ahem resistance levels, lagbhag 1.0820 ke aas paas, ke neeche tikti rahe aur kal ka Point of Control (POC) ko tor nahi paye - ek zone jo zyada trading activity ke sath shor machata hai - to mazeed giravat ka intezar hai. Ye nichla rukh keemat ko 1.08, 1.0790 aur muntaqil tor par 1.0775 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai.

Magar, ek mamooli faraham ka imkaan bhi hai. Agar keemat 1.0810 ko paar kar leti hai aur kal ka POC faisla kun tor par tor deti hai, to yeh kharidne ki orders ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo keemat mein ek choti si izaafi uthaao ke liye zimmedaar ho sakta hai. Magar, aise ek scenario mein bhi, aqalmand traders mumkin hai ke naye sell orders ko jinsi tor par laga dein at breached resistance level, lagbhag 1.0841 par, taake kisi bhi mutalik nichle rukh ka faida utha sakein. Iss potential chand lamhon ka juloos ke bawajood, bada technical nazariya ab bhi bearish hai, jo qareebi future mein euro ke liye musalsal nichle rukh ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Mojooda EUR/USD jodi ke technical manzar ko tafseel se jaanchne par, wazeh hai ke market sentiment ek nichle rukh ki taraf raazi hai. Establish ki gayi "kharidne ki zone" mein levels ko barqarar rakhne ka nakaami bullish momentum ka nuqsan dikhata hai, jo ke ahem resistance levels ko torne ki naakaami ke saath mazeed takmeel hoti hai. Is upar ka movement ki kami ko RSI ne barqarar rakhta hai, jo 50 ke mubadi mark ke neeche hai, jo mojooda bearish sentiment ko darust karti hai.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj, euro/dollar ke jode ne kuch faida uthaya. 4 -ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, jodi utarte hue channel ke andar karobar karna jari rakhti hai. MACD indicator manfi ilaqe me tair raha hai, jo tezi ke rujhan ka ishara kar raha hai. MA Crossover Arrows indicator bhi qimat me izafe ki taraf ishara karta hai.
Lehaza, is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh European currency tezi ki islah ke hisse ke taur par 1.0804 ki satah tak faida badhayega. Iske bad, jodi ki kamzori dobara shuru hone ka imkan hai, jo 1.0722 ki satah fisal jayegi, jahan se yah pichle din ucchal gayi thi. Agar qimat is nishan ko todti hai to, euro/dollar ka joda niche gir jayega.

Jab H1 time frame par EURUSD jodi ka jaeza kia jata hai, toh aik bhari jazbaat ka nazar aata hai jo yeh darust rasta kaarta hai, jari rehne wale neechay ke trend ko zahir karta hai. Yeh manzar mukhtalif technical signals aur chart patterns ki wajah se mazboot hota hai, jo ittefaq ko mazboot karta hai aur is currency pair ke liye lambay arsay tak bearish marhala ka zahir karta hai. Critical support level 1.0864 ke toot jaane se yeh bearish trend tasdiq karte hue aik ahem lamha darust karta hai. Yeh toot maalikiat ka ek tabadla ko dikhata hai, jahan farokht karne walay qeemat ko kam karne ki zimmedari lete hain. Yeh taraqqi na sirf tasdiq karti hai balkay is EURUSD jodi ke liye puray bearish jazbaat ko bhi mazboot karti hai. Is tahlil mein gehrai se gharq karte hue yeh wazeh ho jata hai ke kai technical factors is mojooda bearish jazbaat mein hissa dene mein madadgar hain. Maslan, chart patterns jaise ke descending triangles aur head and shoulders formations neechay ke qeematon ki taraf bias ka zahir karte hain. Mazeed iske ilawa, momentum indicators jaise ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neechay ke momentum ko support karte hain, bearish outlook ko barhate hue.
Is ke ilawa, key psychological levels ka gehra jaiza bearish tajwez mein yaqeeni banata hai. Jab jodi aham support levels jaise ke pehle zikar ki gayi 1.0864 ki had tak pohanchti hai, toh yeh na sirf bearish bias ko tasdiq karta hai balkay neechay ke trend ka tafreeqi barhana bhi suggust karta hai. Yeh psychological thresholds aham checkpoints ke tor par kaam karte hain, jis se mustaqbil ki qeemat ke amal ka khaka banaya jaata hai.

Wider market context ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, beroon-e-mulk elements bearish narrative ko mazboot karte hain. Maamlaat jaise ke iqtisadi data releases, saiyasi uncertainties, aur markazi bank policies tamaam market sentiment ko mazboot taur par mutasir karte hain aur currency ki qeemat ko bohat asar andaz banate hain. Ghaafil aur be asar hawalaat mein, EURUSD jodi par bearish stance ko ziada credibility milti hai jabke investors safe haven assets mein safty talash karte hain.

H1 timeframe par EURUSD jodi ka tajziya aik mazboot neechay ke raste ka wazeh manzar pesh karta hai. Technical signals, chart patterns, aur baray market forces ke ikhtilaaf se mazboot, mojooda jazbaat mazid neechay dabao ko zahir karte hain is currency pair par. Farokht karne walay ka dominion qaim rehta hai aur ahem support levels ko toor diya jata hai, isliye EURUSD jodi par bearish perspective mazbooti se qaim hai, jo lambay arsay tak mazeed downsides ko zahir karta hai.

EUR/USD ki haliyaat par baat karte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke maazi ki trend aur maujooda tajaweezat ko madde nazar rakha jaye. Euro aur Dollar ki currency pair mein trading, global economic conditions, monetary policy decisions, geopolitical events, aur technical analysis factors ko shamil karte hue ki jati hai. EUR/USD ki taaza halat ko samajhne ke liye, hum pehle iski current position ko dekhte hain. Agar EUR/USD abhi takafi uopar hai, yani ke Euro Dollar ke muqable mein taqreeban izafa kar raha hai, toh yeh ek significant trend ki nishaandahi ho sakti hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hum iske peechay ki wajah ko bhi samajhte hain.

Euro ki qadri faujdaari, jaise ke ECB (European Central Bank) ki monetary policy measures aur Eurozone ki economic data, EUR/USD ke upar asar daal sakti hai. Agar Eurozone ki economic indicators behtar hain, jaise ke GDP growth, inflation, aur employment figures, toh Euro ke qeemat Dollar ke muqable mein barh sakti hai. Dollar ki qadri faujdaari bhi ahem hai. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions, US economic indicators, aur global geopolitical events, Dollar ki qeemat ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Agar US ki economic data strong hai aur Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko tighten kar raha hai, toh Dollar mehfooz currency ki hesiyat se istemal ho sakta hai, jis se EUR/USD ke niche jane ki imkaanat barh jati hain.




Technical analysis bhi EUR/USD ke nichay jane ka hadaf 1.0740 ko taayun karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Chart patterns, moving averages, aur support/resistance levels ko dekhte hue traders apne trading strategies banate hain. Agar technical indicators ke mutabiq EUR/USD ka niche jane ka rasta 1.0740 level par hai, toh yeh traders ke liye ek important signal ho sakta hai. Maujooda tajaweezat aur global economic conditions ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ka niche jane ka hadaf 1.0740 level ho sakta hai. Lekin, market mein hamesha uncertainty hoti hai aur koi bhi trading decision sirf educated guesses par mabni hota hai. Is liye, traders ko hamesha risk management aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karna chahiye taake woh apne nuqsaan ko had se zyada nahi hone de saken.

Euro (EUR) 1.0765 ke aas paas ghum raha hai, jo ke chand dinon ki kamai ke baad kuch nuqsaan mein hai. Yeh baat mehaz America Dollar Index (DXY) ke kamzor hone ke bawajood hai jo ke abhi 105.00 ke neeche trade ho raha hai, aur EUR/USD jodi ko kuch sahara faraham kar raha hai. Magar, Eurozone ki ma'ashi data mukhtalif tasweer paish kar raha hai. Ek taraf, kamzor America Dollar Euro ke liye ek musbat factor hai. America Federal Reserve ki mushkilat par shaoor dene wale ta'arufaat ke mutabiq, is saal interest rates mein khatraat kum karne ke baare mein aghaaz kar sakti hai, jo ke hariyaanay ke dabaav mein dollar ko neeche ki taraf le ja raha hai. Yeh voh tawaan harikat hai jo future traders ka tasavvur hai ke Federal Reserve ne june mein monitory policy mein aasani shuru kar deni chahiye aur saal ke end tak rates ko teen quarter percentage point kam kar dena chahiye. Dusri taraf, haal hi mein German inflation data Euro ki momentum ko kamzor kar raha hai. Germany ke March mein inflation figures thori had tak umeed se kam aaye, jis se European Central Bank (ECB) ke rates ko kam karne ki guftagu hoti hai. Yeh is wajah se hai ke ECB inflation ko 2% ke qareeb rakhti hai, aur Germany ke kam figures Eurozone ko is maqsood ke qareeb pohnch sakte hain.Mukhtalif signals ki wajah se EUR/USD jodi ko ek bechain shuruaat mein side mein trade karne par majboor hai, shayad yeh Europe mein Easter holidays ki wajah se ho. Technically, EUR/USD ne December 2023 ke akhri dino se ek downtrend par hai, bar bar resistance line ko torne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka. Yeh kamzori mazeed highlight hoti hai is wajah se ke jodi ab apne ahem moving averages (50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day) ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch analysts yeh maante hain ke EUR/USD ke liye mazeed neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Technical indicators jese ke Stochastic Oscillator par oversold territory ka hona yeh ishara deta hai ke Euro ke liye ek potential rebound se pehle mazeed girne ki jagah hai. Yeh bearish traders ke liye ek dilchasp entry point ho sakta hai jo ke EUR/USD ko short kar ke ek possible decline se faida uthana chahte hain.
EUR/USD taqreeban taqseem shuda range ke andar trade kar raha hai. 1.0775 ke resistance level par izafa hua tha, jahan se jodi ne rebound dikhaya hai, aur yeh rebound aaj dekhe gaye correctional uthan ka ikhtitam shayad darust kar sakta hai. Bullish flag pattern puri tarah se mukammal ho chuka hai, jis se koi shak nahi reh gaya. Agar keemat 1.0750 ke support level ke neeche gir jati hai, toh bechnay ki dabao barh jayegi, jismein aaj ke low ka dobara test mumkin hai, neeche ke nishanat ka maqsad 1.07 hai. Kal, Europe mein EU ke inflation statistics jari kiye jayenge, jabke America mein ahem data ki series publish ki jayegi, jismein mukhya tor par ADP employment report, phir ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI aur Non-Manufacturing Supply Management Index shaamil hain. Khabron ka din Powell ke taqreer se khatam hoga. Toh, kal dilchaspi ka wada karta hai, kyunke EUR/USD ya toh south expectations ko tor dega ya phir apni girawat ko tezi se barhaega.